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Siena Saints v Cornell Big Red — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 30 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Siena Saints win
65.5%
Draw
0.0%
Cornell Big Red win
34.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 65.42–61.05 65-61 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Cornell Big Red to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Cornell Big Red to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Cornell Big Red to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Siena Saints to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Siena Saints to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Siena Saints to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Siena Saints to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints to win H1 57.3% 57.3% 56.4% 1.01× 1.75
Cornell Big Red to win H1 38.3% 37.8% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 48.5 88.5% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 under 72.5 88.1% 87.7% 83.6% 1.05× 1.14
H1 over 52.5 78.8% 77.4% 79.6% 0.97× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 78.4% 77.4% 73.5% 1.05× 1.29
H1 over 55.5 69.1% 67.4% 71.0% 0.95× 1.48
H1 under 65.5 68.8% 67.4% 63.9% 1.06× 1.48
H1 over 57.5 61.8% 62.7% 64.8% 0.97× 1.59
H1 under 63.5 61.6% 62.7% 57.1% 1.10× 1.59
H1 over 59.5 54.1% 52.6% 57.8% 0.91× 1.90
H1 under 61.5 53.8% 52.6% 49.8% 1.06× 1.90
H1 over 60.5 50.1% 52.6% 53.9% 0.98× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 49.9% 47.4% 46.1% 1.03× 2.11
H1 under 59.5 45.9% 47.4% 42.2% 1.12× 2.11
H1 over 61.5 46.2% 47.4% 50.2% 0.94× 2.11
H1 under 57.5 38.2% 37.3% 35.2% 1.06× 2.68
H1 over 63.5 38.4% 37.3% 42.9% 0.87× 2.68
H1 under 55.5 30.9% 32.6% 29.0% 1.12× 3.07
H1 over 65.5 31.2% 32.6% 36.1% 0.90× 3.07
H1 under 52.5 21.2% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.43
H1 over 68.5 21.6% 22.6% 26.5% 0.85× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 11.9% 12.3% 16.4% 0.75× 8.14
H1 under 48.5 11.5% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints to win H2 57.9% 55.0% 56.0% 0.98× 1.82
Cornell Big Red to win H2 37.9% 41.2% 40.6% 1.02× 2.43
H2 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 78.5 87.5% 85.2% 80.1% 1.06× 1.17
H2 over 54.5 86.9% 85.2% 88.0% 0.97× 1.17
H2 under 74.5 78.1% 75.8% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
H2 over 58.5 77.0% 75.8% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
H2 under 71.5 68.9% 66.4% 61.1% 1.09× 1.51
H2 over 61.5 67.5% 66.4% 71.3% 0.93× 1.51
H2 under 69.5 61.9% 61.6% 54.8% 1.12× 1.62
H2 over 63.5 60.4% 61.6% 65.3% 0.94× 1.62
H2 under 67.5 54.6% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 over 65.5 52.9% 52.4% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
H2 under 66.5 50.8% 52.4% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
H2 over 66.5 49.2% 47.6% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
H2 under 65.5 47.1% 47.6% 41.2% 1.16× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 45.4% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 under 63.5 39.6% 38.4% 34.7% 1.11× 2.61
H2 over 69.5 38.1% 38.4% 45.2% 0.85× 2.61
H2 under 61.5 32.5% 33.6% 28.7% 1.17× 2.97
H2 over 71.5 31.1% 33.6% 38.9% 0.87× 2.97
H2 under 58.5 23.0% 24.2% 20.4% 1.19× 4.13
H2 over 74.5 21.9% 24.2% 30.1% 0.81× 4.13
H2 under 54.5 13.1% 14.8% 12.0% 1.23× 6.76
H2 over 78.5 12.5% 14.8% 19.9% 0.74× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints leading at half time 57.3% 56.9% 56.4% 1.01× 1.76
Cornell Big Red leading at half time 38.3% 37.9% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints +16.5 96.8% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Siena Saints +18.5 97.9% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Siena Saints +20.5 98.7% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Siena Saints +14.5 95.3% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Siena Saints +12.5 93.2% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Cornell Big Red +20.5 92.6% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Siena Saints +10.5 90.5% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
Siena Saints +9.5 88.9% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
Cornell Big Red +18.5 89.7% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
Siena Saints +8.5 87.0% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
Cornell Big Red +16.5 86.0% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
Siena Saints +7.5 85.0% 85.9% 74.5% 1.15× 1.16
Siena Saints +6.5 82.8% 81.1% 72.3% 1.12× 1.23
Siena Saints +5.5 80.4% 81.1% 70.1% 1.16× 1.23
Cornell Big Red +14.5 81.6% 81.1% 72.1% 1.12× 1.23
Siena Saints +4.5 77.7% 76.5% 67.8% 1.13× 1.31
Cornell Big Red +12.5 76.3% 76.5% 67.9% 1.13× 1.31
Siena Saints +3.5 74.9% 71.6% 65.7% 1.09× 1.40
Siena Saints +2.5 71.9% 71.6% 63.3% 1.13× 1.40
Cornell Big Red +10.5 70.2% 71.6% 63.2% 1.13× 1.40
Siena Saints +1.5 68.8% 66.7% 61.2% 1.09× 1.50
Cornell Big Red +9.5 67.0% 66.7% 60.7% 1.10× 1.50
Cornell Big Red +8.5 63.6% 61.9% 58.0% 1.07× 1.62
Siena Saints −1.5 61.9% 61.9% 58.7% 1.05× 1.62
Cornell Big Red +7.5 60.1% 61.9% 55.2% 1.12× 1.62
Siena Saints −2.5 58.3% 57.1% 56.7% 1.01× 1.75
Cornell Big Red +6.5 56.5% 57.1% 52.4% 1.09× 1.75
Siena Saints −3.5 54.6% 52.4% 54.2% 0.97× 1.91
Cornell Big Red +5.5 52.8% 52.4% 50.3% 1.04× 1.91
Siena Saints −4.5 50.9% 52.4% 52.2% 1.00× 1.91
Cornell Big Red +4.5 49.1% 47.6% 47.8% 1.00× 2.10
Siena Saints −5.5 47.2% 47.6% 49.7% 0.96× 2.10
Cornell Big Red +3.5 45.4% 47.6% 45.8% 1.04× 2.10
Siena Saints −6.5 43.5% 42.9% 47.6% 0.90× 2.33
Cornell Big Red +2.5 41.7% 42.9% 43.3% 0.99× 2.33
Siena Saints −7.5 39.9% 38.1% 44.8% 0.85× 2.63
Cornell Big Red +1.5 38.1% 38.1% 41.3% 0.92× 2.63
Siena Saints −8.5 36.4% 38.1% 42.0% 0.91× 2.63
Siena Saints −9.5 33.0% 33.3% 39.3% 0.85× 3.01
Cornell Big Red −1.5 31.2% 33.3% 38.8% 0.86× 3.01
Siena Saints −10.5 29.8% 28.4% 36.8% 0.77× 3.53
Cornell Big Red −2.5 28.1% 28.4% 36.7% 0.77× 3.53
Cornell Big Red −3.5 25.1% 28.4% 34.3% 0.83× 3.53
Siena Saints −12.5 23.7% 23.5% 32.1% 0.73× 4.25
Cornell Big Red −4.5 22.3% 23.5% 32.2% 0.73× 4.25
Cornell Big Red −5.5 19.6% 18.9% 29.9% 0.63× 5.29
Siena Saints −14.5 18.4% 18.9% 27.9% 0.68× 5.29
Cornell Big Red −6.5 17.2% 18.9% 27.7% 0.68× 5.29
Cornell Big Red −7.5 15.0% 14.1% 25.5% 0.55× 7.09
Siena Saints −16.5 14.0% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
Cornell Big Red −8.5 13.0% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
Cornell Big Red −9.5 11.1% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
Siena Saints −18.5 10.3% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
Cornell Big Red −10.5 9.5% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
Cornell Big Red −12.5 6.8% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
Siena Saints −20.5 7.4% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Cornell Big Red −14.5 4.7% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.72
Cornell Big Red −16.5 3.2% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
Cornell Big Red −18.5 2.1% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Cornell Big Red −20.5 1.3% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.2% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.4% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.4% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.9% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints at HT / Siena Saints at FT 47.3% 46.6% 48.3% 0.97× 2.15
Cornell Big Red at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT 22.9% 24.4% 30.1% 0.81× 4.10
Cornell Big Red at HT / Siena Saints at FT 15.4% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Siena Saints at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT 9.9% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / Siena Saints at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints to win 65.5% 64.5% 59.9% 1.08× 1.55
Cornell Big Red to win 34.5% 35.5% 40.1% 0.89× 2.81
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Cornell Big Red even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Siena Saints even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Cornell Big Red odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Siena Saints odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Total points even 48.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.2% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.8% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints to win Q1 53.4% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Cornell Big Red to win Q1 40.5% 42.9% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 22.5 88.1% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 88.3% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 under 35.5 77.3% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 76.8% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 33.5 67.5% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 27.5 66.8% 67.6% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q1 under 31.5 56.3% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 over 29.5 55.5% 58.6% 56.9% 1.03× 1.71
Q1 under 30.5 50.4% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 49.6% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 under 29.5 44.5% 41.4% 43.1% 0.96× 2.42
Q1 over 31.5 43.7% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 33.2% 32.4% 32.3% 1.00× 3.08
Q1 over 33.5 32.5% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 under 25.5 23.2% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 over 35.5 22.7% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 22.5 11.9% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 11.7% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints to win Q2 53.3% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Cornell Big Red to win Q2 40.8% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 89.2% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 87.1% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 78.7% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 75.3% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 69.2% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.48
Q2 over 27.5 65.1% 67.4% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 58.1% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 53.6% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 52.3% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 47.7% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 under 29.5 46.4% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 41.9% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 34.9% 32.6% 33.3% 0.98× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 30.8% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 24.7% 23.2% 23.8% 0.98× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 21.3% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 12.9% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 10.8% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints to win Q3 53.9% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
Cornell Big Red to win Q3 40.2% 42.2% 41.8% 1.01× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 41.5 88.6% 87.2% 85.1% 1.03× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 86.5% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 78.1% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 74.8% 71.8% 76.4% 0.94× 1.39
Q3 under 36.5 68.7% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 64.7% 62.0% 66.8% 0.93× 1.61
Q3 under 34.5 57.9% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 53.6% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 33.5 52.2% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 33.5 47.8% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 46.4% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 42.1% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 35.3% 38.0% 33.2% 1.15× 2.63
Q3 over 36.5 31.3% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.11
Q3 under 28.5 25.2% 28.2% 23.6% 1.19× 3.55
Q3 over 38.5 21.9% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 13.5% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 11.4% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints to win Q4 53.8% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.94
Cornell Big Red to win Q4 40.4% 43.0% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 41.5 87.1% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 85.3% 85.6% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 under 38.5 76.5% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 73.9% 71.5% 75.1% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 36.5 67.4% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 64.3% 61.4% 66.3% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 under 34.5 57.1% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 over 32.5 53.7% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 51.7% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 33.5 48.3% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 under 32.5 46.3% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 42.9% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 35.7% 38.6% 33.7% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 over 36.5 32.6% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 26.1% 28.5% 24.9% 1.14× 3.51
Q4 over 38.5 23.5% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 14.7% 14.4% 13.9% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 over 41.5 12.9% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red under 71.5 86.8% 83.9% 76.1% 1.10× 1.19
Siena Saints over 55.5 85.6% 83.9% 81.6% 1.03× 1.19
Cornell Big Red over 51.5 85.5% 83.9% 81.0% 1.04× 1.19
Siena Saints under 75.5 85.0% 80.7% 73.2% 1.10× 1.24
Cornell Big Red under 68.5 78.7% 75.1% 68.6% 1.10× 1.33
Siena Saints over 58.5 77.3% 75.1% 74.7% 1.01× 1.33
Siena Saints under 72.5 76.4% 75.1% 65.7% 1.14× 1.33
Cornell Big Red over 54.5 76.5% 75.1% 73.5% 1.02× 1.33
Cornell Big Red under 66.5 71.9% 70.7% 62.7% 1.13× 1.41
Siena Saints over 60.5 70.4% 70.7% 69.5% 1.02× 1.41
Siena Saints under 70.5 69.5% 66.4% 60.3% 1.10× 1.51
Cornell Big Red over 56.5 69.2% 66.4% 68.0% 0.98× 1.51
Cornell Big Red under 64.5 64.3% 61.2% 56.9% 1.08× 1.63
Siena Saints over 62.5 62.8% 61.2% 64.3% 0.95× 1.63
Cornell Big Red over 58.5 61.1% 61.2% 62.1% 0.98× 1.63
Siena Saints under 68.5 61.8% 61.2% 54.4% 1.12× 1.63
Cornell Big Red under 62.5 56.0% 57.1% 51.0% 1.12× 1.75
Siena Saints over 64.5 54.7% 52.3% 58.4% 0.89× 1.91
Siena Saints under 66.5 53.6% 52.3% 48.2% 1.09× 1.91
Cornell Big Red over 60.5 52.6% 52.3% 55.6% 0.94× 1.91
Cornell Big Red under 61.5 51.7% 52.3% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
Siena Saints over 65.5 50.5% 52.3% 55.3% 0.95× 1.91
Siena Saints under 65.5 49.5% 47.7% 44.7% 1.07× 2.09
Cornell Big Red under 60.5 47.4% 47.7% 44.4% 1.08× 2.09
Cornell Big Red over 61.5 48.3% 47.7% 52.1% 0.92× 2.09
Siena Saints under 64.5 45.3% 47.7% 41.6% 1.15× 2.09
Siena Saints over 66.5 46.4% 47.7% 51.8% 0.92× 2.09
Cornell Big Red over 62.5 44.0% 42.9% 49.0% 0.87× 2.33
Cornell Big Red under 58.5 38.9% 38.8% 37.9% 1.03× 2.58
Siena Saints over 68.5 38.2% 38.8% 45.6% 0.85× 2.58
Siena Saints under 62.5 37.2% 38.8% 35.7% 1.09× 2.58
Cornell Big Red over 64.5 35.7% 38.8% 43.2% 0.90× 2.58
Siena Saints over 70.5 30.5% 33.6% 39.7% 0.85× 2.98
Cornell Big Red under 56.5 30.8% 33.6% 32.0% 1.05× 2.98
Siena Saints under 60.5 29.6% 29.3% 30.5% 0.96× 3.42
Cornell Big Red over 66.5 28.1% 29.3% 37.3% 0.79× 3.42
Siena Saints under 58.5 22.7% 24.9% 25.3% 0.98× 4.02
Siena Saints over 72.5 23.6% 24.9% 34.3% 0.72× 4.02
Cornell Big Red under 54.5 23.5% 24.9% 26.5% 0.94× 4.02
Cornell Big Red over 68.5 21.3% 24.9% 31.4% 0.79× 4.02
Siena Saints over 75.5 15.0% 19.3% 26.8% 0.72× 5.18
Siena Saints under 55.5 14.4% 16.1% 18.5% 0.87× 6.21
Cornell Big Red under 51.5 14.5% 16.1% 19.0% 0.85× 6.21
Cornell Big Red over 71.5 13.2% 16.1% 23.9% 0.67× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 147.5 points 91.7% 88.8% 82.3% 1.08× 1.13
Over 107.5 points 90.7% 88.8% 90.2% 0.99× 1.13
Under 142.5 points 85.3% 85.0% 75.1% 1.13× 1.18
Over 112.5 points 83.4% 80.6% 83.6% 0.96× 1.24
Under 137.5 points 76.4% 75.6% 66.2% 1.14× 1.32
Over 117.5 points 73.3% 70.8% 75.3% 0.94× 1.41
Under 134.5 points 69.8% 65.9% 60.2% 1.10× 1.52
Over 120.5 points 66.3% 65.9% 69.8% 0.94× 1.52
Under 132.5 points 65.0% 61.5% 56.0% 1.10× 1.63
Over 122.5 points 61.3% 61.5% 65.6% 0.94× 1.63
Under 130.5 points 59.9% 56.5% 51.7% 1.09× 1.77
Over 124.5 points 56.0% 56.5% 61.5% 0.92× 1.77
Under 128.5 points 54.7% 52.3% 47.2% 1.11× 1.91
Under 127.5 points 52.1% 52.3% 44.9% 1.17× 1.91
Over 126.5 points 50.7% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Under 126.5 points 49.3% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.10
Over 127.5 points 47.9% 47.7% 55.1% 0.86× 2.10
Over 128.5 points 45.3% 47.7% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Under 124.5 points 44.0% 43.5% 38.5% 1.13× 2.30
Over 130.5 points 40.1% 43.5% 48.3% 0.90× 2.30
Under 122.5 points 38.7% 38.5% 34.4% 1.12× 2.60
Over 132.5 points 35.0% 38.5% 44.0% 0.87× 2.60
Under 120.5 points 33.7% 34.1% 30.2% 1.13× 2.93
Over 134.5 points 30.2% 34.1% 39.8% 0.86× 2.93
Under 117.5 points 26.7% 29.2% 24.7% 1.18× 3.43
Over 137.5 points 23.6% 24.4% 33.8% 0.72× 4.10
Under 112.5 points 16.6% 19.4% 16.4% 1.19× 5.15
Over 142.5 points 14.7% 15.0% 24.9% 0.60× 6.68
Under 107.5 points 9.3% 11.2% 9.8% 1.14× 8.96
Over 147.5 points 8.3% 11.2% 17.7% 0.63× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints to win both halves 30.3% 31.2% 36.0% 0.87× 3.20
Cornell Big Red to win both halves 11.9% 14.0% 20.4% 0.69× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Siena Saints by 1-5 18.3% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Siena Saints by 6-10 17.4% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Cornell Big Red by 1-5 14.9% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Siena Saints by 11-15 13.7% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Cornell Big Red by 6-10 10.1% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Siena Saints by 16-20 8.7% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Cornell Big Red by 11-15 5.6% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Siena Saints by 21-25 4.6% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.29
Cornell Big Red by 16-20 2.6% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
Cornell Big Red by 21-25 0.9% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Siena Saints by 26+ 2.8% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.30
Cornell Big Red by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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