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South Florida Bulls v Florida International Panthers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
South Florida Bulls win
88.2%
Draw
0.0%
Florida International Panthers win
11.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 76.15–63.17 76-63 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to score 100+ 0.7% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.21
South Florida Bulls to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.35
South Florida Bulls to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
South Florida Bulls to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Florida International Panthers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Florida International Panthers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Florida International Panthers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Florida International Panthers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win H1 74.5% 73.0% 56.4% 1.29× 1.37
Florida International Panthers to win H1 22.0% 21.4% 39.9% 0.54× 4.68
H1 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 54.5 88.3% 87.7% 74.0% 1.19× 1.14
H1 under 78.5 87.9% 87.7% 92.8% 0.95× 1.14
H1 over 58.5 78.7% 77.4% 61.4% 1.26× 1.29
H1 under 74.5 78.2% 77.4% 87.2% 0.89× 1.29
H1 over 61.5 69.1% 67.4% 50.2% 1.34× 1.48
H1 under 71.5 68.6% 67.4% 81.4% 0.83× 1.48
H1 over 63.5 61.9% 62.7% 42.9% 1.46× 1.59
H1 under 69.5 61.3% 62.7% 76.2% 0.82× 1.59
H1 over 65.5 54.2% 52.6% 36.1% 1.46× 1.90
H1 under 67.5 53.7% 52.6% 70.4% 0.75× 1.90
H1 over 66.5 50.3% 52.6% 32.9% 1.60× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 49.7% 47.4% 67.1% 0.71× 2.11
H1 under 65.5 45.8% 47.4% 63.9% 0.74× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 46.3% 47.4% 29.6% 1.60× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 38.1% 37.3% 57.1% 0.65× 2.68
H1 over 69.5 38.7% 37.3% 23.8% 1.56× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 30.9% 32.6% 49.8% 0.65× 3.07
H1 over 71.5 31.4% 32.6% 18.6% 1.76× 3.07
H1 under 58.5 21.3% 22.6% 38.6% 0.58× 4.43
H1 over 74.5 21.8% 22.6% 12.8% 1.76× 4.43
H1 over 78.5 12.1% 12.3% 7.2% 1.70× 8.14
H1 under 54.5 11.7% 12.3% 26.0% 0.47× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win H2 75.9% 73.9% 56.0% 1.32× 1.35
Florida International Panthers to win H2 20.9% 26.8% 40.6% 0.66× 3.73
H2 tied 3.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 85.5 88.1% 85.2% 91.2% 0.93× 1.17
H2 over 61.5 85.9% 85.2% 71.3% 1.20× 1.17
H2 under 81.5 79.0% 75.8% 85.8% 0.88× 1.32
H2 over 65.5 75.7% 75.8% 58.8% 1.29× 1.32
H2 under 78.5 70.0% 72.2% 80.1% 0.90× 1.39
H2 over 68.5 66.0% 66.4% 48.7% 1.36× 1.51
H2 under 76.5 63.2% 61.6% 75.6% 0.81× 1.62
H2 over 70.5 58.9% 57.3% 42.2% 1.36× 1.74
H2 under 74.5 56.0% 57.3% 69.9% 0.82× 1.74
H2 over 72.5 51.5% 52.4% 36.0% 1.46× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 52.3% 52.4% 67.1% 0.78× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 48.5% 47.6% 64.1% 0.74× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 47.7% 47.6% 32.9% 1.45× 2.10
H2 over 74.5 44.0% 42.7% 30.1% 1.42× 2.34
H2 under 70.5 41.1% 42.7% 57.8% 0.74× 2.34
H2 over 76.5 36.8% 38.4% 24.4% 1.57× 2.61
H2 under 68.5 34.0% 33.6% 51.3% 0.66× 2.97
H2 over 78.5 30.0% 27.8% 19.9% 1.40× 3.59
H2 under 65.5 24.3% 24.2% 41.2% 0.59× 4.13
H2 over 81.5 21.0% 24.2% 14.2% 1.70× 4.13
H2 under 61.5 14.1% 14.8% 28.7% 0.51× 6.76
H2 over 85.5 11.9% 14.8% 8.8% 1.69× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls leading at half time 74.5% 73.5% 56.4% 1.30× 1.36
Florida International Panthers leading at half time 22.0% 20.9% 39.9% 0.52× 4.78
