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Seton Hall Pirates v South Florida Bulls — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Seton Hall Pirates win
55.0%
Draw
0.0%
South Florida Bulls win
45.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 68.12–66.75 68-67 0% 48% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
South Florida Bulls to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
South Florida Bulls to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
South Florida Bulls to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Seton Hall Pirates to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win H1 50.8% 51.8% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
South Florida Bulls to win H1 44.7% 42.7% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 76.5 88.2% 87.7% 90.2% 0.97× 1.14
H1 over 52.5 88.0% 87.7% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
H1 over 56.5 78.2% 77.4% 68.2% 1.14× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 78.6% 77.4% 83.6% 0.93× 1.29
H1 over 59.5 68.6% 67.4% 57.8% 1.17× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 69.1% 67.4% 76.2% 0.89× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 61.3% 62.7% 50.2% 1.25× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 61.9% 62.7% 70.4% 0.89× 1.59
H1 under 65.5 54.2% 52.6% 63.9% 0.82× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 53.6% 52.6% 42.9% 1.23× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 50.3% 52.6% 60.7% 0.87× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 49.7% 47.4% 39.3% 1.21× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 46.4% 47.4% 57.1% 0.83× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 45.8% 47.4% 36.1% 1.31× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 38.7% 37.3% 49.8% 0.75× 2.68
H1 over 67.5 38.1% 37.3% 29.6% 1.26× 2.68
H1 under 59.5 31.4% 32.6% 42.2% 0.77× 3.07
H1 over 69.5 30.9% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.07
H1 under 56.5 21.8% 22.6% 31.8% 0.71× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 21.4% 22.6% 16.4% 1.38× 4.43
H1 under 52.5 12.0% 12.3% 20.4% 0.60× 8.14
H1 over 76.5 11.8% 12.3% 9.8% 1.26× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win H2 51.1% 51.2% 56.0% 0.91× 1.95
South Florida Bulls to win H2 44.6% 43.6% 40.6% 1.07× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 58.5 87.1% 85.2% 79.6% 1.07× 1.17
H2 under 82.5 86.9% 85.2% 87.4% 0.97× 1.17
H2 over 62.5 77.5% 75.8% 68.3% 1.11× 1.32
H2 under 78.5 77.2% 75.8% 80.1% 0.95× 1.32
H2 over 65.5 68.2% 66.4% 58.8% 1.13× 1.51
H2 under 75.5 67.9% 66.4% 73.0% 0.91× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 61.2% 61.6% 52.1% 1.18× 1.62
H2 under 73.5 60.9% 61.6% 67.1% 0.92× 1.62
H2 over 69.5 53.9% 52.4% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
H2 under 71.5 53.6% 52.4% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
H2 over 70.5 50.1% 52.4% 42.2% 1.24× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 49.9% 47.6% 57.8% 0.82× 2.10
H2 under 69.5 46.1% 47.6% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
H2 over 71.5 46.4% 47.6% 38.9% 1.23× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 39.1% 38.4% 32.9% 1.17× 2.61
H2 under 67.5 38.8% 38.4% 47.9% 0.80× 2.61
H2 under 65.5 31.8% 33.6% 41.2% 0.82× 2.97
H2 over 75.5 32.1% 33.6% 27.0% 1.25× 2.97
H2 under 62.5 22.5% 24.2% 31.7% 0.76× 4.13
H2 over 78.5 22.8% 24.2% 19.9% 1.22× 4.13
H2 under 58.5 12.9% 14.8% 20.4% 0.73× 6.76
H2 over 82.5 13.1% 14.8% 12.6% 1.17× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates leading at half time 50.8% 51.8% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
South Florida Bulls leading at half time 44.7% 42.9% 39.9% 1.07× 2.33
