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St. Bonaventure Bonnies v Binghamton Bearcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies win
50.5%
Draw
0.0%
Binghamton Bearcats win
49.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 62.32–62.21 63-62 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H1 48.0% 47.3% 56.4% 0.84× 2.11
Binghamton Bearcats to win H1 47.5% 47.3% 39.9% 1.19× 2.11
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 47.5 88.8% 87.7% 90.6% 0.97× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 88.0% 87.7% 81.4% 1.08× 1.14
H1 over 51.5 79.1% 77.4% 82.0% 0.94× 1.29
H1 under 67.5 78.2% 77.4% 70.4% 1.10× 1.29
H1 over 54.5 69.5% 67.4% 74.0% 0.91× 1.48
H1 under 64.5 68.5% 67.4% 60.7% 1.11× 1.48
H1 over 56.5 62.2% 62.7% 68.2% 0.92× 1.59
H1 under 62.5 61.2% 62.7% 53.7% 1.17× 1.59
H1 over 58.5 54.4% 52.6% 61.4% 0.86× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 53.5% 52.6% 46.1% 1.14× 1.90
H1 over 59.5 50.5% 52.6% 57.8% 0.91× 1.90
H1 under 59.5 49.5% 47.4% 42.2% 1.12× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 46.5% 47.4% 53.9% 0.88× 2.11
H1 under 58.5 45.6% 47.4% 38.6% 1.23× 2.11
H1 over 62.5 38.8% 37.3% 46.3% 0.80× 2.68
H1 under 56.5 37.8% 37.3% 31.8% 1.17× 2.68
H1 over 64.5 31.5% 32.6% 39.3% 0.83× 3.07
H1 under 54.5 30.5% 32.6% 26.0% 1.25× 3.07
H1 under 51.5 20.9% 22.6% 18.0% 1.25× 4.43
H1 over 67.5 21.8% 22.6% 29.6% 0.76× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 12.0% 12.3% 18.6% 0.66× 8.14
H1 under 47.5 11.2% 12.3% 9.4% 1.30× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H2 48.1% 47.1% 56.0% 0.84× 2.12
Binghamton Bearcats to win H2 47.5% 47.1% 40.6% 1.16× 2.12
H2 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 77.5 87.5% 85.2% 77.9% 1.09× 1.17
H2 over 53.5 87.0% 85.2% 89.7% 0.95× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 78.1% 75.8% 67.1% 1.13× 1.32
H2 over 57.5 77.1% 75.8% 82.2% 0.92× 1.32
H2 under 70.5 68.9% 66.4% 57.8% 1.15× 1.51
H2 over 60.5 67.5% 66.4% 74.5% 0.89× 1.51
H2 under 68.5 61.9% 61.6% 51.3% 1.20× 1.62
H2 over 62.5 60.4% 61.6% 68.3% 0.90× 1.62
H2 under 66.5 54.6% 52.4% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
H2 over 64.5 53.0% 52.4% 62.1% 0.84× 1.91
H2 under 65.5 50.8% 52.4% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
H2 over 65.5 49.2% 47.6% 58.8% 0.81× 2.10
H2 under 64.5 47.0% 47.6% 37.9% 1.26× 2.10
H2 over 66.5 45.4% 47.6% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
H2 under 62.5 39.6% 38.4% 31.7% 1.21× 2.61
H2 over 68.5 38.1% 38.4% 48.7% 0.79× 2.61
H2 under 60.5 32.5% 33.6% 25.5% 1.32× 2.97
H2 over 70.5 31.1% 33.6% 42.2% 0.80× 2.97
H2 under 57.5 22.9% 24.2% 17.8% 1.36× 4.13
H2 over 73.5 21.9% 24.2% 32.9% 0.74× 4.13
H2 under 53.5 13.0% 14.8% 10.3% 1.43× 6.76
H2 over 77.5 12.5% 14.8% 22.1% 0.67× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies leading at half time 48.0% 47.2% 56.4% 0.84× 2.12
Binghamton Bearcats leading at half time 47.5% 47.2% 39.9% 1.18× 2.12
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats +20.5 96.6% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +20.5 96.8% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +18.5 95.3% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Binghamton Bearcats +18.5 95.0% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Binghamton Bearcats +16.5 92.8% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +16.5 93.2% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +14.5 90.4% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Binghamton Bearcats +14.5 89.9% 85.9% 72.1% 1.19× 1.16
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +12.5 86.8% 85.9% 83.8% 1.03× 1.16
Binghamton Bearcats +12.5 86.3% 85.9% 67.9% 1.27× 1.16
Binghamton Bearcats +10.5 81.9% 81.1% 63.2% 1.28× 1.23
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +10.5 82.5% 81.1% 80.4% 1.01× 1.23
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +9.5 80.0% 81.1% 78.7% 1.03× 1.23
Binghamton Bearcats +9.5 79.4% 76.5% 60.7% 1.26× 1.31
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +8.5 77.4% 76.5% 76.5% 1.00× 1.31
Binghamton Bearcats +8.5 76.6% 76.5% 58.0% 1.32× 1.31
Binghamton Bearcats +7.5 73.7% 71.6% 55.2% 1.30× 1.40
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +7.5 74.5% 71.6% 74.5% 0.96× 1.40
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +6.5 71.5% 71.6% 72.3% 0.99× 1.40
Binghamton Bearcats +6.5 70.7% 71.6% 52.4% 1.37× 1.40
Binghamton Bearcats +5.5 67.4% 66.7% 50.3% 1.33× 1.50
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +5.5 68.3% 66.7% 70.1% 0.95× 1.50
Binghamton Bearcats +4.5 64.0% 61.9% 47.8% 1.29× 1.62
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +4.5 64.9% 61.9% 67.8% 0.91× 1.62
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +3.5 61.4% 61.9% 65.7% 0.94× 1.62
Binghamton Bearcats +3.5 60.5% 61.9% 45.8% 1.35× 1.62
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +2.5 57.8% 57.1% 63.3% 0.90× 1.75
Binghamton Bearcats +2.5 56.9% 57.1% 43.3% 1.32× 1.75
Binghamton Bearcats +1.5 53.3% 52.4% 41.3% 1.27× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +1.5 54.2% 52.4% 61.2% 0.86× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −1.5 46.7% 47.6% 58.7% 0.81× 2.10
Binghamton Bearcats −1.5 45.8% 47.6% 38.8% 1.23× 2.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −2.5 43.1% 42.9% 56.7% 0.76× 2.33
Binghamton Bearcats −2.5 42.2% 42.9% 36.7% 1.17× 2.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −3.5 39.5% 38.1% 54.2% 0.70× 2.63
Binghamton Bearcats −3.5 38.6% 38.1% 34.3% 1.11× 2.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −4.5 36.0% 38.1% 52.2% 0.73× 2.63
Binghamton Bearcats −4.5 35.1% 38.1% 32.2% 1.18× 2.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −5.5 32.6% 33.3% 49.7% 0.67× 3.01
Binghamton Bearcats −5.5 31.7% 33.3% 29.9% 1.11× 3.01
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −6.5 29.3% 28.4% 47.6% 0.60× 3.53
Binghamton Bearcats −6.5 28.5% 28.4% 27.7% 1.02× 3.53
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −7.5 26.3% 28.4% 44.8% 0.63× 3.53
Binghamton Bearcats −7.5 25.5% 28.4% 25.5% 1.11× 3.53
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −8.5 23.4% 23.5% 42.0% 0.56× 4.25
Binghamton Bearcats −8.5 22.6% 23.5% 23.5% 1.00× 4.25
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −9.5 20.6% 23.5% 39.3% 0.60× 4.25
Binghamton Bearcats −9.5 20.0% 18.9% 21.3% 0.89× 5.29
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −10.5 18.1% 18.9% 36.8% 0.51× 5.29
Binghamton Bearcats −10.5 17.5% 18.9% 19.6% 0.96× 5.29
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −12.5 13.7% 14.1% 32.1% 0.44× 7.09
Binghamton Bearcats −12.5 13.2% 14.1% 16.2% 0.87× 7.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −14.5 10.1% 14.1% 27.9% 0.51× 7.09
Binghamton Bearcats −14.5 9.6% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −16.5 7.2% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Binghamton Bearcats −16.5 6.8% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −18.5 5.0% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Binghamton Bearcats −18.5 4.7% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.72
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −20.5 3.4% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Binghamton Bearcats −20.5 3.2% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.1% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.3% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.5% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.1% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT 34.9% 33.3% 48.3% 0.69× 3.01
Binghamton Bearcats at HT / Binghamton Bearcats at FT 34.2% 33.2% 30.1% 1.10× 3.01
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at HT / Binghamton Bearcats at FT 13.1% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Binghamton Bearcats at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT 13.3% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Level at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Binghamton Bearcats at FT 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win 50.5% 50.9% 59.9% 0.85× 1.96
Binghamton Bearcats to win 49.5% 49.1% 40.1% 1.22× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
St. Bonaventure Bonnies even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Binghamton Bearcats even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
St. Bonaventure Bonnies odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Binghamton Bearcats odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win Q1 47.1% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q1 46.7% 47.6% 40.4% 1.18× 2.10
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 38.5 89.6% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 22.5 86.7% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 35.5 79.3% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 74.7% 72.7% 77.6% 0.94× 1.38
Q1 under 33.5 69.9% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 27.5 64.4% 61.7% 67.7% 0.91× 1.62
Q1 under 31.5 58.9% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 under 30.5 53.1% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 52.8% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 47.2% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 46.9% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 41.1% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 35.6% 38.3% 32.3% 1.18× 2.61
Q1 over 33.5 30.1% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 under 25.5 25.3% 27.3% 22.4% 1.22× 3.67
Q1 over 35.5 20.7% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 22.5 13.3% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 10.4% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win Q2 47.2% 47.0% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q2 46.8% 47.0% 41.5% 1.13× 2.13
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 21.5 88.8% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 87.7% 87.3% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Q2 over 24.5 77.9% 76.8% 80.7% 0.95× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 76.3% 76.8% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 68.1% 67.4% 71.6% 0.94× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 66.3% 67.4% 60.8% 1.11× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 56.9% 58.2% 61.2% 0.95× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 54.9% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 29.5 51.0% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 49.0% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 45.1% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 under 28.5 43.1% 41.8% 38.8% 1.08× 2.39
Q2 over 32.5 33.7% 32.6% 39.2% 0.83× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 31.9% 32.6% 28.4% 1.15× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 23.7% 23.2% 29.9% 0.78× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 22.1% 23.2% 19.3% 1.20× 4.31
Q2 over 37.5 12.3% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.89
Q2 under 21.5 11.2% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win Q3 47.2% 47.5% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q3 46.8% 47.5% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
Q3 tied 6.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 24.5 88.1% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 87.2% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 77.1% 77.3% 80.0% 0.97× 1.29
Q3 under 37.5 75.9% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 67.5% 67.8% 71.8% 0.94× 1.48
Q3 under 35.5 66.1% 67.8% 59.7% 1.14× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 56.5% 58.4% 61.6% 0.95× 1.71
Q3 under 33.5 55.0% 58.4% 49.1% 1.19× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 50.7% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 49.3% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 45.0% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 43.5% 41.6% 38.4% 1.08× 2.40
Q3 over 35.5 33.9% 32.2% 40.3% 0.80× 3.10
Q3 under 29.5 32.6% 32.2% 28.2% 1.14× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 24.1% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 22.9% 22.7% 20.0% 1.14× 4.40
Q3 over 40.5 12.8% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q3 under 24.5 11.9% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win Q4 47.3% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q4 46.9% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 24.5 86.9% 85.6% 89.0% 0.96× 1.17
Q4 under 40.5 85.6% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 76.1% 76.9% 78.9% 0.97× 1.30
Q4 under 37.5 74.4% 71.5% 68.8% 1.04× 1.40
Q4 over 29.5 66.9% 67.4% 70.8% 0.95× 1.48
Q4 under 35.5 64.9% 61.4% 59.4% 1.03× 1.63
Q4 over 31.5 56.5% 58.4% 61.1% 0.96× 1.71
Q4 under 33.5 54.4% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 51.0% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 49.0% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 45.6% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 under 31.5 43.5% 41.6% 38.9% 1.07× 2.40
Q4 over 35.5 35.1% 38.6% 40.6% 0.95× 2.59
Q4 under 29.5 33.1% 32.6% 29.2% 1.12× 3.07
Q4 over 37.5 25.6% 28.5% 31.2% 0.91× 3.51
Q4 under 27.5 23.9% 23.1% 21.1% 1.09× 4.33
Q4 over 40.5 14.4% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Q4 under 24.5 13.1% 14.4% 11.0% 1.31× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats under 72.5 86.2% 83.9% 78.2% 1.07× 1.19
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 52.5 85.5% 83.9% 87.7% 0.96× 1.19
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 72.5 85.3% 83.9% 65.7% 1.28× 1.19
Binghamton Bearcats over 52.5 85.8% 83.9% 78.5% 1.07× 1.19
Binghamton Bearcats under 69.5 77.9% 75.1% 71.2% 1.05× 1.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 55.5 76.9% 75.1% 81.6% 0.92× 1.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 69.5 76.9% 75.1% 57.4% 1.31× 1.33
Binghamton Bearcats over 55.5 77.1% 75.1% 70.8% 1.06× 1.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 67.5 70.1% 70.7% 51.3% 1.38× 1.41
Binghamton Bearcats under 67.5 71.0% 70.7% 65.6% 1.08× 1.41
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 57.5 70.0% 66.4% 77.2% 0.86× 1.51
Binghamton Bearcats over 57.5 70.0% 66.4% 65.1% 1.02× 1.51
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 59.5 62.3% 61.2% 72.2% 0.85× 1.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 65.5 62.4% 61.2% 44.7% 1.37× 1.63
Binghamton Bearcats over 59.5 62.1% 61.2% 58.8% 1.04× 1.63
Binghamton Bearcats under 65.5 63.3% 61.2% 59.8% 1.02× 1.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 61.5 54.1% 52.3% 66.9% 0.78× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 63.5 54.3% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats over 61.5 53.6% 52.3% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats under 63.5 54.9% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 62.5 50.1% 52.3% 35.7% 1.46× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats under 62.5 50.7% 52.3% 51.0% 1.03× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 62.5 49.9% 47.7% 64.3% 0.74× 2.09
Binghamton Bearcats over 62.5 49.3% 47.7% 49.0% 0.97× 2.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 61.5 45.9% 47.7% 33.1% 1.44× 2.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 63.5 45.7% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.09
Binghamton Bearcats under 61.5 46.4% 47.7% 47.9% 1.00× 2.09
Binghamton Bearcats over 63.5 45.1% 47.7% 46.1% 1.04× 2.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 59.5 37.7% 38.8% 27.8% 1.39× 2.58
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 65.5 37.6% 38.8% 55.3% 0.70× 2.58
Binghamton Bearcats under 59.5 37.9% 38.8% 41.2% 0.94× 2.58
Binghamton Bearcats over 65.5 36.7% 38.8% 40.2% 0.96× 2.58
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 57.5 30.0% 33.6% 22.8% 1.47× 2.98
Binghamton Bearcats under 57.5 30.0% 33.6% 34.9% 0.96× 2.98
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 67.5 29.9% 29.3% 48.7% 0.60× 3.42
Binghamton Bearcats over 67.5 29.0% 29.3% 34.4% 0.85× 3.42
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 55.5 23.1% 24.9% 18.5% 1.35× 4.02
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 69.5 23.1% 24.9% 42.6% 0.58× 4.02
Binghamton Bearcats under 55.5 22.9% 24.9% 29.2% 0.85× 4.02
Binghamton Bearcats over 69.5 22.1% 24.9% 28.8% 0.86× 4.02
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 52.5 14.5% 16.1% 12.3% 1.30× 6.21
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 72.5 14.7% 16.1% 34.3% 0.47× 6.21
Binghamton Bearcats under 52.5 14.2% 16.1% 21.5% 0.75× 6.21
Binghamton Bearcats over 72.5 13.8% 16.1% 21.8% 0.74× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 145.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 79.5% 1.12× 1.13
Over 105.5 points 90.9% 88.8% 91.9% 0.97× 1.13
Under 140.5 points 85.2% 85.0% 71.8% 1.19× 1.18
Over 110.5 points 83.7% 80.6% 86.4% 0.93× 1.24
Under 135.5 points 76.3% 75.6% 62.4% 1.21× 1.32
Over 115.5 points 73.6% 70.8% 78.8% 0.90× 1.41
Under 132.5 points 69.6% 65.9% 56.0% 1.18× 1.52
Over 118.5 points 66.6% 65.9% 73.6% 0.90× 1.52
Under 130.5 points 64.8% 61.5% 51.7% 1.19× 1.63
Over 120.5 points 61.5% 61.5% 69.8% 0.88× 1.63
Under 128.5 points 59.7% 56.5% 47.2% 1.20× 1.77
Over 122.5 points 56.3% 56.5% 65.6% 0.86× 1.77
Under 126.5 points 54.4% 52.3% 42.6% 1.23× 1.91
Under 125.5 points 51.9% 52.3% 40.5% 1.29× 1.91
Over 124.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 61.5% 0.85× 1.91
Under 124.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 38.5% 1.24× 2.10
Over 125.5 points 48.1% 47.7% 59.5% 0.80× 2.10
Over 126.5 points 45.6% 47.7% 57.4% 0.83× 2.10
Under 122.5 points 43.7% 43.5% 34.4% 1.26× 2.30
Over 128.5 points 40.3% 43.5% 52.8% 0.82× 2.30
Under 120.5 points 38.5% 38.5% 30.2% 1.28× 2.60
Over 130.5 points 35.2% 38.5% 48.3% 0.80× 2.60
Under 118.5 points 33.4% 34.1% 26.4% 1.29× 2.93
Over 132.5 points 30.4% 34.1% 44.0% 0.77× 2.93
Under 115.5 points 26.4% 29.2% 21.2% 1.38× 3.43
Over 135.5 points 23.7% 24.4% 37.6% 0.65× 4.10
Under 110.5 points 16.3% 19.4% 13.6% 1.43× 5.15
Over 140.5 points 14.8% 15.0% 28.2% 0.53× 6.68
Under 105.5 points 9.1% 11.2% 8.1% 1.38× 8.96
Over 145.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 20.5% 0.55× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win both halves 20.1% 23.0% 36.0% 0.64× 4.34
Binghamton Bearcats to win both halves 19.6% 18.9% 20.4% 0.93× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 1-5 17.9% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Binghamton Bearcats by 1-5 17.8% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 6-10 14.5% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Binghamton Bearcats by 6-10 14.2% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 11-15 9.6% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Binghamton Bearcats by 11-15 9.3% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 16-20 5.2% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.41
Binghamton Bearcats by 16-20 5.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.28
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 21-25 2.3% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.31
Binghamton Bearcats by 21-25 2.2% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 26+ 1.1% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
Binghamton Bearcats by 26+ 1.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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