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Wagner Seahawks v Rhode Island Rams — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 12 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Wagner Seahawks win
1.8%
Draw
0.0%
Rhode Island Rams win
98.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 43.71–68.46 44-69 0% 68% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wagner Seahawks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Wagner Seahawks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Wagner Seahawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Wagner Seahawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Rhode Island Rams to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.34
Rhode Island Rams to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Rhode Island Rams to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Rhode Island Rams to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win H1 87.2% 88.7% 39.9% 2.22× 1.13
Wagner Seahawks to win H1 10.5% 10.7% 56.4% 0.19× 9.31
H1 tied 2.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 44.5 90.7% 90.8% 94.7% 0.96× 1.10
H1 under 68.5 89.7% 87.7% 73.5% 1.19× 1.14
H1 over 48.5 81.1% 82.5% 88.8% 0.93× 1.21
H1 under 64.5 80.1% 82.5% 60.7% 1.36× 1.21
H1 over 51.5 71.0% 73.5% 82.0% 0.90× 1.36
H1 under 61.5 70.1% 73.5% 49.8% 1.48× 1.36
H1 over 53.5 63.1% 62.7% 76.8% 0.82× 1.59
H1 under 59.5 62.3% 62.7% 42.2% 1.49× 1.59
H1 over 55.5 54.7% 52.6% 71.0% 0.74× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 53.9% 52.6% 35.2% 1.50× 1.90
H1 over 56.5 50.4% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 56.5 49.6% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 under 55.5 45.3% 47.4% 29.0% 1.63× 2.11
H1 over 57.5 46.1% 47.4% 64.8% 0.73× 2.11
H1 under 53.5 36.9% 37.3% 23.2% 1.61× 2.68
H1 over 59.5 37.7% 37.3% 57.8% 0.64× 2.68
H1 over 61.5 29.9% 26.5% 50.2% 0.53× 3.77
H1 under 51.5 29.0% 26.5% 18.0% 1.48× 3.77
H1 over 64.5 19.9% 17.5% 39.3% 0.44× 5.72
H1 under 48.5 18.9% 17.5% 11.2% 1.57× 5.72
H1 over 68.5 10.3% 12.3% 26.5% 0.46× 8.14
H1 under 44.5 9.3% 9.2% 5.3% 1.75× 10.88
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win H2 88.7% 84.2% 40.6% 2.08× 1.19
Wagner Seahawks to win H2 9.3% 11.3% 56.0% 0.20× 8.81
H2 tied 2.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 74.5 90.0% 85.2% 69.9% 1.22× 1.17
H2 over 50.5 88.7% 85.2% 94.0% 0.91× 1.17
H2 under 70.5 81.0% 81.8% 57.8% 1.41× 1.22
H2 over 54.5 78.4% 75.8% 88.0% 0.86× 1.32
H2 under 67.5 71.6% 72.2% 47.9% 1.51× 1.39
H2 over 57.5 68.0% 66.4% 82.2% 0.81× 1.51
H2 under 65.5 64.3% 61.6% 41.2% 1.49× 1.62
H2 over 59.5 60.1% 61.6% 77.0% 0.80× 1.62
H2 under 63.5 56.3% 57.3% 34.7% 1.65× 1.74
H2 over 61.5 51.9% 52.4% 71.3% 0.73× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 52.2% 52.4% 31.7% 1.65× 1.91
H2 under 61.5 48.1% 47.6% 28.7% 1.66× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 47.8% 47.6% 68.3% 0.70× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 43.7% 42.7% 65.3% 0.65× 2.34
H2 under 59.5 39.9% 38.4% 23.0% 1.67× 2.61
H2 over 65.5 35.7% 38.4% 58.8% 0.65× 2.61
H2 under 57.5 32.0% 33.6% 17.8% 1.89× 2.97
H2 over 67.5 28.4% 27.8% 52.1% 0.53× 3.59
H2 under 54.5 21.6% 24.2% 12.0% 2.01× 4.13
H2 over 70.5 19.0% 18.2% 42.2% 0.43× 5.50
H2 under 50.5 11.3% 14.8% 6.0% 2.45× 6.76
H2 over 74.5 10.0% 14.8% 30.1% 0.49× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams leading at half time 87.2% 89.4% 39.9% 2.24× 1.12
Wagner Seahawks leading at half time 10.5% 10.2% 56.4% 0.18× 9.77
Level at half time 2.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams +5.5 99.5% 97.4% 50.3% 1.94× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +6.5 99.6% 97.4% 52.4% 1.86× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +7.5 99.7% 97.4% 55.2% 1.76× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +8.5 99.8% 97.4% 58.0% 1.68× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +9.5 99.8% 97.4% 60.7% 1.61× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +10.5 99.9% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +12.5 99.9% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +1.5 98.6% 97.4% 41.3% 2.36× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams −1.5 97.6% 97.4% 38.8% 2.51× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +2.5 98.9% 97.4% 43.3% 2.25× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams −2.5 96.9% 97.4% 36.7% 2.66× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +3.5 99.1% 97.4% 45.8% 2.13× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams −3.5 96.1% 97.4% 34.3% 2.84× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +4.5 99.3% 97.4% 47.8% 2.04× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams −4.5 95.2% 97.4% 32.2% 3.02× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams −5.5 94.1% 91.1% 29.9% 3.05× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams −6.5 92.8% 91.1% 27.7% 3.29× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams −7.5 91.3% 91.1% 25.5% 3.58× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams −8.5 89.7% 85.9% 23.5% 3.65× 1.16
Rhode Island Rams −9.5 87.8% 85.9% 21.3% 4.03× 1.16
Rhode Island Rams −10.5 85.6% 85.9% 19.6% 4.38× 1.16
Rhode Island Rams −12.5 80.7% 81.1% 16.2% 4.99× 1.23
Rhode Island Rams −14.5 74.8% 71.6% 13.3% 5.40× 1.40
Rhode Island Rams −16.5 68.1% 66.7% 10.9% 6.14× 1.50
Rhode Island Rams −18.5 60.8% 61.9% 8.9% 6.94× 1.62
Rhode Island Rams −20.5 53.0% 52.4% 7.3% 7.20× 1.91
Wagner Seahawks +20.5 47.0% 47.6% 92.7% 0.51× 2.10
Wagner Seahawks +18.5 39.2% 38.1% 91.1% 0.42× 2.63
Wagner Seahawks +16.5 31.9% 33.3% 89.1% 0.37× 3.01
Wagner Seahawks +14.5 25.2% 28.4% 86.7% 0.33× 3.53
Wagner Seahawks +12.5 19.3% 18.9% 83.8% 0.23× 5.29
Wagner Seahawks +10.5 14.4% 14.1% 80.4% 0.18× 7.09
Wagner Seahawks +9.5 12.2% 14.1% 78.7% 0.18× 7.09
Wagner Seahawks +8.5 10.3% 14.1% 76.5% 0.18× 7.09
Wagner Seahawks +7.5 8.7% 8.9% 74.5% 0.12× 11.25
Wagner Seahawks +5.5 5.9% 8.9% 70.1% 0.13× 11.25
Wagner Seahawks +6.5 7.2% 8.9% 72.3% 0.12× 11.25
Wagner Seahawks +4.5 4.8% 2.6% 67.8% 0.04× 38.72
Wagner Seahawks −1.5 1.4% 2.6% 58.7% 0.04× 38.73
Wagner Seahawks +1.5 2.4% 2.6% 61.2% 0.04× 38.73
Wagner Seahawks −2.5 1.1% 2.6% 56.7% 0.05× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks +2.5 3.1% 2.6% 63.3% 0.04× 38.73
Wagner Seahawks −3.5 0.9% 2.6% 54.2% 0.05× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks +3.5 3.9% 2.6% 65.7% 0.04× 38.73
Wagner Seahawks −4.5 0.7% 2.6% 52.2% 0.05× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −5.5 0.5% 2.6% 49.7% 0.05× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −6.5 0.4% 2.6% 47.6% 0.05× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −7.5 0.3% 2.6% 44.8% 0.06× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −8.5 0.2% 2.6% 42.0% 0.06× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −9.5 0.2% 2.6% 39.3% 0.07× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −10.5 0.1% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −12.5 0.1% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.2% 67.0% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.8% 33.0% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams at HT / Rhode Island Rams at FT 86.5% 89.1% 30.1% 2.95× 1.12
Wagner Seahawks at HT / Rhode Island Rams at FT 9.5% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / Rhode Island Rams at FT 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Wagner Seahawks at HT / Wagner Seahawks at FT 1.1% 2.1% 48.3% 0.04× 47.77
Level at HT / Wagner Seahawks at FT 0.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.79
Rhode Island Rams at HT / Wagner Seahawks at FT 0.7% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win 98.2% 97.5% 40.1% 2.43× 1.03
Wagner Seahawks to win 1.8% 2.5% 59.9% 0.04× 39.46
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wagner Seahawks even 51.4% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Rhode Island Rams even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.2% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Rhode Island Rams odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.8% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Wagner Seahawks odd 48.6% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 98.0% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 2.0% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.53
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win Q1 76.3% 79.8% 40.4% 1.98× 1.25
Wagner Seahawks to win Q1 19.1% 15.8% 54.7% 0.29× 6.34
Q1 tied 4.6% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.95
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 20.5 89.3% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 89.2% 87.4% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 over 23.5 78.0% 76.9% 85.4% 0.90× 1.30
Q1 under 33.5 78.2% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 67.8% 67.6% 77.6% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 under 31.5 68.0% 67.6% 54.0% 1.25× 1.48
Q1 under 29.5 56.3% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 over 27.5 56.0% 58.6% 67.7% 0.87× 1.71
Q1 under 28.5 50.2% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 49.8% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 under 27.5 44.0% 41.4% 32.3% 1.28× 2.42
Q1 over 29.5 43.7% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 32.2% 32.4% 22.4% 1.45× 3.08
Q1 over 31.5 32.0% 32.4% 46.0% 0.70× 3.08
Q1 under 23.5 22.0% 23.1% 14.6% 1.58× 4.33
Q1 over 33.5 21.8% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 over 36.5 10.8% 12.6% 22.6% 0.56× 7.95
Q1 under 20.5 10.7% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win Q2 75.6% 80.6% 41.5% 1.94× 1.24
Wagner Seahawks to win Q2 19.8% 14.7% 52.9% 0.28× 6.78
Q2 tied 4.5% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.89
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 36.5 90.0% 90.8% 78.7% 1.15× 1.10
Q2 over 20.5 88.4% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 33.5 79.4% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 23.5 76.6% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 31.5 69.6% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.48
Q2 over 25.5 66.1% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 29.5 58.1% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 over 27.5 54.2% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 52.0% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 48.0% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 under 27.5 45.8% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 41.9% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 33.9% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 31.5 30.4% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 23.5 23.4% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 33.5 20.6% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 20.5 11.6% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.89
Q2 over 36.5 10.0% 9.2% 21.3% 0.43× 10.82
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win Q3 77.8% 81.5% 41.8% 1.95× 1.23
Wagner Seahawks to win Q3 17.9% 15.1% 53.3% 0.28× 6.62
Q3 tied 4.3% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.44
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 39.5 90.1% 90.8% 77.9% 1.17× 1.10
Q3 over 23.5 87.4% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 36.5 79.8% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 26.5 75.3% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 34.5 70.3% 71.8% 54.6% 1.31× 1.39
Q3 over 28.5 64.7% 62.0% 76.4% 0.81× 1.61
Q3 under 32.5 59.1% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 over 30.5 52.9% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 53.1% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 under 30.5 47.1% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 31.5 46.9% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 40.9% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 28.5 35.3% 38.0% 23.6% 1.61× 2.63
Q3 over 34.5 29.7% 28.2% 45.4% 0.62× 3.55
Q3 under 26.5 24.7% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 36.5 20.2% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 23.5 12.7% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q3 over 39.5 9.9% 9.2% 22.1% 0.42× 10.87
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win Q4 77.4% 71.5% 41.5% 1.72× 1.40
Wagner Seahawks to win Q4 18.4% 22.7% 52.8% 0.43× 4.41
Q4 tied 4.2% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 39.5 88.5% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 23.5 86.0% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 36.5 78.1% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 26.5 74.2% 71.5% 82.6% 0.87× 1.40
Q4 under 34.5 68.8% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 28.5 64.2% 61.4% 75.1% 0.82× 1.63
Q4 under 32.5 58.2% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 over 30.5 53.1% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 52.6% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 47.4% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 under 30.5 46.9% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 41.8% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 28.5 35.8% 38.6% 24.9% 1.55× 2.59
Q4 over 34.5 31.2% 32.6% 45.6% 0.71× 3.07
Q4 under 26.5 25.8% 28.5% 17.4% 1.64× 3.51
Q4 over 36.5 21.9% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 23.5 14.0% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Q4 over 39.5 11.5% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wagner Seahawks under 59.5 92.8% 86.5% 27.8% 3.11× 1.16
Rhode Island Rams under 80.5 87.8% 83.9% 91.0% 0.92× 1.19
Wagner Seahawks under 56.5 86.8% 83.9% 20.5% 4.10× 1.19
Rhode Island Rams over 60.5 85.2% 83.9% 55.6% 1.51× 1.19
Wagner Seahawks over 42.5 82.0% 80.7% 97.7% 0.83× 1.24
Wagner Seahawks under 54.5 81.0% 80.7% 16.2% 4.99× 1.24
Wagner Seahawks over 39.5 100.0% 75.6% 98.9% 0.76× 1.32
Rhode Island Rams under 77.5 79.8% 75.1% 87.2% 0.86× 1.33
Rhode Island Rams over 63.5 76.2% 75.1% 46.1% 1.63× 1.33
Wagner Seahawks under 52.5 73.6% 70.7% 12.3% 5.73× 1.41
Rhode Island Rams under 75.5 73.0% 70.7% 84.1% 0.84× 1.41
Wagner Seahawks over 44.5 69.5% 66.4% 96.7% 0.69× 1.51
Rhode Island Rams over 65.5 68.8% 66.4% 40.2% 1.65× 1.51
Rhode Island Rams under 73.5 65.3% 66.4% 80.2% 0.83× 1.51
Wagner Seahawks under 50.5 64.7% 61.2% 9.2% 6.66× 1.63
Rhode Island Rams over 67.5 60.6% 61.2% 34.4% 1.78× 1.63
Wagner Seahawks under 49.5 59.6% 57.1% 7.9% 7.24× 1.75
Wagner Seahawks over 46.5 57.3% 57.1% 95.2% 0.60× 1.75
Rhode Island Rams under 71.5 56.9% 57.1% 76.1% 0.75× 1.75
Wagner Seahawks under 48.5 54.3% 52.3% 6.7% 7.85× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams over 69.5 51.9% 52.3% 28.8% 1.82× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams under 70.5 52.5% 52.3% 73.7% 0.71× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams under 69.5 48.1% 47.7% 71.2% 0.67× 2.09
Rhode Island Rams over 70.5 47.5% 47.7% 26.3% 1.81× 2.09
Wagner Seahawks over 48.5 45.7% 47.7% 93.3% 0.51× 2.09