Level at half time 3.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls +16.5 99.6% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +18.5 99.7% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +6.5 95.7% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +7.5 96.5% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +8.5 97.1% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +9.5 97.7% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +10.5 98.1% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +12.5 98.8% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +14.5 99.3% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
South Florida Bulls +5.5 94.9% 91.1% 70.1% 1.30× 1.10
South Florida Bulls +3.5 92.7% 91.1% 65.7% 1.39× 1.10
South Florida Bulls +4.5 93.8% 91.1% 67.8% 1.34× 1.10
South Florida Bulls +2.5 91.4% 91.1% 63.3% 1.44× 1.10
South Florida Bulls +1.5 89.9% 85.9% 61.2% 1.40× 1.16
South Florida Bulls −1.5 86.1% 85.9% 58.7% 1.46× 1.16
South Florida Bulls −2.5 83.9% 81.1% 56.7% 1.43× 1.23
South Florida Bulls −3.5 81.4% 81.1% 54.2% 1.50× 1.23
South Florida Bulls −4.5 78.8% 76.5% 52.2% 1.47× 1.31
South Florida Bulls −5.5 75.9% 76.5% 49.7% 1.54× 1.31
Florida International Panthers +20.5 74.7% 71.6% 82.0% 0.87× 1.40
South Florida Bulls −6.5 73.0% 71.6% 47.6% 1.51× 1.40
South Florida Bulls −7.5 69.8% 66.7% 44.8% 1.49× 1.50
Florida International Panthers +18.5 68.6% 66.7% 79.3% 0.84× 1.50
South Florida Bulls −8.5 66.5% 66.7% 42.0% 1.59× 1.50
South Florida Bulls −9.5 63.1% 61.9% 39.3% 1.58× 1.62
Florida International Panthers +16.5 61.9% 61.9% 75.7% 0.82× 1.62
South Florida Bulls −10.5 59.6% 57.1% 36.8% 1.55× 1.75
Florida International Panthers +14.5 54.8% 52.4% 72.1% 0.73× 1.91
South Florida Bulls −12.5 52.4% 52.4% 32.1% 1.63× 1.91
Florida International Panthers +12.5 47.6% 47.6% 67.9% 0.70× 2.10
South Florida Bulls −14.5 45.2% 47.6% 27.9% 1.71× 2.10
Florida International Panthers +10.5 40.4% 42.9% 63.2% 0.68× 2.33
South Florida Bulls −16.5 38.1% 38.1% 24.3% 1.57× 2.63
Florida International Panthers +9.5 36.9% 38.1% 60.7% 0.63× 2.63
Florida International Panthers +8.5 33.5% 33.3% 58.0% 0.57× 3.01
South Florida Bulls −18.5 31.4% 33.3% 20.7% 1.61× 3.01
Florida International Panthers +7.5 30.2% 33.3% 55.2% 0.60× 3.01
Florida International Panthers +6.5 27.1% 28.4% 52.4% 0.54× 3.53
South Florida Bulls −20.5 25.3% 28.4% 18.0% 1.58× 3.53
Florida International Panthers +5.5 24.1% 23.5% 50.3% 0.47× 4.25
Florida International Panthers +4.5 21.2% 23.5% 47.8% 0.49× 4.25
Florida International Panthers +3.5 18.6% 18.9% 45.8% 0.41× 5.29
Florida International Panthers +2.5 16.1% 18.9% 43.3% 0.44× 5.30
Florida International Panthers +1.5 13.9% 14.1% 41.3% 0.34× 7.09
Florida International Panthers −1.5 10.1% 14.1% 38.8% 0.36× 7.09
Florida International Panthers −2.5 8.6% 8.9% 36.7% 0.24× 11.25
Florida International Panthers −3.5 7.3% 8.9% 34.3% 0.26× 11.25
Florida International Panthers −4.5 6.2% 8.9% 32.2% 0.28× 11.25
Florida International Panthers −5.5 5.1% 8.9% 29.9% 0.30× 11.25
Florida International Panthers −6.5 4.3% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.72
Florida International Panthers −7.5 3.5% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.73
Florida International Panthers −8.5 2.9% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.73
Florida International Panthers −9.5 2.3% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.73
Florida International Panthers −10.5 1.9% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Florida International Panthers −12.5 1.2% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Florida International Panthers −14.5 0.7% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Florida International Panthers −16.5 0.4% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Florida International Panthers −18.5 0.3% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Florida International Panthers −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 73.4% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.9% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 33.2% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 16.7% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.1% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT 70.6% 73.1% 48.3% 1.52× 1.37
Florida International Panthers at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT 14.6% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Florida International Panthers at HT / Florida International Panthers at FT 7.4% 8.3% 30.1% 0.27× 12.09
South Florida Bulls at HT / Florida International Panthers at FT 3.8% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.73
Level at HT / South Florida Bulls at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Florida International Panthers at FT 0.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win 88.2% 85.5% 59.9% 1.43× 1.17
Florida International Panthers to win 11.8% 14.5% 40.1% 0.36× 6.92
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Florida International Panthers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
South Florida Bulls odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Florida International Panthers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.0% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.0% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.39
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win Q1 65.8% 72.2% 54.7% 1.32× 1.39
Florida International Panthers to win Q1 28.7% 22.5% 40.4% 0.56× 4.45
Q1 tied 5.5% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 25.5 88.0% 87.4% 77.6% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 under 41.5 88.2% 87.4% 91.9% 0.95× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 77.1% 76.9% 84.8% 0.91× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 76.8% 76.9% 62.7% 1.23× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 67.3% 67.6% 77.4% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 66.9% 67.6% 51.2% 1.32× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 56.1% 58.6% 68.5% 0.86× 1.71
Q1 over 32.5 55.7% 58.6% 40.9% 1.43× 1.71
Q1 under 33.5 50.2% 52.7% 64.0% 0.82× 1.90
Q1 over 33.5 49.8% 47.3% 36.0% 1.31× 2.11
Q1 under 32.5 44.3% 41.4% 59.1% 0.70× 2.42
Q1 over 34.5 43.9% 41.4% 31.5% 1.31× 2.42
Q1 under 30.5 33.1% 32.4% 48.8% 0.67× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 32.7% 32.4% 22.6% 1.44× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 23.2% 23.1% 37.3% 0.62× 4.33
Q1 over 38.5 22.9% 23.1% 15.2% 1.52× 4.33
Q1 under 25.5 12.0% 12.6% 22.4% 0.56× 7.95
Q1 over 41.5 11.8% 12.6% 8.1% 1.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win Q2 65.4% 68.3% 52.9% 1.29× 1.46
Florida International Panthers to win Q2 29.2% 27.8% 41.5% 0.67× 3.60
Q2 tied 5.4% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 41.5 89.2% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 over 25.5 87.0% 87.3% 76.2% 1.15× 1.15
Q2 under 38.5 78.6% 76.8% 85.6% 0.90× 1.30
Q2 over 28.5 75.2% 76.8% 61.2% 1.26× 1.30
Q2 under 36.5 69.1% 67.4% 78.7% 0.86× 1.48
Q2 over 30.5 65.0% 67.4% 49.9% 1.35× 1.49
Q2 under 34.5 58.1% 58.2% 70.1% 0.83× 1.72
Q2 over 32.5 53.6% 52.7% 39.2% 1.34× 1.90
Q2 under 33.5 52.3% 52.7% 65.6% 0.80× 1.90
Q2 over 33.5 47.7% 47.3% 34.4% 1.38× 2.11
Q2 under 32.5 46.4% 47.3% 60.8% 0.78× 2.11
Q2 over 34.5 41.9% 41.8% 29.9% 1.40× 2.39
Q2 under 30.5 35.0% 32.6% 50.1% 0.65× 3.06
Q2 over 36.5 30.9% 32.6% 21.3% 1.53× 3.06
Q2 under 28.5 24.8% 23.2% 38.8% 0.60× 4.31
Q2 over 38.5 21.4% 23.2% 14.4% 1.61× 4.31
Q2 under 25.5 13.0% 12.7% 23.8% 0.53× 7.89
Q2 over 41.5 10.8% 12.7% 7.3% 1.72× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win Q3 67.0% 66.7% 53.3% 1.25× 1.50
Florida International Panthers to win Q3 27.8% 28.8% 41.8% 0.69× 3.47
Q3 tied 5.2% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.98
