Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles v Louisville Cardinals — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles win
2.8%
Draw
0.0%
Louisville Cardinals win
97.2%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 57.15–78.35 | 57-78 0% | 52% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Louisville Cardinals to score 100+ | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.12 |
| Louisville Cardinals to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.35 |
| Louisville Cardinals to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Louisville Cardinals to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win H1 | 86.1% | 88.6% | 39.9% | 2.22× | 1.13 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win H1 | 11.5% | 10.8% | 56.4% | 0.19× | 9.29 |
| H1 tied | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 77.5 | 89.2% | 87.7% | 91.6% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 87.8% | 87.7% | 76.8% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 80.0% | 82.5% | 85.6% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 77.6% | 77.4% | 64.8% | 1.19× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 70.7% | 73.5% | 78.9% | 0.93× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 67.6% | 67.4% | 53.9% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 63.5% | 62.7% | 73.5% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 60.0% | 62.7% | 46.3% | 1.35× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 55.8% | 58.2% | 67.1% | 0.87× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 52.1% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 51.8% | 52.6% | 63.9% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 47.9% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 48.2% | 47.4% | 36.1% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 44.2% | 41.8% | 32.9% | 1.27× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 40.0% | 37.3% | 53.7% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 36.5% | 37.3% | 26.5% | 1.41× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 32.4% | 32.6% | 46.1% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 29.3% | 26.5% | 21.1% | 1.26× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 22.4% | 22.6% | 35.2% | 0.64× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 20.0% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 1.21× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 0.53× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 1.47× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win H2 | 87.6% | 84.2% | 40.6% | 2.07× | 1.19 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win H2 | 10.3% | 14.7% | 56.0% | 0.26× | 6.80 |
| H2 tied | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 83.5 | 87.8% | 85.2% | 88.9% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 59.5 | 87.1% | 85.2% | 77.0% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 78.4% | 75.8% | 82.0% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 77.1% | 75.8% | 65.3% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 75.6% | 0.88× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 67.4% | 66.4% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 62.3% | 61.6% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 60.3% | 61.6% | 48.7% | 1.27× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 54.9% | 52.4% | 64.1% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 51.1% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 48.9% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 57.8% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 45.1% | 47.6% | 36.0% | 1.32× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 39.7% | 38.4% | 51.3% | 0.75× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 37.7% | 38.4% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 24.4% | 1.38× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 22.9% | 24.2% | 34.7% | 0.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 21.6% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 1.35× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 12.9% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 0.64× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 12.2% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 1.33× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals leading at half time | 86.1% | 89.3% | 39.9% | 2.24× | 1.12 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles leading at half time | 11.5% | 10.3% | 56.4% | 0.18× | 9.74 |
| Level at half time | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals +7.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 55.2% | 1.76× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +8.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 58.0% | 1.68× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +9.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 60.7% | 1.61× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +10.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +14.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +1.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 41.3% | 2.36× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals −1.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 38.8% | 2.51× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +2.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 43.3% | 2.25× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals −2.5 | 95.6% | 97.4% | 36.7% | 2.66× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +3.5 | 98.5% | 97.4% | 45.8% | 2.13× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +4.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 47.8% | 2.04× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +5.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 50.3% | 1.94× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +6.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 52.4% | 1.86× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals −3.5 | 94.6% | 91.1% | 34.3% | 2.66× | 1.10 |
| Louisville Cardinals −4.5 | 93.5% | 91.1% | 32.2% | 2.83× | 1.10 |
| Louisville Cardinals −5.5 | 92.2% | 91.1% | 29.9% | 3.05× | 1.10 |
| Louisville Cardinals −6.5 | 90.7% | 91.1% | 27.7% | 3.29× | 1.10 |
| Louisville Cardinals −7.5 | 89.0% | 85.9% | 25.5% | 3.37× | 1.16 |
| Louisville Cardinals −8.5 | 87.2% | 85.9% | 23.5% | 3.65× | 1.16 |
| Louisville Cardinals −9.5 | 85.1% | 85.9% | 21.3% | 4.03× | 1.16 |
| Louisville Cardinals −10.5 | 82.9% | 81.1% | 19.6% | 4.14× | 1.23 |
| Louisville Cardinals −12.5 | 77.8% | 76.5% | 16.2% | 4.71× | 1.31 |
| Louisville Cardinals −14.5 | 72.0% | 71.6% | 13.3% | 5.40× | 1.40 |
| Louisville Cardinals −16.5 | 65.5% | 66.7% | 10.9% | 6.14× | 1.50 |
| Louisville Cardinals −18.5 | 58.6% | 57.1% | 8.9% | 6.40× | 1.75 |
| Louisville Cardinals −20.5 | 51.3% | 52.4% | 7.3% | 7.20× | 1.91 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +20.5 | 48.7% | 47.6% | 92.7% | 0.51× | 2.10 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +18.5 | 41.4% | 42.9% | 91.1% | 0.47× | 2.33 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +16.5 | 34.5% | 33.3% | 89.1% | 0.37× | 3.01 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +14.5 | 28.0% | 28.4% | 86.7% | 0.33× | 3.53 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +12.5 | 22.2% | 23.5% | 83.8% | 0.28× | 4.25 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +10.5 | 17.1% | 18.9% | 80.4% | 0.24× | 5.29 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +9.5 | 14.9% | 14.1% | 78.7% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +8.5 | 12.8% | 14.1% | 76.5% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +7.5 | 11.0% | 14.1% | 74.5% | 0.19× | 7.09 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +6.5 | 9.3% | 8.9% | 72.3% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +4.5 | 6.5% | 8.9% | 67.8% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +5.5 | 7.8% | 8.9% | 70.1% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +3.5 | 5.4% | 8.9% | 65.7% | 0.14× | 11.25 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −1.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 58.7% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +1.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 61.2% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −2.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 56.7% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +2.5 | 4.4% | 2.6% | 63.3% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −3.5 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 54.2% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −4.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 52.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −5.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 49.7% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −6.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 47.6% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −7.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 44.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −8.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 42.0% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −9.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 39.3% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −10.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.8% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.2% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.7% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.4% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals at HT / Louisville Cardinals at FT | 85.1% | 89.0% | 30.1% | 2.95× | 1.12 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at HT / Louisville Cardinals at FT | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.08 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at HT / Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at FT | 1.7% | 2.1% | 48.3% | 0.04× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Louisville Cardinals at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.79 |
| Louisville Cardinals at HT / Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at FT | 1.0% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win | 97.2% | 97.4% | 40.1% | 2.43× | 1.03 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win | 2.8% | 2.6% | 59.9% | 0.04× | 39.18 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles even | 50.2% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Louisville Cardinals even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.3% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles odd | 49.8% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Louisville Cardinals odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.7% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.0% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.52 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win Q1 | 75.7% | 79.8% | 40.4% | 1.98× | 1.25 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win Q1 | 19.8% | 15.8% | 54.7% | 0.29× | 6.32 |
| Q1 tied | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 24.5 | 89.0% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 87.7% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 78.2% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 76.2% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 68.4% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 66.1% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 57.1% | 58.6% | 46.0% | 1.27× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 54.7% | 52.7% | 64.0% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 51.2% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 48.8% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 45.3% | 47.3% | 36.0% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 42.9% | 41.4% | 54.0% | 0.77× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 33.9% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 31.6% | 32.4% | 43.1% | 0.75× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 23.8% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.26× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 21.8% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.71× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.25× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win Q2 | 75.0% | 75.3% | 41.5% | 1.82× | 1.33 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win Q2 | 20.5% | 19.9% | 52.9% | 0.38× | 5.02 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 88.7% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 88.0% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 77.7% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 76.6% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 68.0% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 66.5% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 56.7% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 55.1% | 58.2% | 44.3% | 1.31× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 50.8% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 49.2% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 44.9% | 41.8% | 55.7% | 0.75× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 43.3% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 33.5% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 32.0% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 23.4% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 22.3% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 12.0% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win Q3 | 77.1% | 81.5% | 41.8% | 1.95× | 1.23 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win Q3 | 18.6% | 15.2% | 53.3% | 0.28× | 6.60 |
| Q3 tied | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.44 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 27.5 | 88.1% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 43.5 | 87.4% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 77.1% | 77.3% | 66.8% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 76.1% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 67.3% | 67.8% | 56.1% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 66.3% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 56.3% | 58.4% | 45.4% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 55.2% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 50.5% | 52.3% | 40.3% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 49.5% | 47.7% | 59.7% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 44.8% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.18× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 43.7% | 41.6% | 54.6% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 33.7% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 32.7% | 32.2% | 43.9% | 0.73× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 23.9% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 22.9% | 22.7% | 33.2% | 0.69× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 11.9% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win Q4 | 76.7% | 71.4% | 41.5% | 1.72× | 1.40 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win Q4 | 19.1% | 22.7% | 52.8% | 0.43× | 4.40 |
| Q4 tied | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.29 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 27.5 | 86.9% | 85.6% | 78.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 85.8% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 76.1% | 76.9% | 66.3% | 1.16× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 74.6% | 71.5% | 80.6% | 0.89× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 55.4% | 1.22× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 65.1% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 56.3% | 58.4% | 45.6% | 1.28× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 54.6% | 52.5% | 64.3% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 50.9% | 52.5% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 49.1% | 47.5% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 45.4% | 47.5% | 35.7% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 43.7% | 41.6% | 54.4% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 34.9% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 44.6% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 25.4% | 28.5% | 19.4% | 1.47× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 23.9% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.68× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 14.2% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 13.1% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 0.68× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 68.5 | 88.1% | 83.9% | 54.4% | 1.54× | 1.19 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 68.5 | 86.4% | 83.9% | 31.4% | 2.67× | 1.19 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 88.5 | 85.9% | 83.9% | 97.1% | 0.86× | 1.19 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 48.5 | 84.4% | 80.7% | 93.3% | 0.86× | 1.24 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 65.5 | 80.6% | 80.7% | 44.7% | 1.80× | 1.24 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 71.5 | 78.0% | 75.1% | 23.9% | 3.14× | 1.33 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 85.5 | 77.3% | 75.1% | 95.5% | 0.79× | 1.33 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 51.5 | 74.6% | 70.7% | 89.3% | 0.79× | 1.41 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 63.5 | 74.2% | 70.7% | 38.5% | 1.83× | 1.41 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 73.5 | 71.0% | 70.7% | 19.8% | 3.57× | 1.41 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 83.5 | 70.3% | 70.7% | 93.9% | 0.75× | 1.41 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 53.5 | 66.9% | 66.4% | 85.8% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 61.5 | 66.8% | 66.4% | 33.1% | 2.01× | 1.51 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 75.5 | 63.2% | 61.2% | 15.9% | 3.85× | 1.63 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 81.5 | 62.4% | 61.2% | 92.0% | 0.67× | 1.63 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 59.5 | 58.7% | 57.1% | 27.8% | 2.05× | 1.75 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 55.5 | 58.5% | 57.1% | 81.6% | 0.70× | 1.75 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 58.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 25.3% | 2.07× | 1.91 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 77.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 12.8% | 4.08× | 1.91 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 79.5 | 53.9% | 52.3% | 89.7% | 0.58× | 1.91 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 57.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 22.8% | 2.29× | 1.91 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 78.5 | 50.4% | 52.3% | 11.7% | 4.48× | 1.91 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 57.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 77.2% | 0.62× | 2.09 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 78.5 | 49.6% | 47.7% | 88.3% | 0.54× | 2.09 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 58.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 74.7% | 0.64× | 2.09 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 77.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 87.2% | 0.55× | 2.09 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 79.5 | 46.1% | 47.7% | 10.3% | 4.62× | 2.09 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 55.5 | 41.5% | 42.9% | 18.5% | 2.32× | 2.33 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 59.5 | 41.3% | 42.9% | 72.2% | 0.59× | 2.33 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 75.5 | 36.8% | 38.8% | 84.1% | 0.46× | 2.58 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 81.5 | 37.6% | 38.8% | 8.0% | 4.83× | 2.58 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 53.5 | 33.1% | 33.6% | 14.2% | 2.36× | 2.98 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 61.5 | 33.2% | 33.6% | 66.9% | 0.50× | 2.98 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 73.5 | 29.0% | 29.3% | 80.2% | 0.37× | 3.42 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 83.5 | 29.7% | 29.3% | 6.1% | 4.84× | 3.42 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 51.5 | 25.4% | 29.3% | 10.7% | 2.72× | 3.42 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 63.5 | 25.8% | 29.3% | 61.5% | 0.48× | 3.42 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 85.5 | 22.7% | 24.9% | 4.5% | 5.51× | 4.02 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 71.5 | 22.0% | 24.9% | 76.1% | 0.33× | 4.02 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 65.5 | 19.4% | 19.3% | 55.3% | 0.35× | 5.18 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles under 48.5 | 15.6% | 19.3% | 6.7% | 2.90× | 5.18 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 88.5 | 14.1% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 5.57× | 6.21 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 68.5 | 13.6% | 16.1% | 68.6% | 0.23× | 6.21 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles over 68.5 | 11.9% | 16.1% | 45.6% | 0.35× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 116.5 points | 91.9% | 88.8% | 77.2% | 1.15× | 1.13 |
| Under 156.5 points | 91.5% | 88.8% | 91.3% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Under 151.5 points | 85.1% | 85.0% | 87.3% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Over 121.5 points | 84.8% | 80.6% | 67.7% | 1.19× | 1.24 |
| Under 146.5 points | 75.9% | 75.6% | 80.9% | 0.93× | 1.32 |
| Over 126.5 points | 74.8% | 70.8% | 57.4% | 1.24× | 1.41 |
| Under 143.5 points | 69.2% | 65.9% | 76.7% | 0.86× | 1.52 |
| Over 129.5 points | 67.6% | 65.9% | 50.5% | 1.30× | 1.52 |
| Under 141.5 points | 64.3% | 61.5% | 73.4% | 0.84× | 1.63 |
| Over 131.5 points | 62.4% | 61.5% | 46.1% | 1.33× | 1.63 |
| Under 139.5 points | 59.1% | 56.5% | 69.9% | 0.81× | 1.77 |
| Over 133.5 points | 57.1% | 56.5% | 42.0% | 1.35× | 1.77 |
| Under 137.5 points | 53.8% | 52.3% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Over 135.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 37.6% | 1.39× | 1.91 |
| Under 136.5 points | 51.1% | 52.3% | 64.2% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Over 136.5 points | 48.9% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 1.33× | 2.10 |
| Under 135.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 62.4% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| Over 137.5 points | 46.2% | 47.7% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.10 |
| Under 133.5 points | 42.9% | 43.5% | 58.0% | 0.75× | 2.30 |
| Over 139.5 points | 40.9% | 43.5% | 30.1% | 1.44× | 2.30 |
| Under 131.5 points | 37.6% | 38.5% | 53.9% | 0.71× | 2.60 |
| Over 141.5 points | 35.7% | 38.5% | 26.6% | 1.45× | 2.60 |
| Under 129.5 points | 32.4% | 34.1% | 49.5% | 0.69× | 2.93 |
| Over 143.5 points | 30.8% | 34.1% | 23.3% | 1.46× | 2.93 |
| Under 126.5 points | 25.2% | 29.2% | 42.6% | 0.68× | 3.43 |
| Over 146.5 points | 24.1% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 1.28× | 4.10 |
| Under 121.5 points | 15.2% | 19.4% | 32.3% | 0.60× | 5.15 |
| Over 151.5 points | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 1.17× | 6.68 |
| Under 116.5 points | 8.1% | 11.2% | 22.8% | 0.49× | 8.96 |
| Over 156.5 points | 8.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 1.29× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win both halves | 74.5% | 72.2% | 20.4% | 3.54× | 1.39 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles to win both halves | 0.6% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 0.08× | 33.81 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals by 26+ | 33.5% | 37.8% | 4.6% | 8.20× | 2.65 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 16-20 | 17.5% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 3.53× | 5.97 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 21-25 | 17.8% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 6.27× | 5.97 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 11-15 | 14.1% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 6-10 | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 1-5 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.41 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 1-5 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.31 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 6-10 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.32 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 11-15 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.33 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.33 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |