San Antonio Spurs v Houston Rockets — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 24 October 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 113.82–105.49 | 114-106 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to score 100+ | 88.9% | 85.0% | 89.3% | 0.95× | 1.18 |
| Houston Rockets to score 100+ | 69.2% | 63.9% | 85.9% | 0.74× | 1.57 |
| San Antonio Spurs to score 110+ | 64.7% | 61.9% | 67.0% | 0.92× | 1.62 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 63.0% | 61.9% | 77.5% | 0.80× | 1.62 |
| Houston Rockets to score 110+ | 36.2% | 35.9% | 60.9% | 0.59× | 2.78 |
| San Antonio Spurs to score 120+ | 31.9% | 31.3% | 36.5% | 0.86× | 3.19 |
| Houston Rockets to score 120+ | 11.4% | 13.8% | 29.7% | 0.47× | 7.24 |
| San Antonio Spurs to score 130+ | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 0.69× | 11.35 |
| Houston Rockets to score 130+ | 2.0% | 0.4% | 10.0% | 0.04× | 282.97 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win H1 | 63.2% | 62.2% | 52.8% | 1.18× | 1.61 |
| Houston Rockets to win H1 | 33.5% | 33.1% | 44.1% | 0.75× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.87 |
H1 total 34
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 100.5 | 82.3% | 83.2% | 86.8% | 0.96× | 1.20 |
| H1 under 124.5 | 81.6% | 83.2% | 78.4% | 1.06× | 1.20 |
| H1 over 98.5 | 82.6% | 82.5% | 90.0% | 0.92× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 81.8% | 82.5% | 74.0% | 1.12× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 104.5 | 73.3% | 74.0% | 78.3% | 0.95× | 1.35 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 72.5% | 74.0% | 68.4% | 1.08× | 1.35 |
| H1 over 102.5 | 73.6% | 73.5% | 83.0% | 0.89× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 72.6% | 73.5% | 62.9% | 1.17× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 105.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 75.8% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 117.5 | 64.4% | 63.3% | 59.6% | 1.06× | 1.58 |
| H1 under 115.5 | 64.4% | 62.7% | 53.6% | 1.17× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 107.5 | 59.7% | 58.2% | 70.4% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 58.6% | 58.2% | 47.6% | 1.22× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 53.6% | 52.6% | 65.0% | 0.81× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 111.5 | 52.5% | 52.6% | 41.0% | 1.28× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 110.5 | 50.6% | 52.6% | 61.9% | 0.85× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 50.5% | 52.5% | 55.8% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 49.5% | 47.5% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 110.5 | 49.4% | 47.4% | 38.1% | 1.24× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 111.5 | 47.5% | 47.4% | 59.0% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 46.4% | 47.4% | 35.0% | 1.35× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 41.4% | 41.8% | 52.4% | 0.80× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 107.5 | 40.3% | 41.8% | 29.6% | 1.41× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 115.5 | 35.6% | 37.3% | 46.4% | 0.80× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 117.5 | 35.6% | 36.7% | 40.4% | 0.91× | 2.72 |
| H1 under 105.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 24.2% | 1.34× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 27.4% | 26.5% | 37.1% | 0.71× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 102.5 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 17.0% | 1.56× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 27.5% | 26.0% | 31.6% | 0.83× | 3.84 |
| H1 under 104.5 | 26.7% | 26.0% | 21.7% | 1.20× | 3.84 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 18.2% | 17.5% | 26.0% | 0.67× | 5.73 |
| H1 under 98.5 | 17.4% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 1.74× | 5.73 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 18.4% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 0.77× | 5.96 |
| H1 under 100.5 | 17.7% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 1.28× | 5.96 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win H2 | 63.0% | 58.8% | 51.6% | 1.14× | 1.70 |
| Houston Rockets to win H2 | 33.7% | 36.3% | 44.7% | 0.81× | 2.75 |
| H2 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 34
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 96.5 | 82.7% | 81.8% | 89.3% | 0.92× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 120.5 | 82.2% | 81.8% | 69.3% | 1.18× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 98.5 | 82.3% | 81.5% | 86.2% | 0.95× | 1.23 |
| H2 under 122.5 | 82.1% | 81.5% | 74.4% | 1.10× | 1.23 |
| H2 over 102.5 | 73.2% | 72.5% | 78.5% | 0.92× | 1.38 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 72.9% | 72.5% | 63.6% | 1.14× | 1.38 |
| H2 over 100.5 | 73.6% | 72.2% | 82.4% | 0.88× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 72.9% | 72.2% | 58.1% | 1.24× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 103.5 | 65.5% | 66.4% | 76.2% | 0.87× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 64.8% | 62.6% | 55.4% | 1.13× | 1.60 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 64.7% | 61.6% | 50.1% | 1.23× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 105.5 | 59.6% | 57.3% | 71.3% | 0.80× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 58.8% | 57.3% | 44.7% | 1.28× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 107.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 109.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 39.1% | 1.34× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 108.5 | 50.4% | 52.4% | 63.8% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 50.2% | 52.0% | 58.1% | 0.90× | 1.92 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 49.8% | 48.0% | 41.9% | 1.15× | 2.09 |
| H2 under 108.5 | 49.6% | 47.6% | 36.2% | 1.32× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 109.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 60.9% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 107.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 41.2% | 42.7% | 55.3% | 0.77× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 105.5 | 40.4% | 42.7% | 28.7% | 1.49× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 35.3% | 38.4% | 49.9% | 0.77× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 35.2% | 37.4% | 44.6% | 0.84× | 2.67 |
| H2 under 103.5 | 34.5% | 33.6% | 23.8% | 1.41× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 27.1% | 27.8% | 41.9% | 0.66× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 100.5 | 26.4% | 27.8% | 17.6% | 1.58× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 27.1% | 27.5% | 36.4% | 0.76× | 3.63 |
| H2 under 102.5 | 26.8% | 27.5% | 21.5% | 1.28× | 3.63 |
| H2 over 122.5 | 17.9% | 18.5% | 25.6% | 0.72× | 5.41 |
| H2 under 98.5 | 17.7% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 1.34× | 5.41 |
| H2 over 120.5 | 17.8% | 18.2% | 30.7% | 0.59× | 5.50 |
| H2 under 96.5 | 17.3% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 1.69× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs leading at half time | 63.2% | 62.5% | 52.8% | 1.18× | 1.60 |
| Houston Rockets leading at half time | 33.5% | 32.8% | 44.1% | 0.74× | 3.05 |
| Level at half time | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs +16.5 | 95.6% | 97.4% | 89.7% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| San Antonio Spurs +18.5 | 96.7% | 97.4% | 91.5% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| San Antonio Spurs +20.5 | 97.6% | 97.4% | 93.1% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| San Antonio Spurs +12.5 | 92.3% | 91.1% | 83.9% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| San Antonio Spurs +14.5 | 94.1% | 91.1% | 87.0% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| San Antonio Spurs +10.5 | 90.1% | 91.1% | 80.3% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| San Antonio Spurs +9.5 | 88.8% | 85.9% | 78.1% | 1.10× | 1.16 |
| San Antonio Spurs +8.5 | 87.4% | 85.9% | 75.7% | 1.13× | 1.16 |
| San Antonio Spurs +7.5 | 85.9% | 85.9% | 73.0% | 1.18× | 1.16 |
| San Antonio Spurs +6.5 | 84.3% | 81.1% | 70.6% | 1.15× | 1.23 |
| San Antonio Spurs +5.5 | 82.6% | 81.1% | 68.0% | 1.19× | 1.23 |
| San Antonio Spurs +4.5 | 80.7% | 81.1% | 65.7% | 1.23× | 1.23 |
| San Antonio Spurs +3.5 | 78.8% | 76.5% | 63.1% | 1.21× | 1.31 |
| Houston Rockets +20.5 | 79.5% | 76.5% | 89.1% | 0.86× | 1.31 |
| San Antonio Spurs +2.5 | 76.7% | 76.5% | 60.5% | 1.26× | 1.31 |
| Houston Rockets +18.5 | 75.3% | 76.5% | 86.4% | 0.89× | 1.31 |
