Utah Valley Wolverines v East Carolina Pirates — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 21 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 81.88–69.52 | 82-70 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines to score 100+ | 3.6% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 0.10× | 282.65 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines to score 110+ | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.31 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.35 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| East Carolina Pirates to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.34 |
| East Carolina Pirates to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.36 |
| East Carolina Pirates to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| East Carolina Pirates to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.35 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines to win H1 | 73.6% | 73.0% | 57.9% | 1.26× | 1.37 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines to win H1 | 73.5% | 73.0% | 57.9% | 1.26× | 1.37 |
| East Carolina Pirates to win H1 | 22.8% | 21.4% | 38.2% | 0.56× | 4.68 |
| East Carolina Pirates to win H1 | 22.8% | 21.4% | 38.2% | 0.56× | 4.68 |
| H1 tied | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
| H1 tied | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 59.5 | 87.3% | 87.7% | 80.7% | 1.09× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 83.5 | 86.8% | 87.7% | 90.3% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 78.5% | 77.4% | 69.0% | 1.12× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 77.8% | 77.4% | 83.1% | 0.93× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 77.7% | 77.4% | 69.0% | 1.12× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 77.1% | 77.4% | 83.1% | 0.93× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 69.0% | 67.4% | 58.2% | 1.16× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 75.5% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 68.5% | 67.4% | 58.2% | 1.16× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 67.7% | 67.4% | 75.5% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 61.9% | 62.7% | 50.7% | 1.24× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 61.1% | 62.7% | 69.6% | 0.90× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 61.5% | 62.7% | 50.7% | 1.24× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 60.7% | 62.7% | 69.6% | 0.90× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 54.3% | 52.6% | 43.5% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 54.2% | 52.6% | 43.5% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 53.5% | 52.6% | 63.3% | 0.83× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 53.3% | 52.6% | 63.3% | 0.83× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 50.4% | 52.6% | 40.0% | 1.32× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 50.4% | 52.6% | 40.0% | 1.32× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 49.6% | 47.4% | 60.0% | 0.79× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 49.6% | 47.4% | 60.0% | 0.79× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 46.5% | 47.4% | 36.7% | 1.29× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 46.7% | 47.4% | 36.7% | 1.29× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 45.7% | 47.4% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 45.9% | 47.4% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 30.4% | 1.23× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 38.1% | 37.3% | 49.3% | 0.76× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 38.9% | 37.3% | 30.4% | 1.23× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 38.5% | 37.3% | 49.3% | 0.76× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 32.3% | 32.6% | 24.5% | 1.33× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 31.0% | 32.6% | 41.8% | 0.78× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 24.5% | 1.33× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 41.8% | 0.78× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 22.2% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 1.34× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 22.3% | 22.6% | 31.0% | 0.73× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 22.9% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 1.34× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 21.5% | 22.6% | 31.0% | 0.73× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 0.64× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 83.5 | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 1.26× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines to win H2 | 75.3% | 73.9% | 56.9% | 1.30× | 1.35 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines to win H2 | 75.2% | 73.9% | 57.5% | 1.29× | 1.35 |
| East Carolina Pirates to win H2 | 21.4% | 26.8% | 38.5% | 0.70× | 3.73 |
| East Carolina Pirates to win H2 | 21.4% | 26.8% | 38.9% | 0.69× | 3.73 |
| H2 tied | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.36 |
| H2 tied | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.36 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 92.5 | 87.0% | 85.2% | 86.9% | 0.98× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 84.3% | 81.8% | 77.5% | 1.06× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 88.5 | 78.6% | 75.8% | 83.3% | 0.91× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 88.5 | 78.0% | 75.8% | 79.8% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 74.8% | 72.2% | 63.4% | 1.14× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 74.2% | 72.2% | 65.9% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 69.8% | 66.4% | 76.8% | 0.86× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 73.3% | 0.91× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 65.3% | 66.4% | 53.4% | 1.24× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 64.9% | 61.6% | 56.4% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 83.5 | 63.2% | 61.6% | 71.6% | 0.86× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 83.5 | 62.8% | 61.6% | 68.0% | 0.91× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 58.4% | 57.3% | 47.0% | 1.22× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 58.1% | 57.3% | 50.2% | 1.14× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 56.1% | 57.3% | 65.8% | 0.87× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 55.9% | 57.3% | 62.2% | 0.92× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 52.5% | 52.4% | 62.9% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 52.4% | 52.4% | 59.2% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 51.1% | 52.4% | 40.3% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 51.1% | 52.4% | 43.8% | 1.20× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 48.9% | 47.6% | 59.8% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 48.9% | 47.6% | 56.2% | 0.85× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 47.5% | 47.6% | 37.1% | 1.28× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 47.6% | 47.6% | 40.8% | 1.17× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 43.9% | 42.7% | 34.2% | 1.25× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 44.1% | 42.7% | 37.8% | 1.13× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 41.6% | 42.7% | 53.0% | 0.80× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 41.9% | 42.7% | 49.8% | 0.86× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 36.8% | 38.4% | 28.4% | 1.35× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 37.2% | 38.4% | 32.0% | 1.20× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 35.1% | 38.4% | 43.6% | 0.88× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 34.7% | 33.6% | 46.6% | 0.72× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 26.7% | 1.26× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 30.2% | 33.6% | 23.2% | 1.45× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 25.8% | 27.8% | 34.1% | 0.82× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 25.2% | 27.8% | 36.6% | 0.76× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 88.5 | 21.4% | 24.2% | 16.7% | 1.45× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 88.5 | 22.1% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 1.20× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 15.7% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 0.81× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 92.5 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 1.13× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines leading at half time | 73.5% | 73.5% | 57.9% | 1.27× | 1.36 |
| East Carolina Pirates leading at half time | 22.8% | 21.0% | 38.2% | 0.55× | 4.77 |
| Level at half time | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines +14.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +16.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 94.0% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +18.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +20.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +6.5 | 96.0% | 97.4% | 78.8% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +7.5 | 96.7% | 97.4% | 81.0% | 1.20× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +8.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 83.3% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +9.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 85.3% | 1.14× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +10.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 87.2% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +12.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 89.9% | 1.08× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +5.5 | 95.1% | 97.4% | 76.4% | 1.28× | 1.03 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +3.5 | 92.9% | 91.1% | 70.8% | 1.29× | 1.10 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +4.5 | 94.1% | 91.1% | 73.7% | 1.24× | 1.10 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +2.5 | 91.5% | 91.1% | 68.0% | 1.34× | 1.10 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines +1.5 | 90.0% | 85.9% | 65.4% | 1.31× | 1.16 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −1.5 | 86.1% | 85.9% | 60.8% | 1.41× | 1.16 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −2.5 | 83.7% | 81.1% | 57.7% | 1.41× | 1.23 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −3.5 | 81.1% | 81.1% | 54.1% | 1.50× | 1.23 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −4.5 | 78.3% | 76.5% | 50.7% | 1.51× | 1.31 |
| East Carolina Pirates +20.5 | 77.2% | 76.5% | 86.5% | 0.88× | 1.31 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −5.5 | 75.3% | 76.5% | 47.0% | 1.63× | 1.31 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −6.5 | 72.1% | 71.6% | 44.3% | 1.62× | 1.40 |
| East Carolina Pirates +18.5 | 71.1% | 71.6% | 83.9% | 0.85× | 1.40 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −7.5 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 41.3% | 1.61× | 1.50 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −8.5 | 65.3% | 66.7% | 38.5% | 1.74× | 1.50 |
| East Carolina Pirates +16.5 | 64.4% | 61.9% | 80.7% | 0.77× | 1.62 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −9.5 | 61.7% | 61.9% | 35.5% | 1.75× | 1.62 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −10.5 | 58.0% | 57.1% | 32.6% | 1.75× | 1.75 |
| East Carolina Pirates +14.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 77.2% | 0.74× | 1.75 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −12.5 | 50.4% | 52.4% | 27.6% | 1.90× | 1.91 |
| East Carolina Pirates +12.5 | 49.6% | 47.6% | 72.4% | 0.66× | 2.10 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −14.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 22.8% | 1.88× | 2.33 |
| East Carolina Pirates +10.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 67.4% | 0.64× | 2.33 |
| East Carolina Pirates +9.5 | 38.3% | 38.1% | 64.5% | 0.59× | 2.63 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −16.5 | 35.6% | 38.1% | 19.3% | 1.97× | 2.63 |
| East Carolina Pirates +8.5 | 34.7% | 33.3% | 61.5% | 0.54× | 3.01 |
| East Carolina Pirates +7.5 | 31.2% | 33.3% | 58.7% | 0.57× | 3.01 |
| East Carolina Pirates +6.5 | 27.9% | 28.4% | 55.7% | 0.51× | 3.53 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −18.5 | 28.9% | 28.4% | 16.1% | 1.76× | 3.53 |
| East Carolina Pirates +5.5 | 24.7% | 23.5% | 53.0% | 0.44× | 4.25 |
| East Carolina Pirates +4.5 | 21.7% | 23.5% | 49.3% | 0.48× | 4.25 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines −20.5 | 22.8% | 23.5% | 13.5% | 1.75× | 4.25 |
| East Carolina Pirates +3.5 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 45.9% | 0.41× | 5.29 |
| East Carolina Pirates +2.5 | 16.3% | 18.9% | 42.3% | 0.45× | 5.30 |
| East Carolina Pirates +1.5 | 13.9% | 14.1% | 39.2% | 0.36× | 7.09 |
| East Carolina Pirates −1.5 | 10.0% | 14.1% | 34.6% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| East Carolina Pirates −2.5 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 32.0% | 0.28× | 11.25 |
| East Carolina Pirates −3.5 | 7.1% | 8.9% | 29.3% | 0.30× | 11.25 |
| East Carolina Pirates −4.5 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 26.3% | 0.34× | 11.25 |
| East Carolina Pirates −5.5 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 23.6% | 0.11× | 38.72 |
| East Carolina Pirates −6.5 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 21.2% | 0.12× | 38.72 |
| East Carolina Pirates −7.5 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 19.0% | 0.14× | 38.73 |
| East Carolina Pirates −8.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 16.7% | 0.16× | 38.73 |
| East Carolina Pirates −9.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 14.7% | 0.18× | 38.73 |
| East Carolina Pirates −10.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 12.8% | 0.20× | 38.73 |
| East Carolina Pirates −12.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 0.26× | 38.74 |
| East Carolina Pirates −14.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.74 |
| East Carolina Pirates −16.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.43× | 38.74 |
| East Carolina Pirates −18.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.74 |
| East Carolina Pirates −20.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 79.8% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 78.2% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 21.8% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| H1 highest scoring | 20.2% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines at HT / Utah Valley Wolverines at FT | 69.6% | 68.3% | 48.6% | 1.41× | 1.46 |
| East Carolina Pirates at HT / Utah Valley Wolverines at FT | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 1.25× | 6.47 |
| East Carolina Pirates at HT / East Carolina Pirates at FT | 7.3% | 8.3% | 25.8% | 0.32× | 12.09 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines at HT / East Carolina Pirates at FT | 3.9% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 0.22× | 47.73 |
| Level at HT / Utah Valley Wolverines at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / East Carolina Pirates at FT | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines to win | 88.2% | 85.5% | 63.2% | 1.35× | 1.17 |
| East Carolina Pirates to win | 11.8% | 14.5% | 36.8% | 0.39× | 6.92 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| East Carolina Pirates even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.0% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| East Carolina Pirates odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.0% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.7% | 94.0% | 94.2% | 1.00× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 1.04× | 16.66 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 92.5 | 86.0% | 83.9% | 90.8% | 0.92× | 1.19 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 59.5 | 85.1% | 83.9% | 84.5% | 0.99× | 1.19 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 79.5 | 85.5% | 83.9% | 76.3% | 1.10× | 1.19 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 72.5 | 83.6% | 80.7% | 60.8% | 1.33× | 1.24 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 89.5 | 78.0% | 75.1% | 86.5% | 0.87× | 1.33 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 62.5 | 76.6% | 75.1% | 76.6% | 0.98× | 1.33 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 76.5 | 77.2% | 75.1% | 67.9% | 1.11× | 1.33 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 75.5 | 74.9% | 70.7% | 51.0% | 1.39× | 1.41 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 87.5 | 71.4% | 70.7% | 82.8% | 0.85× | 1.41 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 74.5 | 70.4% | 70.7% | 61.7% | 1.15× | 1.41 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 64.5 | 69.7% | 66.4% | 70.7% | 0.94× | 1.51 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 77.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 44.6% | 1.49× | 1.51 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 85.5 | 64.0% | 61.2% | 78.6% | 0.78× | 1.63 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 72.5 | 62.8% | 61.2% | 55.3% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 66.5 | 62.0% | 61.2% | 64.7% | 0.95× | 1.63 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 79.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 38.4% | 1.59× | 1.63 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 83.5 | 56.1% | 57.1% | 73.5% | 0.78× | 1.75 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 68.5 | 53.8% | 52.3% | 58.4% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 70.5 | 54.6% | 52.3% | 48.7% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 81.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 32.1% | 1.63× | 1.91 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 82.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 70.8% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 69.5 | 50.4% | 52.3% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 69.5 | 49.6% | 47.7% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.09 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 81.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 67.9% | 0.70× | 2.09 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 82.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 29.2% | 1.63× | 2.09 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 68.5 | 46.2% | 47.7% | 41.6% | 1.15× | 2.09 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 70.5 | 45.4% | 47.7% | 51.4% | 0.93× | 2.09 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 83.5 | 43.9% | 42.9% | 26.5% | 1.62× | 2.33 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 79.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 61.6% | 0.63× | 2.58 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 66.5 | 38.0% | 38.8% | 35.3% | 1.10× | 2.58 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 72.5 | 37.2% | 38.8% | 44.7% | 0.87× | 2.58 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 85.5 | 36.0% | 38.8% | 21.4% | 1.81× | 2.58 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 77.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 55.4% | 0.61× | 2.98 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 64.5 | 30.3% | 33.6% | 29.3% | 1.15× | 2.98 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 87.5 | 28.6% | 29.3% | 17.2% | 1.71× | 3.42 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 74.5 | 29.6% | 29.3% | 38.3% | 0.76× | 3.42 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 75.5 | 25.1% | 29.3% | 49.0% | 0.60× | 3.42 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 62.5 | 23.4% | 24.9% | 23.4% | 1.06× | 4.02 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 76.5 | 22.8% | 24.9% | 32.1% | 0.78× | 4.02 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 89.5 | 22.0% | 24.9% | 13.5% | 1.84× | 4.02 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines under 72.5 | 16.4% | 19.3% | 39.2% | 0.49× | 5.18 |
| East Carolina Pirates under 59.5 | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 1.04× | 6.21 |
| East Carolina Pirates over 79.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | 23.7% | 0.68× | 6.21 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines over 92.5 | 14.0% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 1.75× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 131.5 points | 89.4% | 85.0% | 79.9% | 1.06× | 1.18 |
| Under 171.5 points | 89.5% | 85.0% | 89.7% | 0.95× | 1.18 |
| Over 136.5 points | 82.5% | 80.6% | 71.1% | 1.13× | 1.24 |
| Under 166.5 points | 82.7% | 80.6% | 84.3% | 0.96× | 1.24 |
| Under 161.5 points | 73.6% | 70.8% | 77.9% | 0.91× | 1.41 |
| Over 141.5 points | 73.2% | 70.8% | 60.4% | 1.17× | 1.41 |
| Over 144.5 points | 66.7% | 65.9% | 54.1% | 1.22× | 1.52 |
| Under 158.5 points | 67.1% | 65.9% | 73.3% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Over 146.5 points | 62.1% | 61.5% | 49.8% | 1.23× | 1.63 |
| Under 156.5 points | 62.4% | 61.5% | 69.8% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Over 148.5 points | 57.3% | 56.5% | 45.7% | 1.24× | 1.77 |
| Under 154.5 points | 57.6% | 56.5% | 66.4% | 0.85× | 1.77 |
| Over 150.5 points | 52.3% | 52.3% | 41.6% | 1.26× | 1.91 |
| Under 152.5 points | 52.7% | 52.3% | 62.7% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Under 151.5 points | 50.2% | 52.3% | 60.6% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Over 151.5 points | 49.8% | 47.7% | 39.4% | 1.21× | 2.10 |
| Under 150.5 points | 47.7% | 47.7% | 58.4% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| Over 152.5 points | 47.3% | 47.7% | 37.4% | 1.28× | 2.10 |
| Under 148.5 points | 42.7% | 43.5% | 54.3% | 0.80× | 2.30 |
| Over 154.5 points | 42.4% | 43.5% | 33.6% | 1.29× | 2.30 |
| Under 146.5 points | 37.9% | 38.5% | 50.2% | 0.77× | 2.60 |
| Over 156.5 points | 37.6% | 38.5% | 30.2% | 1.28× | 2.60 |
| Under 144.5 points | 33.3% | 34.1% | 45.9% | 0.74× | 2.93 |
| Over 158.5 points | 32.9% | 34.1% | 26.7% | 1.28× | 2.93 |
| Under 141.5 points | 26.8% | 29.2% | 39.6% | 0.74× | 3.43 |
| Over 161.5 points | 26.4% | 29.2% | 22.1% | 1.32× | 3.43 |
| Under 136.5 points | 17.5% | 19.4% | 28.9% | 0.67× | 5.15 |
| Over 166.5 points | 17.3% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 1.23× | 5.15 |
| Under 131.5 points | 10.6% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 0.75× | 6.69 |
| Over 171.5 points | 10.5% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 1.45× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines to win both halves | 52.8% | 50.4% | 33.2% | 1.52× | 1.98 |
| East Carolina Pirates to win both halves | 2.9% | 3.0% | 14.5% | 0.20× | 33.66 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines by 11-15 | 18.8% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 1.45× | 5.97 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines by 6-10 | 17.3% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 1.16× | 5.97 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines by 16-20 | 16.4% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines by 1-5 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 0.76× | 8.11 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines by 21-25 | 11.6% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 2.22× | 8.11 |
| Utah Valley Wolverines by 26+ | 11.2% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 1.56× | 8.11 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 1-5 | 6.9% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 0.57× | 13.40 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 6-10 | 3.2% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.30 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 11-15 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 0.34× | 49.32 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 16-20 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.32 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 21-25 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.33 |
| East Carolina Pirates by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.33 |