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Seton Hall Pirates v Princeton Tigers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 3 December 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Seton Hall Pirates win
34.5%
Draw
0.0%
Princeton Tigers win
65.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 64.44–68.80 65-69 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Seton Hall Pirates to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Princeton Tigers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Princeton Tigers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Princeton Tigers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Princeton Tigers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers to win H1 57.3% 57.3% 39.9% 1.44× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates to win H1 38.3% 37.8% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 51.5 88.5% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 75.5 87.8% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 55.5 79.0% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 71.5 78.0% 77.4% 81.4% 0.95× 1.29
H1 over 58.5 69.4% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 68.5 68.3% 67.4% 73.5% 0.92× 1.48
H1 over 60.5 62.2% 62.7% 53.9% 1.16× 1.59
H1 under 66.5 61.0% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 62.5 54.5% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 53.3% 52.6% 60.7% 0.87× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 50.6% 52.6% 42.9% 1.23× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 49.4% 47.4% 57.1% 0.83× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 46.7% 47.4% 39.3% 1.21× 2.11
H1 under 62.5 45.5% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 39.0% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 under 60.5 37.8% 37.3% 46.1% 0.81× 2.68
H1 over 68.5 31.7% 32.6% 26.5% 1.23× 3.07
H1 under 58.5 30.6% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 over 71.5 22.0% 22.6% 18.6% 1.22× 4.43
H1 under 55.5 21.0% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 75.5 12.2% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H1 under 51.5 11.5% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers to win H2 58.0% 55.0% 40.6% 1.36× 1.82
Seton Hall Pirates to win H2 37.8% 41.2% 56.0% 0.74× 2.43
H2 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 57.5 87.5% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 81.5 86.5% 85.2% 85.8% 0.99× 1.17
H2 over 61.5 78.0% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 77.5 76.7% 75.8% 77.9% 0.97× 1.32
H2 over 64.5 68.8% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 74.5 67.3% 66.4% 69.9% 0.95× 1.51
H2 over 66.5 61.9% 61.6% 55.4% 1.11× 1.62
H2 under 72.5 60.3% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 68.5 54.5% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 52.9% 52.4% 57.8% 0.91× 1.91
H2 over 69.5 50.8% 52.4% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 49.2% 47.6% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 47.1% 47.6% 42.2% 1.13× 2.10
H2 under 68.5 45.5% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 72.5 39.7% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 66.5 38.1% 38.4% 44.6% 0.86× 2.61
H2 over 74.5 32.7% 33.6% 30.1% 1.12× 2.97
H2 under 64.5 31.2% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 23.3% 24.2% 22.1% 1.10× 4.13
H2 under 61.5 22.0% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 81.5 13.5% 14.8% 14.2% 1.04× 6.76
H2 under 57.5 12.5% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers leading at half time 57.3% 56.9% 39.9% 1.43× 1.76
Seton Hall Pirates leading at half time 38.3% 37.9% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers +16.5 96.7% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Princeton Tigers +18.5 97.8% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Princeton Tigers +20.5 98.6% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Princeton Tigers +14.5 95.2% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Princeton Tigers +12.5 93.1% 91.1% 67.9% 1.34× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates +20.5 92.4% 91.1% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
Princeton Tigers +10.5 90.4% 91.1% 63.2% 1.44× 1.10
Princeton Tigers +9.5 88.7% 85.9% 60.7% 1.42× 1.16
Seton Hall Pirates +18.5 89.5% 85.9% 91.1% 0.94× 1.16
Princeton Tigers +8.5 86.9% 85.9% 58.0% 1.48× 1.16
Seton Hall Pirates +16.5 85.8% 85.9% 89.1% 0.96× 1.16
Princeton Tigers +7.5 84.9% 81.1% 55.2% 1.47× 1.23
Princeton Tigers +6.5 82.7% 81.1% 52.4% 1.55× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +14.5 81.3% 81.1% 86.7% 0.94× 1.23
Princeton Tigers +5.5 80.3% 81.1% 50.3% 1.61× 1.23
Princeton Tigers +4.5 77.7% 76.5% 47.8% 1.60× 1.31
Seton Hall Pirates +12.5 76.0% 76.5% 83.8% 0.91× 1.31
Princeton Tigers +3.5 74.9% 71.6% 45.8% 1.56× 1.40
Princeton Tigers +2.5 71.9% 71.6% 43.3% 1.66× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates +10.5 70.0% 71.6% 80.4% 0.89× 1.40
Princeton Tigers +1.5 68.8% 66.7% 41.3% 1.62× 1.50
Seton Hall Pirates +9.5 66.8% 66.7% 78.7% 0.85× 1.50
Seton Hall Pirates +8.5 63.4% 61.9% 76.5% 0.81× 1.62
Princeton Tigers −1.5 61.9% 61.9% 38.8% 1.60× 1.62
Seton Hall Pirates +7.5 59.9% 57.1% 74.5% 0.77× 1.75
Princeton Tigers −2.5 58.3% 57.1% 36.7% 1.56× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates +6.5 56.3% 57.1% 72.3% 0.79× 1.75
Princeton Tigers −3.5 54.7% 52.4% 34.3% 1.53× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates +5.5 52.7% 52.4% 70.1% 0.75× 1.91
Princeton Tigers −4.5 51.0% 52.4% 32.2% 1.63× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates +4.5 49.0% 47.6% 67.8% 0.70× 2.10
Princeton Tigers −5.5 47.3% 47.6% 29.9% 1.59× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates +3.5 45.3% 47.6% 65.7% 0.72× 2.10
Princeton Tigers −6.5 43.7% 42.9% 27.7% 1.55× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates +2.5 41.7% 42.9% 63.3% 0.68× 2.33
Princeton Tigers −7.5 40.1% 42.9% 25.5% 1.69× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates +1.5 38.1% 38.1% 61.2% 0.62× 2.63
Princeton Tigers −8.5 36.6% 38.1% 23.5% 1.62× 2.63
Princeton Tigers −9.5 33.2% 33.3% 21.3% 1.56× 3.01
Seton Hall Pirates −1.5 31.2% 33.3% 58.7% 0.57× 3.01
Princeton Tigers −10.5 30.0% 28.4% 19.6% 1.45× 3.53
Seton Hall Pirates −2.5 28.1% 28.4% 56.7% 0.50× 3.53
Seton Hall Pirates −3.5 25.1% 28.4% 54.2% 0.52× 3.53
Princeton Tigers −12.5 24.0% 23.5% 16.2% 1.45× 4.25
Seton Hall Pirates −4.5 22.3% 23.5% 52.2% 0.45× 4.25
Seton Hall Pirates −5.5 19.7% 18.9% 49.7% 0.38× 5.29
Princeton Tigers −14.5 18.7% 18.9% 13.3% 1.42× 5.29
Seton Hall Pirates −6.5 17.3% 18.9% 47.6% 0.40× 5.29
Seton Hall Pirates −7.5 15.1% 18.9% 44.8% 0.42× 5.30
Princeton Tigers −16.5 14.2% 14.1% 10.9% 1.30× 7.09
Seton Hall Pirates −8.5 13.1% 14.1% 42.0% 0.34× 7.09
Seton Hall Pirates −9.5 11.3% 14.1% 39.3% 0.36× 7.09
Princeton Tigers −18.5 10.5% 14.1% 8.9% 1.58× 7.09
Seton Hall Pirates −10.5 9.6% 8.9% 36.8% 0.24× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −12.5 6.9% 8.9% 32.1% 0.28× 11.25
Princeton Tigers −20.5 7.6% 8.9% 7.3% 1.22× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −14.5 4.8% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.72
Seton Hall Pirates −16.5 3.3% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Seton Hall Pirates −18.5 2.2% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Seton Hall Pirates −20.5 1.4% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.4% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.6% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.6% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.8% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.1% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers at HT / Princeton Tigers at FT 47.4% 46.6% 30.1% 1.55× 2.15
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 23.0% 24.4% 48.3% 0.51× 4.10
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Princeton Tigers at FT 15.3% 15.4% 8.2% 1.88× 6.47
Princeton Tigers at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 9.9% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.08
Level at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / Princeton Tigers at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers to win 65.5% 64.5% 40.1% 1.61× 1.55
Seton Hall Pirates to win 34.5% 35.5% 59.9% 0.59× 2.81
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Seton Hall Pirates even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Princeton Tigers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Seton Hall Pirates odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Princeton Tigers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.2% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.8% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers to win Q1 53.5% 52.6% 40.4% 1.30× 1.90
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q1 40.5% 42.9% 54.7% 0.78× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 40.5 89.5% 87.4% 89.9% 0.97× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 86.6% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 79.1% 76.9% 81.6% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 74.7% 72.7% 67.7% 1.07× 1.38
Q1 under 35.5 69.7% 67.6% 73.2% 0.92× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 64.4% 61.7% 56.9% 1.09× 1.62
Q1 under 33.5 58.7% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 over 31.5 53.0% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 32.5 52.9% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 47.0% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 47.1% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 over 33.5 41.3% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 35.6% 38.3% 43.1% 0.89× 2.61
Q1 over 35.5 30.3% 32.4% 26.8% 1.21× 3.08
Q1 under 27.5 25.3% 27.3% 32.3% 0.84× 3.67
Q1 over 37.5 20.9% 23.1% 18.4% 1.25× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 13.4% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 10.5% 12.6% 10.1% 1.24× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers to win Q2 53.3% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q2 40.7% 43.9% 52.9% 0.83× 2.28
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 23.5 88.6% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 39.5 87.6% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 26.5 77.7% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 36.5 76.2% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 28.5 68.0% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 34.5 66.2% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 30.5 56.9% 58.2% 49.9% 1.17× 1.72
Q2 under 32.5 54.9% 52.7% 60.8% 0.87× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 51.0% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 under 31.5 49.0% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 45.1% 47.3% 39.2% 1.21× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 43.1% 41.8% 50.1% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 over 34.5 33.8% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 28.5 32.0% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 36.5 23.8% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 26.5 22.3% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 39.5 12.4% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.89
Q2 under 23.5 11.4% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers to win Q3 53.9% 52.7% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q3 40.2% 42.2% 53.3% 0.79× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 43.5 89.3% 87.2% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 85.4% 87.2% 80.0% 1.09× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 79.2% 77.3% 81.9% 0.94× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 73.3% 71.8% 66.8% 1.07× 1.39
Q3 under 38.5 70.1% 71.8% 73.9% 0.97× 1.39
Q3 over 32.5 63.1% 62.0% 56.1% 1.10× 1.61
Q3 under 36.5 59.5% 58.4% 64.6% 0.90× 1.71
Q3 under 35.5 53.8% 52.3% 59.7% 0.88× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 51.9% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 48.1% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 46.2% 47.7% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
Q3 over 36.5 40.5% 41.6% 35.4% 1.17× 2.40
Q3 under 32.5 36.9% 38.1% 43.9% 0.87× 2.63
Q3 over 38.5 29.9% 28.2% 26.1% 1.08× 3.55
Q3 under 30.5 26.7% 28.2% 33.2% 0.85× 3.55
Q3 over 40.5 20.8% 22.7% 18.1% 1.25× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 14.6% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.83
Q3 over 43.5 10.7% 12.8% 9.8% 1.30× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers to win Q4 53.9% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.94
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q4 40.4% 43.0% 52.8% 0.82× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 43.5 87.8% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 84.3% 82.0% 78.9% 1.04× 1.22
Q4 under 40.5 77.6% 76.9% 80.6% 0.95× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 72.5% 71.5% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 under 38.5 68.7% 67.4% 73.1% 0.92× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 62.8% 61.4% 55.4% 1.11× 1.63
Q4 under 36.5 58.6% 58.4% 64.3% 0.91× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 53.3% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 52.1% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 47.9% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 46.7% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 over 36.5 41.4% 41.6% 35.7% 1.17× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 37.2% 38.6% 44.6% 0.87× 2.59
Q4 over 38.5 31.3% 32.6% 26.9% 1.21× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 27.5% 28.5% 33.7% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 over 40.5 22.4% 23.1% 19.4% 1.19× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 15.7% 18.0% 21.1% 0.85× 5.56
Q4 over 43.5 12.2% 14.4% 11.4% 1.26× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers under 79.5 87.2% 83.9% 89.7% 0.94× 1.19
Seton Hall Pirates over 54.5 85.2% 83.9% 83.8% 1.00× 1.19
Seton Hall Pirates under 74.5 85.4% 83.9% 70.7% 1.19× 1.19
Princeton Tigers over 59.5 84.4% 80.7% 58.8% 1.37× 1.24
Princeton Tigers under 76.5 79.2% 75.1% 85.8% 0.88× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates over 57.5 76.6% 75.1% 77.2% 0.97× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates under 71.5 77.0% 75.1% 63.0% 1.19× 1.33
Princeton Tigers over 62.5 75.5% 75.1% 49.0% 1.53× 1.33
Princeton Tigers under 74.5 72.5% 70.7% 82.3% 0.86× 1.41
Seton Hall Pirates under 69.5 70.2% 70.7% 57.4% 1.23× 1.41
Seton Hall Pirates over 59.5 69.7% 66.4% 72.2% 0.92× 1.51
Princeton Tigers over 64.5 68.3% 66.4% 43.2% 1.54× 1.51
Princeton Tigers under 72.5 64.9% 61.2% 78.2% 0.78× 1.63
Seton Hall Pirates under 67.5 62.7% 61.2% 51.3% 1.19× 1.63
Seton Hall Pirates over 61.5 62.0% 61.2% 66.9% 0.91× 1.63
Princeton Tigers over 66.5 60.3% 61.2% 37.3% 1.64× 1.63
Princeton Tigers under 70.5 56.7% 57.1% 73.7% 0.78× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates over 63.5 53.8% 52.3% 61.5% 0.85× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 65.5 54.5% 52.3% 44.7% 1.17× 1.91
Princeton Tigers over 68.5 51.8% 52.3% 31.4% 1.66× 1.91
Princeton Tigers under 69.5 52.4% 52.3% 71.2% 0.73× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 64.5 50.4% 52.3% 41.6% 1.26× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates over 64.5 49.6% 47.7% 58.4% 0.82× 2.09
Princeton Tigers under 68.5 48.2% 47.7% 68.6% 0.70× 2.09
Princeton Tigers over 69.5 47.6% 47.7% 28.8% 1.66× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates under 63.5 46.2% 47.7% 38.5% 1.24× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates over 65.5 45.5% 47.7% 55.3% 0.86× 2.09
Princeton Tigers over 70.5 43.3% 42.9% 26.3% 1.63× 2.33
Princeton Tigers under 66.5 39.7% 38.8% 62.7% 0.62× 2.58
Seton Hall Pirates under 61.5 38.0% 38.8% 33.1% 1.17× 2.58
Seton Hall Pirates over 67.5 37.3% 38.8% 48.7% 0.80× 2.58
Princeton Tigers over 72.5 35.1% 38.8% 21.8% 1.78× 2.58
Princeton Tigers under 64.5 31.7% 33.6% 56.9% 0.59× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates under 59.5 30.3% 33.6% 27.8% 1.21× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates over 69.5 29.8% 29.3% 42.6% 0.69× 3.42
Princeton Tigers over 74.5 27.5% 29.3% 17.7% 1.65× 3.42
Princeton Tigers under 62.5 24.5% 24.9% 51.0% 0.49× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates under 57.5 23.4% 24.9% 22.8% 1.09× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates over 71.5 23.0% 24.9% 37.0% 0.67× 4.02
Princeton Tigers over 76.5 20.8% 24.9% 14.2% 1.75× 4.02
Princeton Tigers under 59.5 15.6% 19.3% 41.2% 0.47× 5.18
Seton Hall Pirates under 54.5 14.8% 16.1% 16.2% 1.00× 6.21
Seton Hall Pirates over 74.5 14.6% 16.1% 29.3% 0.55× 6.21
Princeton Tigers over 79.5 12.8% 16.1% 10.3% 1.56× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 113.5 points 90.9% 88.8% 81.9% 1.08× 1.13
Under 153.5 points 91.0% 88.8% 89.0% 1.00× 1.13
Under 148.5 points 84.3% 80.6% 83.7% 0.96× 1.24
Over 118.5 points 84.0% 80.6% 73.6% 1.10× 1.24
Under 143.5 points 75.1% 75.6% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
Over 123.5 points 74.4% 70.8% 63.3% 1.12× 1.41
Over 126.5 points 67.6% 65.9% 57.4% 1.15× 1.52
Under 140.5 points 68.3% 65.9% 71.8% 0.92× 1.52
Under 138.5 points 63.4% 61.5% 67.9% 0.91× 1.63
Over 128.5 points 62.7% 61.5% 52.8% 1.16× 1.63
Under 136.5 points 58.3% 56.5% 64.2% 0.88× 1.77
Over 130.5 points 57.5% 56.5% 48.3% 1.17× 1.77
Over 132.5 points 52.3% 52.3% 44.0% 1.19× 1.91
Under 134.5 points 53.0% 52.3% 60.2% 0.87× 1.91
Under 133.5 points 50.5% 52.3% 58.0% 0.90× 1.91
Over 133.5 points 49.5% 47.7% 42.0% 1.14× 2.10
Under 132.5 points 47.7% 47.7% 56.0% 0.85× 2.10
Over 134.5 points 47.0% 47.7% 39.8% 1.20× 2.10
Under 130.5 points 42.5% 43.5% 51.7% 0.84× 2.30
Over 136.5 points 41.7% 43.5% 35.8% 1.22× 2.30
Under 128.5 points 37.3% 38.5% 47.2% 0.82× 2.60
Over 138.5 points 36.6% 38.5% 32.1% 1.20× 2.60
Under 126.5 points 32.4% 34.1% 42.6% 0.80× 2.93
Over 140.5 points 31.7% 34.1% 28.2% 1.21× 2.93
Under 123.5 points 25.6% 29.2% 36.7% 0.79× 3.43
Over 143.5 points 24.9% 24.4% 23.3% 1.05× 4.10
Under 118.5 points 16.0% 19.4% 26.4% 0.73× 5.15
Over 148.5 points 15.7% 19.4% 16.3% 1.19× 5.15
Under 113.5 points 9.1% 11.2% 18.1% 0.62× 8.96
Over 153.5 points 9.0% 11.2% 11.0% 1.02× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers to win both halves 30.5% 31.2% 20.4% 1.53× 3.20
Seton Hall Pirates to win both halves 11.9% 14.0% 36.0% 0.39× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Princeton Tigers by 1-5 18.1% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Princeton Tigers by 6-10 17.3% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Seton Hall Pirates by 1-5 14.8% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Princeton Tigers by 11-15 13.6% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Seton Hall Pirates by 6-10 10.1% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Princeton Tigers by 16-20 8.8% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Seton Hall Pirates by 11-15 5.7% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Princeton Tigers by 21-25 4.6% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.29
Seton Hall Pirates by 16-20 2.6% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.31
Seton Hall Pirates by 21-25 1.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Princeton Tigers by 26+ 2.9% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.30
Seton Hall Pirates by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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