St. Bonaventure Bonnies v Mercyhurst Lakers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.St. Bonaventure Bonnies win
86.4%
Draw
0.0%
Mercyhurst Lakers win
13.6%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 73.69–61.64 | 74-62 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 100+ | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.29 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.35 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H1 | 72.8% | 73.0% | 56.4% | 1.29× | 1.37 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win H1 | 23.6% | 21.4% | 39.9% | 0.54× | 4.67 |
| H1 tied | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 52.5 | 88.7% | 87.7% | 79.6% | 1.10× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 87.7% | 87.7% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 79.1% | 77.4% | 68.2% | 1.14× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 77.9% | 77.4% | 83.6% | 0.93× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 69.6% | 67.4% | 57.8% | 1.17× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 68.2% | 67.4% | 76.2% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 62.4% | 62.7% | 50.2% | 1.25× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 60.9% | 62.7% | 70.4% | 0.89× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 54.7% | 52.6% | 42.9% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 53.1% | 52.6% | 63.9% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 50.8% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 49.2% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 46.9% | 47.4% | 36.1% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 45.3% | 47.4% | 57.1% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 39.1% | 37.3% | 29.6% | 1.26× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 37.6% | 37.3% | 49.8% | 0.75× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 31.8% | 32.6% | 23.8% | 1.37× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 30.4% | 32.6% | 42.2% | 0.77× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 22.1% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 1.38× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 31.8% | 0.71× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 1.26× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 11.3% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 0.60× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win H2 | 74.1% | 67.6% | 56.0% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win H2 | 22.5% | 26.9% | 40.6% | 0.66× | 3.72 |
| H2 tied | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 83.5 | 88.2% | 85.2% | 88.9% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 59.5 | 85.9% | 85.2% | 77.0% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 79.2% | 75.8% | 82.0% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 75.6% | 75.8% | 65.3% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 70.2% | 72.2% | 75.6% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 65.9% | 66.4% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 63.4% | 61.6% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 58.8% | 57.3% | 48.7% | 1.18× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 56.2% | 57.3% | 64.1% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 52.4% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 51.3% | 52.4% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 48.7% | 47.6% | 57.8% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 47.6% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 43.8% | 42.7% | 36.0% | 1.19× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 41.2% | 42.7% | 51.3% | 0.83× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 36.6% | 38.4% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 34.1% | 33.6% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 29.8% | 27.8% | 24.4% | 1.14× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 24.4% | 24.2% | 34.7% | 0.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 20.8% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 1.35× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 14.1% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 0.64× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 11.8% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 1.33× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies leading at half time | 72.8% | 73.5% | 56.4% | 1.30× | 1.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers leading at half time | 23.6% | 21.0% | 39.9% | 0.53× | 4.77 |
| Level at half time | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +16.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +18.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +20.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +7.5 | 95.8% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +8.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +9.5 | 97.2% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +10.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +12.5 | 98.5% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +14.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +6.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 72.3% | 1.26× | 1.10 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +4.5 | 92.7% | 91.1% | 67.8% | 1.34× | 1.10 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +5.5 | 93.9% | 91.1% | 70.1% | 1.30× | 1.10 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +3.5 | 91.4% | 91.1% | 65.7% | 1.39× | 1.10 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +2.5 | 89.9% | 85.9% | 63.3% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies +1.5 | 88.3% | 85.9% | 61.2% | 1.40× | 1.16 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −1.5 | 84.1% | 81.1% | 58.7% | 1.38× | 1.23 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −2.5 | 81.7% | 81.1% | 56.7% | 1.43× | 1.23 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −3.5 | 79.1% | 76.5% | 54.2% | 1.41× | 1.31 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +20.5 | 77.4% | 76.5% | 82.0% | 0.93× | 1.31 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −4.5 | 76.2% | 76.5% | 52.2% | 1.47× | 1.31 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −5.5 | 73.2% | 71.6% | 49.7% | 1.44× | 1.40 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +18.5 | 71.6% | 71.6% | 79.3% | 0.90× | 1.40 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −6.5 | 70.1% | 71.6% | 47.6% | 1.51× | 1.40 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −7.5 | 66.8% | 66.7% | 44.8% | 1.49× | 1.50 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +16.5 | 65.2% | 66.7% | 75.7% | 0.88× | 1.50 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −8.5 | 63.4% | 61.9% | 42.0% | 1.48× | 1.62 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −9.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 39.3% | 1.45× | 1.75 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +14.5 | 58.2% | 57.1% | 72.1% | 0.79× | 1.75 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −10.5 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 36.8% | 1.55× | 1.75 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +12.5 | 51.0% | 52.4% | 67.9% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −12.5 | 49.0% | 47.6% | 32.1% | 1.48× | 2.10 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +10.5 | 43.7% | 42.9% | 63.2% | 0.68× | 2.33 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −14.5 | 41.8% | 42.9% | 27.9% | 1.54× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +9.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 60.7% | 0.71× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +8.5 | 36.6% | 38.1% | 58.0% | 0.66× | 2.63 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −16.5 | 34.8% | 33.3% | 24.3% | 1.37× | 3.01 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +7.5 | 33.2% | 33.3% | 55.2% | 0.60× | 3.01 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +6.5 | 29.9% | 28.4% | 52.4% | 0.54× | 3.53 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −18.5 | 28.4% | 28.4% | 20.7% | 1.37× | 3.53 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +5.5 | 26.8% | 28.4% | 50.3% | 0.56× | 3.53 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +4.5 | 23.8% | 23.5% | 47.8% | 0.49× | 4.25 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies −20.5 | 22.6% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 1.31× | 4.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +3.5 | 20.9% | 23.5% | 45.8% | 0.51× | 4.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +2.5 | 18.3% | 18.9% | 43.3% | 0.44× | 5.29 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +1.5 | 15.9% | 18.9% | 41.3% | 0.46× | 5.30 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −1.5 | 11.7% | 14.1% | 38.8% | 0.36× | 7.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −2.5 | 10.1% | 14.1% | 36.7% | 0.38× | 7.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −3.5 | 8.6% | 8.9% | 34.3% | 0.26× | 11.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −4.5 | 7.3% | 8.9% | 32.2% | 0.28× | 11.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −5.5 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 29.9% | 0.30× | 11.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −6.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 27.7% | 0.32× | 11.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −7.5 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.72 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −8.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.73 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −9.5 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.73 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −10.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.73 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −12.5 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.73 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −14.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −16.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −18.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −20.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.8% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.2% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.7% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.4% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT | 68.4% | 68.3% | 48.3% | 1.42× | 1.47 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT | 15.0% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers at HT / Mercyhurst Lakers at FT | 8.5% | 8.3% | 30.1% | 0.27× | 12.08 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies at HT / Mercyhurst Lakers at FT | 4.4% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.72 |
| Level at HT / St. Bonaventure Bonnies at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Mercyhurst Lakers at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win | 86.4% | 85.5% | 59.9% | 1.43× | 1.17 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win | 13.6% | 14.5% | 40.1% | 0.36× | 6.90 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.0% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.0% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 95.8% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.68× | 33.37 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win Q1 | 64.5% | 64.9% | 54.7% | 1.19× | 1.54 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q1 | 29.9% | 22.5% | 40.4% | 0.56× | 4.45 |
| Q1 tied | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 24.5 | 88.3% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 88.0% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 77.2% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 76.9% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 67.3% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 67.0% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 56.0% | 58.6% | 46.0% | 1.27× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 55.7% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 50.2% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 49.8% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 44.3% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 44.0% | 41.4% | 54.0% | 0.77× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 33.0% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 32.7% | 32.4% | 43.1% | 0.75× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.26× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 22.8% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.71× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.25× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win Q2 | 64.1% | 61.9% | 52.9% | 1.17× | 1.62 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q2 | 30.4% | 31.8% | 41.5% | 0.77× | 3.15 |
| Q2 tied | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 89.0% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 87.3% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 78.4% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 75.6% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 68.8% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 57.7% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 54.1% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 51.8% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 48.2% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 45.9% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 42.3% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 31.2% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 24.4% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 21.6% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 12.7% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win Q3 | 65.6% | 66.7% | 53.3% | 1.25× | 1.50 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q3 | 29.1% | 28.9% | 41.8% | 0.69× | 3.47 |
| Q3 tied | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 43.5 | 87.8% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 27.5 | 87.3% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 76.8% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 76.0% | 77.3% | 66.8% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 67.2% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 66.2% | 67.8% | 56.1% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 56.3% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 55.2% | 58.4% | 45.4% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 50.6% | 52.3% | 59.7% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 49.4% | 47.7% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 44.8% | 41.6% | 54.6% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 43.7% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 33.8% | 32.2% | 43.9% | 0.73× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 32.8% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 24.0% | 22.7% | 33.2% | 0.69× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 23.2% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 12.7% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win Q4 | 65.3% | 60.6% | 52.8% | 1.15× | 1.65 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q4 | 29.5% | 33.4% | 41.5% | 0.80× | 3.00 |
| Q4 tied | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.26 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 43.5 | 86.2% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 27.5 | 86.1% | 85.6% | 78.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 75.3% | 76.9% | 80.6% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 75.0% | 76.9% | 66.3% | 1.16× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 65.7% | 67.4% | 55.4% | 1.22× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 55.6% | 58.4% | 64.3% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 55.2% | 58.4% | 45.6% | 1.28× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 50.2% | 52.5% | 59.4% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 49.8% | 47.5% | 40.6% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 44.8% | 41.6% | 54.4% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 44.4% | 41.6% | 35.7% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 34.3% | 32.6% | 44.6% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 25.0% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.68× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 24.7% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 1.19× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 13.9% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 0.68× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 84.5 | 86.8% | 83.9% | 88.9% | 0.94× | 1.19 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 51.5 | 86.8% | 83.9% | 81.0% | 1.04× | 1.19 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 71.5 | 85.8% | 83.9% | 76.1% | 1.10× | 1.19 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 64.5 | 83.8% | 80.7% | 58.4% | 1.38× | 1.24 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 81.5 | 78.9% | 75.1% | 84.6% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 54.5 | 78.2% | 75.1% | 73.5% | 1.02× | 1.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 68.5 | 77.2% | 75.1% | 68.6% | 1.10× | 1.33 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 67.5 | 75.0% | 70.7% | 48.7% | 1.45× | 1.41 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 79.5 | 72.3% | 70.7% | 81.3% | 0.87× | 1.41 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 56.5 | 71.2% | 70.7% | 68.0% | 1.04× | 1.41 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 66.5 | 70.2% | 70.7% | 62.7% | 1.13× | 1.41 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 69.5 | 67.8% | 66.4% | 42.6% | 1.56× | 1.51 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 77.5 | 64.8% | 61.2% | 77.4% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 58.5 | 63.3% | 61.2% | 62.1% | 0.98× | 1.63 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 64.5 | 62.3% | 61.2% | 56.9% | 1.08× | 1.63 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 71.5 | 60.0% | 57.1% | 37.0% | 1.54× | 1.75 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 75.5 | 56.7% | 57.1% | 73.2% | 0.78× | 1.75 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 60.5 | 54.8% | 52.3% | 55.6% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 62.5 | 53.9% | 52.3% | 51.0% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 73.5 | 51.7% | 52.3% | 31.5% | 1.66× | 1.91 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 74.5 | 52.5% | 52.3% | 70.7% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 61.5 | 50.5% | 52.3% | 52.1% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 61.5 | 49.5% | 47.7% | 47.9% | 1.00× | 2.09 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 73.5 | 48.3% | 47.7% | 68.5% | 0.70× | 2.09 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 74.5 | 47.5% | 47.7% | 29.3% | 1.63× | 2.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 60.5 | 45.2% | 47.7% | 44.4% | 1.08× | 2.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 62.5 | 46.1% | 47.7% | 49.0% | 0.97× | 2.09 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 75.5 | 43.3% | 42.9% | 26.8% | 1.60× | 2.33 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 71.5 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 63.0% | 0.68× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 58.5 | 36.7% | 38.8% | 37.9% | 1.02× | 2.58 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 64.5 | 37.7% | 38.8% | 43.2% | 0.90× | 2.58 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 77.5 | 35.2% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 1.72× | 2.58 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 69.5 | 32.2% | 33.6% | 57.4% | 0.59× | 2.98 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 56.5 | 28.8% | 29.3% | 32.0% | 0.92× | 3.42 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 66.5 | 29.8% | 29.3% | 37.3% | 0.79× | 3.42 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 79.5 | 27.7% | 29.3% | 18.7% | 1.57× | 3.42 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 67.5 | 25.0% | 29.3% | 51.3% | 0.57× | 3.42 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 68.5 | 22.8% | 24.9% | 31.4% | 0.79× | 4.02 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 81.5 | 21.1% | 24.9% | 15.4% | 1.61× | 4.02 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 54.5 | 21.8% | 24.9% | 26.5% | 0.94× | 4.02 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies under 64.5 | 16.2% | 19.3% | 41.6% | 0.46× | 5.18 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 71.5 | 14.2% | 16.1% | 23.9% | 0.67× | 6.21 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies over 84.5 | 13.2% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 1.45× | 6.21 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 51.5 | 13.2% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 0.85× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 115.5 points | 91.3% | 88.8% | 78.8% | 1.13× | 1.13 |
| Under 155.5 points | 90.8% | 88.8% | 90.7% | 0.98× | 1.13 |
| Over 120.5 points | 84.4% | 80.6% | 69.8% | 1.15× | 1.24 |
| Under 150.5 points | 84.1% | 80.6% | 86.1% | 0.94× | 1.24 |
| Over 125.5 points | 74.9% | 70.8% | 59.5% | 1.19× | 1.41 |
| Under 145.5 points | 74.8% | 70.8% | 79.5% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Over 128.5 points | 68.1% | 65.9% | 52.8% | 1.25× | 1.52 |
| Under 142.5 points | 67.9% | 65.9% | 75.1% | 0.88× | 1.52 |
| Over 130.5 points | 63.1% | 61.5% | 48.3% | 1.27× | 1.63 |
| Under 140.5 points | 63.0% | 61.5% | 71.8% | 0.86× | 1.63 |
| Over 132.5 points | 58.0% | 56.5% | 44.0% | 1.28× | 1.77 |
| Under 138.5 points | 57.9% | 56.5% | 67.9% | 0.83× | 1.77 |
| Over 134.5 points | 52.7% | 52.3% | 39.8% | 1.31× | 1.91 |
| Under 136.5 points | 52.6% | 52.3% | 64.2% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Under 135.5 points | 50.0% | 52.3% | 62.4% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Over 135.5 points | 50.0% | 47.7% | 37.6% | 1.27× | 2.10 |
| Under 134.5 points | 47.3% | 47.7% | 60.2% | 0.79× | 2.10 |
| Over 136.5 points | 47.4% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 1.33× | 2.10 |
| Under 132.5 points | 42.0% | 43.5% | 56.0% | 0.78× | 2.30 |
| Over 138.5 points | 42.1% | 43.5% | 32.1% | 1.36× | 2.30 |
| Under 130.5 points | 36.9% | 38.5% | 51.7% | 0.75× | 2.60 |
| Over 140.5 points | 37.0% | 38.5% | 28.2% | 1.36× | 2.60 |
| Under 128.5 points | 31.9% | 34.1% | 47.2% | 0.72× | 2.93 |
| Over 142.5 points | 32.1% | 34.1% | 24.9% | 1.37× | 2.93 |
| Under 125.5 points | 25.1% | 29.2% | 40.5% | 0.72× | 3.43 |
| Over 145.5 points | 25.2% | 29.2% | 20.5% | 1.42× | 3.43 |
| Over 150.5 points | 15.9% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 1.39× | 5.15 |
| Under 120.5 points | 15.6% | 19.4% | 30.2% | 0.64× | 5.15 |
| Under 115.5 points | 8.7% | 11.2% | 21.2% | 0.53× | 8.96 |
| Over 155.5 points | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 1.20× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies to win both halves | 51.9% | 50.4% | 36.0% | 1.40× | 1.98 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win both halves | 3.7% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.62 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 11-15 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 6-10 | 17.0% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 16-20 | 15.7% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 1-5 | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 21-25 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.29× | 8.11 |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies by 26+ | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 0.98× | 8.11 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 1-5 | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 6-10 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 11-15 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.31 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 16-20 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 21-25 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |