Utah Jazz v Memphis Grizzlies — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 27 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Utah Jazz

01:00 UTC

Memphis Grizzlies

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Utah Jazz win

51.9%

Draw

0.0%

Memphis Grizzlies win

48.1%

52048

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	52048	124.97–124.30	125-124 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz to score 100+	98.4%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Memphis Grizzlies to score 100+	98.3%	94.9%	85.9%	1.11×	1.05
Both sides to score 100+	96.8%	94.9%	77.5%	1.22×	1.05
Utah Jazz to score 110+	90.4%	90.3%	67.0%	1.35×	1.11
Memphis Grizzlies to score 110+	89.6%	85.1%	60.9%	1.40×	1.18
Utah Jazz to score 120+	67.8%	63.8%	36.5%	1.75×	1.57
Memphis Grizzlies to score 120+	65.8%	63.8%	29.7%	2.15×	1.57
Utah Jazz to score 130+	35.2%	35.9%	12.8%	2.80×	2.78
Memphis Grizzlies to score 130+	32.9%	31.4%	10.0%	3.15×	3.19

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz to win H1	49.5%	47.3%	52.8%	0.90×	2.11
Memphis Grizzlies to win H1	47.0%	47.3%	44.1%	1.07×	2.11
H1 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 133.5	82.0%	83.2%	93.1%	0.89×	1.20
H1 over 109.5	81.9%	83.2%	65.0%	1.28×	1.20
H1 under 138.5	83.6%	82.5%	96.9%	0.85×	1.21
H1 over 114.5	80.8%	82.5%	49.6%	1.66×	1.21
H1 over 113.5	72.8%	74.0%	52.4%	1.41×	1.35
H1 under 134.5	74.8%	73.5%	94.0%	0.78×	1.36
H1 over 118.5	71.3%	73.5%	37.1%	1.98×	1.36
H1 under 131.5	66.9%	67.4%	91.0%	0.74×	1.48
H1 over 116.5	64.7%	63.3%	43.4%	1.46×	1.58
H1 over 121.5	63.0%	62.7%	28.8%	2.18×	1.59
H1 under 129.5	61.2%	62.7%	88.1%	0.71×	1.59
H1 over 123.5	57.0%	58.2%	24.0%	2.42×	1.72
H1 under 127.5	55.2%	58.2%	84.8%	0.69×	1.72
H1 under 124.5	59.1%	58.2%	78.4%	0.74×	1.72
H1 under 126.5	52.1%	52.6%	82.8%	0.64×	1.90
H1 over 125.5	50.9%	52.6%	19.3%	2.73×	1.90
H1 under 122.5	53.1%	52.5%	74.0%	0.71×	1.90
H1 over 120.5	52.9%	52.5%	31.6%	1.66×	1.90
H1 under 120.5	47.1%	47.5%	68.4%	0.69×	2.11
H1 over 122.5	46.9%	47.5%	26.0%	1.82×	2.11
H1 under 125.5	49.1%	47.4%	80.7%	0.59×	2.11
H1 over 126.5	47.9%	47.4%	17.2%	2.75×	2.11
H1 over 124.5	40.9%	41.8%	21.7%	1.93×	2.39
H1 over 127.5	44.8%	41.8%	15.2%	2.76×	2.39
H1 under 123.5	43.0%	41.8%	76.0%	0.55×	2.39
H1 over 129.5	38.8%	37.3%	11.9%	3.14×	2.68
H1 under 121.5	37.0%	37.3%	71.2%	0.52×	2.68
H1 under 116.5	35.3%	36.7%	56.6%	0.65×	2.72
H1 over 131.5	33.1%	32.6%	9.0%	3.61×	3.07
H1 under 118.5	28.7%	26.5%	62.9%	0.42×	3.77
H1 over 134.5	25.2%	26.5%	6.0%	4.39×	3.77
