Toronto Raptors v Memphis Grizzlies — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 10 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Toronto Raptors win
80.4%
Draw
0.0%
Memphis Grizzlies win
19.6%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 122.36–110.22 | 122-110 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors to score 100+ | 97.4% | 94.9% | 89.3% | 1.06× | 1.05 |
| Toronto Raptors to score 110+ | 86.5% | 85.0% | 67.0% | 1.27× | 1.18 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 100+ | 81.8% | 79.2% | 85.9% | 0.92× | 1.26 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 80.1% | 79.2% | 77.5% | 1.02× | 1.26 |
| Toronto Raptors to score 120+ | 60.1% | 61.8% | 36.5% | 1.69× | 1.62 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 110+ | 52.0% | 52.3% | 60.9% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors to score 130+ | 27.6% | 27.5% | 12.8% | 2.15× | 3.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 120+ | 21.0% | 22.0% | 29.7% | 0.74× | 4.55 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 130+ | 4.9% | 0.4% | 10.0% | 0.04× | 282.40 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors to win H1 | 69.5% | 68.3% | 52.8% | 1.29× | 1.46 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win H1 | 27.5% | 26.5% | 44.1% | 0.60× | 3.77 |
| H1 tied | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 129.5 | 82.4% | 82.5% | 88.1% | 0.94× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 105.5 | 82.0% | 82.5% | 75.8% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 125.5 | 73.4% | 73.5% | 80.7% | 0.91× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 72.8% | 73.5% | 65.0% | 1.13× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 65.3% | 67.4% | 74.0% | 0.91× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 64.6% | 62.7% | 55.8% | 1.12× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 59.5% | 58.2% | 68.4% | 0.85× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 58.8% | 58.2% | 49.6% | 1.17× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 52.7% | 52.6% | 43.4% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 53.4% | 52.6% | 62.9% | 0.84× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 117.5 | 50.4% | 52.6% | 59.6% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 117.5 | 49.6% | 47.4% | 40.4% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 47.3% | 47.4% | 56.6% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 46.6% | 47.4% | 37.1% | 1.28× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 41.2% | 41.8% | 50.4% | 0.83× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 40.5% | 41.8% | 31.6% | 1.32× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 35.4% | 37.3% | 44.2% | 0.84× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 34.7% | 32.6% | 26.0% | 1.25× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 27.2% | 26.5% | 35.0% | 0.76× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 125.5 | 26.6% | 26.5% | 19.3% | 1.37× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 105.5 | 18.0% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 0.72× | 5.73 |
| H1 over 129.5 | 17.6% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 1.47× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors to win H2 | 69.3% | 62.8% | 51.6% | 1.22× | 1.59 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win H2 | 27.7% | 31.3% | 44.7% | 0.70× | 3.20 |
| H2 tied | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 127.5 | 83.0% | 81.8% | 84.9% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 103.5 | 81.8% | 81.8% | 76.2% | 1.07× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 123.5 | 74.0% | 72.2% | 76.9% | 0.94× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 107.5 | 72.5% | 72.2% | 66.2% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 120.5 | 66.0% | 66.4% | 69.3% | 0.96× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 64.2% | 61.6% | 58.1% | 1.06× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 60.1% | 61.6% | 63.6% | 0.97× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 58.3% | 57.3% | 52.6% | 1.09× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 54.0% | 52.4% | 58.1% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 52.2% | 52.4% | 47.5% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 50.9% | 52.4% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 49.1% | 47.6% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 47.8% | 47.6% | 52.5% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 46.0% | 47.6% | 41.9% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 41.7% | 42.7% | 47.4% | 0.90× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 39.9% | 38.4% | 36.4% | 1.05× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 35.8% | 38.4% | 41.9% | 0.92× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 120.5 | 34.0% | 33.6% | 30.7% | 1.10× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 107.5 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 33.8% | 0.82× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 123.5 | 26.0% | 27.8% | 23.1% | 1.20× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 103.5 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 0.76× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 127.5 | 17.0% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 1.20× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors leading at half time | 69.5% | 68.5% | 52.8% | 1.30× | 1.46 |
| Memphis Grizzlies leading at half time | 27.5% | 26.5% | 44.1% | 0.60× | 3.78 |
| Level at half time | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors +16.5 | 97.5% | 97.4% | 89.7% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Toronto Raptors +18.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 91.5% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Toronto Raptors +20.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 93.1% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Toronto Raptors +14.5 | 96.6% | 97.4% | 87.0% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Toronto Raptors +12.5 | 95.4% | 97.4% | 83.9% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Toronto Raptors +9.5 | 93.1% | 91.1% | 78.1% | 1.17× | 1.10 |
| Toronto Raptors +10.5 | 94.0% | 91.1% | 80.3% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| Toronto Raptors +7.5 | 91.0% | 91.1% | 73.0% | 1.25× | 1.10 |
| Toronto Raptors +8.5 | 92.1% | 91.1% | 75.7% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| Toronto Raptors +5.5 | 88.6% | 85.9% | 68.0% | 1.26× | 1.16 |
| Toronto Raptors +6.5 | 89.9% | 85.9% | 70.6% | 1.22× | 1.16 |
| Toronto Raptors +4.5 | 87.2% | 85.9% | 65.7% | 1.31× | 1.16 |
| Toronto Raptors +3.5 | 85.7% | 85.9% | 63.1% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| Toronto Raptors +2.5 | 84.0% | 81.1% | 60.5% | 1.34× | 1.23 |
| Toronto Raptors +1.5 | 82.3% | 81.1% | 57.9% | 1.40× | 1.23 |
| Toronto Raptors −1.5 | 78.4% | 76.5% | 53.7% | 1.42× | 1.31 |
| Toronto Raptors −2.5 | 76.2% | 76.5% | 50.9% | 1.50× | 1.31 |
| Toronto Raptors −3.5 | 73.9% | 71.6% | 48.4% | 1.48× | 1.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +20.5 | 71.2% | 71.6% | 89.1% | 0.80× | 1.40 |
| Toronto Raptors −4.5 | 71.5% | 71.6% | 46.0% | 1.56× | 1.40 |
| Toronto Raptors −5.5 | 69.0% | 66.7% | 42.9% | 1.56× | 1.50 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +18.5 | 66.3% | 66.7% | 86.4% | 0.77× | 1.50 |
| Toronto Raptors −6.5 | 66.4% | 66.7% | 40.0% | 1.67× | 1.50 |
| Toronto Raptors −7.5 | 63.8% | 61.9% | 37.0% | 1.67× | 1.62 |
| Toronto Raptors −8.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 34.1% | 1.82× | 1.62 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +16.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 83.5% | 0.74× | 1.62 |
| Toronto Raptors −9.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 31.3% | 1.83× | 1.75 |
| Toronto Raptors −10.5 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 29.0% | 1.97× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +14.5 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 80.1% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +12.5 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 76.0% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors −12.5 | 50.0% | 47.6% | 24.0% | 1.98× | 2.10 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +10.5 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 71.0% | 0.60× | 2.33 |
| Toronto Raptors −14.5 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 19.9% | 2.16× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +9.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 68.7% | 0.62× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +8.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 65.9% | 0.58× | 2.63 |
| Toronto Raptors −16.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 16.5% | 2.31× | 2.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +7.5 | 36.2% | 38.1% | 63.0% | 0.60× | 2.63 |
| Toronto Raptors −18.5 | 33.7% | 33.3% | 13.6% | 2.44× | 3.01 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +6.5 | 33.6% | 33.3% | 60.0% | 0.55× | 3.01 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 | 31.0% | 33.3% | 57.1% | 0.58× | 3.01 |
| Toronto Raptors −20.5 | 28.8% | 28.4% | 10.9% | 2.61× | 3.53 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 | 28.5% | 28.4% | 54.1% | 0.52× | 3.53 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 | 26.1% | 28.4% | 51.6% | 0.55× | 3.53 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 | 23.8% | 23.5% | 49.1% | 0.48× | 4.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 | 21.6% | 23.5% | 46.3% | 0.51× | 4.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −1.5 | 17.7% | 18.9% | 42.1% | 0.45× | 5.29 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −2.5 | 16.0% | 18.9% | 39.5% | 0.48× | 5.30 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −3.5 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 36.9% | 0.38× | 7.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −4.5 | 12.8% | 14.1% | 34.3% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −5.5 | 11.4% | 14.1% | 32.0% | 0.44× | 7.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −6.5 | 10.1% | 14.1% | 29.4% | 0.48× | 7.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −7.5 | 9.0% | 8.9% | 27.0% | 0.33× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −8.5 | 7.9% | 8.9% | 24.3% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −9.5 | 6.9% | 8.9% | 21.9% | 0.41× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −10.5 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 19.7% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −12.5 | 4.6% | 2.6% | 16.1% | 0.16× | 38.72 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −16.5 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 10.3% | 0.25× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −18.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 8.5% | 0.30× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −20.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 0.37× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −14.5 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 13.0% | 0.20× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.8% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.2% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.3% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.0% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.1% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT | 63.5% | 62.3% | 40.8% | 1.53× | 1.60 |
| Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT | 14.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT | 12.8% | 12.2% | 30.9% | 0.40× | 8.17 |
| Toronto Raptors at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 0.69× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.49× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors to win | 80.4% | 80.9% | 55.7% | 1.45× | 1.24 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win | 19.6% | 19.1% | 44.3% | 0.43× | 5.23 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Memphis Grizzlies even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.0% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Toronto Raptors odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Memphis Grizzlies odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.0% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 95.1% | 97.0% | 94.8% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 0.58× | 33.33 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors to win Q1 | 62.4% | 64.9% | 51.3% | 1.26× | 1.54 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q1 | 33.1% | 30.4% | 44.1% | 0.69× | 3.29 |
| Q1 tied | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 67.5 | 84.6% | 82.8% | 88.8% | 0.93× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 51.5 | 80.6% | 82.8% | 76.0% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 64.5 | 74.7% | 72.7% | 80.1% | 0.91× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 54.5 | 69.5% | 67.6% | 63.3% | 1.07× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 62.5 | 66.7% | 67.6% | 72.9% | 0.93× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 60.9% | 61.7% | 54.6% | 1.13× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 57.7% | 58.6% | 64.5% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 53.1% | 52.7% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 51.6% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 48.4% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 46.9% | 47.3% | 40.0% | 1.18× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 42.3% | 41.4% | 35.5% | 1.17× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 39.1% | 38.3% | 45.4% | 0.84× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 62.5 | 33.3% | 32.4% | 27.1% | 1.20× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 54.5 | 30.5% | 32.4% | 36.7% | 0.88× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 25.3% | 27.3% | 19.9% | 1.37× | 3.67 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 19.4% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 0.71× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 67.5 | 15.4% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.53× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors to win Q2 | 62.3% | 61.9% | 49.3% | 1.26× | 1.62 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q2 | 33.3% | 31.8% | 46.2% | 0.69× | 3.14 |
| Q2 tied | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 50.5 | 82.7% | 83.0% | 78.1% | 1.06× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 66.5 | 82.4% | 83.0% | 86.5% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 53.5 | 72.2% | 72.0% | 65.8% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 63.5 | 71.9% | 72.0% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 63.9% | 60.7% | 56.3% | 1.08× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 63.5% | 60.7% | 70.4% | 0.86× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 54.8% | 52.7% | 47.3% | 1.11× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 54.5% | 52.7% | 61.9% | 0.85× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 50.2% | 52.7% | 42.7% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 49.8% | 47.3% | 57.3% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 45.5% | 47.3% | 38.1% | 1.24× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 45.2% | 47.3% | 52.7% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 36.5% | 39.3% | 29.6% | 1.33× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 36.1% | 39.3% | 43.7% | 0.90× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 63.5 | 28.1% | 28.0% | 22.5% | 1.25× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 53.5 | 27.8% | 28.0% | 34.2% | 0.82× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 66.5 | 17.6% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 1.26× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 50.5 | 17.3% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 0.78× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors to win Q3 | 62.3% | 60.9% | 50.9% | 1.20× | 1.64 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q3 | 33.3% | 33.8% | 44.3% | 0.76× | 2.96 |
| Q3 tied | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.44 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 67.5 | 84.4% | 82.3% | 87.0% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 51.5 | 81.4% | 82.3% | 76.1% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 74.3% | 71.8% | 79.2% | 0.91× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 70.4% | 71.8% | 63.9% | 1.12× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 66.1% | 67.8% | 71.9% | 0.94× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 61.7% | 61.9% | 55.0% | 1.13× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 57.0% | 58.4% | 63.5% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 52.4% | 52.3% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 52.3% | 52.3% | 59.0% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 47.6% | 47.7% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 47.7% | 47.7% | 41.0% | 1.16× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 43.0% | 41.6% | 36.5% | 1.14× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 38.3% | 38.1% | 45.0% | 0.85× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 33.9% | 32.2% | 28.1% | 1.15× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 29.6% | 28.2% | 36.1% | 0.78× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 25.7% | 28.2% | 20.8% | 1.35× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 18.6% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 0.74× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 67.5 | 15.6% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 1.36× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors to win Q4 | 62.0% | 57.8% | 48.3% | 1.20× | 1.73 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q4 | 33.4% | 37.4% | 46.4% | 0.81× | 2.67 |
| Q4 tied | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.29 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 64.5 | 83.1% | 82.0% | 86.3% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 48.5 | 81.2% | 82.0% | 75.5% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 61.5 | 73.0% | 71.5% | 77.5% | 0.92× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 51.5 | 70.6% | 71.5% | 64.7% | 1.11× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 64.9% | 61.4% | 70.2% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 62.2% | 61.4% | 55.7% | 1.10× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 56.0% | 58.4% | 61.9% | 0.94× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 53.2% | 52.5% | 47.1% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 51.4% | 52.5% | 57.2% | 0.92× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 48.6% | 47.5% | 42.8% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 46.8% | 47.5% | 52.9% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 44.0% | 41.6% | 38.1% | 1.09× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 37.8% | 38.6% | 44.3% | 0.87× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 35.2% | 38.6% | 29.8% | 1.30× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 51.5 | 29.4% | 28.5% | 35.3% | 0.81× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 27.0% | 28.5% | 22.5% | 1.27× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 48.5 | 18.8% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 0.73× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 64.5 | 16.9% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 1.31× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies under 120.5 | 81.4% | 80.7% | 72.7% | 1.11× | 1.24 |
| Toronto Raptors under 132.5 | 80.3% | 80.7% | 91.2% | 0.89× | 1.24 |
| Toronto Raptors over 112.5 | 80.2% | 80.7% | 57.7% | 1.40× | 1.24 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 100.5 | 79.5% | 75.1% | 84.1% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 117.5 | 73.7% | 70.7% | 64.4% | 1.10× | 1.41 |
| Toronto Raptors over 115.5 | 72.4% | 70.7% | 48.4% | 1.46× | 1.41 |
| Toronto Raptors under 129.5 | 72.4% | 70.7% | 87.2% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 103.5 | 71.4% | 70.7% | 77.5% | 0.91× | 1.41 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 115.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 58.6% | 1.13× | 1.51 |
| Toronto Raptors over 117.5 | 66.4% | 66.4% | 42.2% | 1.57× | 1.51 |
| Toronto Raptors under 127.5 | 66.5% | 66.4% | 83.5% | 0.80× | 1.51 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 105.5 | 65.3% | 66.4% | 71.9% | 0.92× | 1.51 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 113.5 | 61.5% | 61.2% | 52.0% | 1.18× | 1.63 |
| Toronto Raptors over 119.5 | 60.1% | 61.2% | 36.5% | 1.67× | 1.63 |
| Toronto Raptors under 125.5 | 60.1% | 61.2% | 79.1% | 0.77× | 1.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 107.5 | 58.8% | 57.1% | 66.6% | 0.86× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 111.5 | 54.8% | 52.3% | 45.4% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors over 121.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 30.4% | 1.72× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors under 123.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 74.4% | 0.70× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 109.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 60.9% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 110.5 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 42.1% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors over 122.5 | 50.0% | 52.3% | 28.2% | 1.85× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors under 122.5 | 50.0% | 47.7% | 71.8% | 0.66× | 2.09 |
| Toronto Raptors under 121.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 69.6% | 0.69× | 2.09 |
| Toronto Raptors over 123.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 25.6% | 1.87× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 109.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 39.1% | 1.22× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 110.5 | 48.6% | 47.7% | 57.9% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 111.5 | 45.2% | 47.7% | 54.6% | 0.88× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 107.5 | 41.2% | 42.9% | 33.4% | 1.28× | 2.33 |
| Toronto Raptors under 119.5 | 39.9% | 38.8% | 63.5% | 0.61× | 2.58 |
| Toronto Raptors over 125.5 | 39.9% | 38.8% | 20.9% | 1.85× | 2.58 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 113.5 | 38.5% | 38.8% | 48.0% | 0.81× | 2.58 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 105.5 | 34.7% | 33.6% | 28.1% | 1.20× | 2.98 |
| Toronto Raptors under 117.5 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 57.8% | 0.58× | 2.98 |
| Toronto Raptors over 127.5 | 33.5% | 33.6% | 16.5% | 2.04× | 2.98 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 115.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 41.4% | 0.81× | 2.98 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 103.5 | 28.6% | 29.3% | 22.5% | 1.30× | 3.42 |
| Toronto Raptors under 115.5 | 27.6% | 29.3% | 51.6% | 0.57× | 3.42 |
| Toronto Raptors over 129.5 | 27.6% | 29.3% | 12.8% | 2.28× | 3.42 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 117.5 | 26.3% | 29.3% | 35.6% | 0.82× | 3.42 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 100.5 | 20.5% | 24.9% | 15.9% | 1.57× | 4.02 |
| Toronto Raptors under 112.5 | 19.8% | 19.3% | 42.3% | 0.46× | 5.18 |
| Toronto Raptors over 132.5 | 19.7% | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.19× | 5.18 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 120.5 | 18.6% | 19.3% | 27.3% | 0.71× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 212.5 points | 86.3% | 85.0% | 77.8% | 1.09× | 1.18 |
| Under 252.5 points | 86.0% | 85.0% | 88.1% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Over 217.5 points | 79.4% | 75.6% | 69.6% | 1.09× | 1.32 |
| Under 247.5 points | 79.1% | 75.6% | 83.3% | 0.91× | 1.32 |
| Over 222.5 points | 70.8% | 70.8% | 60.4% | 1.17× | 1.41 |
| Under 242.5 points | 70.5% | 70.8% | 76.8% | 0.92× | 1.41 |
| Over 225.5 points | 65.0% | 61.5% | 54.7% | 1.12× | 1.63 |
| Under 239.5 points | 64.7% | 61.5% | 72.5% | 0.85× | 1.63 |
| Over 227.5 points | 60.9% | 61.5% | 50.6% | 1.21× | 1.63 |
| Under 237.5 points | 60.6% | 61.5% | 69.3% | 0.89× | 1.63 |
| Over 229.5 points | 56.6% | 56.5% | 46.7% | 1.21× | 1.77 |
| Under 235.5 points | 56.3% | 56.5% | 65.3% | 0.87× | 1.77 |
| Over 231.5 points | 52.3% | 52.3% | 42.6% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Under 233.5 points | 52.0% | 52.3% | 61.4% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Over 232.5 points | 50.2% | 52.3% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Under 232.5 points | 49.8% | 47.7% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Under 231.5 points | 47.7% | 47.7% | 57.4% | 0.83× | 2.10 |
| Over 233.5 points | 48.0% | 47.7% | 38.6% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| Under 229.5 points | 43.4% | 43.5% | 53.3% | 0.82× | 2.30 |
| Over 235.5 points | 43.7% | 43.5% | 34.7% | 1.25× | 2.30 |
| Under 227.5 points | 39.1% | 38.5% | 49.4% | 0.78× | 2.60 |
| Over 237.5 points | 39.4% | 38.5% | 30.7% | 1.25× | 2.60 |
| Under 225.5 points | 35.0% | 38.5% | 45.3% | 0.85× | 2.60 |
| Over 239.5 points | 35.3% | 38.5% | 27.5% | 1.40× | 2.60 |
| Under 222.5 points | 29.2% | 29.2% | 39.6% | 0.74× | 3.43 |
| Over 242.5 points | 29.5% | 29.2% | 23.2% | 1.26× | 3.43 |
| Over 247.5 points | 20.9% | 24.4% | 16.7% | 1.46× | 4.10 |
| Under 217.5 points | 20.6% | 24.4% | 30.4% | 0.80× | 4.10 |
| Over 252.5 points | 14.0% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 1.26× | 6.68 |
| Under 212.5 points | 13.7% | 15.0% | 22.2% | 0.67× | 6.68 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors to win both halves | 46.3% | 45.8% | 25.2% | 1.82× | 2.18 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win both halves | 6.1% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 0.49× | 11.33 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors by 26+ | 18.2% | 16.8% | 6.2% | 2.71× | 5.97 |
| Toronto Raptors by 6-10 | 13.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| Toronto Raptors by 11-15 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Toronto Raptors by 16-20 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 1.68× | 8.11 |
| Toronto Raptors by 1-5 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Toronto Raptors by 21-25 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 2.62× | 8.11 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 1-5 | 8.1% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 0.61× | 13.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 6-10 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 0.61× | 13.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 11-15 | 3.2% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.30 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 16-20 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 0.42× | 49.31 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 21-25 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.32 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 26+ | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.32 |