UConn Huskies v Duke Blue Devils — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

UConn Huskies

05:00 UTC

Duke Blue Devils

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

UConn Huskies win

93.4%

Draw

0.0%

Duke Blue Devils win

6.6%

9307

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	9307	74.95–58.32	75-58 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to score 100+	0.5%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.25
UConn Huskies to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.35
UConn Huskies to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
UConn Huskies to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Duke Blue Devils to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
Duke Blue Devils to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Duke Blue Devils to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Duke Blue Devils to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win H1	80.1%	83.5%	56.4%	1.48×	1.20
Duke Blue Devils to win H1	16.8%	16.9%	39.9%	0.42×	5.92
H1 tied	3.0%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.87

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 76.5	89.4%	87.7%	90.2%	0.97×	1.14
H1 over 52.5	87.3%	87.7%	79.6%	1.10×	1.14
H1 under 72.5	80.4%	82.5%	83.6%	0.99×	1.21
H1 over 56.5	76.9%	77.4%	68.2%	1.14×	1.29
H1 under 69.5	71.2%	73.5%	76.2%	0.96×	1.36
H1 over 59.5	66.8%	67.4%	57.8%	1.17×	1.48
H1 under 67.5	64.1%	62.7%	70.4%	0.89×	1.59
H1 over 61.5	59.3%	58.2%	50.2%	1.16×	1.72
H1 under 65.5	56.5%	58.2%	63.9%	0.91×	1.72
H1 under 64.5	52.5%	52.6%	60.7%	0.87×	1.90
H1 over 63.5	51.4%	52.6%	42.9%	1.23×	1.90
H1 under 63.5	48.6%	47.4%	57.1%	0.83×	2.11
H1 over 64.5	47.5%	47.4%	39.3%	1.21×	2.11
H1 over 65.5	43.5%	41.8%	36.1%	1.16×	2.39
H1 under 61.5	40.7%	41.8%	49.8%	0.84×	2.39
H1 over 67.5	35.9%	37.3%	29.6%	1.26×	2.68
H1 under 59.5	33.2%	32.6%	42.2%	0.77×	3.07
H1 over 69.5	28.8%	26.5%	23.8%	1.11×	3.77
H1 under 56.5	23.1%	22.6%	31.8%	0.71×	4.43
H1 over 72.5	19.6%	17.5%	16.4%	1.07×	5.72
H1 under 52.5	12.7%	12.3%	20.4%	0.60×	8.14
H1 over 76.5	10.6%	12.3%	9.8%	1.26×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win H2	81.6%	79.5%	56.0%	1.42×	1.26
Duke Blue Devils to win H2	15.6%	20.4%	40.6%	0.50×	4.90
H2 tied	2.8%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 82.5	88.2%	85.2%	87.4%	0.97×	1.17
H2 over 58.5	86.3%	85.2%	79.6%	1.07×	1.17
H2 under 78.5	79.1%	75.8%	80.1%	0.95×	1.32
H2 over 62.5	76.1%	75.8%	68.3%	1.11×	1.32
H2 under 75.5	70.1%	72.2%	73.0%	0.99×	1.39
H2 over 65.5	66.3%	66.4%	58.8%	1.13×	1.51
H2 under 73.5	63.2%	61.6%	67.1%	0.92×	1.62
H2 over 67.5	59.1%	57.3%	52.1%	1.10×	1.74
H2 under 71.5	55.9%	57.3%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
H2 over 69.5	51.6%	52.4%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
H2 under 70.5	52.2%	52.4%	57.8%	0.91×	1.91
H2 under 69.5	48.4%	47.6%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10
H2 over 70.5	47.8%	47.6%	42.2%	1.13×	2.10
H2 over 71.5	44.1%	42.7%	38.9%	1.10×	2.34
H2 under 67.5	40.9%	42.7%	47.9%	0.89×	2.35
H2 over 73.5	36.8%	38.4%	32.9%	1.17×	2.61
H2 under 65.5	33.7%	33.6%	41.2%	0.82×	2.97
H2 over 75.5	29.9%	27.8%	27.0%	1.03×	3.59
H2 under 62.5	23.9%	24.2%	31.7%	0.76×	4.13
H2 over 78.5	20.9%	24.2%	19.9%	1.22×	4.13
H2 under 58.5	13.7%	14.8%	20.4%	0.73×	6.76
H2 over 82.5	11.8%	14.8%	12.6%	1.17×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies leading at half time	80.1%	83.2%	56.4%	1.47×	1.20
Duke Blue Devils leading at half time	16.8%	17.0%	39.9%	0.43×	5.88
Level at half time	3.0%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies +12.5	99.5%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
UConn Huskies +14.5	99.7%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
UConn Huskies +16.5	99.8%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
UConn Huskies +18.5	99.9%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
UConn Huskies +20.5	100.0%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
UConn Huskies +3.5	96.2%	97.4%	65.7%	1.48×	1.03
UConn Huskies +4.5	96.9%	97.4%	67.8%	1.44×	1.03
UConn Huskies +5.5	97.5%	97.4%	70.1%	1.39×	1.03
UConn Huskies +6.5	98.0%	97.4%	72.3%	1.35×	1.03
UConn Huskies +7.5	98.4%	97.4%	74.5%	1.31×	1.03
UConn Huskies +8.5	98.7%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
UConn Huskies +9.5	99.0%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
UConn Huskies +10.5	99.2%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
UConn Huskies +2.5	95.4%	97.4%	63.3%	1.54×	1.03
UConn Huskies +1.5	94.5%	91.1%	61.2%	1.49×	1.10
UConn Huskies −1.5	92.0%	91.1%	58.7%	1.55×	1.10
UConn Huskies −2.5	90.4%	91.1%	56.7%	1.61×	1.10
UConn Huskies −3.5	88.7%	85.9%	54.2%	1.58×	1.16
UConn Huskies −4.5	86.7%	85.9%	52.2%	1.65×	1.16
UConn Huskies −5.5	84.6%	81.1%	49.7%	1.63×	1.23
UConn Huskies −6.5	82.2%	81.1%	47.6%	1.70×	1.23
UConn Huskies −7.5	79.7%	76.5%	44.8%	1.71×	1.31
UConn Huskies −8.5	77.0%	76.5%	42.0%	1.82×	1.31
UConn Huskies −9.5	74.1%	71.6%	39.3%	1.82×	1.40
UConn Huskies −10.5	71.0%	71.6%	36.8%	1.95×	1.40
UConn Huskies −12.5	64.4%	61.9%	32.1%	1.93×	1.62
Duke Blue Devils +20.5	64.2%	61.9%	82.0%	0.76×	1.62
UConn Huskies −14.5	57.4%	57.1%	27.9%	2.05×	1.75
Duke Blue Devils +18.5	57.1%	57.1%	79.3%	0.72×	1.75
UConn Huskies −16.5	50.1%	52.4%	24.3%	2.16×	1.91
Duke Blue Devils +16.5	49.9%	47.6%	75.7%	0.63×	2.10
Duke Blue Devils +14.5	42.6%	42.9%	72.1%	0.60×	2.33
UConn Huskies −18.5	42.9%	42.9%	20.7%	2.07×	2.33
Duke Blue Devils +12.5	35.6%	38.1%	67.9%	0.56×	2.63
UConn Huskies −20.5	35.8%	38.1%	18.0%	2.12×	2.63
Duke Blue Devils +10.5	29.0%	28.4%	63.2%	0.45×	3.53
Duke Blue Devils +9.5	26.0%	28.4%	60.7%	0.47×	3.53
Duke Blue Devils +8.5	23.0%	23.5%	58.0%	0.41×	4.25
Duke Blue Devils +7.5	20.3%	23.5%	55.2%	0.43×	4.25
Duke Blue Devils +6.5	17.8%	18.9%	52.4%	0.36×	5.29
Duke Blue Devils +5.5	15.4%	18.9%	50.3%	0.38×	5.30
Duke Blue Devils +4.5	13.3%	14.1%	47.8%	0.30×	7.09
Duke Blue Devils +3.5	11.3%	14.1%	45.8%	0.31×	7.09
Duke Blue Devils +1.5	8.0%	8.9%	41.3%	0.22×	11.25
Duke Blue Devils +2.5	9.6%	8.9%	43.3%	0.21×	11.25
Duke Blue Devils −1.5	5.5%	8.9%	38.8%	0.23×	11.25
Duke Blue Devils −2.5	4.6%	2.6%	36.7%	0.07×	38.72
Duke Blue Devils −3.5	3.8%	2.6%	34.3%	0.08×	38.73
Duke Blue Devils −4.5	3.1%	2.6%	32.2%	0.08×	38.73
Duke Blue Devils −5.5	2.5%	2.6%	29.9%	0.09×	38.73
Duke Blue Devils −6.5	2.0%	2.6%	27.7%	0.09×	38.73
Duke Blue Devils −7.5	1.6%	2.6%	25.5%	0.10×	38.73
Duke Blue Devils −8.5	1.3%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.74
Duke Blue Devils −9.5	1.0%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.74
Duke Blue Devils −10.5	0.8%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.74
Duke Blue Devils −12.5	0.5%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.74
Duke Blue Devils −14.5	0.3%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
Duke Blue Devils −16.5	0.2%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Duke Blue Devils −18.5	0.1%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Duke Blue Devils −20.5	0.0%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	72.6%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.6%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	32.9%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	17.0%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	15.5%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies at HT / UConn Huskies at FT	77.9%	78.1%	48.3%	1.62×	1.28
Duke Blue Devils at HT / UConn Huskies at FT	12.8%	12.2%	9.8%	1.25×	8.17
Duke Blue Devils at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT	4.0%	2.1%	30.1%	0.07×	47.72
UConn Huskies at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT	2.2%	2.1%	8.2%	0.26×	47.75
Level at HT / UConn Huskies at FT	2.7%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.75
Level at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT	0.3%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.79

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win	93.4%	90.6%	59.9%	1.51×	1.10
Duke Blue Devils to win	6.6%	9.4%	40.1%	0.23×	10.67

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Duke Blue Devils even	50.1%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	50.6%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
UConn Huskies odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Duke Blue Devils odd	49.9%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	49.4%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	96.9%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	3.1%	3.0%	4.4%	0.67×	33.45

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q1	70.3%	73.7%	54.7%	1.35×	1.36
Duke Blue Devils to win Q1	24.6%	22.2%	40.4%	0.55×	4.51
Q1 tied	5.1%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.33

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 40.5	89.3%	87.4%	89.9%	0.97×	1.14
Q1 over 24.5	87.2%	87.4%	81.8%	1.07×	1.14
Q1 under 37.5	78.8%	76.9%	81.6%	0.94×	1.30
Q1 over 27.5	75.4%	76.9%	67.7%	1.14×	1.30
Q1 under 35.5	69.2%	67.6%	73.2%	0.92×	1.48
Q1 over 29.5	65.1%	67.6%	56.9%	1.19×	1.48
Q1 under 33.5	58.2%	58.6%	64.0%	0.92×	1.71
Q1 over 31.5	53.6%	52.7%	46.0%	1.14×	1.90
Q1 under 32.5	52.3%	52.7%	59.1%	0.89×	1.90
Q1 over 32.5	47.7%	47.3%	40.9%	1.16×	2.11
Q1 under 31.5	46.4%	47.3%	54.0%	0.88×	2.11
Q1 over 33.5	41.8%	41.4%	36.0%	1.15×	2.42
Q1 under 29.5	34.9%	32.4%	43.1%	0.75×	3.08
Q1 over 35.5	30.8%	32.4%	26.8%	1.21×	3.08
Q1 under 27.5	24.6%	23.1%	32.3%	0.72×	4.33
Q1 over 37.5	21.2%	23.1%	18.4%	1.25×	4.33
Q1 under 24.5	12.8%	12.6%	18.2%	0.69×	7.95
Q1 over 40.5	10.7%	12.6%	10.1%	1.24×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q2	69.8%	68.4%	52.9%	1.29×	1.46
Duke Blue Devils to win Q2	25.2%	27.7%	41.5%	0.67×	3.62
Q2 tied	5.1%	6.1%	5.7%	1.06×	16.51

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 40.5	90.2%	90.8%	90.8%	1.00×	1.10
Q2 over 24.5	86.1%	87.3%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Q2 under 37.5	80.2%	83.0%	82.3%	1.01×	1.21
Q2 over 27.5	73.8%	72.0%	66.7%	1.08×	1.39
Q2 under 35.5	71.0%	72.0%	74.6%	0.96×	1.39
Q2 over 29.5	63.2%	60.7%	55.8%	1.09×	1.65
Q2 under 33.5	60.1%	60.7%	65.6%	0.93×	1.65
Q2 under 32.5	54.3%	52.7%	60.8%	0.87×	1.90
Q2 over 31.5	51.6%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q2 under 31.5	48.4%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q2 over 32.5	45.7%	47.3%	39.2%	1.21×	2.11
Q2 over 33.5	39.9%	39.3%	34.4%	1.14×	2.54
Q2 under 29.5	36.8%	39.3%	44.2%	0.89×	2.55
Q2 over 35.5	29.0%	28.0%	25.4%	1.10×	3.57
Q2 under 27.5	26.2%	28.0%	33.3%	0.84×	3.57
Q2 over 37.5	19.8%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.88
Q2 under 24.5	13.9%	12.7%	19.3%	0.66×	7.89
Q2 over 40.5	9.8%	9.2%	9.2%	1.01×	10.83

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q3	71.7%	73.1%	53.3%	1.37×	1.37
Duke Blue Devils to win Q3	23.5%	22.5%	41.8%	0.54×	4.45
Q3 tied	4.9%	4.3%	4.9%	0.87×	23.42

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 43.5	89.1%	87.2%	90.2%	0.97×	1.15
Q3 over 27.5	86.0%	87.2%	80.0%	1.09×	1.15
Q3 under 40.5	78.9%	77.3%	81.9%	0.94×	1.29
Q3 over 30.5	74.0%	71.8%	66.8%	1.07×	1.39
Q3 under 38.5	69.6%	67.8%	73.9%	0.92×	1.48
Q3 over 32.5	63.8%	62.0%	56.1%	1.10×	1.61
Q3 under 36.5	58.9%	58.4%	64.6%	0.90×	1.71
Q3 under 35.5	53.2%	52.3%	59.7%	0.88×	1.91
Q3 over 34.5	52.6%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Q3 under 34.5	47.4%	47.7%	54.6%	0.87×	2.10
Q3 over 35.5	46.8%	47.7%	40.3%	1.18×	2.10
Q3 over 36.5	41.1%	41.6%	35.4%	1.17×	2.40
Q3 under 32.5	36.2%	38.0%	43.9%	0.87×	2.63
Q3 over 38.5	30.4%	32.2%	26.1%	1.23×	3.11
Q3 under 30.5	26.0%	28.2%	33.2%	0.85×	3.55
Q3 over 40.5	21.2%	22.7%	18.1%	1.25×	4.40
Q3 under 27.5	14.0%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.83
Q3 over 43.5	10.9%	12.8%	9.8%	1.30×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q4	71.3%	66.2%	52.8%	1.25×	1.51
Duke Blue Devils to win Q4	23.9%	29.0%	41.5%	0.70×	3.44
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.7%	0.91×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 43.5	87.6%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Q4 over 27.5	84.8%	82.0%	78.9%	1.04×	1.22
Q4 under 40.5	77.3%	76.9%	80.6%	0.95×	1.30
Q4 over 30.5	73.1%	71.5%	66.3%	1.08×	1.40
Q4 under 38.5	68.3%	67.4%	73.1%	0.92×	1.48
Q4 over 32.5	63.4%	61.4%	55.4%	1.11×	1.63
Q4 under 36.5	58.0%	58.4%	64.3%	0.91×	1.71
Q4 over 34.5	52.8%	52.5%	45.6%	1.15×	1.91
Q4 under 35.5	52.6%	52.5%	59.4%	0.88×	1.91
Q4 under 34.5	47.2%	47.5%	54.4%	0.87×	2.11
Q4 over 35.5	47.4%	47.5%	40.6%	1.17×	2.11
Q4 over 36.5	42.0%	41.6%	35.7%	1.17×	2.40
Q4 under 32.5	36.6%	38.6%	44.6%	0.87×	2.59
Q4 over 38.5	31.7%	32.6%	26.9%	1.21×	3.07
Q4 under 30.5	26.9%	28.5%	33.7%	0.84×	3.51
Q4 over 40.5	22.7%	23.1%	19.4%	1.19×	4.33
Q4 under 27.5	15.2%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.56
Q4 over 43.5	12.4%	14.4%	11.4%	1.26×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies under 85.5	86.2%	83.9%	90.2%	0.93×	1.19
Duke Blue Devils over 48.5	87.2%	83.9%	86.7%	0.97×	1.19
Duke Blue Devils under 68.5	86.4%	83.9%	68.6%	1.22×	1.19
UConn Huskies over 65.5	84.8%	80.7%	55.3%	1.46×	1.24
UConn Huskies under 82.5	78.0%	75.1%	86.2%	0.87×	1.33
Duke Blue Devils over 51.5	78.3%	75.1%	81.0%	0.93×	1.33
Duke Blue Devils under 65.5	77.9%	75.1%	59.8%	1.26×	1.33
UConn Huskies over 68.5	76.1%	75.1%	45.6%	1.65×	1.33
UConn Huskies under 80.5	71.2%	70.7%	82.9%	0.85×	1.41
Duke Blue Devils over 53.5	71.0%	70.7%	76.3%	0.93×	1.41
Duke Blue Devils under 63.5	71.0%	70.7%	53.9%	1.31×	1.41
UConn Huskies over 70.5	69.1%	66.4%	39.7%	1.67×	1.51
UConn Huskies under 78.5	63.6%	61.2%	79.4%	0.77×	1.63
Duke Blue Devils over 55.5	62.9%	61.2%	70.8%	0.86×	1.63
Duke Blue Devils under 61.5	63.1%	61.2%	47.9%	1.28×	1.63
UConn Huskies over 72.5	61.2%	61.2%	34.3%	1.78×	1.63
UConn Huskies under 76.5	55.5%	57.1%	75.4%	0.76×	1.75
Duke Blue Devils over 57.5	54.3%	52.3%	65.1%	0.80×	1.91
Duke Blue Devils under 59.5	54.5%	52.3%	41.2%	1.27×	1.91
UConn Huskies under 75.5	51.3%	52.3%	73.2%	0.71×	1.91
UConn Huskies over 74.5	53.0%	52.3%	29.3%	1.79×	1.91
Duke Blue Devils under 58.5	50.1%	52.3%	37.9%	1.38×	1.91
Duke Blue Devils over 58.5	49.9%	47.7%	62.1%	0.77×	2.09
UConn Huskies over 75.5	48.7%	47.7%	26.8%	1.78×	2.09
UConn Huskies under 74.5	47.0%	47.7%	70.7%	0.67×	2.09
Duke Blue Devils under 57.5	45.7%	47.7%	34.9%	1.37×	2.09
Duke Blue Devils over 59.5	45.5%	47.7%	58.8%	0.81×	2.09
UConn Huskies over 76.5	44.5%	42.9%	24.6%	1.75×	2.33
UConn Huskies under 72.5	38.8%	38.8%	65.7%	0.59×	2.58
UConn Huskies over 78.5	36.4%	38.8%	20.6%	1.88×	2.58
Duke Blue Devils under 55.5	37.1%	38.8%	29.2%	1.33×	2.58
Duke Blue Devils over 61.5	36.9%	38.8%	52.1%	0.74×	2.58
UConn Huskies under 70.5	30.9%	33.6%	60.3%	0.56×	2.98
UConn Huskies over 80.5	28.8%	29.3%	17.1%	1.72×	3.42
Duke Blue Devils under 53.5	29.0%	29.3%	23.7%	1.23×	3.42
Duke Blue Devils over 63.5	29.0%	29.3%	46.1%	0.64×	3.42
UConn Huskies under 68.5	23.9%	24.9%	54.4%	0.46×	4.02
UConn Huskies over 82.5	22.0%	24.9%	13.8%	1.81×	4.02
Duke Blue Devils under 51.5	21.7%	24.9%	19.0%	1.31×	4.02
Duke Blue Devils over 65.5	22.1%	24.9%	40.2%	0.62×	4.02
UConn Huskies under 65.5	15.2%	19.3%	44.7%	0.43×	5.18
UConn Huskies over 85.5	13.8%	16.1%	9.8%	1.64×	6.21
Duke Blue Devils under 48.5	12.8%	16.1%	13.3%	1.21×	6.21
Duke Blue Devils over 68.5	13.6%	16.1%	31.4%	0.51×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 154.5 points	91.8%	88.8%	89.8%	0.99×	1.13
Over 114.5 points	91.0%	88.8%	80.4%	1.10×	1.13
Under 149.5 points	85.6%	85.0%	84.9%	1.00×	1.18
Over 119.5 points	83.6%	80.6%	71.6%	1.12×	1.24
Under 144.5 points	76.6%	75.6%	78.1%	0.97×	1.32
Over 124.5 points	73.5%	70.8%	61.5%	1.15×	1.41
Under 141.5 points	70.1%	70.8%	73.4%	0.96×	1.41
Over 127.5 points	66.3%	65.9%	55.1%	1.20×	1.52
Under 139.5 points	65.2%	65.9%	69.9%	0.94×	1.52
Over 129.5 points	61.2%	61.5%	50.5%	1.22×	1.63
Under 137.5 points	60.2%	61.5%	66.2%	0.93×	1.63
Over 131.5 points	55.9%	56.5%	46.1%	1.23×	1.77
Under 135.5 points	54.9%	52.3%	62.4%	0.84×	1.91
Under 134.5 points	52.2%	52.3%	60.2%	0.87×	1.91
Over 133.5 points	50.5%	52.3%	42.0%	1.25×	1.91
Under 133.5 points	49.5%	47.7%	58.0%	0.82×	2.10
Over 134.5 points	47.8%	47.7%	39.8%	1.20×	2.10
Over 135.5 points	45.1%	47.7%	37.6%	1.27×	2.10
Under 131.5 points	44.1%	43.5%	53.9%	0.81×	2.30
Over 137.5 points	39.8%	38.5%	33.8%	1.14×	2.60
Under 129.5 points	38.8%	38.5%	49.5%	0.78×	2.60
Over 139.5 points	34.8%	34.1%	30.1%	1.13×	2.93
Under 127.5 points	33.7%	34.1%	44.9%	0.76×	2.93
Over 141.5 points	29.9%	29.2%	26.6%	1.10×	3.43
Under 124.5 points	26.5%	29.2%	38.5%	0.76×	3.43
Over 144.5 points	23.4%	24.4%	21.9%	1.11×	4.10
Under 119.5 points	16.4%	19.4%	28.4%	0.68×	5.15
Over 149.5 points	14.4%	15.0%	15.1%	0.99×	6.68
Under 114.5 points	9.0%	11.2%	19.6%	0.57×	8.96
Over 154.5 points	8.2%	11.2%	10.2%	1.10×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win both halves	64.0%	60.7%	36.0%	1.69×	1.65
Duke Blue Devils to win both halves	1.5%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.75

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies by 26+	20.6%	23.9%	12.6%	1.90×	4.18
UConn Huskies by 16-20	17.9%	16.8%	8.0%	2.08×	5.97
UConn Huskies by 11-15	17.2%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
UConn Huskies by 21-25	15.3%	16.8%	5.4%	3.11×	5.97
UConn Huskies by 6-10	13.6%	12.3%	12.9%	0.95×	8.11
UConn Huskies by 1-5	8.8%	7.5%	10.2%	0.73×	13.40
Duke Blue Devils by 1-5	4.1%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.29
Duke Blue Devils by 6-10	1.7%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.31
Duke Blue Devils by 11-15	0.6%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.32
Duke Blue Devils by 16-20	0.2%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.33
Duke Blue Devils by 21-25	0.0%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Duke Blue Devils by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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