SMU Mustangs v Ball State Cardinals — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 13 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

SMU Mustangs

05:00 UTC

Ball State Cardinals

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

SMU Mustangs win

97.8%

Draw

0.0%

Ball State Cardinals win

2.2%

9802

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	9802	82.60–61.46	83-62 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs to score 100+	4.2%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	282.53
SMU Mustangs to score 110+	0.3%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.30
SMU Mustangs to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.35
SMU Mustangs to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Ball State Cardinals to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.36
Ball State Cardinals to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.36
Ball State Cardinals to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Ball State Cardinals to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.36

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs to win H1	86.4%	88.7%	57.9%	1.53×	1.13
SMU Mustangs to win H1	86.3%	88.7%	57.9%	1.53×	1.13
Ball State Cardinals to win H1	11.3%	10.8%	38.2%	0.28×	9.29
Ball State Cardinals to win H1	11.2%	10.8%	38.2%	0.28×	9.29
H1 tied	2.4%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.87
H1 tied	2.4%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.87

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 80.5	87.6%	87.7%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
H1 over 56.5	86.9%	87.7%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
H1 under 76.5	78.9%	77.4%	75.5%	1.03×	1.29
H1 under 76.5	78.2%	77.4%	75.5%	1.03×	1.29
H1 over 60.5	77.7%	77.4%	77.9%	0.99×	1.29
H1 over 60.5	77.0%	77.4%	77.9%	0.99×	1.29
H1 under 73.5	69.6%	67.4%	66.6%	1.01×	1.48
H1 under 73.5	69.0%	67.4%	66.6%	1.01×	1.48
H1 over 63.5	68.0%	67.4%	69.0%	0.98×	1.48
H1 over 63.5	67.4%	67.4%	69.0%	0.98×	1.48
H1 under 71.5	62.4%	62.7%	60.0%	1.04×	1.59
H1 under 71.5	62.0%	62.7%	60.0%	1.04×	1.59
H1 over 65.5	60.7%	62.7%	61.9%	1.01×	1.59
H1 over 65.5	60.3%	62.7%	61.9%	1.01×	1.59
H1 under 69.5	54.8%	52.6%	53.1%	0.99×	1.90
H1 under 69.5	54.7%	52.6%	53.1%	0.99×	1.90
H1 over 67.5	53.0%	52.6%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
H1 over 67.5	52.9%	52.6%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
H1 under 68.5	50.9%	52.6%	49.3%	1.07×	1.90
H1 under 68.5	50.9%	52.6%	49.3%	1.07×	1.90
H1 over 68.5	49.1%	47.4%	50.7%	0.93×	2.11
H1 over 68.5	49.1%	47.4%	50.7%	0.93×	2.11
H1 under 67.5	47.0%	47.4%	45.6%	1.04×	2.11
H1 under 67.5	47.1%	47.4%	45.6%	1.04×	2.11
H1 over 69.5	45.2%	47.4%	46.9%	1.01×	2.11
H1 over 69.5	45.3%	47.4%	46.9%	1.01×	2.11
H1 under 65.5	39.3%	37.3%	38.1%	0.98×	2.68
H1 under 65.5	39.7%	37.3%	38.1%	0.98×	2.68
H1 over 71.5	38.0%	37.3%	40.0%	0.93×	2.68
H1 over 71.5	37.6%	37.3%	40.0%	0.93×	2.68
H1 under 63.5	32.0%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
H1 under 63.5	32.6%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
H1 over 73.5	31.0%	32.6%	33.4%	0.98×	3.07
H1 over 73.5	30.4%	32.6%	33.4%	0.98×	3.07
H1 under 60.5	22.3%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
H1 under 60.5	23.0%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
H1 over 76.5	21.1%	22.6%	24.5%	0.92×	4.43
H1 over 76.5	21.8%	22.6%	24.5%	0.92×	4.43
H1 under 56.5	13.1%	12.3%	12.5%	0.98×	8.14
H1 over 80.5	12.4%	12.3%	14.8%	0.83×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs to win H2	88.2%	84.2%	56.9%	1.48×	1.19
SMU Mustangs to win H2	88.1%	84.2%	57.5%	1.47×	1.19
Ball State Cardinals to win H2	9.8%	11.4%	38.5%	0.30×	8.80
Ball State Cardinals to win H2	9.7%	11.4%	38.9%	0.29×	8.80
H2 tied	2.1%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.37
H2 tied	2.1%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.37

