San José State Spartans v Alabama State Hornets — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

San José State Spartans

00:00

Alabama State Hornets

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

San José State Spartans win

82.7%

Draw

0.0%

Alabama State Hornets win

17.3%

83017

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	83017	80.13–70.32	80-70 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans to score 100+	2.4%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	282.89
San José State Spartans to score 110+	0.1%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.33
San José State Spartans to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.36
San José State Spartans to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Alabama State Hornets to score 100+	0.1%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.33
Alabama State Hornets to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.36
Alabama State Hornets to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Alabama State Hornets to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.35

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans to win H1	68.8%	68.3%	57.9%	1.18×	1.46
San José State Spartans to win H1	68.8%	68.3%	57.9%	1.18×	1.46
Alabama State Hornets to win H1	27.3%	26.5%	38.2%	0.69×	3.77
Alabama State Hornets to win H1	27.2%	26.5%	38.2%	0.69×	3.77
H1 tied	3.9%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86
H1 tied	3.9%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 83.5	87.7%	87.7%	90.3%	0.97×	1.14
H1 over 59.5	86.4%	87.7%	80.7%	1.09×	1.14
H1 under 79.5	79.1%	77.4%	83.1%	0.93×	1.29
H1 under 79.5	78.3%	77.4%	83.1%	0.93×	1.29
H1 over 63.5	77.2%	77.4%	69.0%	1.12×	1.29
H1 over 63.5	76.4%	77.4%	69.0%	1.12×	1.29
H1 under 76.5	69.8%	67.4%	75.5%	0.89×	1.48
H1 under 76.5	69.2%	67.4%	75.5%	0.89×	1.48
H1 over 66.5	66.9%	67.4%	58.2%	1.16×	1.48
H1 over 66.5	67.5%	67.4%	58.2%	1.16×	1.48
H1 under 74.5	62.7%	62.7%	69.6%	0.90×	1.59
H1 under 74.5	62.3%	62.7%	69.6%	0.90×	1.59
H1 over 68.5	60.2%	62.7%	50.7%	1.24×	1.59
H1 over 68.5	59.9%	58.2%	50.7%	1.15×	1.72
H1 under 72.5	55.2%	58.2%	63.3%	0.92×	1.72
H1 under 72.5	55.0%	58.2%	63.3%	0.92×	1.72
H1 over 70.5	52.6%	52.6%	43.5%	1.21×	1.90
H1 over 70.5	52.5%	52.6%	43.5%	1.21×	1.90
H1 under 71.5	51.3%	52.6%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
H1 under 71.5	51.3%	52.6%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
H1 over 71.5	48.7%	47.4%	40.0%	1.19×	2.11
H1 over 71.5	48.7%	47.4%	40.0%	1.19×	2.11
H1 under 70.5	47.4%	47.4%	56.5%	0.84×	2.11
H1 under 70.5	47.5%	47.4%	56.5%	0.84×	2.11
H1 over 72.5	44.8%	41.8%	36.7%	1.14×	2.39
H1 over 72.5	45.0%	41.8%	36.7%	1.14×	2.39
H1 under 68.5	40.1%	41.8%	49.3%	0.85×	2.39
H1 under 68.5	39.8%	37.3%	49.3%	0.76×	2.68
H1 over 74.5	37.3%	37.3%	30.4%	1.23×	2.68
H1 over 74.5	37.7%	37.3%	30.4%	1.23×	2.68
H1 under 66.5	33.1%	32.6%	41.8%	0.78×	3.07
H1 under 66.5	32.5%	32.6%	41.8%	0.78×	3.07
H1 over 76.5	30.2%	32.6%	24.5%	1.33×	3.07
H1 over 76.5	30.8%	32.6%	24.5%	1.33×	3.07
H1 under 63.5	23.6%	22.6%	31.0%	0.73×	4.43
H1 under 63.5	22.8%	22.6%	31.0%	0.73×	4.43
H1 over 79.5	20.9%	22.6%	16.9%	1.34×	4.43
H1 over 79.5	21.7%	22.6%	16.9%	1.34×	4.43
H1 under 59.5	13.6%	12.3%	19.3%	0.64×	8.13
H1 over 83.5	12.3%	12.3%	9.7%	1.26×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans to win H2	70.3%	67.6%	56.9%	1.19×	1.48
San José State Spartans to win H2	70.3%	67.6%	57.5%	1.18×	1.48
Alabama State Hornets to win H2	26.0%	31.3%	38.9%	0.80×	3.20
Alabama State Hornets to win H2	26.0%	31.3%	38.5%	0.81×	3.20
H2 tied	3.7%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.36
H2 tied	3.7%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 91.5	86.0%	85.2%	85.5%	1.00×	1.17
H2 over 67.5	85.3%	85.2%	80.0%	1.07×	1.17
H2 under 87.5	77.2%	75.8%	81.2%	0.93×	1.32
H2 under 87.5	76.6%	75.8%	77.7%	0.98×	1.32
H2 over 71.5	76.2%	75.8%	66.4%	1.14×	1.32
H2 over 71.5	75.6%	75.8%	68.8%	1.10×	1.32
H2 under 84.5	68.2%	66.4%	74.1%	0.90×	1.51
H2 under 84.5	67.7%	66.4%	70.5%	0.94×	1.51
H2 over 74.5	67.0%	66.4%	57.0%	1.16×	1.51
H2 over 74.5	66.6%	66.4%	60.0%	1.11×	1.51
H2 under 82.5	61.4%	61.6%	68.9%	0.89×	1.62
H2 under 82.5	61.1%	61.6%	65.3%	0.94×	1.62
H2 over 76.5	60.1%	61.6%	50.3%	1.23×	1.62
H2 over 76.5	59.9%	57.3%	53.4%	1.07×	1.74
H2 under 80.5	54.3%	52.4%	62.9%	0.83×	1.91
H2 under 80.5	54.2%	52.4%	59.2%	0.88×	1.91
H2 over 78.5	53.0%	52.4%	43.6%	1.20×	1.91
H2 over 78.5	52.9%	52.4%	47.0%	1.11×	1.91
H2 under 79.5	50.7%	52.4%	59.8%	0.88×	1.91
H2 under 79.5	50.6%	52.4%	56.2%	0.93×	1.91
H2 over 79.5	49.3%	47.6%	40.3%	1.18×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	49.4%	47.6%	43.8%	1.09×	2.10
H2 under 78.5	47.0%	47.6%	56.4%	0.84×	2.10
H2 under 78.5	47.1%	47.6%	53.0%	0.90×	2.10
H2 over 80.5	45.7%	47.6%	37.1%	1.28×	2.10
H2 over 80.5	45.8%	47.6%	40.8%	1.17×	2.10
H2 under 76.5	40.1%	42.7%	46.6%	0.92×	2.35
H2 under 76.5	39.9%	38.4%	49.7%	0.77×	2.61
H2 over 82.5	38.6%	38.4%	31.1%	1.23×	2.61
H2 over 82.5	38.9%	38.4%	34.7%	1.11×	2.61
H2 under 74.5	33.0%	33.6%	43.0%	0.78×	2.97
H2 under 74.5	33.5%	33.6%	40.0%	0.84×	2.97
H2 over 84.5	31.8%	33.6%	25.9%	1.30×	2.97
H2 over 84.5	32.3%	33.6%	29.5%	1.14×	2.97
H2 under 71.5	23.8%	24.2%	33.6%	0.72×	4.13
H2 under 71.5	24.4%	24.2%	31.2%	0.78×	4.13
H2 over 87.5	22.8%	24.2%	18.8%	1.29×	4.13
H2 over 87.5	23.4%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.13
H2 under 67.5	14.7%	14.8%	20.0%	0.74×	6.76
H2 over 91.5	14.0%	14.8%	14.5%	1.02×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans leading at half time	68.8%	68.4%	57.9%	1.18×	1.46
Alabama State Hornets leading at half time	27.3%	26.5%	38.2%	0.69×	3.78
Level at half time	3.9%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans +18.5	99.6%	97.4%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
San José State Spartans +20.5	99.8%	97.4%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
San José State Spartans +9.5	96.3%	97.4%	85.3%	1.14×	1.03
San José State Spartans +10.5	97.0%	97.4%	87.2%	1.12×	1.03
San José State Spartans +12.5	98.1%	97.4%	89.9%	1.08×	1.03
San José State Spartans +14.5	98.8%	97.4%	92.2%	1.06×	1.03
San José State Spartans +16.5	99.3%	97.4%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
San José State Spartans +8.5	95.5%	97.4%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
San José State Spartans +7.5	94.5%	91.1%	81.0%	1.13×	1.10
San José State Spartans +6.5	93.4%	91.1%	78.8%	1.16×	1.10
San José State Spartans +4.5	90.6%	91.1%	73.7%	1.24×	1.10
San José State Spartans +5.5	92.1%	91.1%	76.4%	1.19×	1.10
San José State Spartans +3.5	89.0%	85.9%	70.8%	1.21×	1.16
San José State Spartans +2.5	87.1%	85.9%	68.0%	1.26×	1.16
San José State Spartans +1.5	85.0%	85.9%	65.4%	1.31×	1.16
Alabama State Hornets +20.5	83.7%	81.1%	86.5%	0.94×	1.23
San José State Spartans −1.5	80.0%	81.1%	60.8%	1.33×	1.23
Alabama State Hornets +18.5	78.6%	76.5%	83.9%	0.91×	1.31
San José State Spartans −2.5	77.1%	76.5%	57.7%	1.33×	1.31
San José State Spartans −3.5	74.0%	71.6%	54.1%	1.32×	1.40
Alabama State Hornets +16.5	72.7%	71.6%	80.7%	0.89×	1.40
San José State Spartans −4.5	70.7%	71.6%	50.7%	1.41×	1.40
San José State Spartans −5.5	67.2%	66.7%	47.0%	1.42×	1.50
Alabama State Hornets +14.5	66.1%	66.7%	77.2%	0.86×	1.50
San José State Spartans −6.5	63.6%	61.9%	44.3%	1.40×	1.62
San José State Spartans −7.5	60.0%	57.1%	41.3%	1.38×	1.75
Alabama State Hornets +12.5	58.9%	57.1%	72.4%	0.79×	1.75
San José State Spartans −8.5	56.2%	57.1%	38.5%	1.48×	1.75
San José State Spartans −9.5	52.4%	52.4%	35.5%	1.48×	1.91
Alabama State Hornets +10.5	51.4%	52.4%	67.4%	0.78×	1.91
San José State Spartans −10.5	48.6%	47.6%	32.6%	1.46×	2.10
Alabama State Hornets +9.5	47.6%	47.6%	64.5%	0.74×	2.10
Alabama State Hornets +8.5	43.8%	42.9%	61.5%	0.70×	2.33
Alabama State Hornets +7.5	40.0%	42.9%	58.7%	0.73×	2.33
San José State Spartans −12.5	41.1%	42.9%	27.6%	1.56×	2.33
Alabama State Hornets +6.5	36.4%	38.1%	55.7%	0.68×	2.63
Alabama State Hornets +5.5	32.8%	33.3%	53.0%	0.63×	3.01
San José State Spartans −14.5	33.9%	33.3%	22.8%	1.46×	3.01
Alabama State Hornets +4.5	29.3%	28.4%	49.3%	0.57×	3.53
San José State Spartans −16.5	27.3%	28.4%	19.3%	1.47×	3.53
Alabama State Hornets +3.5	26.0%	28.4%	45.9%	0.62×	3.53
Alabama State Hornets +2.5	22.9%	23.5%	42.3%	0.56×	4.25
San José State Spartans −18.5	21.4%	23.5%	16.1%	1.46×	4.25
Alabama State Hornets +1.5	20.0%	18.9%	39.2%	0.48×	5.29
San José State Spartans −20.5	16.3%	18.9%	13.5%	1.40×	5.30
Alabama State Hornets −1.5	15.0%	14.1%	34.6%	0.41×	7.09
Alabama State Hornets −2.5	12.9%	14.1%	32.0%	0.44×	7.09
Alabama State Hornets −3.5	11.0%	14.1%	29.3%	0.48×	7.09
Alabama State Hornets −4.5	9.4%	8.9%	26.3%	0.34×	11.25
Alabama State Hornets −5.5	7.9%	8.9%	23.6%	0.38×	11.25
Alabama State Hornets −6.5	6.6%	8.9%	21.2%	0.42×	11.25
Alabama State Hornets −7.5	5.5%	8.9%	19.0%	0.47×	11.25
Alabama State Hornets −8.5	4.5%	2.6%	16.7%	0.16×	38.72
Alabama State Hornets −9.5	3.7%	2.6%	14.7%	0.18×	38.73
Alabama State Hornets −10.5	3.0%	2.6%	12.8%	0.20×	38.73
Alabama State Hornets −12.5	1.9%	2.6%	10.1%	0.26×	38.73
Alabama State Hornets −14.5	1.2%	2.6%	7.8%	0.33×	38.74
Alabama State Hornets −16.5	0.7%	2.6%	6.0%	0.43×	38.74
Alabama State Hornets −18.5	0.4%	2.6%	4.6%	0.57×	38.74
Alabama State Hornets −20.5	0.2%	2.6%	3.5%	0.75×	38.74

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	79.6%	71.6%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	78.1%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	21.9%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53
H1 highest scoring	20.4%	28.4%	29.6%	0.96×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans at HT / San José State Spartans at FT	63.2%	62.3%	48.6%	1.28×	1.61
Alabama State Hornets at HT / San José State Spartans at FT	16.4%	15.5%	12.4%	1.25×	6.47
Alabama State Hornets at HT / Alabama State Hornets at FT	10.8%	12.2%	25.8%	0.47×	8.18
San José State Spartans at HT / Alabama State Hornets at FT	5.6%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.10
Level at HT / San José State Spartans at FT	3.1%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.74
Level at HT / Alabama State Hornets at FT	0.9%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans to win	82.7%	80.9%	63.2%	1.28×	1.24
Alabama State Hornets to win	17.3%	19.1%	36.8%	0.52×	5.24

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Alabama State Hornets even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
San José State Spartans odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Alabama State Hornets odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.8%	94.0%	94.2%	1.00×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.2%	6.0%	5.8%	1.04×	16.65

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alabama State Hornets under 80.5	86.0%	83.9%	78.8%	1.07×	1.19
San José State Spartans under 90.5	85.3%	83.9%	88.1%	0.95×	1.19
San José State Spartans over 70.5	84.2%	80.7%	66.7%	1.21×	1.24
Alabama State Hornets over 60.5	84.6%	80.7%	82.0%	0.98×	1.24
Alabama State Hornets under 77.5	77.8%	75.1%	70.9%	1.06×	1.33
San José State Spartans under 87.5	77.1%	75.1%	82.8%	0.91×	1.33
San José State Spartans over 73.5	75.7%	75.1%	57.4%	1.31×	1.33
Alabama State Hornets over 63.5	75.9%	75.1%	73.9%	1.02×	1.33
San José State Spartans under 85.5	70.4%	70.7%	78.6%	0.90×	1.41
Alabama State Hornets under 75.5	71.1%	70.7%	64.7%	1.09×	1.41
San José State Spartans over 75.5	68.8%	66.4%	51.0%	1.30×	1.51
Alabama State Hornets over 65.5	68.9%	66.4%	67.8%	0.98×	1.51
San José State Spartans under 83.5	63.0%	61.2%	73.5%	0.83×	1.63
Alabama State Hornets under 73.5	63.5%	61.2%	58.3%	1.05×	1.63
San José State Spartans over 77.5	61.2%	61.2%	44.6%	1.37×	1.63
Alabama State Hornets over 67.5	61.1%	61.2%	61.6%	0.99×	1.63
Alabama State Hornets under 71.5	55.4%	57.1%	51.8%	1.10×	1.75
San José State Spartans under 81.5	55.0%	52.3%	67.9%	0.77×	1.91
San José State Spartans over 79.5	53.2%	52.3%	38.4%	1.36×	1.91
Alabama State Hornets over 69.5	52.9%	52.3%	54.8%	0.95×	1.91
Alabama State Hornets under 70.5	51.3%	52.3%	48.7%	1.07×	1.91
San José State Spartans under 80.5	50.9%	52.3%	64.9%	0.81×	1.91
San José State Spartans over 80.5	49.1%	47.7%	35.1%	1.36×	2.09
San José State Spartans under 79.5	46.8%	47.7%	61.6%	0.78×	2.09
Alabama State Hornets under 69.5	47.1%	47.7%	45.2%	1.06×	2.09
Alabama State Hornets over 70.5	48.7%	47.7%	51.4%	0.93×	2.09
San José State Spartans over 81.5	45.0%	47.7%	32.1%	1.49×	2.09
Alabama State Hornets over 71.5	44.6%	42.9%	48.2%	0.89×	2.33
San José State Spartans under 77.5	38.8%	38.8%	55.4%	0.70×	2.58
Alabama State Hornets under 67.5	38.9%	38.8%	38.4%	1.01×	2.58
San José State Spartans over 83.5	37.0%	38.8%	26.5%	1.47×	2.58
Alabama State Hornets over 73.5	36.5%	38.8%	41.7%	0.93×	2.58
San José State Spartans under 75.5	31.2%	33.6%	49.0%	0.69×	2.98
Alabama State Hornets under 65.5	31.1%	33.6%	32.2%	1.04×	2.98
San José State Spartans over 85.5	29.6%	29.3%	21.4%	1.37×	3.42
Alabama State Hornets over 75.5	28.9%	29.3%	35.3%	0.83×	3.42
San José State Spartans under 73.5	24.3%	24.9%	42.6%	0.58×	4.02
Alabama State Hornets under 63.5	24.1%	24.9%	26.1%	0.95×	4.02
San José State Spartans over 87.5	22.9%	24.9%	17.2%	1.45×	4.02
Alabama State Hornets over 77.5	22.2%	24.9%	29.1%	0.85×	4.02
San José State Spartans under 70.5	15.8%	19.3%	33.3%	0.58×	5.18
Alabama State Hornets under 60.5	15.4%	19.3%	18.0%	1.07×	5.18
San José State Spartans over 90.5	14.7%	16.1%	11.9%	1.35×	6.21
Alabama State Hornets over 80.5	14.0%	16.1%	21.2%	0.76×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 130.5 points	89.4%	85.0%	81.5%	1.04×	1.18
Under 170.5 points	89.4%	85.0%	88.6%	0.96×	1.18
Over 135.5 points	82.5%	80.6%	72.9%	1.11×	1.24
Under 165.5 points	82.6%	80.6%	83.4%	0.97×	1.24
Over 140.5 points	73.4%	70.8%	62.8%	1.13×	1.41
Under 160.5 points	73.4%	70.8%	76.4%	0.93×	1.41
Over 143.5 points	66.8%	65.9%	56.3%	1.17×	1.52
Under 157.5 points	67.0%	65.9%	71.6%	0.92×	1.52
Over 145.5 points	62.2%	61.5%	51.8%	1.19×	1.63
Under 155.5 points	62.3%	61.5%	68.1%	0.90×	1.63
Over 147.5 points	57.3%	56.5%	47.8%	1.18×	1.77
Under 153.5 points	57.5%	56.5%	64.6%	0.87×	1.77
Over 149.5 points	52.4%	52.3%	43.7%	1.20×	1.91
Under 151.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	60.6%	0.86×	1.91
Under 150.5 points	50.0%	52.3%	58.4%	0.90×	1.91
Over 150.5 points	50.0%	47.7%	41.6%	1.15×	2.10
Under 149.5 points	47.6%	47.7%	56.3%	0.85×	2.10
Over 151.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	39.4%	1.21×	2.10
Under 147.5 points	42.7%	43.5%	52.2%	0.83×	2.30
Over 153.5 points	42.5%	43.5%	35.4%	1.23×	2.30
Under 145.5 points	37.8%	38.5%	48.2%	0.80×	2.60
Over 155.5 points	37.7%	38.5%	31.9%	1.21×	2.60
Under 143.5 points	33.2%	34.1%	43.7%	0.78×	2.93
Over 157.5 points	33.0%	34.1%	28.4%	1.20×	2.93
Under 140.5 points	26.6%	29.2%	37.2%	0.78×	3.43
Over 160.5 points	26.6%	29.2%	23.6%	1.23×	3.43
Under 135.5 points	17.5%	19.4%	27.1%	0.72×	5.15
Over 165.5 points	17.4%	19.4%	16.6%	1.17×	5.15
Under 130.5 points	10.6%	15.0%	18.5%	0.81×	6.69
Over 170.5 points	10.6%	15.0%	11.4%	1.32×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans to win both halves	45.4%	45.8%	33.2%	1.38×	2.19
Alabama State Hornets to win both halves	4.7%	3.0%	14.5%	0.20×	33.55

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San José State Spartans by 6-10	18.6%	16.8%	14.4%	1.16×	5.97
San José State Spartans by 11-15	18.1%	16.8%	11.6%	1.45×	5.97
San José State Spartans by 1-5	15.5%	16.8%	16.2%	1.03×	5.97
San José State Spartans by 16-20	14.2%	12.3%	7.6%	1.62×	8.11
Alabama State Hornets by 1-5	9.4%	7.5%	13.2%	0.57×	13.40
San José State Spartans by 21-25	9.0%	7.5%	5.6%	1.34×	13.40
San José State Spartans by 26+	7.3%	7.5%	7.9%	0.94×	13.40
Alabama State Hornets by 6-10	4.9%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.29
Alabama State Hornets by 11-15	2.1%	2.0%	6.1%	0.34×	49.31
Alabama State Hornets by 16-20	0.7%	2.0%	3.3%	0.61×	49.32
Alabama State Hornets by 21-25	0.2%	2.0%	1.9%	1.06×	49.33
Alabama State Hornets by 26+	0.1%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.33

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