Wagner Seahawks under 46.5 42.7% 42.9% 4.8% 8.96× 2.33
Rhode Island Rams over 71.5 43.1% 42.9% 23.9% 1.79× 2.33
Wagner Seahawks over 49.5 40.4% 42.9% 92.1% 0.47× 2.33
Rhode Island Rams under 67.5 39.4% 38.8% 65.6% 0.59× 2.58
Wagner Seahawks over 50.5 35.3% 38.8% 90.8% 0.43× 2.58
Rhode Island Rams over 73.5 34.7% 33.6% 19.8% 1.70× 2.98
Wagner Seahawks under 44.5 30.5% 33.6% 3.3% 10.08× 2.98
Rhode Island Rams under 65.5 31.2% 33.6% 59.8% 0.56× 2.98
Rhode Island Rams over 75.5 27.0% 29.3% 15.9% 1.84× 3.42
Wagner Seahawks over 52.5 26.4% 29.3% 87.7% 0.33× 3.42
Rhode Island Rams under 63.5 23.8% 24.9% 53.9% 0.46× 4.02
Rhode Island Rams over 77.5 20.2% 24.9% 12.8% 1.94× 4.02
Wagner Seahawks under 39.5 0.0% 24.4% 1.1% 22.22× 4.09
Wagner Seahawks over 54.5 19.0% 19.3% 83.8% 0.23× 5.18
Wagner Seahawks under 42.5 18.0% 19.3% 2.3% 8.43× 5.18
Rhode Island Rams under 60.5 14.8% 16.1% 44.4% 0.36× 6.21
Wagner Seahawks over 56.5 13.2% 16.1% 79.5% 0.20× 6.21
Rhode Island Rams over 80.5 12.2% 16.1% 9.0% 1.79× 6.21
Wagner Seahawks over 59.5 7.2% 13.5% 72.2% 0.19× 7.40
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 99.5 points 95.3% 92.1% 96.1% 0.96× 1.09
Under 139.5 points 94.8% 88.8% 69.9% 1.27× 1.13
Under 134.5 points 89.6% 85.0% 60.2% 1.41× 1.18
Over 104.5 points 88.5% 85.0% 92.9% 0.92× 1.18
Under 129.5 points 81.3% 80.6% 49.5% 1.63× 1.24
Over 109.5 points 77.2% 75.6% 87.6% 0.86× 1.32
Under 126.5 points 74.6% 70.8% 42.6% 1.66× 1.41
Under 124.5 points 69.4% 65.9% 38.5% 1.71× 1.52
Over 112.5 points 68.5% 65.9% 83.6% 0.79× 1.52
Under 122.5 points 63.6% 61.5% 34.4% 1.79× 1.63
Over 114.5 points 62.2% 61.5% 80.4% 0.76× 1.63
Under 120.5 points 57.5% 56.5% 30.2% 1.87× 1.77
Over 116.5 points 55.6% 56.5% 77.2% 0.73× 1.77
Under 119.5 points 54.3% 52.3% 28.4% 1.84× 1.91
Under 118.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 26.4% 1.98× 1.91
Over 118.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 73.6% 0.65× 2.10
Over 119.5 points 45.7% 47.7% 71.6% 0.67× 2.10
Under 116.5 points 44.4% 43.5% 22.8% 1.91× 2.30
Over 120.5 points 42.5% 43.5% 69.8% 0.62× 2.30
Under 114.5 points 37.8% 38.5% 19.6% 1.97× 2.60
Over 122.5 points 36.4% 38.5% 65.6% 0.59× 2.60
Over 124.5 points 30.6% 34.1% 61.5% 0.55× 2.93
Under 112.5 points 31.5% 34.1% 16.4% 2.08× 2.93
Over 126.5 points 25.4% 29.2% 57.4% 0.51× 3.43
Under 109.5 points 22.8% 24.4% 12.4% 1.97× 4.10
Over 129.5 points 18.7% 19.4% 50.5% 0.38× 5.15
Under 104.5 points 11.5% 15.0% 7.1% 2.09× 6.69
Over 134.5 points 10.4% 15.0% 39.8% 0.38× 6.69
Over 139.5 points 5.2% 11.2% 30.1% 0.37× 8.97
Under 99.5 points 4.7% 7.9% 3.9% 2.03× 12.65
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win both halves 76.4% 77.0% 20.4% 3.78× 1.30
Wagner Seahawks to win both halves 0.3% 3.0% 36.0% 0.08× 33.83
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams by 26+ 33.4% 37.8% 4.6% 8.20× 2.65
Rhode Island Rams by 21-25 19.5% 16.8% 2.7% 6.27× 5.97
Rhode Island Rams by 16-20 18.6% 16.8% 4.8% 3.53× 5.97
Rhode Island Rams by 11-15 14.0% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Rhode Island Rams by 6-10 8.5% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Rhode Island Rams by 1-5 4.1% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.29
Wagner Seahawks by 1-5 1.3% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.32
Wagner Seahawks by 6-10 0.4% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.32
Wagner Seahawks by 11-15 0.1% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.33
Wagner Seahawks by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.33
Wagner Seahawks by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Wagner Seahawks by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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