Richmond Spiders v William & Mary Tribe — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Richmond Spiders win
97.9%
Draw
0.0%
William & Mary Tribe win
2.1%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 74.02–51.08 | 74-51 0% | 55% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to score 100+ | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.27 |
| Richmond Spiders to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.35 |
| Richmond Spiders to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Richmond Spiders to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| William & Mary Tribe to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| William & Mary Tribe to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| William & Mary Tribe to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| William & Mary Tribe to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win H1 | 87.4% | 88.7% | 56.4% | 1.57× | 1.13 |
| William & Mary Tribe to win H1 | 10.4% | 10.7% | 39.9% | 0.27× | 9.32 |
| H1 tied | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 73.5 | 90.1% | 90.8% | 85.6% | 1.06× | 1.10 |
| H1 over 49.5 | 88.0% | 87.7% | 86.7% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 81.2% | 82.5% | 76.2% | 1.08× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 77.5% | 77.4% | 76.8% | 1.01× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 72.0% | 73.5% | 67.1% | 1.09× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 67.1% | 67.4% | 68.2% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 64.8% | 62.7% | 60.7% | 1.03× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 59.3% | 58.2% | 61.4% | 0.95× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 56.9% | 58.2% | 53.7% | 1.08× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 52.9% | 52.6% | 49.8% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 51.2% | 52.6% | 53.9% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 48.8% | 47.4% | 46.1% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 47.1% | 47.4% | 50.2% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 43.1% | 41.8% | 46.3% | 0.90× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 40.7% | 41.8% | 38.6% | 1.08× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 35.2% | 37.3% | 39.3% | 0.95× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 32.9% | 32.6% | 31.8% | 1.02× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 28.0% | 26.5% | 32.9% | 0.81× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 22.5% | 22.6% | 23.2% | 0.97× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 18.8% | 17.5% | 23.8% | 0.73× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 49.5 | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 0.93× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 9.9% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 0.64× | 10.86 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win H2 | 88.8% | 84.2% | 56.0% | 1.50× | 1.19 |
| William & Mary Tribe to win H2 | 9.2% | 11.3% | 40.6% | 0.28× | 8.82 |
| H2 tied | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 54.5 | 88.6% | 85.2% | 88.0% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 87.7% | 85.2% | 80.1% | 1.06× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 58.5 | 78.9% | 75.8% | 79.6% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 78.1% | 75.8% | 69.9% | 1.08× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 71.3% | 0.93× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 68.6% | 66.4% | 61.1% | 1.09× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 61.9% | 61.6% | 65.3% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 61.3% | 61.6% | 54.8% | 1.12× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 54.2% | 52.4% | 58.8% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 53.7% | 52.4% | 47.9% | 1.09× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 50.3% | 52.4% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 49.7% | 47.6% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 41.2% | 1.16× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 52.1% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 38.1% | 38.4% | 34.7% | 1.11× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 38.7% | 38.4% | 45.2% | 0.85× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 30.8% | 33.6% | 28.7% | 1.17× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 31.4% | 33.6% | 38.9% | 0.87× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 58.5 | 21.1% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 1.19× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 21.9% | 24.2% | 30.1% | 0.81× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 12.3% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 0.74× | 6.76 |
| H2 under 54.5 | 11.4% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 1.23× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders leading at half time | 87.4% | 89.4% | 56.4% | 1.58× | 1.12 |
| William & Mary Tribe leading at half time | 10.4% | 10.2% | 39.9% | 0.26× | 9.78 |
| Level at half time | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders +5.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +6.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +7.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +8.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +9.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +10.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders −2.5 | 96.6% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +2.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders −3.5 | 95.8% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +3.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +4.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders −1.5 | 97.3% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders +1.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| Richmond Spiders −4.5 | 94.8% | 91.1% | 52.2% | 1.75× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −5.5 | 93.7% | 91.1% | 49.7% | 1.83× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −6.5 | 92.4% | 91.1% | 47.6% | 1.91× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −7.5 | 91.0% | 91.1% | 44.8% | 2.04× | 1.10 |
| Richmond Spiders −8.5 | 89.3% | 85.9% | 42.0% | 2.05× | 1.16 |
| Richmond Spiders −9.5 | 87.5% | 85.9% | 39.3% | 2.19× | 1.16 |
| Richmond Spiders −10.5 | 85.5% | 85.9% | 36.8% | 2.33× | 1.16 |
| Richmond Spiders −12.5 | 80.8% | 81.1% | 32.1% | 2.52× | 1.23 |
| Richmond Spiders −14.5 | 75.2% | 76.5% | 27.9% | 2.74× | 1.31 |
| Richmond Spiders −16.5 | 69.0% | 66.7% | 24.3% | 2.75× | 1.50 |
| Richmond Spiders −18.5 | 62.1% | 61.9% | 20.7% | 2.99× | 1.62 |
| Richmond Spiders −20.5 | 54.8% | 52.4% | 18.0% | 2.91× | 1.91 |
| William & Mary Tribe +20.5 | 45.2% | 47.6% | 82.0% | 0.58× | 2.10 |
| William & Mary Tribe +18.5 | 37.9% | 38.1% | 79.3% | 0.48× | 2.63 |
| William & Mary Tribe +16.5 | 31.0% | 33.3% | 75.7% | 0.44× | 3.01 |
| William & Mary Tribe +14.5 | 24.8% | 23.5% | 72.1% | 0.33× | 4.25 |
| William & Mary Tribe +12.5 | 19.2% | 18.9% | 67.9% | 0.28× | 5.29 |
| William & Mary Tribe +10.5 | 14.5% | 14.1% | 63.2% | 0.22× | 7.09 |
| William & Mary Tribe +9.5 | 12.5% | 14.1% | 60.7% | 0.23× | 7.09 |
| William & Mary Tribe +8.5 | 10.7% | 14.1% | 58.0% | 0.24× | 7.09 |
| William & Mary Tribe +7.5 | 9.0% | 8.9% | 55.2% | 0.16× | 11.25 |
| William & Mary Tribe +5.5 | 6.3% | 8.9% | 50.3% | 0.18× | 11.25 |
| William & Mary Tribe +6.5 | 7.6% | 8.9% | 52.4% | 0.17× | 11.25 |
| William & Mary Tribe +4.5 | 5.2% | 8.9% | 47.8% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| William & Mary Tribe +2.5 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| William & Mary Tribe −2.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe +3.5 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.72 |
| William & Mary Tribe −3.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −4.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe +1.5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| William & Mary Tribe −1.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| William & Mary Tribe −5.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −6.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −7.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −8.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −9.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −10.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| William & Mary Tribe −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 71.7% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.3% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.3% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.5% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.3% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.8% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT | 86.6% | 89.1% | 48.3% | 1.85× | 1.12 |
| William & Mary Tribe at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.76 |
| Richmond Spiders at HT / William & Mary Tribe at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.78 |
| Level at HT / William & Mary Tribe at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
| William & Mary Tribe at HT / William & Mary Tribe at FT | 1.2% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win | 97.9% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| William & Mary Tribe to win | 2.1% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.38 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| William & Mary Tribe even | 50.6% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.2% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Richmond Spiders odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| William & Mary Tribe odd | 49.4% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.8% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.2% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.54 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win Q1 | 76.8% | 79.8% | 54.7% | 1.46× | 1.25 |
| William & Mary Tribe to win Q1 | 18.8% | 15.8% | 40.4% | 0.39× | 6.35 |
| Q1 tied | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 22.5 | 89.0% | 87.4% | 88.8% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 88.3% | 87.4% | 84.8% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 78.0% | 76.9% | 77.6% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 77.1% | 76.9% | 73.2% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 68.0% | 67.6% | 67.7% | 1.00× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 67.0% | 67.6% | 64.0% | 1.06× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 56.5% | 58.6% | 56.9% | 1.03× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 55.5% | 58.6% | 54.0% | 1.09× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 50.5% | 52.7% | 51.2% | 1.03× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 49.5% | 47.3% | 48.8% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 44.5% | 41.4% | 46.0% | 0.90× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 43.5% | 41.4% | 43.1% | 0.96× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 33.0% | 32.4% | 36.0% | 0.90× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 32.0% | 32.4% | 32.3% | 1.00× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 22.9% | 23.1% | 26.8% | 0.86× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 22.0% | 23.1% | 22.4% | 1.03× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 0.83× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 22.5 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 1.12× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win Q2 | 76.1% | 80.6% | 52.9% | 1.53× | 1.24 |
| William & Mary Tribe to win Q2 | 19.5% | 14.7% | 41.5% | 0.36× | 6.80 |
| Q2 tied | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 38.5 | 89.2% | 87.3% | 85.6% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 22.5 | 88.1% | 87.3% | 87.4% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 78.5% | 76.8% | 74.6% | 1.03× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 76.5% | 76.8% | 76.2% | 1.01× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 68.7% | 67.4% | 65.6% | 1.03× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 66.2% | 67.4% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 57.4% | 58.2% | 55.7% | 1.04× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 54.6% | 52.7% | 55.8% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 51.4% | 52.7% | 50.1% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 48.6% | 47.3% | 49.9% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 45.4% | 47.3% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 42.6% | 41.8% | 44.3% | 0.94× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 33.8% | 32.6% | 33.3% | 0.98× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 31.3% | 32.6% | 34.4% | 0.95× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 23.5% | 23.2% | 23.8% | 0.97× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 21.5% | 23.2% | 25.4% | 0.91× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 22.5 | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 1.01× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 0.88× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win Q3 | 78.3% | 81.5% | 53.3% | 1.53× | 1.23 |
| William & Mary Tribe to win Q3 | 17.6% | 15.1% | 41.8% | 0.36× | 6.63 |
| Q3 tied | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.44 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 41.5 | 88.6% | 87.2% | 85.1% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 25.5 | 87.6% | 87.2% | 86.9% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 77.9% | 77.3% | 73.9% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 28.5 | 76.0% | 77.3% | 76.4% | 1.01× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 68.2% | 67.8% | 64.6% | 1.05× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 65.9% | 67.8% | 66.8% | 1.01× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 57.1% | 58.4% | 54.6% | 1.07× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 54.6% | 52.3% | 56.1% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 49.1% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 50.9% | 0.94× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 45.4% | 47.7% | 43.9% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 42.9% | 41.6% | 45.4% | 0.92× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 34.1% | 32.2% | 33.2% | 0.97× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 31.8% | 32.2% | 35.4% | 0.91× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 24.0% | 22.7% | 23.6% | 0.96× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 22.1% | 22.7% | 26.1% | 0.87× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 25.5 | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 0.98× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 0.86× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win Q4 | 77.8% | 71.5% | 52.8% | 1.35× | 1.40 |
| William & Mary Tribe to win Q4 | 18.0% | 22.6% | 41.5% | 0.55× | 4.42 |
| Q4 tied | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.30 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 41.5 | 87.0% | 85.6% | 83.6% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 25.5 | 86.3% | 85.6% | 86.1% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 76.3% | 76.9% | 73.1% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 28.5 | 75.0% | 76.9% | 75.1% | 1.02× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 66.9% | 67.4% | 64.3% | 1.05× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 65.4% | 67.4% | 66.3% | 1.02× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 56.4% | 58.4% | 54.4% | 1.07× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 54.7% | 52.5% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 50.9% | 52.5% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 49.1% | 47.5% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 45.3% | 47.5% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 43.6% | 41.6% | 45.6% | 0.91× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 34.6% | 32.6% | 33.7% | 0.97× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 33.1% | 32.6% | 35.7% | 0.91× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 25.0% | 23.1% | 24.9% | 0.93× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 23.8% | 23.1% | 26.9% | 0.86× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 25.5 | 13.7% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 13.0% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 0.88× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe under 63.5 | 90.0% | 86.4% | 53.9% | 1.60× | 1.16 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 43.5 | 88.6% | 83.9% | 93.7% | 0.90× | 1.19 |
| Richmond Spiders over 64.5 | 86.0% | 83.9% | 58.4% | 1.44× | 1.19 |
| Richmond Spiders under 84.5 | 85.3% | 83.9% | 88.9% | 0.94× | 1.19 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 60.5 | 82.8% | 80.7% | 44.4% | 1.82× | 1.24 |
| Richmond Spiders over 67.5 | 77.6% | 75.1% | 48.7% | 1.54× | 1.33 |
| Richmond Spiders under 81.5 | 76.8% | 75.1% | 84.6% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 46.5 | 77.0% | 75.1% | 89.7% | 0.84× | 1.33 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 58.5 | 76.5% | 75.1% | 37.9% | 1.98× | 1.33 |
| Richmond Spiders over 69.5 | 70.8% | 70.7% | 42.6% | 1.66× | 1.41 |
| Richmond Spiders under 79.5 | 69.8% | 66.4% | 81.3% | 0.82× | 1.51 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 56.5 | 68.9% | 66.4% | 32.0% | 2.08× | 1.51 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 48.5 | 68.0% | 66.4% | 86.7% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| Richmond Spiders over 71.5 | 63.0% | 61.2% | 37.0% | 1.65× | 1.63 |
| Richmond Spiders under 77.5 | 62.0% | 61.2% | 77.4% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 54.5 | 60.4% | 61.2% | 26.5% | 2.31× | 1.63 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 50.5 | 58.5% | 57.1% | 83.1% | 0.69× | 1.75 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 53.5 | 55.8% | 57.1% | 23.7% | 2.41× | 1.75 |
| Richmond Spiders over 73.5 | 54.8% | 52.3% | 31.5% | 1.66× | 1.91 |
| Richmond Spiders under 75.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 73.2% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 52.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 21.5% | 2.43× | 1.91 |
| Richmond Spiders over 74.5 | 50.5% | 52.3% | 29.3% | 1.79× | 1.91 |
| Richmond Spiders under 74.5 | 49.5% | 47.7% | 70.7% | 0.67× | 2.09 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 52.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 78.5% | 0.61× | 2.09 |
| Richmond Spiders under 73.5 | 45.2% | 47.7% | 68.5% | 0.70× | 2.09 |
| Richmond Spiders over 75.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 26.8% | 1.78× | 2.09 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 53.5 | 44.2% | 42.9% | 76.3% | 0.56× | 2.33 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 50.5 | 41.5% | 42.9% | 16.9% | 2.54× | 2.33 |
| Richmond Spiders over 77.5 | 38.0% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 1.72× | 2.58 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 54.5 | 39.6% | 38.8% | 73.5% | 0.53× | 2.58 |
| Richmond Spiders under 71.5 | 37.0% | 38.8% | 63.0% | 0.62× | 2.58 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 48.5 | 32.0% | 33.6% | 13.3% | 2.53× | 2.98 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 56.5 | 31.1% | 33.6% | 68.0% | 0.49× | 2.98 |
| Richmond Spiders over 79.5 | 30.2% | 33.6% | 18.7% | 1.80× | 2.98 |
| Richmond Spiders under 69.5 | 29.2% | 29.3% | 57.4% | 0.51× | 3.42 |
| Richmond Spiders under 67.5 | 22.4% | 24.9% | 51.3% | 0.48× | 4.02 |
| Richmond Spiders over 81.5 | 23.2% | 24.9% | 15.4% | 1.61× | 4.02 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 46.5 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 10.3% | 2.42× | 4.02 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 58.5 | 23.5% | 24.9% | 62.1% | 0.40× | 4.02 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 60.5 | 17.2% | 19.3% | 55.6% | 0.35× | 5.18 |
| Richmond Spiders over 84.5 | 14.7% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 1.45× | 6.21 |
| Richmond Spiders under 64.5 | 14.0% | 16.1% | 41.6% | 0.39× | 6.21 |
| William & Mary Tribe under 43.5 | 11.4% | 16.1% | 6.3% | 2.54× | 6.21 |
| William & Mary Tribe over 63.5 | 10.0% | 13.6% | 46.1% | 0.30× | 7.35 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 107.5 points | 93.7% | 88.8% | 90.2% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Under 147.5 points | 92.3% | 88.8% | 82.3% | 1.08× | 1.13 |
| Over 112.5 points | 86.8% | 85.0% | 83.6% | 1.02× | 1.18 |
| Under 142.5 points | 86.0% | 85.0% | 75.1% | 1.13× | 1.18 |
| Under 137.5 points | 77.0% | 75.6% | 66.2% | 1.14× | 1.32 |
| Over 117.5 points | 76.4% | 75.6% | 75.3% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| Under 134.5 points | 70.1% | 70.8% | 60.2% | 1.18× | 1.41 |
| Over 120.5 points | 68.7% | 65.9% | 69.8% | 0.94× | 1.52 |
| Under 132.5 points | 65.1% | 65.9% | 56.0% | 1.18× | 1.52 |
| Over 122.5 points | 63.2% | 61.5% | 65.6% | 0.94× | 1.63 |
| Under 130.5 points | 59.7% | 56.5% | 51.7% | 1.09× | 1.77 |
| Over 124.5 points | 57.5% | 56.5% | 61.5% | 0.92× | 1.77 |
| Under 128.5 points | 54.1% | 52.3% | 47.2% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| Over 126.5 points | 51.7% | 52.3% | 57.4% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Under 127.5 points | 51.2% | 52.3% | 44.9% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| Over 127.5 points | 48.8% | 47.7% | 55.1% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Under 126.5 points | 48.3% | 47.7% | 42.6% | 1.12× | 2.10 |
| Over 128.5 points | 45.9% | 47.7% | 52.8% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| Under 124.5 points | 42.5% | 43.5% | 38.5% | 1.13× | 2.30 |
| Over 130.5 points | 40.3% | 43.5% | 48.3% | 0.90× | 2.30 |
| Under 122.5 points | 36.8% | 38.5% | 34.4% | 1.12× | 2.60 |
| Over 132.5 points | 34.9% | 34.1% | 44.0% | 0.77× | 2.93 |
| Under 120.5 points | 31.3% | 34.1% | 30.2% | 1.13× | 2.93 |
| Over 134.5 points | 29.9% | 29.2% | 39.8% | 0.73× | 3.43 |
| Under 117.5 points | 23.6% | 24.4% | 24.7% | 0.99× | 4.10 |
| Over 137.5 points | 23.0% | 24.4% | 33.8% | 0.72× | 4.10 |
| Over 142.5 points | 14.0% | 15.0% | 24.9% | 0.60× | 6.68 |
| Under 112.5 points | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 0.91× | 6.69 |
| Over 147.5 points | 7.7% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 0.63× | 8.97 |
| Under 107.5 points | 6.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 1.14× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders to win both halves | 76.8% | 77.0% | 36.0% | 2.14× | 1.30 |
| William & Mary Tribe to win both halves | 0.4% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.82 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Spiders by 26+ | 36.3% | 39.7% | 12.6% | 3.15× | 2.52 |
| Richmond Spiders by 21-25 | 18.5% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| Richmond Spiders by 16-20 | 17.4% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| Richmond Spiders by 11-15 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Richmond Spiders by 6-10 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Richmond Spiders by 1-5 | 4.2% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| William & Mary Tribe by 1-5 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| William & Mary Tribe by 6-10 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| William & Mary Tribe by 11-15 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| William & Mary Tribe by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| William & Mary Tribe by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| William & Mary Tribe by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |