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Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles v Ball State Cardinals — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles win
42.6%
Draw
0.0%
Ball State Cardinals win
57.4%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 64.60–66.54 65-67 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 283.35
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.36
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Ball State Cardinals to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.35
Ball State Cardinals to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Ball State Cardinals to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Ball State Cardinals to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ball State Cardinals to win H1 52.0% 51.9% 38.2% 1.36× 1.93
Ball State Cardinals to win H1 52.0% 51.9% 38.2% 1.36× 1.93
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win H1 43.4% 42.7% 57.9% 0.74× 2.34
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win H1 43.5% 42.7% 57.9% 0.74× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.85
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.85
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 74.5 87.9% 87.7% 69.6% 1.26× 1.14
H1 over 50.5 86.5% 87.7% 95.9% 0.91× 1.14
H1 under 70.5 79.3% 77.4% 56.5% 1.37× 1.29
H1 under 70.5 78.6% 77.4% 56.5% 1.37× 1.29
H1 over 54.5 77.2% 77.4% 91.0% 0.85× 1.29
H1 over 54.5 76.5% 77.4% 91.0% 0.85× 1.29
H1 under 67.5 70.0% 73.5% 45.6% 1.61× 1.36
H1 under 67.5 69.5% 67.4% 45.6% 1.48× 1.48
H1 over 57.5 67.4% 67.4% 85.5% 0.79× 1.48
H1 over 57.5 66.9% 67.4% 85.5% 0.79× 1.48
H1 under 65.5 63.0% 62.7% 38.1% 1.65× 1.59
H1 under 65.5 62.6% 62.7% 38.1% 1.65× 1.59
H1 over 59.5 60.1% 62.7% 80.7% 0.78× 1.59
H1 over 59.5 59.8% 58.2% 80.7% 0.72× 1.72
H1 under 63.5 55.4% 58.2% 31.0% 1.88× 1.72
H1 under 63.5 55.2% 58.2% 31.0% 1.88× 1.72
H1 over 61.5 52.4% 52.6% 74.9% 0.70× 1.90
H1 over 61.5 52.3% 52.6% 74.9% 0.70× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 51.5% 52.6% 28.0% 1.88× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 51.5% 52.6% 28.0% 1.88× 1.90
H1 over 62.5 48.5% 47.4% 72.0% 0.66× 2.11
H1 over 62.5 48.5% 47.4% 72.0% 0.66× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 47.6% 47.4% 25.1% 1.88× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 47.7% 47.4% 25.1% 1.88× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 44.6% 41.8% 69.0% 0.61× 2.39
H1 over 63.5 44.8% 41.8% 69.0% 0.61× 2.39
H1 under 59.5 40.2% 41.8% 19.3% 2.16× 2.39
H1 under 59.5 39.9% 37.3% 19.3% 1.93× 2.68
H1 over 65.5 37.0% 37.3% 61.9% 0.60× 2.68
H1 over 65.5 37.4% 37.3% 61.9% 0.60× 2.68
H1 under 57.5 32.6% 32.6% 14.5% 2.25× 3.07
H1 under 57.5 33.1% 32.6% 14.5% 2.25× 3.07
H1 over 67.5 30.5% 32.6% 54.4% 0.60× 3.07
H1 over 67.5 30.0% 26.5% 54.4% 0.49× 3.77
H1 under 54.5 23.5% 22.6% 9.0% 2.52× 4.43
H1 under 54.5 22.8% 22.6% 9.0% 2.52× 4.43
H1 over 70.5 21.4% 22.6% 43.5% 0.52× 4.43
H1 over 70.5 20.7% 22.6% 43.5% 0.52× 4.43
H1 under 50.5 13.5% 12.3% 4.1% 2.98× 8.13
H1 over 74.5 12.1% 12.3% 30.4% 0.40× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ball State Cardinals to win H2 52.4% 51.2% 38.9% 1.32× 1.95
Ball State Cardinals to win H2 52.4% 51.2% 38.5% 1.33× 1.95
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win H2 43.2% 43.6% 56.9% 0.76× 2.30
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win H2 43.2% 43.6% 57.5% 0.76× 2.30
H2 tied 4.4% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.35
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.35
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 81.5 86.3% 85.2% 62.2% 1.37× 1.17
H2 over 57.5 85.4% 85.2% 95.9% 0.89× 1.17
H2 under 77.5 77.6% 75.8% 53.0% 1.43× 1.32
H2 under 77.5 76.9% 75.8% 49.8% 1.52× 1.32
H2 over 61.5 76.2% 75.8% 90.5% 0.84× 1.32
H2 over 61.5 75.5% 75.8% 91.4% 0.83× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 68.6% 66.4% 43.0% 1.54× 1.51
H2 under 74.5 68.1% 66.4% 40.0% 1.66× 1.51
H2 over 64.5 66.8% 66.4% 85.3% 0.78× 1.51
H2 over 64.5 66.4% 66.4% 86.5% 0.77× 1.51
H2 under 72.5 61.8% 61.6% 36.6% 1.68× 1.62
H2 under 72.5 61.5% 61.6% 34.1% 1.81× 1.62
H2 over 66.5 59.9% 57.3% 80.8% 0.71× 1.74
H2 over 66.5 59.6% 57.3% 82.3% 0.70× 1.74
H2 under 70.5 54.7% 52.4% 30.2% 1.73× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 54.5% 52.4% 28.1% 1.87× 1.91
H2 over 68.5 52.6% 52.4% 75.7% 0.69× 1.91
H2 over 68.5 52.6% 52.4% 77.5% 0.68× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 51.0% 52.4% 27.2% 1.93× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 51.0% 52.4% 25.2% 2.08× 1.91
H2 over 69.5 49.0% 47.6% 72.8% 0.65× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 49.0% 47.6% 74.8% 0.64× 2.10
H2 under 68.5 47.4% 47.6% 24.3% 1.96× 2.10
H2 under 68.5 47.4% 47.6% 22.5% 2.12× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 45.3% 47.6% 69.8% 0.68× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 45.5% 47.6% 71.9% 0.66× 2.10
H2 under 66.5 40.1% 42.7% 19.2% 2.22× 2.35
H2 under 66.5 40.4% 42.7% 17.7% 2.42× 2.35
H2 over 72.5 38.2% 38.4% 63.4% 0.61× 2.61
H2 over 72.5 38.5% 38.4% 65.9% 0.58× 2.61
H2 under 64.5 33.2% 33.6% 14.7% 2.28× 2.97
H2 under 64.5 33.6% 33.6% 13.5% 2.48× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 31.9% 33.6% 60.0% 0.56× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 31.4% 33.6% 57.0% 0.59× 2.97
H2 under 61.5 23.8% 24.2% 9.5% 2.55× 4.13
H2 under 61.5 24.5% 24.2% 8.6% 2.80× 4.13
H2 over 77.5 22.4% 24.2% 47.0% 0.52× 4.13
H2 over 77.5 23.1% 24.2% 50.2% 0.48× 4.13
H2 under 57.5 14.6% 14.8% 4.1% 3.64× 6.76
H2 over 81.5 13.7% 14.8% 37.8% 0.39× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ball State Cardinals leading at half time 52.0% 51.9% 38.2% 1.36× 1.93
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles leading at half time 43.5% 42.9% 57.9% 0.74× 2.33
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ball State Cardinals +16.5 95.6% 97.4% 80.7% 1.21× 1.03
Ball State Cardinals +18.5 97.1% 97.4% 83.9% 1.16× 1.03
Ball State Cardinals +20.5 98.2% 97.4% 86.5% 1.13× 1.03
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +20.5 95.9% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Ball State Cardinals +14.5 93.6% 91.1% 77.2% 1.18× 1.10
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +18.5 93.9% 91.1% 95.4% 0.95× 1.10
Ball State Cardinals +12.5 90.8% 91.1% 72.4% 1.26× 1.10
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +16.5 91.2% 91.1% 94.0% 0.97× 1.10
Ball State Cardinals +10.5 87.3% 85.9% 67.4% 1.28× 1.16
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +14.5 87.7% 85.9% 92.2% 0.93× 1.16
Ball State Cardinals +9.5 85.2% 85.9% 64.5% 1.33× 1.16
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +12.5 83.4% 81.1% 89.9% 0.90× 1.23
Ball State Cardinals +8.5 82.9% 81.1% 61.5% 1.32× 1.23
Ball State Cardinals +7.5 80.4% 81.1% 58.7% 1.38× 1.23
Ball State Cardinals +6.5 77.7% 76.5% 55.7% 1.37× 1.31
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +10.5 78.2% 76.5% 87.2% 0.88× 1.31
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +9.5 75.3% 76.5% 85.3% 0.90× 1.31
Ball State Cardinals +5.5 74.7% 71.6% 53.0% 1.35× 1.40
Ball State Cardinals +4.5 71.6% 71.6% 49.3% 1.45× 1.40
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +8.5 72.2% 71.6% 83.3% 0.86× 1.40
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +7.5 68.9% 66.7% 81.0% 0.82× 1.50
Ball State Cardinals +3.5 68.2% 66.7% 45.9% 1.46× 1.50
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +6.5 65.4% 66.7% 78.8% 0.85× 1.50
Ball State Cardinals +2.5 64.7% 61.9% 42.3% 1.46× 1.62
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +5.5 61.8% 61.9% 76.4% 0.81× 1.62
Ball State Cardinals +1.5 61.1% 61.9% 39.2% 1.58× 1.62
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +4.5 58.1% 57.1% 73.7% 0.77× 1.75
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +3.5 54.2% 52.4% 70.8% 0.74× 1.91
Ball State Cardinals −1.5 53.5% 52.4% 34.6% 1.51× 1.91
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +2.5 50.4% 52.4% 68.0% 0.77× 1.91
Ball State Cardinals −2.5 49.6% 47.6% 32.0% 1.49× 2.10
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +1.5 46.5% 47.6% 65.4% 0.73× 2.10
Ball State Cardinals −3.5 45.8% 47.6% 29.3% 1.63× 2.10
Ball State Cardinals −4.5 41.9% 42.9% 26.3% 1.63× 2.33
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −1.5 38.9% 38.1% 60.8% 0.63× 2.63
Ball State Cardinals −5.5 38.2% 38.1% 23.6% 1.61× 2.63
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −2.5 35.3% 38.1% 57.7% 0.66× 2.63
Ball State Cardinals −6.5 34.6% 33.3% 21.2% 1.57× 3.01
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −3.5 31.8% 33.3% 54.1% 0.61× 3.01
Ball State Cardinals −7.5 31.1% 33.3% 19.0% 1.75× 3.01
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −4.5 28.4% 28.4% 50.7% 0.56× 3.53
Ball State Cardinals −8.5 27.8% 28.4% 16.7% 1.70× 3.53
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −5.5 25.3% 28.4% 47.0% 0.60× 3.53
Ball State Cardinals −9.5 24.7% 23.5% 14.7% 1.61× 4.25
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −6.5 22.3% 23.5% 44.3% 0.53× 4.25
Ball State Cardinals −10.5 21.8% 23.5% 12.8% 1.83× 4.25
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −7.5 19.6% 18.9% 41.3% 0.46× 5.29
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −8.5 17.1% 18.9% 38.5% 0.49× 5.29
Ball State Cardinals −12.5 16.6% 18.9% 10.1% 1.87× 5.30
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −9.5 14.8% 14.1% 35.5% 0.40× 7.09
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −10.5 12.7% 14.1% 32.6% 0.43× 7.09
Ball State Cardinals −14.5 12.3% 14.1% 7.8% 1.80× 7.09
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −12.5 9.2% 8.9% 27.6% 0.32× 11.25
Ball State Cardinals −16.5 8.8% 8.9% 6.0% 1.49× 11.25
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −14.5 6.4% 8.9% 22.8% 0.39× 11.25
Ball State Cardinals −18.5 6.1% 8.9% 4.6% 1.95× 11.25
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −16.5 4.4% 2.6% 19.3% 0.13× 38.72
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −18.5 2.9% 2.6% 16.1% 0.16× 38.73
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −20.5 1.8% 2.6% 13.5% 0.19× 38.73
Ball State Cardinals −20.5 4.1% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.72
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 76.5% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 75.1% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 24.9% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 23.5% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ball State Cardinals at HT / Ball State Cardinals at FT 39.9% 37.8% 25.8% 1.46× 2.65
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at HT / Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at FT 28.5% 29.6% 48.6% 0.61× 3.38
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at HT / Ball State Cardinals at FT 14.9% 12.2% 9.3% 1.31× 8.17
Ball State Cardinals at HT / Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at FT 12.1% 12.2% 12.4% 0.99× 8.18
Level at HT / Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at FT 2.0% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.76
Level at HT / Ball State Cardinals at FT 2.5% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ball State Cardinals to win 57.4% 55.2% 36.8% 1.50× 1.81
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win 42.6% 44.8% 63.2% 0.71× 2.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Ball State Cardinals even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Ball State Cardinals odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 92.1% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 7.9% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.64
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ball State Cardinals over 56.5 85.7% 83.9% 89.8% 0.93× 1.19
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 54.5 85.3% 83.9% 97.0% 0.87× 1.19
Ball State Cardinals under 76.5 84.8% 80.7% 67.9% 1.19× 1.24
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 74.5 84.3% 80.7% 45.9% 1.76× 1.24
Ball State Cardinals over 59.5 77.3% 75.1% 84.5% 0.89× 1.33
Ball State Cardinals under 73.5 76.3% 75.1% 58.3% 1.29× 1.33
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 57.5 76.9% 75.1% 94.6% 0.79× 1.33
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 71.5 75.9% 75.1% 36.3% 2.07× 1.33
Ball State Cardinals over 61.5 70.6% 70.7% 79.3% 0.89× 1.41
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 59.5 70.1% 70.7% 92.0% 0.77× 1.41
Ball State Cardinals under 71.5 69.4% 66.4% 51.8% 1.28× 1.51
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 69.5 69.1% 66.4% 30.4% 2.18× 1.51
Ball State Cardinals over 63.5 63.0% 61.2% 73.9% 0.83× 1.63
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 61.5 62.6% 61.2% 89.0% 0.69× 1.63
Ball State Cardinals under 69.5 61.7% 61.2% 45.2% 1.35× 1.63
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 67.5 61.5% 61.2% 24.1% 2.53× 1.63
Ball State Cardinals over 65.5 54.8% 52.3% 67.8% 0.77× 1.91
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 63.5 54.6% 52.3% 85.4% 0.61× 1.91
Ball State Cardinals under 67.5 53.5% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 65.5 53.5% 52.3% 18.9% 2.77× 1.91
Ball State Cardinals over 66.5 50.7% 52.3% 64.7% 0.81× 1.91
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 64.5 50.6% 52.3% 83.3% 0.63× 1.91
Ball State Cardinals under 66.5 49.3% 47.7% 35.3% 1.35× 2.09
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 64.5 49.4% 47.7% 16.7% 2.86× 2.09
Ball State Cardinals over 67.5 46.5% 47.7% 61.6% 0.78× 2.09
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 65.5 46.5% 47.7% 81.1% 0.59× 2.09
Ball State Cardinals under 65.5 45.2% 47.7% 32.2% 1.48× 2.09
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 63.5 45.4% 47.7% 14.6% 3.26× 2.09
Ball State Cardinals over 69.5 38.3% 38.8% 54.8% 0.71× 2.58
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 67.5 38.5% 38.8% 75.9% 0.51× 2.58
Ball State Cardinals under 63.5 37.0% 38.8% 26.1% 1.48× 2.58
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 61.5 37.4% 38.8% 11.0% 3.53× 2.58
Ball State Cardinals over 71.5 30.6% 33.6% 48.2% 0.70× 2.98
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 69.5 30.9% 33.6% 69.6% 0.48× 2.98
Ball State Cardinals under 61.5 29.4% 29.3% 20.7% 1.42× 3.42
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 59.5 29.9% 29.3% 8.0% 3.64× 3.42
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 71.5 24.1% 24.9% 63.7% 0.39× 4.02
Ball State Cardinals under 59.5 22.7% 24.9% 15.5% 1.60× 4.02
Ball State Cardinals over 73.5 23.7% 24.9% 41.7% 0.60× 4.02
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 57.5 23.1% 24.9% 5.4% 4.61× 4.02
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 74.5 15.7% 19.3% 54.1% 0.36× 5.18
Ball State Cardinals over 76.5 15.2% 19.3% 32.1% 0.60× 5.18
Ball State Cardinals under 56.5 14.3% 16.1% 10.2% 1.58× 6.21
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 54.5 14.7% 16.1% 3.0% 5.29× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 111.5 points 89.6% 85.0% 98.1% 0.87× 1.18
Under 151.5 points 89.8% 85.0% 60.6% 1.40× 1.18
Under 146.5 points 83.0% 80.6% 50.2% 1.61× 1.24
Over 116.5 points 82.6% 80.6% 95.9% 0.84× 1.24
Under 141.5 points 74.0% 70.8% 39.6% 1.79× 1.41
Over 121.5 points 73.1% 70.8% 92.1% 0.77× 1.41
Over 124.5 points 66.6% 65.9% 89.3% 0.74× 1.52
Under 138.5 points 67.4% 65.9% 33.0% 2.00× 1.52
Under 136.5 points 62.8% 61.5% 28.9% 2.13× 1.63
Over 126.5 points 61.9% 61.5% 87.0% 0.71× 1.63
Under 134.5 points 58.0% 56.5% 25.3% 2.23× 1.77
Over 128.5 points 57.0% 56.5% 84.5% 0.67× 1.77
Over 130.5 points 52.0% 52.3% 81.5% 0.64× 1.91
Under 132.5 points 53.0% 52.3% 21.7% 2.41× 1.91
Under 131.5 points 50.6% 52.3% 20.1% 2.61× 1.91
Over 131.5 points 49.4% 47.7% 79.9% 0.60× 2.10
Under 130.5 points 48.0% 47.7% 18.5% 2.57× 2.10
Over 132.5 points 47.0% 47.7% 78.3% 0.61× 2.10
Under 128.5 points 43.0% 43.5% 15.5% 2.81× 2.30
Over 134.5 points 42.0% 43.5% 74.7% 0.58× 2.30
Under 126.5 points 38.1% 38.5% 13.0% 2.96× 2.60
Over 136.5 points 37.2% 38.5% 71.1% 0.54× 2.60
Under 124.5 points 33.4% 34.1% 10.7% 3.18× 2.93
Over 138.5 points 32.6% 34.1% 67.0% 0.51× 2.93
Under 121.5 points 26.9% 29.2% 7.9% 3.71× 3.43
Over 141.5 points 26.0% 29.2% 60.4% 0.48× 3.43
Under 116.5 points 17.4% 19.4% 4.1% 4.69× 5.15
Over 146.5 points 17.0% 19.4% 49.8% 0.39× 5.15
Under 111.5 points 10.4% 15.0% 1.9% 7.75× 6.69
Over 151.5 points 10.2% 15.0% 39.4% 0.38× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ball State Cardinals to win both halves 23.5% 23.1% 14.5% 1.59× 4.34
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win both halves 15.1% 18.8% 33.2% 0.57× 5.31
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Ball State Cardinals by 1-5 19.2% 16.8% 13.2% 1.27× 5.97
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 1-5 17.3% 16.8% 16.2% 1.03× 5.97
Ball State Cardinals by 6-10 16.4% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 6-10 12.6% 12.3% 14.4% 0.86× 8.11
Ball State Cardinals by 11-15 11.4% 12.3% 6.1% 2.04× 8.11
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 11-15 7.4% 7.5% 11.6% 0.64× 13.40
Ball State Cardinals by 16-20 6.3% 7.5% 3.3% 2.24× 13.40
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 16-20 3.5% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.30
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 21-25 1.3% 2.0% 5.6% 0.36× 49.32
Ball State Cardinals by 21-25 2.8% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.30
Ball State Cardinals by 26+ 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.32
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 26+ 0.5% 2.0% 7.9% 0.26× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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