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Seton Hall Pirates v Fairfield Stags — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 13 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Seton Hall Pirates win
39.8%
Draw
0.0%
Fairfield Stags win
60.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 64.60–67.44 65-68 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Seton Hall Pirates to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Fairfield Stags to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Fairfield Stags to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Fairfield Stags to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Fairfield Stags to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags to win H1 54.0% 51.9% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
Seton Hall Pirates to win H1 41.5% 42.7% 56.4% 0.76× 2.34
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 75.5 88.9% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 51.5 87.4% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 79.6% 77.4% 81.4% 0.95× 1.29
H1 over 55.5 77.3% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 70.3% 73.5% 73.5% 1.00× 1.36
H1 over 58.5 67.4% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 66.5 63.1% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 60.1% 62.7% 53.9% 1.16× 1.59
H1 under 64.5 55.5% 58.2% 60.7% 0.96× 1.72
H1 over 62.5 52.3% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 51.6% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 48.4% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 under 62.5 47.7% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 44.5% 41.8% 39.3% 1.06× 2.39
H1 under 60.5 39.9% 37.3% 46.1% 0.81× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 36.9% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 under 58.5 32.6% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 29.7% 26.5% 26.5% 1.00× 3.77
H1 under 55.5 22.7% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 20.4% 22.6% 18.6% 1.22× 4.43
H1 under 51.5 12.6% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H1 over 75.5 11.1% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags to win H2 54.4% 51.2% 40.6% 1.26× 1.95
Seton Hall Pirates to win H2 41.3% 43.5% 56.0% 0.78× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 81.5 87.8% 85.2% 85.8% 0.99× 1.17
H2 over 57.5 86.3% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 77.5 78.5% 75.8% 77.9% 0.97× 1.32
H2 over 61.5 76.2% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 69.4% 66.4% 69.9% 0.95× 1.51
H2 over 64.5 66.7% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 72.5 62.6% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 66.5 59.6% 57.3% 55.4% 1.04× 1.74
H2 under 70.5 55.3% 57.3% 57.8% 0.99× 1.74
H2 over 68.5 52.2% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 51.6% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 47.8% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 48.4% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 44.7% 42.7% 42.2% 1.01× 2.34
H2 under 66.5 40.4% 42.7% 44.6% 0.96× 2.35
H2 over 72.5 37.4% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 64.5 33.3% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 30.6% 33.6% 30.1% 1.12× 2.97
H2 under 61.5 23.8% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 77.5 21.5% 24.2% 22.1% 1.10× 4.13
H2 under 57.5 13.7% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
H2 over 81.5 12.2% 14.8% 14.2% 1.04× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags leading at half time 54.0% 51.9% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
Seton Hall Pirates leading at half time 41.5% 42.8% 56.4% 0.76× 2.34
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags +16.5 95.6% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Fairfield Stags +18.5 97.1% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Fairfield Stags +20.5 98.1% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +20.5 94.2% 91.1% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
Fairfield Stags +14.5 93.7% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
Fairfield Stags +12.5 91.1% 91.1% 67.9% 1.34× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates +18.5 91.8% 91.1% 91.1% 1.00× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates +16.5 88.6% 85.9% 89.1% 0.96× 1.16
Fairfield Stags +10.5 87.8% 85.9% 63.2% 1.36× 1.16
Fairfield Stags +9.5 85.9% 85.9% 60.7% 1.42× 1.16
Fairfield Stags +8.5 83.8% 81.1% 58.0% 1.40× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +14.5 84.7% 81.1% 86.7% 0.94× 1.23
Fairfield Stags +7.5 81.5% 81.1% 55.2% 1.47× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +12.5 80.0% 81.1% 83.8% 0.97× 1.23
Fairfield Stags +6.5 79.0% 76.5% 52.4% 1.46× 1.31
Fairfield Stags +5.5 76.3% 76.5% 50.3% 1.52× 1.31