| San Antonio Spurs +1.5 | 74.5% | 71.6% | 57.9% | 1.24× | 1.40 |
| Houston Rockets +16.5 | 70.7% | 71.6% | 83.5% | 0.86× | 1.40 |
| San Antonio Spurs −1.5 | 69.7% | 66.7% | 53.7% | 1.24× | 1.50 |
| San Antonio Spurs −2.5 | 67.2% | 66.7% | 50.9% | 1.31× | 1.50 |
| Houston Rockets +14.5 | 65.7% | 66.7% | 80.1% | 0.83× | 1.50 |
| San Antonio Spurs −3.5 | 64.5% | 61.9% | 48.4% | 1.28× | 1.62 |
| San Antonio Spurs −4.5 | 61.9% | 61.9% | 46.0% | 1.35× | 1.62 |
| Houston Rockets +12.5 | 60.4% | 61.9% | 76.0% | 0.82× | 1.62 |
| San Antonio Spurs −5.5 | 59.1% | 57.1% | 42.9% | 1.33× | 1.75 |
| San Antonio Spurs −6.5 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 40.0% | 1.43× | 1.75 |
| Houston Rockets +10.5 | 54.9% | 52.4% | 71.0% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| San Antonio Spurs −7.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 37.0% | 1.41× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets +9.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 68.7% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| San Antonio Spurs −8.5 | 50.7% | 52.4% | 34.1% | 1.54× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets +8.5 | 49.3% | 47.6% | 65.9% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
| San Antonio Spurs −9.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 31.3% | 1.52× | 2.10 |
| Houston Rockets +7.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 63.0% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| San Antonio Spurs −10.5 | 45.1% | 47.6% | 29.0% | 1.64× | 2.10 |
| Houston Rockets +6.5 | 43.7% | 42.9% | 60.0% | 0.72× | 2.33 |
| Houston Rockets +5.5 | 40.9% | 42.9% | 57.1% | 0.75× | 2.33 |
| San Antonio Spurs −12.5 | 39.6% | 38.1% | 24.0% | 1.58× | 2.63 |
| Houston Rockets +4.5 | 38.1% | 38.1% | 54.1% | 0.70× | 2.63 |
| Houston Rockets +3.5 | 35.5% | 38.1% | 51.6% | 0.74× | 2.63 |
| San Antonio Spurs −14.5 | 34.3% | 33.3% | 19.9% | 1.68× | 3.01 |
| Houston Rockets +2.5 | 32.8% | 33.3% | 49.1% | 0.68× | 3.01 |
| Houston Rockets +1.5 | 30.3% | 33.3% | 46.3% | 0.72× | 3.01 |
| San Antonio Spurs −16.5 | 29.3% | 28.4% | 16.5% | 1.72× | 3.53 |
| Houston Rockets −1.5 | 25.5% | 28.4% | 42.1% | 0.67× | 3.53 |
| San Antonio Spurs −18.5 | 24.7% | 23.5% | 13.6% | 1.73× | 4.25 |
| Houston Rockets −2.5 | 23.3% | 23.5% | 39.5% | 0.60× | 4.25 |
| Houston Rockets −3.5 | 21.2% | 23.5% | 36.9% | 0.64× | 4.25 |
| San Antonio Spurs −20.5 | 20.5% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 2.16× | 4.25 |
| Houston Rockets −4.5 | 19.3% | 18.9% | 34.3% | 0.55× | 5.29 |
| Houston Rockets −5.5 | 17.4% | 18.9% | 32.0% | 0.59× | 5.29 |
| Houston Rockets −6.5 | 15.7% | 18.9% | 29.4% | 0.64× | 5.30 |
| Houston Rockets −7.5 | 14.1% | 14.1% | 27.0% | 0.52× | 7.09 |
| Houston Rockets −8.5 | 12.6% | 14.1% | 24.3% | 0.58× | 7.09 |
| Houston Rockets −9.5 | 11.2% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 0.65× | 7.09 |
| Houston Rockets −10.5 | 9.9% | 8.9% | 19.7% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Houston Rockets −12.5 | 7.7% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 0.55× | 11.25 |
| Houston Rockets −14.5 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 0.68× | 11.25 |
| Houston Rockets −16.5 | 4.4% | 2.6% | 10.3% | 0.25× | 38.72 |
| Houston Rockets −18.5 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 8.5% | 0.30× | 38.73 |
| Houston Rockets −20.5 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 0.37× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.4% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.6% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.2% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 27.8% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.5% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.5% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs at HT / San Antonio Spurs at FT | 55.1% | 56.8% | 40.8% | 1.39× | 1.76 |
| Houston Rockets at HT / Houston Rockets at FT | 18.7% | 15.5% | 30.9% | 0.50× | 6.47 |
| Houston Rockets at HT / San Antonio Spurs at FT | 14.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| San Antonio Spurs at HT / Houston Rockets at FT | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 0.69× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / San Antonio Spurs at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Houston Rockets at FT | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.49× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win | 72.2% | 68.7% | 55.7% | 1.23× | 1.46 |
| Houston Rockets to win | 27.8% | 31.3% | 44.3% | 0.71× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Houston Rockets even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.2% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| San Antonio Spurs odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Houston Rockets odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.8% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.0% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win Q1 | 57.9% | 57.3% | 51.3% | 1.12× | 1.75 |
| Houston Rockets to win Q1 | 37.5% | 38.2% | 44.1% | 0.87× | 2.62 |
| Q1 tied | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 64.5 | 82.6% | 83.2% | 80.1% | 1.04× | 1.20 |
| Q1 over 48.5 | 82.5% | 83.2% | 85.6% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| Q1 under 63.5 | 82.7% | 82.8% | 76.8% | 1.08× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 47.5 | 82.6% | 82.8% | 88.2% | 0.94× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 72.2% | 73.1% | 68.5% | 1.07× | 1.37 |
| Q1 over 51.5 | 72.0% | 73.1% | 76.0% | 0.96× | 1.37 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 72.2% | 72.7% | 64.5% | 1.13× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 50.5 | 72.1% | 72.7% | 79.4% | 0.92× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 63.8% | 62.3% | 60.0% | 1.04× | 1.61 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 63.6% | 62.3% | 68.2% | 0.91× | 1.61 |
| Q1 over 52.5 | 63.7% | 61.7% | 72.4% | 0.85× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 63.9% | 61.7% | 55.7% | 1.11× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 54.8% | 52.7% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 54.7% | 52.7% | 45.4% | 1.16× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 54.5 | 54.6% | 52.7% | 63.3% | 0.83× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 50.1% | 52.7% | 40.8% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 49.9% | 47.3% | 59.2% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 45.3% | 47.3% | 54.6% | 0.87× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 54.5 | 45.4% | 47.3% | 36.7% | 1.29× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 45.2% | 47.3% | 49.6% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 52.5 | 36.3% | 38.3% | 27.6% | 1.39× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 36.1% | 38.3% | 44.3% | 0.86× | 2.61 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 36.4% | 37.7% | 31.8% | 1.19× | 2.65 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 36.2% | 37.7% | 40.0% | 0.94× | 2.65 |
| Q1 under 50.5 | 27.9% | 27.3% | 20.6% | 1.33× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 27.8% | 27.3% | 35.5% | 0.77× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 28.0% | 26.9% | 24.0% | 1.12× | 3.72 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 27.8% | 26.9% | 31.5% | 0.85× | 3.72 |
| Q1 under 47.5 | 17.4% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 1.46× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 63.5 | 17.3% | 17.2% | 23.2% | 0.74× | 5.83 |
| Q1 under 48.5 | 17.5% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 1.16× | 5.95 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 17.4% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 0.84× | 5.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win Q2 | 57.8% | 59.4% | 49.3% | 1.20× | 1.68 |
| Houston Rockets to win Q2 | 37.6% | 35.8% | 46.2% | 0.77× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 64.5 | 83.3% | 83.1% | 80.9% | 1.03× | 1.20 |
| Q2 over 48.5 | 81.4% | 83.1% | 84.7% | 0.98× | 1.20 |
| Q2 under 63.5 | 83.4% | 83.0% | 77.5% | 1.07× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 47.5 | 81.6% | 83.0% | 87.2% | 0.95× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 73.2% | 73.0% | 70.4% | 1.04× | 1.37 |
| Q2 over 51.5 | 70.7% | 73.0% | 74.2% | 0.98× | 1.37 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 73.2% | 72.0% | 65.7% | 1.10× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 50.5 | 70.9% | 72.0% | 78.1% | 0.92× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 65.0% | 67.6% | 61.9% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 65.0% | 67.4% | 57.3% | 1.17× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 53.5 | 62.3% | 62.0% | 65.8% | 0.94× | 1.61 |
| Q2 over 52.5 | 62.4% | 60.7% | 70.3% | 0.86× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 56.0% | 58.2% | 48.3% | 1.20× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 56.1% | 57.8% | 52.7% | 1.10× | 1.73 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 53.3% | 52.7% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 51.4% | 52.7% | 43.7% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 48.6% | 47.3% | 56.3% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 46.7% | 47.3% | 38.9% | 1.22× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 43.9% | 42.2% | 47.3% | 0.89× | 2.37 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 44.0% | 41.8% | 51.7% | 0.81× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 52.5 | 37.6% | 39.3% | 29.7% | 1.32× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 53.5 | 37.7% | 38.0% | 34.2% | 1.11× | 2.63 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 35.0% | 32.6% | 42.7% | 0.77× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 35.0% | 32.4% | 38.1% | 0.85× | 3.09 |
| Q2 under 50.5 | 29.1% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 1.28× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 26.8% | 28.0% | 34.3% | 0.82× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 51.5 | 29.3% | 27.0% | 25.8% | 1.05× | 3.71 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 26.8% | 27.0% | 29.6% | 0.91× | 3.71 |
| Q2 under 47.5 | 18.4% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 1.33× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 63.5 | 16.6% | 17.0% | 22.5% | 0.76× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 48.5 | 18.6% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 1.10× | 5.93 |
| Q2 over 64.5 | 16.7% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 0.88× | 5.93 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win Q3 | 57.8% | 56.8% | 50.9% | 1.12× | 1.76 |
| Houston Rockets to win Q3 | 37.6% | 38.8% | 44.3% | 0.88× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 47.5 | 83.3% | 82.3% | 88.1% | 0.93× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 63.5 | 82.5% | 82.3% | 75.9% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 48.5 | 83.2% | 82.2% | 85.6% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 82.4% | 82.2% | 79.2% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 51.5 | 72.8% | 72.5% | 76.1% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 71.7% | 72.5% | 67.7% | 1.07× | 1.38 |
| Q3 over 50.5 | 73.0% | 71.8% | 79.7% | 0.90× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 71.8% | 71.8% | 63.5% | 1.13× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 64.4% | 62.6% | 68.3% | 0.92× | 1.60 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 63.3% | 62.6% | 59.0% | 1.06× | 1.60 |
| Q3 over 52.5 | 64.6% | 62.0% | 72.2% | 0.86× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 63.3% | 62.0% | 54.8% | 1.13× | 1.61 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 55.4% | 58.4% | 63.9% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 54.1% | 52.6% | 49.8% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 54.1% | 52.3% | 45.0% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 59.9% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 40.1% | 1.19× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 45.9% | 47.7% | 55.0% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 45.9% | 47.4% | 50.2% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 44.6% | 41.6% | 36.1% | 1.15× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 36.7% | 38.1% | 45.2% | 0.84× | 2.63 |
| Q3 under 52.5 | 35.4% | 38.0% | 27.8% | 1.37× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 36.7% | 37.4% | 41.0% | 0.91× | 2.67 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 35.6% | 37.4% | 31.7% | 1.18× | 2.67 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 28.2% | 28.2% | 36.5% | 0.77× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 50.5 | 27.1% | 28.2% | 20.3% | 1.39× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 28.3% | 27.5% | 32.3% | 0.85× | 3.63 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 27.2% | 27.5% | 23.9% | 1.15× | 3.64 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 17.6% | 17.8% | 20.8% | 0.85× | 5.62 |
| Q3 under 48.5 | 16.8% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 1.23× | 5.63 |
| Q3 over 63.5 | 17.5% | 17.7% | 24.1% | 0.73× | 5.66 |
| Q3 under 47.5 | 16.7% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 1.49× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win Q4 | 57.6% | 52.1% | 48.3% | 1.08× | 1.92 |
| Houston Rockets to win Q4 | 37.7% | 42.4% | 46.4% | 0.91× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 61.5 | 83.7% | 82.0% | 77.5% | 1.06× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 45.5 | 80.6% | 82.0% | 84.6% | 0.97× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 62.5 | 83.7% | 81.9% | 80.4% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 46.5 | 80.3% | 81.9% | 81.7% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 73.8% | 72.3% | 70.2% | 1.03× | 1.38 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 73.7% | 71.5% | 66.2% | 1.08× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 48.5 | 69.7% | 67.4% | 75.5% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 65.7% | 67.4% | 57.2% | 1.18× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 49.5 | 69.4% | 66.7% | 72.3% | 0.92× | 1.50 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 65.9% | 66.6% | 61.9% | 1.08× | 1.50 |
| Q4 over 51.5 | 61.0% | 61.6% | 64.7% | 0.95× | 1.62 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 61.3% | 61.4% | 68.5% | 0.90× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 56.9% | 58.4% | 48.6% | 1.20× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 57.1% | 57.4% | 52.9% | 1.09× | 1.74 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 52.4% | 52.5% | 44.3% | 1.18× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 52.2% | 52.5% | 60.4% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 47.6% | 47.5% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 47.8% | 47.5% | 39.6% | 1.20× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 42.9% | 42.6% | 47.1% | 0.90× | 2.35 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 43.1% | 41.6% | 51.4% | 0.81× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 38.7% | 38.6% | 31.5% | 1.23× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 51.5 | 39.0% | 38.4% | 35.3% | 1.09× | 2.61 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 34.1% | 33.4% | 38.1% | 0.88× | 3.00 |
| Q4 under 49.5 | 30.6% | 33.3% | 27.7% | 1.20× | 3.00 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 34.3% | 32.6% | 42.8% | 0.76× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 48.5 | 30.3% | 32.6% | 24.5% | 1.33× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 26.3% | 28.5% | 33.8% | 0.84× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 26.2% | 27.7% | 29.8% | 0.93× | 3.61 |
| Q4 under 46.5 | 19.7% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 0.99× | 5.53 |
| Q4 over 62.5 | 16.3% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.53 |
| Q4 under 45.5 | 19.4% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 1.17× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 16.3% | 18.0% | 22.5% | 0.80× | 5.56 |
Team total 58
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs under 124.5 | 81.5% | 80.7% | 76.8% | 1.05× | 1.24 |
| Houston Rockets under 115.5 | 80.6% | 80.7% | 58.6% | 1.38× | 1.24 |
| Houston Rockets over 95.5 | 80.1% | 80.7% | 91.9% | 0.88× | 1.24 |
| Houston Rockets under 118.5 | 79.4% | 78.3% | 67.4% | 1.16× | 1.28 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 104.5 | 78.8% | 75.1% | 79.8% | 0.94× | 1.33 |
| Houston Rockets over 101.5 | 72.2% | 71.8% | 82.0% | 0.88× | 1.39 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 121.5 | 73.9% | 70.7% | 69.6% | 1.02× | 1.41 |
| Houston Rockets under 112.5 | 72.9% | 70.7% | 48.5% | 1.46× | 1.41 |
| Houston Rockets over 98.5 | 72.2% | 70.7% | 87.6% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 107.5 | 70.7% | 70.7% | 72.7% | 0.97× | 1.41 |
| Houston Rockets over 103.5 | 66.4% | 66.6% | 77.5% | 0.86× | 1.50 |
| Houston Rockets under 113.5 | 65.8% | 66.6% | 52.0% | 1.28× | 1.50 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 119.5 | 68.1% | 66.4% | 63.5% | 1.05× | 1.51 |
| Houston Rockets over 100.5 | 66.2% | 66.4% | 84.1% | 0.79× | 1.51 |
| Houston Rockets under 110.5 | 66.9% | 66.4% | 42.1% | 1.58× | 1.51 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 109.5 | 64.7% | 61.2% | 67.0% | 0.91× | 1.63 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 117.5 | 61.8% | 61.2% | 57.8% | 1.06× | 1.63 |
| Houston Rockets under 108.5 | 60.5% | 61.2% | 36.0% | 1.70× | 1.63 |
| Houston Rockets under 111.5 | 59.5% | 57.9% | 45.4% | 1.28× | 1.73 |
| Houston Rockets over 102.5 | 59.7% | 57.1% | 79.7% | 0.72× | 1.75 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 111.5 | 58.2% | 57.1% | 61.1% | 0.93× | 1.75 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 115.5 | 55.2% | 57.1% | 51.6% | 1.11× | 1.75 |
| Houston Rockets under 106.5 | 53.8% | 52.3% | 31.1% | 1.68× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets over 104.5 | 53.0% | 52.3% | 75.0% | 0.70× | 1.91 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 113.5 | 51.5% | 52.3% | 54.3% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 114.5 | 51.9% | 52.3% | 48.6% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets under 105.5 | 50.4% | 52.3% | 28.1% | 1.86× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets over 107.5 | 53.6% | 52.2% | 66.6% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets under 109.5 | 53.0% | 52.2% | 39.1% | 1.34× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets over 109.5 | 47.0% | 47.8% | 60.9% | 0.78× | 2.09 |
| Houston Rockets under 107.5 | 46.4% | 47.8% | 33.4% | 1.43× | 2.09 |
| Houston Rockets over 105.5 | 49.6% | 47.7% | 71.9% | 0.66× | 2.09 |
| Houston Rockets under 104.5 | 47.0% | 47.7% | 25.0% | 1.91× | 2.09 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 113.5 | 48.5% | 47.7% | 45.7% | 1.04× | 2.09 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 114.5 | 48.1% | 47.7% | 51.4% | 0.93× | 2.09 |
| Houston Rockets over 106.5 | 46.2% | 47.7% | 68.9% | 0.69× | 2.09 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 115.5 | 44.8% | 42.9% | 48.4% | 0.89× | 2.33 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 111.5 | 41.8% | 42.9% | 38.9% | 1.10× | 2.33 |
| Houston Rockets under 102.5 | 40.3% | 42.9% | 20.3% | 2.11× | 2.33 |
| Houston Rockets over 111.5 | 40.5% | 42.1% | 54.6% | 0.77× | 2.38 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 117.5 | 38.2% | 38.8% | 42.2% | 0.92× | 2.58 |
| Houston Rockets over 108.5 | 39.5% | 38.8% | 64.0% | 0.61× | 2.58 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 109.5 | 35.3% | 38.8% | 33.0% | 1.18× | 2.58 |
| Houston Rockets under 100.5 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 15.9% | 2.12× | 2.98 |
| Houston Rockets over 110.5 | 33.1% | 33.6% | 57.9% | 0.58× | 2.98 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 119.5 | 31.9% | 33.6% | 36.5% | 0.92× | 2.98 |
| Houston Rockets over 113.5 | 34.2% | 33.4% | 48.0% | 0.70× | 2.99 |
| Houston Rockets under 103.5 | 33.6% | 33.4% | 22.5% | 1.48× | 2.99 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 107.5 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 27.3% | 1.07× | 3.42 |
| Houston Rockets over 112.5 | 27.1% | 29.3% | 51.5% | 0.57× | 3.42 |
| Houston Rockets under 98.5 | 27.8% | 29.3% | 12.4% | 2.37× | 3.42 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 121.5 | 26.1% | 29.3% | 30.4% | 0.96× | 3.42 |
| Houston Rockets under 101.5 | 27.8% | 28.2% | 18.0% | 1.56× | 3.55 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 104.5 | 21.2% | 24.9% | 20.2% | 1.23× | 4.02 |
| Houston Rockets over 118.5 | 20.6% | 21.7% | 32.6% | 0.67× | 4.60 |
| Houston Rockets under 95.5 | 19.9% | 19.3% | 8.1% | 2.39× | 5.18 |
| Houston Rockets over 115.5 | 19.4% | 19.3% | 41.4% | 0.47× | 5.18 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 124.5 | 18.5% | 19.3% | 23.2% | 0.83× | 5.18 |
Total points 48
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 243.5 points | 86.0% | 85.5% | 78.2% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Over 203.5 points | 85.3% | 85.5% | 89.8% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Under 239.5 points | 86.4% | 85.0% | 72.5% | 1.17× | 1.18 |
| Over 199.5 points | 85.9% | 85.0% | 93.0% | 0.91× | 1.18 |
| Under 238.5 points | 79.2% | 78.1% | 70.9% | 1.10× | 1.28 |
| Over 208.5 points | 78.4% | 78.1% | 84.1% | 0.93× | 1.28 |
| Under 234.5 points | 79.5% | 75.6% | 63.3% | 1.19× | 1.32 |
| Over 204.5 points | 79.0% | 75.6% | 88.9% | 0.85× | 1.32 |
| Under 233.5 points | 70.8% | 71.0% | 61.4% | 1.16× | 1.41 |
| Under 229.5 points | 71.0% | 70.8% | 53.3% | 1.33× | 1.41 |
| Over 209.5 points | 70.3% | 70.8% | 82.9% | 0.86× | 1.41 |
| Over 213.5 points | 69.7% | 66.6% | 76.4% | 0.87× | 1.50 |
| Under 230.5 points | 65.1% | 66.6% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.50 |
| Under 226.5 points | 65.2% | 65.9% | 47.3% | 1.39× | 1.52 |
| Under 228.5 points | 61.0% | 61.7% | 51.3% | 1.20× | 1.62 |
| Over 212.5 points | 64.5% | 61.5% | 77.8% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Under 224.5 points | 61.1% | 61.5% | 43.5% | 1.41× | 1.63 |
| Over 214.5 points | 60.4% | 61.5% | 75.1% | 0.82× | 1.63 |
| Over 216.5 points | 56.1% | 56.5% | 71.6% | 0.79× | 1.77 |
| Under 222.5 points | 56.8% | 56.5% | 39.6% | 1.43× | 1.77 |
| Over 218.5 points | 51.8% | 52.3% | 67.8% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Under 220.5 points | 52.5% | 52.3% | 35.8% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| Under 219.5 points | 50.4% | 52.3% | 33.9% | 1.54× | 1.91 |
| Under 223.5 points | 50.6% | 52.2% | 41.7% | 1.25× | 1.92 |
| Over 223.5 points | 49.4% | 47.8% | 58.3% | 0.82× | 2.09 |
| Over 219.5 points | 49.6% | 47.7% | 66.1% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
| Under 218.5 points | 48.2% | 47.7% | 32.2% | 1.48× | 2.10 |
| Over 220.5 points | 47.5% | 47.7% | 64.2% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| Under 216.5 points | 43.9% | 43.5% | 28.4% | 1.53× | 2.30 |
| Over 222.5 points | 43.2% | 43.5% | 60.4% | 0.72× | 2.30 |
| Under 214.5 points | 39.6% | 38.5% | 24.9% | 1.55× | 2.60 |
| Over 224.5 points | 38.9% | 38.5% | 56.5% | 0.68× | 2.60 |
| Under 212.5 points | 35.5% | 38.5% | 22.2% | 1.74× | 2.60 |
| Over 228.5 points | 39.0% | 38.3% | 48.7% | 0.79× | 2.61 |
| Over 226.5 points | 34.8% | 34.1% | 52.7% | 0.65× | 2.93 |
| Over 230.5 points | 34.9% | 33.4% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.99 |
| Under 213.5 points | 30.3% | 33.4% | 23.6% | 1.42× | 3.00 |
| Under 209.5 points | 29.7% | 29.2% | 17.1% | 1.70× | 3.43 |
| Over 229.5 points | 29.0% | 29.2% | 46.7% | 0.62× | 3.43 |
| Over 233.5 points | 29.2% | 29.0% | 38.6% | 0.75× | 3.45 |
| Under 204.5 points | 21.0% | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.19× | 4.10 |
| Over 234.5 points | 20.5% | 24.4% | 36.7% | 0.66× | 4.10 |
| Under 208.5 points | 21.6% | 21.9% | 15.9% | 1.37× | 4.57 |
| Over 238.5 points | 20.8% | 21.9% | 29.1% | 0.75× | 4.57 |
| Under 199.5 points | 14.1% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.13× | 6.68 |
| Over 239.5 points | 13.6% | 15.0% | 27.5% | 0.54× | 6.68 |
| Under 203.5 points | 14.7% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 1.43× | 6.88 |
| Over 243.5 points | 14.0% | 14.5% | 21.8% | 0.67× | 6.88 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win both halves | 37.8% | 36.3% | 25.2% | 1.44× | 2.76 |
| Houston Rockets to win both halves | 9.5% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 0.50× | 11.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs by 1-5 | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 6-10 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 11-15 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 26+ | 12.1% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.99× | 8.11 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 16-20 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 1.68× | 8.11 |
| Houston Rockets by 1-5 | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 21-25 | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.58× | 13.40 |
| Houston Rockets by 6-10 | 7.5% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 0.61× | 13.40 |
| Houston Rockets by 11-15 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.29 |
| Houston Rockets by 16-20 | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 0.42× | 49.30 |
| Houston Rockets by 21-25 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.32 |
| Houston Rockets by 26+ | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.32 |