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UAlbany Great Danes v Bucknell Bison — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 18 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
UAlbany Great Danes win
79.9%
Draw
0.0%
Bucknell Bison win
20.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 55.75–45.46 56-46 0% 66% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
UAlbany Great Danes to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
UAlbany Great Danes to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
UAlbany Great Danes to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Bucknell Bison to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Bucknell Bison to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Bucknell Bison to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Bucknell Bison to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes to win H1 65.8% 68.3% 56.4% 1.21× 1.47
Bucknell Bison to win H1 29.9% 26.6% 39.9% 0.67× 3.76
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 63.5 90.6% 90.8% 57.1% 1.59× 1.10
H1 over 39.5 90.1% 90.8% 98.5% 0.92× 1.10
H1 under 59.5 81.5% 82.5% 42.2% 1.96× 1.21
H1 over 43.5 79.8% 77.4% 95.8% 0.81× 1.29
H1 under 56.5 71.9% 73.5% 31.8% 2.31× 1.36
H1 over 46.5 69.2% 67.4% 92.3% 0.73× 1.48
H1 under 54.5 64.3% 62.7% 26.0% 2.41× 1.59
H1 over 48.5 61.1% 62.7% 88.8% 0.71× 1.59
H1 under 52.5 56.0% 58.2% 20.4% 2.85× 1.72
H1 over 50.5 52.6% 52.6% 84.5% 0.62× 1.90
H1 under 51.5 51.8% 52.6% 18.0% 2.93× 1.90
H1 under 50.5 47.4% 47.4% 15.5% 3.06× 2.11
H1 over 51.5 48.2% 47.4% 82.0% 0.58× 2.11
H1 over 52.5 44.0% 41.8% 79.6% 0.53× 2.39
H1 under 48.5 38.9% 37.3% 11.2% 3.34× 2.68
H1 over 54.5 35.7% 37.3% 74.0% 0.50× 2.68
H1 under 46.5 30.8% 32.6% 7.7% 4.24× 3.07
H1 over 56.5 28.1% 26.5% 68.2% 0.39× 3.77
H1 under 43.5 20.2% 22.6% 4.2% 5.32× 4.43
H1 over 59.5 18.5% 17.5% 57.8% 0.30× 5.72
H1 under 39.5 9.9% 9.2% 1.5% 6.06× 10.86
H1 over 63.5 9.4% 9.2% 42.9% 0.21× 10.88
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes to win H2 67.0% 62.8% 56.0% 1.12× 1.59
Bucknell Bison to win H2 29.0% 31.3% 40.6% 0.77× 3.20
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 68.5 90.0% 85.2% 51.3% 1.66× 1.17
H2 over 44.5 89.0% 85.2% 98.4% 0.87× 1.17
H2 under 64.5 81.0% 81.8% 37.9% 2.16× 1.22
H2 over 48.5 78.5% 75.8% 95.7% 0.79× 1.32
H2 under 61.5 71.7% 72.2% 28.7% 2.51× 1.39
H2 over 51.5 68.0% 66.4% 92.7% 0.72× 1.51
H2 under 59.5 64.4% 61.6% 23.0% 2.68× 1.62
H2 over 53.5 60.1% 61.6% 89.7% 0.69× 1.62
H2 under 57.5 56.5% 57.3% 17.8% 3.22× 1.74
H2 over 55.5 51.8% 52.4% 86.1% 0.61× 1.91
H2 under 56.5 52.4% 52.4% 15.9% 3.30× 1.91
H2 under 55.5 48.2% 47.6% 13.9% 3.43× 2.10
H2 over 56.5 47.6% 47.6% 84.1% 0.57× 2.10
H2 over 57.5 43.5% 42.7% 82.2% 0.52× 2.34
H2 under 53.5 39.9% 38.4% 10.3% 3.72× 2.61
H2 over 59.5 35.6% 38.4% 77.0% 0.50× 2.61
H2 under 51.5 32.0% 33.6% 7.3% 4.58× 2.97
H2 over 61.5 28.3% 27.8% 71.3% 0.39× 3.59
H2 under 48.5 21.5% 24.2% 4.3% 5.60× 4.13
H2 over 64.5 19.0% 18.2% 62.1% 0.29× 5.50
H2 under 44.5 11.0% 14.8% 1.6% 9.39× 6.76
H2 over 68.5 10.0% 14.8% 48.7% 0.30× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes leading at half time 65.8% 68.4% 56.4% 1.21× 1.46
Bucknell Bison leading at half time 29.9% 26.5% 39.9% 0.66× 3.77
Level at half time 4.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes +16.5 99.4% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
UAlbany Great Danes +18.5 99.6% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
UAlbany Great Danes +20.5 99.8% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
UAlbany Great Danes +9.5 96.2% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
UAlbany Great Danes +10.5 96.9% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
UAlbany Great Danes +12.5 98.1% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
UAlbany Great Danes +14.5 98.9% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
UAlbany Great Danes +8.5 95.2% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
UAlbany Great Danes +6.5 92.8% 91.1% 72.3% 1.26× 1.10
UAlbany Great Danes +7.5 94.1% 91.1% 74.5% 1.22× 1.10
UAlbany Great Danes +5.5 91.3% 91.1% 70.1% 1.30× 1.10
UAlbany Great Danes +4.5 89.5% 85.9% 67.8% 1.27× 1.16
Bucknell Bison +20.5 89.3% 85.9% 82.0% 1.05× 1.16
UAlbany Great Danes +3.5 87.5% 85.9% 65.7% 1.31× 1.16
UAlbany Great Danes +2.5 85.3% 85.9% 63.3% 1.36× 1.16
Bucknell Bison +18.5 85.1% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
UAlbany Great Danes +1.5 82.7% 81.1% 61.2% 1.32× 1.23
Bucknell Bison +16.5 79.9% 76.5% 75.7% 1.01× 1.31
UAlbany Great Danes −1.5 76.6% 76.5% 58.7% 1.30× 1.31
Bucknell Bison +14.5 73.7% 71.6% 72.1% 0.99× 1.40
UAlbany Great Danes −2.5 73.0% 71.6% 56.7% 1.26× 1.40
UAlbany Great Danes −3.5 69.3% 66.7% 54.2% 1.23× 1.50
Bucknell Bison +12.5 66.6% 66.7% 67.9% 0.98× 1.50
UAlbany Great Danes −4.5 65.5% 66.7% 52.2% 1.28× 1.50
UAlbany Great Danes −5.5 61.5% 61.9% 49.7% 1.25× 1.62
Bucknell Bison +10.5 58.9% 57.1% 63.2% 0.90× 1.75
UAlbany Great Danes −6.5 57.4% 57.1% 47.6% 1.20× 1.75
Bucknell Bison +9.5 54.9% 52.4% 60.7% 0.86× 1.91
UAlbany Great Danes −7.5 53.3% 52.4% 44.8% 1.17× 1.91
Bucknell Bison +8.5 50.8% 52.4% 58.0% 0.90× 1.91
UAlbany Great Danes −8.5 49.2% 47.6% 42.0% 1.13× 2.10
Bucknell Bison +7.5 46.7% 47.6% 55.2% 0.86× 2.10
UAlbany Great Danes −9.5 45.1% 47.6% 39.3% 1.21× 2.10
Bucknell Bison +6.5 42.6% 42.9% 52.4% 0.82× 2.33
UAlbany Great Danes −10.5 41.1% 42.9% 36.8% 1.17× 2.33
Bucknell Bison +5.5 38.5% 38.1% 50.3% 0.76× 2.63
Bucknell Bison +4.5 34.5% 33.3% 47.8% 0.70× 3.01
UAlbany Great Danes −12.5 33.4% 33.3% 32.1% 1.04× 3.01
Bucknell Bison +3.5 30.7% 33.3% 45.8% 0.73× 3.01
Bucknell Bison +2.5 27.0% 28.4% 43.3% 0.66× 3.53
UAlbany Great Danes −14.5 26.3% 28.4% 27.9% 1.02× 3.53
Bucknell Bison +1.5 23.4% 23.5% 41.3% 0.57× 4.25
UAlbany Great Danes −16.5 20.1% 23.5% 24.3% 0.97× 4.25
Bucknell Bison −1.5 17.3% 18.9% 38.8% 0.49× 5.29
Bucknell Bison −2.5 14.7% 14.1% 36.7% 0.39× 7.09
UAlbany Great Danes −18.5 14.9% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
Bucknell Bison −3.5 12.5% 14.1% 34.3% 0.41× 7.09
Bucknell Bison −4.5 10.5% 14.1% 32.2% 0.44× 7.09
UAlbany Great Danes −20.5 10.7% 14.1% 18.0% 0.78× 7.09
Bucknell Bison −5.5 8.7% 8.9% 29.9% 0.30× 11.25
Bucknell Bison −6.5 7.2% 8.9% 27.7% 0.32× 11.25
Bucknell Bison −7.5 5.9% 8.9% 25.5% 0.35× 11.25
Bucknell Bison −8.5 4.8% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.72
Bucknell Bison −9.5 3.8% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.73
Bucknell Bison −10.5 3.1% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Bucknell Bison −12.5 1.9% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.73
Bucknell Bison −14.5 1.1% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Bucknell Bison −16.5 0.6% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Bucknell Bison −18.5 0.4% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Bucknell Bison −20.5 0.2% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 68.4% 71.5% 66.7% 1.07× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 31.6% 28.5% 33.3% 0.85× 3.51
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 32.9% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.2% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.7% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes at HT / UAlbany Great Danes at FT 59.3% 56.8% 48.3% 1.18× 1.76
Bucknell Bison at HT / UAlbany Great Danes at FT 17.4% 15.5% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Bucknell Bison at HT / Bucknell Bison at FT 12.5% 12.2% 30.1% 0.41× 8.17
UAlbany Great Danes at HT / Bucknell Bison at FT 6.6% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.09
Level at HT / UAlbany Great Danes at FT 3.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Bucknell Bison at FT 1.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes to win 79.9% 75.1% 59.9% 1.25× 1.33
Bucknell Bison to win 20.1% 24.9% 40.1% 0.62× 4.02
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.5% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
UAlbany Great Danes even 50.2% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Bucknell Bison even 51.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
UAlbany Great Danes odd 49.8% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Bucknell Bison odd 48.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.5% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.8% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.2% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes to win Q1 59.2% 57.3% 54.7% 1.05× 1.75
Bucknell Bison to win Q1 34.9% 30.4% 40.4% 0.75× 3.29
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 34.5 91.2% 91.1% 68.5% 1.33× 1.10
Q1 over 18.5 87.1% 87.4% 96.9% 0.90× 1.14
Q1 under 31.5 81.4% 82.8% 54.0% 1.53× 1.21
Q1 over 21.5 74.5% 72.7% 91.5% 0.79× 1.38
Q1 under 29.5 72.1% 72.7% 43.1% 1.69× 1.38
Q1 over 23.5 63.5% 61.7% 85.4% 0.72× 1.62
Q1 under 27.5 60.9% 61.7% 32.3% 1.91× 1.62
Q1 under 26.5 54.8% 52.7% 27.1% 1.94× 1.90
Q1 over 25.5 51.4% 52.7% 77.6% 0.68× 1.90
Q1 under 25.5 48.6% 47.3% 22.4% 2.11× 2.11
Q1 over 26.5 45.2% 47.3% 72.9% 0.65× 2.11
Q1 over 27.5 39.1% 38.3% 67.7% 0.57× 2.61
Q1 under 23.5 36.5% 38.3% 14.6% 2.62× 2.61
Q1 over 29.5 27.9% 27.3% 56.9% 0.48× 3.66
Q1 under 21.5 25.5% 27.3% 8.5% 3.22× 3.66
Q1 over 31.5 18.6% 17.2% 46.0% 0.37× 5.83
Q1 under 18.5 12.9% 12.6% 3.1% 4.02× 7.95
Q1 over 34.5 8.8% 8.9% 31.5% 0.28× 11.22
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes to win Q2 58.9% 59.4% 52.9% 1.12× 1.68
Bucknell Bison to win Q2 35.3% 35.7% 41.5% 0.86× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 17.5 89.4% 87.3% 97.3% 0.90× 1.15
Q2 under 33.5 89.3% 87.3% 65.6% 1.33× 1.15
Q2 under 30.5 78.2% 76.8% 50.1% 1.53× 1.30
Q2 over 20.5 78.0% 76.8% 92.7% 0.83× 1.30
Q2 under 28.5 68.2% 67.4% 38.8% 1.73× 1.49
Q2 over 22.5 67.7% 67.4% 87.4% 0.77× 1.49
Q2 under 26.5 56.5% 58.2% 28.4% 2.05× 1.72
Q2 over 24.5 55.9% 58.2% 80.7% 0.72× 1.72
Q2 under 25.5 50.3% 52.7% 23.8% 2.21× 1.90
Q2 over 25.5 49.7% 47.3% 76.2% 0.62× 2.11
Q2 under 24.5 44.1% 41.8% 19.3% 2.17× 2.39
Q2 over 26.5 43.5% 41.8% 71.6% 0.58× 2.39
Q2 under 22.5 32.3% 32.6% 12.6% 2.60× 3.06
Q2 over 28.5 31.8% 32.6% 61.2% 0.53× 3.06
Q2 under 20.5 22.0% 23.2% 7.3% 3.18× 4.31
Q2 over 30.5 21.8% 23.2% 49.9% 0.46× 4.31
Q2 under 17.5 10.7% 12.7% 2.7% 4.64× 7.90
Q2 over 33.5 10.7% 12.7% 34.4% 0.37× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes to win Q3 60.0% 56.8% 53.3% 1.07× 1.76
Bucknell Bison to win Q3 34.3% 33.8% 41.8% 0.81× 2.96
Q3 tied 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 36.5 90.1% 90.8% 64.6% 1.41× 1.10
Q3 over 20.5 87.5% 87.2% 96.9% 0.90× 1.15
Q3 under 33.5 79.8% 77.3% 49.1% 1.58× 1.29
Q3 over 23.5 75.4% 77.3% 92.2% 0.84× 1.29
Q3 under 31.5 70.3% 71.8% 38.4% 1.87× 1.39
Q3 over 25.5 64.8% 62.0% 86.9% 0.71× 1.61
Q3 under 29.5 59.1% 58.4% 28.2% 2.07× 1.71
Q3 over 27.5 53.0% 52.3% 80.0% 0.65× 1.91
Q3 under 28.5 53.1% 52.3% 23.6% 2.21× 1.91
Q3 under 27.5 47.0% 47.7% 20.0% 2.39× 2.10
Q3 over 28.5 46.9% 47.7% 76.4% 0.62× 2.10
Q3 over 29.5 40.9% 41.6% 71.8% 0.58× 2.40
Q3 under 25.5 35.2% 38.0% 13.1% 2.91× 2.63
Q3 over 31.5 29.7% 28.2% 61.6% 0.46× 3.55
Q3 under 23.5 24.6% 22.7% 7.8% 2.91× 4.40
Q3 over 33.5 20.2% 22.7% 50.9% 0.45× 4.40
Q3 under 20.5 12.5% 12.8% 3.1% 4.18× 7.83
Q3 over 36.5 9.9% 9.2% 35.4% 0.26× 10.88
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes to win Q4 59.8% 52.1% 52.8% 0.99× 1.92
Bucknell Bison to win Q4 34.6% 37.4% 41.5% 0.90× 2.67
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 36.5 88.5% 85.6% 64.3% 1.33× 1.17
Q4 over 20.5 86.2% 85.6% 96.3% 0.89× 1.17
Q4 under 33.5 78.1% 76.9% 49.6% 1.55× 1.30
Q4 over 23.5 74.3% 71.5% 91.2% 0.78× 1.40
Q4 under 31.5 68.9% 67.4% 38.9% 1.73× 1.48
Q4 over 25.5 64.2% 61.4% 86.1% 0.71× 1.63
Q4 under 29.5 58.2% 58.4% 29.2% 2.00× 1.71
Q4 over 27.5 53.1% 52.5% 78.9% 0.67× 1.91
Q4 under 28.5 52.6% 52.5% 24.9% 2.11× 1.91
Q4 over 28.5 47.4% 47.5% 75.1% 0.63× 2.11
Q4 under 27.5 46.9% 47.5% 21.1% 2.25× 2.11
Q4 over 29.5 41.8% 41.6% 70.8% 0.59× 2.40
Q4 under 25.5 35.8% 38.6% 13.9% 2.78× 2.59
Q4 over 31.5 31.1% 32.6% 61.1% 0.53× 3.07
Q4 under 23.5 25.7% 28.5% 8.8% 3.22× 3.51
Q4 over 33.5 21.9% 23.1% 50.4% 0.46× 4.33
Q4 under 20.5 13.9% 14.4% 3.7% 3.93× 6.95
Q4 over 36.5 11.5% 14.4% 35.7% 0.40× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bucknell Bison under 59.5 91.1% 86.4% 41.2% 2.10× 1.16
UAlbany Great Danes under 68.5 88.5% 83.9% 54.4% 1.54× 1.19
UAlbany Great Danes over 48.5 84.9% 80.7% 93.3% 0.86× 1.24
Bucknell Bison over 42.5 84.6% 80.7% 94.8% 0.85× 1.24
Bucknell Bison under 56.5 84.0% 80.7% 32.0% 2.52× 1.24
UAlbany Great Danes under 65.5 80.9% 80.7% 44.7% 1.80× 1.24
Bucknell Bison over 39.5 100.0% 75.6% 97.0% 0.78× 1.32
Bucknell Bison under 54.5 77.5% 75.1% 26.5% 2.84× 1.33
UAlbany Great Danes over 51.5 75.1% 75.1% 89.3% 0.84× 1.33
UAlbany Great Danes under 63.5 74.4% 70.7% 38.5% 1.83× 1.41
Bucknell Bison over 44.5 73.3% 70.7% 92.5% 0.76× 1.41
Bucknell Bison under 52.5 69.5% 66.4% 21.5% 3.08× 1.51
UAlbany Great Danes over 53.5 67.3% 66.4% 85.8% 0.77× 1.51
UAlbany Great Danes under 61.5 67.0% 66.4% 33.1% 2.01× 1.51
Bucknell Bison over 46.5 61.7% 61.2% 89.7% 0.68× 1.63
Bucknell Bison under 50.5 60.2% 61.2% 16.9% 3.63× 1.63
UAlbany Great Danes over 55.5 58.8% 57.1% 81.6% 0.70× 1.75
UAlbany Great Danes under 59.5 58.7% 57.1% 27.8% 2.05× 1.75
UAlbany Great Danes under 58.5 54.4% 52.3% 25.3% 2.07× 1.91
Bucknell Bison under 49.5 55.0% 52.3% 14.9% 3.50× 1.91
UAlbany Great Danes over 57.5 50.1% 52.3% 77.2% 0.68× 1.91
Bucknell Bison over 48.5 50.4% 52.3% 86.7% 0.60× 1.91
UAlbany Great Danes under 57.5 50.0% 47.7% 22.8% 2.09× 2.09
Bucknell Bison under 48.5 49.6% 47.7% 13.3% 3.59× 2.09
UAlbany Great Danes over 58.5 45.7% 47.7% 74.7% 0.64× 2.09
Bucknell Bison over 49.5 45.0% 47.7% 85.1% 0.56× 2.09
UAlbany Great Danes under 55.5 41.2% 42.9% 18.5% 2.32× 2.33
UAlbany Great Danes over 59.5 41.3% 42.9% 72.2% 0.59× 2.33
Bucknell Bison over 50.5 39.9% 38.8% 83.1% 0.47× 2.58
Bucknell Bison under 46.5 38.3% 38.8% 10.3% 3.77× 2.58
UAlbany Great Danes over 61.5 33.0% 33.6% 66.9% 0.50× 2.98
UAlbany Great Danes under 53.5 32.7% 33.6% 14.2% 2.36× 2.98
Bucknell Bison over 52.5 30.5% 33.6% 78.5% 0.43× 2.98
UAlbany Great Danes over 63.5 25.6% 29.3% 61.5% 0.48× 3.42
Bucknell Bison under 44.5 26.7% 29.3% 7.5% 3.92× 3.42
UAlbany Great Danes under 51.5 24.9% 24.9% 10.7% 2.31× 4.02
Bucknell Bison over 54.5 22.5% 24.9% 73.5% 0.34× 4.02
Bucknell Bison under 39.5 0.0% 24.4% 3.0% 8.12× 4.09
UAlbany Great Danes over 65.5 19.1% 19.3% 55.3% 0.35× 5.18
Bucknell Bison under 42.5 15.4% 19.3% 5.2% 3.73× 5.18
Bucknell Bison over 56.5 16.0% 19.3% 68.0% 0.28× 5.18
UAlbany Great Danes under 48.5 15.1% 19.3% 6.7% 2.90× 5.18
UAlbany Great Danes over 68.5 11.5% 16.1% 45.6% 0.35× 6.21
Bucknell Bison over 59.5 8.9% 13.6% 58.8% 0.23× 7.37
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 87.5 points 96.8% 92.2% 99.6% 0.93× 1.08
Under 127.5 points 94.3% 88.8% 44.9% 1.98× 1.13
Over 92.5 points 89.9% 85.0% 98.7% 0.86× 1.18
Under 122.5 points 88.8% 85.0% 34.4% 2.47× 1.18
Under 117.5 points 80.3% 80.6% 24.7% 3.26× 1.24
Over 97.5 points 78.3% 75.6% 96.9% 0.78× 1.32
Under 114.5 points 73.4% 70.8% 19.6% 3.62× 1.41
Over 100.5 points 69.6% 65.9% 95.6% 0.69× 1.52
Under 112.5 points 68.2% 65.9% 16.4% 4.03× 1.52
Over 102.5 points 63.2% 61.5% 94.3% 0.65× 1.63
Under 110.5 points 62.5% 61.5% 13.6% 4.53× 1.63
Under 108.5 points 56.3% 56.5% 11.1% 5.10× 1.77
Over 104.5 points 56.7% 56.5% 92.9% 0.61× 1.77
Under 107.5 points 53.2% 52.3% 9.8% 5.33× 1.91
Over 106.5 points 50.1% 52.3% 91.0% 0.57× 1.91
Under 106.5 points 49.9% 47.7% 9.0% 5.31× 2.10
Over 107.5 points 46.8% 47.7% 90.2% 0.53× 2.10
Over 108.5 points 43.7% 43.5% 88.9% 0.49× 2.30
Under 104.5 points 43.3% 43.5% 7.1% 6.09× 2.30
Over 110.5 points 37.5% 38.5% 86.4% 0.45× 2.60
Under 102.5 points 36.8% 38.5% 5.7% 6.71× 2.60
Over 112.5 points 31.8% 34.1% 83.6% 0.41× 2.93
Under 100.5 points 30.4% 34.1% 4.4% 7.74× 2.93
Over 114.5 points 26.6% 29.2% 80.4% 0.36× 3.43
Under 97.5 points 21.7% 24.4% 3.1% 7.95× 4.10
Over 117.5 points 19.7% 19.4% 75.3% 0.26× 5.15
Over 122.5 points 11.2% 15.0% 65.6% 0.23× 6.69
Under 92.5 points 10.1% 15.0% 1.3% 11.39× 6.69
Over 127.5 points 5.7% 11.2% 55.1% 0.20× 8.97
Under 87.5 points 3.2% 7.8% 0.4% 17.78× 12.85
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes to win both halves 40.0% 40.6% 36.0% 1.13× 2.46
Bucknell Bison to win both halves 5.2% 8.8% 20.4% 0.43× 11.34
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAlbany Great Danes by 6-10 20.4% 23.9% 12.9% 1.85× 4.18
UAlbany Great Danes by 1-5 18.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
UAlbany Great Danes by 11-15 18.0% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
UAlbany Great Danes by 16-20 12.4% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
Bucknell Bison by 1-5 11.4% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Bucknell Bison by 6-10 5.7% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
UAlbany Great Danes by 21-25 6.7% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
UAlbany Great Danes by 26+ 4.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.29
Bucknell Bison by 11-15 2.2% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.31
Bucknell Bison by 16-20 0.7% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Bucknell Bison by 21-25 0.2% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Bucknell Bison by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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