Seton Hall Pirates +10.5 74.6% 71.6% 80.4% 0.89× 1.40
Fairfield Stags +4.5 73.4% 71.6% 47.8% 1.50× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates +9.5 71.6% 71.6% 78.7% 0.91× 1.40
Fairfield Stags +3.5 70.3% 71.6% 45.8% 1.56× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates +8.5 68.4% 66.7% 76.5% 0.87× 1.50
Fairfield Stags +2.5 67.1% 66.7% 43.3% 1.54× 1.50
Seton Hall Pirates +7.5 65.1% 66.7% 74.5% 0.90× 1.50
Fairfield Stags +1.5 63.7% 61.9% 41.3% 1.50× 1.62
Seton Hall Pirates +6.5 61.6% 61.9% 72.3% 0.86× 1.62
Seton Hall Pirates +5.5 58.1% 57.1% 70.1% 0.81× 1.75
Fairfield Stags −1.5 56.6% 57.1% 38.8% 1.47× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates +4.5 54.5% 52.4% 67.8% 0.77× 1.91
Fairfield Stags −2.5 52.9% 52.4% 36.7% 1.43× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates +3.5 50.8% 52.4% 65.7% 0.80× 1.91
Fairfield Stags −3.5 49.2% 47.6% 34.3% 1.39× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates +2.5 47.1% 47.6% 63.3% 0.75× 2.10
Fairfield Stags −4.5 45.5% 47.6% 32.2% 1.48× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates +1.5 43.4% 42.9% 61.2% 0.70× 2.33
Fairfield Stags −5.5 41.9% 42.9% 29.9% 1.44× 2.33
Fairfield Stags −6.5 38.4% 38.1% 27.7% 1.37× 2.63
Seton Hall Pirates −1.5 36.3% 38.1% 58.7% 0.65× 2.63
Fairfield Stags −7.5 34.9% 33.3% 25.5% 1.31× 3.01
Seton Hall Pirates −2.5 32.9% 33.3% 56.7% 0.59× 3.01
Fairfield Stags −8.5 31.6% 33.3% 23.5% 1.41× 3.01
Seton Hall Pirates −3.5 29.7% 28.4% 54.2% 0.52× 3.53
Fairfield Stags −9.5 28.4% 28.4% 21.3% 1.33× 3.53
Seton Hall Pirates −4.5 26.6% 28.4% 52.2% 0.54× 3.53
Fairfield Stags −10.5 25.4% 28.4% 19.6% 1.45× 3.53
Seton Hall Pirates −5.5 23.7% 23.5% 49.7% 0.47× 4.25
Seton Hall Pirates −6.5 21.0% 23.5% 47.6% 0.49× 4.25
Fairfield Stags −12.5 20.0% 18.9% 16.2% 1.16× 5.29
Seton Hall Pirates −7.5 18.5% 18.9% 44.8% 0.42× 5.29
Seton Hall Pirates −8.5 16.2% 18.9% 42.0% 0.45× 5.30
Fairfield Stags −14.5 15.3% 18.9% 13.3% 1.42× 5.30
Seton Hall Pirates −9.5 14.1% 14.1% 39.3% 0.36× 7.09
Seton Hall Pirates −10.5 12.2% 14.1% 36.8% 0.38× 7.09
Fairfield Stags −16.5 11.4% 14.1% 10.9% 1.30× 7.09
Seton Hall Pirates −12.5 8.9% 8.9% 32.1% 0.28× 11.25
Fairfield Stags −18.5 8.2% 8.9% 8.9% 1.00× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −14.5 6.3% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
Fairfield Stags −20.5 5.8% 8.9% 7.3% 1.22× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −16.5 4.4% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.72
Seton Hall Pirates −18.5 2.9% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Seton Hall Pirates −20.5 1.9% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.2% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.8% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.7% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags at HT / Fairfield Stags at FT 42.9% 41.0% 30.1% 1.36× 2.44
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 26.8% 29.6% 48.3% 0.61× 3.38
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Fairfield Stags at FT 14.7% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Fairfield Stags at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 11.1% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.18
Level at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 1.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / Fairfield Stags at FT 2.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags to win 60.2% 60.6% 40.1% 1.51× 1.65
Seton Hall Pirates to win 39.8% 39.4% 59.9% 0.66× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Fairfield Stags even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Seton Hall Pirates even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Fairfield Stags odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Seton Hall Pirates odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.0% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags to win Q1 51.2% 52.6% 40.4% 1.30× 1.90
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q1 42.7% 42.9% 54.7% 0.78× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 23.5 88.8% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 39.5 87.5% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 26.5 78.0% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 76.0% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 68.3% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 65.9% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 57.1% 58.6% 51.2% 1.14× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 54.6% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 51.3% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 48.7% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 45.4% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 under 30.5 42.9% 41.4% 48.8% 0.85× 2.42
Q1 over 34.5 34.1% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 31.7% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 24.0% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 26.5 22.0% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 39.5 12.5% 12.6% 12.5% 1.01× 7.95
Q1 under 23.5 11.2% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags to win Q2 51.1% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q2 42.9% 43.9% 52.9% 0.83× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 88.4% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 87.8% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 77.5% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 76.5% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 67.7% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 66.5% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 56.5% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 55.2% 58.2% 49.9% 1.17× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 50.7% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 49.3% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 44.8% 41.8% 50.1% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 over 32.5 43.5% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 33.5% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 32.3% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 23.5% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 22.5% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 12.2% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 11.6% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.89
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags to win Q3 51.5% 52.7% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q3 42.6% 42.3% 53.3% 0.79× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 26.5 87.6% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 42.5 87.4% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 29.5 76.5% 77.3% 71.8% 1.08× 1.29
Q3 under 39.5 76.3% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 31.5 66.8% 67.8% 61.6% 1.10× 1.48
Q3 under 37.5 66.6% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 33.5 55.8% 58.4% 50.9% 1.15× 1.71
Q3 under 35.5 55.6% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 34.5 50.1% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 49.9% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 44.2% 41.6% 49.1% 0.85× 2.40
Q3 over 35.5 44.4% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 33.2% 32.2% 38.4% 0.84× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 33.4% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.10
Q3 over 39.5 23.7% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 29.5 23.5% 22.7% 28.2% 0.81× 4.40
Q3 over 42.5 12.6% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q3 under 26.5 12.4% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags to win Q4 51.5% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q4 42.7% 43.1% 52.8% 0.82× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 26.5 86.4% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 42.5 85.8% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 29.5 75.5% 76.9% 70.8% 1.09× 1.30
Q4 under 39.5 74.8% 71.5% 77.0% 0.93× 1.40
Q4 over 31.5 66.2% 67.4% 61.1% 1.10× 1.48
Q4 under 37.5 65.4% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 55.8% 58.4% 50.4% 1.16× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 54.9% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 50.5% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 49.5% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 45.1% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 44.2% 41.6% 49.6% 0.84× 2.40
Q4 over 37.5 34.6% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 33.8% 32.6% 38.9% 0.84× 3.07
Q4 over 39.5 25.2% 28.5% 23.0% 1.24× 3.51
Q4 under 29.5 24.5% 23.1% 29.2% 0.79× 4.33
Q4 over 42.5 14.2% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 under 26.5 13.6% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates over 54.5 85.6% 83.9% 83.8% 1.00× 1.19
Fairfield Stags over 57.5 85.9% 83.9% 65.1% 1.29× 1.19
Fairfield Stags under 77.5 85.7% 83.9% 87.2% 0.96× 1.19
Seton Hall Pirates under 74.5 84.9% 80.7% 70.7% 1.14× 1.24
Seton Hall Pirates over 57.5 77.2% 75.1% 77.2% 0.97× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates under 71.5 76.4% 75.1% 63.0% 1.19× 1.33
Fairfield Stags over 60.5 77.5% 75.1% 55.6% 1.35× 1.33
Fairfield Stags under 74.5 77.2% 75.1% 82.3% 0.91× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates over 59.5 70.3% 70.7% 72.2% 0.98× 1.41
Fairfield Stags over 62.5 70.6% 70.7% 49.0% 1.44× 1.41
Fairfield Stags under 72.5 70.2% 70.7% 78.2% 0.90× 1.41
Seton Hall Pirates under 69.5 69.6% 66.4% 57.4% 1.16× 1.51
Seton Hall Pirates over 61.5 62.7% 61.2% 66.9% 0.91× 1.63
