UNC Wilmington Seahawks v East Carolina Pirates — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 22 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.UNC Wilmington Seahawks win
8.1%
Draw
0.0%
East Carolina Pirates win
91.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 58.30–73.78 | 58-74 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| East Carolina Pirates to score 100+ | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.30 |
| East Carolina Pirates to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.35 |
| East Carolina Pirates to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| East Carolina Pirates to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates to win H1 | 78.3% | 79.2% | 39.9% | 1.99× | 1.26 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to win H1 | 18.5% | 16.9% | 56.4% | 0.30× | 5.91 |
| H1 tied | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 51.5 | 88.3% | 87.7% | 82.0% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 88.6% | 87.7% | 88.8% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 78.3% | 77.4% | 71.0% | 1.09× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 79.1% | 77.4% | 81.4% | 0.95× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 69.6% | 67.4% | 73.5% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 68.5% | 67.4% | 61.4% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 62.4% | 62.7% | 67.1% | 0.93× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 61.1% | 62.7% | 53.9% | 1.16× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 54.7% | 52.6% | 60.7% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 53.3% | 52.6% | 46.3% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 50.7% | 52.6% | 57.1% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 49.3% | 47.4% | 42.9% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 46.7% | 47.4% | 53.7% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 45.3% | 47.4% | 39.3% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 38.9% | 37.3% | 46.1% | 0.81× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 37.6% | 37.3% | 32.9% | 1.13× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 38.6% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 30.4% | 32.6% | 26.5% | 1.23× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 21.7% | 22.6% | 29.0% | 0.78× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 1.22× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 51.5 | 11.7% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 0.68× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 1.10× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates to win H2 | 79.7% | 74.0% | 40.6% | 1.82× | 1.35 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to win H2 | 17.3% | 20.4% | 56.0% | 0.36× | 4.90 |
| H2 tied | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 81.5 | 87.5% | 85.2% | 85.8% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 57.5 | 87.2% | 85.2% | 82.2% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 78.0% | 75.8% | 77.9% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 77.4% | 75.8% | 71.3% | 1.06× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 68.8% | 66.4% | 69.9% | 0.95× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 67.8% | 66.4% | 62.1% | 1.07× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 61.8% | 61.6% | 64.1% | 0.96× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 60.7% | 61.6% | 55.4% | 1.11× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 54.4% | 52.4% | 57.8% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 53.2% | 52.4% | 48.7% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 50.6% | 52.4% | 54.8% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 49.4% | 47.6% | 45.2% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 45.6% | 47.6% | 42.2% | 1.13× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 39.3% | 38.4% | 44.6% | 0.86× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 38.2% | 38.4% | 36.0% | 1.07× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 32.2% | 33.6% | 37.9% | 0.89× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 31.2% | 33.6% | 30.1% | 1.12× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 22.6% | 24.2% | 28.7% | 0.84× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 22.0% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 1.10× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 57.5 | 12.8% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 0.83× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 1.04× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates leading at half time | 78.3% | 79.7% | 39.9% | 2.00× | 1.25 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks leading at half time | 18.5% | 17.0% | 56.4% | 0.30× | 5.87 |
| Level at half time | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates +14.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +16.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +18.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +20.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +4.5 | 96.1% | 97.4% | 47.8% | 2.04× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +5.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 50.3% | 1.94× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +6.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 52.4% | 1.86× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +7.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 55.2% | 1.76× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +8.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 58.0% | 1.68× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +9.5 | 98.6% | 97.4% | 60.7% | 1.61× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +10.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +12.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +3.5 | 95.2% | 97.4% | 45.8% | 2.13× | 1.03 |
| East Carolina Pirates +2.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 43.3% | 2.11× | 1.10 |
| East Carolina Pirates +1.5 | 93.2% | 91.1% | 41.3% | 2.21× | 1.10 |
| East Carolina Pirates −1.5 | 90.3% | 91.1% | 38.8% | 2.35× | 1.10 |
| East Carolina Pirates −2.5 | 88.5% | 85.9% | 36.7% | 2.34× | 1.16 |
| East Carolina Pirates −3.5 | 86.5% | 85.9% | 34.3% | 2.50× | 1.16 |
| East Carolina Pirates −4.5 | 84.3% | 81.1% | 32.2% | 2.52× | 1.23 |
| East Carolina Pirates −5.5 | 81.9% | 81.1% | 29.9% | 2.71× | 1.23 |
| East Carolina Pirates −6.5 | 79.4% | 76.5% | 27.7% | 2.76× | 1.31 |
| East Carolina Pirates −7.5 | 76.6% | 76.5% | 25.5% | 3.00× | 1.31 |
| East Carolina Pirates −8.5 | 73.6% | 71.6% | 23.5% | 3.04× | 1.40 |
| East Carolina Pirates −9.5 | 70.5% | 71.6% | 21.3% | 3.36× | 1.40 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +20.5 | 68.2% | 66.7% | 92.7% | 0.72× | 1.50 |
| East Carolina Pirates −10.5 | 67.3% | 66.7% | 19.6% | 3.40× | 1.50 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +18.5 | 61.4% | 61.9% | 91.1% | 0.68× | 1.62 |
| East Carolina Pirates −12.5 | 60.4% | 61.9% | 16.2% | 3.81× | 1.62 |
| East Carolina Pirates −14.5 | 53.1% | 52.4% | 13.3% | 3.95× | 1.91 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +16.5 | 54.2% | 52.4% | 89.1% | 0.59× | 1.91 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +14.5 | 46.9% | 47.6% | 86.7% | 0.55× | 2.10 |
| East Carolina Pirates −16.5 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 10.9% | 4.38× | 2.10 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +12.5 | 39.6% | 38.1% | 83.8% | 0.45× | 2.63 |
| East Carolina Pirates −18.5 | 38.6% | 38.1% | 8.9% | 4.27× | 2.63 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +10.5 | 32.7% | 33.3% | 80.4% | 0.41× | 3.01 |
| East Carolina Pirates −20.5 | 31.8% | 33.3% | 7.3% | 4.57× | 3.01 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +9.5 | 29.5% | 28.4% | 78.7% | 0.36× | 3.53 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +8.5 | 26.4% | 28.4% | 76.5% | 0.37× | 3.53 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +7.5 | 23.4% | 23.5% | 74.5% | 0.32× | 4.25 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +6.5 | 20.6% | 23.5% | 72.3% | 0.33× | 4.25 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +5.5 | 18.1% | 18.9% | 70.1% | 0.27× | 5.29 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +4.5 | 15.7% | 18.9% | 67.8% | 0.28× | 5.30 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +3.5 | 13.5% | 14.1% | 65.7% | 0.21× | 7.09 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +2.5 | 11.5% | 14.1% | 63.3% | 0.22× | 7.09 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks +1.5 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 61.2% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −1.5 | 6.8% | 8.9% | 58.7% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −2.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 56.7% | 0.16× | 11.25 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −3.5 | 4.8% | 2.6% | 54.2% | 0.05× | 38.72 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −4.5 | 3.9% | 2.6% | 52.2% | 0.05× | 38.72 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −5.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 49.7% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −6.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 47.6% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −7.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 44.8% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −8.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 42.0% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −9.5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 39.3% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −10.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −12.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −14.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −16.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −18.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks −20.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.4% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.6% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.6% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.8% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.1% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.5% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates at HT / East Carolina Pirates at FT | 75.6% | 78.0% | 30.1% | 2.59× | 1.28 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks at HT / East Carolina Pirates at FT | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.49× | 8.17 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks at HT / UNC Wilmington Seahawks at FT | 5.0% | 2.1% | 48.3% | 0.04× | 47.71 |
| Level at HT / East Carolina Pirates at FT | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.74 |
| East Carolina Pirates at HT / UNC Wilmington Seahawks at FT | 2.7% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / UNC Wilmington Seahawks at FT | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates to win | 91.9% | 90.6% | 40.1% | 2.26× | 1.10 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to win | 8.1% | 9.4% | 59.9% | 0.16× | 10.64 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks even | 50.2% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| East Carolina Pirates even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.7% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks odd | 49.8% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| East Carolina Pirates odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.3% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 96.6% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.43 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates to win Q1 | 68.8% | 72.3% | 40.4% | 1.79× | 1.38 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to win Q1 | 26.0% | 22.4% | 54.7% | 0.41× | 4.47 |
| Q1 tied | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.33 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 40.5 | 90.0% | 91.1% | 89.9% | 1.01× | 1.10 |
| Q1 over 24.5 | 86.3% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 79.9% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 74.1% | 72.7% | 67.7% | 1.07× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 70.7% | 72.7% | 73.2% | 0.99× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 63.6% | 61.7% | 56.9% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 59.7% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 53.9% | 52.7% | 59.1% | 0.89× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 52.0% | 52.7% | 46.0% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 48.0% | 47.3% | 54.0% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 46.1% | 47.3% | 40.9% | 1.16× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 40.3% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 36.4% | 38.3% | 43.1% | 0.89× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 29.4% | 27.3% | 26.8% | 1.02× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 25.9% | 27.3% | 32.3% | 0.84× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 20.1% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.25× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 13.7% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 0.88× | 11.19 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates to win Q2 | 68.3% | 68.4% | 41.5% | 1.65× | 1.46 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to win Q2 | 26.5% | 27.7% | 52.9% | 0.52× | 3.61 |
| Q2 tied | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.06× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 23.5 | 88.4% | 87.3% | 84.6% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 39.5 | 88.2% | 87.3% | 88.4% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 77.2% | 76.8% | 71.6% | 1.07× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 77.0% | 76.8% | 78.7% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 67.3% | 67.4% | 61.2% | 1.10× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 67.1% | 67.4% | 70.1% | 0.96× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 56.0% | 58.2% | 49.9% | 1.17× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 55.8% | 58.2% | 60.8% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 50.1% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 49.9% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 44.0% | 41.8% | 50.1% | 0.84× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 44.2% | 41.8% | 39.2% | 1.07× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 32.9% | 32.6% | 29.9% | 1.09× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 32.7% | 32.6% | 38.8% | 0.84× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 22.8% | 23.2% | 28.4% | 0.82× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 23.0% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 1.09× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 1.09× | 7.89 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 11.6% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 0.82× | 7.89 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates to win Q3 | 70.1% | 73.0% | 41.8% | 1.75× | 1.37 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to win Q3 | 25.0% | 22.5% | 53.3% | 0.42× | 4.44 |
| Q3 tied | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.87× | 23.42 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 26.5 | 88.2% | 87.2% | 83.8% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 42.5 | 87.1% | 87.2% | 87.8% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 77.3% | 77.3% | 71.8% | 1.08× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 75.8% | 77.3% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 67.6% | 67.8% | 61.6% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 66.0% | 67.8% | 69.7% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 56.6% | 58.4% | 50.9% | 1.15× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 59.7% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 45.4% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 54.6% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 43.4% | 41.6% | 49.1% | 0.85× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 34.0% | 32.2% | 30.3% | 1.06× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 32.4% | 32.2% | 38.4% | 0.84× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 24.2% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 1.03× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 22.7% | 22.7% | 28.2% | 0.81× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 11.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.79× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates to win Q4 | 69.7% | 60.7% | 41.5% | 1.46× | 1.65 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to win Q4 | 25.4% | 33.3% | 52.8% | 0.63× | 3.01 |
| Q4 tied | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 26.5 | 87.0% | 85.6% | 82.6% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 42.5 | 85.6% | 85.6% | 86.2% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 76.3% | 76.9% | 70.8% | 1.09× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 74.3% | 71.5% | 77.0% | 0.93× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 67.0% | 67.4% | 61.1% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 64.8% | 61.4% | 68.8% | 0.89× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 56.6% | 58.4% | 50.4% | 1.16× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 54.2% | 52.5% | 59.4% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 51.2% | 52.5% | 45.6% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 48.8% | 47.5% | 54.4% | 0.87× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 45.8% | 47.5% | 40.6% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 43.4% | 41.6% | 49.6% | 0.84× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 35.2% | 38.6% | 31.2% | 1.24× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 33.0% | 32.6% | 38.9% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 25.7% | 28.5% | 23.0% | 1.24× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 23.7% | 23.1% | 29.2% | 0.79× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 13.0% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 0.83× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 69.5 | 88.0% | 83.9% | 57.4% | 1.46× | 1.19 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 84.5 | 87.2% | 83.9% | 94.7% | 0.89× | 1.19 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 64.5 | 85.0% | 83.9% | 43.2% | 1.94× | 1.19 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 49.5 | 84.0% | 80.7% | 92.1% | 0.88× | 1.24 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 66.5 | 80.4% | 80.7% | 48.2% | 1.68× | 1.24 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 81.5 | 79.1% | 75.1% | 92.0% | 0.82× | 1.33 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 67.5 | 76.1% | 75.1% | 34.4% | 2.18× | 1.33 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 52.5 | 74.4% | 70.7% | 87.7% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 64.5 | 74.0% | 70.7% | 41.6% | 1.70× | 1.41 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 79.5 | 72.3% | 70.7% | 89.7% | 0.79× | 1.41 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 69.5 | 68.9% | 66.4% | 28.8% | 2.31× | 1.51 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 54.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 83.8% | 0.79× | 1.51 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 62.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 35.7% | 1.86× | 1.51 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 77.5 | 64.6% | 61.2% | 87.2% | 0.70× | 1.63 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 71.5 | 60.9% | 61.2% | 23.9% | 2.56× | 1.63 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 56.5 | 58.5% | 57.1% | 79.5% | 0.72× | 1.75 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 60.5 | 58.6% | 57.1% | 30.5% | 1.87× | 1.75 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 75.5 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 84.1% | 0.68× | 1.75 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 59.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 27.8% | 1.88× | 1.91 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 73.5 | 52.4% | 52.3% | 19.8% | 2.64× | 1.91 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 74.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 82.3% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 58.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 25.3% | 2.07× | 1.91 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 58.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 74.7% | 0.64× | 2.09 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 73.5 | 47.6% | 47.7% | 80.2% | 0.60× | 2.09 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 74.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 17.7% | 2.69× | 2.09 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 59.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 72.2% | 0.66× | 2.09 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 75.5 | 43.7% | 42.9% | 15.9% | 2.70× | 2.33 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 56.5 | 41.5% | 42.9% | 20.5% | 2.10× | 2.33 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 60.5 | 41.4% | 42.9% | 69.5% | 0.62× | 2.33 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 71.5 | 39.1% | 38.8% | 76.1% | 0.51× | 2.58 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 77.5 | 35.4% | 38.8% | 12.8% | 3.03× | 2.58 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 54.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 16.2% | 2.08× | 2.98 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 62.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 64.3% | 0.52× | 2.98 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 69.5 | 31.1% | 33.6% | 71.2% | 0.47× | 2.98 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 79.5 | 27.7% | 29.3% | 10.3% | 2.83× | 3.42 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 52.5 | 25.6% | 29.3% | 12.3% | 2.37× | 3.42 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 64.5 | 26.0% | 29.3% | 58.4% | 0.50× | 3.42 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 67.5 | 23.9% | 24.9% | 65.6% | 0.38× | 4.02 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 81.5 | 20.9% | 24.9% | 8.0% | 3.10× | 4.02 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 66.5 | 19.6% | 19.3% | 51.8% | 0.37× | 5.18 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks under 49.5 | 16.0% | 19.3% | 7.9% | 2.45× | 5.18 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 64.5 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 56.9% | 0.28× | 6.21 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 84.5 | 12.8% | 16.1% | 5.3% | 3.02× | 6.21 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks over 69.5 | 12.0% | 16.1% | 42.6% | 0.38× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 153.5 points | 92.0% | 88.8% | 89.0% | 1.00× | 1.13 |
| Over 113.5 points | 90.9% | 88.8% | 81.9% | 1.08× | 1.13 |
| Under 148.5 points | 85.8% | 85.0% | 83.7% | 1.02× | 1.18 |
| Over 118.5 points | 83.5% | 80.6% | 73.6% | 1.10× | 1.24 |
| Under 143.5 points | 77.0% | 75.6% | 76.7% | 0.99× | 1.32 |
| Over 123.5 points | 73.2% | 70.8% | 63.3% | 1.12× | 1.41 |
| Under 140.5 points | 70.4% | 70.8% | 71.8% | 0.99× | 1.41 |
| Over 126.5 points | 66.0% | 65.9% | 57.4% | 1.15× | 1.52 |
| Under 138.5 points | 65.6% | 65.9% | 67.9% | 0.97× | 1.52 |
| Over 128.5 points | 60.9% | 61.5% | 52.8% | 1.16× | 1.63 |
| Under 136.5 points | 60.5% | 61.5% | 64.2% | 0.96× | 1.63 |
| Over 130.5 points | 55.5% | 56.5% | 48.3% | 1.17× | 1.77 |
| Under 134.5 points | 55.3% | 56.5% | 60.2% | 0.94× | 1.77 |
| Under 133.5 points | 52.6% | 52.3% | 58.0% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| Over 132.5 points | 50.1% | 52.3% | 44.0% | 1.19× | 1.91 |
| Under 132.5 points | 49.9% | 47.7% | 56.0% | 0.85× | 2.10 |
| Over 133.5 points | 47.4% | 47.7% | 42.0% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| Under 130.5 points | 44.5% | 43.5% | 51.7% | 0.84× | 2.30 |
| Over 134.5 points | 44.7% | 43.5% | 39.8% | 1.09× | 2.30 |
| Under 128.5 points | 39.1% | 38.5% | 47.2% | 0.82× | 2.60 |
| Over 136.5 points | 39.5% | 38.5% | 35.8% | 1.08× | 2.60 |
| Under 126.5 points | 34.0% | 34.1% | 42.6% | 0.80× | 2.93 |
| Over 138.5 points | 34.4% | 34.1% | 32.1% | 1.06× | 2.93 |
| Over 140.5 points | 29.6% | 29.2% | 28.2% | 1.03× | 3.43 |
| Under 123.5 points | 26.8% | 29.2% | 36.7% | 0.79× | 3.43 |
| Over 143.5 points | 23.0% | 24.4% | 23.3% | 1.05× | 4.10 |
| Under 118.5 points | 16.5% | 19.4% | 26.4% | 0.73× | 5.15 |
| Over 148.5 points | 14.2% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 0.92× | 6.68 |
| Under 113.5 points | 9.1% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 0.62× | 8.96 |
| Over 153.5 points | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 1.02× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates to win both halves | 60.8% | 60.6% | 20.4% | 2.98× | 1.65 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks to win both halves | 2.0% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 0.08× | 33.72 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates by 11-15 | 17.8% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 16-20 | 17.7% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 3.53× | 5.97 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 26+ | 17.5% | 16.8% | 4.6% | 3.63× | 5.97 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 6-10 | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 1.20× | 8.11 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 21-25 | 14.3% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.61× | 8.11 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 1-5 | 10.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks by 1-5 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks by 6-10 | 2.1% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.31 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks by 11-15 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.32 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks by 16-20 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.33 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks by 21-25 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |