Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Lakers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 25 October 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
deep No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| deep | 115.39–124.14 | 115-124 0% | 50% | 0% | |
| nba-normal | 115.39–124.14 | 115-124 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to score 100+ | 98.3% | 94.9% | 85.9% | 1.11× | 1.05 |
| Utah Jazz to score 100+ | 91.0% | 90.3% | 89.3% | 1.01× | 1.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers to score 110+ | 89.6% | 85.1% | 60.9% | 1.40× | 1.18 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 89.6% | 85.1% | 77.5% | 1.10× | 1.18 |
| Utah Jazz to score 110+ | 68.8% | 63.9% | 67.0% | 0.95× | 1.57 |
| Los Angeles Lakers to score 120+ | 65.8% | 63.8% | 29.7% | 2.15× | 1.57 |
| Utah Jazz to score 120+ | 36.0% | 35.9% | 36.5% | 0.98× | 2.78 |
| Los Angeles Lakers to score 130+ | 32.7% | 31.4% | 10.0% | 3.14× | 3.19 |
| Utah Jazz to score 130+ | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 1.08× | 7.24 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win H1 | 63.9% | 62.2% | 44.1% | 1.41× | 1.61 |
| Utah Jazz to win H1 | 32.8% | 33.1% | 52.8% | 0.63× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 133.5 | 83.4% | 82.5% | 93.1% | 0.89× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 81.0% | 82.5% | 65.0% | 1.27× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 129.5 | 74.6% | 73.5% | 88.1% | 0.83× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 71.5% | 73.5% | 52.4% | 1.40× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 126.5 | 66.7% | 67.4% | 82.8% | 0.81× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 63.2% | 62.7% | 43.4% | 1.44× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 124.5 | 60.9% | 62.7% | 78.4% | 0.80× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 57.3% | 58.2% | 37.1% | 1.57× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 54.9% | 52.6% | 74.0% | 0.71× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 121.5 | 51.9% | 52.6% | 71.2% | 0.74× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 51.2% | 52.6% | 31.6% | 1.67× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 48.8% | 47.4% | 68.4% | 0.69× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 121.5 | 48.1% | 47.4% | 28.8% | 1.64× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 45.1% | 47.4% | 26.0% | 1.82× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 42.7% | 41.8% | 62.9% | 0.66× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 39.1% | 37.3% | 21.7% | 1.72× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 36.8% | 37.3% | 56.6% | 0.66× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 126.5 | 33.3% | 32.6% | 17.2% | 1.89× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 28.5% | 26.5% | 47.6% | 0.56× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 129.5 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 11.9% | 2.24× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 19.0% | 17.5% | 35.0% | 0.50× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 133.5 | 16.6% | 17.5% | 6.9% | 2.54× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win H2 | 63.7% | 58.8% | 44.7% | 1.32× | 1.70 |
| Utah Jazz to win H2 | 33.0% | 36.3% | 51.6% | 0.70× | 2.76 |
| H2 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 106.5 | 82.7% | 81.8% | 68.8% | 1.19× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 130.5 | 82.1% | 81.8% | 88.9% | 0.92× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 73.6% | 72.2% | 58.1% | 1.24× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 126.5 | 72.9% | 72.2% | 83.2% | 0.87× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 65.5% | 66.4% | 49.9% | 1.33× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 123.5 | 64.7% | 61.6% | 76.9% | 0.80× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 59.6% | 57.3% | 44.6% | 1.29× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 121.5 | 58.8% | 57.3% | 72.0% | 0.80× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 117.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 38.9% | 1.34× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 119.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 66.4% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 50.4% | 52.4% | 36.4% | 1.44× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 49.6% | 47.6% | 63.6% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 119.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 33.6% | 1.42× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 117.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 61.1% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 121.5 | 41.2% | 42.7% | 28.0% | 1.52× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 40.4% | 42.7% | 55.4% | 0.77× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 123.5 | 35.3% | 38.4% | 23.1% | 1.66× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 34.5% | 33.6% | 50.1% | 0.67× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 126.5 | 27.1% | 27.8% | 16.8% | 1.66× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 26.4% | 27.8% | 41.9% | 0.66× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 130.5 | 17.9% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 1.64× | 5.50 |
| H2 under 106.5 | 17.3% | 18.2% | 31.2% | 0.58× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers leading at half time | 63.9% | 62.5% | 44.1% | 1.42× | 1.60 |
| Utah Jazz leading at half time | 32.8% | 32.7% | 52.8% | 0.62× | 3.05 |
| Level at half time | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers +16.5 | 95.8% | 97.4% | 83.5% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +18.5 | 96.9% | 97.4% | 86.4% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +20.5 | 97.8% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +14.5 | 94.4% | 91.1% | 80.1% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +12.5 | 92.7% | 91.1% | 76.0% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +10.5 | 90.6% | 91.1% | 71.0% | 1.28× | 1.10 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +9.5 | 89.3% | 85.9% | 68.7% | 1.25× | 1.16 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +8.5 | 88.0% | 85.9% | 65.9% | 1.30× | 1.16 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +7.5 | 86.6% | 85.9% | 63.0% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +6.5 | 85.0% | 85.9% | 60.0% | 1.43× | 1.16 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +5.5 | 83.3% | 81.1% | 57.1% | 1.42× | 1.23 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +4.5 | 81.5% | 81.1% | 54.1% | 1.50× | 1.23 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 | 79.6% | 76.5% | 51.6% | 1.48× | 1.31 |
| Utah Jazz +20.5 | 78.6% | 76.5% | 93.1% | 0.82× | 1.31 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 | 77.6% | 76.5% | 49.1% | 1.56× | 1.31 |
| Los Angeles Lakers +1.5 | 75.5% | 76.5% | 46.3% | 1.65× | 1.31 |
| Utah Jazz +18.5 | 74.3% | 71.6% | 91.5% | 0.78× | 1.40 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −1.5 | 70.8% | 71.6% | 42.1% | 1.70× | 1.40 |
| Utah Jazz +16.5 | 69.7% | 66.7% | 89.7% | 0.74× | 1.50 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −2.5 | 68.2% | 66.7% | 39.5% | 1.69× | 1.50 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −3.5 | 65.6% | 66.7% | 36.9% | 1.81× | 1.50 |
| Utah Jazz +14.5 | 64.6% | 61.9% | 87.0% | 0.71× | 1.62 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −4.5 | 63.0% | 61.9% | 34.3% | 1.81× | 1.62 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −5.5 | 60.2% | 61.9% | 32.0% | 1.93× | 1.62 |
| Utah Jazz +12.5 | 59.3% | 57.1% | 83.9% | 0.68× | 1.75 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −6.5 | 57.5% | 57.1% | 29.4% | 1.94× | 1.75 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −7.5 | 54.7% | 52.4% | 27.0% | 1.94× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz +10.5 | 53.7% | 52.4% | 80.3% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −8.5 | 51.9% | 52.4% | 24.3% | 2.15× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz +9.5 | 50.9% | 52.4% | 78.1% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −9.5 | 49.1% | 47.6% | 21.9% | 2.18× | 2.10 |
| Utah Jazz +8.5 | 48.1% | 47.6% | 75.7% | 0.63× | 2.10 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −10.5 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 19.7% | 2.41× | 2.10 |
| Utah Jazz +7.5 | 45.3% | 47.6% | 73.0% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| Utah Jazz +6.5 | 42.5% | 42.9% | 70.6% | 0.61× | 2.33 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −12.5 | 40.7% | 42.9% | 16.1% | 2.66× | 2.33 |
| Utah Jazz +5.5 | 39.8% | 38.1% | 68.0% | 0.56× | 2.63 |
| Utah Jazz +4.5 | 37.0% | 38.1% | 65.7% | 0.58× | 2.63 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −14.5 | 35.4% | 38.1% | 13.0% | 2.93× | 2.63 |
| Utah Jazz +3.5 | 34.4% | 33.3% | 63.1% | 0.53× | 3.01 |
| Utah Jazz +2.5 | 31.8% | 33.3% | 60.5% | 0.55× | 3.01 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −16.5 | 30.3% | 33.3% | 10.3% | 3.22× | 3.01 |
| Utah Jazz +1.5 | 29.2% | 28.4% | 57.9% | 0.49× | 3.53 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −18.5 | 25.7% | 28.4% | 8.5% | 3.33× | 3.53 |
| Utah Jazz −1.5 | 24.5% | 23.5% | 53.7% | 0.44× | 4.25 |
| Utah Jazz −2.5 | 22.4% | 23.5% | 50.9% | 0.46× | 4.25 |
| Utah Jazz −3.5 | 20.4% | 23.5% | 48.4% | 0.49× | 4.25 |
| Los Angeles Lakers −20.5 | 21.4% | 23.5% | 6.9% | 3.42× | 4.25 |
| Utah Jazz −4.5 | 18.5% | 18.9% | 46.0% | 0.41× | 5.29 |
| Utah Jazz −5.5 | 16.7% | 18.9% | 42.9% | 0.44× | 5.29 |
| Utah Jazz −6.5 | 15.0% | 14.1% | 40.0% | 0.35× | 7.09 |
| Utah Jazz −7.5 | 13.4% | 14.1% | 37.0% | 0.38× | 7.09 |
| Utah Jazz −8.5 | 12.0% | 14.1% | 34.1% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| Utah Jazz −9.5 | 10.7% | 14.1% | 31.3% | 0.45× | 7.09 |
| Utah Jazz −10.5 | 9.4% | 8.9% | 29.0% | 0.31× | 11.25 |
| Utah Jazz −12.5 | 7.3% | 8.9% | 24.0% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Utah Jazz −14.5 | 5.6% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Utah Jazz −16.5 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 16.5% | 0.16× | 38.72 |
| Utah Jazz −18.5 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 13.6% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Utah Jazz −20.5 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.9% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.1% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.4% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.1% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers at HT / Los Angeles Lakers at FT | 56.1% | 56.8% | 30.9% | 1.84× | 1.76 |
| Utah Jazz at HT / Utah Jazz at FT | 18.0% | 15.5% | 40.8% | 0.38× | 6.47 |
| Utah Jazz at HT / Los Angeles Lakers at FT | 14.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| Los Angeles Lakers at HT / Utah Jazz at FT | 7.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 0.62× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Los Angeles Lakers at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Utah Jazz at FT | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win | 73.2% | 68.7% | 44.3% | 1.55× | 1.46 |
| Utah Jazz to win | 26.8% | 31.3% | 55.7% | 0.56× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Jazz even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Los Angeles Lakers odd | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.2% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Utah Jazz odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Los Angeles Lakers even | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.8% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.1% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win Q1 | 58.4% | 57.3% | 44.1% | 1.30× | 1.75 |
| Utah Jazz to win Q1 | 37.0% | 38.2% | 51.3% | 0.74× | 2.62 |
| Q1 tied | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 52.5 | 83.0% | 82.8% | 72.4% | 1.14× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 68.5 | 82.4% | 82.8% | 90.7% | 0.91× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 72.6% | 72.7% | 59.2% | 1.23× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 65.5 | 71.8% | 72.7% | 83.2% | 0.87× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 64.3% | 61.7% | 49.6% | 1.25× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 63.5 | 63.3% | 61.7% | 76.8% | 0.80× | 1.62 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 55.2% | 58.6% | 40.0% | 1.47× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 54.2% | 52.7% | 68.5% | 0.77× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 50.5% | 52.7% | 35.5% | 1.48× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 49.5% | 47.3% | 64.5% | 0.73× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 45.8% | 47.3% | 31.5% | 1.50× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 44.8% | 41.4% | 60.0% | 0.69× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 63.5 | 36.7% | 38.3% | 23.2% | 1.65× | 2.61 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 35.8% | 38.3% | 50.4% | 0.76× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 65.5 | 28.2% | 27.3% | 16.8% | 1.62× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 27.4% | 27.3% | 40.8% | 0.67× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 68.5 | 17.6% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 1.84× | 5.83 |
| Q1 under 52.5 | 17.0% | 17.2% | 27.6% | 0.62× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win Q2 | 58.3% | 59.4% | 46.2% | 1.28× | 1.68 |
| Utah Jazz to win Q2 | 37.1% | 35.8% | 49.3% | 0.73× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 68.5 | 83.2% | 83.0% | 90.6% | 0.92× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 52.5 | 81.9% | 83.0% | 70.3% | 1.18× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 65.5 | 72.9% | 72.0% | 83.6% | 0.86× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 71.2% | 72.0% | 56.3% | 1.28× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 63.5 | 64.6% | 60.7% | 77.5% | 0.78× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 62.8% | 60.7% | 47.3% | 1.28× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 55.6% | 58.2% | 70.4% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 53.7% | 52.7% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 51.0% | 52.7% | 65.7% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 49.0% | 47.3% | 34.3% | 1.38× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 61.9% | 0.76× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 44.4% | 41.8% | 29.6% | 1.41× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 37.2% | 39.3% | 52.7% | 0.75× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 63.5 | 35.4% | 39.3% | 22.5% | 1.75× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 28.8% | 28.0% | 43.7% | 0.64× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 65.5 | 27.1% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 1.71× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 52.5 | 18.1% | 17.0% | 29.7% | 0.57× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 68.5 | 16.8% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 1.80× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win Q3 | 58.3% | 56.8% | 44.3% | 1.28× | 1.76 |
| Utah Jazz to win Q3 | 37.1% | 38.8% | 50.9% | 0.76× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 69.5 | 85.0% | 87.2% | 91.4% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 80.6% | 82.3% | 68.3% | 1.20× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 66.5 | 75.2% | 77.3% | 84.7% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 69.4% | 67.8% | 55.0% | 1.23× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 67.1% | 67.8% | 79.2% | 0.86× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 60.6% | 61.9% | 45.2% | 1.37× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 58.1% | 58.4% | 71.9% | 0.81× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 67.7% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 36.5% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 63.5% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 32.3% | 1.48× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 41.9% | 41.6% | 28.1% | 1.48× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 39.4% | 38.1% | 54.8% | 0.69× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 32.9% | 32.2% | 20.8% | 1.55× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 30.6% | 32.2% | 45.0% | 0.72× | 3.11 |
| Q3 over 66.5 | 24.8% | 22.7% | 15.3% | 1.49× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 19.4% | 17.7% | 31.7% | 0.56× | 5.65 |
| Q3 over 69.5 | 15.0% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 1.48× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win Q4 | 58.1% | 52.1% | 46.4% | 1.12× | 1.92 |
| Utah Jazz to win Q4 | 37.2% | 42.4% | 48.3% | 0.88× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 66.5 | 84.0% | 82.0% | 90.4% | 0.91× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 80.2% | 82.0% | 68.5% | 1.20× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 63.5 | 74.2% | 71.5% | 83.7% | 0.85× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 69.3% | 67.4% | 55.7% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 61.5 | 66.2% | 67.4% | 77.5% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 60.8% | 61.4% | 47.1% | 1.30× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 57.4% | 58.4% | 70.2% | 0.83× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 52.9% | 52.5% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 51.7% | 52.5% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 48.3% | 47.5% | 61.9% | 0.77× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 47.1% | 47.5% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 42.6% | 41.6% | 29.8% | 1.40× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 39.2% | 38.6% | 52.9% | 0.73× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 33.8% | 32.6% | 22.5% | 1.45× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 30.7% | 32.6% | 44.3% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 63.5 | 25.8% | 28.5% | 16.3% | 1.75× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 19.8% | 18.0% | 31.5% | 0.57× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 66.5 | 16.0% | 18.0% | 9.6% | 1.88× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Jazz under 125.5 | 80.7% | 80.7% | 79.1% | 1.02× | 1.24 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 134.5 | 81.0% | 80.7% | 95.3% | 0.85× | 1.24 |
| Utah Jazz over 105.5 | 79.7% | 75.1% | 77.4% | 0.97× | 1.33 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 114.5 | 79.8% | 75.1% | 44.5% | 1.69× | 1.33 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 131.5 | 73.2% | 70.7% | 92.6% | 0.76× | 1.41 |
| Utah Jazz over 108.5 | 71.7% | 70.7% | 69.9% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Utah Jazz under 122.5 | 73.0% | 70.7% | 71.8% | 0.98× | 1.41 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 117.5 | 71.8% | 70.7% | 35.6% | 1.99× | 1.41 |
| Utah Jazz under 120.5 | 67.1% | 66.4% | 66.3% | 1.00× | 1.51 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 129.5 | 67.3% | 66.4% | 90.0% | 0.74× | 1.51 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 119.5 | 65.8% | 66.4% | 29.7% | 2.24× | 1.51 |
| Utah Jazz over 110.5 | 65.7% | 66.4% | 64.1% | 1.04× | 1.51 |
| Utah Jazz under 118.5 | 60.8% | 61.2% | 60.3% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 127.5 | 60.9% | 61.2% | 86.9% | 0.70× | 1.63 |
| Utah Jazz over 112.5 | 59.3% | 57.1% | 57.7% | 0.99× | 1.75 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 121.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 25.3% | 2.26× | 1.75 |
| Utah Jazz under 116.5 | 54.2% | 52.3% | 54.7% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 125.5 | 54.2% | 52.3% | 83.4% | 0.63× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz over 114.5 | 52.6% | 52.3% | 51.4% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 123.5 | 52.6% | 52.3% | 20.5% | 2.55× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz under 115.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 51.6% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 124.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 81.4% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz over 115.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 48.4% | 0.99× | 2.09 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 124.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 18.6% | 2.57× | 2.09 |
| Utah Jazz under 114.5 | 47.4% | 47.7% | 48.6% | 0.98× | 2.09 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 123.5 | 47.4% | 47.7% | 79.5% | 0.60× | 2.09 |
| Utah Jazz over 116.5 | 45.8% | 47.7% | 45.3% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 125.5 | 45.8% | 47.7% | 16.6% | 2.87× | 2.09 |
| Utah Jazz under 112.5 | 40.7% | 42.9% | 42.3% | 1.01× | 2.33 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 121.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 74.7% | 0.57× | 2.33 |
| Utah Jazz over 118.5 | 39.2% | 38.8% | 39.7% | 0.98× | 2.58 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 127.5 | 39.1% | 38.8% | 13.1% | 2.96× | 2.58 |
| Utah Jazz under 110.5 | 34.3% | 33.6% | 35.9% | 0.94× | 2.98 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 119.5 | 34.2% | 33.6% | 70.3% | 0.48× | 2.98 |
| Utah Jazz over 120.5 | 32.9% | 33.6% | 33.7% | 1.00× | 2.98 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 129.5 | 32.7% | 33.6% | 10.0% | 3.37× | 2.98 |
| Utah Jazz under 108.5 | 28.3% | 29.3% | 30.1% | 0.97× | 3.42 |
| Utah Jazz over 122.5 | 27.0% | 29.3% | 28.2% | 1.04× | 3.42 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 117.5 | 28.2% | 29.3% | 64.4% | 0.45× | 3.42 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 131.5 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 7.4% | 3.95× | 3.42 |
| Utah Jazz under 105.5 | 20.3% | 24.9% | 22.6% | 1.10× | 4.02 |
| Los Angeles Lakers under 114.5 | 20.2% | 24.9% | 55.5% | 0.45× | 4.02 |
| Utah Jazz over 125.5 | 19.3% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 0.92× | 5.18 |
| Los Angeles Lakers over 134.5 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 4.7% | 4.15× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 219.5 points | 86.2% | 85.0% | 66.1% | 1.29× | 1.18 |
| Under 259.5 points | 86.1% | 85.0% | 93.6% | 0.91× | 1.18 |
| Under 254.5 points | 79.2% | 75.6% | 89.9% | 0.84× | 1.32 |
| Over 224.5 points | 79.3% | 75.6% | 56.5% | 1.34× | 1.32 |
| Under 249.5 points | 70.6% | 70.8% | 85.3% | 0.83× | 1.41 |
| Over 229.5 points | 70.7% | 70.8% | 46.7% | 1.52× | 1.41 |
| Under 246.5 points | 64.7% | 61.5% | 82.0% | 0.75× | 1.63 |
| Over 232.5 points | 64.9% | 61.5% | 40.6% | 1.51× | 1.63 |
| Under 244.5 points | 60.6% | 61.5% | 79.5% | 0.77× | 1.63 |
| Over 234.5 points | 60.8% | 61.5% | 36.7% | 1.68× | 1.63 |
| Over 236.5 points | 56.6% | 56.5% | 32.7% | 1.73× | 1.77 |
| Under 242.5 points | 56.4% | 56.5% | 76.8% | 0.74× | 1.77 |
| Over 238.5 points | 52.3% | 52.3% | 29.1% | 1.80× | 1.91 |
| Under 240.5 points | 52.1% | 52.3% | 74.0% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Over 239.5 points | 50.1% | 52.3% | 27.5% | 1.90× | 1.91 |
| Under 239.5 points | 50.0% | 47.7% | 72.5% | 0.66× | 2.10 |
| Under 238.5 points | 47.7% | 47.7% | 70.9% | 0.67× | 2.10 |
| Over 240.5 points | 47.9% | 47.7% | 26.0% | 1.84× | 2.10 |
| Under 236.5 points | 43.4% | 43.5% | 67.3% | 0.65× | 2.30 |
| Over 242.5 points | 43.6% | 43.5% | 23.2% | 1.88× | 2.30 |
| Over 244.5 points | 39.4% | 38.5% | 20.5% | 1.88× | 2.60 |
| Under 234.5 points | 39.2% | 38.5% | 63.3% | 0.61× | 2.60 |
| Over 246.5 points | 35.3% | 38.5% | 18.0% | 2.14× | 2.60 |
| Under 232.5 points | 35.1% | 38.5% | 59.4% | 0.65× | 2.60 |
| Over 249.5 points | 29.4% | 29.2% | 14.7% | 1.99× | 3.43 |
| Under 229.5 points | 29.3% | 29.2% | 53.3% | 0.55× | 3.43 |
| Over 254.5 points | 20.8% | 24.4% | 10.1% | 2.42× | 4.10 |
| Under 224.5 points | 20.7% | 24.4% | 43.5% | 0.56× | 4.10 |
| Over 259.5 points | 13.9% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.35× | 6.68 |
| Under 219.5 points | 13.8% | 15.0% | 33.9% | 0.44× | 6.68 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers to win both halves | 38.8% | 36.3% | 17.8% | 2.04× | 2.75 |
| Utah Jazz to win both halves | 9.0% | 8.8% | 25.2% | 0.35× | 11.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers by 6-10 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 11-15 | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 1-5 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 26+ | 12.7% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 3.19× | 8.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 16-20 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 2.54× | 8.11 |
| Utah Jazz by 1-5 | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Los Angeles Lakers by 21-25 | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.45× | 13.40 |
| Utah Jazz by 6-10 | 7.2% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 0.54× | 13.40 |
| Utah Jazz by 11-15 | 4.6% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.29 |
| Utah Jazz by 16-20 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 0.28× | 49.31 |
| Utah Jazz by 21-25 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| Utah Jazz by 26+ | 0.9% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.32 |