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St. John's Red Storm v Quinnipiac Bobcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
St. John's Red Storm win
50.7%
Draw
0.0%
Quinnipiac Bobcats win
49.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 57.99–57.83 58-57 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
St. John's Red Storm to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
St. John's Red Storm to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
St. John's Red Storm to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm to win H1 48.2% 47.3% 56.4% 0.84× 2.11
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win H1 47.3% 47.3% 39.9% 1.19× 2.11
H1 tied 4.6% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 68.5 89.7% 87.7% 73.5% 1.19× 1.14
H1 over 44.5 87.9% 87.7% 94.7% 0.93× 1.14
H1 under 64.5 80.7% 82.5% 60.7% 1.36× 1.21
H1 over 48.5 77.4% 77.4% 88.8% 0.87× 1.29
H1 under 61.5 71.5% 73.5% 49.8% 1.48× 1.36
H1 over 51.5 67.1% 67.4% 82.0% 0.82× 1.48
H1 under 59.5 64.4% 62.7% 42.2% 1.49× 1.59
H1 over 53.5 59.4% 58.2% 76.8% 0.76× 1.72
H1 under 57.5 56.6% 58.2% 35.2% 1.65× 1.72
H1 under 56.5 52.6% 52.6% 31.8% 1.66× 1.90
H1 over 55.5 51.4% 52.6% 71.0% 0.74× 1.90
H1 under 55.5 48.6% 47.4% 29.0% 1.63× 2.11
H1 over 56.5 47.4% 47.4% 68.2% 0.69× 2.11
H1 over 57.5 43.4% 41.8% 64.8% 0.64× 2.39
H1 under 53.5 40.6% 41.8% 23.2% 1.80× 2.39
H1 over 59.5 35.6% 37.3% 57.8% 0.64× 2.68
H1 under 51.5 32.9% 32.6% 18.0% 1.81× 3.07
H1 over 61.5 28.5% 26.5% 50.2% 0.53× 3.77
H1 under 48.5 22.6% 22.6% 11.2% 2.02× 4.43
H1 over 64.5 19.3% 17.5% 39.3% 0.44× 5.72
H1 under 44.5 12.1% 12.3% 5.3% 2.34× 8.14
H1 over 68.5 10.3% 12.3% 26.5% 0.46× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm to win H2 48.3% 47.1% 56.0% 0.84× 2.12
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win H2 47.3% 47.1% 40.6% 1.16× 2.12
H2 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 49.5 87.5% 85.2% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 88.1% 85.2% 67.1% 1.27× 1.17
H2 under 69.5 78.8% 75.8% 54.8% 1.38× 1.32
H2 over 53.5 77.3% 75.8% 89.7% 0.85× 1.32
H2 under 66.5 69.7% 66.4% 44.6% 1.49× 1.51
H2 over 56.5 67.5% 66.4% 84.1% 0.79× 1.51
H2 under 64.5 62.7% 61.6% 37.9% 1.63× 1.62
H2 over 58.5 60.2% 61.6% 79.6% 0.77× 1.62
H2 under 62.5 55.2% 57.3% 31.7% 1.81× 1.74
H2 over 60.5 52.5% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
H2 under 61.5 51.4% 52.4% 28.7% 1.82× 1.91
H2 under 60.5 47.5% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
H2 over 61.5 48.6% 47.6% 71.3% 0.67× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 44.8% 42.7% 68.3% 0.62× 2.34
H2 under 58.5 39.8% 38.4% 20.4% 1.88× 2.61
H2 over 64.5 37.3% 38.4% 62.1% 0.62× 2.61
H2 under 56.5 32.5% 33.6% 15.9% 2.12× 2.97
H2 over 66.5 30.3% 33.6% 55.4% 0.61× 2.97
H2 under 53.5 22.7% 24.2% 10.3% 2.34× 4.13
H2 over 69.5 21.2% 24.2% 45.2% 0.54× 4.13
H2 under 49.5 12.5% 14.8% 5.0% 2.94× 6.76
H2 over 73.5 11.9% 14.8% 32.9% 0.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm leading at half time 48.2% 47.2% 56.4% 0.84× 2.12
Quinnipiac Bobcats leading at half time 47.3% 47.2% 39.9% 1.18× 2.12
Level at half time 4.6% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm +18.5 95.8% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +20.5 96.9% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
St. John's Red Storm +20.5 97.3% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +18.5 95.4% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +16.5 93.2% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
St. John's Red Storm +16.5 93.8% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats +14.5 90.4% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
St. John's Red Storm +14.5 91.1% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats +12.5 86.8% 85.9% 67.9% 1.27× 1.16
St. John's Red Storm +12.5 87.6% 85.9% 83.8% 1.03× 1.16
Quinnipiac Bobcats +10.5 82.3% 81.1% 63.2% 1.28× 1.23
St. John's Red Storm +10.5 83.3% 81.1% 80.4% 1.01× 1.23
St. John's Red Storm +9.5 80.8% 81.1% 78.7% 1.03× 1.23
Quinnipiac Bobcats +9.5 79.8% 76.5% 60.7% 1.26× 1.31
St. John's Red Storm +8.5 78.2% 76.5% 76.5% 1.00× 1.31
Quinnipiac Bobcats +8.5 77.0% 76.5% 58.0% 1.32× 1.31
St. John's Red Storm +7.5 75.3% 76.5% 74.5% 1.03× 1.31
Quinnipiac Bobcats +7.5 74.1% 71.6% 55.2% 1.30× 1.40
St. John's Red Storm +6.5 72.2% 71.6% 72.3% 0.99× 1.40
Quinnipiac Bobcats +6.5 71.0% 71.6% 52.4% 1.37× 1.40
St. John's Red Storm +5.5 68.9% 66.7% 70.1% 0.95× 1.50
Quinnipiac Bobcats +5.5 67.6% 66.7% 50.3% 1.33× 1.50
St. John's Red Storm +4.5 65.5% 66.7% 67.8% 0.98× 1.50
Quinnipiac Bobcats +4.5 64.2% 61.9% 47.8% 1.29× 1.62
St. John's Red Storm +3.5 62.0% 61.9% 65.7% 0.94× 1.62
Quinnipiac Bobcats +3.5 60.6% 61.9% 45.8% 1.35× 1.62
St. John's Red Storm +2.5 58.3% 57.1% 63.3% 0.90× 1.75
Quinnipiac Bobcats +2.5 56.9% 57.1% 43.3% 1.32× 1.75
St. John's Red Storm +1.5 54.5% 52.4% 61.2% 0.86× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats +1.5 53.1% 52.4% 41.3% 1.27× 1.91
St. John's Red Storm −1.5 46.9% 47.6% 58.7% 0.81× 2.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats −1.5 45.5% 47.6% 38.8% 1.23× 2.10
St. John's Red Storm −2.5 43.1% 42.9% 56.7% 0.76× 2.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats −2.5 41.7% 42.9% 36.7% 1.17× 2.33
St. John's Red Storm −3.5 39.4% 38.1% 54.2% 0.70× 2.63
Quinnipiac Bobcats −3.5 38.0% 38.1% 34.3% 1.11× 2.63
St. John's Red Storm −4.5 35.8% 38.1% 52.2% 0.73× 2.63
Quinnipiac Bobcats −4.5 34.5% 33.3% 32.2% 1.03× 3.01
St. John's Red Storm −5.5 32.4% 33.3% 49.7% 0.67× 3.01
Quinnipiac Bobcats −5.5 31.1% 33.3% 29.9% 1.11× 3.01
St. John's Red Storm −6.5 29.0% 28.4% 47.6% 0.60× 3.53
Quinnipiac Bobcats −6.5 27.8% 28.4% 27.7% 1.02× 3.53
St. John's Red Storm −7.5 25.9% 28.4% 44.8% 0.63× 3.53
Quinnipiac Bobcats −7.5 24.7% 23.5% 25.5% 0.92× 4.25
St. John's Red Storm −8.5 23.0% 23.5% 42.0% 0.56× 4.25
Quinnipiac Bobcats −8.5 21.8% 23.5% 23.5% 1.00× 4.25
St. John's Red Storm −9.5 20.2% 23.5% 39.3% 0.60× 4.25
Quinnipiac Bobcats −9.5 19.2% 18.9% 21.3% 0.89× 5.29
St. John's Red Storm −10.5 17.7% 18.9% 36.8% 0.51× 5.29
Quinnipiac Bobcats −10.5 16.7% 18.9% 19.6% 0.96× 5.29
St. John's Red Storm −12.5 13.2% 14.1% 32.1% 0.44× 7.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats −12.5 12.4% 14.1% 16.2% 0.87× 7.09
St. John's Red Storm −14.5 9.6% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
Quinnipiac Bobcats −14.5 8.9% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
St. John's Red Storm −16.5 6.8% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Quinnipiac Bobcats −16.5 6.2% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
St. John's Red Storm −18.5 4.6% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.72
Quinnipiac Bobcats −18.5 4.2% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.72
St. John's Red Storm −20.5 3.1% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Quinnipiac Bobcats −20.5 2.8% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 69.9% 71.6% 66.7% 1.07× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 30.1% 28.4% 33.3% 0.85× 3.52
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.8% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.1% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.6% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm at HT / St. John's Red Storm at FT 34.9% 33.3% 48.3% 0.69× 3.01
Quinnipiac Bobcats at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT 33.8% 33.2% 30.1% 1.10× 3.01
Quinnipiac Bobcats at HT / St. John's Red Storm at FT 13.5% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
St. John's Red Storm at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT 13.3% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Level at HT / St. John's Red Storm at FT 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT 2.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm to win 50.7% 50.9% 59.9% 0.85× 1.96
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win 49.3% 49.1% 40.1% 1.22× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
St. John's Red Storm even 50.2% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Quinnipiac Bobcats even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
St. John's Red Storm odd 49.8% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Quinnipiac Bobcats odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm to win Q1 47.2% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q1 46.6% 47.6% 40.4% 1.18× 2.10
Q1 tied 6.2% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 36.5 89.5% 87.4% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 over 20.5 87.4% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 33.5 79.1% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 23.5 75.6% 76.9% 85.4% 0.90× 1.30
Q1 under 31.5 69.5% 67.6% 54.0% 1.25× 1.48
Q1 over 25.5 65.2% 67.6% 77.6% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 under 29.5 58.3% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 over 27.5 53.6% 52.7% 67.7% 0.78× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 52.4% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 47.6% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 under 27.5 46.4% 47.3% 32.3% 1.47× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 41.7% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 34.8% 32.4% 22.4% 1.45× 3.08
Q1 over 31.5 30.5% 32.4% 46.0% 0.70× 3.08
Q1 under 23.5 24.4% 23.1% 14.6% 1.58× 4.33
Q1 over 33.5 20.9% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 under 20.5 12.6% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q1 over 36.5 10.5% 12.6% 22.6% 0.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm to win Q2 47.3% 47.0% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q2 46.7% 47.0% 41.5% 1.13× 2.13
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 36.5 90.3% 90.8% 78.7% 1.15× 1.10
Q2 over 20.5 86.5% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 33.5 80.3% 83.0% 65.6% 1.27× 1.21
Q2 over 23.5 74.2% 72.0% 84.6% 0.85× 1.39
Q2 under 31.5 71.0% 72.0% 55.7% 1.29× 1.39
Q2 over 25.5 63.6% 60.7% 76.2% 0.80× 1.65
Q2 under 29.5 60.0% 60.7% 44.2% 1.37× 1.65
Q2 under 28.5 54.2% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 27.5 51.8% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 27.5 48.2% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 28.5 45.8% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 40.0% 39.3% 55.8% 0.70× 2.54
Q2 under 25.5 36.5% 39.3% 23.8% 1.65× 2.55
Q2 over 31.5 29.0% 28.0% 44.3% 0.63× 3.57
Q2 under 23.5 25.8% 28.0% 15.4% 1.82× 3.57
Q2 over 33.5 19.7% 17.0% 34.4% 0.49× 5.88
Q2 under 20.5 13.5% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.89
Q2 over 36.5 9.7% 9.2% 21.3% 0.43× 10.83
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm to win Q3 47.3% 47.5% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q3 46.7% 47.5% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
Q3 tied 6.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 22.5 88.3% 87.2% 94.1% 0.93× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 87.6% 87.2% 73.9% 1.18× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 77.2% 77.3% 86.9% 0.89× 1.29
Q3 under 35.5 76.4% 77.3% 59.7% 1.30× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 67.4% 67.8% 80.0% 0.85× 1.48
Q3 under 33.5 66.5% 67.8% 49.1% 1.38× 1.48
Q3 over 29.5 56.3% 58.4% 71.8% 0.81× 1.71
Q3 under 31.5 55.4% 58.4% 38.4% 1.52× 1.71
Q3 over 30.5 50.4% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 30.5 49.6% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 31.5 44.6% 41.6% 61.6% 0.68× 2.40
Q3 under 29.5 43.7% 41.6% 28.2% 1.48× 2.40
Q3 over 33.5 33.5% 32.2% 50.9% 0.63× 3.10
Q3 under 27.5 32.6% 32.2% 20.0% 1.61× 3.10
Q3 over 35.5 23.6% 22.7% 40.3% 0.56× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 22.8% 22.7% 13.1% 1.74× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 12.4% 12.8% 26.1% 0.49× 7.83
Q3 under 22.5 11.7% 12.8% 5.9% 2.18× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm to win Q4 47.4% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q4 46.8% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
Q4 tied 5.9% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 22.5 87.1% 85.6% 93.3% 0.92× 1.17
Q4 under 38.5 86.0% 85.6% 73.1% 1.17× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 76.2% 76.9% 86.1% 0.89× 1.30
Q4 under 35.5 74.8% 71.5% 59.4% 1.20× 1.40
Q4 over 27.5 66.8% 67.4% 78.9% 0.85× 1.48
Q4 under 33.5 65.3% 67.4% 49.6% 1.36× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 56.2% 58.4% 70.8% 0.82× 1.71
Q4 under 31.5 54.7% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 30.5 50.8% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 30.5 49.2% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 31.5 45.3% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 under 29.5 43.8% 41.6% 29.2% 1.43× 2.40
Q4 over 33.5 34.7% 32.6% 50.4% 0.65× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 33.2% 32.6% 21.1% 1.54× 3.07
Q4 over 35.5 25.2% 28.5% 40.6% 0.70× 3.51
Q4 under 25.5 23.8% 23.1% 13.9% 1.66× 4.33
Q4 over 38.5 14.0% 14.4% 26.9% 0.53× 6.95
Q4 under 22.5 12.9% 14.4% 6.7% 2.13× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm over 48.5 86.5% 83.9% 93.3% 0.90× 1.19
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 48.5 86.6% 83.9% 86.7% 0.97× 1.19
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 68.5 86.7% 83.9% 68.6% 1.22× 1.19
St. John's Red Storm under 68.5 85.6% 83.9% 54.4% 1.54× 1.19
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 65.5 78.5% 75.1% 59.8% 1.26× 1.33
St. John's Red Storm over 51.5 77.6% 75.1% 89.3% 0.84× 1.33
St. John's Red Storm under 65.5 77.3% 75.1% 44.7% 1.68× 1.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 51.5 77.5% 75.1% 81.0% 0.93× 1.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 63.5 71.6% 70.7% 53.9% 1.31× 1.41
St. John's Red Storm over 53.5 70.4% 70.7% 85.8% 0.82× 1.41
St. John's Red Storm under 63.5 70.4% 70.7% 38.5% 1.83× 1.41
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 53.5 70.2% 70.7% 76.3% 0.93× 1.41
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 61.5 63.8% 61.2% 47.9% 1.28× 1.63
St. John's Red Storm over 55.5 62.5% 61.2% 81.6% 0.75× 1.63
St. John's Red Storm under 61.5 62.7% 61.2% 33.1% 1.85× 1.63
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 55.5 62.0% 61.2% 70.8% 0.86× 1.63
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 59.5 55.4% 57.1% 41.2% 1.39× 1.75
St. John's Red Storm over 57.5 54.1% 52.3% 77.2% 0.68× 1.91
St. John's Red Storm under 59.5 54.4% 52.3% 27.8% 1.88× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 57.5 53.4% 52.3% 65.1% 0.80× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 58.5 51.0% 52.3% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
St. John's Red Storm under 58.5 50.2% 52.3% 25.3% 2.07× 1.91
St. John's Red Storm over 58.5 49.8% 47.7% 74.7% 0.64× 2.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 57.5 46.6% 47.7% 34.9% 1.37× 2.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 58.5 49.0% 47.7% 62.1% 0.77× 2.09
St. John's Red Storm under 57.5 45.9% 47.7% 22.8% 2.09× 2.09
St. John's Red Storm over 59.5 45.6% 47.7% 72.2% 0.66× 2.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 59.5 44.6% 42.9% 58.8% 0.73× 2.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 55.5 38.0% 38.8% 29.2% 1.33× 2.58
St. John's Red Storm under 55.5 37.5% 38.8% 18.5% 2.10× 2.58
St. John's Red Storm over 61.5 37.3% 38.8% 66.9% 0.58× 2.58
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 61.5 36.2% 38.8% 52.1% 0.74× 2.58
St. John's Red Storm under 53.5 29.6% 29.3% 14.2% 2.06× 3.42
St. John's Red Storm over 63.5 29.6% 29.3% 61.5% 0.48× 3.42
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 53.5 29.8% 29.3% 23.7% 1.23× 3.42
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 63.5 28.4% 29.3% 46.1% 0.64× 3.42
St. John's Red Storm under 51.5 22.4% 24.9% 10.7% 2.31× 4.02
St. John's Red Storm over 65.5 22.7% 24.9% 55.3% 0.45× 4.02
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 51.5 22.5% 24.9% 19.0% 1.31× 4.02
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 65.5 21.5% 24.9% 40.2% 0.62× 4.02
St. John's Red Storm over 68.5 14.4% 16.1% 45.6% 0.35× 6.21
St. John's Red Storm under 48.5 13.5% 16.1% 6.7% 2.42× 6.21
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 48.5 13.4% 16.1% 13.3% 1.21× 6.21
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 68.5 13.3% 16.1% 31.4% 0.51× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 97.5 points 92.5% 88.8% 96.9% 0.92× 1.13
Under 137.5 points 92.1% 88.8% 66.2% 1.34× 1.13
Under 132.5 points 85.8% 85.0% 56.0% 1.52× 1.18
Over 102.5 points 85.0% 85.0% 94.3% 0.90× 1.18
Under 127.5 points 76.9% 75.6% 44.9% 1.69× 1.32
Over 107.5 points 74.5% 70.8% 90.2% 0.79× 1.41
Under 124.5 points 70.2% 70.8% 38.5% 1.84× 1.41
Over 110.5 points 67.1% 65.9% 86.4% 0.76× 1.52
Under 122.5 points 65.3% 65.9% 34.4% 1.91× 1.52
Over 112.5 points 61.8% 61.5% 83.6% 0.74× 1.63
Under 120.5 points 60.1% 61.5% 30.2% 2.04× 1.63
Over 114.5 points 56.3% 56.5% 80.4% 0.70× 1.77
Under 118.5 points 54.7% 52.3% 26.4% 1.98× 1.91
Under 117.5 points 52.1% 52.3% 24.7% 2.12× 1.91
Over 116.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 77.2% 0.68× 1.91
Under 116.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 22.8% 2.09× 2.10
Over 117.5 points 47.9% 47.7% 75.3% 0.63× 2.10
Over 118.5 points 45.3% 47.7% 73.6% 0.65× 2.10
Under 114.5 points 43.7% 43.5% 19.6% 2.22× 2.30
Over 120.5 points 39.9% 38.5% 69.8% 0.55× 2.60
Under 112.5 points 38.2% 38.5% 16.4% 2.35× 2.60
Over 122.5 points 34.7% 34.1% 65.6% 0.52× 2.93
Under 110.5 points 32.9% 34.1% 13.6% 2.52× 2.93
Over 124.5 points 29.8% 29.2% 61.5% 0.47× 3.43
Under 107.5 points 25.5% 29.2% 9.8% 2.97× 3.43
Over 127.5 points 23.1% 24.4% 55.1% 0.44× 4.10
Under 102.5 points 15.0% 15.0% 5.7% 2.61× 6.68
Over 132.5 points 14.2% 15.0% 44.0% 0.34× 6.68
Under 97.5 points 7.5% 11.2% 3.1% 3.64× 8.97
Over 137.5 points 7.9% 11.2% 33.8% 0.33× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm to win both halves 19.9% 18.9% 36.0% 0.52× 5.29
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win both halves 19.0% 18.9% 20.4% 0.93× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. John's Red Storm by 1-5 18.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 1-5 18.2% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
St. John's Red Storm by 6-10 14.7% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 6-10 14.4% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
St. John's Red Storm by 11-15 9.6% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 11-15 9.2% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
St. John's Red Storm by 16-20 5.0% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.41
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 16-20 4.7% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.29
St. John's Red Storm by 21-25 2.1% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.31
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 21-25 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
St. John's Red Storm by 26+ 0.9% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 26+ 0.8% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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