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Towson Tigers v Buffalo Bulls — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Towson Tigers win
75.3%
Draw
0.0%
Buffalo Bulls win
24.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 73.79–66.68 74-67 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.35
Buffalo Bulls to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
Towson Tigers to score 100+ 0.4% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 283.27
Towson Tigers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.35
Towson Tigers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
Towson Tigers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Towson Tigers to win H1 63.3% 62.2% 57.9% 1.07× 1.61
Towson Tigers to win H1 63.3% 62.2% 57.9% 1.07× 1.61
Buffalo Bulls to win H1 32.5% 33.1% 38.2% 0.87× 3.02
Buffalo Bulls to win H1 32.4% 33.1% 38.2% 0.87× 3.02
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 54.5 87.1% 87.7% 91.0% 0.96× 1.14
H1 under 78.5 87.1% 87.7% 80.7% 1.09× 1.14
H1 over 58.5 78.1% 77.4% 83.3% 0.93× 1.29
H1 under 74.5 78.3% 77.4% 69.6% 1.11× 1.29
H1 over 58.5 77.4% 77.4% 83.3% 0.93× 1.29
H1 under 74.5 77.5% 77.4% 69.6% 1.11× 1.29
H1 over 61.5 68.5% 67.4% 74.9% 0.90× 1.48
H1 under 71.5 68.8% 67.4% 60.0% 1.12× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 68.0% 67.4% 74.9% 0.90× 1.48
H1 under 71.5 68.2% 67.4% 60.0% 1.12× 1.48
H1 over 63.5 61.3% 62.7% 69.0% 0.91× 1.59
H1 under 69.5 61.6% 62.7% 53.1% 1.18× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 61.0% 62.7% 69.0% 0.91× 1.59
H1 under 69.5 61.3% 62.7% 53.1% 1.18× 1.59
H1 over 65.5 53.7% 52.6% 61.9% 0.85× 1.90
H1 under 67.5 54.0% 52.6% 45.6% 1.15× 1.90
H1 under 67.5 53.9% 52.6% 45.6% 1.15× 1.90
H1 over 65.5 53.6% 52.6% 61.9% 0.85× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 50.2% 52.6% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 50.1% 52.6% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
H1 over 66.5 49.8% 47.4% 58.2% 0.81× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 49.9% 47.4% 58.2% 0.81× 2.11
H1 under 65.5 46.4% 47.4% 38.1% 1.24× 2.11
H1 under 65.5 46.3% 47.4% 38.1% 1.24× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 46.0% 47.4% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 46.1% 47.4% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 38.7% 37.3% 31.0% 1.20× 2.68
H1 over 69.5 38.4% 37.3% 46.9% 0.80× 2.68
H1 under 63.5 39.0% 37.3% 31.0% 1.20× 2.68
H1 over 69.5 38.7% 37.3% 46.9% 0.80× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 31.5% 32.6% 25.1% 1.30× 3.07
H1 over 71.5 31.2% 32.6% 40.0% 0.82× 3.07
H1 under 61.5 32.0% 32.6% 25.1% 1.30× 3.07
H1 over 71.5 31.8% 32.6% 40.0% 0.82× 3.07
H1 under 58.5 22.6% 22.6% 16.7% 1.35× 4.43
H1 over 74.5 22.5% 22.6% 30.4% 0.74× 4.43
H1 under 58.5 21.9% 22.6% 16.7% 1.35× 4.43
H1 over 74.5 21.7% 22.6% 30.4% 0.74× 4.43
H1 under 54.5 12.9% 12.3% 9.0% 1.37× 8.14
H1 over 78.5 12.9% 12.3% 19.3% 0.64× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Towson Tigers to win H2 64.5% 58.8% 56.9% 1.03× 1.70
Towson Tigers to win H2 64.5% 58.8% 57.5% 1.02× 1.70
Buffalo Bulls to win H2 31.5% 36.3% 38.9% 0.93× 2.76
Buffalo Bulls to win H2 31.5% 36.3% 38.5% 0.94× 2.76
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.35
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 86.5 86.5% 85.2% 75.7% 1.13× 1.17
H2 over 62.5 84.9% 81.8% 89.8% 0.91× 1.22
H2 under 82.5 77.9% 75.8% 68.9% 1.10× 1.32
H2 under 82.5 77.3% 75.8% 65.3% 1.16× 1.32
H2 over 66.5 75.6% 75.8% 80.8% 0.94× 1.32
H2 over 66.5 75.0% 72.2% 82.3% 0.88× 1.39
H2 under 79.5 69.0% 66.4% 59.8% 1.11× 1.51
H2 under 79.5 68.5% 66.4% 56.2% 1.18× 1.51
H2 over 69.5 66.2% 66.4% 72.8% 0.91× 1.51
H2 over 69.5 65.8% 66.4% 74.8% 0.89× 1.51
H2 under 77.5 62.3% 61.6% 53.0% 1.16× 1.62
H2 under 77.5 61.9% 61.6% 49.8% 1.24× 1.62
H2 over 71.5 59.3% 57.3% 66.4% 0.86× 1.74
H2 over 71.5 59.1% 57.3% 68.8% 0.83× 1.74
H2 under 75.5 55.2% 57.3% 46.6% 1.23× 1.74
H2 under 75.5 55.0% 57.3% 43.6% 1.32× 1.74
H2 over 73.5 52.1% 52.4% 60.4% 0.87× 1.91
H2 under 74.5 51.5% 52.4% 43.0% 1.22× 1.91
H2 over 73.5 52.0% 52.4% 63.1% 0.83× 1.91
H2 under 74.5 51.5% 52.4% 40.0% 1.31× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 47.9% 47.6% 39.6% 1.20× 2.10
H2 over 74.5 48.5% 47.6% 57.0% 0.84× 2.10
H2 under 73.5 48.0% 47.6% 36.9% 1.29× 2.10
H2 over 74.5 48.5% 47.6% 60.0% 0.79× 2.10
H2 over 75.5 44.8% 42.7% 53.4% 0.80× 2.34
H2 over 75.5 45.0% 42.7% 56.4% 0.76× 2.34
H2 under 71.5 40.7% 42.7% 33.6% 1.27× 2.35
H2 under 71.5 40.9% 42.7% 31.2% 1.37× 2.35
H2 over 77.5 38.1% 38.4% 50.2% 0.76× 2.61
H2 over 77.5 37.7% 38.4% 47.0% 0.82× 2.61
H2 under 69.5 33.8% 33.6% 27.2% 1.24× 2.97
H2 under 69.5 34.2% 33.6% 25.2% 1.34× 2.97
H2 over 79.5 31.0% 33.6% 40.3% 0.84× 2.97
H2 over 79.5 31.5% 33.6% 43.8% 0.77× 2.97
H2 under 66.5 25.0% 27.8% 17.7% 1.58× 3.59
H2 under 66.5 24.4% 24.2% 19.2% 1.26× 4.13
H2 over 82.5 22.7% 24.2% 34.7% 0.70× 4.13
H2 over 82.5 22.1% 24.2% 31.1% 0.78× 4.13
H2 under 62.5 15.1% 18.2% 10.2% 1.77× 5.50
H2 over 86.5 13.5% 14.8% 24.3% 0.61× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Towson Tigers leading at half time 63.3% 62.5% 57.9% 1.08× 1.60
Buffalo Bulls leading at half time 32.5% 32.7% 38.2% 0.86× 3.06
Level at half time 4.2% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Towson Tigers +20.5 99.5% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Towson Tigers +12.5 96.5% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Towson Tigers +14.5 97.7% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Towson Tigers +16.5 98.6% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Towson Tigers +18.5 99.1% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Towson Tigers +10.5 94.8% 91.1% 87.2% 1.05× 1.10
Towson Tigers +8.5 92.5% 91.1% 83.3% 1.09× 1.10
Towson Tigers +9.5 93.7% 91.1% 85.3% 1.07× 1.10
Towson Tigers +7.5 91.1% 91.1% 81.0% 1.13× 1.10
Towson Tigers +6.5 89.4% 85.9% 78.8% 1.09× 1.16
Buffalo Bulls +20.5 89.2% 85.9% 86.5% 0.99× 1.16
Towson Tigers +5.5 87.6% 85.9% 76.4% 1.12× 1.16
Towson Tigers +4.5 85.6% 85.9% 73.7% 1.17× 1.16
Buffalo Bulls +18.5 85.3% 85.9% 83.9% 1.02× 1.16
Towson Tigers +3.5 83.3% 81.1% 70.8% 1.15× 1.23
Towson Tigers +2.5 80.9% 81.1% 68.0% 1.19× 1.23
Buffalo Bulls +16.5 80.5% 81.1% 80.7% 1.01× 1.23
Towson Tigers +1.5 78.2% 76.5% 65.4% 1.17× 1.31
Buffalo Bulls +14.5 74.8% 71.6% 77.2% 0.93× 1.40
Towson Tigers −1.5 72.0% 71.6% 60.8% 1.18× 1.40
Towson Tigers −2.5 68.6% 66.7% 57.7% 1.16× 1.50
Buffalo Bulls +12.5 68.4% 66.7% 72.4% 0.92× 1.50
Towson Tigers −3.5 65.0% 66.7% 54.1% 1.23× 1.50
Towson Tigers −4.5 61.4% 61.9% 50.7% 1.22× 1.62
Buffalo Bulls +10.5 61.4% 61.9% 67.4% 0.92× 1.62
Buffalo Bulls +9.5 57.7% 57.1% 64.5% 0.88× 1.75
Towson Tigers −5.5 57.6% 57.1% 47.0% 1.21× 1.75
Towson Tigers −6.5 53.8% 52.4% 44.3% 1.18× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls +8.5 53.9% 52.4% 61.5% 0.85× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls +7.5 50.1% 52.4% 58.7% 0.89× 1.91
Towson Tigers −7.5 49.9% 47.6% 41.3% 1.15× 2.10
Buffalo Bulls +6.5 46.2% 47.6% 55.7% 0.86× 2.10
Towson Tigers −8.5 46.1% 47.6% 38.5% 1.24× 2.10
Buffalo Bulls +5.5 42.4% 42.9% 53.0% 0.81× 2.33
Towson Tigers −9.5 42.3% 42.9% 35.5% 1.21× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls +4.5 38.6% 38.1% 49.3% 0.77× 2.63
Towson Tigers −10.5 38.6% 38.1% 32.6% 1.17× 2.63
Buffalo Bulls +3.5 35.0% 33.3% 45.9% 0.73× 3.01
Buffalo Bulls +2.5 31.4% 33.3% 42.3% 0.79× 3.01
Towson Tigers −12.5 31.6% 33.3% 27.6% 1.20× 3.01
Buffalo Bulls +1.5 28.0% 28.4% 39.2% 0.72× 3.53
Towson Tigers −14.5 25.2% 28.4% 22.8% 1.24× 3.53
Buffalo Bulls −1.5 21.8% 23.5% 34.6% 0.68× 4.25
Buffalo Bulls −2.5 19.1% 18.9% 32.0% 0.59× 5.29
Towson Tigers −16.5 19.5% 18.9% 19.3% 0.98× 5.29
Buffalo Bulls −3.5 16.7% 18.9% 29.3% 0.65× 5.30
Buffalo Bulls −4.5 14.4% 14.1% 26.3% 0.54× 7.09
Towson Tigers −18.5 14.7% 14.1% 16.1% 0.87× 7.09
Buffalo Bulls −5.5 12.4% 14.1% 23.6% 0.60× 7.09
Buffalo Bulls −6.5 10.6% 14.1% 21.2% 0.66× 7.09
Towson Tigers −20.5 10.8% 14.1% 13.5% 1.05× 7.09
Buffalo Bulls −7.5 8.9% 8.9% 19.0% 0.47× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −8.5 7.5% 8.9% 16.7% 0.53× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −9.5 6.3% 8.9% 14.7% 0.61× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −10.5 5.2% 8.9% 12.8% 0.69× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −12.5 3.5% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.73
Buffalo Bulls −14.5 2.3% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.73
Buffalo Bulls −16.5 1.4% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.73
Buffalo Bulls −18.5 0.9% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Buffalo Bulls −20.5 0.5% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 78.2% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 76.6% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 23.4% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 21.8% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Towson Tigers at HT / Towson Tigers at FT 55.6% 56.8% 48.6% 1.17× 1.76
Buffalo Bulls at HT / Towson Tigers at FT 16.7% 15.5% 12.4% 1.25× 6.47
Buffalo Bulls at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 15.8% 15.4% 25.8% 0.60× 6.47
Towson Tigers at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 7.7% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.09
Level at HT / Towson Tigers at FT 3.0% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Level at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 1.2% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Towson Tigers to win 75.3% 75.1% 63.2% 1.19× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls to win 24.7% 25.0% 36.8% 0.68× 4.01
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.5% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Buffalo Bulls even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Towson Tigers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Buffalo Bulls odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Towson Tigers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.5% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.0% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 7.0% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.65
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Towson Tigers under 84.5 86.1% 83.9% 76.1% 1.10× 1.19
Buffalo Bulls over 56.5 85.6% 83.9% 89.8% 0.93× 1.19
Buffalo Bulls under 76.5 85.0% 80.7% 67.9% 1.19× 1.24
Towson Tigers over 64.5 83.3% 80.7% 83.3% 0.97× 1.24
Towson Tigers under 81.5 78.1% 75.1% 67.9% 1.11× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls under 73.5 76.5% 75.1% 58.3% 1.29× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls over 59.5 77.2% 75.1% 84.5% 0.89× 1.33
Towson Tigers over 67.5 74.5% 70.7% 75.9% 0.93× 1.41
Towson Tigers under 79.5 71.6% 70.7% 61.6% 1.15× 1.41
Buffalo Bulls over 61.5 70.3% 70.7% 79.3% 0.89× 1.41
Buffalo Bulls under 71.5 69.6% 66.4% 51.8% 1.28× 1.51
Towson Tigers over 69.5 67.5% 66.4% 69.6% 0.95× 1.51
Towson Tigers under 77.5 64.2% 61.2% 55.4% 1.10× 1.63
Buffalo Bulls over 63.5 62.7% 61.2% 73.9% 0.83× 1.63
Buffalo Bulls under 69.5 62.0% 61.2% 45.2% 1.35× 1.63
Towson Tigers over 71.5 59.9% 57.1% 63.7% 0.90× 1.75
Towson Tigers under 75.5 56.3% 57.1% 49.0% 1.17× 1.75
Buffalo Bulls over 65.5 54.5% 52.3% 67.8% 0.77× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls under 67.5 53.8% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Towson Tigers over 73.5 51.8% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Towson Tigers under 74.5 52.3% 52.3% 45.9% 1.14× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls over 66.5 50.4% 52.3% 64.7% 0.81× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls under 66.5 49.6% 47.7% 35.3% 1.35× 2.09
Towson Tigers under 73.5 48.2% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.09
Towson Tigers over 74.5 47.7% 47.7% 54.1% 0.88× 2.09
Buffalo Bulls under 65.5 45.5% 47.7% 32.2% 1.48× 2.09
Buffalo Bulls over 67.5 46.2% 47.7% 61.6% 0.78× 2.09
Towson Tigers over 75.5 43.7% 42.9% 51.0% 0.84× 2.33
Towson Tigers under 71.5 40.1% 42.9% 36.3% 1.18× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls over 69.5 38.0% 38.8% 54.8% 0.71× 2.58
Buffalo Bulls under 63.5 37.3% 38.8% 26.1% 1.48× 2.58
Towson Tigers over 77.5 35.8% 38.8% 44.6% 0.87× 2.58
Towson Tigers under 69.5 32.5% 33.6% 30.4% 1.10× 2.98
Buffalo Bulls over 71.5 30.4% 33.6% 48.2% 0.70× 2.98
Buffalo Bulls under 61.5 29.7% 29.3% 20.7% 1.42× 3.42
Towson Tigers over 79.5 28.4% 29.3% 38.4% 0.76× 3.42
Towson Tigers under 67.5 25.5% 29.3% 24.1% 1.21× 3.42
Buffalo Bulls over 73.5 23.5% 24.9% 41.7% 0.60× 4.02
Buffalo Bulls under 59.5 22.8% 24.9% 15.5% 1.60× 4.02
Towson Tigers over 81.5 21.9% 24.9% 32.1% 0.78× 4.02
Towson Tigers under 64.5 16.7% 19.3% 16.7% 1.16× 5.18
Buffalo Bulls over 76.5 15.0% 19.3% 32.1% 0.60× 5.18
Buffalo Bulls under 56.5 14.4% 16.1% 10.2% 1.58× 6.21
Towson Tigers over 84.5 13.9% 16.1% 23.9% 0.67× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 120.5 points 89.6% 85.0% 93.1% 0.91× 1.18
Under 160.5 points 89.4% 85.0% 76.4% 1.11× 1.18
Over 125.5 points 82.7% 80.6% 88.0% 0.92× 1.24
Under 155.5 points 82.6% 80.6% 68.1% 1.18× 1.24
Over 130.5 points 73.5% 70.8% 81.5% 0.87× 1.41
Under 150.5 points 73.3% 70.8% 58.4% 1.21× 1.41
Over 133.5 points 67.0% 65.9% 76.4% 0.86× 1.52
Under 147.5 points 66.9% 65.9% 52.2% 1.26× 1.52
Over 135.5 points 62.3% 61.5% 72.9% 0.84× 1.63
Under 145.5 points 62.3% 61.5% 48.2% 1.28× 1.63
Over 137.5 points 57.5% 56.5% 69.0% 0.82× 1.77
Under 143.5 points 57.4% 56.5% 43.7% 1.29× 1.77
Over 139.5 points 52.5% 52.3% 64.6% 0.81× 1.91
Under 141.5 points 52.5% 52.3% 39.6% 1.32× 1.91
Over 140.5 points 50.1% 52.3% 62.8% 0.83× 1.91
Under 140.5 points 49.9% 47.7% 37.2% 1.28× 2.10
Under 139.5 points 47.5% 47.7% 35.4% 1.35× 2.10
Over 141.5 points 47.5% 47.7% 60.4% 0.79× 2.10
Under 137.5 points 42.5% 43.5% 31.0% 1.40× 2.30
Over 143.5 points 42.6% 43.5% 56.3% 0.77× 2.30
Under 135.5 points 37.7% 38.5% 27.1% 1.42× 2.60
Over 145.5 points 37.7% 38.5% 51.8% 0.74× 2.60
Under 133.5 points 33.0% 34.1% 23.6% 1.45× 2.93
Over 147.5 points 33.1% 34.1% 47.8% 0.71× 2.93
Over 150.5 points 26.7% 29.2% 41.6% 0.70× 3.43
Under 130.5 points 26.5% 29.2% 18.5% 1.57× 3.43
Under 125.5 points 17.3% 19.4% 12.0% 1.62× 5.15
Over 155.5 points 17.4% 19.4% 31.9% 0.61× 5.15
Under 120.5 points 10.4% 15.0% 7.0% 2.15× 6.69
Over 160.5 points 10.6% 15.0% 23.6% 0.63× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Towson Tigers to win both halves 37.5% 36.3% 33.2% 1.09× 2.76
Buffalo Bulls to win both halves 7.3% 8.8% 14.5% 0.61× 11.32
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Towson Tigers by 6-10 19.0% 16.8% 14.4% 1.16× 5.97
Towson Tigers by 1-5 17.7% 16.8% 16.2% 1.03× 5.97
Towson Tigers by 11-15 16.4% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
Buffalo Bulls by 1-5 12.3% 12.3% 13.2% 0.93× 8.11
Towson Tigers by 16-20 11.4% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Buffalo Bulls by 6-10 7.2% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Towson Tigers by 21-25 6.4% 7.5% 5.6% 1.34× 13.40
Towson Tigers by 26+ 4.4% 2.0% 7.9% 0.26× 49.29
Buffalo Bulls by 11-15 3.4% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.30
Buffalo Bulls by 16-20 1.3% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.32
Buffalo Bulls by 21-25 0.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.32
Buffalo Bulls by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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