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 88.5	86.6%	85.2%	79.8%	1.07×	1.17
H2 over 64.5	85.1%	85.2%	86.5%	0.99×	1.17
H2 under 84.5	78.0%	75.8%	74.1%	1.02×	1.32
H2 under 84.5	77.4%	75.8%	70.5%	1.07×	1.32
H2 over 68.5	75.8%	75.8%	75.7%	1.00×	1.32
H2 over 68.5	75.2%	75.8%	77.5%	0.98×	1.32
H2 under 81.5	69.1%	66.4%	65.8%	1.01×	1.51
H2 under 81.5	68.6%	66.4%	62.2%	1.07×	1.51
H2 over 71.5	66.4%	66.4%	66.4%	1.00×	1.51
H2 over 71.5	65.9%	66.4%	68.8%	0.97×	1.51
H2 under 79.5	62.4%	61.6%	59.8%	1.03×	1.62
H2 under 79.5	62.0%	61.6%	56.2%	1.10×	1.62
H2 over 73.5	59.4%	57.3%	60.4%	0.95×	1.74
H2 over 73.5	59.1%	57.3%	63.1%	0.91×	1.74
H2 under 77.5	55.2%	57.3%	53.0%	1.08×	1.74
H2 under 77.5	55.0%	57.3%	49.8%	1.15×	1.74
H2 over 75.5	52.1%	52.4%	53.4%	0.98×	1.91
H2 under 76.5	51.6%	52.4%	49.7%	1.05×	1.91
H2 over 75.5	52.1%	52.4%	56.4%	0.93×	1.91
H2 under 76.5	51.5%	52.4%	46.6%	1.12×	1.91
H2 under 75.5	47.9%	47.6%	46.6%	1.02×	2.10
H2 over 76.5	48.5%	47.6%	50.3%	0.95×	2.10
H2 under 75.5	47.9%	47.6%	43.6%	1.09×	2.10
H2 over 76.5	48.5%	47.6%	53.4%	0.89×	2.10
H2 over 77.5	44.8%	42.7%	47.0%	0.91×	2.34
H2 over 77.5	45.0%	42.7%	50.2%	0.85×	2.34
H2 under 73.5	40.9%	42.7%	36.9%	1.16×	2.35
H2 under 73.5	40.6%	42.7%	39.6%	1.08×	2.35
H2 over 79.5	38.0%	38.4%	43.8%	0.88×	2.61
H2 over 79.5	37.7%	38.4%	40.3%	0.95×	2.61
H2 under 71.5	33.6%	33.6%	33.6%	1.00×	2.97
H2 under 71.5	34.1%	33.6%	31.2%	1.08×	2.97
H2 over 81.5	30.9%	33.6%	34.2%	0.98×	2.97
H2 over 81.5	31.4%	33.6%	37.8%	0.89×	2.97
H2 under 68.5	24.2%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13
H2 under 68.5	24.8%	24.2%	22.5%	1.08×	4.13
H2 over 84.5	22.6%	24.2%	29.5%	0.82×	4.13
H2 over 84.5	22.0%	24.2%	25.9%	0.94×	4.13
H2 under 64.5	14.9%	14.8%	13.5%	1.09×	6.76
H2 over 88.5	13.4%	14.8%	20.2%	0.73×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs leading at half time	86.3%	89.4%	57.9%	1.54×	1.12
Ball State Cardinals leading at half time	11.3%	10.3%	38.2%	0.27×	9.75
Level at half time	2.4%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs +6.5	99.5%	97.4%	78.8%	1.24×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +7.5	99.6%	97.4%	81.0%	1.20×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +8.5	99.7%	97.4%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +9.5	99.8%	97.4%	85.3%	1.14×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +10.5	99.8%	97.4%	87.2%	1.12×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +12.5	99.9%	97.4%	89.9%	1.08×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +14.5	100.0%	97.4%	92.2%	1.06×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +16.5	100.0%	97.4%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +18.5	100.0%	97.4%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +20.5	100.0%	97.4%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
SMU Mustangs −1.5	97.1%	97.4%	60.8%	1.60×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +1.5	98.2%	97.4%	65.4%	1.49×	1.03
SMU Mustangs −2.5	96.4%	97.4%	57.7%	1.69×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +2.5	98.6%	97.4%	68.0%	1.43×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +3.5	98.9%	97.4%	70.8%	1.38×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +4.5	99.1%	97.4%	73.7%	1.32×	1.03
SMU Mustangs +5.5	99.3%	97.4%	76.4%	1.28×	1.03
SMU Mustangs −3.5	95.5%	97.4%	54.1%	1.80×	1.03
SMU Mustangs −4.5	94.4%	91.1%	50.7%	1.80×	1.10
SMU Mustangs −5.5	93.2%	91.1%	47.0%	1.94×	1.10
SMU Mustangs −6.5	91.8%	91.1%	44.3%	2.06×	1.10
SMU Mustangs −7.5	90.2%	91.1%	41.3%	2.20×	1.10
SMU Mustangs −8.5	88.4%	85.9%	38.5%	2.23×	1.16
SMU Mustangs −9.5	86.4%	85.9%	35.5%	2.42×	1.16
SMU Mustangs −10.5	84.2%	81.1%	32.6%	2.49×	1.23
SMU Mustangs −12.5	79.2%	76.5%	27.6%	2.77×	1.31
SMU Mustangs −14.5	73.3%	71.6%	22.8%	3.14×	1.40
SMU Mustangs −16.5	66.8%	66.7%	19.3%	3.46×	1.50
SMU Mustangs −18.5	59.7%	57.1%	16.1%	3.53×	1.75
SMU Mustangs −20.5	52.2%	52.4%	13.5%	3.89×	1.91
Ball State Cardinals +20.5	47.8%	47.6%	86.5%	0.55×	2.10
Ball State Cardinals +18.5	40.4%	42.9%	83.9%	0.51×	2.33
Ball State Cardinals +16.5	33.2%	33.3%	80.7%	0.41×	3.01
Ball State Cardinals +14.5	26.7%	28.4%	77.2%	0.37×	3.53
Ball State Cardinals +12.5	20.8%	23.5%	72.4%	0.33×	4.25
Ball State Cardinals +10.5	15.8%	18.9%	67.4%	0.28×	5.30
Ball State Cardinals +9.5	13.6%	14.1%	64.5%	0.22×	7.09
Ball State Cardinals +8.5	11.6%	14.1%	61.5%	0.23×	7.09
Ball State Cardinals +6.5	8.2%	8.9%	55.7%	0.16×	11.25
Ball State Cardinals +7.5	9.8%	8.9%	58.7%	0.15×	11.25
Ball State Cardinals +5.5	6.8%	8.9%	53.0%	0.17×	11.25
Ball State Cardinals +4.5	5.6%	8.9%	49.3%	0.18×	11.25
Ball State Cardinals +3.5	4.5%	2.6%	45.9%	0.06×	38.72
Ball State Cardinals +1.5	2.9%	2.6%	39.2%	0.07×	38.73
Ball State Cardinals −1.5	1.8%	2.6%	34.6%	0.07×	38.73
Ball State Cardinals +2.5	3.6%	2.6%	42.3%	0.06×	38.73
Ball State Cardinals −2.5	1.4%	2.6%	32.0%	0.08×	38.73
Ball State Cardinals −3.5	1.1%	2.6%	29.3%	0.09×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −4.5	0.9%	2.6%	26.3%	0.10×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −5.5	0.7%	2.6%	23.6%	0.11×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −6.5	0.5%	2.6%	21.2%	0.12×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −7.5	0.4%	2.6%	19.0%	0.14×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −8.5	0.3%	2.6%	16.7%	0.16×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −9.5	0.2%	2.6%	14.7%	0.18×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −10.5	0.2%	2.6%	12.8%	0.20×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −12.5	0.1%	2.6%	10.1%	0.26×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −14.5	0.0%	2.6%	7.8%	0.33×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −16.5	0.0%	2.6%	6.0%	0.43×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −18.5	0.0%	2.6%	4.6%	0.57×	38.74
Ball State Cardinals −20.5	0.0%	2.6%	3.5%	0.75×	38.74

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	78.7%	71.6%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	77.1%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	22.9%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53
H1 highest scoring	21.3%	28.4%	29.6%	0.96×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs at HT / SMU Mustangs at FT	85.5%	89.0%	48.6%	1.83×	1.12
Ball State Cardinals at HT / SMU Mustangs at FT	10.0%	8.3%	12.4%	0.67×	12.08
Level at HT / SMU Mustangs at FT	2.3%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.75
SMU Mustangs at HT / Ball State Cardinals at FT	0.8%	2.1%	9.3%	0.22×	47.78
Level at HT / Ball State Cardinals at FT	0.1%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.79
Ball State Cardinals at HT / Ball State Cardinals at FT	1.3%	2.1%	25.8%	0.08×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs to win	97.8%	97.5%	63.2%	1.54×	1.03
Ball State Cardinals to win	2.2%	2.5%	36.8%	0.07×	39.34

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Ball State Cardinals even	50.1%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	50.3%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
SMU Mustangs odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Ball State Cardinals odd	49.9%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	49.7%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	97.4%	97.0%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	2.6%	3.0%	5.8%	0.52×	33.49

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs under 93.5	86.6%	83.9%	92.1%	0.91×	1.19
Ball State Cardinals over 51.5	86.0%	83.9%	95.9%	0.88×	1.19
Ball State Cardinals under 71.5	85.4%	83.9%	51.8%	1.62×	1.19
SMU Mustangs over 73.5	83.1%	80.7%	57.4%	1.41×	1.24
SMU Mustangs under 90.5	78.8%	75.1%	88.1%	0.85×	1.33
Ball State Cardinals over 54.5	77.4%	75.1%	92.6%	0.81×	1.33
Ball State Cardinals under 68.5	77.0%	75.1%	41.6%	1.81×	1.33
SMU Mustangs over 76.5	74.1%	70.7%	47.7%	1.48×	1.41
SMU Mustangs under 88.5	72.4%	70.7%	84.8%	0.83×	1.41
Ball State Cardinals over 56.5	70.4%	70.7%	89.8%	0.79×	1.41
Ball State Cardinals under 66.5	70.1%	70.7%	35.3%	2.01×	1.41
SMU Mustangs over 78.5	67.0%	66.4%	41.6%	1.60×	1.51
SMU Mustangs under 86.5	65.1%	66.4%	80.8%	0.82×	1.51
Ball State Cardinals over 58.5	62.7%	61.2%	86.2%	0.71×	1.63
Ball State Cardinals under 64.5	62.3%	61.2%	29.3%	2.09×	1.63
SMU Mustangs over 80.5	59.2%	57.1%	35.1%	1.63×	1.75
SMU Mustangs under 84.5	57.2%	57.1%	76.1%	0.75×	1.75
Ball State Cardinals over 60.5	54.4%	52.3%	82.0%	0.64×	1.91
Ball State Cardinals under 62.5	54.1%	52.3%	23.4%	2.23×	1.91
SMU Mustangs over 82.5	51.0%	52.3%	29.2%	1.79×	1.91
SMU Mustangs under 83.5	53.1%	52.3%	73.5%	0.71×	1.91
Ball State Cardinals over 61.5	50.1%	52.3%	79.3%	0.66×	1.91
Ball State Cardinals under 61.5	49.9%	47.7%	20.7%	2.31×	2.09
SMU Mustangs under 82.5	49.0%	47.7%	70.8%	0.67×	2.09
SMU Mustangs over 83.5	46.9%	47.7%	26.5%	1.80×	2.09
Ball State Cardinals under 60.5	45.6%	47.7%	18.0%	2.65×	2.09
Ball State Cardinals over 62.5	45.9%	47.7%	76.6%	0.62×	2.09
SMU Mustangs over 84.5	42.8%	42.9%	23.9%	1.80×	2.33
SMU Mustangs under 80.5	40.8%	42.9%	64.9%	0.66×	2.33
Ball State Cardinals under 58.5	37.3%	38.8%	13.8%	2.82×	2.58
Ball State Cardinals over 64.5	37.7%	38.8%	70.7%	0.55×	2.58
