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South Florida Bulls v Binghamton Bearcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 18 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
South Florida Bulls win
89.7%
Draw
0.0%
Binghamton Bearcats win
10.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 73.31–59.39 73-59 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to score 100+ 0.3% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.29
South Florida Bulls to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.35
South Florida Bulls to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
South Florida Bulls to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win H1 75.9% 79.2% 56.4% 1.40× 1.26
Binghamton Bearcats to win H1 20.7% 21.4% 39.9% 0.54× 4.68
H1 tied 3.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 51.5 88.5% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 75.5 88.1% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 55.5 78.8% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 71.5 78.4% 77.4% 81.4% 0.95× 1.29
H1 over 58.5 69.2% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 68.5 68.8% 67.4% 73.5% 0.92× 1.48
H1 over 60.5 61.8% 62.7% 53.9% 1.16× 1.59
H1 under 66.5 61.6% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 62.5 54.1% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 53.8% 52.6% 60.7% 0.87× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 50.1% 52.6% 42.9% 1.23× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 49.9% 47.4% 57.1% 0.83× 2.11
H1 under 62.5 45.9% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 46.2% 47.4% 39.3% 1.21× 2.11
H1 under 60.5 38.2% 37.3% 46.1% 0.81× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 38.4% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 over 68.5 31.2% 32.6% 26.5% 1.23× 3.07
H1 under 58.5 30.8% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 under 55.5 21.2% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 21.6% 22.6% 18.6% 1.22× 4.43
H1 over 75.5 11.9% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H1 under 51.5 11.5% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win H2 77.3% 73.9% 56.0% 1.32× 1.35
Binghamton Bearcats to win H2 19.5% 20.5% 40.6% 0.50× 4.89
H2 tied 3.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 57.5 87.5% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 81.5 86.9% 85.2% 85.8% 0.99× 1.17
H2 over 61.5 77.9% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 77.5 77.3% 75.8% 77.9% 0.97× 1.32
H2 over 64.5 68.5% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 74.5 67.9% 66.4% 69.9% 0.95× 1.51
H2 over 66.5 61.5% 61.6% 55.4% 1.11× 1.62
H2 under 72.5 60.9% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 68.5 54.0% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 53.5% 52.4% 57.8% 0.91× 1.91
H2 over 69.5 50.3% 52.4% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 49.7% 47.6% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
H2 under 68.5 46.0% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 46.5% 47.6% 42.2% 1.13× 2.10
H2 over 72.5 39.1% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 66.5 38.5% 38.4% 44.6% 0.86× 2.61
H2 over 74.5 32.1% 33.6% 30.1% 1.12× 2.97
H2 under 64.5 31.5% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 22.7% 24.2% 22.1% 1.10× 4.13
H2 under 61.5 22.1% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 81.5 13.1% 14.8% 14.2% 1.04× 6.76
H2 under 57.5 12.5% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls leading at half time 75.9% 79.7% 56.4% 1.41× 1.26
Binghamton Bearcats leading at half time 20.7% 20.9% 39.9% 0.52× 4.78
Level at half time 3.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls +14.5 99.4% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +16.5 99.7% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +18.5 99.8% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +5.5 95.7% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +6.5 96.4% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +7.5 97.1% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +8.5 97.6% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +9.5 98.1% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +10.5 98.5% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +12.5 99.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +4.5 94.8% 91.1% 67.8% 1.34× 1.10
South Florida Bulls +2.5 92.6% 91.1% 63.3% 1.44× 1.10
South Florida Bulls +3.5 93.7% 91.1% 65.7% 1.39× 1.10
South Florida Bulls +1.5 91.2% 91.1% 61.2% 1.49× 1.10
South Florida Bulls −1.5 87.8% 85.9% 58.7% 1.46× 1.16
South Florida Bulls −2.5 85.7% 85.9% 56.7% 1.51× 1.16
South Florida Bulls −3.5 83.4% 81.1% 54.2% 1.50× 1.23
South Florida Bulls −4.5 80.9% 81.1% 52.2% 1.56× 1.23
South Florida Bulls −5.5 78.3% 76.5% 49.7% 1.54× 1.31
South Florida Bulls −6.5 75.4% 76.5% 47.6% 1.61× 1.31
South Florida Bulls −7.5 72.4% 71.6% 44.8% 1.60× 1.40
Binghamton Bearcats +20.5 72.5% 71.6% 82.0% 0.87× 1.40
South Florida Bulls −8.5 69.2% 66.7% 42.0% 1.59× 1.50
Binghamton Bearcats +18.5 66.1% 66.7% 79.3% 0.84× 1.50
South Florida Bulls −9.5 65.9% 66.7% 39.3% 1.70× 1.50
South Florida Bulls −10.5 62.4% 61.9% 36.8% 1.68× 1.62
Binghamton Bearcats +16.5 59.2% 57.1% 75.7% 0.75× 1.75
South Florida Bulls −12.5 55.3% 57.1% 32.1% 1.78× 1.75
Binghamton Bearcats +14.5 52.0% 52.4% 72.1% 0.73× 1.91
South Florida Bulls −14.5 48.0% 47.6% 27.9% 1.71× 2.10
Binghamton Bearcats +12.5 44.7% 42.9% 67.9% 0.63× 2.33
South Florida Bulls −16.5 40.8% 42.9% 24.3% 1.77× 2.33
Binghamton Bearcats +10.5 37.6% 38.1% 63.2% 0.60× 2.63
Binghamton Bearcats +9.5 34.1% 33.3% 60.7% 0.55× 3.01
South Florida Bulls −18.5 33.9% 33.3% 20.7% 1.61× 3.01
Binghamton Bearcats +8.5 30.8% 33.3% 58.0% 0.57× 3.01
Binghamton Bearcats +7.5 27.6% 28.4% 55.2% 0.51× 3.53
South Florida Bulls −20.5 27.5% 28.4% 18.0% 1.58× 3.53
Binghamton Bearcats +6.5 24.6% 23.5% 52.4% 0.45× 4.25
Binghamton Bearcats +5.5 21.7% 23.5% 50.3% 0.47× 4.25
Binghamton Bearcats +4.5 19.1% 18.9% 47.8% 0.39× 5.29
Binghamton Bearcats +3.5 16.6% 18.9% 45.8% 0.41× 5.30
Binghamton Bearcats +2.5 14.3% 14.1% 43.3% 0.33× 7.09
Binghamton Bearcats +1.5 12.2% 14.1% 41.3% 0.34× 7.09
Binghamton Bearcats −1.5 8.8% 8.9% 38.8% 0.23× 11.25
Binghamton Bearcats −2.5 7.4% 8.9% 36.7% 0.24× 11.25
Binghamton Bearcats −3.5 6.3% 8.9% 34.3% 0.26× 11.25
Binghamton Bearcats −4.5 5.2% 8.9% 32.2% 0.28× 11.25
Binghamton Bearcats −5.5 4.3% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.72
Binghamton Bearcats −6.5 3.6% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.73
Binghamton Bearcats −7.5 2.9% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.73
Binghamton Bearcats −8.5 2.4% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.73
Binghamton Bearcats −9.5 1.9% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.73
Binghamton Bearcats −10.5 1.5% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Binghamton Bearcats −12.5 1.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Binghamton Bearcats −14.5 0.6% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Binghamton Bearcats −16.5 0.3% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Binghamton Bearcats −18.5 0.2% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Binghamton Bearcats −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.4% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.6% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.6% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.8% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.1% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT 72.5% 73.2% 48.3% 1.52× 1.37
Binghamton Bearcats at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT 14.3% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Binghamton Bearcats at HT / Binghamton Bearcats at FT 6.4% 8.3% 30.1% 0.27× 12.09
South Florida Bulls at HT / Binghamton Bearcats at FT 3.4% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.73
Level at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Binghamton Bearcats at FT 0.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win 89.7% 85.6% 59.9% 1.43× 1.17
Binghamton Bearcats to win 10.3% 14.4% 40.1% 0.36× 6.93
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Binghamton Bearcats even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
South Florida Bulls odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Binghamton Bearcats odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.2% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.8% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.40
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win Q1 66.9% 72.2% 54.7% 1.32× 1.38
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q1 27.7% 22.4% 40.4% 0.56× 4.46
Q1 tied 5.4% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 40.5 89.7% 87.4% 89.9% 0.97× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 86.6% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 79.5% 76.9% 81.6% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 74.5% 72.7% 67.7% 1.07× 1.38
Q1 under 35.5 70.1% 72.7% 73.2% 0.99× 1.38
Q1 over 29.5 64.2% 61.7% 56.9% 1.09× 1.62
Q1 under 33.5 59.1% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 53.3% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 52.6% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 47.4% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 46.7% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 over 33.5 40.9% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 35.8% 38.3% 43.1% 0.89× 2.61
Q1 over 35.5 29.9% 27.3% 26.8% 1.02× 3.66
Q1 under 27.5 25.5% 27.3% 32.3% 0.84× 3.66
Q1 over 37.5 20.5% 23.1% 18.4% 1.25× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 13.4% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 10.3% 12.6% 10.1% 1.24× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win Q2 66.4% 68.3% 52.9% 1.29× 1.46
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q2 28.3% 27.7% 41.5% 0.67× 3.61
Q2 tied 5.3% 6.1% 5.7% 1.06× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 23.5 88.6% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 39.5 87.8% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 26.5 77.6% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 36.5 76.5% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 28.5 67.8% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 34.5 66.6% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 30.5 56.5% 58.2% 49.9% 1.17× 1.72
Q2 under 32.5 55.2% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 31.5 50.7% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 under 31.5 49.3% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 44.8% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 30.5 43.5% 41.8% 50.1% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 over 34.5 33.4% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 28.5 32.2% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 36.5 23.5% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 26.5 22.4% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 39.5 12.2% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.89
Q2 under 23.5 11.4% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win Q3 68.1% 66.7% 53.3% 1.25× 1.50
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q3 26.8% 28.8% 41.8% 0.69× 3.47
Q3 tied 5.2% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.98
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 43.5 89.6% 87.2% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 85.3% 87.2% 80.0% 1.09× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 79.6% 77.3% 81.9% 0.94× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 73.1% 71.8% 66.8% 1.07× 1.39
Q3 under 38.5 70.5% 71.8% 73.9% 0.97× 1.39
Q3 over 32.5 62.8% 61.9% 56.1% 1.10× 1.61
Q3 under 36.5 59.9% 58.4% 64.6% 0.90× 1.71
Q3 under 35.5 54.2% 52.3% 59.7% 0.88× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 51.5% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 48.5% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 45.8% 47.7% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
Q3 over 36.5 40.1% 41.6% 35.4% 1.17× 2.40
Q3 under 32.5 37.2% 38.1% 43.9% 0.87× 2.63
Q3 over 38.5 29.5% 28.2% 26.1% 1.08× 3.55
Q3 under 30.5 26.9% 28.2% 33.2% 0.85× 3.55
Q3 over 40.5 20.4% 22.7% 18.1% 1.25× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 14.7% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.83
Q3 over 43.5 10.4% 12.8% 9.8% 1.30× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win Q4 67.8% 60.6% 52.8% 1.15× 1.65
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q4 27.2% 33.3% 41.5% 0.80× 3.00
Q4 tied 5.1% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 43.5 88.1% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 84.2% 82.0% 78.9% 1.04× 1.22
Q4 under 40.5 78.0% 76.9% 80.6% 0.95× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 72.3% 71.5% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 under 38.5 69.1% 67.4% 73.1% 0.92× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 62.5% 61.4% 55.4% 1.11× 1.63
Q4 under 36.5 59.0% 58.4% 64.3% 0.91× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 53.6% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 51.8% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 48.2% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 46.4% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 over 36.5 41.0% 41.6% 35.7% 1.17× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 37.5% 38.6% 44.6% 0.87× 2.59
Q4 over 38.5 30.9% 32.6% 26.9% 1.21× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 27.7% 28.5% 33.7% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 over 40.5 22.0% 23.1% 19.4% 1.19× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 15.8% 18.0% 21.1% 0.85× 5.56
Q4 over 43.5 11.9% 14.4% 11.4% 1.26× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats over 49.5 86.9% 83.9% 85.1% 0.99× 1.19
Binghamton Bearcats under 69.5 86.3% 83.9% 71.2% 1.18× 1.19
South Florida Bulls over 63.5 85.6% 83.9% 61.5% 1.37× 1.19
South Florida Bulls under 83.5 85.3% 83.9% 87.7% 0.96× 1.19
Binghamton Bearcats over 52.5 78.0% 75.1% 78.5% 0.96× 1.33
Binghamton Bearcats under 66.5 77.9% 75.1% 62.7% 1.20× 1.33
South Florida Bulls over 66.5 77.2% 75.1% 51.8% 1.45× 1.33
South Florida Bulls under 80.5 76.8% 75.1% 82.9% 0.91× 1.33
South Florida Bulls over 68.5 70.3% 70.7% 45.6% 1.55× 1.41
Binghamton Bearcats over 54.5 70.8% 70.7% 73.5% 0.96× 1.41
Binghamton Bearcats under 64.5 70.9% 70.7% 56.9% 1.24× 1.41
South Florida Bulls under 78.5 69.9% 66.4% 79.4% 0.84× 1.51
South Florida Bulls over 70.5 62.7% 61.2% 39.7% 1.54× 1.63
South Florida Bulls under 76.5 62.2% 61.2% 75.4% 0.81× 1.63
Binghamton Bearcats over 56.5 62.8% 61.2% 68.0% 0.90× 1.63
Binghamton Bearcats under 62.5 63.0% 61.2% 51.0% 1.20× 1.63
South Florida Bulls over 72.5 54.4% 52.3% 34.3% 1.52× 1.91
South Florida Bulls under 74.5 54.0% 52.3% 70.7% 0.74× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats over 58.5 54.2% 52.3% 62.1% 0.84× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats under 60.5 54.6% 52.3% 44.4% 1.18× 1.91
South Florida Bulls over 73.5 50.2% 52.3% 31.5% 1.66× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats under 59.5 50.2% 52.3% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
South Florida Bulls under 73.5 49.8% 47.7% 68.5% 0.70× 2.09
Binghamton Bearcats over 59.5 49.8% 47.7% 58.8% 0.81× 2.09
South Florida Bulls under 72.5 45.6% 47.7% 65.7% 0.73× 2.09
South Florida Bulls over 74.5 46.0% 47.7% 29.3% 1.63× 2.09
Binghamton Bearcats under 58.5 45.8% 47.7% 37.9% 1.26× 2.09
Binghamton Bearcats over 60.5 45.4% 47.7% 55.6% 0.86× 2.09
South Florida Bulls under 70.5 37.3% 38.8% 60.3% 0.64× 2.58
South Florida Bulls over 76.5 37.8% 38.8% 24.6% 1.58× 2.58
Binghamton Bearcats under 56.5 37.2% 38.8% 32.0% 1.21× 2.58
Binghamton Bearcats over 62.5 37.0% 38.8% 49.0% 0.79× 2.58
South Florida Bulls over 78.5 30.1% 33.6% 20.6% 1.63× 2.98
South Florida Bulls under 68.5 29.7% 29.3% 54.4% 0.54× 3.42
Binghamton Bearcats under 54.5 29.2% 29.3% 26.5% 1.11× 3.42
Binghamton Bearcats over 64.5 29.1% 29.3% 43.2% 0.68× 3.42
South Florida Bulls under 66.5 22.8% 24.9% 48.2% 0.52× 4.02
South Florida Bulls over 80.5 23.2% 24.9% 17.1% 1.46× 4.02
Binghamton Bearcats under 52.5 22.0% 24.9% 21.5% 1.16× 4.02
Binghamton Bearcats over 66.5 22.1% 24.9% 37.3% 0.67× 4.02
South Florida Bulls under 63.5 14.4% 16.1% 38.5% 0.42× 6.21
South Florida Bulls over 83.5 14.7% 16.1% 12.3% 1.31× 6.21
Binghamton Bearcats under 49.5 13.1% 16.1% 14.9% 1.08× 6.21
Binghamton Bearcats over 69.5 13.7% 16.1% 28.8% 0.56× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 153.5 points 91.4% 88.8% 89.0% 1.00× 1.13
Over 113.5 points 91.1% 88.8% 81.9% 1.08× 1.13
Under 148.5 points 85.0% 80.6% 83.7% 0.96× 1.24
Over 118.5 points 84.0% 80.6% 73.6% 1.10× 1.24
Under 143.5 points 75.9% 75.6% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
Over 123.5 points 74.1% 70.8% 63.3% 1.12× 1.41
Under 140.5 points 69.2% 65.9% 71.8% 0.92× 1.52
Over 126.5 points 67.1% 65.9% 57.4% 1.15× 1.52
Under 138.5 points 64.3% 61.5% 67.9% 0.91× 1.63
Over 128.5 points 62.0% 61.5% 52.8% 1.16× 1.63
Under 136.5 points 59.2% 56.5% 64.2% 0.88× 1.77
Over 130.5 points 56.8% 56.5% 48.3% 1.17× 1.77
Under 134.5 points 53.9% 52.3% 60.2% 0.87× 1.91
Over 132.5 points 51.4% 52.3% 44.0% 1.19× 1.91
Under 133.5 points 51.3% 52.3% 58.0% 0.90× 1.91
Under 132.5 points 48.6% 47.7% 56.0% 0.85× 2.10
Over 133.5 points 48.7% 47.7% 42.0% 1.14× 2.10
Over 134.5 points 46.1% 47.7% 39.8% 1.20× 2.10
Under 130.5 points 43.2% 43.5% 51.7% 0.84× 2.30
Over 136.5 points 40.8% 43.5% 35.8% 1.22× 2.30
Under 128.5 points 38.0% 38.5% 47.2% 0.82× 2.60
Over 138.5 points 35.7% 38.5% 32.1% 1.20× 2.60
Under 126.5 points 32.9% 34.1% 42.6% 0.80× 2.93
Over 140.5 points 30.8% 34.1% 28.2% 1.21× 2.93
Under 123.5 points 25.9% 29.2% 36.7% 0.79× 3.43
Over 143.5 points 24.1% 24.4% 23.3% 1.05× 4.10
Under 118.5 points 16.0% 19.4% 26.4% 0.73× 5.15
Over 148.5 points 15.0% 19.4% 16.3% 1.19× 5.15
Under 113.5 points 8.9% 11.2% 18.1% 0.62× 8.96
Over 153.5 points 8.6% 11.2% 11.0% 1.02× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win both halves 56.9% 57.7% 36.0% 1.60× 1.73
Binghamton Bearcats to win both halves 2.6% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.68
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls by 11-15 18.1% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
South Florida Bulls by 16-20 16.9% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
South Florida Bulls by 6-10 15.8% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
South Florida Bulls by 26+ 14.5% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.11
South Florida Bulls by 21-25 12.9% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
South Florida Bulls by 1-5 11.4% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Binghamton Bearcats by 1-5 6.0% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Binghamton Bearcats by 6-10 2.8% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.30
Binghamton Bearcats by 11-15 1.1% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Binghamton Bearcats by 16-20 0.3% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Binghamton Bearcats by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Binghamton Bearcats by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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