SMU Mustangs v Long Island University Sharks — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.SMU Mustangs win
61.4%
Draw
0.0%
Long Island University Sharks win
38.6%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 71.20–68.04 | 71-68 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs to score 100+ | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.33 |
| SMU Mustangs to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| SMU Mustangs to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| SMU Mustangs to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Long Island University Sharks to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.35 |
| Long Island University Sharks to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Long Island University Sharks to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Long Island University Sharks to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs to win H1 | 54.8% | 51.9% | 56.4% | 0.92× | 1.93 |
| Long Island University Sharks to win H1 | 40.8% | 42.7% | 39.9% | 1.07× | 2.34 |
| H1 tied | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 54.5 | 88.0% | 87.7% | 74.0% | 1.19× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 78.5 | 88.1% | 87.7% | 92.8% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 78.3% | 77.4% | 61.4% | 1.26× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 78.4% | 77.4% | 87.2% | 0.89× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 68.7% | 67.4% | 50.2% | 1.34× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 68.9% | 67.4% | 81.4% | 0.83× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 61.5% | 62.7% | 42.9% | 1.46× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 61.7% | 62.7% | 76.2% | 0.82× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 53.8% | 52.6% | 36.1% | 1.46× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 54.0% | 52.6% | 70.4% | 0.75× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 50.1% | 52.6% | 67.1% | 0.78× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 49.9% | 47.4% | 32.9% | 1.44× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 46.2% | 47.4% | 63.9% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 46.0% | 47.4% | 29.6% | 1.60× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 38.5% | 37.3% | 57.1% | 0.65× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 38.3% | 37.3% | 23.8% | 1.56× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 31.3% | 32.6% | 49.8% | 0.65× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 18.6% | 1.76× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 21.7% | 22.6% | 38.6% | 0.58× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 21.6% | 22.6% | 12.8% | 1.76× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 54.5 | 12.0% | 12.3% | 26.0% | 0.47× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 11.9% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 1.70× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs to win H2 | 55.3% | 55.0% | 56.0% | 0.98× | 1.82 |
| Long Island University Sharks to win H2 | 40.5% | 43.5% | 40.6% | 1.07× | 2.30 |
| H2 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 85.5 | 88.2% | 85.2% | 91.2% | 0.93× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 85.5% | 85.2% | 71.3% | 1.20× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 79.2% | 75.8% | 85.8% | 0.88× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 75.3% | 75.8% | 58.8% | 1.29× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 70.3% | 72.2% | 80.1% | 0.90× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 65.6% | 66.4% | 48.7% | 1.36× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 63.5% | 61.6% | 75.6% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 58.5% | 57.3% | 42.2% | 1.36× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 56.3% | 57.3% | 69.9% | 0.82× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 67.1% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 51.1% | 52.4% | 36.0% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 48.9% | 47.6% | 64.1% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 32.9% | 1.45× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 43.7% | 42.7% | 30.1% | 1.42× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 41.5% | 42.7% | 57.8% | 0.74× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 36.5% | 38.4% | 24.4% | 1.57× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 34.4% | 33.6% | 51.3% | 0.66× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 29.7% | 27.8% | 19.9% | 1.40× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 24.7% | 24.2% | 41.2% | 0.59× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 20.8% | 24.2% | 14.2% | 1.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 14.5% | 14.8% | 28.7% | 0.51× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 11.8% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 1.69× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs leading at half time | 54.8% | 51.9% | 56.4% | 0.92× | 1.93 |
| Long Island University Sharks leading at half time | 40.8% | 42.8% | 39.9% | 1.07× | 2.34 |
| Level at half time | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs +16.5 | 95.9% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| SMU Mustangs +18.5 | 97.2% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| SMU Mustangs +20.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| SMU Mustangs +14.5 | 94.0% | 91.1% | 86.7% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| Long Island University Sharks +20.5 | 93.7% | 91.1% | 82.0% | 1.11× | 1.10 |
| SMU Mustangs +12.5 | 91.5% | 91.1% | 83.8% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| Long Island University Sharks +18.5 | 91.1% | 91.1% | 79.3% | 1.15× | 1.10 |
| SMU Mustangs +10.5 | 88.4% | 85.9% | 80.4% | 1.07× | 1.16 |
| Long Island University Sharks +16.5 | 87.9% | 85.9% | 75.7% | 1.13× | 1.16 |
| SMU Mustangs +9.5 | 86.5% | 85.9% | 78.7% | 1.09× | 1.16 |
| SMU Mustangs +8.5 | 84.5% | 81.1% | 76.5% | 1.06× | 1.23 |
| Long Island University Sharks +14.5 | 83.9% | 81.1% | 72.1% | 1.12× | 1.23 |
| SMU Mustangs +7.5 | 82.2% | 81.1% | 74.5% | 1.09× | 1.23 |
| SMU Mustangs +6.5 | 79.8% | 76.5% | 72.3% | 1.06× | 1.31 |
| Long Island University Sharks +12.5 | 79.0% | 76.5% | 67.9% | 1.13× | 1.31 |
| SMU Mustangs +5.5 | 77.1% | 76.5% | 70.1% | 1.09× | 1.31 |
| SMU Mustangs +4.5 | 74.3% | 71.6% | 67.8% | 1.06× | 1.40 |
| Long Island University Sharks +10.5 | 73.5% | 71.6% | 63.2% | 1.13× | 1.40 |
| SMU Mustangs +3.5 | 71.3% | 71.6% | 65.7% | 1.09× | 1.40 |
| Long Island University Sharks +9.5 | 70.4% | 71.6% | 60.7% | 1.18× | 1.40 |
| SMU Mustangs +2.5 | 68.1% | 66.7% | 63.3% | 1.05× | 1.50 |
| Long Island University Sharks +8.5 | 67.2% | 66.7% | 58.0% | 1.15× | 1.50 |
| SMU Mustangs +1.5 | 64.8% | 61.9% | 61.2% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| Long Island University Sharks +7.5 | 63.9% | 61.9% | 55.2% | 1.12× | 1.62 |
| Long Island University Sharks +6.5 | 60.4% | 61.9% | 52.4% | 1.18× | 1.62 |
| SMU Mustangs −1.5 | 57.8% | 57.1% | 58.7% | 0.97× | 1.75 |
| Long Island University Sharks +5.5 | 56.8% | 57.1% | 50.3% | 1.13× | 1.75 |
| SMU Mustangs −2.5 | 54.1% | 52.4% | 56.7% | 0.92× | 1.91 |
| Long Island University Sharks +4.5 | 53.2% | 52.4% | 47.8% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| SMU Mustangs −3.5 | 50.5% | 52.4% | 54.2% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Long Island University Sharks +3.5 | 49.5% | 47.6% | 45.8% | 1.04× | 2.10 |
| Long Island University Sharks +2.5 | 45.9% | 47.6% | 43.3% | 1.10× | 2.10 |
| SMU Mustangs −4.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 52.2% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| SMU Mustangs −5.5 | 43.2% | 42.9% | 49.7% | 0.86× | 2.33 |
| Long Island University Sharks +1.5 | 42.2% | 42.9% | 41.3% | 1.04× | 2.33 |
| SMU Mustangs −6.5 | 39.6% | 38.1% | 47.6% | 0.80× | 2.63 |
| Long Island University Sharks −1.5 | 35.2% | 38.1% | 38.8% | 0.98× | 2.63 |
| SMU Mustangs −7.5 | 36.1% | 38.1% | 44.8% | 0.85× | 2.63 |
| SMU Mustangs −8.5 | 32.8% | 33.3% | 42.0% | 0.79× | 3.01 |
| Long Island University Sharks −2.5 | 31.9% | 33.3% | 36.7% | 0.91× | 3.01 |
| SMU Mustangs −9.5 | 29.6% | 28.4% | 39.3% | 0.72× | 3.53 |
| Long Island University Sharks −3.5 | 28.7% | 28.4% | 34.3% | 0.83× | 3.53 |
| SMU Mustangs −10.5 | 26.5% | 28.4% | 36.8% | 0.77× | 3.53 |
| Long Island University Sharks −4.5 | 25.7% | 28.4% | 32.2% | 0.88× | 3.53 |
| Long Island University Sharks −5.5 | 22.9% | 23.5% | 29.9% | 0.79× | 4.25 |
| Long Island University Sharks −6.5 | 20.2% | 23.5% | 27.7% | 0.85× | 4.25 |
| SMU Mustangs −12.5 | 21.0% | 23.5% | 32.1% | 0.73× | 4.25 |
| Long Island University Sharks −7.5 | 17.8% | 18.9% | 25.5% | 0.74× | 5.29 |
| Long Island University Sharks −8.5 | 15.5% | 18.9% | 23.5% | 0.80× | 5.30 |
| SMU Mustangs −14.5 | 16.1% | 18.9% | 27.9% | 0.68× | 5.30 |
| Long Island University Sharks −9.5 | 13.5% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 0.66× | 7.09 |
| Long Island University Sharks −10.5 | 11.6% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 0.72× | 7.09 |
| SMU Mustangs −16.5 | 12.1% | 14.1% | 24.3% | 0.58× | 7.09 |
| Long Island University Sharks −12.5 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 0.55× | 11.25 |
| SMU Mustangs −18.5 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 20.7% | 0.43× | 11.25 |
| Long Island University Sharks −14.5 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 0.67× | 11.25 |
| SMU Mustangs −20.5 | 6.3% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 0.49× | 11.25 |
| Long Island University Sharks −16.5 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.72 |
| Long Island University Sharks −18.5 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.73 |
| Long Island University Sharks −20.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 73.3% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.7% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.9% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.1% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.8% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.2% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs at HT / SMU Mustangs at FT | 44.0% | 41.0% | 48.3% | 0.85× | 2.44 |
| Long Island University Sharks at HT / Long Island University Sharks at FT | 26.0% | 29.6% | 30.1% | 0.98× | 3.38 |
| Long Island University Sharks at HT / SMU Mustangs at FT | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 1.25× | 8.17 |
| SMU Mustangs at HT / Long Island University Sharks at FT | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.49× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / SMU Mustangs at FT | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Long Island University Sharks at FT | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs to win | 61.4% | 60.6% | 59.9% | 1.01× | 1.65 |
| Long Island University Sharks to win | 38.6% | 39.4% | 40.1% | 0.98× | 2.54 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.8% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| SMU Mustangs even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Long Island University Sharks even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| SMU Mustangs odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Long Island University Sharks odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.2% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.0% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs to win Q1 | 51.7% | 52.6% | 54.7% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
| Long Island University Sharks to win Q1 | 42.2% | 42.9% | 40.4% | 1.06× | 2.33 |
| Q1 tied | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 41.5 | 88.3% | 87.4% | 91.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 87.8% | 87.4% | 77.6% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 77.3% | 76.9% | 84.8% | 0.91× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 76.6% | 76.9% | 62.7% | 1.23× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 67.5% | 67.6% | 77.4% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 66.6% | 67.6% | 51.2% | 1.32× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 56.3% | 58.6% | 68.5% | 0.86× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 55.4% | 58.6% | 40.9% | 1.43× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 50.5% | 52.7% | 64.0% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 49.5% | 47.3% | 36.0% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 44.6% | 41.4% | 59.1% | 0.70× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 43.7% | 41.4% | 31.5% | 1.31× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 33.4% | 32.4% | 48.8% | 0.67× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 32.5% | 32.4% | 22.6% | 1.44× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 23.4% | 23.1% | 37.3% | 0.62× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 1.52× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 12.2% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 0.56× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 41.5 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.56× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs to win Q2 | 51.6% | 51.4% | 52.9% | 0.97× | 1.95 |
| Long Island University Sharks to win Q2 | 42.4% | 43.9% | 41.5% | 1.06× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 41.5 | 89.3% | 87.3% | 92.7% | 0.94× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 86.8% | 87.3% | 76.2% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 78.8% | 76.8% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 75.0% | 72.0% | 61.2% | 1.18× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 69.3% | 67.4% | 78.7% | 0.86× | 1.48 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 64.7% | 60.7% | 49.9% | 1.22× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 58.4% | 58.2% | 70.1% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 53.3% | 52.7% | 39.2% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 52.5% | 52.7% | 65.6% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 47.5% | 47.3% | 34.4% | 1.38× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 46.7% | 47.3% | 60.8% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 41.6% | 41.8% | 29.9% | 1.40× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 35.3% | 39.3% | 50.1% | 0.78× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 30.7% | 32.6% | 21.3% | 1.53× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 25.1% | 28.0% | 38.8% | 0.72× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 21.2% | 23.2% | 14.4% | 1.61× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 13.2% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 0.53× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 41.5 | 10.7% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.72× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs to win Q3 | 52.1% | 52.7% | 53.3% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| Long Island University Sharks to win Q3 | 42.0% | 42.3% | 41.8% | 1.01× | 2.37 |
| Q3 tied | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.96 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 44.5 | 87.8% | 87.2% | 92.1% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 28.5 | 87.0% | 87.2% | 76.4% | 1.14× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 76.9% | 77.3% | 85.1% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 75.7% | 77.3% | 61.6% | 1.25× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 67.3% | 67.8% | 77.9% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 65.9% | 67.8% | 50.9% | 1.33× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 56.4% | 58.4% | 69.7% | 0.84× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 40.3% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 64.6% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 35.4% | 1.35× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 59.7% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 43.6% | 41.6% | 30.3% | 1.37× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 34.1% | 32.2% | 49.1% | 0.66× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 32.7% | 32.2% | 22.1% | 1.46× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 24.3% | 22.7% | 38.4% | 0.59× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 23.1% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 1.53× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 44.5 | 12.2% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.63× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs to win Q4 | 52.1% | 51.4% | 52.8% | 0.97× | 1.95 |
| Long Island University Sharks to win Q4 | 42.2% | 43.1% | 41.5% | 1.04× | 2.32 |
| Q4 tied | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 44.5 | 86.2% | 85.6% | 90.6% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 28.5 | 85.9% | 85.6% | 75.1% | 1.14× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 41.5 | 75.3% | 76.9% | 83.6% | 0.92× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 74.8% | 71.5% | 61.1% | 1.17× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 66.1% | 67.4% | 77.0% | 0.88× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 50.4% | 1.34× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 55.7% | 58.4% | 68.8% | 0.85× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 55.1% | 58.4% | 40.6% | 1.44× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 50.3% | 52.5% | 64.3% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 49.7% | 47.5% | 35.7% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 44.9% | 41.6% | 59.4% | 0.70× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 44.3% | 41.6% | 31.2% | 1.33× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 49.6% | 0.66× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 33.9% | 32.6% | 23.0% | 1.41× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 25.2% | 28.5% | 38.9% | 0.73× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 24.7% | 23.1% | 16.4% | 1.41× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 14.1% | 14.4% | 24.9% | 0.58× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 44.5 | 13.8% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 1.53× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University Sharks under 78.5 | 86.9% | 83.9% | 88.3% | 0.95× | 1.19 |
| SMU Mustangs under 81.5 | 85.7% | 83.9% | 84.6% | 0.99× | 1.19 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 58.5 | 84.6% | 80.7% | 62.1% | 1.30× | 1.24 |
| SMU Mustangs over 61.5 | 84.6% | 80.7% | 66.9% | 1.21× | 1.24 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 75.5 | 78.9% | 75.1% | 84.1% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| SMU Mustangs under 78.5 | 77.4% | 75.1% | 79.4% | 0.95× | 1.33 |
| SMU Mustangs over 64.5 | 76.0% | 75.1% | 58.4% | 1.29× | 1.33 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 61.5 | 75.7% | 75.1% | 52.1% | 1.44× | 1.33 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 73.5 | 72.2% | 70.7% | 80.2% | 0.88× | 1.41 |
| SMU Mustangs under 76.5 | 70.7% | 70.7% | 75.4% | 0.94× | 1.41 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 63.5 | 68.5% | 66.4% | 46.1% | 1.44× | 1.51 |
| SMU Mustangs over 66.5 | 69.1% | 66.4% | 51.8% | 1.28× | 1.51 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 71.5 | 64.6% | 61.2% | 76.1% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| SMU Mustangs under 74.5 | 63.1% | 61.2% | 70.7% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 65.5 | 60.5% | 61.2% | 40.2% | 1.52× | 1.63 |
| SMU Mustangs over 68.5 | 61.4% | 61.2% | 45.6% | 1.34× | 1.63 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 69.5 | 56.4% | 57.1% | 71.2% | 0.80× | 1.75 |
| SMU Mustangs under 72.5 | 55.0% | 57.1% | 65.7% | 0.87× | 1.75 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 67.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 34.4% | 1.52× | 1.91 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 68.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 68.6% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| SMU Mustangs over 70.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 39.7% | 1.32× | 1.91 |
| SMU Mustangs under 71.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 63.0% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| SMU Mustangs over 71.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 37.0% | 1.29× | 2.09 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 67.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 65.6% | 0.73× | 2.09 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 68.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 31.4% | 1.52× | 2.09 |
| SMU Mustangs under 70.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 60.3% | 0.79× | 2.09 |
| SMU Mustangs over 72.5 | 45.0% | 42.9% | 34.3% | 1.25× | 2.33 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 69.5 | 43.6% | 42.9% | 28.8% | 1.49× | 2.33 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 65.5 | 39.5% | 38.8% | 59.8% | 0.65× | 2.58 |
| SMU Mustangs under 68.5 | 38.6% | 38.8% | 54.4% | 0.71× | 2.58 |
| SMU Mustangs over 74.5 | 36.9% | 38.8% | 29.3% | 1.33× | 2.58 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 71.5 | 35.4% | 38.8% | 23.9% | 1.62× | 2.58 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 63.5 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 53.9% | 0.62× | 2.98 |
| SMU Mustangs under 66.5 | 30.9% | 33.6% | 48.2% | 0.70× | 2.98 |
| SMU Mustangs over 76.5 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 24.6% | 1.19× | 3.42 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 73.5 | 27.8% | 29.3% | 19.8% | 1.48× | 3.42 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 61.5 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 47.9% | 0.52× | 4.02 |
| SMU Mustangs over 78.5 | 22.6% | 24.9% | 20.6% | 1.21× | 4.02 |
| SMU Mustangs under 64.5 | 24.0% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 0.60× | 4.02 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 75.5 | 21.1% | 24.9% | 15.9% | 1.57× | 4.02 |
| Long Island University Sharks under 58.5 | 15.4% | 19.3% | 37.9% | 0.51× | 5.18 |
| SMU Mustangs under 61.5 | 15.4% | 19.3% | 33.1% | 0.58× | 5.18 |
| SMU Mustangs over 81.5 | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 1.04× | 6.21 |
| Long Island University Sharks over 78.5 | 13.1% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 1.38× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 159.5 points | 91.0% | 88.8% | 93.3% | 0.95× | 1.13 |
| Over 119.5 points | 90.6% | 88.8% | 71.6% | 1.24× | 1.13 |
| Under 154.5 points | 84.3% | 80.6% | 89.8% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Over 124.5 points | 83.7% | 80.6% | 61.5% | 1.31× | 1.24 |
| Under 149.5 points | 75.2% | 75.6% | 84.9% | 0.89× | 1.32 |
| Over 129.5 points | 74.1% | 70.8% | 50.5% | 1.40× | 1.41 |
| Under 146.5 points | 68.4% | 65.9% | 80.9% | 0.81× | 1.52 |
| Over 132.5 points | 67.4% | 65.9% | 44.0% | 1.50× | 1.52 |
| Under 144.5 points | 63.5% | 61.5% | 78.1% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Over 134.5 points | 62.5% | 61.5% | 39.8% | 1.54× | 1.63 |
| Under 142.5 points | 58.4% | 56.5% | 75.1% | 0.75× | 1.77 |
| Over 136.5 points | 57.3% | 56.5% | 35.8% | 1.58× | 1.77 |
| Under 140.5 points | 53.2% | 52.3% | 71.8% | 0.73× | 1.91 |
| Over 138.5 points | 52.1% | 52.3% | 32.1% | 1.63× | 1.91 |
| Under 139.5 points | 50.7% | 52.3% | 69.9% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Over 139.5 points | 49.3% | 47.7% | 30.1% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| Under 138.5 points | 47.9% | 47.7% | 67.9% | 0.70× | 2.10 |
| Over 140.5 points | 46.8% | 47.7% | 28.2% | 1.69× | 2.10 |
| Under 136.5 points | 42.7% | 43.5% | 64.2% | 0.68× | 2.30 |
| Over 142.5 points | 41.6% | 43.5% | 24.9% | 1.75× | 2.30 |
| Under 134.5 points | 37.5% | 38.5% | 60.2% | 0.64× | 2.60 |
| Over 144.5 points | 36.5% | 38.5% | 21.9% | 1.76× | 2.60 |
| Under 132.5 points | 32.6% | 34.1% | 56.0% | 0.61× | 2.93 |
| Over 146.5 points | 31.6% | 34.1% | 19.1% | 1.79× | 2.93 |
| Under 129.5 points | 25.9% | 29.2% | 49.5% | 0.59× | 3.43 |
| Over 149.5 points | 24.8% | 24.4% | 15.1% | 1.62× | 4.10 |
| Under 124.5 points | 16.3% | 19.4% | 38.5% | 0.50× | 5.15 |
| Over 154.5 points | 15.7% | 19.4% | 10.2% | 1.91× | 5.15 |
| Under 119.5 points | 9.4% | 11.2% | 28.4% | 0.39× | 8.96 |
| Over 159.5 points | 9.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 1.67× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs to win both halves | 27.5% | 27.2% | 36.0% | 0.75× | 3.68 |
| Long Island University Sharks to win both halves | 13.9% | 14.1% | 20.4% | 0.69× | 7.11 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs by 1-5 | 18.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| SMU Mustangs by 6-10 | 16.6% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Long Island University Sharks by 1-5 | 15.7% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| SMU Mustangs by 11-15 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Long Island University Sharks by 6-10 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 1.20× | 8.11 |
| SMU Mustangs by 16-20 | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Long Island University Sharks by 11-15 | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.98× | 13.40 |
| SMU Mustangs by 21-25 | 3.9% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.29 |
| Long Island University Sharks by 16-20 | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.30 |
| Long Island University Sharks by 21-25 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.32 |
| SMU Mustangs by 26+ | 2.4% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.31 |
| Long Island University Sharks by 26+ | 0.5% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.32 |