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Virginia Tech Hokies v La Salle Explorers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Virginia Tech Hokies win
95.5%
Draw
0.0%
La Salle Explorers win
4.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 75.88–57.10 76-57 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies to score 100+ 0.7% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.22
Virginia Tech Hokies to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.35
Virginia Tech Hokies to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Virginia Tech Hokies to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
La Salle Explorers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
La Salle Explorers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
La Salle Explorers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
La Salle Explorers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies to win H1 83.1% 83.6% 56.4% 1.48× 1.20
La Salle Explorers to win H1 14.2% 10.8% 39.9% 0.27× 9.22
H1 tied 2.7% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 76.5 89.6% 87.7% 90.2% 0.97× 1.14
H1 over 52.5 87.3% 87.7% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
H1 under 72.5 80.6% 82.5% 83.6% 0.99× 1.21
H1 over 56.5 76.8% 77.4% 68.2% 1.14× 1.29
H1 under 69.5 71.5% 73.5% 76.2% 0.96× 1.36
H1 over 59.5 66.7% 67.4% 57.8% 1.17× 1.48
H1 under 67.5 64.4% 62.7% 70.4% 0.89× 1.59
H1 over 61.5 59.1% 58.2% 50.2% 1.16× 1.72
H1 under 65.5 56.7% 58.2% 63.9% 0.91× 1.72
H1 under 64.5 52.8% 52.6% 60.7% 0.87× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 51.2% 52.6% 42.9% 1.23× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 48.8% 47.4% 57.1% 0.83× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 47.2% 47.4% 39.3% 1.21× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 43.3% 41.8% 36.1% 1.16× 2.39
H1 under 61.5 40.9% 41.8% 49.8% 0.84× 2.39
H1 over 67.5 35.6% 37.3% 29.6% 1.26× 2.68
H1 under 59.5 33.3% 32.6% 42.2% 0.77× 3.07
H1 over 69.5 28.5% 26.5% 23.8% 1.11× 3.77
H1 under 56.5 23.2% 22.6% 31.8% 0.71× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 19.4% 17.5% 16.4% 1.07× 5.72
H1 under 52.5 12.7% 12.3% 20.4% 0.60× 8.14
H1 over 76.5 10.4% 12.3% 9.8% 1.26× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies to win H2 84.6% 79.6% 56.0% 1.42× 1.26
La Salle Explorers to win H2 12.9% 14.8% 40.6% 0.36× 6.77
H2 tied 2.5% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 82.5 88.4% 85.2% 87.4% 0.97× 1.17
H2 over 58.5 86.3% 85.2% 79.6% 1.07× 1.17
H2 under 78.5 79.4% 75.8% 80.1% 0.95× 1.32
H2 over 62.5 76.0% 75.8% 68.3% 1.11× 1.32
H2 under 75.5 70.4% 72.2% 73.0% 0.99× 1.39
H2 over 65.5 66.2% 66.4% 58.8% 1.13× 1.51
H2 under 73.5 63.5% 61.6% 67.1% 0.92× 1.62
H2 over 67.5 58.9% 57.3% 52.1% 1.10× 1.74
H2 under 71.5 56.2% 57.3% 61.1% 0.94× 1.74
H2 over 69.5 51.4% 52.4% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 52.4% 52.4% 57.8% 0.91× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 48.6% 47.6% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 47.6% 47.6% 42.2% 1.13× 2.10
H2 over 71.5 43.8% 42.7% 38.9% 1.10× 2.34
H2 under 67.5 41.1% 42.7% 47.9% 0.89× 2.34
H2 over 73.5 36.5% 38.4% 32.9% 1.17× 2.61
H2 under 65.5 33.8% 33.6% 41.2% 0.82× 2.97
H2 over 75.5 29.6% 27.8% 27.0% 1.03× 3.59
H2 under 62.5 24.0% 24.2% 31.7% 0.76× 4.13
H2 over 78.5 20.6% 24.2% 19.9% 1.22× 4.13
H2 under 58.5 13.7% 14.8% 20.4% 0.73× 6.76
H2 over 82.5 11.6% 14.8% 12.6% 1.17× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies leading at half time 83.1% 83.3% 56.4% 1.48× 1.20
La Salle Explorers leading at half time 14.2% 10.4% 39.9% 0.26× 9.64
Level at half time 2.7% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies +9.5 99.4% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +10.5 99.5% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +12.5 99.7% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +14.5 99.8% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +1.5 96.3% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +2.5 97.0% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +3.5 97.5% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +4.5 98.0% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +5.5 98.4% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +6.5 98.7% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +7.5 99.0% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies +8.5 99.2% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Virginia Tech Hokies −1.5 94.4% 91.1% 58.7% 1.55× 1.10
Virginia Tech Hokies −2.5 93.2% 91.1% 56.7% 1.61× 1.10
Virginia Tech Hokies −3.5 91.9% 91.1% 54.2% 1.68× 1.10
Virginia Tech Hokies −4.5 90.3% 91.1% 52.2% 1.75× 1.10
Virginia Tech Hokies −5.5 88.6% 85.9% 49.7% 1.73× 1.16
Virginia Tech Hokies −6.5 86.6% 85.9% 47.6% 1.80× 1.16
Virginia Tech Hokies −7.5 84.5% 81.1% 44.8% 1.81× 1.23
Virginia Tech Hokies −8.5 82.2% 81.1% 42.0% 1.93× 1.23
Virginia Tech Hokies −9.5 79.7% 76.5% 39.3% 1.95× 1.31
Virginia Tech Hokies −10.5 76.9% 76.5% 36.8% 2.08× 1.31
Virginia Tech Hokies −12.5 71.0% 71.6% 32.1% 2.23× 1.40
Virginia Tech Hokies −14.5 64.4% 61.9% 27.9% 2.22× 1.62
Virginia Tech Hokies −16.5 57.4% 57.1% 24.3% 2.35× 1.75
La Salle Explorers +20.5 57.1% 57.1% 82.0% 0.70× 1.75
Virginia Tech Hokies −18.5 50.1% 52.4% 20.7% 2.53× 1.91
La Salle Explorers +18.5 49.9% 47.6% 79.3% 0.60× 2.10
La Salle Explorers +16.5 42.6% 42.9% 75.7% 0.57× 2.33
Virginia Tech Hokies −20.5 42.9% 42.9% 18.0% 2.39× 2.33
La Salle Explorers +14.5 35.6% 38.1% 72.1% 0.53× 2.63
La Salle Explorers +12.5 29.0% 28.4% 67.9% 0.42× 3.53
La Salle Explorers +10.5 23.1% 23.5% 63.2% 0.37× 4.25
La Salle Explorers +9.5 20.3% 23.5% 60.7% 0.39× 4.25
La Salle Explorers +8.5 17.8% 18.9% 58.0% 0.33× 5.29
La Salle Explorers +7.5 15.5% 18.9% 55.2% 0.34× 5.30
La Salle Explorers +6.5 13.4% 14.1% 52.4% 0.27× 7.09
La Salle Explorers +5.5 11.4% 14.1% 50.3% 0.28× 7.09
La Salle Explorers +3.5 8.1% 8.9% 45.8% 0.19× 11.25
La Salle Explorers +4.5 9.7% 8.9% 47.8% 0.19× 11.25
La Salle Explorers +2.5 6.8% 8.9% 43.3% 0.21× 11.25
La Salle Explorers +1.5 5.6% 8.9% 41.3% 0.22× 11.25
La Salle Explorers −1.5 3.7% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.73
La Salle Explorers −2.5 3.0% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.73
La Salle Explorers −3.5 2.5% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.73
La Salle Explorers −4.5 2.0% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.73
La Salle Explorers −5.5 1.6% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.73
La Salle Explorers −6.5 1.3% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
La Salle Explorers −7.5 1.0% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
La Salle Explorers −8.5 0.8% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
La Salle Explorers −9.5 0.6% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
La Salle Explorers −10.5 0.5% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
La Salle Explorers −12.5 0.3% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
La Salle Explorers −14.5 0.2% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
La Salle Explorers −16.5 0.1% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
La Salle Explorers −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
La Salle Explorers −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.6% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.6% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies at HT / Virginia Tech Hokies at FT 81.5% 84.5% 48.3% 1.75× 1.18
La Salle Explorers at HT / Virginia Tech Hokies at FT 11.5% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.18
Virginia Tech Hokies at HT / La Salle Explorers at FT 1.5% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.77
Level at HT / Virginia Tech Hokies at FT 2.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
La Salle Explorers at HT / La Salle Explorers at FT 2.7% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.75
Level at HT / La Salle Explorers at FT 0.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies to win 95.5% 97.4% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
La Salle Explorers to win 4.5% 2.6% 40.1% 0.06× 38.70
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
La Salle Explorers even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.5% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Virginia Tech Hokies odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
La Salle Explorers odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.5% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 97.4% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 2.6% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.49
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies to win Q1 72.9% 73.8% 54.7% 1.35× 1.36
La Salle Explorers to win Q1 22.3% 22.1% 40.4% 0.55× 4.53
Q1 tied 4.9% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.94
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 40.5 89.4% 87.4% 89.9% 0.97× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 87.1% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 78.9% 76.9% 81.6% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 75.3% 76.9% 67.7% 1.14× 1.30
Q1 under 35.5 69.4% 67.6% 73.2% 0.92× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 65.0% 61.7% 56.9% 1.09× 1.62
Q1 under 33.5 58.3% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 over 31.5 53.5% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 32.5 52.5% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 32.5 47.5% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 under 31.5 46.5% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 33.5 41.7% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 35.0% 38.3% 43.1% 0.89× 2.61
Q1 over 35.5 30.6% 32.4% 26.8% 1.21× 3.08
Q1 under 27.5 24.7% 23.1% 32.3% 0.72× 4.33
Q1 over 37.5 21.1% 23.1% 18.4% 1.25× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 12.9% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 10.6% 12.6% 10.1% 1.24× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies to win Q2 72.3% 75.2% 52.9% 1.42× 1.33
La Salle Explorers to win Q2 22.9% 20.0% 41.5% 0.48× 4.99
Q2 tied 4.8% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.88
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 40.5 90.3% 90.8% 90.8% 1.00× 1.10
Q2 over 24.5 86.0% 87.3% 80.7% 1.08× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 80.3% 83.0% 82.3% 1.01× 1.21
Q2 over 27.5 73.7% 72.0% 66.7% 1.08× 1.39
Q2 under 35.5 71.1% 72.0% 74.6% 0.96× 1.39
Q2 over 29.5 63.1% 60.7% 55.8% 1.09× 1.65
Q2 under 33.5 60.3% 60.7% 65.6% 0.93× 1.65
Q2 under 32.5 54.4% 52.7% 60.8% 0.87× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 51.5% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 under 31.5 48.5% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 45.6% 47.3% 39.2% 1.21× 2.11
Q2 over 33.5 39.7% 39.3% 34.4% 1.14× 2.54
Q2 under 29.5 36.9% 39.3% 44.2% 0.89× 2.55
Q2 over 35.5 28.9% 28.0% 25.4% 1.10× 3.57
Q2 under 27.5 26.3% 28.0% 33.3% 0.84× 3.57
Q2 over 37.5 19.7% 17.0% 17.7% 0.96× 5.88
Q2 under 24.5 14.0% 12.7% 19.3% 0.66× 7.89
Q2 over 40.5 9.7% 9.2% 9.2% 1.01× 10.83
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies to win Q3 74.3% 73.2% 53.3% 1.37× 1.37
La Salle Explorers to win Q3 21.1% 22.4% 41.8% 0.54× 4.47
Q3 tied 4.6% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.43
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 43.5 89.2% 87.2% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 86.0% 87.2% 80.0% 1.09× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 79.0% 77.3% 81.9% 0.94× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 73.9% 71.8% 66.8% 1.07× 1.39
Q3 under 38.5 69.8% 67.8% 73.9% 0.92× 1.48
Q3 over 32.5 63.7% 62.0% 56.1% 1.10× 1.61
Q3 under 36.5 59.1% 58.4% 64.6% 0.90× 1.71
Q3 under 35.5 53.4% 52.3% 59.7% 0.88× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 52.4% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 47.6% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 46.6% 47.7% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
Q3 over 36.5 40.9% 41.6% 35.4% 1.17× 2.40
Q3 under 32.5 36.3% 38.0% 43.9% 0.87× 2.63
Q3 over 38.5 30.2% 32.2% 26.1% 1.23× 3.11
Q3 under 30.5 26.1% 28.2% 33.2% 0.85× 3.55
Q3 over 40.5 21.0% 22.7% 18.1% 1.25× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 14.0% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.83
Q3 over 43.5 10.8% 12.8% 9.8% 1.30× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies to win Q4 73.9% 66.3% 52.8% 1.26× 1.51
La Salle Explorers to win Q4 21.6% 29.0% 41.5% 0.70× 3.45
Q4 tied 4.5% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 43.5 87.7% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 84.8% 82.0% 78.9% 1.04× 1.22
Q4 under 40.5 77.4% 76.9% 80.6% 0.95× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 73.1% 71.5% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 under 38.5 68.4% 67.4% 73.1% 0.92× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 63.3% 61.4% 55.4% 1.11× 1.63
Q4 under 36.5 58.2% 58.4% 64.3% 0.91× 1.71
Q4 over 34.5 52.7% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 35.5 52.8% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 47.3% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 47.2% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 over 36.5 41.8% 41.6% 35.7% 1.17× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 36.7% 38.6% 44.6% 0.87× 2.59
Q4 over 38.5 31.6% 32.6% 26.9% 1.21× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 26.9% 28.5% 33.7% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 over 40.5 22.6% 23.1% 19.4% 1.19× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 15.2% 18.0% 21.1% 0.85× 5.56
Q4 over 43.5 12.3% 14.4% 11.4% 1.26× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
La Salle Explorers over 47.5 87.4% 83.9% 88.4% 0.95× 1.19
Virginia Tech Hokies under 86.5 86.3% 83.9% 91.2% 0.92× 1.19
La Salle Explorers under 67.5 86.7% 83.9% 65.6% 1.28× 1.19
Virginia Tech Hokies over 66.5 84.7% 80.7% 51.8% 1.56× 1.24
Virginia Tech Hokies under 83.5 78.2% 75.1% 87.7% 0.86× 1.33
La Salle Explorers over 50.5 78.2% 75.1% 83.1% 0.90× 1.33
La Salle Explorers under 64.5 78.4% 75.1% 56.9% 1.32× 1.33
Virginia Tech Hokies over 69.5 75.9% 75.1% 42.6% 1.76× 1.33
Virginia Tech Hokies under 81.5 71.4% 70.7% 84.6% 0.84× 1.41
La Salle Explorers over 52.5 70.8% 70.7% 78.5% 0.90× 1.41
La Salle Explorers under 62.5 71.5% 70.7% 51.0% 1.39× 1.41
Virginia Tech Hokies over 71.5 68.9% 66.4% 37.0% 1.79× 1.51
Virginia Tech Hokies under 79.5 63.9% 61.2% 81.3% 0.75× 1.63
La Salle Explorers over 54.5 62.6% 61.2% 73.5% 0.83× 1.63
La Salle Explorers under 60.5 63.6% 61.2% 44.4% 1.38× 1.63
Virginia Tech Hokies over 73.5 61.0% 61.2% 31.5% 1.94× 1.63
Virginia Tech Hokies under 77.5 55.7% 57.1% 77.4% 0.74× 1.75
La Salle Explorers under 58.5 55.0% 57.1% 37.9% 1.51× 1.75
La Salle Explorers over 56.5 53.8% 52.3% 68.0% 0.77× 1.91
Virginia Tech Hokies over 75.5 52.7% 52.3% 26.8% 1.95× 1.91
Virginia Tech Hokies under 76.5 51.5% 52.3% 75.4% 0.69× 1.91
La Salle Explorers under 57.5 50.6% 52.3% 34.9% 1.50× 1.91
La Salle Explorers over 57.5 49.4% 47.7% 65.1% 0.73× 2.09
Virginia Tech Hokies under 75.5 47.3% 47.7% 73.2% 0.65× 2.09
Virginia Tech Hokies over 76.5 48.5% 47.7% 24.6% 1.94× 2.09
La Salle Explorers under 56.5 46.2% 47.7% 32.0% 1.49× 2.09
La Salle Explorers over 58.5 45.0% 42.9% 62.1% 0.69× 2.33
Virginia Tech Hokies over 77.5 44.3% 42.9% 22.6% 1.90× 2.33
Virginia Tech Hokies under 73.5 39.0% 38.8% 68.5% 0.57× 2.58
La Salle Explorers under 54.5 37.4% 38.8% 26.5% 1.47× 2.58
La Salle Explorers over 60.5 36.4% 38.8% 55.6% 0.70× 2.58
Virginia Tech Hokies over 79.5 36.1% 38.8% 18.7% 2.07× 2.58
Virginia Tech Hokies under 71.5 31.1% 33.6% 63.0% 0.53× 2.98
Virginia Tech Hokies over 81.5 28.6% 29.3% 15.4% 1.90× 3.42
La Salle Explorers under 52.5 29.2% 29.3% 21.5% 1.36× 3.42
La Salle Explorers over 62.5 28.5% 29.3% 49.0% 0.60× 3.42
Virginia Tech Hokies under 69.5 24.1% 24.9% 57.4% 0.43× 4.02
Virginia Tech Hokies over 83.5 21.8% 24.9% 12.3% 2.02× 4.02
La Salle Explorers under 50.5 21.8% 24.9% 16.9% 1.48× 4.02
La Salle Explorers over 64.5 21.6% 24.9% 43.2% 0.58× 4.02
Virginia Tech Hokies under 66.5 15.3% 19.3% 48.2% 0.40× 5.18
Virginia Tech Hokies over 86.5 13.7% 16.1% 8.8% 1.83× 6.21
La Salle Explorers over 67.5 13.3% 16.1% 34.4% 0.47× 6.21
La Salle Explorers under 47.5 12.6% 16.1% 11.6% 1.39× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 154.5 points 92.0% 88.8% 89.8% 0.99× 1.13
Over 114.5 points 91.1% 88.8% 80.4% 1.10× 1.13
Under 149.5 points 85.9% 85.0% 84.9% 1.00× 1.18
Over 119.5 points 83.6% 80.6% 71.6% 1.12× 1.24
Under 144.5 points 77.0% 75.6% 78.1% 0.97× 1.32
Over 124.5 points 73.4% 70.8% 61.5% 1.15× 1.41
Under 141.5 points 70.5% 70.8% 73.4% 0.96× 1.41
Under 139.5 points 65.7% 65.9% 69.9% 0.94× 1.52
Over 127.5 points 66.1% 65.9% 55.1% 1.20× 1.52
Under 137.5 points 60.6% 61.5% 66.2% 0.93× 1.63
Over 129.5 points 60.9% 61.5% 50.5% 1.22× 1.63
Under 135.5 points 55.3% 56.5% 62.4% 0.91× 1.77
Over 131.5 points 55.5% 56.5% 46.1% 1.23× 1.77
Under 134.5 points 52.6% 52.3% 60.2% 0.87× 1.91
Over 133.5 points 50.1% 52.3% 42.0% 1.25× 1.91
Under 133.5 points 49.9% 47.7% 58.0% 0.82× 2.10
Over 134.5 points 47.4% 47.7% 39.8% 1.20× 2.10
Over 135.5 points 44.7% 43.5% 37.6% 1.16× 2.30
Under 131.5 points 44.5% 43.5% 53.9% 0.81× 2.30
Over 137.5 points 39.4% 38.5% 33.8% 1.14× 2.60
Under 129.5 points 39.1% 38.5% 49.5% 0.78× 2.60
Over 139.5 points 34.3% 34.1% 30.1% 1.13× 2.93
Under 127.5 points 33.9% 34.1% 44.9% 0.76× 2.93
Over 141.5 points 29.5% 29.2% 26.6% 1.10× 3.43
Under 124.5 points 26.6% 29.2% 38.5% 0.76× 3.43
Over 144.5 points 23.0% 24.4% 21.9% 1.11× 4.10
Under 119.5 points 16.4% 19.4% 28.4% 0.68× 5.15
Over 149.5 points 14.1% 15.0% 15.1% 0.99× 6.68
Under 114.5 points 8.9% 11.2% 19.6% 0.57× 8.96
Over 154.5 points 8.0% 11.2% 10.2% 1.10× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies to win both halves 69.1% 66.9% 36.0% 1.86× 1.50
La Salle Explorers to win both halves 1.0% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.79
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Virginia Tech Hokies by 26+ 26.2% 30.6% 12.6% 2.43× 3.27
Virginia Tech Hokies by 16-20 18.1% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Virginia Tech Hokies by 21-25 16.7% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
Virginia Tech Hokies by 11-15 16.0% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Virginia Tech Hokies by 6-10 11.6% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Virginia Tech Hokies by 1-5 6.9% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
La Salle Explorers by 1-5 2.9% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.30
La Salle Explorers by 6-10 1.1% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.32
La Salle Explorers by 11-15 0.4% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
La Salle Explorers by 16-20 0.1% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
La Salle Explorers by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
La Salle Explorers by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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