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Rutgers Scarlet Knights v South Dakota State Jackrabbits — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights win
8.5%
Draw
0.0%
South Dakota State Jackrabbits win
91.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 57.12–72.32 57-72 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to score 100+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.32
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to win H1 77.7% 79.2% 39.9% 1.99× 1.26
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win H1 19.0% 16.9% 56.4% 0.30× 5.91
H1 tied 3.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 74.5 89.0% 87.7% 87.2% 1.01× 1.14
H1 over 50.5 88.1% 87.7% 84.5% 1.04× 1.14
H1 under 70.5 79.7% 77.4% 78.9% 0.98× 1.29
H1 over 54.5 77.9% 77.4% 74.0% 1.05× 1.29
H1 under 67.5 70.3% 73.5% 70.4% 1.04× 1.36
H1 over 57.5 68.0% 67.4% 64.8% 1.04× 1.48
H1 under 65.5 63.1% 62.7% 63.9% 0.98× 1.59
H1 over 59.5 60.5% 62.7% 57.8% 1.08× 1.59
H1 under 63.5 55.4% 58.2% 57.1% 1.02× 1.72
H1 over 61.5 52.6% 52.6% 50.2% 1.05× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 51.4% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
H1 over 62.5 48.6% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 47.4% 47.4% 49.8% 0.95× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 44.6% 41.8% 42.9% 0.97× 2.39
H1 under 59.5 39.5% 37.3% 42.2% 0.88× 2.68
H1 over 65.5 36.9% 37.3% 36.1% 1.03× 2.68
H1 under 57.5 32.0% 32.6% 35.2% 0.93× 3.07
H1 over 67.5 29.7% 26.5% 29.6% 0.90× 3.77
H1 under 54.5 22.1% 22.6% 26.0% 0.87× 4.43
H1 over 70.5 20.3% 22.6% 21.1% 1.07× 4.43
H1 under 50.5 11.9% 12.3% 15.5% 0.80× 8.14
H1 over 74.5 11.0% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to win H2 79.2% 74.0% 40.6% 1.82× 1.35
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win H2 17.8% 20.4% 56.0% 0.36× 4.90
H2 tied 3.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 80.5 88.1% 85.2% 84.0% 1.01× 1.17
H2 over 56.5 86.8% 85.2% 84.1% 1.01× 1.17
H2 under 76.5 78.9% 75.8% 75.6% 1.00× 1.32
H2 over 60.5 76.6% 75.8% 74.5% 1.02× 1.32
H2 under 73.5 69.8% 66.4% 67.1% 0.99× 1.51
H2 over 63.5 66.9% 66.4% 65.3% 1.02× 1.51
H2 under 71.5 62.9% 61.6% 61.1% 1.01× 1.62
H2 over 65.5 59.7% 57.3% 58.8% 0.98× 1.74
H2 under 69.5 55.5% 57.3% 54.8% 1.05× 1.74
H2 over 67.5 52.1% 52.4% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 51.7% 52.4% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
H2 under 67.5 47.9% 47.6% 47.9% 1.00× 2.10
H2 over 68.5 48.3% 47.6% 48.7% 0.98× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 44.5% 42.7% 45.2% 0.94× 2.34
H2 under 65.5 40.3% 42.7% 41.2% 1.03× 2.35
H2 over 71.5 37.1% 38.4% 38.9% 0.99× 2.61
H2 under 63.5 33.1% 33.6% 34.7% 0.97× 2.97
H2 over 73.5 30.2% 33.6% 32.9% 1.02× 2.97
H2 under 60.5 23.4% 24.2% 25.5% 0.95× 4.13
H2 over 76.5 21.1% 24.2% 24.4% 0.99× 4.13
H2 under 56.5 13.2% 14.8% 15.9% 0.93× 6.76
H2 over 80.5 11.9% 14.8% 16.0% 0.93× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits leading at half time 77.7% 79.7% 39.9% 2.00× 1.26
Rutgers Scarlet Knights leading at half time 19.0% 17.1% 56.4% 0.30× 5.86
Level at half time 3.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +14.5 99.6% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +16.5 99.8% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +4.5 95.8% 97.4% 47.8% 2.04× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +5.5 96.6% 97.4% 50.3% 1.94× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +6.5 97.2% 97.4% 52.4% 1.86× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +7.5 97.7% 97.4% 55.2% 1.76× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +8.5 98.2% 97.4% 58.0% 1.68× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +9.5 98.5% 97.4% 60.7% 1.61× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +10.5 98.8% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +12.5 99.3% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +3.5 95.0% 91.1% 45.8% 1.99× 1.10
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +1.5 92.8% 91.1% 41.3% 2.21× 1.10
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +2.5 94.0% 91.1% 43.3% 2.11× 1.10
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −1.5 89.8% 85.9% 38.8% 2.22× 1.16
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −2.5 87.9% 85.9% 36.7% 2.34× 1.16
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −3.5 85.9% 85.9% 34.3% 2.50× 1.16
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −4.5 83.6% 81.1% 32.2% 2.52× 1.23
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −5.5 81.1% 81.1% 29.9% 2.71× 1.23
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −6.5 78.5% 76.5% 27.7% 2.76× 1.31
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −7.5 75.6% 76.5% 25.5% 3.00× 1.31
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −8.5 72.6% 71.6% 23.5% 3.04× 1.40
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +20.5 69.5% 66.7% 92.7% 0.72× 1.50
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −9.5 69.4% 66.7% 21.3% 3.13× 1.50
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −10.5 66.1% 66.7% 19.6% 3.40× 1.50
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +18.5 62.7% 61.9% 91.1% 0.68× 1.62
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −12.5 59.1% 57.1% 16.2% 3.51× 1.75
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +16.5 55.5% 57.1% 89.1% 0.64× 1.75