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 44.5 87.7% 87.2% 92.1% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 over 28.5 87.3% 87.2% 76.4% 1.14× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 76.7% 77.3% 85.1% 0.91× 1.29
Q3 over 31.5 76.0% 77.3% 61.6% 1.25× 1.29
Q3 under 39.5 67.1% 67.8% 77.9% 0.87× 1.48
Q3 over 33.5 66.3% 67.8% 50.9% 1.33× 1.48
Q3 under 37.5 56.2% 58.4% 69.7% 0.84× 1.71
Q3 over 35.5 55.3% 58.4% 40.3% 1.45× 1.71
Q3 under 36.5 50.5% 52.3% 64.6% 0.81× 1.91
Q3 over 36.5 49.5% 47.7% 35.4% 1.35× 2.10
Q3 under 35.5 44.7% 41.6% 59.7% 0.70× 2.40
Q3 over 37.5 43.8% 41.6% 30.3% 1.37× 2.40
Q3 under 33.5 33.7% 32.2% 49.1% 0.66× 3.10
Q3 over 39.5 32.9% 32.2% 22.1% 1.46× 3.10
Q3 under 31.5 24.0% 22.7% 38.4% 0.59× 4.40
Q3 over 41.5 23.3% 22.7% 14.9% 1.53× 4.40
Q3 under 28.5 12.7% 12.8% 23.6% 0.54× 7.83
Q3 over 44.5 12.3% 12.8% 7.9% 1.63× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win Q4 66.7% 60.6% 52.8% 1.15× 1.65
Florida International Panthers to win Q4 28.2% 33.4% 41.5% 0.80× 3.00
Q4 tied 5.1% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 28.5 86.1% 85.6% 75.1% 1.14× 1.17
Q4 under 44.5 86.1% 85.6% 90.6% 0.95× 1.17
Q4 over 31.5 75.1% 76.9% 61.1% 1.26× 1.30
Q4 under 41.5 75.1% 76.9% 83.6% 0.92× 1.30
Q4 over 33.5 65.8% 67.4% 50.4% 1.34× 1.48
Q4 under 39.5 65.8% 67.4% 77.0% 0.88× 1.48
Q4 under 37.5 55.4% 58.4% 68.8% 0.85× 1.71
Q4 over 35.5 55.3% 58.4% 40.6% 1.44× 1.71
Q4 under 36.5 50.1% 52.5% 64.3% 0.82× 1.91
Q4 over 36.5 49.9% 47.5% 35.7% 1.33× 2.11
Q4 under 35.5 44.7% 41.6% 59.4% 0.70× 2.40
Q4 over 37.5 44.6% 41.6% 31.2% 1.33× 2.40
Q4 under 33.5 34.2% 32.6% 49.6% 0.66× 3.07
Q4 over 39.5 34.2% 32.6% 23.0% 1.41× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 24.9% 23.1% 38.9% 0.59× 4.33
Q4 over 41.5 24.9% 23.1% 16.4% 1.41× 4.33
Q4 under 28.5 13.9% 14.4% 24.9% 0.58× 6.95
Q4 over 44.5 13.9% 14.4% 9.4% 1.53× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida International Panthers under 73.5 86.9% 83.9% 80.2% 1.05× 1.19
South Florida Bulls under 86.5 85.8% 83.9% 91.2% 0.92× 1.19
Florida International Panthers over 53.5 85.3% 83.9% 76.3% 1.10× 1.19
South Florida Bulls over 66.5 84.9% 80.7% 51.8% 1.56× 1.24
Florida International Panthers under 70.5 78.8% 75.1% 73.7% 1.02× 1.33
South Florida Bulls over 69.5 76.4% 75.1% 42.6% 1.76× 1.33
South Florida Bulls under 83.5 77.5% 75.1% 87.7% 0.86× 1.33
Florida International Panthers over 56.5 76.4% 75.1% 68.0% 1.10× 1.33
Florida International Panthers under 68.5 72.0% 70.7% 68.6% 1.03× 1.41
South Florida Bulls under 81.5 70.7% 70.7% 84.6% 0.84× 1.41
South Florida Bulls over 71.5 69.4% 66.4% 37.0% 1.79× 1.51
Florida International Panthers over 58.5 69.2% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
Florida International Panthers under 66.5 64.3% 61.2% 62.7% 0.98× 1.63
South Florida Bulls under 79.5 63.1% 61.2% 81.3% 0.75× 1.63
South Florida Bulls over 73.5 61.7% 61.2% 31.5% 1.94× 1.63
Florida International Panthers over 60.5 61.2% 61.2% 55.6% 1.10× 1.63
Florida International Panthers under 64.5 56.0% 57.1% 56.9% 1.00× 1.75
South Florida Bulls under 77.5 54.9% 52.3% 77.4% 0.68× 1.91
South Florida Bulls over 75.5 53.5% 52.3% 26.8% 1.95× 1.91
Florida International Panthers over 62.5 52.6% 52.3% 49.0% 1.07× 1.91
Florida International Panthers under 63.5 51.7% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
South Florida Bulls under 76.5 50.7% 52.3% 75.4% 0.69× 1.91
South Florida Bulls over 76.5 49.3% 47.7% 24.6% 1.94× 2.09
South Florida Bulls under 75.5 46.5% 47.7% 73.2% 0.65× 2.09
Florida International Panthers under 62.5 47.4% 47.7% 51.0% 0.94× 2.09
Florida International Panthers over 63.5 48.3% 47.7% 46.1% 1.04× 2.09
South Florida Bulls over 77.5 45.1% 47.7% 22.6% 2.11× 2.09
Florida International Panthers over 64.5 44.0% 42.9% 43.2% 0.99× 2.33
South Florida Bulls under 73.5 38.3% 38.8% 68.5% 0.57× 2.58
Florida International Panthers under 60.5 38.8% 38.8% 44.4% 0.87× 2.58
South Florida Bulls over 79.5 36.9% 38.8% 18.7% 2.07× 2.58
Florida International Panthers over 66.5 35.7% 38.8% 37.3% 1.04× 2.58
South Florida Bulls under 71.5 30.6% 33.6% 63.0% 0.53× 2.98
Florida International Panthers under 58.5 30.8% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.98
South Florida Bulls over 81.5 29.3% 29.3% 15.4% 1.90× 3.42
Florida International Panthers over 68.5 28.0% 29.3% 31.4% 0.93× 3.42
South Florida Bulls under 69.5 23.6% 24.9% 57.4% 0.43× 4.02
South Florida Bulls over 83.5 22.5% 24.9% 12.3% 2.02× 4.02
Florida International Panthers under 56.5 23.6% 24.9% 32.0% 0.78× 4.02
Florida International Panthers over 70.5 21.2% 24.9% 26.3% 0.95× 4.02
South Florida Bulls under 66.5 15.1% 19.3% 48.2% 0.40× 5.18
South Florida Bulls over 86.5 14.2% 16.1% 8.8% 1.83× 6.21
Florida International Panthers under 53.5 14.7% 16.1% 23.7% 0.68× 6.21
Florida International Panthers over 73.5 13.1% 16.1% 19.8% 0.81× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 119.5 points 91.0% 88.8% 71.6% 1.24× 1.13
Under 159.5 points 90.9% 88.8% 93.3% 0.95× 1.13
Over 124.5 points 84.2% 80.6% 61.5% 1.31× 1.24
Under 154.5 points 84.1% 80.6% 89.8% 0.90× 1.24
Over 129.5 points 74.6% 70.8% 50.5% 1.40× 1.41
Under 149.5 points 74.9% 70.8% 84.9% 0.83× 1.41
Over 132.5 points 67.8% 65.9% 44.0% 1.50× 1.52
Under 146.5 points 68.1% 65.9% 80.9% 0.81× 1.52
Over 134.5 points 62.9% 61.5% 39.8% 1.54× 1.63
Under 144.5 points 63.2% 61.5% 78.1% 0.79× 1.63
Over 136.5 points 57.8% 56.5% 35.8% 1.58× 1.77
Under 142.5 points 58.1% 56.5% 75.1% 0.75× 1.77
Over 138.5 points 52.5% 52.3% 32.1% 1.63× 1.91
Under 140.5 points 52.8% 52.3% 71.8% 0.73× 1.91
Under 139.5 points 50.2% 52.3% 69.9% 0.75× 1.91
Over 139.5 points 49.8% 47.7% 30.1% 1.58× 2.10
Under 138.5 points 47.5% 47.7% 67.9% 0.70× 2.10
Over 140.5 points 47.2% 47.7% 28.2% 1.69× 2.10
Under 136.5 points 42.2% 43.5% 64.2% 0.68× 2.30
Over 142.5 points 41.9% 43.5% 24.9% 1.75× 2.30
Under 134.5 points 37.1% 38.5% 60.2% 0.64× 2.60
Over 144.5 points 36.8% 38.5% 21.9% 1.76× 2.60
Under 132.5 points 32.2% 34.1% 56.0% 0.61× 2.93
Over 146.5 points 31.9% 34.1% 19.1% 1.79× 2.93
Under 129.5 points 25.4% 29.2% 49.5% 0.59× 3.43
Over 149.5 points 25.1% 29.2% 15.1% 1.94× 3.43
Under 124.5 points 15.8% 19.4% 38.5% 0.50× 5.15
Over 154.5 points 15.9% 19.4% 10.2% 1.91× 5.15
Under 119.5 points 9.0% 11.2% 28.4% 0.39× 8.96
Over 159.5 points 9.1% 11.2% 6.7% 1.67× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls to win both halves 54.6% 50.5% 36.0% 1.40× 1.98
Florida International Panthers to win both halves 3.1% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.65
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Florida Bulls by 11-15 18.0% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
South Florida Bulls by 6-10 16.4% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
South Florida Bulls by 16-20 16.3% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
South Florida Bulls by 26+ 13.2% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.11
South Florida Bulls by 1-5 12.2% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
South Florida Bulls by 21-25 12.1% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
Florida International Panthers by 1-5 6.7% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Florida International Panthers by 6-10 3.3% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.30
Florida International Panthers by 11-15 1.3% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Florida International Panthers by 16-20 0.4% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Florida International Panthers by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Florida International Panthers by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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