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Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles v Little Rock Trojans — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 26 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles win
66.8%
Draw
0.0%
Little Rock Trojans win
33.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 65.78–61.01 66-61 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Little Rock Trojans to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Little Rock Trojans to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Little Rock Trojans to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Little Rock Trojans to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win H1 58.2% 57.3% 56.4% 1.01× 1.75
Little Rock Trojans to win H1 37.5% 37.8% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 48.5 88.8% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 under 72.5 87.8% 87.7% 83.6% 1.05× 1.14
H1 over 52.5 79.2% 77.4% 79.6% 0.97× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 78.0% 77.4% 73.5% 1.05× 1.29
H1 over 55.5 69.6% 67.4% 71.0% 0.95× 1.48
H1 under 65.5 68.3% 67.4% 63.9% 1.06× 1.48
H1 over 57.5 62.4% 62.7% 64.8% 0.97× 1.59
H1 under 63.5 61.0% 62.7% 57.1% 1.10× 1.59
H1 over 59.5 54.6% 52.6% 57.8% 0.91× 1.90
H1 under 61.5 53.2% 52.6% 49.8% 1.06× 1.90
H1 over 60.5 50.7% 52.6% 53.9% 0.98× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 49.3% 47.4% 46.1% 1.03× 2.11
H1 over 61.5 46.8% 47.4% 50.2% 0.94× 2.11
H1 under 59.5 45.4% 47.4% 42.2% 1.12× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 39.0% 37.3% 42.9% 0.87× 2.68
H1 under 57.5 37.6% 37.3% 35.2% 1.06× 2.68
H1 over 65.5 31.7% 32.6% 36.1% 0.90× 3.07
H1 under 55.5 30.4% 32.6% 29.0% 1.12× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 22.0% 22.6% 26.5% 0.85× 4.43
H1 under 52.5 20.8% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 12.2% 12.3% 16.4% 0.75× 8.14
H1 under 48.5 11.2% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win H2 58.8% 55.0% 56.0% 0.98× 1.82
Little Rock Trojans to win H2 37.0% 41.2% 40.6% 1.02× 2.43
H2 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 54.5 87.2% 85.2% 88.0% 0.97× 1.17
H2 under 78.5 87.2% 85.2% 80.1% 1.06× 1.17
H2 over 58.5 77.5% 75.8% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 77.6% 75.8% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
H2 over 61.5 68.0% 66.4% 71.3% 0.93× 1.51
H2 under 71.5 68.3% 66.4% 61.1% 1.09× 1.51
H2 under 69.5 61.3% 61.6% 54.8% 1.12× 1.62
H2 over 63.5 61.0% 61.6% 65.3% 0.94× 1.62
H2 over 65.5 53.6% 52.4% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
H2 under 67.5 54.0% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 under 66.5 50.2% 52.4% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
H2 over 66.5 49.8% 47.6% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
H2 under 65.5 46.4% 47.6% 41.2% 1.16× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 46.0% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 under 63.5 39.0% 38.4% 34.7% 1.11× 2.61
H2 over 69.5 38.7% 38.4% 45.2% 0.85× 2.61
H2 under 61.5 32.0% 33.6% 28.7% 1.17× 2.97
H2 over 71.5 31.7% 33.6% 38.9% 0.87× 2.97
H2 under 58.5 22.5% 24.2% 20.4% 1.19× 4.13
H2 over 74.5 22.4% 24.2% 30.1% 0.81× 4.13
H2 under 54.5 12.8% 14.8% 12.0% 1.23× 6.76
H2 over 78.5 12.8% 14.8% 19.9% 0.74× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles leading at half time 58.2% 56.9% 56.4% 1.01× 1.76
Little Rock Trojans leading at half time 37.5% 37.9% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +14.5 95.6% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +16.5 97.1% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +18.5 98.1% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +20.5 98.8% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +12.5 93.7% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Little Rock Trojans +20.5 92.1% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +10.5 91.1% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +9.5 89.5% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
Little Rock Trojans +18.5 89.1% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +8.5 87.8% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +7.5 85.8% 85.9% 74.5% 1.15× 1.16
Little Rock Trojans +16.5 85.2% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +6.5 83.7% 81.1% 72.3% 1.12× 1.23
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +5.5 81.3% 81.1% 70.1% 1.16× 1.23
Little Rock Trojans +14.5 80.6% 81.1% 72.1% 1.12× 1.23
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +4.5 78.8% 76.5% 67.8% 1.13× 1.31
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +3.5 76.1% 76.5% 65.7% 1.16× 1.31
Little Rock Trojans +12.5 75.1% 76.5% 67.9% 1.13× 1.31
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +2.5 73.1% 71.6% 63.3% 1.13× 1.40
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +1.5 70.0% 71.6% 61.2% 1.17× 1.40
Little Rock Trojans +10.5 69.0% 66.7% 63.2% 1.06× 1.50
Little Rock Trojans +9.5 65.7% 66.7% 60.7% 1.10× 1.50
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −1.5 63.3% 61.9% 58.7% 1.05× 1.62
Little Rock Trojans +8.5 62.2% 61.9% 58.0% 1.07× 1.62
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −2.5 59.7% 57.1% 56.7% 1.01× 1.75
Little Rock Trojans +7.5 58.7% 57.1% 55.2% 1.03× 1.75
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −3.5 56.0% 57.1% 54.2% 1.05× 1.75
Little Rock Trojans +6.5 55.1% 57.1% 52.4% 1.09× 1.75
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −4.5 52.3% 52.4% 52.2% 1.00× 1.91
Little Rock Trojans +5.5 51.4% 52.4% 50.3% 1.04× 1.91
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −5.5 48.6% 47.6% 49.7% 0.96× 2.10
Little Rock Trojans +4.5 47.7% 47.6% 47.8% 1.00× 2.10
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −6.5 44.9% 42.9% 47.6% 0.90× 2.33
Little Rock Trojans +3.5 44.0% 42.9% 45.8% 0.94× 2.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −7.5 41.3% 42.9% 44.8% 0.96× 2.33
Little Rock Trojans +2.5 40.3% 42.9% 43.3% 0.99× 2.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −8.5 37.8% 38.1% 42.0% 0.91× 2.63
Little Rock Trojans +1.5 36.7% 38.1% 41.3% 0.92× 2.63
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −9.5 34.3% 33.3% 39.3% 0.85× 3.01
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −10.5 31.0% 33.3% 36.8% 0.90× 3.01
Little Rock Trojans −1.5 30.0% 28.4% 38.8% 0.73× 3.53
Little Rock Trojans −2.5 26.9% 28.4% 36.7% 0.77× 3.53
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −12.5 24.9% 23.5% 32.1% 0.73× 4.25
Little Rock Trojans −3.5 23.9% 23.5% 34.3% 0.69× 4.25
Little Rock Trojans −4.5 21.2% 23.5% 32.2% 0.73× 4.25
Little Rock Trojans −5.5 18.7% 18.9% 29.9% 0.63× 5.29
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −14.5 19.4% 18.9% 27.9% 0.68× 5.29
Little Rock Trojans −6.5 16.3% 18.9% 27.7% 0.68× 5.30
Little Rock Trojans −7.5 14.2% 14.1% 25.5% 0.55× 7.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −16.5 14.8% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
Little Rock Trojans −8.5 12.2% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
Little Rock Trojans −9.5 10.5% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −18.5 10.9% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
Little Rock Trojans −10.5 8.9% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
Little Rock Trojans −12.5 6.3% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles −20.5 7.9% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Little Rock Trojans −14.5 4.4% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.72
Little Rock Trojans −16.5 2.9% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
Little Rock Trojans −18.5 1.9% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Little Rock Trojans −20.5 1.2% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.2% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.4% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.4% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.9% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at HT / Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at FT 48.5% 46.6% 48.3% 0.97× 2.15
Little Rock Trojans at HT / Little Rock Trojans at FT 22.0% 24.4% 30.1% 0.81× 4.10
Little Rock Trojans at HT / Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at FT 15.5% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at HT / Little Rock Trojans at FT 9.6% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at FT 2.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Little Rock Trojans at FT 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win 66.8% 64.5% 59.9% 1.08× 1.55
Little Rock Trojans to win 33.2% 35.5% 40.1% 0.89× 2.82
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Little Rock Trojans even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Little Rock Trojans odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.2% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.8% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win Q1 54.0% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Little Rock Trojans to win Q1 39.9% 38.3% 40.4% 0.95× 2.61
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 22.5 88.3% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 88.1% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 25.5 77.1% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 35.5 77.0% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 67.2% 67.6% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q1 under 33.5 67.1% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 55.9% 58.6% 56.9% 1.03× 1.71
Q1 under 31.5 55.8% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 over 30.5 50.0% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 50.0% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 under 29.5 44.1% 41.4% 43.1% 0.96× 2.42
Q1 over 31.5 44.2% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 32.8% 32.4% 32.3% 1.00× 3.08
Q1 over 33.5 32.9% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 over 35.5 23.0% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 25.5 22.9% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 under 22.5 11.7% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 11.9% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win Q2 53.9% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Little Rock Trojans to win Q2 40.2% 43.8% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 89.0% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 87.3% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 78.4% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 75.7% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 68.8% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 65.5% 67.4% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 57.7% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 54.1% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 51.8% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 48.2% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 under 29.5 45.9% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 42.3% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 34.5% 32.6% 33.3% 0.98× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 31.2% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 24.3% 23.2% 23.8% 0.98× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 21.6% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 12.7% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 11.0% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win Q3 54.5% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
Little Rock Trojans to win Q3 39.6% 38.8% 41.8% 0.93× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 41.5 88.4% 87.2% 85.1% 1.03× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 86.7% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 77.7% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 75.2% 77.3% 76.4% 1.01× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 68.3% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 65.2% 67.8% 66.8% 1.01× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 57.4% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 54.0% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 33.5 51.7% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 33.5 48.3% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 46.0% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 42.6% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 34.8% 32.2% 33.2% 0.97× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 31.7% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.11
Q3 under 28.5 24.8% 22.7% 23.6% 0.96× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 22.3% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 13.3% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 11.6% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win Q4 54.4% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.94
Little Rock Trojans to win Q4 39.8% 42.4% 41.5% 1.02× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 41.5 86.8% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 85.6% 85.6% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 under 38.5 76.2% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 74.2% 71.5% 75.1% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 36.5 67.0% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 64.7% 61.4% 66.3% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 under 34.5 56.7% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 over 32.5 54.2% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 51.3% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 33.5 48.7% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 under 32.5 45.8% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 43.3% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 35.3% 38.6% 33.7% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 over 36.5 33.0% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 25.8% 28.5% 24.9% 1.14× 3.51
Q4 over 38.5 23.8% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 14.4% 14.4% 13.9% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 over 41.5 13.2% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 76.5 86.5% 83.9% 75.4% 1.11× 1.19
Little Rock Trojans under 71.5 86.9% 83.9% 76.1% 1.10× 1.19
Little Rock Trojans over 51.5 85.4% 83.9% 81.0% 1.04× 1.19
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 56.5 84.0% 80.7% 79.5% 1.01× 1.24
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 73.5 78.5% 75.1% 68.5% 1.10× 1.33
Little Rock Trojans under 68.5 78.9% 75.1% 68.6% 1.10× 1.33
Little Rock Trojans over 54.5 76.3% 75.1% 73.5% 1.02× 1.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 59.5 75.2% 75.1% 72.2% 1.04× 1.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 71.5 71.8% 70.7% 63.0% 1.12× 1.41
Little Rock Trojans under 66.5 72.1% 70.7% 62.7% 1.13× 1.41
Little Rock Trojans over 56.5 69.0% 66.4% 68.0% 0.98× 1.51
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 61.5 68.1% 66.4% 66.9% 0.99× 1.51
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 69.5 64.4% 61.2% 57.4% 1.07× 1.63
Little Rock Trojans under 64.5 64.5% 61.2% 56.9% 1.08× 1.63
Little Rock Trojans over 58.5 60.9% 61.2% 62.1% 0.98× 1.63
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 63.5 60.3% 61.2% 61.5% 1.00× 1.63
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 67.5 56.3% 57.1% 51.3% 1.11× 1.75
Little Rock Trojans under 62.5 56.2% 57.1% 51.0% 1.12× 1.75
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 65.5 52.0% 52.3% 55.3% 0.95× 1.91
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 66.5 52.1% 52.3% 48.2% 1.09× 1.91
Little Rock Trojans over 60.5 52.4% 52.3% 55.6% 0.94× 1.91
Little Rock Trojans under 61.5 51.9% 52.3% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 65.5 48.0% 47.7% 44.7% 1.07× 2.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 66.5 47.9% 47.7% 51.8% 0.92× 2.09
Little Rock Trojans under 60.5 47.6% 47.7% 44.4% 1.08× 2.09
Little Rock Trojans over 61.5 48.1% 47.7% 52.1% 0.92× 2.09
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 67.5 43.7% 42.9% 48.7% 0.88× 2.33
Little Rock Trojans over 62.5 43.8% 42.9% 49.0% 0.87× 2.33
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 63.5 39.7% 38.8% 38.5% 1.01× 2.58
Little Rock Trojans under 58.5 39.1% 38.8% 37.9% 1.03× 2.58
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 69.5 35.6% 38.8% 42.6% 0.91× 2.58
Little Rock Trojans over 64.5 35.5% 38.8% 43.2% 0.90× 2.58
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 61.5 31.9% 33.6% 33.1% 1.02× 2.98
Little Rock Trojans under 56.5 31.0% 33.6% 32.0% 1.05× 2.98
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 71.5 28.2% 29.3% 37.0% 0.79× 3.42
Little Rock Trojans over 66.5 27.9% 29.3% 37.3% 0.79× 3.42
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 59.5 24.8% 24.9% 27.8% 0.89× 4.02
Little Rock Trojans under 54.5 23.7% 24.9% 26.5% 0.94× 4.02
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 73.5 21.5% 24.9% 31.5% 0.79× 4.02
Little Rock Trojans over 68.5 21.1% 24.9% 31.4% 0.79× 4.02
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles under 56.5 16.0% 19.3% 20.5% 0.94× 5.18
Little Rock Trojans under 51.5 14.6% 16.1% 19.0% 0.85× 6.21
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over 76.5 13.5% 16.1% 24.6% 0.66× 6.21
Little Rock Trojans over 71.5 13.1% 16.1% 23.9% 0.67× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 147.5 points 91.4% 88.8% 82.3% 1.08× 1.13
Over 107.5 points 91.0% 88.8% 90.2% 0.99× 1.13
Under 142.5 points 84.9% 80.6% 75.1% 1.07× 1.24
Over 112.5 points 83.9% 80.6% 83.6% 0.96× 1.24
Under 137.5 points 75.8% 75.6% 66.2% 1.14× 1.32
Over 117.5 points 74.0% 70.8% 75.3% 0.94× 1.41
Under 134.5 points 69.1% 65.9% 60.2% 1.10× 1.52
Over 120.5 points 67.1% 65.9% 69.8% 0.94× 1.52
Under 132.5 points 64.2% 61.5% 56.0% 1.10× 1.63
Over 122.5 points 62.1% 61.5% 65.6% 0.94× 1.63
Under 130.5 points 59.1% 56.5% 51.7% 1.09× 1.77
Over 124.5 points 56.8% 56.5% 61.5% 0.92× 1.77
Under 128.5 points 53.8% 52.3% 47.2% 1.11× 1.91
Over 126.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Under 127.5 points 51.3% 52.3% 44.9% 1.17× 1.91
Under 126.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.10
Over 127.5 points 48.7% 47.7% 55.1% 0.87× 2.10
Over 128.5 points 46.2% 47.7% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Under 124.5 points 43.2% 43.5% 38.5% 1.13× 2.30
Over 130.5 points 40.9% 43.5% 48.3% 0.90× 2.30
Under 122.5 points 37.9% 38.5% 34.4% 1.12× 2.60
Over 132.5 points 35.8% 38.5% 44.0% 0.87× 2.60
Under 120.5 points 32.9% 34.1% 30.2% 1.13× 2.93
Over 134.5 points 30.9% 34.1% 39.8% 0.86× 2.93
Under 117.5 points 26.0% 29.2% 24.7% 1.18× 3.43
Over 137.5 points 24.2% 24.4% 33.8% 0.72× 4.10
Under 112.5 points 16.1% 19.4% 16.4% 1.19× 5.15
Over 142.5 points 15.1% 19.4% 24.9% 0.78× 5.15
Under 107.5 points 9.0% 11.2% 9.8% 1.14× 8.96
Over 147.5 points 8.6% 11.2% 17.7% 0.63× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles to win both halves 31.3% 31.2% 36.0% 0.87× 3.20
Little Rock Trojans to win both halves 11.2% 14.0% 20.4% 0.69× 7.13
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 1-5 18.2% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 6-10 17.6% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Little Rock Trojans by 1-5 14.5% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 11-15 14.0% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Little Rock Trojans by 6-10 9.7% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 16-20 9.1% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Little Rock Trojans by 11-15 5.3% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 21-25 4.8% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.29
Little Rock Trojans by 16-20 2.4% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
Little Rock Trojans by 21-25 0.9% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles by 26+ 3.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.30
Little Rock Trojans by 26+ 0.3% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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