SMU Mustangs v Georgia Lady Bulldogs — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 2 December 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.SMU Mustangs win
2.2%
Draw
0.0%
Georgia Lady Bulldogs win
97.8%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 56.36–78.75 | 56-79 0% | 51% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
| SMU Mustangs to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| SMU Mustangs to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| SMU Mustangs to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| SMU Mustangs to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to score 100+ | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.10 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.35 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to win H1 | 87.4% | 88.7% | 39.9% | 2.22× | 1.13 |
| SMU Mustangs to win H1 | 10.4% | 10.7% | 56.4% | 0.19× | 9.32 |
| H1 tied | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 77.5 | 89.5% | 87.7% | 91.6% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 87.7% | 87.7% | 76.8% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 80.4% | 82.5% | 85.6% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 77.3% | 77.4% | 64.8% | 1.19× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 71.2% | 73.5% | 78.9% | 0.93× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 67.2% | 67.4% | 53.9% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 64.0% | 62.7% | 73.5% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 59.6% | 58.2% | 46.3% | 1.26× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 56.3% | 58.2% | 67.1% | 0.87× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 51.7% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 52.3% | 52.6% | 63.9% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 48.3% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 47.7% | 47.4% | 36.1% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 43.7% | 41.8% | 32.9% | 1.27× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 40.4% | 41.8% | 53.7% | 0.78× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 36.0% | 37.3% | 26.5% | 1.41× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 32.8% | 32.6% | 46.1% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 28.8% | 26.5% | 21.1% | 1.26× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 22.7% | 22.6% | 35.2% | 0.64× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 19.6% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 1.21× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 0.53× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 1.47× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to win H2 | 88.8% | 84.2% | 40.6% | 2.08× | 1.19 |
| SMU Mustangs to win H2 | 9.2% | 11.3% | 56.0% | 0.20× | 8.82 |
| H2 tied | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 83.5 | 88.1% | 85.2% | 88.9% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 59.5 | 86.9% | 85.2% | 77.0% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 78.9% | 75.8% | 82.0% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 76.8% | 75.8% | 65.3% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 69.7% | 66.4% | 75.6% | 0.88× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 67.0% | 66.4% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 62.8% | 61.6% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 59.8% | 57.3% | 48.7% | 1.18× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 55.4% | 57.3% | 64.1% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 52.2% | 52.4% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 51.6% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 47.8% | 47.6% | 57.8% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 48.4% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 44.6% | 42.7% | 36.0% | 1.19× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 40.2% | 42.7% | 51.3% | 0.83× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 37.2% | 38.4% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 33.0% | 33.6% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 30.3% | 33.6% | 24.4% | 1.38× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 23.2% | 24.2% | 34.7% | 0.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 21.1% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 1.35× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 13.1% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 0.64× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 11.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 1.33× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs leading at half time | 87.4% | 89.4% | 39.9% | 2.24× | 1.12 |
| SMU Mustangs leading at half time | 10.4% | 10.2% | 56.4% | 0.18× | 9.78 |
| Level at half time | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +6.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 52.4% | 1.86× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +7.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 55.2% | 1.76× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +8.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 58.0% | 1.68× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +9.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 60.7% | 1.61× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +10.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +14.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +1.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 41.3% | 2.36× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −1.5 | 97.2% | 97.4% | 38.8% | 2.51× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +2.5 | 98.6% | 97.4% | 43.3% | 2.25× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −2.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 36.7% | 2.66× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +3.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 45.8% | 2.13× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −3.5 | 95.6% | 97.4% | 34.3% | 2.84× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +4.