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St. Bonaventure Bonnies v Cornell Big Red — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

St. Bonaventure Bonnies
v
Cornell Big Red

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies win
61.1%
Draw
0.0%
Cornell Big Red win
38.9%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 88.17–85.25 88-85 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 100+ 12.5% 13.8% 3.4% 4.01× 7.24
Cornell Big Red to score 100+ 6.8% 8.8% 1.1% 8.15× 11.38
Cornell Big Red to score 110+ 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.25
Cornell Big Red to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.35
Cornell Big Red to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 282.95
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 110+ 1.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.07
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 120+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.34
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H1 54.3% 51.9% 57.9% 0.90× 1.93
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H1 54.3% 51.9% 57.9% 0.90× 1.93
Cornell Big Red to win H1 41.2% 42.7% 38.2% 1.12× 2.34
Cornell Big Red to win H1 41.2% 42.7% 38.2% 1.12× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 94.5 88.0% 87.7% 98.6% 0.89× 1.14
H1 over 70.5 86.0% 87.7% 43.5% 2.02× 1.14
H1 under 90.5 79.5% 77.4% 97.0% 0.80× 1.29
H1 under 90.5 78.7% 77.4% 97.0% 0.80× 1.29
H1 over 74.5 76.7% 77.4% 30.4% 2.55× 1.29
H1 over 74.5 76.0% 77.4% 30.4% 2.55× 1.29
H1 under 87.5 70.3% 73.5% 95.0% 0.77× 1.36
H1 under 87.5 69.7% 67.4% 95.0% 0.71× 1.48
H1 over 77.5 66.9% 67.4% 21.7% 3.11× 1.48
H1 over 77.5 66.4% 67.4% 21.7% 3.11× 1.48
H1 under 85.5 63.2% 62.7% 92.9% 0.68× 1.59
H1 under 85.5 62.8% 62.7% 92.9% 0.68× 1.59
H1 over 79.5 59.6% 58.2% 16.9% 3.45× 1.72
H1 over 79.5 59.3% 58.2% 16.9% 3.45× 1.72
H1 under 83.5 55.7% 58.2% 90.3% 0.65× 1.72
H1 under 83.5 55.6% 58.2% 90.3% 0.65× 1.72
H1 over 81.5 52.0% 52.6% 12.8% 4.12× 1.90
H1 under 82.5 51.9% 52.6% 88.9% 0.59× 1.90
H1 over 81.5 51.9% 52.6% 12.8% 4.12× 1.90
H1 under 82.5 51.8% 52.6% 88.9% 0.59× 1.90
H1 under 81.5 48.0% 47.4% 87.2% 0.54× 2.11
H1 over 82.5 48.1% 47.4% 11.1% 4.26× 2.11
H1 under 81.5 48.1% 47.4% 87.2% 0.54× 2.11
H1 over 82.5 48.2% 47.4% 11.1% 4.26× 2.11
H1 over 83.5 44.5% 41.8% 9.7% 4.29× 2.39
H1 over 83.5 44.3% 41.8% 9.7% 4.29× 2.39
H1 under 79.5 40.7% 41.8% 83.1% 0.50× 2.39
H1 under 79.5 40.4% 41.8% 83.1% 0.50× 2.39
H1 over 85.5 36.8% 37.3% 7.1% 5.21× 2.68
H1 over 85.5 37.2% 37.3% 7.1% 5.21× 2.68
H1 under 77.5 33.6% 32.6% 78.3% 0.42× 3.07
H1 under 77.5 33.1% 32.6% 78.3% 0.42× 3.07
H1 over 87.5 30.3% 32.6% 5.0% 6.46× 3.07
H1 over 87.5 29.7% 26.5% 5.0% 5.26× 3.77
H1 under 74.5 23.3% 22.6% 69.6% 0.32× 4.43
H1 under 74.5 24.0% 22.6% 69.6% 0.32× 4.43
H1 over 90.5 21.3% 22.6% 3.0% 7.54× 4.43
H1 over 90.5 20.5% 22.6% 3.0% 7.54× 4.43
H1 under 70.5 14.0% 12.3% 56.5% 0.22× 8.13
H1 over 94.5 12.0% 12.3% 1.4% 9.04× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H2 54.9% 51.2% 56.9% 0.90× 1.95
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H2 54.8% 51.2% 57.5% 0.89× 1.95
Cornell Big Red to win H2 40.8% 43.5% 38.9% 1.12× 2.30
Cornell Big Red to win H2 40.9% 43.5% 38.5% 1.13× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.35
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.35
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 103.5 85.8% 85.2% 96.4% 0.88× 1.17
H2 over 79.5 85.5% 85.2% 43.8% 1.94× 1.17
H2 under 99.5 77.3% 75.8% 96.3% 0.79× 1.32
H2 over 83.5 76.4% 75.8% 28.4% 2.67× 1.32
H2 over 83.5 75.9% 75.8% 32.0% 2.37× 1.32
H2 under 99.5 76.3% 75.8% 94.0% 0.81× 1.32
H2 over 86.5 67.2% 66.4% 20.7% 3.20× 1.51
H2 under 96.5 68.1% 66.4% 94.1% 0.71× 1.51
H2 under 96.5 67.4% 66.4% 91.4% 0.73× 1.51
H2 over 86.5 66.8% 66.4% 24.3% 2.73× 1.51
H2 under 94.5 61.3% 61.6% 92.4% 0.67× 1.62
H2 over 88.5 60.3% 61.6% 16.7% 3.69× 1.62
H2 over 88.5 60.2% 61.6% 20.2% 3.05× 1.62
H2 under 94.5 60.8% 61.6% 89.5% 0.69× 1.62
H2 under 92.5 54.2% 52.4% 90.1% 0.58× 1.91
H2 under 92.5 53.8% 52.4% 86.9% 0.60× 1.91
H2 over 90.5 53.1% 52.4% 13.1% 3.99× 1.91
H2 over 90.5 53.2% 52.4% 16.4% 3.20× 1.91
H2 under 91.5 50.5% 52.4% 88.7% 0.59× 1.91
H2 under 91.5 50.3% 52.4% 85.5% 0.61× 1.91
H2 over 91.5 49.5% 47.6% 11.3% 4.23× 2.10
H2 over 91.5 49.7% 47.6% 14.5% 3.30× 2.10
H2 under 90.5 46.9% 47.6% 86.9% 0.55× 2.10
H2 under 90.5 46.8% 47.6% 83.6% 0.57× 2.10
H2 over 92.5 45.8% 47.6% 9.9% 4.80× 2.10
H2 over 92.5 46.2% 47.6% 13.1% 3.65× 2.10
H2 under 88.5 39.7% 38.4% 83.3% 0.46× 2.61
H2 under 88.5 39.8% 38.4% 79.8% 0.48× 2.61
H2 over 94.5 39.2% 38.4% 10.5% 3.65× 2.61
H2 over 94.5 38.7% 38.4% 7.6% 5.08× 2.61
H2 under 86.5 33.2% 33.6% 75.7% 0.44× 2.97
H2 under 86.5 32.8% 33.6% 79.3% 0.42× 2.97
H2 over 96.5 31.9% 33.6% 5.9% 5.74× 2.97
H2 over 96.5 32.6% 33.6% 8.6% 3.91× 2.97
H2 under 83.5 23.6% 24.2% 71.6% 0.34× 4.13
H2 under 83.5 24.1% 24.2% 68.0% 0.36× 4.13
H2 over 99.5 23.7% 24.2% 6.0% 4.07× 4.13
H2 over 99.5 22.7% 24.2% 3.7% 6.63× 4.13
H2 under 79.5 14.5% 14.8% 56.2% 0.26× 6.76
H2 over 103.5 14.2% 14.8% 3.6% 4.08× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies leading at half time 54.3% 51.9% 57.9% 0.90× 1.93
Cornell Big Red leading at half time 41.2% 42.8% 38.2% 1.12× 2.34
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +16.5 96.4% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +18.5 97.6% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +20.5 98.5% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +14.5 94.6% 91.1% 92.2% 0.99× 1.10
Cornell Big Red +20.5 94.7% 91.1% 86.5% 1.05× 1.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +12.5 92.2% 91.1% 89.9% 1.01× 1.10
Cornell Big Red +18.5 92.4% 91.1% 83.9% 1.09× 1.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +10.5 89.1% 85.9% 87.2% 0.99× 1.16
Cornell Big Red +16.5 89.3% 85.9% 80.7% 1.06× 1.16
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +9.5 87.2% 85.9% 85.3% 1.01× 1.16
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +8.5 85.1% 85.9% 83.3% 1.03× 1.16
Cornell Big Red +14.5 85.5% 85.9% 77.2% 1.11× 1.16
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +7.5 82.8% 81.1% 81.0% 1.00× 1.23
Cornell Big Red +12.5 80.7% 81.1% 72.4% 1.12× 1.23
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +6.5 80.3% 81.1% 78.8% 1.03× 1.23
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +5.5 77.6% 76.5% 76.4% 1.00× 1.31
Cornell Big Red +10.5 75.1% 76.5% 67.4% 1.14× 1.31
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +4.5 74.6% 71.6% 73.7% 0.97× 1.40
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +3.5 71.5% 71.6% 70.8% 1.01× 1.40
Cornell Big Red +9.5 72.0% 71.6% 64.5% 1.11× 1.40
Cornell Big Red +8.5 68.7% 66.7% 61.5% 1.08× 1.50
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +2.5 68.2% 66.7% 68.0% 0.98× 1.50
Cornell Big Red +7.5 65.3% 66.7% 58.7% 1.14× 1.50
St. Bonaventure Bonnies +1.5 64.7% 61.9% 65.4% 0.95× 1.62
Cornell Big Red +6.5 61.7% 61.9% 55.7% 1.11× 1.62
Cornell Big Red +5.5 58.0% 57.1% 53.0% 1.08× 1.75
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −1.5 57.3% 57.1% 60.8% 0.94× 1.75
Cornell Big Red +4.5 54.2% 52.4% 49.3% 1.06× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −2.5 53.5% 52.4% 57.7% 0.91× 1.91
Cornell Big Red +3.5 50.4% 52.4% 45.9% 1.14× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −3.5 49.6% 47.6% 54.1% 0.88× 2.10
Cornell Big Red +2.5 46.5% 47.6% 42.3% 1.12× 2.10
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −4.5 45.8% 47.6% 50.7% 0.94× 2.10
Cornell Big Red +1.5 42.7% 42.9% 39.2% 1.10× 2.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −5.5 42.0% 42.9% 47.0% 0.91× 2.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −6.5 38.3% 38.1% 44.3% 0.86× 2.63
Cornell Big Red −1.5 35.3% 38.1% 34.6% 1.10× 2.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −7.5 34.7% 33.3% 41.3% 0.80× 3.01
Cornell Big Red −2.5 31.8% 33.3% 32.0% 1.04× 3.01
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −8.5 31.3% 33.3% 38.5% 0.86× 3.01
Cornell Big Red −3.5 28.5% 28.4% 29.3% 0.97× 3.53
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −9.5 28.0% 28.4% 35.5% 0.80× 3.53
Cornell Big Red −4.5 25.4% 28.4% 26.3% 1.08× 3.53
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −10.5 24.9% 23.5% 32.6% 0.72× 4.25
Cornell Big Red −5.5 22.4% 23.5% 23.6% 1.00× 4.25
Cornell Big Red −6.5 19.7% 18.9% 21.2% 0.89× 5.29
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −12.5 19.3% 18.9% 27.6% 0.68× 5.29
Cornell Big Red −7.5 17.2% 18.9% 19.0% 0.99× 5.29
Cornell Big Red −8.5 14.9% 14.1% 16.7% 0.85× 7.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −14.5 14.5% 14.1% 22.8% 0.62× 7.09
Cornell Big Red −9.5 12.8% 14.1% 14.7% 0.96× 7.09
Cornell Big Red −10.5 10.9% 14.1% 12.8% 1.10× 7.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −16.5 10.7% 14.1% 19.3% 0.73× 7.09
Cornell Big Red −12.5 7.8% 8.9% 10.1% 0.88× 11.25
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −18.5 7.6% 8.9% 16.1% 0.55× 11.25
Cornell Big Red −14.5 5.4% 8.9% 7.8% 1.14× 11.25
St. Bonaventure Bonnies −20.5 5.3% 8.9% 13.5% 0.66× 11.25
Cornell Big Red −16.5 3.6% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.73
Cornell Big Red −18.5 2.4% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.73
Cornell Big Red −20.5 1.5% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.73
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 83.0% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 81.4% 71.5% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 18.6% 28.5% 27.5% 1.04× 3.51
H1 highest scoring 17.0% 28.5% 29.6% 0.96× 3.52
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT 43.0% 41.0% 48.6% 0.84× 2.44
Cornell Big Red at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT 25.8% 29.6% 25.8% 1.14× 3.38
Cornell Big Red at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT 15.4% 15.4% 12.4% 1.25× 6.47
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT 11.2% 12.2% 9.3% 1.31× 8.18
Level at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT 2.7% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.75
Level at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win 61.1% 60.6% 63.2% 0.96× 1.65
Cornell Big Red to win 38.9% 39.4% 36.8% 1.07× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Cornell Big Red even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
St. Bonaventure Bonnies even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Cornell Big Red odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
St. Bonaventure Bonnies odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 92.2% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 7.8% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.64
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red under 95.5 85.8% 83.9% 97.7% 0.86× 1.19
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 98.5 85.3% 83.9% 96.0% 0.87× 1.19
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 78.5 83.9% 80.7% 41.6% 1.94× 1.24
Cornell Big Red over 75.5 84.4% 80.7% 35.3% 2.29× 1.24
Cornell Big Red under 92.5 77.7% 75.1% 96.0% 0.78× 1.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 95.5 77.1% 75.1% 94.0% 0.80× 1.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 81.5 75.4% 75.1% 32.1% 2.34× 1.33
Cornell Big Red over 78.5 75.7% 75.1% 26.3% 2.86× 1.33
Cornell Big Red under 90.5 71.0% 70.7% 94.5% 0.75× 1.41
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 93.5 70.4% 70.7% 92.1% 0.77× 1.41
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 83.5 68.5% 66.4% 26.5% 2.51× 1.51
Cornell Big Red over 80.5 68.8% 66.4% 21.2% 3.13× 1.51
Cornell Big Red under 88.5 63.5% 61.2% 92.6% 0.66× 1.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 91.5 63.0% 61.2% 89.7% 0.68× 1.63
Cornell Big Red over 82.5 61.0% 61.2% 16.7% 3.66× 1.63
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 85.5 61.0% 61.2% 21.4% 2.85× 1.63
Cornell Big Red under 86.5 55.4% 57.1% 90.2% 0.63× 1.75
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 89.5 55.1% 57.1% 86.5% 0.66× 1.75
Cornell Big Red over 84.5 52.9% 52.3% 12.8% 4.08× 1.91
Cornell Big Red under 85.5 51.3% 52.3% 88.8% 0.59× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 87.5 53.0% 52.3% 17.2% 3.04× 1.91
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 88.5 51.1% 52.3% 84.8% 0.62× 1.91
Cornell Big Red under 84.5 47.1% 47.7% 87.2% 0.55× 2.09
Cornell Big Red over 85.5 48.7% 47.7% 11.2% 4.28× 2.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 87.5 47.0% 47.7% 82.8% 0.58× 2.09
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 88.5 48.9% 47.7% 15.2% 3.14× 2.09
Cornell Big Red over 86.5 44.6% 42.9% 9.8% 4.38× 2.33
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 89.5 44.9% 42.9% 13.5% 3.17× 2.33
Cornell Big Red under 82.5 39.0% 38.8% 83.3% 0.47× 2.58
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 85.5 39.0% 38.8% 78.6% 0.49× 2.58
Cornell Big Red over 88.5 36.5% 38.8% 7.4% 5.21× 2.58
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 91.5 37.0% 38.8% 10.3% 3.76× 2.58
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 83.5 31.5% 33.6% 73.5% 0.46× 2.98
Cornell Big Red under 80.5 31.2% 33.6% 78.8% 0.43× 2.98
Cornell Big Red over 90.5 29.0% 29.3% 5.5% 5.34× 3.42
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 93.5 29.6% 29.3% 7.9% 3.69× 3.42
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 81.5 24.6% 24.9% 67.9% 0.37× 4.02
Cornell Big Red under 78.5 24.3% 24.9% 73.7% 0.34× 4.02
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 95.5 22.9% 24.9% 6.0% 4.17× 4.02
Cornell Big Red over 92.5 22.3% 24.9% 4.0% 6.21× 4.02
St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 78.5 16.1% 19.3% 58.4% 0.33× 5.18
Cornell Big Red under 75.5 15.6% 19.3% 64.7% 0.30× 5.18
Cornell Big Red over 95.5 14.2% 16.1% 2.3% 7.13× 6.21
St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 98.5 14.7% 16.1% 4.0% 4.06× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 153.5 points 89.3% 85.0% 35.4% 2.40× 1.18
Under 193.5 points 89.5% 85.0% 98.7% 0.86× 1.18
Over 158.5 points 82.5% 80.6% 26.7% 3.01× 1.24
Under 188.5 points 82.6% 80.6% 97.9% 0.82× 1.24
Under 183.5 points 73.6% 70.8% 96.5% 0.73× 1.41
Over 163.5 points 73.2% 70.8% 19.1% 3.71× 1.41
Over 166.5 points 66.8% 65.9% 15.7% 4.19× 1.52
Under 180.5 points 67.0% 65.9% 95.4% 0.69× 1.52
Over 168.5 points 62.1% 61.5% 13.3% 4.62× 1.63
Under 178.5 points 62.4% 61.5% 94.2% 0.65× 1.63
Over 170.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 11.4% 4.97× 1.77
Under 176.5 points 57.6% 56.5% 93.1% 0.61× 1.77
Over 172.5 points 52.4% 52.3% 9.5% 5.52× 1.91
Under 174.5 points 52.6% 52.3% 91.9% 0.57× 1.91
Under 173.5 points 50.2% 52.3% 91.2% 0.57× 1.91
Over 173.5 points 49.8% 47.7% 8.8% 5.41× 2.10
Under 172.5 points 47.6% 47.7% 90.5% 0.53× 2.10
Over 174.5 points 47.4% 47.7% 8.1% 5.86× 2.10
Under 170.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 88.6% 0.49× 2.30
Over 176.5 points 42.4% 43.5% 7.0% 6.26× 2.30
Under 168.5 points 37.9% 38.5% 86.7% 0.44× 2.60
Over 178.5 points 37.6% 38.5% 5.8% 6.62× 2.60
Under 166.5 points 33.2% 34.1% 84.3% 0.40× 2.93
Over 180.5 points 33.0% 34.1% 4.6% 7.43× 2.93
Under 163.5 points 26.8% 29.2% 80.9% 0.36× 3.43
Over 183.5 points 26.4% 29.2% 3.5% 8.45× 3.43
Under 158.5 points 17.5% 19.4% 73.3% 0.27× 5.15
Over 188.5 points 17.4% 19.4% 2.1% 9.13× 5.15
Under 153.5 points 10.7% 15.0% 64.6% 0.23× 6.69
Over 193.5 points 10.5% 15.0% 1.3% 11.31× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win both halves 26.1% 27.2% 33.2% 0.82× 3.68
Cornell Big Red to win both halves 13.4% 14.1% 14.5% 0.97× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 1-5 19.1% 16.8% 16.2% 1.03× 5.97
Cornell Big Red by 1-5 16.5% 16.8% 13.2% 1.27× 5.97
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 6-10 17.1% 16.8% 14.4% 1.16× 5.97
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 11-15 12.4% 12.3% 11.6% 1.07× 8.11
Cornell Big Red by 6-10 11.5% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 16-20 7.2% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Cornell Big Red by 11-15 6.5% 7.5% 6.1% 1.23× 13.40
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 21-25 3.4% 2.0% 5.6% 0.36× 49.30
Cornell Big Red by 16-20 3.0% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.30
Cornell Big Red by 21-25 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.32
St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 26+ 1.8% 2.0% 7.9% 0.26× 49.31
Cornell Big Red by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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