H1 under 113.5	27.2%	26.0%	47.6%	0.55×	3.84
H1 under 114.5	19.2%	17.5%	50.4%	0.35×	5.72
H1 over 138.5	16.5%	17.5%	3.1%	5.66×	5.73
H1 under 109.5	18.1%	16.8%	35.0%	0.48×	5.96
H1 over 133.5	18.0%	16.8%	6.9%	2.44×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz to win H2	49.4%	47.1%	51.6%	0.91×	2.12
Memphis Grizzlies to win H2	47.0%	47.1%	44.7%	1.05×	2.12
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 111.5	82.4%	81.8%	55.3%	1.48×	1.22
H2 under 135.5	82.5%	81.8%	93.5%	0.87×	1.22
H2 over 107.5	81.6%	81.5%	66.2%	1.23×	1.23
H2 under 127.5	73.8%	72.5%	84.9%	0.85×	1.38
H2 under 131.5	73.4%	72.2%	90.1%	0.80×	1.39
H2 over 115.5	73.2%	72.2%	44.6%	1.62×	1.39
H2 over 118.5	65.0%	66.4%	36.4%	1.82×	1.51
H2 under 128.5	65.2%	66.4%	86.3%	0.77×	1.51
H2 over 114.5	64.1%	62.6%	47.5%	1.32×	1.60
H2 over 116.5	58.2%	58.0%	41.9%	1.38×	1.72
H2 over 120.5	59.1%	57.3%	30.7%	1.87×	1.74
H2 under 126.5	59.3%	57.3%	83.2%	0.69×	1.74
H2 over 122.5	53.0%	52.4%	25.6%	2.05×	1.91
H2 under 124.5	53.2%	52.4%	79.1%	0.66×	1.91
H2 under 123.5	50.1%	52.4%	76.9%	0.68×	1.91
H2 under 119.5	50.9%	52.0%	66.4%	0.78×	1.92
H2 over 119.5	49.1%	48.0%	33.6%	1.43×	2.09
H2 over 123.5	49.9%	47.6%	23.1%	2.06×	2.10
H2 under 122.5	47.0%	47.6%	74.4%	0.64×	2.10
H2 over 124.5	46.8%	47.6%	20.9%	2.28×	2.10
H2 under 120.5	40.9%	42.7%	69.3%	0.62×	2.35
H2 over 126.5	40.7%	42.7%	16.8%	2.54×	2.35
H2 under 116.5	41.8%	42.0%	58.1%	0.72×	2.38
H2 under 114.5	35.9%	37.4%	52.5%	0.71×	2.67
H2 under 118.5	35.0%	33.6%	63.6%	0.53×	2.97
H2 over 128.5	34.8%	33.6%	13.7%	2.45×	2.97
H2 over 131.5	26.6%	27.8%	9.9%	2.80×	3.59
H2 under 115.5	26.8%	27.8%	55.4%	0.50×	3.59
H2 over 127.5	26.2%	27.5%	15.1%	1.82×	3.64
H2 under 107.5	18.4%	18.5%	33.8%	0.55×	5.41
H2 under 111.5	17.7%	18.2%	44.7%	0.41×	5.50
H2 over 135.5	17.5%	18.2%	6.5%	2.81×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz leading at half time	49.5%	47.3%	52.8%	0.90×	2.12
Memphis Grizzlies leading at half time	47.0%	47.2%	44.1%	1.07×	2.12
Level at half time	3.5%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz +20.5	92.6%	91.1%	93.1%	0.98×	1.10
Utah Jazz +18.5	90.4%	91.1%	91.5%	1.00×	1.10
Memphis Grizzlies +20.5	91.2%	91.1%	89.1%	1.02×	1.10
Memphis Grizzlies +18.5	88.8%	85.9%	86.4%	0.99×	1.16
Utah Jazz +16.5	87.8%	85.9%	89.7%	0.96×	1.16
Memphis Grizzlies +16.5	85.9%	85.9%	83.5%	1.03×	1.16
Utah Jazz +14.5	84.8%	81.1%	87.0%	0.93×	1.23
Memphis Grizzlies +14.5	82.5%	81.1%	80.1%	1.01×	1.23
Utah Jazz +12.5	81.3%	81.1%	83.9%	0.97×	1.23
Memphis Grizzlies +12.5	78.7%	76.5%	76.0%	1.01×	1.31
Utah Jazz +10.5	77.3%	76.5%	80.3%	0.95×	1.31
Utah Jazz +9.5	75.2%	76.5%	78.1%	0.98×	1.31
Memphis Grizzlies +10.5	74.4%	71.6%	71.0%	1.01×	1.40
Utah Jazz +8.5	72.9%	71.6%	75.7%	0.95×	1.40
Memphis Grizzlies +9.5	72.1%	71.6%	68.7%	1.04×	1.40
Utah Jazz +7.5	70.5%	71.6%	73.0%	0.98×	1.40
Memphis Grizzlies +8.5	69.7%	66.7%	65.9%	1.01×	1.50
Utah Jazz +6.5	68.1%	66.7%	70.6%	0.95×	1.50
Memphis Grizzlies +7.5	67.2%	66.7%	63.0%	1.06×	1.50
Utah Jazz +5.5	65.5%	66.7%	68.0%	0.98×	1.50
Memphis Grizzlies +6.5	64.7%	61.9%	60.0%	1.03×	1.62
Utah Jazz +4.5	62.9%	61.9%	65.7%	0.94×	1.62
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5	62.0%	61.9%	57.1%	1.08×	1.62
Utah Jazz +3.5	60.2%	61.9%	63.1%	0.98×	1.62
Memphis Grizzlies +4.5	59.3%	57.1%	54.1%	1.06×	1.75
Utah Jazz +2.5	57.5%	57.1%	60.5%	0.94×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies +3.5	56.6%	57.1%	51.6%	1.11×	1.75
Utah Jazz +1.5	54.7%	52.4%	57.9%	0.91×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies +2.5	53.8%	52.4%	49.1%	1.07×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies +1.5	50.9%	52.4%	46.3%	1.13×	1.91
Utah Jazz −1.5	49.1%	47.6%	53.7%	0.89×	2.10
Utah Jazz −2.5	46.2%	47.6%	50.9%	0.93×	2.10
Memphis Grizzlies −1.5	45.3%	47.6%	42.1%	1.13×	2.10
Memphis Grizzlies −2.5	42.5%	42.9%	39.5%	1.09×	2.33
Utah Jazz −3.5	43.4%	42.9%	48.4%	0.89×	2.33
Utah Jazz −4.5	40.7%	42.9%	46.0%	0.93×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies −3.5	39.8%	38.1%	36.9%	1.03×	2.63
Utah Jazz −5.5	38.0%	38.1%	42.9%	0.89×	2.63
Memphis Grizzlies −4.5	37.1%	38.1%	34.3%	1.11×	2.63
Utah Jazz −6.5	35.3%	38.1%	40.0%	0.95×	2.63
Memphis Grizzlies −5.5	34.5%	33.3%	32.0%	1.04×	3.01
Utah Jazz −7.5	32.8%	33.3%	37.0%	0.90×	3.01
Memphis Grizzlies −6.5	31.9%	33.3%	29.4%	1.13×	3.01
Utah Jazz −8.5	30.3%	33.3%	34.1%	0.98×	3.01
Memphis Grizzlies −7.5	29.5%	28.4%	27.0%	1.05×	3.53
Utah Jazz −9.5	27.9%	28.4%	31.3%	0.91×	3.53
Memphis Grizzlies −8.5	27.1%	28.4%	24.3%	1.17×	3.53
Utah Jazz −10.5	25.6%	28.4%	29.0%	0.98×	3.53
Memphis Grizzlies −9.5	24.8%	23.5%	21.9%	1.08×	4.25
Memphis Grizzlies −10.5	22.7%	23.5%	19.7%	1.19×	4.25
Utah Jazz −12.5	21.3%	23.5%	24.0%	0.98×	4.25
Memphis Grizzlies −12.5	18.7%	18.9%	16.1%	1.17×	5.29
Utah Jazz −14.5	17.5%	18.9%	19.9%	0.95×	5.29
Memphis Grizzlies −14.5	15.2%	18.9%	13.0%	1.45×	5.30
Utah Jazz −16.5	14.1%	14.1%	16.5%	0.86×	7.09
Memphis Grizzlies −16.5	12.2%	14.1%	10.3%	1.37×	7.09
Utah Jazz −18.5	11.2%	14.1%	13.6%	1.04×	7.09
Memphis Grizzlies −18.5	9.6%	8.9%	8.5%	1.04×	11.25
Utah Jazz −20.5	8.8%	8.9%	10.9%	0.82×	11.25
Memphis Grizzlies −20.5	7.4%	8.9%	6.9%	1.29×	11.25

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	57.2%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	42.8%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.5%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.3%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	16.6%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	37.2%	37.7%	40.8%	0.93×	2.65
Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT	34.1%	33.2%	30.9%	1.08×	3.01
Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	12.9%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Utah Jazz at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT	12.3%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.18
Level at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	1.8%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.76
Level at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT	1.7%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz to win	51.9%	51.0%	55.7%	0.91×	1.96
Memphis Grizzlies to win	48.1%	49.0%	44.3%	1.11×	2.04

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.4%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Utah Jazz odd	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Memphis Grizzlies odd	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Utah Jazz even	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Memphis Grizzlies even	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Total points even	48.6%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	92.8%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.2%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz to win Q1	48.4%	47.6%	51.3%	0.93×	2.10
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q1	46.8%	47.6%	44.1%	1.08×	2.10
Q1 tied	4.8%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 69.5	84.3%	83.2%	92.7%	0.90×	1.20
Q1 over 53.5	80.6%	83.2%	68.2%	1.22×	1.20
Q1 under 71.5	84.0%	82.8%	95.1%	0.87×	1.21
Q1 over 55.5	81.3%	82.8%	59.2%	1.40×	1.21
Q1 under 68.5	73.9%	72.7%	90.7%	0.80×	1.38
Q1 over 58.5	70.4%	72.7%	44.3%	1.64×	1.38
Q1 over 56.5	69.6%	69.3%	54.6%	1.27×	1.44
Q1 under 66.5	65.7%	67.6%	86.1%	0.78×	1.48
Q1 over 60.5	61.9%	61.7%	35.5%	1.74×	1.62
Q1 under 64.5	56.7%	58.6%	80.1%	0.73×	1.71
Q1 under 61.5	52.8%	52.7%	68.5%	0.77×	1.90
Q1 over 62.5	52.7%	52.7%	27.1%	1.94×	1.90
Q1 under 63.5	52.0%	52.7%	76.8%	0.69×	1.90
Q1 over 63.5	48.0%	47.3%	23.2%	2.04×	2.11
Q1 under 62.5	47.3%	47.3%	72.9%	0.65×	2.11
Q1 over 61.5	47.2%	47.3%	31.5%	1.50×	2.11
Q1 over 64.5	43.3%	41.4%	19.9%	2.08×	2.42
Q1 under 60.5	38.1%	38.3%	64.5%	0.59×	2.61
Q1 over 66.5	34.3%	32.4%	13.9%	2.33×	3.08
Q1 under 56.5	30.4%	30.7%	45.4%	0.68×	3.25
Q1 under 58.5	29.6%	27.3%	55.7%	0.49×	3.66
Q1 over 68.5	26.1%	27.3%	9.3%	2.92×	3.66
Q1 under 55.5	18.7%	17.2%	40.8%	0.42×	5.83
Q1 over 71.5	16.0%	17.2%	4.9%	3.51×	5.83
Q1 under 53.5	19.4%	16.8%	31.8%	0.53×	5.95
Q1 over 69.5	15.7%	16.8%	7.3%	2.29×	5.96

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz to win Q2	48.4%	47.0%	49.3%	0.95×	2.13
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q2	46.8%	47.0%	46.2%	1.02×	2.13
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 52.5	82.6%	83.1%	70.3%	1.18×	1.20
Q2 under 68.5	82.2%	83.1%	90.6%	0.92×	1.20
Q2 over 54.5	83.3%	83.0%	61.1%	1.36×	1.21
Q2 under 70.5	81.8%	83.0%	94.0%	0.88×	1.21
Q2 over 55.5	72.2%	73.0%	56.3%	1.30×	1.37
Q2 over 57.5	73.0%	72.0%	47.3%	1.52×	1.39
Q2 under 67.5	71.1%	72.0%	88.7%	0.81×	1.39
Q2 over 59.5	64.8%	60.7%	38.1%	1.59×	1.65
Q2 under 65.5	62.7%	60.7%	83.6%	0.73×	1.65
Q2 over 61.5	55.8%	58.2%	29.6%	1.96×	1.72
Q2 under 63.5	53.5%	52.7%	77.5%	0.68×	1.90
Q2 over 62.5	51.1%	52.7%	25.6%	2.06×	1.90
Q2 over 60.5	50.4%	52.2%	34.3%	1.52×	1.92
Q2 under 60.5	49.6%	47.8%	65.7%	0.73×	2.09
Q2 under 62.5	48.9%	47.3%	74.4%	0.64×	2.11
Q2 over 63.5	46.5%	47.3%	22.5%	2.11×	2.11
Q2 under 61.5	44.2%	41.8%	70.4%	0.59×	2.39
Q2 over 65.5	37.3%	39.3%	16.4%	2.40×	2.55
Q2 under 59.5	35.2%	39.3%	61.9%	0.63×	2.55
Q2 over 67.5	28.9%	28.0%	11.3%	2.48×	3.57
Q2 under 57.5	27.0%	28.0%	52.7%	0.53×	3.57
Q2 under 55.5	27.8%	27.0%	43.7%	0.62×	3.71
Q2 over 70.5	18.2%	17.0%	6.0%	2.82×	5.88
Q2 under 54.5	16.7%	17.0%	38.9%	0.44×	5.88
Q2 over 68.5	17.8%	16.9%	9.4%	1.79×	5.93
Q2 under 52.5	17.4%	16.9%	29.7%	0.57×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz to win Q3	48.5%	47.6%	50.9%	0.94×	2.10
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q3	46.8%	47.5%	44.3%	1.07×	2.10
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 71.5	83.7%	82.3%	94.4%	0.87×	1.22
Q3 over 55.5	82.1%	82.3%	59.9%	1.37×	1.22
Q3 under 69.5	84.1%	82.2%	91.4%	0.90×	1.22
Q3 over 53.5	81.4%	82.2%	68.3%	1.20×	1.22
Q3 over 56.5	70.5%	72.5%	55.0%	1.32×	1.38
Q3 under 68.5	73.4%	71.8%	89.3%	0.80×	1.39
Q3 over 58.5	71.3%	71.8%	45.2%	1.59×	1.39
Q3 under 66.5	65.1%	67.8%	84.7%	0.80×	1.48
Q3 over 60.5	62.8%	61.9%	36.5%	1.70×	1.61
Q3 under 64.5	56.0%	58.4%	79.2%	0.74×	1.71
Q3 under 61.5	52.1%	52.6%	67.7%	0.78×	1.90
Q3 over 62.5	53.5%	52.3%	28.1%	1.86×	1.91
Q3 under 63.5	51.2%	52.3%	75.9%	0.69×	1.91
Q3 over 63.5	48.8%	47.7%	24.1%	1.98×	2.10
Q3 under 62.5	46.5%	47.7%	71.9%	0.66×	2.10
Q3 over 61.5	47.9%	47.4%	32.3%	1.47×	2.11
Q3 over 64.5	44.0%	41.6%	20.8%	2.00×	2.40
Q3 under 60.5	37.2%	38.1%	63.5%	0.60×	2.63
Q3 over 66.5	34.9%	32.2%	15.3%	2.11×	3.10
Q3 under 58.5	28.7%	28.2%	54.8%	0.51×	3.55
Q3 over 68.5	26.6%	28.2%	10.7%	2.64×	3.55
Q3 under 56.5	29.5%	27.5%	45.0%	0.61×	3.63
Q3 under 53.5	18.6%	17.8%	31.7%	0.56×	5.62
Q3 over 69.5	15.9%	17.8%	8.6%	2.06×	5.63
Q3 under 55.5	17.9%	17.7%	40.1%	0.44×	5.66
Q3 over 71.5	16.3%	17.7%	5.6%	3.17×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz to win Q4	48.4%	47.6%	48.3%	0.99×	2.10
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q4	46.7%	47.6%	46.4%	1.03×	2.10
Q4 tied	4.9%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 68.5	83.0%	82.0%	93.0%	0.88×	1.22
Q4 over 52.5	81.3%	82.0%	60.4%	1.36×	1.22
Q4 under 66.5	83.1%	81.9%	90.4%	0.91×	1.22
Q4 over 50.5	81.0%	81.9%	68.5%	1.20×	1.22
Q4 over 53.5	70.3%	72.3%	55.7%	1.30×	1.38
Q4 under 65.5	72.8%	71.5%	88.4%	0.81×	1.40
Q4 over 55.5	70.7%	71.5%	47.1%	1.52×	1.40
Q4 under 63.5	64.7%	61.4%	83.7%	0.73×	1.63
Q4 over 57.5	62.3%	61.4%	38.1%	1.61×	1.63
Q4 under 61.5	55.8%	58.4%	77.5%	0.75×	1.71
Q4 over 59.5	53.3%	52.5%	29.8%	1.76×	1.91
Q4 under 60.5	51.3%	52.5%	74.2%	0.71×	1.91
Q4 under 58.5	51.6%	52.3%	66.2%	0.79×	1.91
Q4 over 58.5	48.4%	47.7%	33.8%	1.41×	2.10
Q4 over 60.5	48.7%	47.5%	25.8%	1.84×	2.11
Q4 under 59.5	46.7%	47.5%	70.2%	0.68×	2.11
Q4 over 61.5	44.2%	41.6%	22.5%	1.85×	2.40
Q4 under 57.5	37.7%	38.6%	61.9%	0.62×	2.59
Q4 over 63.5	35.3%	38.6%	16.3%	2.37×	2.59
Q4 under 55.5	29.3%	28.5%	52.9%	0.54×	3.51
Q4 over 65.5	27.2%	28.5%	11.6%	2.46×	3.51
Q4 under 53.5	29.7%	27.7%	44.3%	0.62×	3.61
Q4 under 50.5	19.0%	18.1%	31.5%	0.57×	5.53
Q4 over 66.5	16.9%	18.1%	9.6%	1.89×	5.53
Q4 under 52.5	18.7%	18.0%	39.6%	0.45×	5.56
Q4 over 68.5	17.0%	18.0%	7.0%	2.57×	5.56

Team total 68

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz under 135.5	81.3%	80.7%	94.4%	0.85×	1.24
Memphis Grizzlies under 134.5	80.8%	80.7%	95.3%	0.85×	1.24
Utah Jazz under 131.5	80.7%	80.3%	89.8%	0.89×	1.25
Memphis Grizzlies over 109.5	80.0%	80.3%	60.9%	1.32×	1.25
Utah Jazz over 111.5	78.4%	78.3%	61.1%	1.28×	1.28
Memphis Grizzlies over 114.5	79.8%	75.1%	44.5%	1.69×	1.33
Utah Jazz over 115.5	78.8%	75.1%	48.4%	1.55×	1.33
Memphis Grizzlies over 112.5	72.3%	71.8%	51.5%	1.40×	1.39
Memphis Grizzlies under 126.5	71.4%	71.8%	85.3%	0.84×	1.39
Utah Jazz over 114.5	70.4%	71.8%	51.4%	1.40×	1.39
Utah Jazz under 132.5	73.7%	70.7%	91.2%	0.78×	1.41
Memphis Grizzlies over 117.5	71.9%	70.7%	35.6%	1.99×	1.41
Memphis Grizzlies under 131.5	73.0%	70.7%	92.6%	0.76×	1.41
Utah Jazz over 118.5	70.8%	70.7%	39.7%	1.78×	1.41
Memphis Grizzlies under 129.5	67.1%	66.4%	90.0%	0.74×	1.51
Utah Jazz under 130.5	67.9%	66.4%	88.6%	0.75×	1.51
Memphis Grizzlies over 119.5	65.8%	66.4%	29.7%	2.24×	1.51
Utah Jazz over 120.5	64.7%	61.2%	33.7%	1.82×	1.63
Utah Jazz under 128.5	61.7%	61.2%	85.5%	0.72×	1.63
Memphis Grizzlies under 127.5	60.8%	61.2%	86.9%	0.70×	1.63
Utah Jazz over 116.5	64.5%	61.2%	45.3%	1.35×	1.63
Memphis Grizzlies over 116.5	60.3%	61.2%	38.5%	1.59×	1.64
Memphis Grizzlies under 122.5	59.3%	57.9%	77.4%	0.75×	1.73
Memphis Grizzlies over 121.5	59.4%	57.1%	25.3%	2.26×	1.75
Utah Jazz over 122.5	58.3%	57.1%	28.2%	2.03×	1.75
Utah Jazz under 126.5	55.1%	57.1%	81.5%	0.70×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies under 125.5	54.1%	52.3%	83.4%	0.63×	1.91
Utah Jazz over 124.5	51.6%	52.3%	23.2%	2.25×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 125.5	51.7%	52.3%	79.1%	0.66×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies over 123.5	52.7%	52.3%	20.5%	2.55×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies under 124.5	50.7%	52.3%	81.4%	0.64×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies over 118.5	53.8%	52.2%	32.6%	1.60×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies under 120.5	52.8%	52.2%	72.7%	0.72×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 121.5	51.6%	52.2%	69.6%	0.75×	1.91
Utah Jazz over 121.5	48.4%	47.8%	30.4%	1.57×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies over 120.5	47.2%	47.8%	27.3%	1.75×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies under 118.5	46.2%	47.8%	67.4%	0.71×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies over 124.5	49.3%	47.7%	18.6%	2.57×	2.09
Utah Jazz under 124.5	48.4%	47.7%	76.8%	0.62×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 125.5	48.3%	47.7%	20.9%	2.28×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies under 123.5	47.3%	47.7%	79.5%	0.60×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies over 125.5	45.9%	47.7%	16.6%	2.87×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 126.5	44.9%	42.9%	18.5%	2.32×	2.33
Utah Jazz under 122.5	41.7%	42.9%	71.8%	0.60×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies under 121.5	40.6%	42.9%	74.7%	0.57×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies over 122.5	40.7%	42.1%	22.6%	1.86×	2.38
Memphis Grizzlies under 116.5	39.7%	38.8%	61.5%	0.63×	2.58
Utah Jazz under 116.5	35.5%	38.8%	54.7%	0.71×	2.58
Utah Jazz over 128.5	38.3%	38.8%	14.5%	2.68×	2.58
Memphis Grizzlies over 127.5	39.2%	38.8%	13.1%	2.96×	2.58
Utah Jazz under 120.5	35.3%	38.8%	66.3%	0.59×	2.58
Memphis Grizzlies under 119.5	34.2%	33.6%	70.3%	0.48×	2.98
Memphis Grizzlies over 129.5	32.9%	33.6%	10.0%	3.37×	2.98
Utah Jazz over 130.5	32.1%	33.6%	11.4%	2.95×	2.98
Utah Jazz under 118.5	29.2%	29.3%	60.3%	0.49×	3.42
Memphis Grizzlies under 117.5	28.1%	29.3%	64.4%	0.45×	3.42
Memphis Grizzlies over 131.5	27.0%	29.3%	7.4%	3.95×	3.42
Utah Jazz over 132.5	26.3%	29.3%	8.8%	3.32×	3.42
Utah Jazz under 114.5	29.6%	28.2%	48.6%	0.58×	3.55
Memphis Grizzlies over 126.5	28.6%	28.2%	14.7%	1.91×	3.55
Memphis Grizzlies under 112.5	27.7%	28.2%	48.5%	0.58×	3.55
Utah Jazz under 115.5	21.2%	24.9%	51.6%	0.48×	4.02
Memphis Grizzlies under 114.5	20.2%	24.9%	55.5%	0.45×	4.02
Utah Jazz under 111.5	21.6%	21.7%	38.9%	0.56×	4.60
Memphis Grizzlies under 109.5	20.0%	19.7%	39.1%	0.51×	5.07
Utah Jazz over 131.5	19.3%	19.7%	10.2%	1.93×	5.07
Memphis Grizzlies over 134.5	19.2%	19.3%	4.7%	4.15×	5.18
Utah Jazz over 135.5	18.7%	19.3%	5.6%	3.47×	5.18

Total points 56

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 220.5 points	85.9%	85.5%	64.2%	1.33×	1.17
Under 260.5 points	85.4%	85.5%	94.1%	0.91×	1.17
Under 269.5 points	86.4%	85.0%	97.6%	0.87×	1.18
Over 229.5 points	85.9%	85.0%	46.7%	1.82×	1.18
Over 225.5 points	79.0%	78.1%	54.7%	1.43×	1.28
Under 255.5 points	78.5%	78.1%	90.8%	0.86×	1.28
Under 264.5 points	79.6%	75.6%	96.1%	0.79×	1.32
Over 234.5 points	78.9%	75.6%	36.7%	2.06×	1.32
Over 230.5 points	70.6%	71.0%	44.6%	1.59×	1.41
Under 259.5 points	71.1%	70.8%	93.6%	0.76×	1.41
Over 239.5 points	70.2%	70.8%	27.5%	2.58×	1.41
Under 256.5 points	65.3%	65.9%	91.6%	0.72×	1.52
Over 233.5 points	64.8%	61.8%	38.6%	1.60×	1.62
Under 247.5 points	64.2%	61.8%	83.3%	0.74×	1.62
Over 235.5 points	60.8%	61.7%	34.7%	1.78×	1.62
Under 245.5 points	60.2%	61.7%	80.9%	0.76×	1.62
Over 242.5 points	64.4%	61.5%	23.2%	2.65×	1.63
Under 254.5 points	61.2%	61.5%	89.9%	0.68×	1.63
Over 244.5 points	60.3%	61.5%	20.5%	3.00×	1.63
Over 246.5 points	56.0%	56.5%	18.0%	3.14×	1.77
Under 252.5 points	56.9%	56.5%	88.1%	0.64×	1.77
Over 237.5 points	56.7%	56.0%	30.7%	1.82×	1.79
Under 243.5 points	56.0%	56.0%	78.2%	0.72×	1.79
Over 248.5 points	51.7%	52.3%	15.6%	3.36×	1.91
Under 250.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	86.1%	0.61×	1.91
Under 249.5 points	50.5%	52.3%	85.3%	0.61×	1.91
Under 241.5 points	51.8%	52.2%	75.5%	0.69×	1.92
Over 240.5 points	50.4%	52.2%	26.0%	2.01×	1.92
Under 240.5 points	49.6%	47.8%	74.0%	0.65×	2.09
Over 241.5 points	48.2%	47.8%	24.5%	1.95×	2.09
Over 249.5 points	49.5%	47.7%	14.7%	3.25×	2.10
Under 248.5 points	48.3%	47.7%	84.4%	0.56×	2.10
Over 250.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	13.9%	3.44×	2.10
Over 243.5 points	44.0%	44.0%	21.8%	2.02×	2.27
Under 237.5 points	43.3%	44.0%	69.3%	0.64×	2.27
Under 246.5 points	44.0%	43.5%	82.0%	0.53×	2.30
Over 252.5 points	43.1%	43.5%	11.9%	3.65×	2.30
Under 244.5 points	39.7%	38.5%	79.5%	0.48×	2.60
Over 254.5 points	38.8%	38.5%	10.1%	3.83×	2.60
Under 242.5 points	35.6%	38.5%	76.8%	0.50×	2.60
Over 245.5 points	39.8%	38.3%	19.1%	2.00×	2.61
Under 235.5 points	39.2%	38.3%	65.3%	0.59×	2.61
Over 247.5 points	35.8%	38.2%	16.7%	2.29×	2.62
Under 233.5 points	35.2%	38.2%	61.4%	0.62×	2.62
Over 256.5 points	34.7%	34.1%	8.4%	4.04×	2.93
Under 239.5 points	29.8%	29.2%	72.5%	0.40×	3.43
Over 259.5 points	28.9%	29.2%	6.4%	4.57×	3.43
Under 230.5 points	29.4%	29.0%	55.4%	0.52×	3.45
Under 234.5 points	21.1%	24.4%	63.3%	0.38×	4.10
Over 264.5 points	20.4%	24.4%	3.9%	6.25×	4.10
Over 255.5 points	21.5%	21.9%	9.2%	2.38×	4.57
Under 225.5 points	21.0%	21.9%	45.3%	0.48×	4.57
Under 229.5 points	14.1%	15.0%	53.3%	0.28×	6.68
Over 269.5 points	13.6%	15.0%	2.4%	6.22×	6.68
Over 260.5 points	14.6%	14.5%	5.9%	2.48×	6.88
Under 220.5 points	14.1%	14.5%	35.8%	0.41×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz to win both halves	22.3%	23.1%	25.2%	0.92×	4.34
Memphis Grizzlies to win both halves	20.0%	18.9%	17.8%	1.06×	5.29

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Utah Jazz by 1-5	13.9%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Memphis Grizzlies by 1-5	13.6%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Utah Jazz by 6-10	12.4%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Memphis Grizzlies by 6-10	11.8%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Utah Jazz by 11-15	9.8%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
Memphis Grizzlies by 11-15	9.1%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 16-20	6.9%	7.5%	7.3%	1.02×	13.40
Memphis Grizzlies by 16-20	6.2%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 21-25	4.3%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.29
Memphis Grizzlies by 21-25	3.8%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.29
Utah Jazz by 26+	4.5%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.29
Memphis Grizzlies by 26+	3.7%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.30

Utah Jazz v Memphis Grizzlies — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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