UConn Huskies v Iowa Hawkeyes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

UConn Huskies

05:00 UTC

Iowa Hawkeyes

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

UConn Huskies win

98.3%

Draw

0.0%

Iowa Hawkeyes win

1.7%

9802

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	9802	80.96–57.56	81-58 0%	51%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to score 100+	2.7%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	282.83
UConn Huskies to score 110+	0.1%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.33
UConn Huskies to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
UConn Huskies to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Iowa Hawkeyes to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
Iowa Hawkeyes to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Iowa Hawkeyes to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Iowa Hawkeyes to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win H1	88.6%	88.7%	56.4%	1.57×	1.13
Iowa Hawkeyes to win H1	9.3%	7.2%	39.9%	0.18×	13.85
H1 tied	2.1%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.88

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 54.5	88.5%	87.7%	74.0%	1.19×	1.14
H1 under 78.5	88.4%	87.7%	92.8%	0.95×	1.14
H1 over 58.5	78.6%	77.4%	61.4%	1.26×	1.29
H1 under 74.5	78.9%	77.4%	87.2%	0.89×	1.29
H1 under 71.5	69.3%	67.4%	81.4%	0.83×	1.48
H1 over 61.5	68.8%	67.4%	50.2%	1.34×	1.48
H1 over 63.5	61.4%	62.7%	42.9%	1.46×	1.59
H1 under 69.5	62.1%	62.7%	76.2%	0.82×	1.59
H1 under 67.5	54.3%	52.6%	70.4%	0.75×	1.90
H1 over 65.5	53.6%	52.6%	36.1%	1.46×	1.90
H1 under 66.5	50.3%	52.6%	67.1%	0.78×	1.90
H1 over 66.5	49.7%	47.4%	32.9%	1.44×	2.11
H1 under 65.5	46.4%	47.4%	63.9%	0.74×	2.11
H1 over 67.5	45.7%	47.4%	29.6%	1.60×	2.11
H1 under 63.5	38.6%	37.3%	57.1%	0.65×	2.68
H1 over 69.5	37.9%	37.3%	23.8%	1.56×	2.68
H1 under 61.5	31.2%	32.6%	49.8%	0.65×	3.07
H1 over 71.5	30.7%	32.6%	18.6%	1.76×	3.07
H1 under 58.5	21.4%	22.6%	38.6%	0.58×	4.43
H1 over 74.5	21.1%	22.6%	12.8%	1.76×	4.43
H1 under 54.5	11.5%	12.3%	26.0%	0.47×	8.14
H1 over 78.5	11.6%	12.3%	7.2%	1.70×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win H2	90.0%	89.2%	56.0%	1.59×	1.12
Iowa Hawkeyes to win H2	8.2%	11.3%	40.6%	0.28×	8.85
H2 tied	1.8%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.37

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 85.5	88.6%	85.2%	91.2%	0.93×	1.17
H2 over 61.5	86.0%	85.2%	71.3%	1.20×	1.17
H2 under 81.5	79.7%	75.8%	85.8%	0.88×	1.32
H2 over 65.5	75.5%	75.8%	58.8%	1.29×	1.32
H2 under 78.5	70.8%	72.2%	80.1%	0.90×	1.39
H2 over 68.5	65.7%	66.4%	48.7%	1.36×	1.51
H2 under 76.5	64.0%	61.6%	75.6%	0.81×	1.62
H2 over 70.5	58.4%	57.3%	42.2%	1.36×	1.74
H2 under 74.5	56.7%	57.3%	69.9%	0.82×	1.74
H2 under 73.5	52.9%	52.4%	67.1%	0.78×	1.91
H2 over 72.5	50.9%	52.4%	36.0%	1.46×	1.91
H2 under 72.5	49.1%	47.6%	64.1%	0.74×	2.10
H2 over 73.5	47.1%	47.6%	32.9%	1.45×	2.10
H2 over 74.5	43.3%	42.7%	30.1%	1.42×	2.34
H2 under 70.5	41.6%	42.7%	57.8%	0.74×	2.34
H2 over 76.5	36.0%	38.4%	24.4%	1.57×	2.61
H2 under 68.5	34.3%	33.6%	51.3%	0.66×	2.97
H2 over 78.5	29.2%	27.8%	19.9%	1.40×	3.59
H2 under 65.5	24.5%	24.2%	41.2%	0.59×	4.13
H2 over 81.5	20.3%	24.2%	14.2%	1.70×	4.13
H2 under 61.5	14.0%	14.8%	28.7%	0.51×	6.76
H2 over 85.5	11.4%	14.8%	8.8%	1.69×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies leading at half time	88.6%	89.5%	56.4%	1.59×	1.12
Iowa Hawkeyes leading at half time	9.3%	6.8%	39.9%	0.17×	14.79
Level at half time	2.1%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.43

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies +5.5	99.5%	97.4%	70.1%	1.39×	1.03
UConn Huskies +6.5	99.6%	97.4%	72.3%	1.35×	1.03
UConn Huskies +7.5	99.7%	97.4%	74.5%	1.31×	1.03
UConn Huskies +8.5	99.8%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
UConn Huskies +9.5	99.8%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
UConn Huskies +10.5	99.9%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
UConn Huskies +12.5	99.9%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
UConn Huskies +14.5	100.0%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
UConn Huskies +16.5	100.0%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
UConn Huskies +18.5	100.0%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
UConn Huskies +20.5	100.0%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
UConn Huskies −1.5	97.8%	97.4%	58.7%	1.66×	1.03
UConn Huskies +1.5	98.6%	97.4%	61.2%	1.59×	1.03
UConn Huskies −2.5	97.2%	97.4%	56.7%	1.72×	1.03
UConn Huskies +2.5	98.9%	97.4%	63.3%	1.54×	1.03
UConn Huskies −3.5	96.5%	97.4%	54.2%	1.80×	1.03
UConn Huskies +3.5	99.1%	97.4%	65.7%	1.48×	1.03
UConn Huskies −4.5	95.6%	97.4%	52.2%	1.87×	1.03
UConn Huskies +4.5	99.3%	97.4%	67.8%	1.44×	1.03
UConn Huskies −5.5	94.7%	91.1%	49.7%	1.83×	1.10
UConn Huskies −6.5	93.6%	91.1%	47.6%	1.91×	1.10
UConn Huskies −7.5	92.3%	91.1%	44.8%	2.04×	1.10
UConn Huskies −8.5	90.9%	91.1%	42.0%	2.17×	1.10
UConn Huskies −9.5	89.3%	85.9%	39.3%	2.19×	1.16
UConn Huskies −10.5	87.5%	85.9%	36.8%	2.33×	1.16
UConn Huskies −12.5	83.3%	81.1%	32.1%	2.52×	1.23
UConn Huskies −14.5	78.3%	76.5%	27.9%	2.74×	1.31
UConn Huskies −16.5	72.6%	71.6%	24.3%	2.95×	1.40
UConn Huskies −18.5	66.3%	66.7%	20.7%	3.22×	1.50
UConn Huskies −20.5	59.4%	57.1%	18.0%	3.17×	1.75
Iowa Hawkeyes +20.5	40.6%	42.9%	82.0%	0.52×	2.33
Iowa Hawkeyes +18.5	33.7%	33.3%	79.3%	0.42×	3.01
Iowa Hawkeyes +16.5	27.4%	28.4%	75.7%	0.37×	3.53
Iowa Hawkeyes +14.5	21.7%	23.5%	72.1%	0.33×	4.25
Iowa Hawkeyes +12.5	16.7%	18.9%	67.9%	0.28×	5.29
Iowa Hawkeyes +10.5	12.5%	14.1%	63.2%	0.22×	7.09
Iowa Hawkeyes +9.5	10.7%	14.1%	60.7%	0.23×	7.09
Iowa Hawkeyes +8.5	9.1%	8.9%	58.0%	0.15×	11.25
Iowa Hawkeyes +6.5	6.4%	8.9%	52.4%	0.17×	11.25
Iowa Hawkeyes +7.5	7.7%	8.9%	55.2%	0.16×	11.25
Iowa Hawkeyes +5.5	5.3%	8.9%	50.3%	0.18×	11.25
Iowa Hawkeyes +1.5	2.2%	2.6%	41.3%	0.06×	38.73
Iowa Hawkeyes −1.5	1.4%	2.6%	38.8%	0.07×	38.73
Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5	2.8%	2.6%	43.3%	0.06×	38.73
Iowa Hawkeyes −2.5	1.1%	2.6%	36.7%	0.07×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes +3.5	3.5%	2.6%	45.8%	0.06×	38.73
Iowa Hawkeyes −3.5	0.9%	2.6%	34.3%	0.08×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes +4.5	4.4%	2.6%	47.8%	0.05×	38.72
Iowa Hawkeyes −4.5	0.7%	2.6%	32.2%	0.08×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −5.5	0.5%	2.6%	29.9%	0.09×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −6.5	0.4%	2.6%	27.7%	0.09×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −7.5	0.3%	2.6%	25.5%	0.10×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −8.5	0.2%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −9.5	0.2%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −10.5	0.1%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −12.5	0.1%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −14.5	0.0%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −16.5	0.0%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −18.5	0.0%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Iowa Hawkeyes −20.5	0.0%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	73.3%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.9%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	33.1%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	16.8%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	15.2%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies at HT / UConn Huskies at FT	88.0%	89.2%	48.3%	1.85×	1.12
Iowa Hawkeyes at HT / UConn Huskies at FT	8.3%	8.3%	9.8%	0.85×	12.08
Level at HT / UConn Huskies at FT	2.0%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.76
UConn Huskies at HT / Iowa Hawkeyes at FT	0.6%	2.1%	8.2%	0.26×	47.78
Level at HT / Iowa Hawkeyes at FT	0.1%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.79
Iowa Hawkeyes at HT / Iowa Hawkeyes at FT	1.0%	2.1%	30.1%	0.07×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win	98.3%	97.5%	59.9%	1.63×	1.03
Iowa Hawkeyes to win	1.7%	2.5%	40.1%	0.06×	39.48

