Stanford Cardinal v Gonzaga Bulldogs — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Stanford Cardinal win
67.1%
Draw
0.0%
Gonzaga Bulldogs win
32.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 72.72–67.90 | 73-68 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal to score 100+ | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.31 |
| Stanford Cardinal to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.35 |
| Stanford Cardinal to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Stanford Cardinal to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.35 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal to win H1 | 58.4% | 57.3% | 56.4% | 1.01× | 1.75 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to win H1 | 37.2% | 37.8% | 39.9% | 0.95× | 2.64 |
| H1 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 79.5 | 88.7% | 87.7% | 93.9% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 87.3% | 87.7% | 71.0% | 1.24× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 79.4% | 77.4% | 88.8% | 0.87× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 77.3% | 77.4% | 57.8% | 1.34× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 70.1% | 73.5% | 83.6% | 0.88× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 67.5% | 67.4% | 46.3% | 1.46× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 62.9% | 62.7% | 78.9% | 0.79× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 60.2% | 62.7% | 39.3% | 1.60× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 55.3% | 58.2% | 73.5% | 0.79× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 52.5% | 52.6% | 32.9% | 1.60× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 51.4% | 52.6% | 70.4% | 0.75× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 48.6% | 47.4% | 29.6% | 1.60× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 47.5% | 47.4% | 67.1% | 0.71× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 44.7% | 41.8% | 26.5% | 1.58× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 39.8% | 37.3% | 60.7% | 0.61× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 37.1% | 37.3% | 21.1% | 1.77× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 32.5% | 32.6% | 53.7% | 0.61× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 29.9% | 26.5% | 16.4% | 1.62× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 22.7% | 22.6% | 42.2% | 0.54× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 20.6% | 22.6% | 11.2% | 2.02× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 29.0% | 0.42× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 11.3% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.01× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal to win H2 | 59.1% | 55.0% | 56.0% | 0.98× | 1.82 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to win H2 | 36.7% | 41.2% | 40.6% | 1.02× | 2.43 |
| H2 tied | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 61.5 | 87.0% | 85.2% | 71.3% | 1.20× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 86.9% | 85.2% | 91.2% | 0.93× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 77.4% | 75.8% | 58.8% | 1.29× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 77.2% | 75.8% | 85.8% | 0.88× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 68.1% | 66.4% | 48.7% | 1.36× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 80.1% | 0.83× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 61.1% | 61.6% | 42.2% | 1.46× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 61.0% | 61.6% | 75.6% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 53.8% | 52.4% | 36.0% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 53.6% | 52.4% | 69.9% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 32.9% | 1.59× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 67.1% | 0.71× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 46.2% | 47.6% | 64.1% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 30.1% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 39.0% | 38.4% | 24.4% | 1.57× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 38.9% | 38.4% | 57.8% | 0.66× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 31.9% | 33.6% | 51.3% | 0.66× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 19.9% | 1.69× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 22.6% | 24.2% | 41.2% | 0.59× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 22.8% | 24.2% | 14.2% | 1.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 28.7% | 0.51× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 13.1% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 1.69× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal leading at half time | 58.4% | 57.0% | 56.4% | 1.01× | 1.76 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs leading at half time | 37.2% | 37.9% | 39.9% | 0.95× | 2.64 |
| Level at half time | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal +14.5 | 95.6% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Stanford Cardinal +16.5 | 97.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Stanford Cardinal +18.5 | 98.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Stanford Cardinal +20.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Stanford Cardinal +12.5 | 93.6% | 91.1% | 83.8% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| Stanford Cardinal +10.5 | 91.1% | 91.1% | 80.4% | 1.13× | 1.10 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +20.5 | 91.6% | 91.1% | 82.0% | 1.11× | 1.10 |
| Stanford Cardinal +9.5 | 89.5% | 85.9% | 78.7% | 1.09× | 1.16 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +18.5 | 88.5% | 85.9% | 79.3% | 1.08× | 1.16 |
| Stanford Cardinal +8.5 | 87.8% | 85.9% | 76.5% | 1.12× | 1.16 |
| Stanford Cardinal +7.5 | 85.9% | 85.9% | 74.5% | 1.15× | 1.16 |
| Stanford Cardinal +6.5 | 83.8% | 81.1% | 72.3% | 1.12× | 1.23 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +16.5 | 84.6% | 81.1% | 75.7% | 1.07× | 1.23 |
| Stanford Cardinal +5.5 | 81.4% | 81.1% | 70.1% | 1.16× | 1.23 |
| Stanford Cardinal +4.5 | 78.9% | 76.5% | 67.8% | 1.13× | 1.31 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +14.5 | 80.0% | 76.5% | 72.1% | 1.06× | 1.31 |
| Stanford Cardinal +3.5 | 76.2% | 76.5% | 65.7% | 1.16× | 1.31 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +12.5 | 74.5% | 71.6% | 67.9% | 1.06× | 1.40 |
| Stanford Cardinal +2.5 | 73.4% | 71.6% | 63.3% | 1.13× | 1.40 |
| Stanford Cardinal +1.5 | 70.3% | 71.6% | 61.2% | 1.17× | 1.40 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +10.5 | 68.4% | 66.7% | 63.2% | 1.06× | 1.50 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +9.5 | 65.1% | 66.7% | 60.7% | 1.10× | 1.50 |
| Stanford Cardinal −1.5 | 63.6% | 61.9% | 58.7% | 1.05× | 1.62 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +8.5 | 61.6% | 61.9% | 58.0% | 1.07× | 1.62 |
| Stanford Cardinal −2.5 | 60.1% | 61.9% | 56.7% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +7.5 | 58.1% | 57.1% | 55.2% | 1.03× | 1.75 |
| Stanford Cardinal −3.5 | 56.5% | 57.1% | 54.2% | 1.05× | 1.75 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +6.5 | 54.5% | 52.4% | 52.4% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| Stanford Cardinal −4.5 | 52.8% | 52.4% | 52.2% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +5.5 | 50.9% | 52.4% | 50.3% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Stanford Cardinal −5.5 | 49.1% | 47.6% | 49.7% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +4.5 | 47.2% | 47.6% | 47.8% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| Stanford Cardinal −6.5 | 45.5% | 47.6% | 47.6% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +3.5 | 43.5% | 42.9% | 45.8% | 0.94× | 2.33 |
| Stanford Cardinal −7.5 | 41.9% | 42.9% | 44.8% | 0.96× | 2.33 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +2.5 | 39.9% | 38.1% | 43.3% | 0.88× | 2.63 |
| Stanford Cardinal −8.5 | 38.4% | 38.1% | 42.0% | 0.91× | 2.63 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs +1.5 | 36.4% | 38.1% | 41.3% | 0.92× | 2.63 |
| Stanford Cardinal −9.5 | 34.9% | 33.3% | 39.3% | 0.85× | 3.01 |
| Stanford Cardinal −10.5 | 31.6% | 33.3% | 36.8% | 0.90× | 3.01 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −1.5 | 29.7% | 28.4% | 38.8% | 0.73× | 3.53 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −2.5 | 26.6% | 28.4% | 36.7% | 0.77× | 3.53 |
| Stanford Cardinal −12.5 | 25.5% | 28.4% | 32.1% | 0.88× | 3.53 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −3.5 | 23.8% | 23.5% | 34.3% | 0.69× | 4.25 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −4.5 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 32.2% | 0.73× | 4.25 |
| Stanford Cardinal −14.5 | 20.1% | 23.5% | 27.9% | 0.84× | 4.25 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −5.5 | 18.6% | 18.9% | 29.9% | 0.63× | 5.29 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −6.5 | 16.2% | 18.9% | 27.7% | 0.68× | 5.30 |
| Stanford Cardinal −16.5 | 15.4% | 18.9% | 24.3% | 0.78× | 5.30 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −7.5 | 14.1% | 14.1% | 25.5% | 0.55× | 7.09 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −8.5 | 12.2% | 14.1% | 23.5% | 0.60× | 7.09 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −9.5 | 10.5% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 0.66× | 7.09 |
| Stanford Cardinal −18.5 | 11.5% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 0.68× | 7.09 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −10.5 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 19.6% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Stanford Cardinal −20.5 | 8.4% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 0.49× | 11.25 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −12.5 | 6.4% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 0.55× | 11.25 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −14.5 | 4.4% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.72 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −16.5 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −18.5 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.73 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs −20.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 73.5% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.5% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 35.0% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.2% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.7% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal at HT / Stanford Cardinal at FT | 48.9% | 46.6% | 48.3% | 0.97× | 2.15 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs at HT / Gonzaga Bulldogs at FT | 21.8% | 24.4% | 30.1% | 0.81× | 4.10 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs at HT / Stanford Cardinal at FT | 15.4% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| Stanford Cardinal at HT / Gonzaga Bulldogs at FT | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Stanford Cardinal at FT | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Gonzaga Bulldogs at FT | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal to win | 67.1% | 64.5% | 59.9% | 1.08× | 1.55 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to win | 32.9% | 35.5% | 40.1% | 0.89× | 2.82 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.7% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Stanford Cardinal even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Stanford Cardinal odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.3% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.2% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal to win Q1 | 54.2% | 52.6% | 54.7% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to win Q1 | 39.8% | 38.3% | 40.4% | 0.95× | 2.61 |
| Q1 tied | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 25.5 | 88.8% | 87.4% | 77.6% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 41.5 | 87.3% | 87.4% | 91.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 78.0% | 76.9% | 62.7% | 1.23× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 75.8% | 76.9% | 84.8% | 0.91× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 68.4% | 67.6% | 51.2% | 1.32× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 65.7% | 67.6% | 77.4% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 57.3% | 58.6% | 40.9% | 1.43× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 54.4% | 52.7% | 68.5% | 0.77× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 51.4% | 52.7% | 36.0% | 1.46× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 48.6% | 47.3% | 64.0% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 45.6% | 47.3% | 31.5% | 1.50× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 42.7% | 41.4% | 59.1% | 0.70× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 34.3% | 32.4% | 22.6% | 1.44× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 31.6% | 32.4% | 48.8% | 0.67× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 24.2% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 1.52× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 22.0% | 23.1% | 37.3% | 0.62× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 41.5 | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.56× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 11.2% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 0.56× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal to win Q2 | 54.1% | 51.4% | 52.9% | 0.97× | 1.95 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to win Q2 | 40.0% | 43.8% | 41.5% | 1.06× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 41.5 | 88.4% | 87.3% | 92.7% | 0.94× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 87.8% | 87.3% | 76.2% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 77.4% | 76.8% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 76.5% | 76.8% | 61.2% | 1.26× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 67.6% | 67.4% | 78.7% | 0.86× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 66.5% | 67.4% | 49.9% | 1.35× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 56.5% | 58.2% | 70.1% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 55.2% | 58.2% | 39.2% | 1.48× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 50.6% | 52.7% | 65.6% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 34.4% | 1.38× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 44.8% | 41.8% | 60.8% | 0.69× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 43.5% | 41.8% | 29.9% | 1.40× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 33.5% | 32.6% | 50.1% | 0.65× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 32.4% | 32.6% | 21.3% | 1.53× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 23.5% | 23.2% | 38.8% | 0.60× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 22.6% | 23.2% | 14.4% | 1.61× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 12.2% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 0.53× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 41.5 | 11.6% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.72× | 7.89 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal to win Q3 | 54.7% | 52.7% | 53.3% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to win Q3 | 39.4% | 38.8% | 41.8% | 0.93× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.96 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 28.5 | 88.1% | 87.2% | 76.4% | 1.14× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 44.5 | 86.7% | 87.2% | 92.1% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 77.3% | 77.3% | 61.6% | 1.25× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 75.3% | 77.3% | 85.1% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 67.8% | 67.8% | 50.9% | 1.33× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 65.4% | 67.8% | 77.9% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 57.0% | 58.4% | 40.3% | 1.45× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 69.7% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 35.4% | 1.48× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 64.6% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 30.3% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 43.0% | 41.6% | 59.7% | 0.70× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 34.6% | 32.2% | 22.1% | 1.46× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 32.2% | 32.2% | 49.1% | 0.66× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 24.7% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 1.53× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 22.7% | 22.7% | 38.4% | 0.59× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 44.5 | 13.3% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.63× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 11.9% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal to win Q4 | 54.7% | 51.4% | 52.8% | 0.97× | 1.94 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to win Q4 | 39.6% | 42.4% | 41.5% | 1.02× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 45.5 | 88.1% | 85.6% | 92.4% | 0.93× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 83.9% | 82.0% | 70.8% | 1.16× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 42.5 | 78.0% | 76.9% | 86.2% | 0.89× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 72.0% | 71.5% | 55.4% | 1.29× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 69.2% | 67.4% | 80.6% | 0.84× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 62.2% | 61.4% | 45.6% | 1.35× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 59.1% | 58.4% | 73.1% | 0.80× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 53.8% | 52.5% | 68.8% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 51.6% | 52.5% | 35.7% | 1.47× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 48.4% | 47.5% | 64.3% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 46.2% | 47.5% | 31.2% | 1.52× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 40.9% | 41.6% | 26.9% | 1.55× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 37.8% | 38.6% | 54.4% | 0.71× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 30.8% | 32.6% | 19.4% | 1.68× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 28.0% | 28.5% | 44.6% | 0.64× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 22.0% | 23.1% | 13.8% | 1.67× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 16.1% | 18.0% | 29.2% | 0.62× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 45.5 | 11.9% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 1.88× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 78.5 | 87.3% | 83.9% | 88.3% | 0.95× | 1.19 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 83.5 | 86.8% | 83.9% | 87.7% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 58.5 | 84.2% | 80.7% | 62.1% | 1.30× | 1.24 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 63.5 | 83.4% | 80.7% | 61.5% | 1.31× | 1.24 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 75.5 | 79.4% | 75.1% | 84.1% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 80.5 | 78.8% | 75.1% | 82.9% | 0.91× | 1.33 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 61.5 | 75.1% | 75.1% | 52.1% | 1.44× | 1.33 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 66.5 | 74.5% | 70.7% | 51.8% | 1.36× | 1.41 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 78.5 | 72.3% | 70.7% | 79.4% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 73.5 | 72.8% | 70.7% | 80.2% | 0.88× | 1.41 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 68.5 | 67.4% | 66.4% | 45.6% | 1.46× | 1.51 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 63.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 46.1% | 1.44× | 1.51 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 71.5 | 65.3% | 66.4% | 76.1% | 0.87× | 1.51 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 76.5 | 64.9% | 61.2% | 75.4% | 0.81× | 1.63 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 65.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 40.2% | 1.42× | 1.75 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 70.5 | 59.6% | 57.1% | 39.7% | 1.44× | 1.75 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 74.5 | 56.9% | 57.1% | 70.7% | 0.81× | 1.75 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 69.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 71.2% | 0.80× | 1.75 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 72.5 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 34.3% | 1.52× | 1.91 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 73.5 | 52.8% | 52.3% | 68.5% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 67.5 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 34.4% | 1.52× | 1.91 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 68.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 68.6% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 72.5 | 48.6% | 47.7% | 65.7% | 0.73× | 2.09 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 73.5 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 31.5% | 1.51× | 2.09 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 67.5 | 48.6% | 47.7% | 65.6% | 0.73× | 2.09 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 68.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 31.4% | 1.52× | 2.09 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 74.5 | 43.1% | 42.9% | 29.3% | 1.47× | 2.33 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 69.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 28.8% | 1.49× | 2.33 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 70.5 | 40.4% | 42.9% | 60.3% | 0.71× | 2.33 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 65.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 59.8% | 0.72× | 2.33 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 76.5 | 35.1% | 38.8% | 24.6% | 1.58× | 2.58 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 71.5 | 34.7% | 33.6% | 23.9% | 1.40× | 2.98 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 68.5 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 54.4% | 0.62× | 2.98 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 63.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 53.9% | 0.62× | 2.98 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 78.5 | 27.7% | 29.3% | 20.6% | 1.42× | 3.42 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 73.5 | 27.2% | 29.3% | 19.8% | 1.48× | 3.42 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 66.5 | 25.5% | 29.3% | 48.2% | 0.61× | 3.42 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 61.5 | 24.9% | 24.9% | 47.9% | 0.52× | 4.02 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 80.5 | 21.2% | 24.9% | 17.1% | 1.46× | 4.02 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 75.5 | 20.6% | 24.9% | 15.9% | 1.57× | 4.02 |
| Stanford Cardinal under 63.5 | 16.6% | 19.3% | 38.5% | 0.50× | 5.18 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs under 58.5 | 15.8% | 19.3% | 37.9% | 0.51× | 5.18 |
| Stanford Cardinal over 83.5 | 13.2% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 1.31× | 6.21 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs over 78.5 | 12.7% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 1.38× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 120.5 points | 91.0% | 88.8% | 69.8% | 1.27× | 1.13 |
| Under 160.5 points | 90.6% | 88.8% | 93.9% | 0.95× | 1.13 |
| Over 125.5 points | 84.3% | 80.6% | 59.5% | 1.36× | 1.24 |
| Under 155.5 points | 83.8% | 80.6% | 90.7% | 0.89× | 1.24 |
| Over 130.5 points | 75.0% | 75.6% | 48.3% | 1.56× | 1.32 |
| Under 150.5 points | 74.3% | 70.8% | 86.1% | 0.82× | 1.41 |
| Over 133.5 points | 68.2% | 65.9% | 42.0% | 1.57× | 1.52 |
| Under 147.5 points | 67.6% | 65.9% | 82.3% | 0.80× | 1.52 |
| Over 135.5 points | 63.3% | 61.5% | 37.6% | 1.63× | 1.63 |
| Under 145.5 points | 62.7% | 61.5% | 79.5% | 0.77× | 1.63 |
| Over 137.5 points | 58.2% | 56.5% | 33.8% | 1.67× | 1.77 |
| Under 143.5 points | 57.5% | 56.5% | 76.7% | 0.74× | 1.77 |
| Over 139.5 points | 53.0% | 52.3% | 30.1% | 1.74× | 1.91 |
| Under 141.5 points | 52.3% | 52.3% | 73.4% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Over 140.5 points | 50.4% | 52.3% | 28.2% | 1.85× | 1.91 |
| Under 140.5 points | 49.6% | 47.7% | 71.8% | 0.66× | 2.10 |
| Under 139.5 points | 47.0% | 47.7% | 69.9% | 0.68× | 2.10 |
| Over 141.5 points | 47.7% | 47.7% | 26.6% | 1.79× | 2.10 |
| Over 143.5 points | 42.5% | 43.5% | 23.3% | 1.86× | 2.30 |
| Under 137.5 points | 41.8% | 43.5% | 66.2% | 0.66× | 2.30 |
| Over 145.5 points | 37.3% | 38.5% | 20.5% | 1.88× | 2.60 |
| Under 135.5 points | 36.7% | 38.5% | 62.4% | 0.62× | 2.60 |
| Under 133.5 points | 31.8% | 34.1% | 58.0% | 0.59× | 2.93 |
| Over 147.5 points | 32.4% | 34.1% | 17.7% | 1.92× | 2.93 |
| Over 150.5 points | 25.7% | 29.2% | 13.9% | 2.09× | 3.43 |
| Under 130.5 points | 25.0% | 24.4% | 51.7% | 0.47× | 4.10 |
| Over 155.5 points | 16.2% | 19.4% | 9.3% | 2.09× | 5.15 |
| Under 125.5 points | 15.7% | 19.4% | 40.5% | 0.48× | 5.15 |
| Over 160.5 points | 9.4% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 1.83× | 8.96 |
| Under 120.5 points | 9.0% | 11.2% | 30.2% | 0.37× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal to win both halves | 31.8% | 31.2% | 36.0% | 0.87× | 3.20 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs to win both halves | 11.2% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 0.69× | 7.13 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal by 1-5 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Stanford Cardinal by 6-10 | 17.5% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs by 1-5 | 14.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Stanford Cardinal by 11-15 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs by 6-10 | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Stanford Cardinal by 16-20 | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs by 11-15 | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.98× | 13.40 |
| Stanford Cardinal by 21-25 | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.39× | 13.41 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs by 16-20 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.31 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs by 21-25 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.32 |
| Stanford Cardinal by 26+ | 3.4% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.30 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs by 26+ | 0.4% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.32 |