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UCLA Bruins v Arizona Wildcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 12 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
UCLA Bruins win
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Arizona Wildcats win
0.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 91.49–50.55 92-51 0% 55% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins to score 100+ 21.6% 22.0% 1.8% 12.22× 4.55
UCLA Bruins to score 110+ 3.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 282.72
UCLA Bruins to score 120+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 2.92× 283.32
UCLA Bruins to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Arizona Wildcats to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Arizona Wildcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Arizona Wildcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Arizona Wildcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins to win H1 98.3% 98.8% 56.4% 1.75× 1.01
Arizona Wildcats to win H1 1.3% 3.9% 39.9% 0.10× 25.88
H1 tied 0.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.89
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 81.5 89.9% 87.7% 95.5% 0.92× 1.14
H1 over 57.5 88.5% 87.7% 64.8% 1.35× 1.14
H1 under 77.5 80.8% 82.5% 91.6% 0.90× 1.21
H1 over 61.5 78.1% 77.4% 50.2% 1.54× 1.29
H1 under 74.5 71.5% 73.5% 87.2% 0.84× 1.36
H1 over 64.5 67.8% 67.4% 39.3% 1.72× 1.48
H1 under 72.5 64.2% 62.7% 83.6% 0.75× 1.59
H1 over 66.5 60.1% 62.7% 32.9% 1.91× 1.59
H1 under 70.5 56.3% 58.2% 78.9% 0.74× 1.72
H1 over 68.5 51.9% 52.6% 26.5% 1.99× 1.90
H1 under 69.5 52.2% 52.6% 76.2% 0.69× 1.90
H1 under 68.5 48.1% 47.4% 73.5% 0.64× 2.11
H1 over 69.5 47.8% 47.4% 23.8% 1.99× 2.11
H1 over 70.5 43.7% 41.8% 21.1% 1.98× 2.39
H1 under 66.5 39.9% 37.3% 67.1% 0.56× 2.68
H1 over 72.5 35.8% 37.3% 16.4% 2.27× 2.68
H1 under 64.5 32.2% 32.6% 60.7% 0.54× 3.07
H1 over 74.5 28.5% 26.5% 12.8% 2.07× 3.77
H1 under 61.5 21.9% 22.6% 49.8% 0.45× 4.43
H1 over 77.5 19.2% 17.5% 8.4% 2.08× 5.72
H1 under 57.5 11.5% 12.3% 35.2% 0.35× 8.14
H1 over 81.5 10.1% 12.3% 4.5% 2.74× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins to win H2 98.8% 95.7% 56.0% 1.71× 1.05
Arizona Wildcats to win H2 0.9% 3.9% 40.6% 0.10× 25.38
H2 tied 0.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.38
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 63.5 88.6% 85.2% 65.3% 1.30× 1.17
H2 under 87.5 87.9% 85.2% 93.2% 0.91× 1.17
H2 over 67.5 78.8% 75.8% 52.1% 1.45× 1.32
H2 under 83.5 78.3% 75.8% 88.9% 0.85× 1.32
H2 over 70.5 69.1% 66.4% 42.2% 1.57× 1.51
H2 under 80.5 68.8% 66.4% 84.0% 0.79× 1.51
H2 over 72.5 61.8% 61.6% 36.0% 1.71× 1.62
H2 under 78.5 61.5% 61.6% 80.1% 0.77× 1.62
H2 over 74.5 54.0% 52.4% 30.1% 1.74× 1.91
H2 under 76.5 53.9% 52.4% 75.6% 0.69× 1.91
H2 over 75.5 50.1% 52.4% 27.0% 1.94× 1.91
H2 under 75.5 49.9% 47.6% 73.0% 0.65× 2.10
H2 under 74.5 46.0% 47.6% 69.9% 0.68× 2.10
H2 over 76.5 46.1% 47.6% 24.4% 1.95× 2.10
H2 under 72.5 38.2% 38.4% 64.1% 0.60× 2.61
H2 over 78.5 38.5% 38.4% 19.9% 1.93× 2.61
H2 under 70.5 30.9% 33.6% 57.8% 0.58× 2.97
H2 over 80.5 31.2% 33.6% 16.0% 2.11× 2.97
H2 under 67.5 21.2% 24.2% 47.9% 0.51× 4.13
H2 over 83.5 21.7% 24.2% 11.1% 2.18× 4.13
H2 over 87.5 12.1% 14.8% 6.8% 2.18× 6.76
H2 under 63.5 11.4% 14.8% 34.7% 0.43× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins leading at half time 98.3% 98.6% 56.4% 1.75× 1.01
Arizona Wildcats leading at half time 1.3% 3.8% 39.9% 0.09× 26.44
Level at half time 0.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.45
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins −1.5 100.0% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +1.5 100.0% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −2.5 100.0% 97.4% 56.7% 1.72× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +2.5 100.0% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −3.5 100.0% 97.4% 54.2% 1.80× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +3.5 100.0% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −4.5 99.9% 97.4% 52.2% 1.87× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +4.5 100.0% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −5.5 99.9% 97.4% 49.7% 1.96× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +5.5 100.0% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −6.5 99.9% 97.4% 47.6% 2.05× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +6.5 100.0% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −7.5 99.8% 97.4% 44.8% 2.18× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +7.5 100.0% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −8.5 99.8% 97.4% 42.0% 2.32× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +8.5 100.0% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −9.5 99.7% 97.4% 39.3% 2.48× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +9.5 100.0% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −10.5 99.6% 97.4% 36.8% 2.65× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +10.5 100.0% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −12.5 99.4% 97.4% 32.1% 3.03× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +12.5 100.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
UCLA Bruins +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −14.5 98.9% 97.4% 27.9% 3.49× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −16.5 98.3% 97.4% 24.3% 4.02× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −18.5 97.4% 97.4% 20.7% 4.70× 1.03
UCLA Bruins −20.5 96.1% 97.4% 18.0% 5.41× 1.03
Arizona Wildcats +14.5 1.1% 2.6% 72.1% 0.04× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +16.5 1.7% 2.6% 75.7% 0.03× 38.73
Arizona Wildcats +18.5 2.6% 2.6% 79.3% 0.03× 38.73
Arizona Wildcats +20.5 3.9% 2.6% 82.0% 0.03× 38.72
Arizona Wildcats +1.5 0.0% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −1.5 0.0% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +2.5 0.0% 2.6% 43.3% 0.06× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −2.5 0.0% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +3.5 0.0% 2.6% 45.8% 0.06× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −3.5 0.0% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +4.5 0.1% 2.6% 47.8% 0.05× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −4.5 0.0% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +5.5 0.1% 2.6% 50.3% 0.05× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −5.5 0.0% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +6.5 0.1% 2.6% 52.4% 0.05× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −6.5 0.0% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +7.5 0.2% 2.6% 55.2% 0.05× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −7.5 0.0% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +8.5 0.2% 2.6% 58.0% 0.04× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −8.5 0.0% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +9.5 0.3% 2.6% 60.7% 0.04× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −9.5 0.0% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +10.5 0.4% 2.6% 63.2% 0.04× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −10.5 0.0% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats +12.5 0.6% 2.6% 67.9% 0.04× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −12.5 0.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Arizona Wildcats −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 74.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 25.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 highest scoring 33.4% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q4 highest scoring 35.2% 28.6% 31.2% 0.92× 3.50
Q2 highest scoring 14.9% 18.4% 17.9% 1.03× 5.45
Q1 highest scoring 16.5% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins at HT / UCLA Bruins at FT 98.3% 98.6% 48.3% 2.04× 1.01
Level at HT / UCLA Bruins at FT 0.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.78
Arizona Wildcats at HT / UCLA Bruins at FT 1.3% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.77
UCLA Bruins at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT 0.0% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.79
Level at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT 0.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Arizona Wildcats at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT 0.0% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins to win 100.0% 97.5% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Arizona Wildcats to win 0.0% 2.5% 40.1% 0.06× 39.98
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Arizona Wildcats even 50.6% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.0% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
UCLA Bruins odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Arizona Wildcats odd 49.4% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 50.0% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 99.5% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 0.5% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.63
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins to win Q1 91.8% 92.3% 54.7% 1.69× 1.08
Arizona Wildcats to win Q1 6.1% 5.5% 40.4% 0.14× 18.31
Q1 tied 2.1% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 24.05
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 26.5 89.4% 87.4% 72.9% 1.20× 1.14
Q1 under 42.5 88.0% 87.4% 93.6% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 over 29.5 78.5% 76.9% 56.9% 1.35× 1.30
Q1 under 39.5 76.6% 76.9% 87.5% 0.88× 1.30
Q1 over 31.5 68.6% 67.6% 46.0% 1.47× 1.48
Q1 under 37.5 66.5% 67.6% 81.6% 0.83× 1.48
Q1 over 33.5 57.2% 58.6% 36.0% 1.63× 1.71
Q1 under 35.5 54.9% 52.7% 73.2% 0.72× 1.90
Q1 over 34.5 51.1% 52.7% 31.5% 1.67× 1.90
Q1 under 34.5 48.9% 47.3% 68.5% 0.69× 2.11
Q1 over 35.5 45.1% 47.3% 26.8% 1.76× 2.11
Q1 under 33.5 42.8% 41.4% 64.0% 0.65× 2.42
Q1 over 37.5 33.5% 32.4% 18.4% 1.76× 3.08
Q1 under 31.5 31.4% 32.4% 54.0% 0.60× 3.08
Q1 over 39.5 23.4% 23.1% 12.5% 1.84× 4.33
Q1 under 29.5 21.5% 23.1% 43.1% 0.54× 4.33
Q1 over 42.5 12.0% 12.6% 6.4% 1.98× 7.95
Q1 under 26.5 10.6% 12.6% 27.1% 0.46× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins to win Q2 91.1% 93.8% 52.9% 1.77× 1.07
Arizona Wildcats to win Q2 6.7% 6.1% 41.5% 0.15× 16.48
Q2 tied 2.2% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.97
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 42.5 89.1% 87.3% 94.3% 0.93× 1.15
Q2 over 26.5 88.3% 87.3% 71.6% 1.22× 1.15
Q2 under 39.5 78.2% 76.8% 88.4% 0.87× 1.30
Q2 over 29.5 76.8% 76.8% 55.8% 1.38× 1.30
Q2 under 37.5 68.4% 67.4% 82.3% 0.82× 1.49
Q2 over 31.5 66.6% 67.4% 44.3% 1.52× 1.49
Q2 under 35.5 57.0% 58.2% 74.6% 0.78× 1.72
Q2 over 33.5 55.0% 52.7% 34.4% 1.53× 1.90
Q2 under 34.5 51.0% 52.7% 70.1% 0.75× 1.90
Q2 over 34.5 49.0% 47.3% 29.9% 1.58× 2.11
Q2 under 33.5 45.0% 47.3% 65.6% 0.72× 2.11
Q2 over 35.5 43.0% 41.8% 25.4% 1.65× 2.39
Q2 under 31.5 33.4% 32.6% 55.7% 0.59× 3.06
Q2 over 37.5 31.6% 32.6% 17.7% 1.85× 3.06
Q2 under 29.5 23.2% 23.2% 44.2% 0.53× 4.31
Q2 over 39.5 21.8% 23.2% 11.6% 2.00× 4.31
Q2 under 26.5 11.7% 12.7% 28.4% 0.45× 7.89
Q2 over 42.5 10.9% 12.7% 5.7% 2.23× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins to win Q3 93.1% 94.8% 53.3% 1.78× 1.06
Arizona Wildcats to win Q3 5.1% 5.3% 41.8% 0.13× 18.98
Q3 tied 1.8% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.53
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 46.5 90.1% 90.8% 95.3% 0.95× 1.10
Q3 over 30.5 85.9% 87.2% 66.8% 1.30× 1.15
Q3 under 43.5 80.1% 82.3% 90.2% 0.91× 1.22
Q3 over 33.5 73.6% 71.8% 50.9% 1.41× 1.39
Q3 under 41.5 71.0% 71.8% 85.1% 0.84× 1.39
Q3 over 35.5 63.1% 61.9% 40.3% 1.54× 1.61
Q3 under 39.5 60.2% 61.9% 77.9% 0.80× 1.62
Q3 under 38.5 54.4% 52.3% 73.9% 0.71× 1.91
Q3 over 37.5 51.5% 52.3% 30.3% 1.73× 1.91
Q3 under 37.5 48.5% 47.7% 69.7% 0.68× 2.10
Q3 over 38.5 45.6% 47.7% 26.1% 1.83× 2.10
Q3 over 39.5 39.8% 38.1% 22.1% 1.72× 2.63
Q3 under 35.5 36.9% 38.1% 59.7% 0.64× 2.63
Q3 over 41.5 29.0% 28.2% 14.9% 1.89× 3.55
Q3 under 33.5 26.4% 28.2% 49.1% 0.57× 3.55
Q3 over 43.5 19.9% 17.7% 9.8% 1.80× 5.65
Q3 under 30.5 14.1% 12.8% 33.2% 0.39× 7.83
Q3 over 46.5 9.9% 9.2% 4.7% 1.97× 10.88
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins to win Q4 92.7% 85.9% 52.8% 1.63× 1.16
Arizona Wildcats to win Q4 5.5% 5.8% 41.5% 0.14× 17.26
Q4 tied 1.8% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.35
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 46.5 88.5% 85.6% 93.9% 0.91× 1.17
Q4 over 30.5 84.7% 82.0% 66.3% 1.24× 1.22
Q4 under 43.5 78.4% 76.9% 88.6% 0.87× 1.30
Q4 over 33.5 72.7% 71.5% 50.4% 1.42× 1.40
Q4 under 41.5 69.5% 67.4% 83.6% 0.81× 1.48
Q4 over 35.5 62.7% 61.4% 40.6% 1.51× 1.63
Q4 under 39.5 59.2% 58.4% 77.0% 0.76× 1.71
Q4 under 38.5 53.7% 52.5% 73.1% 0.72× 1.91
Q4 over 37.5 51.8% 52.5% 31.2% 1.68× 1.91
Q4 under 37.5 48.2% 47.5% 68.8% 0.69× 2.11
Q4 over 38.5 46.3% 47.5% 26.9% 1.77× 2.11
Q4 over 39.5 40.8% 41.6% 23.0% 1.81× 2.40
Q4 under 35.5 37.3% 38.6% 59.4% 0.65× 2.59
Q4 over 41.5 30.5% 32.6% 16.4% 1.99× 3.07
Q4 under 33.5 27.3% 28.5% 49.6% 0.57× 3.51
Q4 over 43.5 21.6% 23.1% 11.4% 2.02× 4.33
Q4 under 30.5 15.3% 18.0% 33.7% 0.53× 5.56
Q4 over 46.5 11.5% 14.4% 6.1% 2.36× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats over 42.5 91.4% 86.4% 94.8% 0.91× 1.16
Arizona Wildcats under 62.5 88.8% 83.9% 51.0% 1.65× 1.19
UCLA Bruins under 102.5 86.5% 83.9% 98.8% 0.85× 1.19
UCLA Bruins over 82.5 84.6% 80.7% 13.8% 5.86× 1.24
Arizona Wildcats under 59.5 81.0% 80.7% 41.2% 1.96× 1.24
Arizona Wildcats over 45.5 80.0% 80.7% 91.3% 0.88× 1.24
UCLA Bruins under 99.5 78.4% 75.1% 98.2% 0.77× 1.33
UCLA Bruins over 85.5 75.8% 75.1% 9.8% 7.67× 1.33
Arizona Wildcats under 57.5 74.3% 70.7% 34.9% 2.03× 1.41
UCLA Bruins under 97.5 71.7% 70.7% 97.7% 0.72× 1.41
Arizona Wildcats over 47.5 71.2% 70.7% 88.4% 0.80× 1.41
UCLA Bruins over 87.5 68.7% 66.4% 7.7% 8.65× 1.51
Arizona Wildcats under 55.5 66.4% 66.4% 29.2% 2.27× 1.51
UCLA Bruins under 95.5 64.2% 61.2% 97.1% 0.63× 1.63
UCLA Bruins over 89.5 60.8% 61.2% 6.1% 9.97× 1.63
Arizona Wildcats over 49.5 61.7% 61.2% 85.1% 0.72× 1.63
Arizona Wildcats under 53.5 57.5% 57.1% 23.7% 2.41× 1.75
UCLA Bruins under 93.5 56.0% 57.1% 96.1% 0.59× 1.75
UCLA Bruins over 91.5 52.5% 52.3% 4.9% 10.69× 1.91
UCLA Bruins under 92.5 51.8% 52.3% 95.7% 0.55× 1.91
Arizona Wildcats over 51.5 52.0% 52.3% 81.0% 0.65× 1.91
Arizona Wildcats under 52.5 52.8% 52.3% 21.5% 2.43× 1.91
UCLA Bruins under 91.5 47.5% 47.7% 95.1% 0.50× 2.09
UCLA Bruins over 92.5 48.2% 47.7% 4.3% 11.00× 2.09
Arizona Wildcats under 51.5 48.0% 47.7% 19.0% 2.51× 2.09
Arizona Wildcats over 52.5 47.2% 47.7% 78.5% 0.61× 2.09
UCLA Bruins over 93.5 44.0% 42.9% 3.9% 11.10× 2.33
Arizona Wildcats over 53.5 42.5% 42.9% 76.3% 0.56× 2.33
UCLA Bruins under 89.5 39.2% 38.8% 93.9% 0.41× 2.58
Arizona Wildcats under 49.5 38.3% 38.8% 14.9% 2.60× 2.58
UCLA Bruins over 95.5 35.8% 38.8% 2.9% 13.31× 2.58
Arizona Wildcats over 55.5 33.6% 33.6% 70.8% 0.47× 2.98
UCLA Bruins under 87.5 31.3% 33.6% 92.3% 0.36× 2.98
Arizona Wildcats under 47.5 28.8% 29.3% 11.6% 2.52× 3.42
UCLA Bruins over 97.5 28.3% 29.3% 2.3% 12.94× 3.42
Arizona Wildcats over 57.5 25.7% 29.3% 65.1% 0.45× 3.42
UCLA Bruins under 85.5 24.2% 24.9% 90.2% 0.28× 4.02
UCLA Bruins over 99.5 21.6% 24.9% 1.8% 13.84× 4.02
Arizona Wildcats under 45.5 20.0% 19.3% 8.7% 2.23× 5.18
Arizona Wildcats over 59.5 19.0% 19.3% 58.8% 0.33× 5.18
UCLA Bruins under 82.5 15.4% 19.3% 86.2% 0.22× 5.18
UCLA Bruins over 102.5 13.5% 16.1% 1.2% 13.72× 6.21
Arizona Wildcats over 62.5 11.2% 16.1% 49.0% 0.33× 6.21
Arizona Wildcats under 42.5 8.6% 13.6% 5.2% 2.62× 7.37
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 124.5 points 94.0% 88.8% 61.5% 1.44× 1.13
Under 164.5 points 92.2% 88.8% 95.9% 0.93× 1.13
Over 129.5 points 87.2% 85.0% 50.5% 1.68× 1.18
Under 159.5 points 86.0% 85.0% 93.3% 0.91× 1.18
Over 134.5 points 76.8% 75.6% 39.8% 1.90× 1.32
Under 154.5 points 76.8% 75.6% 89.8% 0.84× 1.32
Under 151.5 points 70.0% 65.9% 87.3% 0.76× 1.52
Over 137.5 points 69.2% 65.9% 33.8% 1.95× 1.52
Under 149.5 points 64.9% 61.5% 84.9% 0.72× 1.63
Over 139.5 points 63.6% 61.5% 30.1% 2.04× 1.63
Under 147.5 points 59.4% 56.5% 82.3% 0.69× 1.77
Over 141.5 points 57.9% 56.5% 26.6% 2.13× 1.77
Under 145.5 points 53.8% 52.3% 79.5% 0.66× 1.91
Over 143.5 points 52.0% 52.3% 23.3% 2.24× 1.91
Under 144.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 78.1% 0.67× 1.91
Over 144.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 21.9% 2.18× 2.10
Under 143.5 points 48.0% 47.7% 76.7% 0.62× 2.10
Over 145.5 points 46.2% 47.7% 20.5% 2.33× 2.10
Under 141.5 points 42.1% 43.5% 73.4% 0.59× 2.30
Over 147.5 points 40.6% 43.5% 17.7% 2.45× 2.30
Under 139.5 points 36.4% 38.5% 69.9% 0.55× 2.60
Over 149.5 points 35.1% 38.5% 15.1% 2.56× 2.60
Under 137.5 points 30.8% 34.1% 66.2% 0.52× 2.93
Over 151.5 points 30.0% 34.1% 12.8% 2.68× 2.93
Under 134.5 points 23.2% 24.4% 60.2% 0.41× 4.10
Over 154.5 points 23.2% 24.4% 10.2% 2.40× 4.10
Over 159.5 points 14.0% 15.0% 6.7% 2.23× 6.68
Under 129.5 points 12.9% 15.0% 49.5% 0.30× 6.69
Over 164.5 points 7.8% 11.2% 4.1% 2.70× 8.97
Under 124.5 points 6.0% 11.2% 38.5% 0.29× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins to win both halves 97.1% 96.5% 36.0% 2.68× 1.04
Arizona Wildcats to win both halves 0.0% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.85
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UCLA Bruins by 26+ 90.4% 89.8% 12.6% 7.12× 1.11
UCLA Bruins by 21-25 5.7% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
UCLA Bruins by 11-15 1.0% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.32
UCLA Bruins by 16-20 2.6% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.31
UCLA Bruins by 1-5 0.1% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
Arizona Wildcats by 1-5 0.0% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
UCLA Bruins by 6-10 0.3% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.33
Arizona Wildcats by 6-10 0.0% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.33
Arizona Wildcats by 11-15 0.0% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
Arizona Wildcats by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Arizona Wildcats by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Arizona Wildcats by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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