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Iowa Hawkeyes even	50.2%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	50.2%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
UConn Huskies odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Iowa Hawkeyes odd	49.8%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	49.8%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	98.4%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	1.6%	3.0%	4.4%	0.67×	33.56

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q1	78.2%	79.9%	54.7%	1.46×	1.25
Iowa Hawkeyes to win Q1	17.5%	15.7%	40.4%	0.39×	6.38
Q1 tied	4.3%	4.2%	4.9%	0.85×	23.96

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 41.5	88.5%	87.4%	91.9%	0.95×	1.14
Q1 over 25.5	88.1%	87.4%	77.6%	1.13×	1.14
Q1 under 38.5	77.6%	76.9%	84.8%	0.91×	1.30
Q1 over 28.5	76.7%	76.9%	62.7%	1.23×	1.30
Q1 under 36.5	67.8%	67.6%	77.4%	0.87×	1.48
Q1 over 30.5	66.7%	67.6%	51.2%	1.32×	1.48
Q1 under 34.5	56.5%	58.6%	68.5%	0.86×	1.71
Q1 over 32.5	55.3%	58.6%	40.9%	1.43×	1.71
Q1 under 33.5	50.6%	52.7%	64.0%	0.82×	1.90
Q1 over 33.5	49.4%	47.3%	36.0%	1.31×	2.11
Q1 under 32.5	44.7%	41.4%	59.1%	0.70×	2.42
Q1 over 34.5	43.5%	41.4%	31.5%	1.31×	2.42
Q1 under 30.5	33.3%	32.4%	48.8%	0.67×	3.08
Q1 over 36.5	32.2%	32.4%	22.6%	1.44×	3.08
Q1 under 28.5	23.3%	23.1%	37.3%	0.62×	4.33
Q1 over 38.5	22.4%	23.1%	15.2%	1.52×	4.33
Q1 under 25.5	11.9%	12.6%	22.4%	0.56×	7.95
Q1 over 41.5	11.5%	12.6%	8.1%	1.56×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q2	77.5%	80.7%	52.9%	1.53×	1.24
Iowa Hawkeyes to win Q2	18.2%	14.6%	41.5%	0.35×	6.84
Q2 tied	4.3%	4.4%	5.7%	0.77×	22.90

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 41.5	89.5%	87.3%	92.7%	0.94×	1.15
Q2 over 25.5	87.0%	87.3%	76.2%	1.15×	1.15
Q2 under 38.5	79.1%	76.8%	85.6%	0.90×	1.30
Q2 over 28.5	75.1%	76.8%	61.2%	1.26×	1.30
Q2 under 36.5	69.6%	67.4%	78.7%	0.86×	1.48
Q2 over 30.5	64.8%	60.7%	49.9%	1.22×	1.65
Q2 under 34.5	58.5%	58.2%	70.1%	0.83×	1.72
Q2 over 32.5	53.2%	52.7%	39.2%	1.34×	1.90
Q2 under 33.5	52.7%	52.7%	65.6%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 33.5	47.3%	47.3%	34.4%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 under 32.5	46.8%	47.3%	60.8%	0.78×	2.11
Q2 over 34.5	41.5%	41.8%	29.9%	1.40×	2.39
Q2 under 30.5	35.2%	39.3%	50.1%	0.78×	2.55
Q2 over 36.5	30.4%	32.6%	21.3%	1.53×	3.06
Q2 under 28.5	24.9%	23.2%	38.8%	0.60×	4.31
Q2 over 38.5	20.9%	23.2%	14.4%	1.61×	4.31
Q2 under 25.5	13.0%	12.7%	23.8%	0.53×	7.89
Q2 over 41.5	10.5%	12.7%	7.3%	1.72×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q3	79.7%	81.6%	53.3%	1.53×	1.23
Iowa Hawkeyes to win Q3	16.3%	15.0%	41.8%	0.36×	6.66
Q3 tied	4.0%	4.3%	4.9%	0.86×	23.45

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 44.5	88.0%	87.2%	92.1%	0.95×	1.15
Q3 over 28.5	87.3%	87.2%	76.4%	1.14×	1.15
Q3 under 41.5	77.2%	77.3%	85.1%	0.91×	1.29
Q3 over 31.5	75.9%	77.3%	61.6%	1.25×	1.29
Q3 under 39.5	67.6%	67.8%	77.9%	0.87×	1.48
Q3 over 33.5	66.0%	67.8%	50.9%	1.33×	1.48
Q3 under 37.5	56.6%	58.4%	69.7%	0.84×	1.71
Q3 over 35.5	54.9%	52.3%	40.3%	1.30×	1.91
Q3 under 36.5	50.9%	52.3%	64.6%	0.81×	1.91
Q3 over 36.5	49.1%	47.7%	35.4%	1.35×	2.10
Q3 under 35.5	45.1%	47.7%	59.7%	0.80×	2.10
Q3 over 37.5	43.4%	41.6%	30.3%	1.37×	2.40
Q3 under 33.5	34.0%	32.2%	49.1%	0.66×	3.10
Q3 over 39.5	32.4%	32.2%	22.1%	1.46×	3.10
Q3 under 31.5	24.1%	22.7%	38.4%	0.59×	4.40
Q3 over 41.5	22.8%	22.7%	14.9%	1.53×	4.40
Q3 under 28.5	12.7%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.83
Q3 over 44.5	12.0%	12.8%	7.9%	1.63×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win Q4	79.2%	71.6%	52.8%	1.36×	1.40
Iowa Hawkeyes to win Q4	16.8%	22.6%	41.5%	0.54×	4.43
Q4 tied	4.0%	5.2%	5.7%	0.91×	19.30

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 44.5	86.5%	85.6%	90.6%	0.95×	1.17
Q4 over 28.5	86.1%	85.6%	75.1%	1.14×	1.17
Q4 under 41.5	75.6%	76.9%	83.6%	0.92×	1.30
Q4 over 31.5	75.0%	71.5%	61.1%	1.17×	1.40
Q4 under 39.5	66.3%	67.4%	77.0%	0.88×	1.48
Q4 over 33.5	65.5%	67.4%	50.4%	1.34×	1.48
Q4 under 37.5	55.9%	58.4%	68.8%	0.85×	1.71
Q4 over 35.5	55.0%	52.5%	40.6%	1.29×	1.91
Q4 under 36.5	50.5%	52.5%	64.3%	0.82×	1.91
Q4 over 36.5	49.5%	47.5%	35.7%	1.33×	2.11
Q4 under 35.5	45.0%	47.5%	59.4%	0.80×	2.11
Q4 over 37.5	44.1%	41.6%	31.2%	1.33×	2.40
Q4 under 33.5	34.5%	32.6%	49.6%	0.66×	3.07
Q4 over 39.5	33.7%	32.6%	23.0%	1.41×	3.07
Q4 under 31.5	25.0%	28.5%	38.9%	0.73×	3.51
Q4 over 41.5	24.4%	23.1%	16.4%	1.41×	4.33
Q4 under 28.5	13.9%	14.4%	24.9%	0.58×	6.95
Q4 over 44.5	13.5%	14.4%	9.4%	1.53×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes under 68.5	87.9%	83.9%	68.6%	1.22×	1.19
UConn Huskies under 91.5	86.2%	83.9%	95.1%	0.88×	1.19
Iowa Hawkeyes over 48.5	85.7%	83.9%	86.7%	0.97×	1.19
UConn Huskies over 71.5	84.7%	80.7%	37.0%	2.18×	1.24
Iowa Hawkeyes under 65.5	80.0%	80.7%	59.8%	1.35×	1.24
UConn Huskies under 88.5	78.0%	75.1%	93.1%	0.81×	1.33
Iowa Hawkeyes over 51.5	76.2%	75.1%	81.0%	0.93×	1.33
UConn Huskies over 74.5	76.0%	75.1%	29.3%	2.57×	1.33
Iowa Hawkeyes under 63.5	73.4%	70.7%	53.9%	1.31×	1.41
UConn Huskies under 86.5	71.3%	70.7%	91.2%	0.78×	1.41
Iowa Hawkeyes over 53.5	68.6%	66.4%	76.3%	0.87×	1.51
UConn Huskies over 76.5	68.9%	66.4%	24.6%	2.70×	1.51
Iowa Hawkeyes under 61.5	65.7%	66.4%	47.9%	1.39×	1.51
UConn Huskies under 84.5	63.7%	61.2%	88.9%	0.69×	1.63
UConn Huskies over 78.5	61.1%	61.2%	20.6%	2.97×	1.63
Iowa Hawkeyes over 55.5	60.2%	61.2%	70.8%	0.86×	1.63
Iowa Hawkeyes under 59.5	57.3%	57.1%	41.2%	1.39×	1.75
UConn Huskies under 82.5	55.6%	57.1%	86.2%	0.66×	1.75
UConn Huskies over 80.5	52.8%	52.3%	17.1%	3.06×	1.91
UConn Huskies under 81.5	51.4%	52.3%	84.6%	0.62×	1.91
Iowa Hawkeyes over 57.5	51.4%	52.3%	65.1%	0.80×	1.91
Iowa Hawkeyes under 58.5	53.0%	52.3%	37.9%	1.38×	1.91
UConn Huskies under 80.5	47.2%	47.7%	82.9%	0.58×	2.09
UConn Huskies over 81.5	48.6%	47.7%	15.4%	3.09×	2.09
Iowa Hawkeyes under 57.5	48.6%	47.7%	34.9%	1.37×	2.09
Iowa Hawkeyes over 58.5	47.0%	47.7%	62.1%	0.77×	2.09
UConn Huskies over 82.5	44.4%	42.9%	13.8%	3.12×	2.33
Iowa Hawkeyes over 59.5	42.7%	42.9%	58.8%	0.73×	2.33
Iowa Hawkeyes under 55.5	39.8%	38.8%	29.2%	1.33×	2.58
UConn Huskies under 78.5	38.9%	38.8%	79.4%	0.49×	2.58
UConn Huskies over 84.5	36.3%	38.8%	11.1%	3.50×	2.58
Iowa Hawkeyes over 61.5	34.3%	33.6%	52.1%	0.65×	2.98
Iowa Hawkeyes under 53.5	31.4%	33.6%	23.7%	1.42×	2.98
UConn Huskies under 76.5	31.1%	33.6%	75.4%	0.45×	2.98
UConn Huskies over 86.5	28.7%	29.3%	8.8%	3.33×	3.42
Iowa Hawkeyes over 63.5	26.6%	29.3%	46.1%	0.64×	3.42
Iowa Hawkeyes under 51.5	23.8%	24.9%	19.0%	1.31×	4.02
UConn Huskies under 74.5	24.0%	24.9%	70.7%	0.35×	4.02
UConn Huskies over 88.5	22.0%	24.9%	6.9%	3.59×	4.02
Iowa Hawkeyes over 65.5	20.0%	19.3%	40.2%	0.48×	5.18
UConn Huskies under 71.5	15.3%	19.3%	63.0%	0.31×	5.18
Iowa Hawkeyes under 48.5	14.3%	16.1%	13.3%	1.21×	6.21
UConn Huskies over 91.5	13.8%	16.1%	4.9%	3.29×	6.21
Iowa Hawkeyes over 68.5	12.1%	16.1%	31.4%	0.51×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 119.5 points	91.5%	88.8%	71.6%	1.24×	1.13
Under 159.5 points	91.5%	88.8%	93.3%	0.95×	1.13
Under 154.5 points	85.1%	85.0%	89.8%	0.95×	1.18
Over 124.5 points	84.3%	80.6%	61.5%	1.31×	1.24
Under 149.5 points	76.0%	75.6%	84.9%	0.89×	1.32
Over 129.5 points	74.4%	70.8%	50.5%	1.40×	1.41
Under 146.5 points	69.3%	65.9%	80.9%	0.81×	1.52
Over 132.5 points	67.2%	65.9%	44.0%	1.50×	1.52
Under 144.5 points	64.4%	61.5%	78.1%	0.79×	1.63
Over 134.5 points	62.1%	61.5%	39.8%	1.54×	1.63
Under 142.5 points	59.3%	56.5%	75.1%	0.75×	1.77
Over 136.5 points	56.8%	56.5%	35.8%	1.58×	1.77
Under 140.5 points	54.0%	52.3%	71.8%	0.73×	1.91
Over 138.5 points	51.4%	52.3%	32.1%	1.63×	1.91
Under 139.5 points	51.3%	52.3%	69.9%	0.75×	1.91
Under 138.5 points	48.6%	47.7%	67.9%	0.70×	2.10
Over 139.5 points	48.7%	47.7%	30.1%	1.58×	2.10
Over 140.5 points	46.0%	47.7%	28.2%	1.69×	2.10
Under 136.5 points	43.2%	43.5%	64.2%	0.68×	2.30
Over 142.5 points	40.7%	43.5%	24.9%	1.75×	2.30
Under 134.5 points	37.9%	38.5%	60.2%	0.64×	2.60
Over 144.5 points	35.6%	38.5%	21.9%	1.76×	2.60
Under 132.5 points	32.8%	34.1%	56.0%	0.61×	2.93
Over 146.5 points	30.7%	34.1%	19.1%	1.79×	2.93
Under 129.5 points	25.6%	29.2%	49.5%	0.59×	3.43
Over 149.5 points	24.0%	24.4%	15.1%	1.62×	4.10
Under 124.5 points	15.7%	19.4%	38.5%	0.50×	5.15
Over 154.5 points	14.9%	15.0%	10.2%	1.47×	6.68
Under 119.5 points	8.5%	11.2%	28.4%	0.39×	8.96
Over 159.5 points	8.5%	11.2%	6.7%	1.67×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies to win both halves	79.1%	77.2%	36.0%	2.14×	1.30
Iowa Hawkeyes to win both halves	0.3%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.83

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UConn Huskies by 26+	41.5%	47.6%	12.6%	3.77×	2.10
UConn Huskies by 21-25	18.0%	16.8%	5.4%	3.11×	5.97
UConn Huskies by 16-20	16.1%	16.8%	8.0%	2.08×	5.97
UConn Huskies by 11-15	11.9%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
UConn Huskies by 6-10	7.2%	7.5%	12.9%	0.58×	13.40
UConn Huskies by 1-5	3.6%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.30
Iowa Hawkeyes by 1-5	1.2%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.32
Iowa Hawkeyes by 6-10	0.4%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.32
Iowa Hawkeyes by 11-15	0.1%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.33
Iowa Hawkeyes by 16-20	0.0%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.33
Iowa Hawkeyes by 21-25	0.0%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Iowa Hawkeyes by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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