Utah Jazz v New Orleans Pelicans — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Utah Jazz

01:30 UTC

New Orleans Pelicans

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Utah Jazz win

41.5%

Draw

0.0%

New Orleans Pelicans win

58.5%

42058

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	42058	122.56–125.57	123-126 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to score 100+	98.7%	94.9%	85.9%	1.11×	1.05
Utah Jazz to score 100+	97.4%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Both sides to score 100+	96.2%	94.9%	77.5%	1.22×	1.05
New Orleans Pelicans to score 110+	91.5%	90.3%	60.9%	1.48×	1.11
Utah Jazz to score 110+	86.4%	85.0%	67.0%	1.27×	1.18
New Orleans Pelicans to score 120+	69.9%	63.9%	29.7%	2.15×	1.57
Utah Jazz to score 120+	60.0%	61.8%	36.5%	1.69×	1.62
New Orleans Pelicans to score 130+	37.0%	36.0%	10.0%	3.61×	2.78
Utah Jazz to score 130+	27.8%	27.5%	12.8%	2.15×	3.63

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win H1	53.8%	51.9%	44.1%	1.18×	1.93
Utah Jazz to win H1	42.8%	42.7%	52.8%	0.81×	2.34
H1 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 109.5	81.1%	83.2%	65.0%	1.28×	1.20
H1 under 137.5	82.7%	82.5%	96.3%	0.86×	1.21
H1 over 113.5	81.6%	82.5%	52.4%	1.57×	1.21
H1 under 129.5	73.9%	74.0%	88.1%	0.84×	1.35
H1 under 133.5	73.8%	73.5%	93.1%	0.79×	1.36
H1 over 117.5	72.4%	73.5%	40.4%	1.82×	1.36
H1 under 130.5	65.7%	67.4%	89.6%	0.75×	1.48
H1 over 116.5	63.6%	63.3%	43.4%	1.46×	1.58
H1 over 120.5	64.2%	62.7%	31.6%	1.99×	1.59
H1 under 128.5	59.9%	58.2%	86.7%	0.67×	1.72
H1 over 122.5	58.3%	58.2%	26.0%	2.24×	1.72
H1 over 118.5	57.8%	58.1%	37.1%	1.57×	1.72
H1 under 126.5	53.9%	52.6%	82.8%	0.64×	1.90
H1 over 124.5	52.2%	52.6%	21.7%	2.43×	1.90
H1 under 125.5	50.8%	52.6%	80.7%	0.65×	1.90
H1 under 121.5	51.3%	52.5%	71.2%	0.74×	1.90
H1 over 121.5	48.7%	47.5%	28.8%	1.65×	2.11
H1 over 125.5	49.2%	47.4%	19.3%	2.45×	2.11
H1 under 124.5	47.8%	47.4%	78.4%	0.60×	2.11
H1 over 126.5	46.1%	47.4%	17.2%	2.75×	2.11
H1 under 118.5	42.2%	41.9%	62.9%	0.67×	2.39
H1 under 122.5	41.7%	41.8%	74.0%	0.56×	2.39
H1 over 128.5	40.1%	41.8%	13.3%	3.14×	2.39
H1 under 120.5	35.8%	37.3%	68.4%	0.54×	2.68
H1 under 116.5	36.4%	36.7%	56.6%	0.65×	2.72
H1 over 130.5	34.3%	32.6%	10.4%	3.14×	3.07
H1 under 117.5	27.6%	26.5%	59.6%	0.44×	3.77
H1 over 133.5	26.2%	26.5%	6.9%	3.85×	3.77
H1 over 129.5	26.1%	26.0%	11.9%	2.19×	3.84
H1 under 113.5	18.4%	17.5%	47.6%	0.37×	5.72
H1 over 137.5	17.3%	17.5%	3.7%	4.76×	5.73
H1 under 109.5	18.9%	16.8%	35.0%	0.48×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win H2	53.7%	51.2%	44.7%	1.15×	1.95
Utah Jazz to win H2	42.8%	43.5%	51.6%	0.84×	2.30
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 135.5	83.6%	81.8%	93.5%	0.87×	1.22
H2 over 111.5	81.2%	81.8%	55.3%	1.48×	1.22
H2 over 107.5	80.8%	81.5%	66.2%	1.23×	1.23
H2 under 127.5	74.8%	72.5%	84.9%	0.85×	1.38
H2 under 131.5	74.8%	72.2%	90.1%	0.80×	1.39
H2 over 115.5	71.7%	72.2%	44.6%	1.62×	1.39
H2 under 128.5	66.8%	66.4%	86.3%	0.77×	1.51
H2 over 114.5	63.0%	62.6%	47.5%	1.32×	1.60
H2 over 118.5	63.4%	61.6%	36.4%	1.69×	1.62
H2 under 126.5	61.0%	61.6%	83.2%	0.74×	1.62
H2 over 116.5	57.1%	58.0%	41.9%	1.38×	1.72
H2 over 120.5	57.4%	57.3%	30.7%	1.87×	1.74
H2 under 124.5	55.0%	52.4%	79.1%	0.66×	1.91
H2 under 123.5	51.9%	52.4%	76.9%	0.68×	1.91
H2 over 122.5	51.2%	52.4%	25.6%	2.05×	1.91
H2 under 119.5	52.1%	52.0%	66.4%	0.78×	1.92
H2 over 119.5	47.9%	48.0%	33.6%	1.43×	2.09
H2 under 122.5	48.8%	47.6%	74.4%	0.64×	2.10
H2 over 123.5	48.1%	47.6%	23.1%	2.06×	2.10
H2 over 124.5	45.0%	47.6%	20.9%	2.28×	2.10
H2 under 120.5	42.6%	42.7%	69.3%	0.62×	2.34
H2 under 116.5	42.9%	42.0%	58.1%	0.72×	2.38
H2 over 126.5	39.0%	38.4%	16.8%	2.29×	2.61
H2 under 118.5	36.6%	38.4%	63.6%	0.60×	2.61
H2 under 114.5	37.0%	37.4%	52.5%	0.71×	2.67
H2 over 128.5	33.2%	33.6%	13.7%	2.45×	2.97
H2 under 115.5	28.3%	27.8%	55.4%	0.50×	3.59
H2 over 131.5	25.2%	27.8%	9.9%	2.80×	3.59
H2 over 127.5	25.2%	27.5%	15.1%	1.82×	3.64
H2 under 107.5	19.2%	18.5%	33.8%	0.55×	5.41
H2 under 111.5	18.8%	18.2%	44.7%	0.41×	5.50
H2 over 135.5	16.4%	18.2%	6.5%	2.81×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans leading at half time	53.8%	51.9%	44.1%	1.18×	1.93
Utah Jazz leading at half time	42.8%	42.8%	52.8%	0.81×	2.33
Level at half time	3.5%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans +20.5	94.6%	91.1%	89.1%	1.02×	1.10
New Orleans Pelicans +18.5	92.9%	91.1%	86.4%	1.05×	1.10
New Orleans Pelicans +16.5	90.8%	91.1%	83.5%	1.09×	1.10
New Orleans Pelicans +14.5	88.3%	85.9%	80.1%	1.07×	1.16
Utah Jazz +20.5	88.3%	85.9%	93.1%	0.92×	1.16
New Orleans Pelicans +12.5	85.4%	85.9%	76.0%	1.13×	1.16
Utah Jazz +18.5	85.3%	85.9%	91.5%	0.94×	1.16
New Orleans Pelicans +10.5	81.9%	81.1%	71.0%	1.14×	1.23
Utah Jazz +16.5	81.9%	81.1%	89.7%	0.90×	1.23
New Orleans Pelicans +9.5	80.1%	81.1%	68.7%	1.18×	1.23
New Orleans Pelicans +8.5	78.1%	76.5%	65.9%	1.16×	1.31
Utah Jazz +14.5	78.0%	76.5%	87.0%	0.88×	1.31
New Orleans Pelicans +7.5	75.9%	76.5%	63.0%	1.21×	1.31
New Orleans Pelicans +6.5	73.7%	71.6%	60.0%	1.19×	1.40
Utah Jazz +12.5	73.6%	71.6%	83.9%	0.85×	1.40
New Orleans Pelicans +5.5	71.4%	71.6%	57.1%	1.25×	1.40
New Orleans Pelicans +4.5	68.9%	66.7%	54.1%	1.23×	1.50
Utah Jazz +10.5	68.9%	66.7%	80.3%	0.83×	1.50
New Orleans Pelicans +3.5	66.4%	66.7%	51.6%	1.29×	1.50
Utah Jazz +9.5	66.4%	66.7%	78.1%	0.85×	1.50
New Orleans Pelicans +2.5	63.8%	61.9%	49.1%	1.26×	1.62
Utah Jazz +8.5	63.8%	61.9%	75.7%	0.82×	1.62
New Orleans Pelicans +1.5	61.2%	61.9%	46.3%	1.34×	1.62
Utah Jazz +7.5	61.1%	61.9%	73.0%	0.85×	1.62
Utah Jazz +6.5	58.4%	57.1%	70.6%	0.81×	1.75
New Orleans Pelicans −1.5	55.7%	57.1%	42.1%	1.35×	1.75
Utah Jazz +5.5	55.6%	57.1%	68.0%	0.84×	1.75
New Orleans Pelicans −2.5	52.8%	52.4%	39.5%	1.33×	1.91
Utah Jazz +4.5	52.8%	52.4%	65.7%	0.80×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans −3.5	50.0%	52.4%	36.9%	1.42×	1.91
Utah Jazz +3.5	50.0%	47.6%	63.1%	0.75×	2.10
Utah Jazz +2.5	47.2%	47.6%	60.5%	0.79×	2.10
New Orleans Pelicans −4.5	47.2%	47.6%	34.3%	1.39×	2.10
Utah Jazz +1.5	44.3%	42.9%	57.9%	0.74×	2.33
New Orleans Pelicans −5.5	44.4%	42.9%	32.0%	1.34×	2.33
New Orleans Pelicans −6.5	41.6%	42.9%	29.4%	1.46×	2.33
Utah Jazz −1.5	38.8%	38.1%	53.7%	0.71×	2.63
New Orleans Pelicans −7.5	38.9%	38.1%	27.0%	1.41×	2.63
New Orleans Pelicans −8.5	36.2%	38.1%	24.3%	1.57×	2.63
Utah Jazz −2.5	36.2%	38.1%	50.9%	0.75×	2.63
Utah Jazz −3.5	33.6%	33.3%	48.4%	0.69×	3.01
New Orleans Pelicans −9.5	33.6%	33.3%	21.9%	1.52×	3.01
Utah Jazz −4.5	31.1%	33.3%	46.0%	0.72×	3.01
New Orleans Pelicans −10.5	31.1%	33.3%	19.7%	1.69×	3.01
Utah Jazz −5.5	28.6%	28.4%	42.9%	0.66×	3.53
Utah Jazz −6.5	26.3%	28.4%	40.0%	0.71×	3.53
New Orleans Pelicans −12.5	26.4%	28.4%	16.1%	1.76×	3.53
Utah Jazz −7.5	24.1%	23.5%	37.0%	0.64×	4.25
Utah Jazz −8.5	21.9%	23.5%	34.1%	0.69×	4.25
New Orleans Pelicans −14.5	22.0%	23.5%	13.0%	1.81×	4.25
Utah Jazz −9.5	19.9%	18.9%	31.3%	0.60×	5.29
Utah Jazz −10.5	18.1%	18.9%	29.0%	0.65×	5.29
New Orleans Pelicans −16.5	18.1%	18.9%	10.3%	1.83×	5.29
Utah Jazz −12.5	14.6%	14.1%	24.0%	0.59×	7.09
New Orleans Pelicans −18.5	14.7%	14.1%	8.5%	1.66×	7.09
Utah Jazz −14.5	11.7%	14.1%	19.9%	0.71×	7.09
New Orleans Pelicans −20.5	11.7%	14.1%	6.9%	2.05×	7.09
Utah Jazz −16.5	9.2%	8.9%	16.5%	0.54×	11.25
Utah Jazz −18.5	7.1%	8.9%	13.6%	0.65×	11.25
Utah Jazz −20.5	5.4%	8.9%	10.9%	0.82×	11.25