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates +18.5 96.1% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +20.5 97.4% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +20.5 95.5% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +16.5 94.3% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
South Florida Bulls +18.5 93.5% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates +14.5 91.9% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
South Florida Bulls +16.5 90.8% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates +12.5 88.8% 85.9% 83.8% 1.03× 1.16
South Florida Bulls +14.5 87.5% 85.9% 72.1% 1.19× 1.16
Seton Hall Pirates +10.5 85.0% 81.1% 80.4% 1.01× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +9.5 82.8% 81.1% 78.7% 1.03× 1.23
South Florida Bulls +12.5 83.4% 81.1% 67.9% 1.20× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +8.5 80.4% 81.1% 76.5% 1.06× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +7.5 77.8% 76.5% 74.5% 1.03× 1.31
South Florida Bulls +10.5 78.5% 76.5% 63.2% 1.21× 1.31
South Florida Bulls +9.5 75.7% 76.5% 60.7% 1.26× 1.31
Seton Hall Pirates +6.5 75.0% 71.6% 72.3% 0.99× 1.40
South Florida Bulls +8.5 72.8% 71.6% 58.0% 1.23× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates +5.5 72.0% 71.6% 70.1% 1.02× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates +4.5 68.9% 66.7% 67.8% 0.98× 1.50
South Florida Bulls +7.5 69.7% 66.7% 55.2% 1.21× 1.50
South Florida Bulls +6.5 66.4% 66.7% 52.4% 1.27× 1.50
Seton Hall Pirates +3.5 65.6% 66.7% 65.7% 1.02× 1.50
South Florida Bulls +5.5 63.1% 61.9% 50.3% 1.23× 1.62
Seton Hall Pirates +2.5 62.2% 61.9% 63.3% 0.98× 1.62
South Florida Bulls +4.5 59.6% 57.1% 47.8% 1.19× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates +1.5 58.6% 57.1% 61.2% 0.93× 1.75
South Florida Bulls +3.5 56.0% 57.1% 45.8% 1.25× 1.75
South Florida Bulls +2.5 52.3% 52.4% 43.3% 1.21× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates −1.5 51.4% 52.4% 58.7% 0.89× 1.91
South Florida Bulls +1.5 48.6% 47.6% 41.3% 1.15× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates −2.5 47.7% 47.6% 56.7% 0.84× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates −3.5 44.0% 42.9% 54.2% 0.79× 2.33
South Florida Bulls −1.5 41.4% 42.9% 38.8% 1.11× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates −4.5 40.4% 42.9% 52.2% 0.82× 2.33
South Florida Bulls −2.5 37.8% 38.1% 36.7% 1.04× 2.63
Seton Hall Pirates −5.5 36.9% 38.1% 49.7% 0.77× 2.63
South Florida Bulls −3.5 34.4% 33.3% 34.3% 0.97× 3.01
Seton Hall Pirates −6.5 33.6% 33.3% 47.6% 0.70× 3.01
South Florida Bulls −4.5 31.1% 33.3% 32.2% 1.03× 3.01
Seton Hall Pirates −7.5 30.3% 33.3% 44.8% 0.74× 3.01
South Florida Bulls −5.5 28.0% 28.4% 29.9% 0.95× 3.53
Seton Hall Pirates −8.5 27.2% 28.4% 42.0% 0.68× 3.53
South Florida Bulls −6.5 25.0% 28.4% 27.7% 1.02× 3.53
Seton Hall Pirates −9.5 24.3% 23.5% 39.3% 0.60× 4.25
South Florida Bulls −7.5 22.2% 23.5% 25.5% 0.92× 4.25
Seton Hall Pirates −10.5 21.5% 23.5% 36.8% 0.64× 4.25
South Florida Bulls −8.5 19.6% 18.9% 23.5% 0.80× 5.29
South Florida Bulls −9.5 17.2% 18.9% 21.3% 0.89× 5.29
Seton Hall Pirates −12.5 16.6% 18.9% 32.1% 0.59× 5.30
South Florida Bulls −10.5 15.0% 18.9% 19.6% 0.96× 5.30
Seton Hall Pirates −14.5 12.5% 14.1% 27.9% 0.51× 7.09
South Florida Bulls −12.5 11.2% 14.1% 16.2% 0.87× 7.09
South Florida Bulls −14.5 8.1% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −16.5 9.2% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −18.5 6.5% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
South Florida Bulls −16.5 5.7% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −20.5 4.5% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.72
South Florida Bulls −18.5 3.9% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.72
South Florida Bulls −20.5 2.6% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.6% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 38.7% 37.8% 48.3% 0.78× 2.65
South Florida Bulls at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT 30.7% 33.2% 30.1% 1.10× 3.01
South Florida Bulls at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 14.0% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT 12.2% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Level at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 2.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win 55.0% 55.1% 59.9% 0.92× 1.81
South Florida Bulls to win 45.0% 44.9% 40.1% 1.12× 2.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
South Florida Bulls even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Seton Hall Pirates even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
South Florida Bulls odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Seton Hall Pirates odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q1 49.0% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
South Florida Bulls to win Q1 44.9% 43.0% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 40.5 88.4% 87.4% 89.9% 0.97× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 87.8% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 77.5% 76.9% 81.6% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 76.4% 76.9% 67.7% 1.14× 1.30
Q1 under 35.5 67.7% 67.6% 73.2% 0.92× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 66.4% 67.6% 56.9% 1.19× 1.48
Q1 under 33.5 56.6% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 over 31.5 55.2% 58.6% 46.0% 1.27× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 50.7% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 32.5 49.3% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 under 31.5 44.8% 41.4% 54.0% 0.77× 2.42
Q1 over 33.5 43.4% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 33.6% 32.4% 43.1% 0.75× 3.08
Q1 over 35.5 32.3% 32.4% 26.8% 1.21× 3.08
Q1 under 27.5 23.6% 23.1% 32.3% 0.71× 4.33
Q1 over 37.5 22.5% 23.1% 18.4% 1.26× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 12.2% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 11.6% 12.6% 10.1% 1.24× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q2 49.0% 47.0% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
South Florida Bulls to win Q2 45.0% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 40.5 89.4% 87.3% 90.8% 0.96× 1.15
Q2 over 24.5 86.7% 87.3% 80.7% 1.08× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 78.9% 76.8% 82.3% 0.93× 1.30
Q2 over 27.5 74.9% 72.0% 66.7% 1.08× 1.39
Q2 under 35.5 69.5% 67.4% 74.6% 0.90× 1.48
Q2 over 29.5 64.6% 60.7% 55.8% 1.09× 1.65
Q2 under 33.5 58.5% 58.2% 65.6% 0.89× 1.72
Q2 over 31.5 53.2% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 under 32.5 52.7% 52.7% 60.8% 0.87× 1.90
Q2 over 32.5 47.3% 47.3% 39.2% 1.21× 2.11
Q2 under 31.5 46.8% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 33.5 41.5% 41.8% 34.4% 1.22× 2.39
Q2 under 29.5 35.4% 39.3% 44.2% 0.89× 2.55
Q2 over 35.5 30.5% 32.6% 25.4% 1.29× 3.06
Q2 under 27.5 25.1% 28.0% 33.3% 0.84× 3.57
Q2 over 37.5 21.1% 23.2% 17.7% 1.31× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 13.3% 12.7% 19.3% 0.66× 7.89
Q2 over 40.5 10.6% 12.7% 9.2% 1.38× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q3 49.2% 47.6% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
South Florida Bulls to win Q3 44.8% 42.3% 41.8% 1.01× 2.36
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 43.5 88.2% 87.2% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 86.7% 87.2% 80.0% 1.09× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 77.5% 77.3% 81.9% 0.94× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 75.2% 77.3% 66.8% 1.16× 1.29
Q3 under 38.5 68.0% 67.8% 73.9% 0.92× 1.48
Q3 over 32.5 65.3% 67.8% 56.1% 1.21× 1.48
Q3 under 36.5 57.2% 58.4% 64.6% 0.90× 1.71
Q3 over 34.5 54.2% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 35.5 51.5% 52.3% 59.7% 0.88× 1.91
Q3 over 35.5 48.5% 47.7% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
Q3 under 34.5 45.8% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 36.5 42.8% 41.6% 35.4% 1.17× 2.40
Q3 under 32.5 34.7% 32.2% 43.9% 0.73× 3.10
Q3 over 38.5 32.0% 32.2% 26.1% 1.23× 3.10
Q3 under 30.5 24.8% 22.7% 33.2% 0.69× 4.40
Q3 over 40.5 22.5% 22.7% 18.1% 1.25× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 13.3% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.83
Q3 over 43.5 11.8% 12.8% 9.8% 1.30× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q4 49.3% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
South Florida Bulls to win Q4 44.9% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 43.5 86.6% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 85.5% 85.6% 78.9% 1.09× 1.17
Q4 under 40.5 75.9% 76.9% 80.6% 0.95× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 74.3% 71.5% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 under 38.5 66.7% 67.4% 73.1% 0.92× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 64.8% 61.4% 55.4% 1.11× 1.63
Q4 under 36.5 56.4% 58.4% 64.3% 0.91× 1.71
Q4 over 34.5 54.4% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 35.5 51.0% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 35.5 49.0% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 under 34.5 45.6% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 36.5 43.6% 41.6% 35.7% 1.17× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 35.2% 38.6% 44.6% 0.87× 2.59
Q4 over 38.5 33.3% 32.6% 26.9% 1.21× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 25.7% 28.5% 33.7% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 over 40.5 24.1% 23.1% 19.4% 1.19× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 14.5% 14.4% 21.1% 0.68× 6.95
Q4 over 43.5 13.4% 14.4% 11.4% 1.26× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls under 77.5 87.5% 83.9% 87.2% 0.96× 1.19
Seton Hall Pirates under 78.5 85.9% 83.9% 79.4% 1.06× 1.19
Seton Hall Pirates over 58.5 84.4% 80.7% 74.7% 1.08× 1.24
South Florida Bulls over 57.5 84.0% 80.7% 65.1% 1.24× 1.24
South Florida Bulls under 74.5 79.6% 75.1% 82.3% 0.91× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates under 75.5 77.7% 75.1% 73.2% 1.03× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates over 61.5 75.7% 75.1% 66.9% 1.12× 1.33
South Florida Bulls over 60.5 74.9% 70.7% 55.6% 1.27× 1.41
South Florida Bulls under 72.5 73.1% 70.7% 78.2% 0.90× 1.41
Seton Hall Pirates under 73.5 71.0% 70.7% 68.5% 1.03× 1.41
Seton Hall Pirates over 63.5 68.7% 66.4% 61.5% 1.08× 1.51
South Florida Bulls over 62.5 67.6% 66.4% 49.0% 1.35× 1.51
South Florida Bulls under 70.5 65.6% 66.4% 73.7% 0.90× 1.51
Seton Hall Pirates under 71.5 63.5% 61.2% 63.0% 0.97× 1.63
Seton Hall Pirates over 65.5 61.0% 61.2% 55.3% 1.11× 1.63
South Florida Bulls over 64.5 59.5% 57.1% 43.2% 1.32× 1.75
South Florida Bulls under 68.5 57.4% 57.1% 68.6% 0.83× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates under 69.5 55.4% 57.1% 57.4% 0.99× 1.75
South Florida Bulls under 67.5 53.2% 52.3% 65.6% 0.80× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates over 67.5 52.9% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 68.5 51.3% 52.3% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
South Florida Bulls over 66.5 51.1% 52.3% 37.3% 1.40× 1.91
South Florida Bulls over 67.5 46.8% 47.7% 34.4% 1.39× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates under 67.5 47.1% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates over 68.5 48.7% 47.7% 45.6% 1.05× 2.09
South Florida Bulls under 66.5 48.9% 47.7% 62.7% 0.76× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates over 69.5 44.6% 42.9% 42.6% 1.01× 2.33
South Florida Bulls over 68.5 42.6% 42.9% 31.4% 1.37× 2.33
South Florida Bulls under 64.5 40.5% 42.9% 56.9% 0.75× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates under 65.5 39.0% 38.8% 44.7% 0.87× 2.58
Seton Hall Pirates over 71.5 36.5% 38.8% 37.0% 1.05× 2.58
South Florida Bulls over 70.5 34.4% 33.6% 26.3% 1.28× 2.98
South Florida Bulls under 62.5 32.4% 33.6% 51.0% 0.66× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates under 63.5 31.3% 33.6% 38.5% 0.87× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates over 73.5 29.0% 29.3% 31.5% 0.93× 3.42
South Florida Bulls over 72.5 26.9% 29.3% 21.8% 1.34× 3.42
South Florida Bulls under 60.5 25.1% 29.3% 44.4% 0.66× 3.42
Seton Hall Pirates under 61.5 24.3% 24.9% 33.1% 0.75× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates over 75.5 22.3% 24.9% 26.8% 0.93× 4.02
South Florida Bulls over 74.5 20.4% 24.9% 17.7% 1.40× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates under 58.5 15.6% 19.3% 25.3% 0.76× 5.18
South Florida Bulls under 57.5 16.0% 19.3% 34.9% 0.55× 5.18
Seton Hall Pirates over 78.5 14.1% 16.1% 20.6% 0.78× 6.21
South Florida Bulls over 77.5 12.5% 16.1% 12.8% 1.26× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 155.5 points 91.4% 88.8% 90.7% 0.98× 1.13
Over 115.5 points 90.3% 88.8% 78.8% 1.13× 1.13
Under 150.5 points 84.9% 80.6% 86.1% 0.94× 1.24
Over 120.5 points 83.2% 80.6% 69.8% 1.15× 1.24
Under 145.5 points 75.9% 75.6% 79.5% 0.95× 1.32
Over 125.5 points 73.5% 70.8% 59.5% 1.19× 1.41
Under 142.5 points 69.2% 65.9% 75.1% 0.88× 1.52
Over 128.5 points 66.6% 65.9% 52.8% 1.25× 1.52
Under 140.5 points 64.4% 61.5% 71.8% 0.86× 1.63
Over 130.5 points 61.6% 61.5% 48.3% 1.27× 1.63
Under 138.5 points 59.3% 56.5% 67.9% 0.83× 1.77
Over 132.5 points 56.5% 56.5% 44.0% 1.28× 1.77
Under 136.5 points 54.1% 52.3% 64.2% 0.81× 1.91
Under 135.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 62.4% 0.84× 1.91
Over 134.5 points 51.2% 52.3% 39.8% 1.31× 1.91
Under 134.5 points 48.8% 47.7% 60.2% 0.79× 2.10
Over 135.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 37.6% 1.27× 2.10
Over 136.5 points 45.9% 47.7% 35.8% 1.33× 2.10
Under 132.5 points 43.5% 43.5% 56.0% 0.78× 2.30
Over 138.5 points 40.7% 43.5% 32.1% 1.36× 2.30
Under 130.5 points 38.4% 38.5% 51.7% 0.75× 2.60
Over 140.5 points 35.6% 38.5% 28.2% 1.36× 2.60
Under 128.5 points 33.4% 34.1% 47.2% 0.72× 2.93
Over 142.5 points 30.8% 34.1% 24.9% 1.37× 2.93
Under 125.5 points 26.6% 29.2% 40.5% 0.72× 3.43
Over 145.5 points 24.1% 24.4% 20.5% 1.19× 4.10
Under 120.5 points 16.8% 19.4% 30.2% 0.64× 5.15
Over 150.5 points 15.1% 19.4% 13.9% 1.39× 5.15
Under 115.5 points 9.7% 11.2% 21.2% 0.53× 8.96
Over 155.5 points 8.6% 11.2% 9.3% 1.20× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to win both halves 23.2% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.34
South Florida Bulls to win both halves 17.2% 18.9% 20.4% 0.93× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates by 1-5 18.1% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
South Florida Bulls by 1-5 17.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Seton Hall Pirates by 6-10 15.4% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
South Florida Bulls by 6-10 13.0% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Seton Hall Pirates by 11-15 10.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
South Florida Bulls by 11-15 8.2% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Seton Hall Pirates by 16-20 6.2% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
South Florida Bulls by 16-20 4.2% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.29
Seton Hall Pirates by 21-25 2.9% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.30
South Florida Bulls by 21-25 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
Seton Hall Pirates by 26+ 1.6% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.31
South Florida Bulls by 26+ 0.8% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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