South Florida Bulls v Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 1 December 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 82.05–53.84 | 82-54 0% | 52% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls to score 100+ | 3.6% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 282.66 |
| South Florida Bulls to score 110+ | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.31 |
| South Florida Bulls to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| South Florida Bulls to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls to win H1 | 92.6% | 93.4% | 56.4% | 1.66× | 1.07 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to win H1 | 5.9% | 7.1% | 39.9% | 0.18× | 14.16 |
| H1 tied | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.88 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 53.5 | 89.1% | 87.7% | 76.8% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 77.5 | 88.5% | 87.7% | 91.6% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 79.3% | 77.4% | 64.8% | 1.19× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 78.9% | 77.4% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 69.5% | 67.4% | 53.9% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 69.2% | 67.4% | 78.9% | 0.85× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 62.0% | 62.7% | 46.3% | 1.35× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 61.8% | 62.7% | 73.5% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 54.1% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 54.0% | 52.6% | 67.1% | 0.78× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 50.1% | 52.6% | 36.1% | 1.46× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 49.9% | 47.4% | 63.9% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 45.9% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 46.0% | 47.4% | 32.9% | 1.44× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 38.0% | 37.3% | 53.7% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 38.2% | 37.3% | 26.5% | 1.41× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 30.5% | 32.6% | 46.1% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 30.8% | 32.6% | 21.1% | 1.55× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 21.1% | 22.6% | 14.4% | 1.57× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 20.7% | 22.6% | 35.2% | 0.64× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 1.47× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 0.53× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls to win H2 | 93.8% | 89.4% | 56.0% | 1.60× | 1.12 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to win H2 | 5.0% | 3.9% | 40.6% | 0.10× | 25.35 |
| H2 tied | 1.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.38 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 84.5 | 88.9% | 85.2% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 86.5% | 85.2% | 74.5% | 1.14× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 80.0% | 75.8% | 84.0% | 0.90× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 76.0% | 75.8% | 62.1% | 1.22× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 71.0% | 72.2% | 77.9% | 0.93× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 66.0% | 66.4% | 52.1% | 1.27× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 64.2% | 61.6% | 73.0% | 0.84× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 58.6% | 57.3% | 45.2% | 1.27× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 56.8% | 57.3% | 67.1% | 0.86× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 52.9% | 52.4% | 64.1% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 50.9% | 52.4% | 38.9% | 1.35× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 49.1% | 47.6% | 61.1% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 47.1% | 47.6% | 36.0% | 1.32× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 43.2% | 42.7% | 32.9% | 1.30× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 41.4% | 42.7% | 54.8% | 0.78× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 35.8% | 38.4% | 27.0% | 1.42× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 34.0% | 33.6% | 47.9% | 0.70× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 29.0% | 27.8% | 22.1% | 1.26× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 24.0% | 24.2% | 37.9% | 0.64× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 20.0% | 24.2% | 16.0% | 1.52× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 13.5% | 14.8% | 25.5% | 0.58× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 11.1% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 1.52× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls leading at half time | 92.6% | 94.0% | 56.4% | 1.67× | 1.06 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions leading at half time | 5.9% | 6.6% | 39.9% | 0.16× | 15.24 |
| Level at half time | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.44 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls +2.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +3.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +4.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +5.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +6.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +7.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +8.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +9.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +10.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +12.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls +1.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −2.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −3.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −4.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 52.2% | 1.87× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −5.5 | 97.8% | 97.4% | 49.7% | 1.96× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −6.5 | 97.3% | 97.4% | 47.6% | 2.05× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −7.5 | 96.7% | 97.4% | 44.8% | 2.18× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −8.5 | 95.9% | 97.4% | 42.0% | 2.32× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −1.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −9.5 | 95.0% | 97.4% | 39.3% | 2.48× | 1.03 |
| South Florida Bulls −10.5 | 94.0% | 91.1% | 36.8% | 2.48× | 1.10 |
| South Florida Bulls −12.5 | 91.5% | 91.1% | 32.1% | 2.84× | 1.10 |
| South Florida Bulls −14.5 | 88.3% | 85.9% | 27.9% | 3.08× | 1.16 |
| South Florida Bulls −16.5 | 84.3% | 81.1% | 24.3% | 3.34× | 1.23 |
| South Florida Bulls −18.5 | 79.5% | 76.5% | 20.7% | 3.69× | 1.31 |
| South Florida Bulls −20.5 | 74.0% | 71.6% | 18.0% | 3.98× | 1.40 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +20.5 | 26.0% | 28.4% | 82.0% | 0.35× | 3.53 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +18.5 | 20.5% | 23.5% | 79.3% | 0.30× | 4.25 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +16.5 | 15.7% | 18.9% | 75.7% | 0.25× | 5.30 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +14.5 | 11.7% | 14.1% | 72.1% | 0.20× | 7.09 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +12.5 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 67.9% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +10.5 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 63.2% | 0.14× | 11.25 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +9.5 | 5.0% | 2.6% | 60.7% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +2.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +3.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +4.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 47.8% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +5.5 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 50.3% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +6.5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 52.4% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +7.5 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 55.2% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +8.5 | 4.1% | 2.6% | 58.0% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +1.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −2.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −3.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −4.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −5.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −6.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −7.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −8.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −9.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −10.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −12.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions −1.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.9% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.1% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.8% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.3% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT | 92.4% | 94.0% | 48.3% | 1.95× | 1.06 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.10 |
| Level at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.77 |
| South Florida Bulls at HT / Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at FT | 0.2% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.79 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at HT / Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at FT | 0.3% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.79 |
| Level at HT / Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls to win | 99.4% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to win | 0.6% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.82 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions even | 50.3% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.1% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| South Florida Bulls odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions odd | 49.7% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.9% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 99.1% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 0.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.60 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls to win Q1 | 82.7% | 85.7% | 54.7% | 1.57× | 1.17 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to win Q1 | 13.7% | 11.5% | 40.4% | 0.28× | 8.72 |
| Q1 tied | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.98 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 41.5 | 89.9% | 87.4% | 91.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 86.9% | 87.4% | 77.6% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 79.7% | 76.9% | 84.8% | 0.91× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 74.8% | 72.7% | 62.7% | 1.16× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 70.2% | 72.7% | 77.4% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 64.4% | 61.7% | 51.2% | 1.20× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 59.2% | 58.6% | 68.5% | 0.86× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 53.3% | 52.7% | 64.0% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 52.7% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 47.3% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 46.7% | 47.3% | 36.0% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 40.8% | 41.4% | 31.5% | 1.31× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 35.6% | 38.3% | 48.8% | 0.78× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 29.8% | 27.3% | 22.6% | 1.21× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 25.2% | 27.3% | 37.3% | 0.73× | 3.67 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 20.3% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 1.52× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 13.1% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 0.56× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 41.5 | 10.1% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.56× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls to win Q2 | 81.9% | 84.9% | 52.9% | 1.61× | 1.18 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to win Q2 | 14.4% | 7.9% | 41.5% | 0.19× | 12.74 |
| Q2 tied | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.92 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 24.5 | 88.9% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 40.5 | 88.1% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 77.9% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 76.8% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 68.0% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 56.6% | 58.2% | 44.3% | 1.31× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 55.3% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 50.6% | 52.7% | 39.2% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 60.8% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 44.7% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 43.4% | 41.8% | 55.7% | 0.75× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 32.0% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 23.2% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 22.1% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.89 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 11.1% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls to win Q3 | 84.2% | 85.8% | 53.3% | 1.61× | 1.17 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to win Q3 | 12.4% | 11.3% | 41.8% | 0.27× | 8.82 |
| Q3 tied | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.47 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 44.5 | 89.6% | 87.2% | 92.1% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 28.5 | 86.0% | 87.2% | 76.4% | 1.14× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 79.4% | 77.3% | 85.1% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 73.9% | 71.8% | 61.6% | 1.17× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 70.2% | 71.8% | 77.9% | 0.92× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 63.5% | 62.0% | 50.9% | 1.22× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 59.5% | 58.4% | 69.7% | 0.84× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 64.6% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 40.3% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 59.7% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 35.4% | 1.35× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 40.5% | 41.6% | 30.3% | 1.37× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 36.5% | 38.0% | 49.1% | 0.78× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 29.8% | 28.2% | 22.1% | 1.28× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 26.1% | 28.2% | 38.4% | 0.73× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 20.6% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 1.53× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 14.0% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 44.5 | 10.4% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.63× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls to win Q4 | 83.7% | 74.9% | 52.8% | 1.42× | 1.34 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to win Q4 | 12.9% | 17.8% | 41.5% | 0.43× | 5.63 |
| Q4 tied | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.31 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 44.5 | 88.0% | 85.6% | 90.6% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 28.5 | 84.8% | 82.0% | 75.1% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 41.5 | 77.8% | 76.9% | 83.6% | 0.92× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 73.0% | 71.5% | 61.1% | 1.17× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 68.8% | 67.4% | 77.0% | 0.88× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 63.1% | 61.4% | 50.4% | 1.22× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 58.6% | 58.4% | 68.8% | 0.85× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 53.1% | 52.5% | 64.3% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 52.4% | 52.5% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 47.6% | 47.5% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 46.9% | 47.5% | 35.7% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 41.4% | 41.6% | 31.2% | 1.33× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 36.9% | 38.6% | 49.6% | 0.78× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 31.2% | 32.6% | 23.0% | 1.41× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 27.0% | 28.5% | 38.9% | 0.73× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 22.2% | 23.1% | 16.4% | 1.41× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 15.2% | 18.0% | 24.9% | 0.72× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 44.5 | 12.0% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 1.53× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 65.5 | 88.9% | 83.9% | 59.8% | 1.40× | 1.19 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 45.5 | 86.8% | 83.9% | 91.3% | 0.92× | 1.19 |
| South Florida Bulls over 72.5 | 85.4% | 83.9% | 34.3% | 2.44× | 1.19 |
| South Florida Bulls under 92.5 | 85.7% | 83.9% | 95.7% | 0.88× | 1.19 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 62.5 | 81.4% | 80.7% | 51.0% | 1.58× | 1.24 |
| South Florida Bulls over 75.5 | 76.8% | 75.1% | 26.8% | 2.80× | 1.33 |
| South Florida Bulls under 89.5 | 77.3% | 75.1% | 93.9% | 0.80× | 1.33 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 48.5 | 76.4% | 75.1% | 86.7% | 0.87× | 1.33 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 60.5 | 74.9% | 70.7% | 44.4% | 1.59× | 1.41 |
| South Florida Bulls under 87.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 92.3% | 0.77× | 1.41 |
| South Florida Bulls over 77.5 | 69.9% | 66.4% | 22.6% | 2.94× | 1.51 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 50.5 | 68.2% | 66.4% | 83.1% | 0.80× | 1.51 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 58.5 | 67.3% | 66.4% | 37.9% | 1.75× | 1.51 |
| South Florida Bulls over 79.5 | 62.1% | 61.2% | 18.7% | 3.27× | 1.63 |
| South Florida Bulls under 85.5 | 62.8% | 61.2% | 90.2% | 0.68× | 1.63 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 52.5 | 59.3% | 57.1% | 78.5% | 0.73× | 1.75 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 56.5 | 58.8% | 57.1% | 32.0% | 1.79× | 1.75 |
| South Florida Bulls over 81.5 | 53.9% | 52.3% | 15.4% | 3.39× | 1.91 |
| South Florida Bulls under 83.5 | 54.6% | 52.3% | 87.7% | 0.60× | 1.91 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 55.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 29.2% | 1.79× | 1.91 |
| South Florida Bulls under 82.5 | 50.4% | 52.3% | 86.2% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 54.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 73.5% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| South Florida Bulls over 82.5 | 49.6% | 47.7% | 13.8% | 3.47× | 2.09 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 54.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 26.5% | 1.80× | 2.09 |
| South Florida Bulls under 81.5 | 46.1% | 47.7% | 84.6% | 0.56× | 2.09 |
| South Florida Bulls over 83.5 | 45.4% | 47.7% | 12.3% | 3.88× | 2.09 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 55.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 70.8% | 0.67× | 2.09 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 52.5 | 40.7% | 42.9% | 21.5% | 1.99× | 2.33 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 56.5 | 41.2% | 42.9% | 68.0% | 0.63× | 2.33 |
| South Florida Bulls under 79.5 | 37.9% | 38.8% | 81.3% | 0.48× | 2.58 |
| South Florida Bulls over 85.5 | 37.2% | 38.8% | 9.8% | 3.96× | 2.58 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 50.5 | 31.8% | 33.6% | 16.9% | 1.99× | 2.98 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 58.5 | 32.7% | 33.6% | 62.1% | 0.54× | 2.98 |
| South Florida Bulls under 77.5 | 30.1% | 33.6% | 77.4% | 0.43× | 2.98 |
| South Florida Bulls over 87.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 7.7% | 3.81× | 3.42 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 60.5 | 25.1% | 29.3% | 55.6% | 0.53× | 3.42 |
| South Florida Bulls under 75.5 | 23.2% | 24.9% | 73.2% | 0.34× | 4.02 |
| South Florida Bulls over 89.5 | 22.7% | 24.9% | 6.1% | 4.05× | 4.02 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 48.5 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 13.3% | 1.87× | 4.02 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 62.5 | 18.6% | 19.3% | 49.0% | 0.39× | 5.18 |
| South Florida Bulls under 72.5 | 14.6% | 16.1% | 65.7% | 0.25× | 6.21 |
| South Florida Bulls over 92.5 | 14.3% | 16.1% | 4.3% | 3.71× | 6.21 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions under 45.5 | 13.2% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 1.86× | 6.21 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over 65.5 | 11.1% | 16.1% | 40.2% | 0.40× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 117.5 points | 92.7% | 88.8% | 75.3% | 1.18× | 1.13 |
| Under 157.5 points | 91.9% | 88.8% | 92.1% | 0.96× | 1.13 |
| Over 122.5 points | 85.6% | 85.0% | 65.6% | 1.30× | 1.18 |
| Under 152.5 points | 85.5% | 85.0% | 88.1% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Under 147.5 points | 76.4% | 75.6% | 82.3% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| Over 127.5 points | 75.3% | 75.6% | 55.1% | 1.37× | 1.32 |
| Under 144.5 points | 69.7% | 65.9% | 78.1% | 0.84× | 1.52 |
| Over 130.5 points | 67.9% | 65.9% | 48.3% | 1.36× | 1.52 |
| Under 142.5 points | 64.8% | 61.5% | 75.1% | 0.82× | 1.63 |
| Over 132.5 points | 62.6% | 61.5% | 44.0% | 1.40× | 1.63 |
| Under 140.5 points | 59.5% | 56.5% | 71.8% | 0.79× | 1.77 |
| Over 134.5 points | 57.1% | 56.5% | 39.8% | 1.42× | 1.77 |
| Under 138.5 points | 54.1% | 52.3% | 67.9% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Over 136.5 points | 51.5% | 52.3% | 35.8% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| Under 137.5 points | 51.3% | 52.3% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Over 137.5 points | 48.7% | 47.7% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.10 |
| Under 136.5 points | 48.5% | 47.7% | 64.2% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| Over 138.5 points | 46.0% | 47.7% | 32.1% | 1.49× | 2.10 |
| Under 134.5 points | 42.9% | 43.5% | 60.2% | 0.72× | 2.30 |
| Over 140.5 points | 40.5% | 43.5% | 28.2% | 1.54× | 2.30 |
| Under 132.5 points | 37.4% | 38.5% | 56.0% | 0.69× | 2.60 |
| Over 142.5 points | 35.2% | 38.5% | 24.9% | 1.55× | 2.60 |
| Under 130.5 points | 32.1% | 34.1% | 51.7% | 0.66× | 2.93 |
| Over 144.5 points | 30.3% | 34.1% | 21.9% | 1.56× | 2.93 |
| Under 127.5 points | 24.7% | 24.4% | 44.9% | 0.54× | 4.10 |
| Over 147.5 points | 23.6% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 1.37× | 4.10 |
| Under 122.5 points | 14.4% | 15.0% | 34.4% | 0.43× | 6.68 |
| Over 152.5 points | 14.5% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 1.26× | 6.68 |
| Over 157.5 points | 8.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 1.41× | 8.96 |
| Under 117.5 points | 7.3% | 11.2% | 24.7% | 0.45× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls to win both halves | 86.6% | 86.1% | 36.0% | 2.39× | 1.16 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions to win both halves | 0.1% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.84 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls by 26+ | 57.3% | 62.3% | 12.6% | 4.94× | 1.60 |
| South Florida Bulls by 21-25 | 16.7% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| South Florida Bulls by 16-20 | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.53× | 8.11 |
| South Florida Bulls by 11-15 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| South Florida Bulls by 6-10 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.29 |
| South Florida Bulls by 1-5 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.31 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions by 1-5 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions by 6-10 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions by 11-15 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |