Richmond Spiders v Holy Cross Crusaders — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 22 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Richmond Spiders win
93.8%
Draw
0.0%
Holy Cross Crusaders win
6.2%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 71.00–53.77 | 71-54 0% | 51% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to score 100+ | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.33 |
| Richmond Spiders to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Richmond Spiders to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Richmond Spiders to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win H1 | 80.4% | 83.6% | 56.4% | 1.48× | 1.20 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to win H1 | 16.5% | 16.9% | 39.9% | 0.42× | 5.92 |
| H1 tied | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 72.5 | 89.1% | 87.7% | 83.6% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 48.5 | 88.6% | 87.7% | 88.8% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 79.7% | 77.4% | 73.5% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 52.5 | 78.5% | 77.4% | 79.6% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 70.3% | 73.5% | 63.9% | 1.15× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 68.5% | 67.4% | 71.0% | 0.95× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 63.0% | 62.7% | 57.1% | 1.10× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 60.9% | 62.7% | 64.8% | 0.97× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 55.1% | 58.2% | 49.8% | 1.17× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 52.9% | 52.6% | 57.8% | 0.91× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 51.1% | 52.6% | 46.1% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 48.9% | 47.4% | 53.9% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 47.1% | 47.4% | 42.2% | 1.12× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 44.9% | 41.8% | 50.2% | 0.83× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 39.1% | 37.3% | 35.2% | 1.06× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 37.0% | 37.3% | 42.9% | 0.87× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 29.0% | 1.12× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 29.7% | 26.5% | 36.1% | 0.73× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 21.5% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 1.11× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 20.3% | 22.6% | 26.5% | 0.85× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 48.5 | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 1.10× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 0.75× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win H2 | 81.9% | 79.5% | 56.0% | 1.42× | 1.26 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to win H2 | 15.3% | 20.4% | 40.6% | 0.50× | 4.91 |
| H2 tied | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 78.5 | 88.6% | 85.2% | 80.1% | 1.06× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 54.5 | 87.0% | 85.2% | 88.0% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 79.5% | 75.8% | 69.9% | 1.08× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 58.5 | 76.7% | 75.8% | 79.6% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 70.4% | 72.2% | 61.1% | 1.18× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 71.3% | 0.93× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 63.4% | 61.6% | 54.8% | 1.12× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 59.4% | 57.3% | 65.3% | 0.88× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 56.0% | 57.3% | 47.9% | 1.20× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 58.8% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 44.6% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 41.2% | 1.16× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 55.4% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 44.0% | 42.7% | 52.1% | 0.82× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 40.6% | 42.7% | 34.7% | 1.23× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 36.6% | 38.4% | 45.2% | 0.85× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 28.7% | 1.17× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 29.6% | 27.8% | 38.9% | 0.72× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 58.5 | 23.3% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 1.19× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 20.5% | 24.2% | 30.1% | 0.81× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 54.5 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 1.23× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 11.4% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 0.74× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders leading at half time | 80.4% | 83.2% | 56.4% | 1.48× | 1.20 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders leading at half time | 16.5% | 17.0% | 39.9% | 0.43× | 5.88 |
| Level at half time | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders +12.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +14.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +16.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +18.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +2.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +3.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +4.5 | 97.1% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +5.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +6.5 | 98.1% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +7.5 | 98.5% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +8.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +9.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +10.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +1.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 61.2% | 1.49× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −1.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 58.7% | 1.55× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −2.5 | 91.0% | 91.1% | 56.7% | 1.61× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −3.5 | 89.2% | 85.9% | 54.2% | 1.58× | 1.16 |
| Richmond Spiders −4.5 | 87.3% | 85.9% | 52.2% | 1.65× | 1.16 |
| Richmond Spiders −5.5 | 85.2% | 85.9% | 49.7% | 1.73× | 1.16 |
| Richmond Spiders −6.5 | 82.9% | 81.1% | 47.6% | 1.70× | 1.23 |
| Richmond Spiders −7.5 | 80.4% | 81.1% | 44.8% | 1.81× | 1.23 |
| Richmond Spiders −8.5 | 77.7% | 76.5% | 42.0% | 1.82× | 1.31 |
| Richmond Spiders −9.5 | 74.8% | 71.6% | 39.3% | 1.82× | 1.40 |
| Richmond Spiders −10.5 | 71.7% | 71.6% | 36.8% | 1.95× | 1.40 |
| Richmond Spiders −12.5 | 65.0% | 66.7% | 32.1% | 2.08× | 1.50 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +20.5 | 64.1% | 61.9% | 82.0% | 0.76× | 1.62 |
| Richmond Spiders −14.5 | 57.9% | 57.1% | 27.9% | 2.05× | 1.75 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +18.5 | 56.9% | 57.1% | 79.3% | 0.72× | 1.75 |
| Richmond Spiders −16.5 | 50.5% | 52.4% | 24.3% | 2.16× | 1.91 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +16.5 | 49.5% | 47.6% | 75.7% | 0.63× | 2.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −18.5 | 43.1% | 42.9% | 20.7% | 2.07× | 2.33 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +14.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 72.1% | 0.60× | 2.33 |
| Richmond Spiders −20.5 | 35.9% | 38.1% | 18.0% | 2.12× | 2.63 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +12.5 | 35.0% | 33.3% | 67.9% | 0.49× | 3.01 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +10.5 | 28.3% | 28.4% | 63.2% | 0.45× | 3.53 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +9.5 | 25.2% | 28.4% | 60.7% | 0.47× | 3.53 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +8.5 | 22.3% | 23.5% | 58.0% | 0.41× | 4.25 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +7.5 | 19.6% | 18.9% | 55.2% | 0.34× | 5.29 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +6.5 | 17.1% | 18.9% | 52.4% | 0.36× | 5.29 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +5.5 | 14.8% | 14.1% | 50.3% | 0.28× | 7.09 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +4.5 | 12.7% | 14.1% | 47.8% | 0.30× | 7.09 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +3.5 | 10.8% | 14.1% | 45.8% | 0.31× | 7.09 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +2.5 | 9.1% | 8.9% | 43.3% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders +1.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 41.3% | 0.22× | 11.25 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −1.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 38.8% | 0.23× | 11.25 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −2.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.72 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −3.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −4.5 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −5.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −6.5 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −7.5 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.73 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −8.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −9.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −10.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −12.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −14.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −16.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −18.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 71.3% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.8% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.1% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.3% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.5% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 16.0% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT | 78.3% | 78.1% | 48.3% | 1.62× | 1.28 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 1.25× | 8.17 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT | 3.8% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.73 |
| Richmond Spiders at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT | 2.1% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT | 0.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win | 93.8% | 90.6% | 59.9% | 1.51× | 1.10 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to win | 6.2% | 9.4% | 40.1% | 0.23× | 10.68 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders even | 50.4% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.6% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Richmond Spiders odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders odd | 49.6% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.4% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 97.0% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.45 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win Q1 | 70.5% | 73.7% | 54.7% | 1.35× | 1.36 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q1 | 24.4% | 22.2% | 40.4% | 0.55× | 4.51 |
| Q1 tied | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.33 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 38.5 | 89.0% | 87.4% | 84.8% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 22.5 | 88.0% | 87.4% | 88.8% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 78.2% | 76.9% | 73.2% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 76.5% | 76.9% | 77.6% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 68.5% | 67.6% | 64.0% | 1.06× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 66.3% | 67.6% | 67.7% | 1.00× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 57.2% | 58.6% | 54.0% | 1.09× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 54.7% | 52.7% | 56.9% | 0.93× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 51.2% | 52.7% | 48.8% | 1.08× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 48.8% | 47.3% | 51.2% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 45.3% | 47.3% | 43.1% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 42.8% | 41.4% | 46.0% | 0.90× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 33.7% | 32.4% | 32.3% | 1.00× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 31.5% | 32.4% | 36.0% | 0.90× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 23.5% | 23.1% | 22.4% | 1.03× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 21.8% | 23.1% | 26.8% | 0.86× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 22.5 | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 1.12× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 0.83× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win Q2 | 69.9% | 68.4% | 52.9% | 1.29× | 1.46 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q2 | 25.0% | 27.7% | 41.5% | 0.67× | 3.62 |
| Q2 tied | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.06× | 16.51 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 38.5 | 89.9% | 87.3% | 85.6% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 22.5 | 87.0% | 87.3% | 87.4% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 79.6% | 76.8% | 74.6% | 1.03× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 75.0% | 72.0% | 76.2% | 0.94× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 70.1% | 72.0% | 65.6% | 1.10× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 64.5% | 60.7% | 66.7% | 0.91× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 59.0% | 58.2% | 55.7% | 1.04× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 53.1% | 52.7% | 50.1% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 52.9% | 52.7% | 55.8% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 47.1% | 47.3% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 46.9% | 47.3% | 49.9% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 41.0% | 41.8% | 44.3% | 0.94× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 35.5% | 39.3% | 33.3% | 1.18× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 29.9% | 28.0% | 34.4% | 0.81× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 25.0% | 28.0% | 23.8% | 1.18× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 20.4% | 23.2% | 25.4% | 0.91× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 22.5 | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 1.01× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 0.88× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win Q3 | 71.8% | 73.1% | 53.3% | 1.37× | 1.37 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q3 | 23.3% | 22.5% | 41.8% | 0.54× | 4.45 |
| Q3 tied | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.87× | 23.42 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 41.5 | 89.3% | 87.2% | 85.1% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 25.5 | 86.4% | 87.2% | 86.9% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 79.0% | 77.3% | 73.9% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 28.5 | 74.4% | 71.8% | 76.4% | 0.94× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 69.7% | 67.8% | 64.6% | 1.05× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 64.1% | 62.0% | 66.8% | 0.93× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 58.9% | 58.4% | 54.6% | 1.07× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 52.7% | 52.3% | 56.1% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 49.1% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 47.3% | 47.7% | 43.9% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 50.9% | 0.94× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 41.1% | 41.6% | 45.4% | 0.92× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 35.9% | 38.0% | 33.2% | 1.15× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 30.3% | 32.2% | 35.4% | 0.91× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 25.6% | 28.2% | 23.6% | 1.19× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 21.0% | 22.7% | 26.1% | 0.87× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 25.5 | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 0.98× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 0.86× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win Q4 | 71.5% | 66.2% | 52.8% | 1.25× | 1.51 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q4 | 23.8% | 29.0% | 41.5% | 0.70× | 3.44 |
| Q4 tied | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 41.5 | 87.8% | 85.6% | 83.6% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 25.5 | 85.2% | 85.6% | 86.1% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 77.4% | 76.9% | 73.1% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 28.5 | 73.5% | 71.5% | 75.1% | 0.95× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 68.4% | 67.4% | 64.3% | 1.05× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 63.7% | 61.4% | 66.3% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 58.0% | 58.4% | 54.4% | 1.07× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 52.9% | 52.5% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 52.6% | 52.5% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 47.4% | 47.5% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 47.1% | 47.5% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 42.0% | 41.6% | 45.6% | 0.91× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 36.3% | 38.6% | 33.7% | 1.14× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 31.6% | 32.6% | 35.7% | 0.91× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 26.5% | 28.5% | 24.9% | 1.14× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 22.6% | 23.1% | 26.9% | 0.86× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 25.5 | 14.8% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 0.88× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 65.5 | 89.2% | 83.9% | 59.8% | 1.40× | 1.19 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 45.5 | 86.6% | 83.9% | 91.3% | 0.92× | 1.19 |
| Richmond Spiders over 61.5 | 85.5% | 83.9% | 66.9% | 1.25× | 1.19 |
| Richmond Spiders under 81.5 | 85.7% | 83.9% | 84.6% | 0.99× | 1.19 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 62.5 | 81.8% | 80.7% | 51.0% | 1.58× | 1.24 |
| Richmond Spiders over 64.5 | 77.0% | 75.1% | 58.4% | 1.29× | 1.33 |
| Richmond Spiders under 78.5 | 77.3% | 75.1% | 79.4% | 0.95× | 1.33 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 48.5 | 76.0% | 75.1% | 86.7% | 0.87× | 1.33 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 60.5 | 75.4% | 75.1% | 44.4% | 1.69× | 1.33 |
| Richmond Spiders over 66.5 | 70.1% | 70.7% | 51.8% | 1.36× | 1.41 |
| Richmond Spiders under 76.5 | 70.4% | 70.7% | 75.4% | 0.94× | 1.41 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 50.5 | 67.7% | 66.4% | 83.1% | 0.80× | 1.51 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 58.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 37.9% | 1.75× | 1.51 |
| Richmond Spiders over 68.5 | 62.3% | 61.2% | 45.6% | 1.34× | 1.63 |
| Richmond Spiders under 74.5 | 62.7% | 61.2% | 70.7% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 52.5 | 58.7% | 57.1% | 78.5% | 0.73× | 1.75 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 56.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 32.0% | 1.79× | 1.75 |
| Richmond Spiders over 70.5 | 54.0% | 52.3% | 39.7% | 1.32× | 1.91 |
| Richmond Spiders under 72.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 65.7% | 0.80× | 1.91 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 55.5 | 55.0% | 52.3% | 29.2% | 1.79× | 1.91 |
| Richmond Spiders under 71.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 63.0% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 54.5 | 50.4% | 52.3% | 26.5% | 1.97× | 1.91 |
| Richmond Spiders over 71.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 37.0% | 1.29× | 2.09 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 54.5 | 49.6% | 47.7% | 73.5% | 0.65× | 2.09 |
| Richmond Spiders under 70.5 | 46.0% | 47.7% | 60.3% | 0.79× | 2.09 |
| Richmond Spiders over 72.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 34.3% | 1.39× | 2.09 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 55.5 | 45.0% | 47.7% | 70.8% | 0.67× | 2.09 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 52.5 | 41.3% | 42.9% | 21.5% | 1.99× | 2.33 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 56.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 68.0% | 0.63× | 2.33 |
| Richmond Spiders under 68.5 | 37.7% | 38.8% | 54.4% | 0.71× | 2.58 |
| Richmond Spiders over 74.5 | 37.3% | 38.8% | 29.3% | 1.33× | 2.58 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 50.5 | 32.3% | 33.6% | 16.9% | 1.99× | 2.98 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 58.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 62.1% | 0.54× | 2.98 |
| Richmond Spiders under 66.5 | 29.9% | 29.3% | 48.2% | 0.61× | 3.42 |
| Richmond Spiders over 76.5 | 29.6% | 29.3% | 24.6% | 1.19× | 3.42 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 60.5 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 55.6% | 0.45× | 4.02 |
| Richmond Spiders under 64.5 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 0.60× | 4.02 |
| Richmond Spiders over 78.5 | 22.7% | 24.9% | 20.6% | 1.21× | 4.02 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 48.5 | 24.0% | 24.9% | 13.3% | 1.87× | 4.02 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 62.5 | 18.2% | 19.3% | 49.0% | 0.39× | 5.18 |
| Richmond Spiders under 61.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | 33.1% | 0.49× | 6.21 |
| Richmond Spiders over 81.5 | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 1.04× | 6.21 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders under 45.5 | 13.4% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 1.86× | 6.21 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders over 65.5 | 10.8% | 16.1% | 40.2% | 0.40× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 106.5 points | 92.7% | 88.8% | 91.0% | 0.98× | 1.13 |
| Under 146.5 points | 92.0% | 88.8% | 80.9% | 1.10× | 1.13 |
| Over 111.5 points | 85.5% | 85.0% | 85.1% | 1.00× | 1.18 |
| Under 141.5 points | 85.7% | 85.0% | 73.4% | 1.16× | 1.18 |
| Under 136.5 points | 76.7% | 75.6% | 64.2% | 1.18× | 1.32 |
| Over 116.5 points | 75.2% | 75.6% | 77.2% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| Under 133.5 points | 70.0% | 65.9% | 58.0% | 1.14× | 1.52 |
| Over 119.5 points | 67.7% | 65.9% | 71.6% | 0.92× | 1.52 |
| Under 131.5 points | 65.0% | 65.9% | 53.9% | 1.22× | 1.52 |
| Over 121.5 points | 62.4% | 61.5% | 67.7% | 0.91× | 1.63 |
| Under 129.5 points | 59.8% | 56.5% | 49.5% | 1.14× | 1.77 |
| Over 123.5 points | 56.9% | 56.5% | 63.3% | 0.89× | 1.77 |
| Under 127.5 points | 54.3% | 52.3% | 44.9% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| Under 126.5 points | 51.5% | 52.3% | 42.6% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Over 125.5 points | 51.3% | 52.3% | 59.5% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Under 125.5 points | 48.7% | 47.7% | 40.5% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Over 126.5 points | 48.5% | 47.7% | 57.4% | 0.83× | 2.10 |
| Over 127.5 points | 45.7% | 47.7% | 55.1% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| Under 123.5 points | 43.1% | 43.5% | 36.7% | 1.18× | 2.30 |
| Over 129.5 points | 40.2% | 43.5% | 50.5% | 0.86× | 2.30 |
| Under 121.5 points | 37.6% | 38.5% | 32.3% | 1.19× | 2.60 |
| Over 131.5 points | 35.0% | 34.1% | 46.1% | 0.74× | 2.93 |
| Under 119.5 points | 32.3% | 34.1% | 28.4% | 1.20× | 2.93 |
| Over 133.5 points | 30.0% | 34.1% | 42.0% | 0.81× | 2.93 |
| Under 116.5 points | 24.8% | 24.4% | 22.8% | 1.07× | 4.10 |
| Over 136.5 points | 23.3% | 24.4% | 35.8% | 0.68× | 4.10 |
| Under 111.5 points | 14.5% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 1.00× | 6.68 |
| Over 141.5 points | 14.3% | 15.0% | 26.6% | 0.56× | 6.68 |
| Under 106.5 points | 7.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 1.24× | 8.97 |
| Over 146.5 points | 8.0% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 0.58× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win both halves | 64.4% | 60.8% | 36.0% | 1.69× | 1.65 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders to win both halves | 1.4% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.76 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders by 26+ | 20.3% | 23.9% | 12.6% | 1.90× | 4.18 |
| Richmond Spiders by 11-15 | 17.4% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Richmond Spiders by 16-20 | 18.3% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| Richmond Spiders by 21-25 | 15.6% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| Richmond Spiders by 6-10 | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 0.95× | 8.11 |
| Richmond Spiders by 1-5 | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders by 1-5 | 3.9% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders by 6-10 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.31 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders by 11-15 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.32 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders by 16-20 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |