Tennessee Volunteers v Tennessee State Tigers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 13 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 84.69–64.77 | 85-65 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers to score 100+ | 6.5% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 2.55× | 11.38 |
| Tennessee Volunteers to score 110+ | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.25 |
| Tennessee Volunteers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.35 |
| Tennessee Volunteers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.35 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.36 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.35 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers to win H1 | 85.0% | 88.6% | 57.9% | 1.53× | 1.13 |
| Tennessee Volunteers to win H1 | 84.9% | 83.7% | 57.9% | 1.44× | 1.20 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to win H1 | 12.5% | 10.8% | 38.2% | 0.28× | 9.26 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to win H1 | 12.5% | 10.8% | 38.2% | 0.28× | 9.26 |
| H1 tied | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.87 |
| H1 tied | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.87 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 83.5 | 88.5% | 87.7% | 90.3% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 85.6% | 87.7% | 80.7% | 1.09× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 80.3% | 82.5% | 83.1% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 79.6% | 77.4% | 83.1% | 0.93× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 76.0% | 77.4% | 69.0% | 1.12× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 75.3% | 77.4% | 69.0% | 1.12× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 71.3% | 73.5% | 75.5% | 0.97× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 70.7% | 73.5% | 75.5% | 0.97× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 58.2% | 1.16× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 58.2% | 1.16× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 64.3% | 62.7% | 69.6% | 0.90× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 63.9% | 62.7% | 69.6% | 0.90× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 58.6% | 58.2% | 50.7% | 1.15× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 58.3% | 58.2% | 50.7% | 1.15× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 56.8% | 58.2% | 63.3% | 0.92× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 56.6% | 58.2% | 63.3% | 0.92× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 53.0% | 52.6% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 52.9% | 52.6% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 50.9% | 52.6% | 43.5% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 50.9% | 52.6% | 43.5% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 49.1% | 47.4% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 49.1% | 47.4% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 47.0% | 47.4% | 40.0% | 1.19× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 47.1% | 47.4% | 40.0% | 1.19× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 43.2% | 41.8% | 36.7% | 1.14× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 43.4% | 41.8% | 36.7% | 1.14× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 41.7% | 41.8% | 49.3% | 0.85× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 41.4% | 41.8% | 49.3% | 0.85× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 35.7% | 37.3% | 30.4% | 1.23× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 36.1% | 37.3% | 30.4% | 1.23× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 41.8% | 0.78× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 41.8% | 0.78× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 29.3% | 26.5% | 24.5% | 1.08× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 28.7% | 26.5% | 24.5% | 1.08× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 24.7% | 22.6% | 31.0% | 0.73× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 24.0% | 22.6% | 31.0% | 0.73× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 20.4% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 1.34× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 19.7% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 1.03× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 14.4% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 0.64× | 8.13 |
| H1 over 83.5 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 1.26× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers to win H2 | 86.8% | 84.1% | 56.9% | 1.48× | 1.19 |
| Tennessee Volunteers to win H2 | 86.8% | 84.1% | 57.5% | 1.46× | 1.19 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to win H2 | 11.0% | 14.7% | 38.5% | 0.38× | 6.79 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to win H2 | 10.9% | 14.7% | 38.9% | 0.38× | 6.79 |
| H2 tied | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.37 |
| H2 tied | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.37 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 91.5 | 87.0% | 85.2% | 85.5% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 84.4% | 81.8% | 80.0% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 87.5 | 78.6% | 75.8% | 81.2% | 0.93× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 87.5 | 77.9% | 75.8% | 77.7% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 75.0% | 72.2% | 66.4% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 74.3% | 72.2% | 68.8% | 1.05× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 69.8% | 66.4% | 74.1% | 0.90× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 70.5% | 0.94× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 65.4% | 66.4% | 57.0% | 1.16× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 65.0% | 66.4% | 60.0% | 1.11× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 63.1% | 61.6% | 68.9% | 0.89× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 62.8% | 61.6% | 65.3% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 58.5% | 57.3% | 50.3% | 1.14× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 58.2% | 57.3% | 53.4% | 1.07× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 56.1% | 57.3% | 62.9% | 0.91× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 55.9% | 57.3% | 59.2% | 0.97× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 52.4% | 52.4% | 59.8% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 52.3% | 52.4% | 56.2% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 51.2% | 52.4% | 43.6% | 1.20× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 51.2% | 52.4% | 47.0% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 56.4% | 0.84× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 53.0% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 47.6% | 47.6% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 47.7% | 47.6% | 43.8% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 43.9% | 42.7% | 37.1% | 1.15× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 44.1% | 42.7% | 40.8% | 1.05× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 41.5% | 42.7% | 49.7% | 0.86× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 41.8% | 42.7% | 46.6% | 0.92× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 36.9% | 38.4% | 31.1% | 1.23× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 37.2% | 38.4% | 34.7% | 1.11× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 34.6% | 33.6% | 43.0% | 0.78× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 35.0% | 33.6% | 40.0% | 0.84× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 29.5% | 1.14× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 30.2% | 33.6% | 25.9% | 1.30× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 25.7% | 27.8% | 31.2% | 0.89× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 25.1% | 27.8% | 33.6% | 0.83× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 87.5 | 21.4% | 24.2% | 18.8% | 1.29× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 87.5 | 22.1% | 24.2% | 22.3% | 1.08× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 15.6% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 0.91× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 91.5 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 1.02× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers leading at half time | 84.9% | 83.4% | 57.9% | 1.44× | 1.20 |
| Tennessee State Tigers leading at half time | 12.5% | 10.3% | 38.2% | 0.27× | 9.70 |
| Level at half time | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers +7.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 81.0% | 1.20× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +8.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 83.3% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +9.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 85.3% | 1.14× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +10.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 87.2% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 89.9% | 1.08× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +14.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 94.0% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +4.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 73.7% | 1.32× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +5.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 76.4% | 1.28× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +6.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 78.8% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −1.5 | 96.3% | 97.4% | 60.8% | 1.60× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +1.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 65.4% | 1.49× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +2.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 68.0% | 1.43× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers +3.5 | 98.5% | 97.4% | 70.8% | 1.38× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −2.5 | 95.4% | 97.4% | 57.7% | 1.69× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −3.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 54.1% | 1.68× | 1.10 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −4.5 | 93.1% | 91.1% | 50.7% | 1.80× | 1.10 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −5.5 | 91.6% | 91.1% | 47.0% | 1.94× | 1.10 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −6.5 | 90.0% | 91.1% | 44.3% | 2.06× | 1.10 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −7.5 | 88.2% | 85.9% | 41.3% | 2.08× | 1.16 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −8.5 | 86.2% | 85.9% | 38.5% | 2.23× | 1.16 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −9.5 | 83.9% | 81.1% | 35.5% | 2.29× | 1.23 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −10.5 | 81.5% | 81.1% | 32.6% | 2.49× | 1.23 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −12.5 | 76.0% | 76.5% | 27.6% | 2.77× | 1.31 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −14.5 | 69.7% | 66.7% | 22.8% | 2.92× | 1.50 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −16.5 | 62.8% | 61.9% | 19.3% | 3.21× | 1.62 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −18.5 | 55.5% | 57.1% | 16.1% | 3.53× | 1.75 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +20.5 | 52.0% | 52.4% | 86.5% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| Tennessee Volunteers −20.5 | 48.0% | 47.6% | 13.5% | 3.54× | 2.10 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +18.5 | 44.5% | 42.9% | 83.9% | 0.51× | 2.33 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +16.5 | 37.2% | 38.1% | 80.7% | 0.47× | 2.63 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +14.5 | 30.3% | 33.3% | 77.2% | 0.43× | 3.01 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +12.5 | 24.0% | 23.5% | 72.4% | 0.33× | 4.25 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +10.5 | 18.5% | 18.9% | 67.4% | 0.28× | 5.29 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +9.5 | 16.1% | 18.9% | 64.5% | 0.29× | 5.30 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +8.5 | 13.8% | 14.1% | 61.5% | 0.23× | 7.09 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +7.5 | 11.8% | 14.1% | 58.7% | 0.24× | 7.09 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +6.5 | 10.0% | 8.9% | 55.7% | 0.16× | 11.25 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +5.5 | 8.4% | 8.9% | 53.0% | 0.17× | 11.25 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +4.5 | 6.9% | 8.9% | 49.3% | 0.18× | 11.25 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +3.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 45.9% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +2.5 | 4.6% | 2.6% | 42.3% | 0.06× | 38.72 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −4.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 26.3% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −5.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 23.6% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −6.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 21.2% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers +1.5 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 39.2% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −1.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 34.6% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −2.5 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 32.0% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −3.5 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 29.3% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −7.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 19.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −8.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 16.7% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −9.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 14.7% | 0.18× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −10.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 12.8% | 0.20× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 0.26× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.43× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.74 |
| Tennessee State Tigers −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 79.6% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 78.1% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 21.9% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| H1 highest scoring | 20.4% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers at HT / Tennessee Volunteers at FT | 83.9% | 84.6% | 48.6% | 1.74× | 1.18 |
| Tennessee State Tigers at HT / Tennessee Volunteers at FT | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 0.99× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / Tennessee Volunteers at FT | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.75 |
| Tennessee State Tigers at HT / Tennessee State Tigers at FT | 1.7% | 2.1% | 25.8% | 0.08× | 47.76 |
| Tennessee Volunteers at HT / Tennessee State Tigers at FT | 1.0% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 0.22× | 47.77 |
| Level at HT / Tennessee State Tigers at FT | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers to win | 97.1% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to win | 2.9% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 39.15 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Tennessee State Tigers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.3% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Tennessee Volunteers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Tennessee State Tigers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.7% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 97.1% | 97.0% | 94.2% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 0.52× | 33.46 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers under 95.5 | 86.5% | 83.9% | 94.0% | 0.89× | 1.19 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 75.5 | 87.1% | 83.9% | 64.7% | 1.30× | 1.19 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 75.5 | 83.2% | 80.7% | 51.0% | 1.58× | 1.24 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 55.5 | 83.7% | 80.7% | 91.3% | 0.88× | 1.24 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 92.5 | 78.6% | 75.1% | 90.8% | 0.83× | 1.33 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 72.5 | 79.3% | 75.1% | 55.3% | 1.36× | 1.33 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 78.5 | 74.2% | 70.7% | 41.6% | 1.70× | 1.41 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 58.5 | 74.6% | 70.7% | 86.2% | 0.82× | 1.41 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 90.5 | 72.2% | 70.7% | 88.1% | 0.80× | 1.41 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 70.5 | 72.8% | 70.7% | 48.7% | 1.45× | 1.41 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 80.5 | 67.1% | 66.4% | 35.1% | 1.89× | 1.51 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 60.5 | 67.3% | 66.4% | 82.0% | 0.81× | 1.51 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 68.5 | 65.4% | 66.4% | 41.6% | 1.60× | 1.51 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 88.5 | 64.9% | 61.2% | 84.8% | 0.72× | 1.63 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 82.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 29.2% | 1.95× | 1.75 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 62.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 76.6% | 0.75× | 1.75 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 86.5 | 57.0% | 57.1% | 80.8% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 66.5 | 57.3% | 57.1% | 35.3% | 1.62× | 1.75 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 84.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 23.9% | 2.19× | 1.91 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 85.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 78.6% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 64.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 70.7% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 65.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 32.2% | 1.62× | 1.91 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 84.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 76.1% | 0.63× | 2.09 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 85.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 21.4% | 2.23× | 2.09 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 64.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 29.3% | 1.63× | 2.09 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 65.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 67.8% | 0.70× | 2.09 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 86.5 | 43.0% | 42.9% | 19.2% | 2.24× | 2.33 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 66.5 | 42.7% | 42.9% | 64.7% | 0.66× | 2.33 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 82.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 70.8% | 0.61× | 2.33 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 62.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 23.4% | 1.83× | 2.33 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 88.5 | 35.1% | 38.8% | 15.2% | 2.55× | 2.58 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 68.5 | 34.6% | 33.6% | 58.4% | 0.58× | 2.98 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 80.5 | 32.9% | 33.6% | 64.9% | 0.52× | 2.98 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 60.5 | 32.7% | 33.6% | 18.0% | 1.86× | 2.98 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 90.5 | 27.8% | 29.3% | 11.9% | 2.46× | 3.42 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 70.5 | 27.2% | 29.3% | 51.4% | 0.57× | 3.42 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 78.5 | 25.8% | 29.3% | 58.4% | 0.50× | 3.42 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 58.5 | 25.4% | 29.3% | 13.8% | 2.13× | 3.42 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 92.5 | 21.4% | 24.9% | 9.2% | 2.71× | 4.02 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 72.5 | 20.7% | 24.9% | 44.7% | 0.56× | 4.02 |
| Tennessee Volunteers under 75.5 | 16.8% | 19.3% | 49.0% | 0.39× | 5.18 |
| Tennessee State Tigers under 55.5 | 16.3% | 19.3% | 8.7% | 2.22× | 5.18 |
| Tennessee Volunteers over 95.5 | 13.5% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 2.70× | 6.21 |
| Tennessee State Tigers over 75.5 | 12.9% | 16.1% | 35.3% | 0.46× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 129.5 points | 89.7% | 85.0% | 83.3% | 1.02× | 1.18 |
| Under 169.5 points | 89.4% | 85.0% | 87.7% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Over 134.5 points | 82.8% | 80.6% | 74.7% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Under 164.5 points | 82.5% | 80.6% | 82.3% | 0.98× | 1.24 |
| Over 139.5 points | 73.6% | 70.8% | 64.6% | 1.10× | 1.41 |
| Under 159.5 points | 73.3% | 70.8% | 75.0% | 0.94× | 1.41 |
| Over 142.5 points | 67.1% | 65.9% | 58.3% | 1.13× | 1.52 |
| Under 156.5 points | 66.8% | 65.9% | 69.8% | 0.94× | 1.52 |
| Over 144.5 points | 62.4% | 61.5% | 54.1% | 1.14× | 1.63 |
| Under 154.5 points | 62.2% | 61.5% | 66.4% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Over 146.5 points | 57.6% | 56.5% | 49.8% | 1.13× | 1.77 |
| Under 152.5 points | 57.3% | 56.5% | 62.7% | 0.90× | 1.77 |
| Over 148.5 points | 52.6% | 52.3% | 45.7% | 1.14× | 1.91 |
| Under 150.5 points | 52.4% | 52.3% | 58.4% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| Over 149.5 points | 50.1% | 52.3% | 43.7% | 1.20× | 1.91 |
| Under 149.5 points | 49.9% | 47.7% | 56.3% | 0.85× | 2.10 |
| Under 148.5 points | 47.4% | 47.7% | 54.3% | 0.88× | 2.10 |
| Over 150.5 points | 47.6% | 47.7% | 41.6% | 1.15× | 2.10 |
| Under 146.5 points | 42.4% | 43.5% | 50.2% | 0.87× | 2.30 |
| Over 152.5 points | 42.7% | 43.5% | 37.4% | 1.16× | 2.30 |
| Under 144.5 points | 37.6% | 38.5% | 45.9% | 0.84× | 2.60 |
| Over 154.5 points | 37.8% | 38.5% | 33.6% | 1.15× | 2.60 |
| Under 142.5 points | 32.9% | 34.1% | 41.7% | 0.82× | 2.93 |
| Over 156.5 points | 33.2% | 34.1% | 30.2% | 1.13× | 2.93 |
| Over 159.5 points | 26.7% | 29.2% | 25.0% | 1.17× | 3.43 |
| Under 139.5 points | 26.4% | 29.2% | 35.4% | 0.82× | 3.43 |
| Under 134.5 points | 17.2% | 19.4% | 25.3% | 0.77× | 5.15 |
| Over 164.5 points | 17.5% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 1.10× | 5.15 |
| Under 129.5 points | 10.3% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 0.89× | 6.69 |
| Over 169.5 points | 10.6% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 1.22× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers to win both halves | 72.6% | 72.0% | 33.2% | 2.17× | 1.39 |
| Tennessee State Tigers to win both halves | 0.6% | 3.0% | 14.5% | 0.20× | 33.81 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Volunteers by 26+ | 30.1% | 37.4% | 7.9% | 4.74× | 2.67 |
| Tennessee Volunteers by 16-20 | 18.3% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Tennessee Volunteers by 21-25 | 17.9% | 16.8% | 5.6% | 3.01× | 5.97 |
| Tennessee Volunteers by 11-15 | 15.2% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 1.45× | 5.97 |
| Tennessee Volunteers by 6-10 | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 0.86× | 8.11 |
| Tennessee Volunteers by 1-5 | 5.5% | 7.5% | 16.2% | 0.46× | 13.40 |
| Tennessee State Tigers by 1-5 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 13.2% | 0.15× | 49.31 |
| Tennessee State Tigers by 6-10 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.32 |
| Tennessee State Tigers by 11-15 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 0.33× | 49.33 |
| Tennessee State Tigers by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.33 |
| Tennessee State Tigers by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.33 |
| Tennessee State Tigers by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.33 |