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −14.5 51.8% 52.4% 13.3% 3.95× 1.91
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +14.5 48.2% 47.6% 86.7% 0.55× 2.10
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −16.5 44.5% 42.9% 10.9% 3.95× 2.33
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +12.5 40.9% 42.9% 83.8% 0.51× 2.33
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −18.5 37.3% 38.1% 8.9% 4.27× 2.63
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10.5 33.9% 33.3% 80.4% 0.41× 3.01
South Dakota State Jackrabbits −20.5 30.5% 33.3% 7.3% 4.57× 3.01
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +9.5 30.6% 33.3% 78.7% 0.42× 3.01
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +8.5 27.4% 28.4% 76.5% 0.37× 3.53
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +7.5 24.4% 23.5% 74.5% 0.32× 4.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +6.5 21.5% 23.5% 72.3% 0.33× 4.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +5.5 18.9% 18.9% 70.1% 0.27× 5.29
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +4.5 16.4% 18.9% 67.8% 0.28× 5.30
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +3.5 14.1% 14.1% 65.7% 0.21× 7.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +2.5 12.1% 14.1% 63.3% 0.22× 7.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +1.5 10.2% 14.1% 61.2% 0.23× 7.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −1.5 7.2% 8.9% 58.7% 0.15× 11.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −2.5 6.0% 8.9% 56.7% 0.16× 11.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −3.5 5.0% 8.9% 54.2% 0.16× 11.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −4.5 4.2% 2.6% 52.2% 0.05× 38.72
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −5.5 3.4% 2.6% 49.7% 0.05× 38.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −6.5 2.8% 2.6% 47.6% 0.05× 38.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −7.5 2.3% 2.6% 44.8% 0.06× 38.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −8.5 1.8% 2.6% 42.0% 0.06× 38.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −9.5 1.5% 2.6% 39.3% 0.07× 38.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −10.5 1.2% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.74
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −12.5 0.7% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.74
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −14.5 0.4% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.74
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −16.5 0.2% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.0% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.0% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.4% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.6% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits at HT / South Dakota State Jackrabbits at FT 74.9% 73.2% 30.1% 2.43× 1.37
Rutgers Scarlet Knights at HT / South Dakota State Jackrabbits at FT 13.8% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Rutgers Scarlet Knights at HT / Rutgers Scarlet Knights at FT 5.2% 8.3% 48.3% 0.17× 12.10
Level at HT / South Dakota State Jackrabbits at FT 2.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
South Dakota State Jackrabbits at HT / Rutgers Scarlet Knights at FT 2.8% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.74
Level at HT / Rutgers Scarlet Knights at FT 0.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to win 91.5% 90.6% 40.1% 2.26× 1.10
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win 8.5% 9.4% 59.9% 0.16× 10.62
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rutgers Scarlet Knights even 50.2% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
South Dakota State Jackrabbits even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Rutgers Scarlet Knights odd 49.8% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
South Dakota State Jackrabbits odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.5% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.5% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.42
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to win Q1 68.3% 72.3% 40.4% 1.79× 1.38
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win Q1 26.4% 22.4% 54.7% 0.41× 4.47
Q1 tied 5.3% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 39.5 89.0% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 23.5 87.7% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 78.2% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 26.5 76.1% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 34.5 68.6% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 28.5 65.9% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 32.5 57.4% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 over 30.5 54.5% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 51.5% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 48.5% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 under 30.5 45.5% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 42.6% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 28.5 34.1% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 34.5 31.4% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 26.5 23.9% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 36.5 21.8% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 23.5 12.3% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q1 over 39.5 11.0% 12.6% 12.5% 1.00× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to win Q2 67.8% 68.4% 41.5% 1.65× 1.46
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win Q2 27.0% 27.7% 52.9% 0.52× 3.61
Q2 tied 5.2% 6.1% 5.7% 1.06× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 89.9% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 86.7% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 79.6% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 74.6% 72.0% 71.6% 1.01× 1.39
Q2 under 34.5 70.2% 72.0% 70.1% 1.03× 1.39
Q2 over 28.5 64.1% 60.7% 61.2% 0.99× 1.65
Q2 under 32.5 59.3% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 53.4% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 52.5% 52.7% 49.9% 1.06× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 47.5% 47.3% 50.1% 0.94× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 46.6% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 40.7% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 35.9% 39.3% 38.8% 1.01× 2.55
Q2 over 34.5 29.8% 28.0% 29.9% 0.94× 3.57
Q2 under 26.5 25.4% 28.0% 28.4% 0.99× 3.57
Q2 over 36.5 20.4% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 13.3% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 10.1% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to win Q3 69.5% 66.8% 41.8% 1.60× 1.50
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win Q3 25.4% 28.8% 53.3% 0.54× 3.48
Q3 tied 5.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.98
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 42.5 89.0% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 86.3% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 78.7% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 74.4% 71.8% 71.8% 1.00× 1.39
Q3 under 37.5 69.3% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 64.3% 62.0% 61.6% 1.01× 1.61
Q3 under 35.5 58.5% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 53.0% 52.3% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 52.8% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 under 33.5 47.0% 47.7% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 47.2% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 41.5% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 35.7% 38.0% 38.4% 0.99× 2.63
Q3 over 37.5 30.7% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.11
Q3 under 29.5 25.6% 28.2% 28.2% 1.00× 3.55
Q3 over 39.5 21.3% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 13.7% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q3 over 42.5 11.0% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to win Q4 69.2% 60.7% 41.5% 1.46× 1.65
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win Q4 25.8% 33.3% 52.8% 0.63× 3.00
Q4 tied 5.0% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.28
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 42.5 87.5% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 85.1% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 77.1% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 29.5 73.5% 71.5% 70.8% 1.01× 1.40
Q4 under 37.5 68.0% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 63.8% 61.4% 61.1% 1.01× 1.63
Q4 under 35.5 57.7% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 over 33.5 53.2% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 52.3% 52.5% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 47.7% 47.5% 45.6% 1.04× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 46.8% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 42.3% 41.6% 40.6% 1.02× 2.40
Q4 under 31.5 36.2% 38.6% 38.9% 0.99× 2.59
Q4 over 37.5 32.0% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 26.5% 28.5% 29.2% 0.98× 3.51
Q4 over 39.5 22.9% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 14.9% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Q4 over 42.5 12.5% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 47.5 87.0% 83.9% 94.4% 0.89× 1.19
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 67.5 86.1% 83.9% 51.3% 1.63× 1.19
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 62.5 86.5% 83.9% 49.0% 1.71× 1.19
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 82.5 85.8% 83.9% 93.0% 0.90× 1.19
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 50.5 77.9% 75.1% 90.8% 0.83× 1.33
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 64.5 77.8% 75.1% 41.6% 1.81× 1.33
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 65.5 78.1% 75.1% 40.2% 1.87× 1.33
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 79.5 77.2% 75.1% 89.7% 0.84× 1.33
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 52.5 70.5% 70.7% 87.7% 0.81× 1.41
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 62.5 70.9% 70.7% 35.7% 1.98× 1.41
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 67.5 71.2% 70.7% 34.4% 2.06× 1.41
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 77.5 70.2% 70.7% 87.2% 0.81× 1.41
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 54.5 62.4% 61.2% 83.8% 0.73× 1.63
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 60.5 63.2% 61.2% 30.5% 2.00× 1.63
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 69.5 63.3% 61.2% 28.8% 2.13× 1.63
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 75.5 62.3% 61.2% 84.1% 0.73× 1.63
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 56.5 53.9% 52.3% 79.5% 0.66× 1.91
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 58.5 54.8% 52.3% 25.3% 2.07× 1.91
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 71.5 54.9% 52.3% 23.9% 2.18× 1.91
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 73.5 53.8% 52.3% 80.2% 0.65× 1.91
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 57.5 50.5% 52.3% 22.8% 2.29× 1.91
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 72.5 50.6% 52.3% 21.8% 2.40× 1.91
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 57.5 49.5% 47.7% 77.2% 0.62× 2.09
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 72.5 49.4% 47.7% 78.2% 0.61× 2.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 56.5 46.1% 47.7% 20.5% 2.33× 2.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 58.5 45.2% 47.7% 74.7% 0.64× 2.09
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 71.5 45.1% 47.7% 76.1% 0.63× 2.09
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 73.5 46.2% 47.7% 19.8% 2.41× 2.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 54.5 37.6% 38.8% 16.2% 2.40× 2.58
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 60.5 36.8% 38.8% 69.5% 0.56× 2.58
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 69.5 36.7% 38.8% 71.2% 0.54× 2.58
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 75.5 37.8% 38.8% 15.9% 2.44× 2.58
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 52.5 29.5% 29.3% 12.3% 2.37× 3.42
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 62.5 29.1% 29.3% 64.3% 0.46× 3.42
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 67.5 28.8% 29.3% 65.6% 0.45× 3.42
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 77.5 29.8% 29.3% 12.8% 2.29× 3.42
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 79.5 22.8% 24.9% 10.3% 2.41× 4.02
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 50.5 22.1% 24.9% 9.2% 2.71× 4.02
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 64.5 22.2% 24.9% 58.4% 0.43× 4.02
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 65.5 21.9% 24.9% 59.8% 0.42× 4.02
South Dakota State Jackrabbits over 82.5 14.2% 16.1% 7.0% 2.31× 6.21
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 47.5 13.0% 16.1% 5.6% 2.85× 6.21
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 67.5 13.9% 16.1% 48.7% 0.33× 6.21
South Dakota State Jackrabbits under 62.5 13.5% 16.1% 51.0% 0.32× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 110.5 points 91.9% 88.8% 86.4% 1.03× 1.13
Under 150.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 86.1% 1.03× 1.13
Under 145.5 points 85.2% 85.0% 79.5% 1.07× 1.18
Over 115.5 points 84.7% 80.6% 78.8% 1.02× 1.24
Under 140.5 points 76.0% 75.6% 71.8% 1.05× 1.32
Over 120.5 points 74.7% 70.8% 69.8% 1.01× 1.41
Under 137.5 points 69.4% 65.9% 66.2% 1.00× 1.52
Over 123.5 points 67.4% 65.9% 63.3% 1.04× 1.52
Under 135.5 points 64.5% 61.5% 62.4% 0.99× 1.63
Over 125.5 points 62.3% 61.5% 59.5% 1.03× 1.63
Under 133.5 points 59.3% 56.5% 58.0% 0.97× 1.77
Over 127.5 points 56.9% 56.5% 55.1% 1.03× 1.77
Under 131.5 points 54.0% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
Over 129.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 50.5% 1.04× 1.91
Under 130.5 points 51.2% 52.3% 51.7% 1.01× 1.91
Under 129.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 49.5% 0.96× 2.10
Over 130.5 points 48.8% 47.7% 48.3% 0.99× 2.10
Over 131.5 points 46.0% 47.7% 46.1% 1.03× 2.10
Under 127.5 points 43.1% 43.5% 44.9% 0.97× 2.30
Over 133.5 points 40.7% 43.5% 42.0% 1.04× 2.30
Under 125.5 points 37.7% 38.5% 40.5% 0.95× 2.60
Over 135.5 points 35.5% 38.5% 37.6% 1.02× 2.60
Under 123.5 points 32.6% 34.1% 36.7% 0.93× 2.93
Over 137.5 points 30.6% 34.1% 33.8% 1.01× 2.93
Under 120.5 points 25.3% 29.2% 30.2% 0.97× 3.43
Over 140.5 points 24.0% 24.4% 28.2% 0.86× 4.10
Under 115.5 points 15.3% 19.4% 21.2% 0.92× 5.15
Over 145.5 points 14.8% 15.0% 20.5% 0.73× 6.68
Under 110.5 points 8.1% 11.2% 13.6% 0.82× 8.96
Over 150.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 13.9% 0.80× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits to win both halves 59.8% 57.9% 20.4% 2.84× 1.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win both halves 2.1% 3.0% 36.0% 0.08× 33.72
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Dakota State Jackrabbits by 11-15 18.0% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
South Dakota State Jackrabbits by 16-20 17.6% 16.8% 4.8% 3.53× 5.97
South Dakota State Jackrabbits by 26+ 16.5% 16.8% 4.6% 3.63× 5.97
South Dakota State Jackrabbits by 6-10 15.0% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
South Dakota State Jackrabbits by 21-25 14.0% 12.3% 2.7% 4.61× 8.11
South Dakota State Jackrabbits by 1-5 10.3% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 1-5 5.1% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.41
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 6-10 2.3% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.31
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 11-15 0.8% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.32
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 16-20 0.3% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.33
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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