Fairfield Stags over 64.5 62.8% 61.2% 43.2% 1.42× 1.63
Fairfield Stags under 70.5 62.4% 61.2% 73.7% 0.83× 1.63
Seton Hall Pirates under 67.5 61.9% 61.2% 51.3% 1.19× 1.63
Seton Hall Pirates over 63.5 54.5% 52.3% 61.5% 0.85× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 65.5 53.8% 52.3% 44.7% 1.17× 1.91
Fairfield Stags over 66.5 54.5% 52.3% 37.3% 1.40× 1.91
Fairfield Stags under 68.5 54.1% 52.3% 68.6% 0.76× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates over 64.5 50.4% 52.3% 58.4% 0.89× 1.91
Fairfield Stags over 67.5 50.2% 52.3% 34.4% 1.52× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 64.5 49.6% 47.7% 41.6% 1.15× 2.09
Fairfield Stags under 67.5 49.8% 47.7% 65.6% 0.73× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates under 63.5 45.5% 47.7% 38.5% 1.24× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates over 65.5 46.2% 47.7% 55.3% 0.86× 2.09
Fairfield Stags under 66.5 45.5% 47.7% 62.7% 0.76× 2.09
Fairfield Stags over 68.5 45.9% 47.7% 31.4% 1.52× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates over 67.5 38.1% 38.8% 48.7% 0.80× 2.58
Seton Hall Pirates under 61.5 37.3% 38.8% 33.1% 1.17× 2.58
Fairfield Stags under 64.5 37.2% 38.8% 56.9% 0.68× 2.58
Fairfield Stags over 70.5 37.6% 38.8% 26.3% 1.47× 2.58
Seton Hall Pirates over 69.5 30.4% 33.6% 42.6% 0.79× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates under 59.5 29.7% 29.3% 27.8% 1.05× 3.42
Fairfield Stags under 62.5 29.4% 29.3% 51.0% 0.57× 3.42
Fairfield Stags over 72.5 29.8% 29.3% 21.8% 1.34× 3.42
Seton Hall Pirates under 57.5 22.8% 24.9% 22.8% 1.09× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates over 71.5 23.6% 24.9% 37.0% 0.67× 4.02
Fairfield Stags under 60.5 22.5% 24.9% 44.4% 0.56× 4.02
Fairfield Stags over 74.5 22.8% 24.9% 17.7% 1.40× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates over 74.5 15.1% 19.3% 29.3% 0.66× 5.18
Seton Hall Pirates under 54.5 14.4% 16.1% 16.2% 1.00× 6.21
Fairfield Stags under 57.5 14.1% 16.1% 34.9% 0.46× 6.21
Fairfield Stags over 77.5 14.3% 16.1% 12.8% 1.26× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 112.5 points 90.7% 88.8% 83.6% 1.06× 1.13
Under 152.5 points 91.2% 88.8% 88.1% 1.01× 1.13
Under 147.5 points 84.7% 80.6% 82.3% 0.98× 1.24
Over 117.5 points 83.6% 80.6% 75.3% 1.07× 1.24
Under 142.5 points 75.4% 75.6% 75.1% 1.01× 1.32
Over 122.5 points 74.1% 70.8% 65.6% 1.08× 1.41
Under 139.5 points 68.8% 65.9% 69.9% 0.94× 1.52
Over 125.5 points 67.1% 65.9% 59.5% 1.11× 1.52
Under 137.5 points 64.0% 61.5% 66.2% 0.93× 1.63
Over 127.5 points 62.1% 61.5% 55.1% 1.12× 1.63
Under 135.5 points 58.9% 56.5% 62.4% 0.91× 1.77
Over 129.5 points 56.9% 56.5% 50.5% 1.12× 1.77
Under 133.5 points 53.7% 52.3% 58.0% 0.90× 1.91
Over 131.5 points 51.6% 52.3% 46.1% 1.14× 1.91
Under 132.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 56.0% 0.94× 1.91
Over 132.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Under 131.5 points 48.4% 47.7% 53.9% 0.88× 2.10
Over 133.5 points 46.3% 47.7% 42.0% 1.14× 2.10
Under 129.5 points 43.1% 43.5% 49.5% 0.88× 2.30
Over 135.5 points 41.1% 43.5% 37.6% 1.16× 2.30
Under 127.5 points 37.9% 38.5% 44.9% 0.86× 2.60
Over 137.5 points 36.0% 38.5% 33.8% 1.14× 2.60
Under 125.5 points 32.9% 34.1% 40.5% 0.84× 2.93
Over 139.5 points 31.2% 34.1% 30.1% 1.13× 2.93
Under 122.5 points 25.9% 29.2% 34.4% 0.85× 3.43
Over 142.5 points 24.6% 24.4% 24.9% 0.98× 4.10
Under 117.5 points 16.4% 19.4% 24.7% 0.79× 5.15
Over 147.5 points 15.3% 19.4% 17.7% 1.10× 5.15
Under 112.5 points 9.3% 11.2% 16.4% 0.68× 8.96
Over 152.5 points 8.8% 11.2% 11.9% 0.94× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags to win both halves 26.6% 27.2% 20.4% 1.34× 3.68
Seton Hall Pirates to win both halves 14.5% 14.1% 36.0% 0.39× 7.11
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairfield Stags by 1-5 18.3% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Fairfield Stags by 6-10 16.5% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Seton Hall Pirates by 1-5 16.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Fairfield Stags by 11-15 12.2% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Seton Hall Pirates by 6-10 11.6% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Seton Hall Pirates by 11-15 6.9% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Fairfield Stags by 16-20 7.4% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Fairfield Stags by 21-25 3.7% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.30
Seton Hall Pirates by 16-20 3.4% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.30
Seton Hall Pirates by 21-25 1.3% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Fairfield Stags by 26+ 2.1% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.31
Seton Hall Pirates by 26+ 0.6% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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