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Tulane Green Wave v Alcorn State Lady Braves — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 20 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Tulane Green Wave win
88.8%
Draw
0.0%
Alcorn State Lady Braves win
11.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 64.28–50.32 64-50 0% 57% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Tulane Green Wave to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Tulane Green Wave to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Tulane Green Wave to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Alcorn State Lady Braves to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Alcorn State Lady Braves to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Alcorn State Lady Braves to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Alcorn State Lady Braves to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win H1 74.3% 73.0% 56.4% 1.29× 1.37
Alcorn State Lady Braves to win H1 22.1% 21.4% 39.9% 0.54× 4.68
H1 tied 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 68.5 90.0% 87.7% 73.5% 1.19× 1.14
H1 over 44.5 88.7% 87.7% 94.7% 0.93× 1.14
H1 under 64.5 80.9% 82.5% 60.7% 1.36× 1.21
H1 over 48.5 78.3% 77.4% 88.8% 0.87× 1.29
H1 under 61.5 71.5% 73.5% 49.8% 1.48× 1.36
H1 over 51.5 68.0% 67.4% 82.0% 0.82× 1.48
H1 under 59.5 64.2% 62.7% 42.2% 1.49× 1.59
H1 over 53.5 60.2% 62.7% 76.8% 0.82× 1.59
H1 under 57.5 56.2% 58.2% 35.2% 1.65× 1.72
H1 over 55.5 52.0% 52.6% 71.0% 0.74× 1.90
H1 under 56.5 52.1% 52.6% 31.8% 1.66× 1.90
H1 under 55.5 48.0% 47.4% 29.0% 1.63× 2.11
H1 over 56.5 47.9% 47.4% 68.2% 0.69× 2.11
H1 over 57.5 43.8% 41.8% 64.8% 0.64× 2.39
H1 under 53.5 39.8% 37.3% 23.2% 1.61× 2.68
H1 over 59.5 35.8% 37.3% 57.8% 0.64× 2.68
H1 under 51.5 32.0% 32.6% 18.0% 1.81× 3.07
H1 over 61.5 28.5% 26.5% 50.2% 0.53× 3.77
H1 under 48.5 21.7% 22.6% 11.2% 2.02× 4.43
H1 over 64.5 19.1% 17.5% 39.3% 0.44× 5.72
H1 under 44.5 11.3% 12.3% 5.3% 2.34× 8.14
H1 over 68.5 10.0% 12.3% 26.5% 0.46× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win H2 75.7% 73.9% 56.0% 1.32× 1.35
Alcorn State Lady Braves to win H2 20.9% 26.8% 40.6% 0.66× 3.73
H2 tied 3.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 49.5 88.4% 85.2% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 88.4% 85.2% 67.1% 1.27× 1.17
H2 under 69.5 79.0% 75.8% 54.8% 1.38× 1.32
H2 over 53.5 78.3% 75.8% 89.7% 0.85× 1.32
H2 over 56.5 68.4% 66.4% 84.1% 0.79× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 69.6% 66.4% 44.6% 1.49× 1.51
H2 under 64.5 62.4% 61.6% 37.9% 1.63× 1.62
H2 over 58.5 61.0% 61.6% 79.6% 0.77× 1.62
H2 under 62.5 54.8% 52.4% 31.7% 1.65× 1.91
H2 over 60.5 53.1% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
H2 under 61.5 50.8% 52.4% 28.7% 1.82× 1.91
H2 over 61.5 49.2% 47.6% 71.3% 0.67× 2.10
H2 under 60.5 46.9% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 45.2% 47.6% 68.3% 0.70× 2.10
H2 under 58.5 39.0% 38.4% 20.4% 1.88× 2.61
H2 over 64.5 37.6% 38.4% 62.1% 0.62× 2.61
H2 under 56.5 31.6% 33.6% 15.9% 2.12× 2.97
H2 over 66.5 30.4% 33.6% 55.4% 0.61× 2.97
H2 under 53.5 21.7% 24.2% 10.3% 2.34× 4.13
H2 over 69.5 21.0% 24.2% 45.2% 0.54× 4.13
H2 under 49.5 11.6% 14.8% 5.0% 2.94× 6.76
H2 over 73.5 11.6% 14.8% 32.9% 0.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave leading at half time 74.3% 73.5% 56.4% 1.30× 1.36
Alcorn State Lady Braves leading at half time 22.1% 20.9% 39.9% 0.52× 4.78
Level at half time 3.6% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave +14.5 99.4% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +16.5 99.7% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +18.5 99.8% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +6.5 96.2% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +7.5 96.9% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +8.5 97.5% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +9.5 98.0% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +10.5 98.4% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +12.5 99.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +5.5 95.4% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Tulane Green Wave +4.5 94.4% 91.1% 67.8% 1.34× 1.10
Tulane Green Wave +3.5 93.3% 91.1% 65.7% 1.39× 1.10
Tulane Green Wave +1.5 90.5% 91.1% 61.2% 1.49× 1.10
Tulane Green Wave +2.5 92.0% 91.1% 63.3% 1.44× 1.10
Tulane Green Wave −1.5 86.7% 85.9% 58.7% 1.46× 1.16
Tulane Green Wave −2.5 84.4% 81.1% 56.7% 1.43× 1.23
Tulane Green Wave −3.5 81.9% 81.1% 54.2% 1.50× 1.23
Tulane Green Wave −4.5 79.1% 76.5% 52.2% 1.47× 1.31
Tulane Green Wave −5.5 76.2% 76.5% 49.7% 1.54× 1.31
Alcorn State Lady Braves +20.5 76.9% 76.5% 82.0% 0.93× 1.31
Tulane Green Wave −6.5 73.1% 71.6% 47.6% 1.51× 1.40
Alcorn State Lady Braves +18.5 70.6% 71.6% 79.3% 0.90× 1.40
Tulane Green Wave −7.5 69.8% 66.7% 44.8% 1.49× 1.50
Tulane Green Wave −8.5 66.3% 66.7% 42.0% 1.59× 1.50
Tulane Green Wave −9.5 62.7% 61.9% 39.3% 1.58× 1.62
Alcorn State Lady Braves +16.5 63.7% 61.9% 75.7% 0.82× 1.62
Tulane Green Wave −10.5 59.0% 57.1% 36.8% 1.55× 1.75
Alcorn State Lady Braves +14.5 56.3% 57.1% 72.1% 0.79× 1.75
Tulane Green Wave −12.5 51.4% 52.4% 32.1% 1.63× 1.91
Alcorn State Lady Braves +12.5 48.6% 47.6% 67.9% 0.70× 2.10
Tulane Green Wave −14.5 43.7% 42.9% 27.9% 1.54× 2.33
Alcorn State Lady Braves +10.5 41.0% 42.9% 63.2% 0.68× 2.33
Alcorn State Lady Braves +9.5 37.3% 38.1% 60.7% 0.63× 2.63
Tulane Green Wave −16.5 36.3% 38.1% 24.3% 1.57× 2.63
Alcorn State Lady Braves +8.5 33.7% 33.3% 58.0% 0.57× 3.01
Alcorn State Lady Braves +7.5 30.2% 33.3% 55.2% 0.60× 3.01
Tulane Green Wave −18.5 29.4% 28.4% 20.7% 1.37× 3.53
Alcorn State Lady Braves +6.5 26.9% 28.4% 52.4% 0.54× 3.53
Alcorn State Lady Braves +5.5 23.8% 23.5% 50.3% 0.47× 4.25
Tulane Green Wave −20.5 23.1% 23.5% 18.0% 1.31× 4.25
Alcorn State Lady Braves +4.5 20.9% 23.5% 47.8% 0.49× 4.25
Alcorn State Lady Braves +3.5 18.1% 18.9% 45.8% 0.41× 5.29
Alcorn State Lady Braves +2.5 15.6% 18.9% 43.3% 0.44× 5.30
Alcorn State Lady Braves +1.5 13.3% 14.1% 41.3% 0.34× 7.09
Alcorn State Lady Braves −1.5 9.5% 8.9% 38.8% 0.23× 11.25
Alcorn State Lady Braves −2.5 8.0% 8.9% 36.7% 0.24× 11.25
Alcorn State Lady Braves −3.5 6.7% 8.9% 34.3% 0.26× 11.25
Alcorn State Lady Braves −4.5 5.6% 8.9% 32.2% 0.28× 11.25
Alcorn State Lady Braves −5.5 4.6% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.72
Alcorn State Lady Braves −6.5 3.8% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.73
Alcorn State Lady Braves −7.5 3.1% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.73
Alcorn State Lady Braves −8.5 2.5% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.73
Alcorn State Lady Braves −9.5 2.0% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.73
Alcorn State Lady Braves −10.5 1.6% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Alcorn State Lady Braves −12.5 1.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Alcorn State Lady Braves −14.5 0.6% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Alcorn State Lady Braves −16.5 0.3% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Alcorn State Lady Braves −18.5 0.2% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Alcorn State Lady Braves −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.1% 67.0% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.9% 33.0% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.6% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave at HT / Tulane Green Wave at FT 70.6% 73.1% 48.3% 1.52× 1.37
Alcorn State Lady Braves at HT / Tulane Green Wave at FT 15.2% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Alcorn State Lady Braves at HT / Alcorn State Lady Braves at FT 6.9% 8.3% 30.1% 0.27× 12.09
Tulane Green Wave at HT / Alcorn State Lady Braves at FT 3.7% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.73
Level at HT / Tulane Green Wave at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Alcorn State Lady Braves at FT 0.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win 88.8% 85.6% 59.9% 1.43× 1.17
Alcorn State Lady Braves to win 11.2% 14.4% 40.1% 0.36× 6.92
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Alcorn State Lady Braves even 50.6% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Tulane Green Wave odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Alcorn State Lady Braves odd 49.4% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.9% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.1% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.38
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win Q1 65.5% 72.2% 54.7% 1.32× 1.39
Alcorn State Lady Braves to win Q1 29.0% 22.5% 40.4% 0.56× 4.45
Q1 tied 5.5% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 36.5 89.6% 87.4% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 over 20.5 87.9% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 33.5 79.0% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 23.5 76.2% 76.9% 85.4% 0.90× 1.30
Q1 under 31.5 69.3% 67.6% 54.0% 1.25× 1.48
Q1 over 25.5 65.8% 67.6% 77.6% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 under 29.5 58.0% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 over 27.5 54.0% 52.7% 67.7% 0.78× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 52.0% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 48.0% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 under 27.5 46.0% 47.3% 32.3% 1.47× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 42.0% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 34.2% 32.4% 22.4% 1.45× 3.08
Q1 over 31.5 30.7% 32.4% 46.0% 0.70× 3.08
Q1 under 23.5 23.8% 23.1% 14.6% 1.58× 4.33
Q1 over 33.5 21.0% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 under 20.5 12.1% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q1 over 36.5 10.4% 12.6% 22.6% 0.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win Q2 65.0% 68.3% 52.9% 1.29× 1.46
Alcorn State Lady Braves to win Q2 29.5% 27.8% 41.5% 0.67× 3.60
Q2 tied 5.5% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 36.5 90.4% 90.8% 78.7% 1.15× 1.10
Q2 over 20.5 87.0% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 33.5 80.3% 83.0% 65.6% 1.27× 1.21
Q2 over 23.5 74.7% 72.0% 84.6% 0.85× 1.39
Q2 under 31.5 70.9% 72.0% 55.7% 1.29× 1.39
Q2 over 25.5 64.1% 60.7% 76.2% 0.80× 1.65
Q2 under 29.5 59.7% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 53.8% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 27.5 52.3% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 27.5 47.7% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 28.5 46.2% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 40.3% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 35.9% 39.3% 23.8% 1.65× 2.55
Q2 over 31.5 29.1% 28.0% 44.3% 0.63× 3.57
Q2 under 23.5 25.3% 28.0% 15.4% 1.82× 3.57
Q2 over 33.5 19.7% 17.0% 34.4% 0.49× 5.88
Q2 under 20.5 13.0% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.89
Q2 over 36.5 9.6% 9.2% 21.3% 0.43× 10.83
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win Q3 66.6% 66.7% 53.3% 1.25× 1.50
Alcorn State Lady Braves to win Q3 28.1% 28.8% 41.8% 0.69× 3.47
Q3 tied 5.3% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.98
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 22.5 88.8% 87.2% 94.1% 0.93× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 87.6% 87.2% 73.9% 1.18× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 77.9% 77.3% 86.9% 0.89× 1.29
Q3 under 35.5 76.3% 77.3% 59.7% 1.30× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 68.0% 67.8% 80.0% 0.85× 1.48
Q3 under 33.5 66.3% 67.8% 49.1% 1.38× 1.48
Q3 over 29.5 56.8% 58.4% 71.8% 0.81× 1.71
Q3 under 31.5 55.0% 58.4% 38.4% 1.52× 1.71
Q3 over 30.5 50.9% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 30.5 49.1% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 31.5 45.0% 41.6% 61.6% 0.68× 2.40
Q3 under 29.5 43.2% 41.6% 28.2% 1.48× 2.40
Q3 over 33.5 33.7% 32.2% 50.9% 0.63× 3.10
Q3 under 27.5 32.0% 32.2% 20.0% 1.61× 3.10
Q3 over 35.5 23.7% 22.7% 40.3% 0.56× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 22.1% 22.7% 13.1% 1.74× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 12.4% 12.8% 26.1% 0.49× 7.83
Q3 under 22.5 11.2% 12.8% 5.9% 2.18× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win Q4 66.3% 60.6% 52.8% 1.15× 1.65
Alcorn State Lady Braves to win Q4 28.5% 33.4% 41.5% 0.80× 3.00
Q4 tied 5.2% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 22.5 87.6% 85.6% 93.3% 0.92× 1.17
Q4 under 38.5 86.0% 85.6% 73.1% 1.17× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 76.8% 76.9% 86.1% 0.89× 1.30
Q4 under 35.5 74.7% 71.5% 59.4% 1.20× 1.40
Q4 over 27.5 67.4% 67.4% 78.9% 0.85× 1.48
Q4 under 33.5 65.1% 67.4% 49.6% 1.36× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 56.7% 58.4% 70.8% 0.82× 1.71
Q4 under 31.5 54.4% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 30.5 51.2% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 30.5 48.8% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 31.5 45.6% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 under 29.5 43.3% 41.6% 29.2% 1.43× 2.40
Q4 over 33.5 34.9% 32.6% 50.4% 0.65× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 32.6% 32.6% 21.1% 1.54× 3.07
Q4 over 35.5 25.3% 28.5% 40.6% 0.70× 3.51
Q4 under 25.5 23.2% 23.1% 13.9% 1.66× 4.33
Q4 over 38.5 14.0% 14.4% 26.9% 0.53× 6.95
Q4 under 22.5 12.4% 14.4% 6.7% 2.13× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 42.5 91.0% 86.4% 94.8% 0.91× 1.16
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 62.5 89.4% 83.9% 51.0% 1.65× 1.19
Tulane Green Wave under 75.5 86.7% 83.9% 73.2% 1.15× 1.19
Tulane Green Wave over 55.5 84.9% 80.7% 81.6% 0.99× 1.24
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 59.5 81.9% 80.7% 41.2% 1.96× 1.24
Tulane Green Wave under 72.5 78.6% 75.1% 65.7% 1.14× 1.33
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 45.5 79.3% 75.1% 91.3% 0.82× 1.33
Tulane Green Wave over 58.5 76.0% 75.1% 74.7% 1.01× 1.33
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 57.5 75.3% 75.1% 34.9% 2.16× 1.33
Tulane Green Wave under 70.5 71.9% 70.7% 60.3% 1.17× 1.41
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 47.5 70.2% 70.7% 88.4% 0.80× 1.41
Tulane Green Wave over 60.5 68.9% 66.4% 69.5% 0.96× 1.51
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 55.5 67.6% 66.4% 29.2% 2.27× 1.51
Tulane Green Wave under 68.5 64.2% 61.2% 54.4% 1.12× 1.63
Tulane Green Wave over 62.5 60.9% 61.2% 64.3% 0.95× 1.63
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 49.5 60.6% 61.2% 85.1% 0.72× 1.63
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 53.5 58.7% 57.1% 23.7% 2.41× 1.75
Tulane Green Wave under 66.5 56.0% 57.1% 48.2% 1.19× 1.75
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 52.5 54.0% 52.3% 21.5% 2.43× 1.91
Tulane Green Wave over 64.5 52.5% 52.3% 58.4% 0.89× 1.91
Tulane Green Wave under 65.5 51.8% 52.3% 44.7% 1.17× 1.91
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 51.5 50.8% 52.3% 81.0% 0.65× 1.91
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 51.5 49.2% 47.7% 19.0% 2.51× 2.09
Tulane Green Wave under 64.5 47.5% 47.7% 41.6% 1.15× 2.09
Tulane Green Wave over 65.5 48.2% 47.7% 55.3% 0.86× 2.09
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 52.5 46.0% 47.7% 78.5% 0.61× 2.09
Tulane Green Wave over 66.5 44.0% 42.9% 51.8% 0.83× 2.33
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 53.5 41.3% 42.9% 76.3% 0.56× 2.33
Tulane Green Wave under 62.5 39.1% 38.8% 35.7% 1.09× 2.58
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 49.5 39.4% 38.8% 14.9% 2.60× 2.58
Tulane Green Wave over 68.5 35.8% 38.8% 45.6% 0.85× 2.58
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 55.5 32.4% 33.6% 70.8% 0.47× 2.98
Tulane Green Wave under 60.5 31.1% 33.6% 30.5% 1.10× 2.98
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 47.5 29.8% 29.3% 11.6% 2.52× 3.42
Tulane Green Wave over 70.5 28.1% 29.3% 39.7% 0.74× 3.42
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 57.5 24.7% 24.9% 65.1% 0.38× 4.02
Tulane Green Wave under 58.5 24.0% 24.9% 25.3% 0.98× 4.02
Tulane Green Wave over 72.5 21.4% 24.9% 34.3% 0.72× 4.02
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 45.5 20.7% 24.9% 8.7% 2.87× 4.02
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 59.5 18.1% 19.3% 58.8% 0.33× 5.18
Tulane Green Wave under 55.5 15.1% 19.3% 18.5% 1.05× 5.18
Tulane Green Wave over 75.5 13.3% 16.1% 26.8% 0.60× 6.21
Alcorn State Lady Braves over 62.5 10.6% 16.1% 49.0% 0.33× 6.21
Alcorn State Lady Braves under 42.5 9.0% 13.6% 5.2% 2.62× 7.37
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 97.5 points 94.1% 88.8% 96.9% 0.92× 1.13
Under 137.5 points 92.6% 88.8% 66.2% 1.34× 1.13
Over 102.5 points 87.1% 85.0% 94.3% 0.90× 1.18
Under 132.5 points 86.5% 85.0% 56.0% 1.52× 1.18
Under 127.5 points 77.5% 75.6% 44.9% 1.69× 1.32
Over 107.5 points 76.5% 75.6% 90.2% 0.84× 1.32
Under 124.5 points 70.7% 70.8% 38.5% 1.84× 1.41
Over 110.5 points 68.7% 65.9% 86.4% 0.76× 1.52
Under 122.5 points 65.6% 65.9% 34.4% 1.91× 1.52
Over 112.5 points 63.1% 61.5% 83.6% 0.74× 1.63
Under 120.5 points 60.2% 61.5% 30.2% 2.04× 1.63
Over 114.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 80.4% 0.70× 1.77
Under 118.5 points 54.5% 52.3% 26.4% 1.98× 1.91
Under 117.5 points 51.6% 52.3% 24.7% 2.12× 1.91
Over 116.5 points 51.4% 52.3% 77.2% 0.68× 1.91
Under 116.5 points 48.6% 47.7% 22.8% 2.09× 2.10
Over 117.5 points 48.4% 47.7% 75.3% 0.63× 2.10
Over 118.5 points 45.5% 47.7% 73.6% 0.65× 2.10
Under 114.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 19.6% 2.22× 2.30
Over 120.5 points 39.8% 38.5% 69.8% 0.55× 2.60
Under 112.5 points 36.9% 38.5% 16.4% 2.35× 2.60
Over 122.5 points 34.4% 34.1% 65.6% 0.52× 2.93
Under 110.5 points 31.3% 34.1% 13.6% 2.52× 2.93
Over 124.5 points 29.3% 29.2% 61.5% 0.47× 3.43
Under 107.5 points 23.5% 24.4% 9.8% 2.48× 4.10
Over 127.5 points 22.5% 24.4% 55.1% 0.44× 4.10
Over 132.5 points 13.5% 15.0% 44.0% 0.34× 6.68
Under 102.5 points 12.9% 15.0% 5.7% 2.61× 6.69
Over 137.5 points 7.4% 11.2% 33.8% 0.33× 8.97
Under 97.5 points 5.9% 11.2% 3.1% 3.64× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave to win both halves 53.9% 50.5% 36.0% 1.40× 1.98
Alcorn State Lady Braves to win both halves 2.8% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.67
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Tulane Green Wave by 11-15 19.0% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Tulane Green Wave by 6-10 17.2% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Tulane Green Wave by 16-20 16.9% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Tulane Green Wave by 1-5 12.6% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Tulane Green Wave by 21-25 12.0% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
Tulane Green Wave by 26+ 11.1% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.11
Alcorn State Lady Braves by 1-5 6.6% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Alcorn State Lady Braves by 6-10 3.0% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.30
Alcorn State Lady Braves by 11-15 1.1% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Alcorn State Lady Braves by 16-20 0.3% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Alcorn State Lady Braves by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Alcorn State Lady Braves by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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