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Seton Hall Pirates v NC State Wolfpack — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Seton Hall Pirates win
20.4%
Draw
0.0%
NC State Wolfpack win
79.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 65.85–74.89 66-75 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Seton Hall Pirates to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
NC State Wolfpack to score 100+ 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.27
NC State Wolfpack to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.35
NC State Wolfpack to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
NC State Wolfpack to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win H1 67.2% 68.3% 39.9% 1.71× 1.47
Seton Hall Pirates to win H1 28.8% 26.6% 56.4% 0.47× 3.77
H1 tied 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 79.5 88.6% 87.7% 93.9% 0.93× 1.14
H1 over 55.5 87.6% 87.7% 71.0% 1.24× 1.14
H1 under 75.5 79.2% 77.4% 88.8% 0.87× 1.29
H1 over 59.5 77.6% 77.4% 57.8% 1.34× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 69.8% 67.4% 83.6% 0.81× 1.48
H1 over 62.5 67.8% 67.4% 46.3% 1.46× 1.48
H1 under 70.5 62.7% 62.7% 78.9% 0.79× 1.59
H1 over 64.5 60.5% 62.7% 39.3% 1.60× 1.59
H1 under 68.5 55.0% 58.2% 73.5% 0.79× 1.72
H1 over 66.5 52.8% 52.6% 32.9% 1.60× 1.90
H1 under 67.5 51.1% 52.6% 70.4% 0.75× 1.90
H1 over 67.5 48.9% 47.4% 29.6% 1.60× 2.11
H1 under 66.5 47.2% 47.4% 67.1% 0.71× 2.11
H1 over 68.5 45.0% 41.8% 26.5% 1.58× 2.39
H1 under 64.5 39.5% 37.3% 60.7% 0.61× 2.68
H1 over 70.5 37.3% 37.3% 21.1% 1.77× 2.68
H1 under 62.5 32.2% 32.6% 53.7% 0.61× 3.07
H1 over 72.5 30.2% 32.6% 16.4% 1.99× 3.07
H1 under 59.5 22.4% 22.6% 42.2% 0.54× 4.43
H1 over 75.5 20.8% 22.6% 11.2% 2.02× 4.43
H1 under 55.5 12.4% 12.3% 29.0% 0.42× 8.14
H1 over 79.5 11.4% 12.3% 6.1% 2.01× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win H2 68.3% 62.8% 40.6% 1.55× 1.59
Seton Hall Pirates to win H2 27.9% 31.3% 56.0% 0.56× 3.20
H2 tied 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 61.5 87.2% 85.2% 71.3% 1.20× 1.17
H2 under 85.5 86.7% 85.2% 91.2% 0.93× 1.17
H2 over 65.5 77.6% 75.8% 58.8% 1.29× 1.32
H2 under 81.5 77.0% 75.8% 85.8% 0.88× 1.32
H2 over 68.5 68.4% 66.4% 48.7% 1.36× 1.51
H2 under 78.5 67.7% 66.4% 80.1% 0.83× 1.51
H2 over 70.5 61.4% 61.6% 42.2% 1.46× 1.62
H2 under 76.5 60.7% 61.6% 75.6% 0.81× 1.62
H2 over 72.5 54.1% 52.4% 36.0% 1.46× 1.91
H2 under 74.5 53.4% 52.4% 69.9% 0.75× 1.91
H2 over 73.5 50.4% 52.4% 32.9% 1.59× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 49.6% 47.6% 67.1% 0.71× 2.10
H2 over 74.5 46.6% 47.6% 30.1% 1.58× 2.10
H2 under 72.5 45.9% 47.6% 64.1% 0.74× 2.10
H2 over 76.5 39.3% 38.4% 24.4% 1.58× 2.61
H2 under 70.5 38.6% 38.4% 57.8% 0.66× 2.61
H2 under 68.5 31.6% 33.6% 51.3% 0.66× 2.97
H2 over 78.5 32.3% 33.6% 19.9% 1.69× 2.97
H2 under 65.5 22.4% 24.2% 41.2% 0.59× 4.13
H2 over 81.5 23.0% 24.2% 14.2% 1.70× 4.13
H2 under 61.5 12.8% 14.8% 28.7% 0.51× 6.76
H2 over 85.5 13.3% 14.8% 8.8% 1.69× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack leading at half time 67.2% 68.4% 39.9% 1.71× 1.46
Seton Hall Pirates leading at half time 28.8% 26.5% 56.4% 0.47× 3.77
Level at half time 4.0% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack +20.5 99.6% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +10.5 95.8% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +12.5 97.2% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +14.5 98.1% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +16.5 98.8% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +18.5 99.3% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +9.5 94.9% 91.1% 60.7% 1.50× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack +7.5 92.7% 91.1% 55.2% 1.65× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack +8.5 93.9% 91.1% 58.0% 1.57× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack +6.5 91.4% 91.1% 52.4% 1.74× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack +5.5 89.9% 85.9% 50.3% 1.71× 1.16
NC State Wolfpack +4.5 88.2% 85.9% 47.8% 1.80× 1.16
NC State Wolfpack +3.5 86.4% 85.9% 45.8% 1.88× 1.16
NC State Wolfpack +2.5 84.3% 81.1% 43.3% 1.87× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +20.5 84.4% 81.1% 92.7% 0.87× 1.23
NC State Wolfpack +1.5 82.1% 81.1% 41.3% 1.96× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +18.5 79.6% 76.5% 91.1% 0.84× 1.31
NC State Wolfpack −1.5 76.8% 76.5% 38.8% 1.97× 1.31
NC State Wolfpack −2.5 73.8% 71.6% 36.7% 1.95× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates +16.5 74.1% 71.6% 89.1% 0.80× 1.40
NC State Wolfpack −3.5 70.6% 71.6% 34.3% 2.09× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates +14.5 68.0% 66.7% 86.7% 0.77× 1.50
NC State Wolfpack −4.5 67.3% 66.7% 32.2% 2.07× 1.50
NC State Wolfpack −5.5 63.9% 61.9% 29.9% 2.07× 1.62
NC State Wolfpack −6.5 60.4% 61.9% 27.7% 2.23× 1.62
Seton Hall Pirates +12.5 61.2% 61.9% 83.8% 0.74× 1.62
NC State Wolfpack −7.5 56.8% 57.1% 25.5% 2.24× 1.75
NC State Wolfpack −8.5 53.2% 52.4% 23.5% 2.23× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates +10.5 54.1% 52.4% 80.4% 0.65× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates +9.5 50.5% 52.4% 78.7% 0.67× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack −9.5 49.5% 47.6% 21.3% 2.23× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates +8.5 46.8% 47.6% 76.5% 0.62× 2.10
NC State Wolfpack −10.5 45.9% 47.6% 19.6% 2.43× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates +7.5 43.2% 42.9% 74.5% 0.58× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates +6.5 39.6% 38.1% 72.3% 0.53× 2.63
NC State Wolfpack −12.5 38.8% 38.1% 16.2% 2.34× 2.63
Seton Hall Pirates +5.5 36.1% 38.1% 70.1% 0.54× 2.63
Seton Hall Pirates +4.5 32.7% 33.3% 67.8% 0.49× 3.01
NC State Wolfpack −14.5 32.0% 33.3% 13.3% 2.51× 3.01
Seton Hall Pirates +3.5 29.4% 28.4% 65.7% 0.43× 3.53
Seton Hall Pirates +2.5 26.2% 28.4% 63.3% 0.45× 3.53
NC State Wolfpack −16.5 25.9% 28.4% 10.9% 2.61× 3.53
Seton Hall Pirates +1.5 23.2% 23.5% 61.2% 0.38× 4.25
NC State Wolfpack −18.5 20.4% 23.5% 8.9% 2.64× 4.25
Seton Hall Pirates −1.5 17.9% 18.9% 58.7% 0.32× 5.29
Seton Hall Pirates −2.5 15.7% 18.9% 56.7% 0.33× 5.30
NC State Wolfpack −20.5 15.6% 18.9% 7.3% 2.60× 5.30
Seton Hall Pirates −3.5 13.6% 14.1% 54.2% 0.26× 7.09
Seton Hall Pirates −4.5 11.8% 14.1% 52.2% 0.27× 7.09
Seton Hall Pirates −5.5 10.1% 14.1% 49.7% 0.28× 7.09
Seton Hall Pirates −6.5 8.6% 8.9% 47.6% 0.19× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −7.5 7.3% 8.9% 44.8% 0.20× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −8.5 6.1% 8.9% 42.0% 0.21× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −9.5 5.1% 8.9% 39.3% 0.23× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −10.5 4.2% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.72
Seton Hall Pirates −12.5 2.9% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.73
Seton Hall Pirates −14.5 1.9% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.73
Seton Hall Pirates −16.5 1.2% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Seton Hall Pirates −18.5 0.7% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Seton Hall Pirates −20.5 0.4% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 73.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 35.0% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 33.2% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 16.7% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.1% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT 60.9% 62.3% 30.1% 2.07× 1.61
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT 15.7% 15.4% 8.2% 1.88× 6.47
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 13.1% 12.2% 48.3% 0.25× 8.17
NC State Wolfpack at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 6.3% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.09
Level at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
Level at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 1.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win 79.6% 75.1% 40.1% 1.87× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates to win 20.4% 24.9% 59.9% 0.42× 4.02
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.3% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Seton Hall Pirates even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
NC State Wolfpack even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Seton Hall Pirates odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
NC State Wolfpack odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.7% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.1% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.9% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.32
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q1 60.4% 64.8% 40.4% 1.61× 1.54
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q1 33.8% 30.4% 54.7% 0.56× 3.29
Q1 tied 5.8% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 42.5 90.0% 91.1% 93.6% 0.97× 1.10
Q1 over 26.5 85.9% 87.4% 72.9% 1.20× 1.14
Q1 under 39.5 80.0% 82.8% 87.5% 0.95× 1.21
Q1 over 29.5 73.6% 72.7% 56.9% 1.28× 1.38
Q1 under 37.5 70.8% 72.7% 81.6% 0.89× 1.38
Q1 over 31.5 63.2% 61.7% 46.0% 1.34× 1.62
Q1 under 35.5 60.0% 58.6% 73.2% 0.80× 1.71
Q1 under 34.5 54.2% 52.7% 68.5% 0.77× 1.90
Q1 over 33.5 51.7% 52.7% 36.0% 1.46× 1.90
Q1 under 33.5 48.3% 47.3% 64.0% 0.74× 2.11
Q1 over 34.5 45.8% 47.3% 31.5% 1.50× 2.11
Q1 over 35.5 40.0% 41.4% 26.8% 1.54× 2.42
Q1 under 31.5 36.8% 38.3% 54.0% 0.71× 2.61
Q1 over 37.5 29.2% 27.3% 18.4% 1.48× 3.66
Q1 under 29.5 26.4% 27.3% 43.1% 0.63× 3.66
Q1 over 39.5 20.0% 17.2% 12.5% 1.37× 5.82
Q1 under 26.5 14.1% 12.6% 27.1% 0.46× 7.95
Q1 over 42.5 10.0% 8.9% 6.4% 1.40× 11.19
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q2 60.1% 61.9% 41.5% 1.49× 1.62
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q2 34.2% 31.8% 52.9% 0.60× 3.14
Q2 tied 5.7% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 41.5 88.3% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 over 25.5 87.9% 87.3% 76.2% 1.15× 1.15
Q2 under 38.5 77.2% 76.8% 85.6% 0.90× 1.30
Q2 over 28.5 76.6% 76.8% 61.2% 1.26× 1.30
Q2 under 36.5 67.4% 67.4% 78.7% 0.86× 1.49
Q2 over 30.5 66.7% 67.4% 49.9% 1.35× 1.49
Q2 under 34.5 56.3% 58.2% 70.1% 0.83× 1.72
Q2 over 32.5 55.5% 58.2% 39.2% 1.48× 1.72
Q2 under 33.5 50.4% 52.7% 65.6% 0.80× 1.90
Q2 over 33.5 49.6% 47.3% 34.4% 1.38× 2.11
Q2 under 32.5 44.5% 41.8% 60.8% 0.69× 2.39
Q2 over 34.5 43.7% 41.8% 29.9% 1.40× 2.39
Q2 under 30.5 33.3% 32.6% 50.1% 0.65× 3.06
Q2 over 36.5 32.6% 32.6% 21.3% 1.53× 3.06
Q2 under 28.5 23.4% 23.2% 38.8% 0.60× 4.31
Q2 over 38.5 22.8% 23.2% 14.4% 1.61× 4.31
Q2 under 25.5 12.1% 12.7% 23.8% 0.53× 7.89
Q2 over 41.5 11.7% 12.7% 7.3% 1.72× 7.89
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q3 61.3% 60.8% 41.8% 1.46× 1.64
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q3 33.2% 33.8% 53.3% 0.63× 2.96
Q3 tied 5.6% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 45.5 89.5% 87.2% 93.8% 0.93× 1.15
Q3 over 29.5 85.2% 87.2% 71.8% 1.21× 1.15
Q3 under 42.5 79.4% 77.3% 87.8% 0.88× 1.29
Q3 over 32.5 73.0% 71.8% 56.1% 1.28× 1.39
Q3 under 40.5 70.4% 71.8% 81.9% 0.88× 1.39
Q3 over 34.5 62.8% 61.9% 45.4% 1.36× 1.61
Q3 under 38.5 59.8% 58.4% 73.9% 0.79× 1.71
Q3 under 37.5 54.2% 52.3% 69.7% 0.75× 1.91
Q3 over 36.5 51.5% 52.3% 35.4% 1.48× 1.91
Q3 under 36.5 48.5% 47.7% 64.6% 0.74× 2.10
Q3 over 37.5 45.8% 47.7% 30.3% 1.58× 2.10
Q3 over 38.5 40.2% 41.6% 26.1% 1.59× 2.40
Q3 under 34.5 37.2% 38.1% 54.6% 0.70× 2.63
Q3 over 40.5 29.6% 28.2% 18.1% 1.55× 3.55
Q3 under 32.5 27.0% 28.2% 43.9% 0.64× 3.55
Q3 over 42.5 20.6% 22.7% 12.2% 1.87× 4.40
Q3 under 29.5 14.8% 12.8% 28.2% 0.45× 7.83
Q3 over 45.5 10.5% 12.8% 6.2% 2.06× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q4 61.1% 57.8% 41.5% 1.39× 1.73
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q4 33.5% 37.4% 52.8% 0.71× 2.67
Q4 tied 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 45.5 88.0% 85.6% 92.4% 0.93× 1.17
Q4 over 29.5 84.0% 82.0% 70.8% 1.16× 1.22
Q4 under 42.5 77.8% 76.9% 86.2% 0.89× 1.30
Q4 over 32.5 72.2% 71.5% 55.4% 1.29× 1.40
Q4 under 40.5 69.0% 67.4% 80.6% 0.84× 1.48
Q4 over 34.5 62.4% 61.4% 45.6% 1.35× 1.63
Q4 under 38.5 58.9% 58.4% 73.1% 0.80× 1.71
Q4 under 37.5 53.6% 52.5% 68.8% 0.76× 1.91
Q4 over 36.5 51.8% 52.5% 35.7% 1.47× 1.91
Q4 under 36.5 48.2% 47.5% 64.3% 0.74× 2.11
Q4 over 37.5 46.4% 47.5% 31.2% 1.52× 2.11
Q4 over 38.5 41.1% 41.6% 26.9% 1.55× 2.40
Q4 under 34.5 37.6% 38.6% 54.4% 0.71× 2.59
Q4 over 40.5 31.0% 32.6% 19.4% 1.68× 3.07
Q4 under 32.5 27.8% 28.5% 44.6% 0.64× 3.51
Q4 over 42.5 22.2% 23.1% 13.8% 1.67× 4.33
Q4 under 29.5 16.0% 18.0% 29.2% 0.62× 5.56
Q4 over 45.5 12.0% 14.4% 7.6% 1.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates under 76.5 87.0% 83.9% 75.4% 1.11× 1.19
NC State Wolfpack under 85.5 87.0% 83.9% 95.5% 0.88× 1.19
NC State Wolfpack over 65.5 84.8% 80.7% 40.2% 2.01× 1.24
Seton Hall Pirates over 56.5 83.5% 80.7% 79.5% 1.01× 1.24
Seton Hall Pirates under 73.5 79.2% 75.1% 68.5% 1.10× 1.33
NC State Wolfpack under 82.5 78.9% 75.1% 93.0% 0.81× 1.33
NC State Wolfpack over 68.5 75.9% 75.1% 31.4% 2.39× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates over 59.5 74.5% 70.7% 72.2% 0.98× 1.41
Seton Hall Pirates under 71.5 72.7% 70.7% 63.0% 1.12× 1.41
NC State Wolfpack under 80.5 72.2% 70.7% 91.0% 0.78× 1.41
NC State Wolfpack over 70.5 68.8% 66.4% 26.3% 2.52× 1.51
Seton Hall Pirates over 61.5 67.2% 66.4% 66.9% 0.99× 1.51
Seton Hall Pirates under 69.5 65.4% 66.4% 57.4% 1.16× 1.51
NC State Wolfpack under 78.5 64.5% 61.2% 88.3% 0.69× 1.63
NC State Wolfpack over 72.5 60.8% 61.2% 21.8% 2.81× 1.63
Seton Hall Pirates over 63.5 59.3% 57.1% 61.5% 0.93× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates under 67.5 57.3% 57.1% 51.3% 1.11× 1.75
NC State Wolfpack under 76.5 56.2% 57.1% 85.8% 0.67× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates over 65.5 51.0% 52.3% 55.3% 0.95× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 66.5 53.2% 52.3% 48.2% 1.09× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack over 74.5 52.4% 52.3% 17.7% 2.95× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack under 75.5 51.9% 52.3% 84.1% 0.62× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 65.5 49.0% 47.7% 44.7% 1.07× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates over 66.5 46.8% 47.7% 51.8% 0.92× 2.09
NC State Wolfpack under 74.5 47.6% 47.7% 82.3% 0.58× 2.09
NC State Wolfpack over 75.5 48.1% 47.7% 15.9% 3.01× 2.09
NC State Wolfpack over 76.5 43.8% 42.9% 14.2% 3.02× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates over 67.5 42.7% 42.9% 48.7% 0.88× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates under 63.5 40.7% 42.9% 38.5% 1.11× 2.33
NC State Wolfpack under 72.5 39.2% 38.8% 78.2% 0.50× 2.58
NC State Wolfpack over 78.5 35.5% 38.8% 11.7% 3.33× 2.58
Seton Hall Pirates over 69.5 34.7% 33.6% 42.6% 0.79× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates under 61.5 32.8% 33.6% 33.1% 1.02× 2.98
NC State Wolfpack under 70.5 31.2% 33.6% 73.7% 0.46× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates over 71.5 27.3% 29.3% 37.0% 0.79× 3.42
NC State Wolfpack over 80.5 27.8% 29.3% 9.0% 3.25× 3.42
Seton Hall Pirates under 59.5 25.5% 29.3% 27.8% 1.05× 3.42
NC State Wolfpack under 68.5 24.1% 24.9% 68.6% 0.36× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates over 73.5 20.8% 24.9% 31.5% 0.79× 4.02
NC State Wolfpack over 82.5 21.1% 24.9% 7.0% 3.57× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates under 56.5 16.5% 19.3% 20.5% 0.94× 5.18
NC State Wolfpack under 65.5 15.2% 19.3% 59.8% 0.32× 5.18
Seton Hall Pirates over 76.5 13.0% 16.1% 24.6% 0.66× 6.21
NC State Wolfpack over 85.5 13.0% 16.1% 4.5% 3.56× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 161.5 points 91.5% 88.8% 94.4% 0.94× 1.13
Over 121.5 points 90.1% 88.8% 67.7% 1.31× 1.13
Under 156.5 points 85.1% 85.0% 91.3% 0.93× 1.18
Over 126.5 points 83.0% 80.6% 57.4% 1.40× 1.24
Under 151.5 points 76.2% 75.6% 87.3% 0.87× 1.32
Over 131.5 points 73.1% 70.8% 46.1% 1.54× 1.41
Under 148.5 points 69.5% 65.9% 83.7% 0.79× 1.52
Over 134.5 points 66.2% 65.9% 39.8% 1.65× 1.52
Under 146.5 points 64.7% 61.5% 80.9% 0.76× 1.63
Over 136.5 points 61.3% 61.5% 35.8% 1.72× 1.63
Under 144.5 points 59.7% 56.5% 78.1% 0.72× 1.77
Over 138.5 points 56.1% 56.5% 32.1% 1.76× 1.77
Under 142.5 points 54.5% 52.3% 75.1% 0.70× 1.91
Under 141.5 points 51.9% 52.3% 73.4% 0.71× 1.91
Over 140.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 28.2% 1.85× 1.91
Under 140.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 71.8% 0.66× 2.10
Over 141.5 points 48.1% 47.7% 26.6% 1.79× 2.10
Over 142.5 points 45.5% 47.7% 24.9% 1.92× 2.10
Under 138.5 points 43.9% 43.5% 67.9% 0.64× 2.30
Over 144.5 points 40.3% 43.5% 21.9% 1.99× 2.30
Under 136.5 points 38.7% 38.5% 64.2% 0.60× 2.60
Over 146.5 points 35.3% 38.5% 19.1% 2.02× 2.60
Under 134.5 points 33.8% 34.1% 60.2% 0.57× 2.93
Over 148.5 points 30.5% 34.1% 16.3% 2.09× 2.93
Under 131.5 points 26.9% 29.2% 53.9% 0.54× 3.43
Over 151.5 points 23.8% 24.4% 12.8% 1.91× 4.10
Under 126.5 points 17.0% 19.4% 42.6% 0.46× 5.15
Over 156.5 points 14.9% 15.0% 8.7% 1.73× 6.68
Under 121.5 points 9.9% 11.2% 32.3% 0.35× 8.96
Over 161.5 points 8.5% 11.2% 5.6% 2.00× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win both halves 43.5% 40.7% 20.4% 2.00× 2.46
Seton Hall Pirates to win both halves 6.0% 8.8% 36.0% 0.24× 11.33
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack by 6-10 18.0% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
NC State Wolfpack by 11-15 17.0% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
NC State Wolfpack by 1-5 15.7% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
NC State Wolfpack by 16-20 13.2% 12.3% 4.8% 2.60× 8.11
Seton Hall Pirates by 1-5 10.3% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
NC State Wolfpack by 21-25 8.4% 7.5% 2.7% 2.79× 13.40
NC State Wolfpack by 26+ 7.2% 7.5% 4.6% 1.62× 13.40
Seton Hall Pirates by 6-10 5.9% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Seton Hall Pirates by 11-15 2.7% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.30
Seton Hall Pirates by 16-20 1.1% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.32
Seton Hall Pirates by 21-25 0.3% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Seton Hall Pirates by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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