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	57.2%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	42.8%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.5%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.3%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	16.6%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans at HT / New Orleans Pelicans at FT	42.7%	41.0%	30.9%	1.33×	2.44
Utah Jazz at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	28.9%	29.6%	40.8%	0.73×	3.38
Utah Jazz at HT / New Orleans Pelicans at FT	13.8%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.17
New Orleans Pelicans at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	11.1%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.18
Level at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	1.5%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.77
Level at HT / New Orleans Pelicans at FT	2.0%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win	58.5%	55.2%	44.3%	1.25×	1.81
Utah Jazz to win	41.5%	44.8%	55.7%	0.80×	2.23

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.4%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Utah Jazz odd	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
New Orleans Pelicans odd	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Utah Jazz even	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
New Orleans Pelicans even	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Total points even	48.6%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.0%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.0%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win Q1	51.4%	52.6%	44.1%	1.19×	1.90
Utah Jazz to win Q1	43.9%	42.9%	51.3%	0.84×	2.33
Q1 tied	4.8%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 28

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 52.5	83.1%	83.2%	72.4%	1.15×	1.20
Q1 under 71.5	84.8%	82.8%	95.1%	0.87×	1.21
Q1 over 55.5	80.4%	82.8%	59.2%	1.40×	1.21
Q1 under 65.5	71.3%	73.1%	83.2%	0.88×	1.37
Q1 under 68.5	75.0%	72.7%	90.7%	0.80×	1.38
Q1 over 58.5	69.3%	67.6%	44.3%	1.53×	1.48
Q1 under 66.5	66.9%	67.6%	86.1%	0.78×	1.48
Q1 over 57.5	64.6%	62.3%	49.6%	1.26×	1.61
Q1 over 60.5	60.6%	61.7%	35.5%	1.74×	1.62
Q1 over 59.5	55.5%	59.2%	40.0%	1.48×	1.69
Q1 under 64.5	58.0%	58.6%	80.1%	0.73×	1.71
Q1 under 61.5	53.8%	52.7%	68.5%	0.77×	1.90
Q1 under 63.5	53.4%	52.7%	76.8%	0.69×	1.90
Q1 over 62.5	51.3%	52.7%	27.1%	1.94×	1.90
Q1 under 62.5	48.7%	47.3%	72.9%	0.65×	2.11
Q1 over 63.5	46.6%	47.3%	23.2%	2.04×	2.11
Q1 over 61.5	46.2%	47.3%	31.5%	1.50×	2.11
Q1 over 64.5	42.0%	41.4%	19.9%	2.08×	2.42
Q1 under 59.5	44.5%	40.8%	60.0%	0.68×	2.45
Q1 under 60.5	39.4%	38.3%	64.5%	0.59×	2.61
Q1 under 57.5	35.4%	37.7%	50.4%	0.75×	2.65
Q1 over 66.5	33.1%	32.4%	13.9%	2.33×	3.08
Q1 under 58.5	30.7%	32.4%	55.7%	0.58×	3.08
Q1 over 68.5	25.0%	27.3%	9.3%	2.92×	3.67
Q1 over 65.5	28.7%	26.9%	16.8%	1.60×	3.72
Q1 under 55.5	19.6%	17.2%	40.8%	0.42×	5.82
Q1 over 71.5	15.2%	17.2%	4.9%	3.51×	5.83
Q1 under 52.5	16.9%	16.8%	27.6%	0.61×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win Q2	51.3%	51.4%	46.2%	1.11×	1.95
Utah Jazz to win Q2	43.9%	43.9%	49.3%	0.89×	2.28
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 68.5	82.8%	83.1%	90.6%	0.92×	1.20
Q2 over 52.5	82.0%	83.1%	70.3%	1.18×	1.20
Q2 under 70.5	82.7%	83.0%	94.0%	0.88×	1.21
Q2 over 54.5	82.4%	83.0%	61.1%	1.36×	1.21
Q2 over 55.5	71.5%	73.0%	56.3%	1.30×	1.37
Q2 under 67.5	72.3%	72.0%	88.7%	0.81×	1.39
Q2 over 57.5	71.9%	72.0%	47.3%	1.52×	1.39
Q2 under 65.5	63.9%	60.7%	83.6%	0.73×	1.65
Q2 over 59.5	63.5%	60.7%	38.1%	1.59×	1.65
Q2 under 63.5	54.9%	52.7%	77.5%	0.68×	1.90
Q2 over 61.5	54.4%	52.7%	29.6%	1.78×	1.90
Q2 under 62.5	50.2%	52.7%	74.4%	0.71×	1.90
Q2 under 60.5	50.6%	52.2%	65.7%	0.79×	1.92
Q2 over 60.5	49.4%	47.8%	34.3%	1.40×	2.09
Q2 over 62.5	49.8%	47.3%	25.6%	1.85×	2.11
Q2 under 61.5	45.6%	47.3%	70.4%	0.67×	2.11
Q2 over 63.5	45.1%	47.3%	22.5%	2.11×	2.11
Q2 under 59.5	36.5%	39.3%	61.9%	0.63×	2.55
Q2 over 65.5	36.1%	39.3%	16.4%	2.40×	2.55
Q2 under 57.5	28.1%	28.0%	52.7%	0.53×	3.57
Q2 over 67.5	27.7%	28.0%	11.3%	2.48×	3.57
Q2 under 55.5	28.5%	27.0%	43.7%	0.62×	3.71
Q2 under 54.5	17.6%	17.0%	38.9%	0.44×	5.88
Q2 over 70.5	17.3%	17.0%	6.0%	2.82×	5.88
Q2 under 52.5	18.0%	16.9%	29.7%	0.57×	5.93
Q2 over 68.5	17.3%	16.9%	9.4%	1.79×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win Q3	51.4%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Utah Jazz to win Q3	43.9%	42.3%	50.9%	0.83×	2.37
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 71.5	84.5%	82.3%	94.4%	0.87×	1.22
Q3 over 55.5	81.2%	82.3%	59.9%	1.37×	1.22
Q3 under 69.5	84.6%	82.2%	91.4%	0.90×	1.22
Q3 over 53.5	80.8%	82.2%	68.3%	1.20×	1.22
Q3 under 68.5	74.5%	71.8%	89.3%	0.80×	1.39
Q3 over 58.5	70.2%	71.8%	45.2%	1.59×	1.39
Q3 under 66.5	66.4%	67.8%	84.7%	0.80×	1.48
Q3 over 56.5	69.7%	66.9%	55.0%	1.22×	1.50
Q3 over 60.5	61.5%	61.9%	36.5%	1.70×	1.61
Q3 under 64.5	57.3%	58.4%	79.2%	0.74×	1.71
Q3 under 61.5	53.0%	52.6%	67.7%	0.78×	1.90
Q3 under 63.5	52.6%	52.3%	75.9%	0.69×	1.91
Q3 over 62.5	52.1%	52.3%	28.1%	1.86×	1.91
Q3 under 62.5	47.9%	47.7%	71.9%	0.66×	2.10
Q3 over 63.5	47.4%	47.7%	24.1%	1.98×	2.10
Q3 over 61.5	47.0%	47.4%	32.3%	1.47×	2.11
Q3 over 64.5	42.7%	41.6%	20.8%	2.00×	2.40
Q3 under 60.5	38.5%	38.1%	63.5%	0.60×	2.63
Q3 under 56.5	30.3%	33.1%	45.0%	0.74×	3.02
Q3 over 66.5	33.6%	32.2%	15.3%	2.11×	3.10
Q3 under 58.5	29.8%	28.2%	54.8%	0.51×	3.55
Q3 over 68.5	25.5%	28.2%	10.7%	2.64×	3.55
Q3 under 53.5	19.2%	17.8%	31.7%	0.56×	5.62
Q3 over 69.5	15.4%	17.8%	8.6%	2.06×	5.63
Q3 under 55.5	18.8%	17.7%	40.1%	0.44×	5.66
Q3 over 71.5	15.5%	17.7%	5.6%	3.16×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win Q4	51.2%	51.4%	46.4%	1.11×	1.95
Utah Jazz to win Q4	43.9%	43.1%	48.3%	0.89×	2.32
Q4 tied	4.9%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 68.5	83.8%	82.0%	93.0%	0.88×	1.22
Q4 over 52.5	80.5%	82.0%	60.4%	1.36×	1.22
Q4 under 66.5	83.6%	81.9%	90.4%	0.91×	1.22
Q4 over 50.5	80.4%	81.9%	68.5%	1.20×	1.22
Q4 under 65.5	73.9%	71.5%	88.4%	0.81×	1.40
Q4 over 55.5	69.6%	67.4%	47.1%	1.43×	1.48
Q4 under 63.5	65.9%	67.4%	83.7%	0.81×	1.48
Q4 over 53.5	69.5%	66.7%	55.7%	1.20×	1.50
Q4 over 57.5	61.1%	61.4%	38.1%	1.61×	1.63
Q4 under 61.5	57.1%	58.4%	77.5%	0.75×	1.71
Q4 under 60.5	52.5%	52.5%	74.2%	0.71×	1.91
Q4 over 59.5	52.1%	52.5%	29.8%	1.76×	1.91
Q4 under 58.5	52.5%	52.3%	66.2%	0.79×	1.91
Q4 over 58.5	47.5%	47.7%	33.8%	1.41×	2.10
Q4 under 59.5	47.9%	47.5%	70.2%	0.68×	2.11
Q4 over 60.5	47.5%	47.5%	25.8%	1.84×	2.11
Q4 over 61.5	42.9%	41.6%	22.5%	1.85×	2.40
Q4 under 57.5	38.9%	38.6%	61.9%	0.62×	2.59
Q4 under 53.5	30.5%	33.3%	44.3%	0.75×	3.00
Q4 over 63.5	34.1%	32.6%	16.3%	2.00×	3.07
Q4 under 55.5	30.4%	32.6%	52.9%	0.62×	3.07
Q4 over 65.5	26.1%	28.5%	11.6%	2.46×	3.51
Q4 under 50.5	19.6%	18.1%	31.5%	0.58×	5.53
Q4 over 66.5	16.4%	18.1%	9.6%	1.89×	5.53
Q4 under 52.5	19.5%	18.0%	39.6%	0.45×	5.56
Q4 over 68.5	16.2%	18.0%	7.0%	2.57×	5.56

Team total 72

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans over 115.5	80.6%	80.7%	41.4%	1.95×	1.24
New Orleans Pelicans under 135.5	80.0%	80.7%	95.8%	0.84×	1.24
Utah Jazz over 112.5	80.1%	80.7%	57.7%	1.40×	1.24
Utah Jazz under 132.5	80.0%	80.7%	91.2%	0.89×	1.24
Utah Jazz over 109.5	79.5%	78.3%	67.0%	1.17×	1.28
New Orleans Pelicans over 110.5	79.3%	78.3%	57.9%	1.35×	1.28
New Orleans Pelicans under 127.5	72.2%	71.8%	86.9%	0.83×	1.39
Utah Jazz under 126.5	71.8%	71.8%	81.5%	0.88×	1.39
New Orleans Pelicans over 113.5	71.6%	71.8%	48.0%	1.50×	1.39
Utah Jazz under 129.5	72.2%	70.7%	87.2%	0.81×	1.41
Utah Jazz over 115.5	72.3%	70.7%	48.4%	1.46×	1.41
New Orleans Pelicans over 118.5	72.8%	70.7%	32.6%	2.17×	1.41
New Orleans Pelicans under 132.5	72.1%	70.7%	93.6%	0.76×	1.41
Utah Jazz over 114.5	66.0%	66.6%	51.4%	1.30×	1.50
Utah Jazz under 124.5	66.0%	66.6%	76.8%	0.87×	1.50
New Orleans Pelicans over 120.5	66.9%	66.4%	27.3%	2.43×	1.51
New Orleans Pelicans under 130.5	66.1%	66.4%	91.5%	0.73×	1.51
Utah Jazz over 117.5	66.4%	66.4%	42.2%	1.57×	1.51
Utah Jazz under 127.5	66.3%	66.4%	83.5%	0.80×	1.51
New Orleans Pelicans over 122.5	60.5%	61.2%	22.6%	2.70×	1.63
Utah Jazz over 119.5	60.0%	61.2%	36.5%	1.67×	1.63
New Orleans Pelicans under 123.5	60.2%	61.2%	79.5%	0.77×	1.64
Utah Jazz over 116.5	59.8%	57.9%	45.3%	1.28×	1.73
New Orleans Pelicans over 117.5	59.4%	57.9%	35.6%	1.63×	1.73
Utah Jazz under 125.5	60.0%	57.1%	79.1%	0.72×	1.75
New Orleans Pelicans under 128.5	59.7%	57.1%	88.6%	0.64×	1.75
New Orleans Pelicans over 124.5	53.8%	52.3%	18.6%	2.81×	1.91
Utah Jazz over 121.5	53.4%	52.3%	30.4%	1.72×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 123.5	53.4%	52.3%	74.4%	0.70×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans under 126.5	53.0%	52.3%	85.3%	0.61×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans over 125.5	50.4%	52.3%	16.6%	3.14×	1.91
Utah Jazz over 122.5	50.0%	52.3%	28.2%	1.85×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans under 121.5	53.7%	52.2%	74.7%	0.70×	1.91
Utah Jazz over 118.5	53.3%	52.2%	39.7%	1.32×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 120.5	53.3%	52.2%	66.3%	0.79×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans over 119.5	52.9%	52.2%	29.7%	1.76×	1.91
New Orleans Pelicans under 119.5	47.1%	47.8%	70.3%	0.68×	2.09
Utah Jazz under 118.5	46.7%	47.8%	60.3%	0.79×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 120.5	46.7%	47.8%	33.7%	1.42×	2.09
New Orleans Pelicans over 121.5	46.3%	47.8%	25.3%	1.89×	2.09
New Orleans Pelicans under 125.5	49.6%	47.7%	83.4%	0.57×	2.09
Utah Jazz under 122.5	50.0%	47.7%	71.8%	0.66×	2.09
Utah Jazz under 121.5	46.6%	47.7%	69.6%	0.69×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 123.5	46.6%	47.7%	25.6%	1.87×	2.09
New Orleans Pelicans over 126.5	47.0%	47.7%	14.7%	3.25×	2.09
New Orleans Pelicans under 124.5	46.2%	47.7%	81.4%	0.59×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 125.5	40.0%	42.9%	20.9%	2.05×	2.33
New Orleans Pelicans over 128.5	40.3%	42.9%	11.5%	3.75×	2.33
New Orleans Pelicans under 117.5	40.6%	42.1%	64.4%	0.65×	2.38
Utah Jazz under 116.5	40.2%	42.1%	54.7%	0.77×	2.38
New Orleans Pelicans over 123.5	39.8%	38.8%	20.5%	1.89×	2.58
Utah Jazz under 119.5	40.0%	38.8%	63.5%	0.61×	2.58
New Orleans Pelicans under 122.5	39.5%	38.8%	77.4%	0.50×	2.58
New Orleans Pelicans under 120.5	33.1%	33.6%	72.7%	0.46×	2.98
New Orleans Pelicans over 130.5	33.9%	33.6%	8.5%	3.96×	2.98
Utah Jazz under 117.5	33.6%	33.6%	57.8%	0.58×	2.98
Utah Jazz over 127.5	33.7%	33.6%	16.5%	2.04×	2.98
Utah Jazz under 114.5	34.0%	33.4%	48.6%	0.69×	2.99
Utah Jazz over 124.5	34.0%	33.4%	23.2%	1.44×	2.99
Utah Jazz over 129.5	27.8%	29.3%	12.8%	2.28×	3.42
Utah Jazz under 115.5	27.7%	29.3%	51.6%	0.57×	3.42
New Orleans Pelicans under 118.5	27.2%	29.3%	67.4%	0.43×	3.42
New Orleans Pelicans over 132.5	27.9%	29.3%	6.4%	4.59×	3.42
New Orleans Pelicans under 113.5	28.4%	28.2%	52.0%	0.54×	3.55
Utah Jazz over 126.5	28.2%	28.2%	18.5%	1.53×	3.55
New Orleans Pelicans over 127.5	27.8%	28.2%	13.1%	2.15×	3.55
New Orleans Pelicans under 110.5	20.7%	21.7%	42.1%	0.52×	4.60
Utah Jazz under 109.5	20.5%	21.7%	33.0%	0.66×	4.60
New Orleans Pelicans over 135.5	20.0%	19.3%	4.2%	4.64×	5.18
Utah Jazz under 112.5	19.9%	19.3%	42.3%	0.46×	5.18
Utah Jazz over 132.5	20.0%	19.3%	8.8%	2.19×	5.18
New Orleans Pelicans under 115.5	19.4%	19.3%	58.6%	0.33×	5.18

Total points 48

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 260.5 points	86.4%	85.5%	94.1%	0.91×	1.17
Under 268.5 points	86.6%	85.0%	97.4%	0.87×	1.18
Over 228.5 points	85.7%	85.0%	48.7%	1.75×	1.18
Over 220.5 points	84.9%	81.9%	64.2%	1.28×	1.22
Over 225.5 points	77.8%	78.1%	54.7%	1.43×	1.28
Under 263.5 points	79.9%	75.6%	95.9%	0.79×	1.32
Over 233.5 points	78.6%	75.6%	38.6%	1.96×	1.32
Under 250.5 points	71.4%	71.0%	86.1%	0.82×	1.41
Under 258.5 points	71.3%	70.8%	93.0%	0.76×	1.41
Over 230.5 points	69.2%	66.6%	44.6%	1.49×	1.50
Over 238.5 points	70.0%	65.9%	29.1%	2.26×	1.52
Under 255.5 points	65.6%	65.9%	90.8%	0.73×	1.52
Over 241.5 points	64.0%	61.5%	24.5%	2.51×	1.63
Under 253.5 points	61.5%	61.5%	89.1%	0.69×	1.63
Over 243.5 points	59.9%	56.5%	21.8%	2.59×	1.77
Under 251.5 points	57.3%	56.5%	87.2%	0.65×	1.77
Over 245.5 points	55.6%	56.5%	19.1%	2.95×	1.77
Over 235.5 points	59.2%	56.0%	34.7%	1.61×	1.79
Over 237.5 points	55.0%	56.0%	30.7%	1.82×	1.79
Under 249.5 points	53.0%	52.3%	85.3%	0.61×	1.91
Under 248.5 points	50.8%	52.3%	84.4%	0.62×	1.91
Over 247.5 points	51.3%	52.3%	16.7%	3.13×	1.91
Under 240.5 points	51.3%	52.2%	74.0%	0.71×	1.92
Over 239.5 points	50.8%	52.2%	27.5%	1.90×	1.92
Under 239.5 points	49.2%	47.8%	72.5%	0.66×	2.09
Over 240.5 points	48.7%	47.8%	26.0%	1.84×	2.09
Over 248.5 points	49.2%	47.7%	15.6%	3.06×	2.10
Under 247.5 points	48.7%	47.7%	83.3%	0.57×	2.10
Over 249.5 points	47.0%	47.7%	14.7%	3.25×	2.10
Under 237.5 points	45.0%	44.0%	69.3%	0.64×	2.27
Under 235.5 points	40.8%	44.0%	65.3%	0.67×	2.27
Under 245.5 points	44.4%	43.5%	80.9%	0.54×	2.30
Over 251.5 points	42.7%	43.5%	12.8%	3.39×	2.30
Under 243.5 points	40.1%	43.5%	78.2%	0.56×	2.30
Over 253.5 points	38.5%	38.5%	10.9%	3.55×	2.60
Under 241.5 points	36.0%	38.5%	75.5%	0.51×	2.60
Over 255.5 points	34.4%	34.1%	9.2%	3.71×	2.93
Under 238.5 points	30.0%	34.1%	70.9%	0.48×	2.93
Under 230.5 points	30.8%	33.4%	55.4%	0.60×	3.00
Over 258.5 points	28.7%	29.2%	7.0%	4.16×	3.43
Over 250.5 points	28.6%	29.0%	13.9%	2.09×	3.45
Under 233.5 points	21.4%	24.4%	61.4%	0.40×	4.10
Over 263.5 points	20.1%	24.4%	4.1%	5.91×	4.10
Under 225.5 points	22.2%	21.9%	45.3%	0.48×	4.57
Under 220.5 points	15.1%	18.1%	35.8%	0.50×	5.53
Under 228.5 points	14.3%	15.0%	51.3%	0.29×	6.68
Over 268.5 points	13.4%	15.0%	2.6%	5.69×	6.69
Over 260.5 points	13.6%	14.5%	5.9%	2.48×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans to win both halves	26.7%	27.2%	17.8%	1.52×	3.68
Utah Jazz to win both halves	16.2%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Orleans Pelicans by 1-5	14.1%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
New Orleans Pelicans by 6-10	13.3%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Utah Jazz by 1-5	12.9%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Utah Jazz by 6-10	10.6%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
New Orleans Pelicans by 11-15	11.1%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
New Orleans Pelicans by 16-20	8.3%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 11-15	7.7%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
New Orleans Pelicans by 26+	6.2%	7.5%	3.9%	1.93×	13.40
New Orleans Pelicans by 21-25	5.5%	7.5%	3.0%	2.45×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 16-20	5.0%	2.0%	7.3%	0.28×	49.28
Utah Jazz by 21-25	2.9%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.30
Utah Jazz by 26+	2.5%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.31

Utah Jazz v New Orleans Pelicans — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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