SMU Mustangs over 86.5	34.9%	33.6%	19.2%	1.75×	2.98
SMU Mustangs under 78.5	33.0%	33.6%	58.4%	0.58×	2.98
Ball State Cardinals under 56.5	29.6%	29.3%	10.2%	2.88×	3.42
Ball State Cardinals over 66.5	29.9%	29.3%	64.7%	0.45×	3.42
SMU Mustangs over 88.5	27.6%	29.3%	15.2%	1.93×	3.42
SMU Mustangs under 76.5	25.9%	29.3%	52.3%	0.56×	3.42
Ball State Cardinals under 54.5	22.6%	24.9%	7.4%	3.37×	4.02
Ball State Cardinals over 68.5	23.0%	24.9%	58.4%	0.43×	4.02
SMU Mustangs over 90.5	21.2%	24.9%	11.9%	2.09×	4.02
SMU Mustangs under 73.5	16.9%	19.3%	42.6%	0.45×	5.18
Ball State Cardinals over 71.5	14.6%	16.1%	48.2%	0.33×	6.21
SMU Mustangs over 93.5	13.4%	16.1%	7.9%	2.03×	6.21
Ball State Cardinals under 51.5	14.0%	16.1%	4.1%	3.89×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 124.5 points	89.8%	85.0%	89.3%	0.95×	1.18
Under 164.5 points	89.8%	85.0%	82.3%	1.03×	1.18
Under 159.5 points	83.1%	80.6%	75.0%	1.07×	1.24
Over 129.5 points	82.7%	80.6%	83.3%	0.97×	1.24
Under 154.5 points	74.0%	70.8%	66.4%	1.07×	1.41
Over 134.5 points	73.3%	70.8%	74.7%	0.95×	1.41
Under 151.5 points	67.5%	65.9%	60.6%	1.09×	1.52
Over 137.5 points	66.6%	65.9%	69.0%	0.95×	1.52
Under 149.5 points	62.9%	61.5%	56.3%	1.09×	1.63
Over 139.5 points	61.9%	61.5%	64.6%	0.95×	1.63
Under 147.5 points	58.0%	56.5%	52.2%	1.08×	1.77
Over 141.5 points	57.0%	56.5%	60.4%	0.94×	1.77
Over 143.5 points	52.0%	52.3%	56.3%	0.93×	1.91
Under 145.5 points	53.1%	52.3%	48.2%	1.09×	1.91
Under 144.5 points	50.6%	52.3%	45.9%	1.14×	1.91
Over 144.5 points	49.4%	47.7%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Under 143.5 points	48.0%	47.7%	43.7%	1.09×	2.10
Over 145.5 points	46.9%	47.7%	51.8%	0.92×	2.10
Under 141.5 points	43.0%	43.5%	39.6%	1.10×	2.30
Over 147.5 points	42.0%	43.5%	47.8%	0.91×	2.30
Under 139.5 points	38.1%	38.5%	35.4%	1.09×	2.60
Over 149.5 points	37.1%	38.5%	43.7%	0.88×	2.60
Under 137.5 points	33.4%	34.1%	31.0%	1.10×	2.93
Over 151.5 points	32.5%	34.1%	39.4%	0.87×	2.93
Under 134.5 points	26.7%	29.2%	25.3%	1.15×	3.43
Over 154.5 points	26.0%	29.2%	33.6%	0.87×	3.43
Under 129.5 points	17.3%	19.4%	16.7%	1.16×	5.15
Over 159.5 points	16.9%	19.4%	25.0%	0.78×	5.15
Under 124.5 points	10.2%	15.0%	10.7%	1.39×	6.69
Over 164.5 points	10.2%	15.0%	17.7%	0.84×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs to win both halves	75.1%	76.9%	33.2%	2.32×	1.30
Ball State Cardinals to win both halves	0.4%	3.0%	14.5%	0.20×	33.82

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SMU Mustangs by 26+	33.8%	37.8%	7.9%	4.79×	2.64
SMU Mustangs by 16-20	17.9%	16.8%	7.6%	2.20×	5.97
SMU Mustangs by 21-25	18.4%	16.8%	5.6%	3.01×	5.97
SMU Mustangs by 11-15	14.1%	12.3%	11.6%	1.07×	8.11
SMU Mustangs by 6-10	9.0%	7.5%	14.4%	0.52×	13.40
SMU Mustangs by 1-5	4.6%	2.0%	16.2%	0.13×	49.29
Ball State Cardinals by 1-5	1.6%	2.0%	13.2%	0.15×	49.31
Ball State Cardinals by 6-10	0.5%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.32
Ball State Cardinals by 11-15	0.1%	2.0%	6.1%	0.33×	49.33
Ball State Cardinals by 16-20	0.0%	2.0%	3.3%	0.61×	49.33
Ball State Cardinals by 21-25	0.0%	2.0%	1.9%	1.06×	49.33
Ball State Cardinals by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.33

SMU Mustangs v Ball State Cardinals — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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