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 47.8% | 2.04× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs +5.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 50.3% | 1.94× | 1.03 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −4.5 | 94.7% | 91.1% | 32.2% | 2.83× | 1.10 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −5.5 | 93.5% | 91.1% | 29.9% | 3.05× | 1.10 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −6.5 | 92.3% | 91.1% | 27.7% | 3.29× | 1.10 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −7.5 | 90.8% | 91.1% | 25.5% | 3.58× | 1.10 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −8.5 | 89.2% | 85.9% | 23.5% | 3.65× | 1.16 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −9.5 | 87.3% | 85.9% | 21.3% | 4.03× | 1.16 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −10.5 | 85.3% | 85.9% | 19.6% | 4.38× | 1.16 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −12.5 | 80.7% | 81.1% | 16.2% | 4.99× | 1.23 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −14.5 | 75.3% | 76.5% | 13.3% | 5.77× | 1.31 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −16.5 | 69.1% | 66.7% | 10.9% | 6.14× | 1.50 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −18.5 | 62.4% | 61.9% | 8.9% | 6.94× | 1.62 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs −20.5 | 55.3% | 57.1% | 7.3% | 7.84× | 1.75 |
| SMU Mustangs +20.5 | 44.7% | 42.9% | 92.7% | 0.46× | 2.33 |
| SMU Mustangs +18.5 | 37.6% | 38.1% | 91.1% | 0.42× | 2.63 |
| SMU Mustangs +16.5 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 89.1% | 0.37× | 3.01 |
| SMU Mustangs +14.5 | 24.7% | 23.5% | 86.7% | 0.27× | 4.25 |
| SMU Mustangs +12.5 | 19.3% | 18.9% | 83.8% | 0.23× | 5.29 |
| SMU Mustangs +10.5 | 14.7% | 14.1% | 80.4% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| SMU Mustangs +9.5 | 12.7% | 14.1% | 78.7% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| SMU Mustangs +8.5 | 10.8% | 14.1% | 76.5% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| SMU Mustangs +7.5 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 74.5% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| SMU Mustangs +5.5 | 6.5% | 8.9% | 70.1% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| SMU Mustangs +6.5 | 7.7% | 8.9% | 72.3% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| SMU Mustangs +4.5 | 5.3% | 8.9% | 67.8% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| SMU Mustangs −1.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 58.7% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| SMU Mustangs +1.5 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 61.2% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| SMU Mustangs −2.5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 56.7% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| SMU Mustangs +2.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 63.3% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| SMU Mustangs −3.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 54.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs +3.5 | 4.4% | 2.6% | 65.7% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| SMU Mustangs −4.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 52.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −5.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 49.7% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −6.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 47.6% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −7.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 44.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −8.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 42.0% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −9.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 39.3% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −10.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| SMU Mustangs −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.8% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.2% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.7% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.4% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs at HT / Georgia Lady Bulldogs at FT | 86.6% | 89.1% | 30.1% | 2.95× | 1.12 |
| SMU Mustangs at HT / Georgia Lady Bulldogs at FT | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Georgia Lady Bulldogs at FT | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.76 |
| SMU Mustangs at HT / SMU Mustangs at FT | 1.3% | 2.1% | 48.3% | 0.04× | 47.77 |
| Level at HT / SMU Mustangs at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.79 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs at HT / SMU Mustangs at FT | 0.8% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to win | 97.8% | 97.5% | 40.1% | 2.43× | 1.03 |
| SMU Mustangs to win | 2.2% | 2.5% | 59.9% | 0.04× | 39.35 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.3% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| SMU Mustangs even | 50.2% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.7% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
| SMU Mustangs odd | 49.8% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.2% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.54 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to win Q1 | 76.9% | 79.9% | 40.4% | 1.98× | 1.25 |
| SMU Mustangs to win Q1 | 18.7% | 15.7% | 54.7% | 0.29× | 6.35 |
| Q1 tied | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 24.5 | 88.9% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 87.9% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 77.9% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 76.5% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 68.1% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 66.5% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 56.8% | 58.6% | 46.0% | 1.27× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 55.1% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 50.9% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 49.1% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 44.9% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 43.2% | 41.4% | 54.0% | 0.77× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 33.5% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 31.9% | 32.4% | 43.1% | 0.75× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 23.5% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.26× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 22.1% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.71× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.25× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 11.1% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to win Q2 | 76.2% | 80.6% | 41.5% | 1.95× | 1.24 |
| SMU Mustangs to win Q2 | 19.4% | 14.7% | 52.9% | 0.28× | 6.80 |
| Q2 tied | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 88.9% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 87.9% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 78.0% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 76.4% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 66.2% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 57.1% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 54.8% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 51.2% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 48.8% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 45.2% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 42.9% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 33.8% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 23.6% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 22.0% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to win Q3 | 78.4% | 81.6% | 41.8% | 1.95× | 1.23 |
| SMU Mustangs to win Q3 | 17.5% | 15.1% | 53.3% | 0.28× | 6.63 |
| Q3 tied | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.45 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 27.5 | 88.0% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 43.5 | 87.6% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 76.8% | 77.3% | 66.8% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 76.5% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 67.0% | 67.8% | 56.1% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 66.7% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 55.9% | 58.4% | 45.4% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 55.6% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 40.3% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 59.7% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 44.1% | 41.6% | 54.6% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 44.4% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.18× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 33.3% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 33.0% | 32.2% | 43.9% | 0.73× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 23.5% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 23.2% | 22.7% | 33.2% | 0.69× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 12.0% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to win Q4 | 77.9% | 71.5% | 41.5% | 1.72× | 1.40 |
| SMU Mustangs to win Q4 | 17.9% | 22.6% | 52.8% | 0.43× | 4.42 |
| Q4 tied | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.30 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 27.5 | 86.8% | 85.6% | 78.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 86.0% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 75.8% | 76.9% | 66.3% | 1.16× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 74.9% | 71.5% | 80.6% | 0.89× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 66.5% | 67.4% | 55.4% | 1.22× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 56.0% | 58.4% | 45.6% | 1.28× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 54.9% | 52.5% | 64.3% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 50.5% | 52.5% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 49.5% | 47.5% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 45.1% | 47.5% | 35.7% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 44.0% | 41.6% | 54.4% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 33.5% | 32.6% | 44.6% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 25.1% | 28.5% | 19.4% | 1.47× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 24.2% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.68× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 13.2% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 0.68× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs under 67.5 | 87.6% | 83.9% | 51.3% | 1.63× | 1.19 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 89.5 | 87.2% | 83.9% | 97.6% | 0.86× | 1.19 |
| SMU Mustangs over 47.5 | 85.6% | 83.9% | 94.4% | 0.89× | 1.19 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 69.5 | 85.0% | 83.9% | 28.8% | 2.92× | 1.19 |
| SMU Mustangs under 64.5 | 79.8% | 75.1% | 41.6% | 1.81× | 1.33 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 86.5 | 79.2% | 75.1% | 96.1% | 0.78× | 1.33 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 72.5 | 76.1% | 75.1% | 21.8% | 3.45× | 1.33 |
| SMU Mustangs over 50.5 | 75.9% | 75.1% | 90.8% | 0.83× | 1.33 |
| SMU Mustangs under 62.5 | 73.2% | 70.7% | 35.7% | 1.98× | 1.41 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 84.5 | 72.4% | 70.7% | 94.7% | 0.75× | 1.41 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 74.5 | 68.8% | 66.4% | 17.7% | 3.74× | 1.51 |
| SMU Mustangs over 52.5 | 68.2% | 66.4% | 87.7% | 0.76× | 1.51 |
| SMU Mustangs under 60.5 | 65.7% | 66.4% | 30.5% | 2.17× | 1.51 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 82.5 | 64.7% | 61.2% | 93.0% | 0.66× | 1.63 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 76.5 | 60.8% | 61.2% | 14.2% | 4.31× | 1.63 |
| SMU Mustangs over 54.5 | 59.9% | 57.1% | 83.8% | 0.68× | 1.75 |
| SMU Mustangs under 58.5 | 57.5% | 57.1% | 25.3% | 2.26× | 1.75 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 80.5 | 56.4% | 57.1% | 91.0% | 0.63× | 1.75 |
| SMU Mustangs over 56.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 79.5% | 0.66× | 1.91 |
| SMU Mustangs under 57.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 22.8% | 2.29× | 1.91 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 78.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 11.7% | 4.48× | 1.91 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 79.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 89.7% | 0.58× | 1.91 |
| SMU Mustangs under 56.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 20.5% | 2.33× | 2.09 |
| SMU Mustangs over 57.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 77.2% | 0.62× | 2.09 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 78.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 88.3% | 0.54× | 2.09 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 79.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 10.3% | 4.62× | 2.09 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 80.5 | 43.6% | 42.9% | 9.0% | 4.76× | 2.33 |
| SMU Mustangs over 58.5 | 42.5% | 42.9% | 74.7% | 0.57× | 2.33 |
| SMU Mustangs under 54.5 | 40.1% | 42.9% | 16.2% | 2.65× | 2.33 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 76.5 | 39.2% | 38.8% | 85.8% | 0.45× | 2.58 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 82.5 | 35.3% | 38.8% | 7.0% | 5.57× | 2.58 |
| SMU Mustangs over 60.5 | 34.3% | 33.6% | 69.5% | 0.48× | 2.98 |
| SMU Mustangs under 52.5 | 31.8% | 33.6% | 12.3% | 2.72× | 2.98 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 74.5 | 31.2% | 33.6% | 82.3% | 0.41× | 2.98 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 84.5 | 27.6% | 29.3% | 5.3% | 5.50× | 3.42 |
| SMU Mustangs over 62.5 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 64.3% | 0.46× | 3.42 |
| SMU Mustangs under 50.5 | 24.1% | 24.9% | 9.2% | 2.71× | 4.02 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 72.5 | 23.9% | 24.9% | 78.2% | 0.32× | 4.02 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 86.5 | 20.8% | 24.9% | 3.9% | 6.34× | 4.02 |
| SMU Mustangs over 64.5 | 20.2% | 24.9% | 58.4% | 0.43× | 4.02 |
| SMU Mustangs under 47.5 | 14.4% | 16.1% | 5.6% | 2.85× | 6.21 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs under 69.5 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 71.2% | 0.23× | 6.21 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs over 89.5 | 12.8% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 6.57× | 6.21 |
| SMU Mustangs over 67.5 | 12.4% | 16.1% | 48.7% | 0.33× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 116.5 points | 91.8% | 88.8% | 77.2% | 1.15× | 1.13 |
| Under 156.5 points | 91.9% | 88.8% | 91.3% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Under 151.5 points | 85.6% | 85.0% | 87.3% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Over 121.5 points | 84.5% | 80.6% | 67.7% | 1.19× | 1.24 |
| Under 146.5 points | 76.6% | 75.6% | 80.9% | 0.93× | 1.32 |
| Over 126.5 points | 74.3% | 70.8% | 57.4% | 1.24× | 1.41 |
| Under 143.5 points | 69.9% | 65.9% | 76.7% | 0.86× | 1.52 |
| Over 129.5 points | 67.0% | 65.9% | 50.5% | 1.30× | 1.52 |
| Under 141.5 points | 65.1% | 65.9% | 73.4% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Over 131.5 points | 61.8% | 61.5% | 46.1% | 1.33× | 1.63 |
| Under 139.5 points | 59.9% | 56.5% | 69.9% | 0.81× | 1.77 |
| Over 133.5 points | 56.4% | 56.5% | 42.0% | 1.35× | 1.77 |
| Under 137.5 points | 54.6% | 52.3% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Under 136.5 points | 51.8% | 52.3% | 64.2% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Over 135.5 points | 50.9% | 52.3% | 37.6% | 1.39× | 1.91 |
| Under 135.5 points | 49.1% | 47.7% | 62.4% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| Over 136.5 points | 48.2% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 1.33× | 2.10 |
| Over 137.5 points | 45.4% | 47.7% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.10 |
| Under 133.5 points | 43.6% | 43.5% | 58.0% | 0.75× | 2.30 |
| Over 139.5 points | 40.1% | 43.5% | 30.1% | 1.44× | 2.30 |
| Under 131.5 points | 38.2% | 38.5% | 53.9% | 0.71× | 2.60 |
| Over 141.5 points | 34.9% | 34.1% | 26.6% | 1.28× | 2.93 |
| Under 129.5 points | 33.0% | 34.1% | 49.5% | 0.69× | 2.93 |
| Over 143.5 points | 30.1% | 34.1% | 23.3% | 1.46× | 2.93 |
| Under 126.5 points | 25.7% | 29.2% | 42.6% | 0.68× | 3.43 |
| Over 146.5 points | 23.4% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 1.28× | 4.10 |
| Under 121.5 points | 15.5% | 19.4% | 32.3% | 0.60× | 5.15 |
| Over 151.5 points | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 1.17× | 6.68 |
| Under 116.5 points | 8.2% | 11.2% | 22.8% | 0.49× | 8.96 |
| Over 156.5 points | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 1.29× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs to win both halves | 76.9% | 77.0% | 20.4% | 3.78× | 1.30 |
| SMU Mustangs to win both halves | 0.4% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 0.08× | 33.82 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs by 26+ | 37.2% | 39.8% | 4.6% | 8.64× | 2.51 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs by 21-25 | 18.1% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 6.27× | 5.97 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs by 16-20 | 17.0% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 3.53× | 5.97 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs by 11-15 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs by 6-10 | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Georgia Lady Bulldogs by 1-5 | 4.3% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| SMU Mustangs by 1-5 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.31 |
| SMU Mustangs by 6-10 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.32 |
| SMU Mustangs by 11-15 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.33 |
| SMU Mustangs by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.33 |
| SMU Mustangs by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| SMU Mustangs by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |