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Seton Hall Pirates v Rider Broncs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 24 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Seton Hall Pirates win
98.8%
Draw
0.0%
Rider Broncs win
1.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 72.05–46.14 72-46 0% 63% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 100+ 0.3% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.31
Seton Hall Pirates to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Rider Broncs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Rider Broncs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Rider Broncs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Rider Broncs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win H1 89.4% 88.8% 56.4% 1.57× 1.13
Rider Broncs to win H1 8.6% 7.2% 39.9% 0.18× 13.91
H1 tied 2.0% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.88
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 71.5 91.0% 90.8% 81.4% 1.12× 1.10
H1 over 47.5 88.4% 87.7% 90.6% 0.97× 1.14
H1 under 67.5 82.3% 82.5% 70.4% 1.17× 1.21
H1 over 51.5 77.8% 77.4% 82.0% 0.94× 1.29
H1 under 64.5 73.1% 73.5% 60.7% 1.21× 1.36
H1 over 54.5 67.1% 67.4% 74.0% 0.91× 1.48
H1 under 62.5 65.8% 67.4% 53.7% 1.26× 1.48
H1 over 56.5 59.0% 58.2% 68.2% 0.85× 1.72
H1 under 60.5 57.8% 58.2% 46.1% 1.26× 1.72
H1 under 59.5 53.6% 52.6% 42.2% 1.25× 1.90
H1 over 58.5 50.6% 52.6% 61.4% 0.86× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 49.4% 47.4% 38.6% 1.23× 2.11
H1 over 59.5 46.4% 47.4% 57.8% 0.82× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 42.2% 41.8% 53.9% 0.78× 2.39
H1 under 56.5 41.0% 41.8% 31.8% 1.31× 2.39
H1 over 62.5 34.2% 32.6% 46.3% 0.70× 3.07
H1 under 54.5 32.9% 32.6% 26.0% 1.25× 3.07
H1 over 64.5 26.9% 26.5% 39.3% 0.68× 3.77
H1 under 51.5 22.2% 22.6% 18.0% 1.25× 4.43
H1 over 67.5 17.7% 17.5% 29.6% 0.59× 5.73
H1 under 47.5 11.6% 12.3% 9.4% 1.30× 8.14
H1 over 71.5 9.0% 9.2% 18.6% 0.49× 10.89
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win H2 90.8% 89.2% 56.0% 1.59× 1.12
Rider Broncs to win H2 7.5% 11.3% 40.6% 0.28× 8.87
H2 tied 1.7% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 76.5 89.1% 85.2% 75.6% 1.13× 1.17
H2 over 52.5 88.7% 85.2% 91.3% 0.93× 1.17
H2 under 72.5 79.8% 75.8% 64.1% 1.18× 1.32
H2 over 56.5 78.6% 75.8% 84.1% 0.90× 1.32
H2 under 69.5 70.4% 72.2% 54.8% 1.32× 1.39
H2 over 59.5 68.5% 66.4% 77.0% 0.86× 1.51
H2 under 67.5 63.1% 61.6% 47.9% 1.29× 1.62
H2 over 61.5 60.9% 61.6% 71.3% 0.86× 1.62
H2 under 65.5 55.2% 57.3% 41.2% 1.39× 1.74
H2 over 63.5 52.9% 52.4% 65.3% 0.80× 1.91
H2 under 64.5 51.2% 52.4% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
H2 over 64.5 48.8% 47.6% 62.1% 0.77× 2.10
H2 under 63.5 47.1% 47.6% 34.7% 1.37× 2.10
H2 over 65.5 44.8% 42.7% 58.8% 0.73× 2.34
H2 under 61.5 39.1% 38.4% 28.7% 1.34× 2.61
H2 over 67.5 36.9% 38.4% 52.1% 0.74× 2.61
H2 under 59.5 31.5% 33.6% 23.0% 1.46× 2.97
H2 over 69.5 29.6% 27.8% 45.2% 0.62× 3.59
H2 under 56.5 21.4% 24.2% 15.9% 1.53× 4.13
H2 over 72.5 20.2% 24.2% 36.0% 0.67× 4.13
H2 under 52.5 11.3% 14.8% 8.7% 1.70× 6.76
H2 over 76.5 10.9% 14.8% 24.4% 0.61× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates leading at half time 89.4% 89.5% 56.4% 1.59× 1.12
Rider Broncs leading at half time 8.6% 6.7% 39.9% 0.17× 14.87
Level at half time 2.0% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.43
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates +3.5 99.4% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +4.5 99.6% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +5.5 99.7% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +6.5 99.7% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +7.5 99.8% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +8.5 99.9% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +9.5 99.9% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +10.5 99.9% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +12.5 100.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates −1.5 98.4% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +1.5 99.0% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates −2.5 97.9% 97.4% 56.7% 1.72× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +2.5 99.3% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates −3.5 97.3% 97.4% 54.2% 1.80× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates −4.5 96.6% 97.4% 52.2% 1.87× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates −5.5 95.8% 97.4% 49.7% 1.96× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates −6.5 94.8% 91.1% 47.6% 1.91× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates −7.5 93.7% 91.1% 44.8% 2.04× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates −8.5 92.4% 91.1% 42.0% 2.17× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates −9.5 91.0% 91.1% 39.3% 2.32× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates −10.5 89.3% 85.9% 36.8% 2.33× 1.16
Seton Hall Pirates −12.5 85.3% 85.9% 32.1% 2.67× 1.16
Seton Hall Pirates −14.5 80.5% 81.1% 27.9% 2.91× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates −16.5 74.8% 71.6% 24.3% 2.95× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates −18.5 68.3% 66.7% 20.7% 3.22× 1.50
Seton Hall Pirates −20.5 61.2% 61.9% 18.0% 3.44× 1.62
Rider Broncs +20.5 38.8% 38.1% 82.0% 0.46× 2.63
Rider Broncs +18.5 31.7% 33.3% 79.3% 0.42× 3.01
Rider Broncs +16.5 25.2% 28.4% 75.7% 0.37× 3.53
Rider Broncs +14.5 19.5% 18.9% 72.1% 0.26× 5.29
Rider Broncs +12.5 14.7% 14.1% 67.9% 0.21× 7.09
Rider Broncs +10.5 10.7% 14.1% 63.2% 0.22× 7.09
Rider Broncs +9.5 9.0% 8.9% 60.7% 0.15× 11.25
Rider Broncs +7.5 6.3% 8.9% 55.2% 0.16× 11.25
Rider Broncs +8.5 7.6% 8.9% 58.0% 0.15× 11.25
Rider Broncs +6.5 5.2% 8.9% 52.4% 0.17× 11.25
Rider Broncs +1.5 1.6% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.73
Rider Broncs −1.5 1.0% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.74
Rider Broncs +2.5 2.1% 2.6% 43.3% 0.06× 38.73
Rider Broncs −2.5 0.7% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.74
Rider Broncs +3.5 2.7% 2.6% 45.8% 0.06× 38.73
Rider Broncs +4.5 3.4% 2.6% 47.8% 0.05× 38.73
Rider Broncs +5.5 4.2% 2.6% 50.3% 0.05× 38.72
Rider Broncs −3.5 0.6% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.74
Rider Broncs −4.5 0.4% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.74
Rider Broncs −5.5 0.3% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
Rider Broncs −6.5 0.3% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
Rider Broncs −7.5 0.2% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Rider Broncs −8.5 0.1% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Rider Broncs −9.5 0.1% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Rider Broncs −10.5 0.1% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Rider Broncs −12.5 0.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Rider Broncs −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Rider Broncs −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Rider Broncs −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Rider Broncs −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.9% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.1% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.0% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.2% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.7% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.2% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 88.9% 89.2% 48.3% 1.85× 1.12
Rider Broncs at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 7.9% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.09
Level at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 1.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Rider Broncs at FT 0.4% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.78
Level at HT / Rider Broncs at FT 0.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Rider Broncs at HT / Rider Broncs at FT 0.7% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win 98.8% 97.5% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Rider Broncs to win 1.2% 2.5% 40.1% 0.06× 39.63
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rider Broncs even 51.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.2% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Seton Hall Pirates even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Rider Broncs odd 48.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.8% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Seton Hall Pirates odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 98.5% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 1.5% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.56
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q1 78.7% 80.0% 54.7% 1.46× 1.25
Rider Broncs to win Q1 17.1% 15.6% 40.4% 0.39× 6.40
Q1 tied 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.96
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 21.5 89.2% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 88.9% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 78.0% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 34.5 77.8% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 26.5 67.8% 67.6% 72.9% 0.93× 1.48
Q1 under 32.5 67.7% 67.6% 59.1% 1.14× 1.48
Q1 over 28.5 56.1% 58.6% 62.7% 0.94× 1.71
Q1 under 30.5 56.1% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 over 29.5 50.0% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 50.0% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 under 28.5 43.9% 41.4% 37.3% 1.11× 2.42
Q1 over 30.5 43.9% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 over 32.5 32.3% 32.4% 40.9% 0.79× 3.08
Q1 under 26.5 32.2% 32.4% 27.1% 1.20× 3.08
Q1 over 34.5 22.2% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 22.0% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 10.8% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 11.1% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q2 78.0% 80.8% 52.9% 1.53× 1.24
Rider Broncs to win Q2 17.8% 14.6% 41.5% 0.35× 6.85
Q2 tied 4.3% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.90
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 37.5 89.8% 87.3% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Q2 over 21.5 88.2% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 79.1% 76.8% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Q2 over 24.5 76.5% 76.8% 80.7% 0.95× 1.30
Q2 under 32.5 69.4% 67.4% 60.8% 1.11× 1.48
Q2 over 26.5 66.1% 67.4% 71.6% 0.94× 1.49
Q2 under 30.5 57.9% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 over 28.5 54.2% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 51.9% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 29.5 48.1% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 under 28.5 45.8% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 42.1% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 under 26.5 33.9% 32.6% 28.4% 1.15× 3.06
Q2 over 32.5 30.6% 32.6% 39.2% 0.83× 3.06
Q2 under 24.5 23.5% 23.2% 19.3% 1.21× 4.31
Q2 over 34.5 20.9% 23.2% 29.9% 0.78× 4.31
Q2 under 21.5 11.8% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.89
Q2 over 37.5 10.2% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q3 80.2% 85.4% 53.3% 1.60× 1.17
Rider Broncs to win Q3 15.8% 15.0% 41.8% 0.36× 6.67
Q3 tied 3.9% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.45
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 40.5 89.5% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 24.5 87.5% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 37.5 79.0% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 75.6% 77.3% 80.0% 0.97× 1.29
Q3 under 35.5 69.5% 67.8% 59.7% 1.14× 1.48
Q3 over 29.5 65.2% 67.8% 71.8% 0.94× 1.48
Q3 under 33.5 58.3% 58.4% 49.1% 1.19× 1.71
Q3 over 31.5 53.6% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 52.4% 52.3% 43.9% 1.19× 1.91
Q3 over 32.5 47.6% 47.7% 56.1% 0.85× 2.10
Q3 under 31.5 46.4% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 41.7% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Q3 under 29.5 34.8% 32.2% 28.2% 1.14× 3.10
Q3 over 35.5 30.5% 32.2% 40.3% 0.80× 3.11
Q3 under 27.5 24.4% 22.7% 20.0% 1.14× 4.40
Q3 over 37.5 21.0% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 24.5 12.5% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q3 over 40.5 10.5% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q4 79.8% 71.7% 52.8% 1.36× 1.40
Rider Broncs to win Q4 16.3% 22.5% 41.5% 0.54× 4.44
Q4 tied 3.9% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.30
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 40.5 87.9% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 24.5 86.2% 85.6% 89.0% 0.96× 1.17
Q4 under 37.5 77.3% 76.9% 68.8% 1.12× 1.30
Q4 over 27.5 74.6% 71.5% 78.9% 0.91× 1.40
Q4 under 35.5 68.1% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 64.7% 61.4% 70.8% 0.87× 1.63
Q4 under 33.5 57.4% 58.4% 49.6% 1.18× 1.71
Q4 over 31.5 53.8% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 51.9% 52.5% 44.6% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 48.1% 47.5% 55.4% 0.86× 2.11
Q4 under 31.5 46.2% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 42.6% 41.6% 50.4% 0.83× 2.40
Q4 under 29.5 35.3% 38.6% 29.2% 1.32× 2.59
Q4 over 35.5 31.9% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 25.4% 28.5% 21.1% 1.35× 3.51
Q4 over 37.5 22.7% 23.1% 31.2% 0.74× 4.33
Q4 under 24.5 13.8% 14.4% 11.0% 1.31× 6.95
Q4 over 40.5 12.1% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rider Broncs under 60.5 92.1% 86.5% 44.4% 1.95× 1.16
Seton Hall Pirates under 83.5 86.5% 83.9% 87.7% 0.96× 1.19
Seton Hall Pirates over 63.5 85.1% 83.9% 61.5% 1.37× 1.19
Rider Broncs under 57.5 85.6% 83.9% 34.9% 2.41× 1.19
Rider Broncs over 43.5 80.2% 80.7% 93.7% 0.86× 1.24
Rider Broncs under 55.5 79.6% 75.1% 29.2% 2.57× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates under 80.5 78.3% 75.1% 82.9% 0.91× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates over 66.5 76.4% 75.1% 51.8% 1.45× 1.33
Rider Broncs over 40.5 95.5% 75.1% 96.4% 0.78× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates under 78.5 71.5% 70.7% 79.4% 0.89× 1.41
Rider Broncs under 53.5 72.1% 70.7% 23.7% 2.98× 1.41
Seton Hall Pirates over 68.5 69.3% 66.4% 45.6% 1.46× 1.51
Rider Broncs over 45.5 69.1% 66.4% 91.3% 0.73× 1.51
Seton Hall Pirates under 76.5 63.9% 61.2% 75.4% 0.81× 1.63
Rider Broncs under 51.5 63.2% 61.2% 19.0% 3.22× 1.63
Seton Hall Pirates over 70.5 61.3% 61.2% 39.7% 1.54× 1.63
Rider Broncs over 47.5 57.8% 57.1% 88.4% 0.65× 1.75
Rider Broncs under 50.5 58.3% 57.1% 16.9% 3.39× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates under 74.5 55.6% 57.1% 70.7% 0.81× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates over 72.5 52.9% 52.3% 34.3% 1.52× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 73.5 51.3% 52.3% 68.5% 0.76× 1.91
Rider Broncs under 49.5 53.1% 52.3% 14.9% 3.50× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 72.5 47.1% 47.7% 65.7% 0.73× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates over 73.5 48.7% 47.7% 31.5% 1.51× 2.09
Rider Broncs over 49.5 46.9% 47.7% 85.1% 0.56× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates over 74.5 44.4% 42.9% 29.3% 1.47× 2.33
Rider Broncs under 47.5 42.2% 42.9% 11.6% 3.69× 2.33
Rider Broncs over 50.5 41.7% 42.9% 83.1% 0.52× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates under 70.5 38.7% 38.8% 60.3% 0.64× 2.58
Rider Broncs over 51.5 36.8% 38.8% 81.0% 0.48× 2.58
Seton Hall Pirates over 76.5 36.1% 38.8% 24.6% 1.58× 2.58
Seton Hall Pirates under 68.5 30.8% 33.6% 54.4% 0.62× 2.98
Rider Broncs under 45.5 30.9% 33.6% 8.7% 3.88× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates over 78.5 28.5% 29.3% 20.6% 1.42× 3.42
Rider Broncs over 53.5 27.9% 29.3% 76.3% 0.38× 3.42
Rider Broncs under 40.5 4.5% 24.9% 3.6% 6.89× 4.01
Seton Hall Pirates under 66.5 23.6% 24.9% 48.2% 0.52× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates over 80.5 21.7% 24.9% 17.1% 1.46× 4.02
Rider Broncs over 55.5 20.4% 24.9% 70.8% 0.35× 4.02
Rider Broncs under 43.5 19.8% 19.3% 6.3% 3.05× 5.18
Seton Hall Pirates under 63.5 14.9% 16.1% 38.5% 0.42× 6.21
Rider Broncs over 57.5 14.4% 16.1% 65.1% 0.25× 6.21
Seton Hall Pirates over 83.5 13.5% 16.1% 12.3% 1.31× 6.21
Rider Broncs over 60.5 7.9% 13.5% 55.6% 0.24× 7.39
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 103.5 points 94.7% 88.8% 93.6% 0.95× 1.13
Under 143.5 points 93.8% 88.8% 76.7% 1.16× 1.13
Over 108.5 points 87.8% 85.0% 88.9% 0.96× 1.18
Under 138.5 points 88.3% 85.0% 67.9% 1.25× 1.18
Under 133.5 points 79.6% 75.6% 58.0% 1.30× 1.32
Over 113.5 points 76.8% 75.6% 81.9% 0.92× 1.32
Under 130.5 points 72.8% 70.8% 51.7% 1.37× 1.41
Over 116.5 points 68.6% 65.9% 77.2% 0.85× 1.52
Under 128.5 points 67.7% 65.9% 47.2% 1.40× 1.52
Over 118.5 points 62.6% 61.5% 73.6% 0.84× 1.63
Under 126.5 points 62.1% 61.5% 42.6% 1.44× 1.63
Over 120.5 points 56.3% 56.5% 69.8% 0.81× 1.77
Under 124.5 points 56.1% 56.5% 38.5% 1.47× 1.77
Under 123.5 points 53.1% 52.3% 36.7% 1.43× 1.91
Over 122.5 points 50.0% 52.3% 65.6% 0.80× 1.91
Under 122.5 points 50.0% 47.7% 34.4% 1.39× 2.10
Over 123.5 points 46.9% 47.7% 63.3% 0.75× 2.10
Under 120.5 points 43.7% 43.5% 30.2% 1.44× 2.30
Over 124.5 points 43.9% 43.5% 61.5% 0.71× 2.30
Under 118.5 points 37.4% 38.5% 26.4% 1.46× 2.60
Over 126.5 points 37.9% 38.5% 57.4% 0.67× 2.60
Over 128.5 points 32.3% 34.1% 52.8% 0.65× 2.93
Under 116.5 points 31.4% 34.1% 22.8% 1.50× 2.93
Over 130.5 points 27.2% 29.2% 48.3% 0.60× 3.43
Under 113.5 points 23.2% 24.4% 18.1% 1.35× 4.10
Over 133.5 points 20.4% 24.4% 42.0% 0.58× 4.10
Under 108.5 points 12.2% 15.0% 11.1% 1.35× 6.69
Over 138.5 points 11.7% 15.0% 32.1% 0.47× 6.69
Over 143.5 points 6.2% 11.2% 23.3% 0.48× 8.97
Under 103.5 points 5.3% 11.2% 6.4% 1.74× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win both halves 80.5% 82.1% 36.0% 2.28× 1.22
Rider Broncs to win both halves 0.2% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.84
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates by 26+ 42.0% 47.7% 12.6% 3.78× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates by 21-25 19.1% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
Seton Hall Pirates by 16-20 16.6% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Seton Hall Pirates by 11-15 11.5% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Seton Hall Pirates by 6-10 6.5% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Seton Hall Pirates by 1-5 3.0% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.30
Rider Broncs by 1-5 0.9% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.32
Rider Broncs by 6-10 0.3% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.33
Rider Broncs by 11-15 0.1% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
Rider Broncs by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Rider Broncs by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Rider Broncs by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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