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Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Elon Phoenix — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons win
78.8%
Draw
0.0%
Elon Phoenix win
21.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 70.34–61.56 70-61 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Elon Phoenix to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Elon Phoenix to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Elon Phoenix to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Elon Phoenix to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win H1 66.5% 68.3% 56.4% 1.21× 1.47
Elon Phoenix to win H1 29.4% 26.6% 39.9% 0.67× 3.77
H1 tied 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 75.5 88.9% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 51.5 87.5% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 79.7% 77.4% 81.4% 0.95× 1.29
H1 over 55.5 77.3% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 70.3% 73.5% 73.5% 1.00× 1.36
H1 over 58.5 67.5% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 66.5 63.2% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 60.1% 62.7% 53.9% 1.16× 1.59
H1 under 64.5 55.6% 58.2% 60.7% 0.96× 1.72
H1 over 62.5 52.3% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 51.7% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 47.7% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 48.3% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 44.4% 41.8% 39.3% 1.06× 2.39
H1 under 60.5 39.9% 37.3% 46.1% 0.81× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 36.8% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 under 58.5 32.5% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 29.7% 26.5% 26.5% 1.00× 3.77
H1 under 55.5 22.7% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 20.3% 22.6% 18.6% 1.22× 4.43
H1 under 51.5 12.5% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H1 over 75.5 11.1% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win H2 67.6% 62.8% 56.0% 1.12× 1.59
Elon Phoenix to win H2 28.6% 31.3% 40.6% 0.77× 3.20
H2 tied 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 81.5 87.8% 85.2% 85.8% 0.99× 1.17
H2 over 57.5 86.4% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 77.5 78.6% 75.8% 77.9% 0.97× 1.32
H2 over 61.5 76.3% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 69.5% 66.4% 69.9% 0.95× 1.51
H2 over 64.5 66.7% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 72.5 62.6% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 66.5 59.6% 57.3% 55.4% 1.04× 1.74
H2 under 70.5 55.3% 57.3% 57.8% 0.99× 1.74
H2 over 68.5 52.2% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 51.6% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 47.8% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 48.4% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 44.7% 42.7% 42.2% 1.01× 2.34
H2 under 66.5 40.4% 42.7% 44.6% 0.96× 2.35
H2 over 72.5 37.4% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 64.5 33.3% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 30.5% 33.6% 30.1% 1.12× 2.97
H2 under 61.5 23.7% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 77.5 21.4% 24.2% 22.1% 1.10× 4.13
H2 under 57.5 13.6% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
H2 over 81.5 12.2% 14.8% 14.2% 1.04× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons leading at half time 66.5% 68.4% 56.4% 1.21× 1.46
Elon Phoenix leading at half time 29.4% 26.5% 39.9% 0.66× 3.77
Level at half time 4.0% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +20.5 99.5% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +10.5 95.6% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +12.5 97.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +14.5 98.0% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +16.5 98.8% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +18.5 99.2% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +9.5 94.6% 91.1% 78.7% 1.16× 1.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +7.5 92.4% 91.1% 74.5% 1.22× 1.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +8.5 93.6% 91.1% 76.5% 1.19× 1.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +6.5 91.0% 91.1% 72.3% 1.26× 1.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +5.5 89.5% 85.9% 70.1% 1.23× 1.16
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +4.5 87.7% 85.9% 67.8% 1.27× 1.16
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +3.5 85.8% 85.9% 65.7% 1.31× 1.16
Elon Phoenix +20.5 85.2% 85.9% 82.0% 1.05× 1.16
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +2.5 83.7% 81.1% 63.3% 1.28× 1.23
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +1.5 81.4% 81.1% 61.2% 1.32× 1.23
Elon Phoenix +18.5 80.6% 81.1% 79.3% 1.02× 1.23
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −1.5 75.9% 76.5% 58.7% 1.30× 1.31
Elon Phoenix +16.5 75.2% 76.5% 75.7% 1.01× 1.31
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −2.5 72.9% 71.6% 56.7% 1.26× 1.40
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −3.5 69.7% 66.7% 54.2% 1.23× 1.50
Elon Phoenix +14.5 69.1% 66.7% 72.1% 0.93× 1.50
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −4.5 66.3% 66.7% 52.2% 1.28× 1.50
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −5.5 62.8% 61.9% 49.7% 1.25× 1.62
Elon Phoenix +12.5 62.4% 61.9% 67.9% 0.91× 1.62
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −6.5 59.3% 57.1% 47.6% 1.20× 1.75
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −7.5 55.6% 57.1% 44.8% 1.28× 1.75
Elon Phoenix +10.5 55.3% 57.1% 63.2% 0.90× 1.75
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −8.5 52.0% 52.4% 42.0% 1.25× 1.91
Elon Phoenix +9.5 51.7% 52.4% 60.7% 0.86× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −9.5 48.3% 47.6% 39.3% 1.21× 2.10
Elon Phoenix +8.5 48.0% 47.6% 58.0% 0.82× 2.10
Elon Phoenix +7.5 44.4% 42.9% 55.2% 0.78× 2.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −10.5 44.7% 42.9% 36.8% 1.17× 2.33
Elon Phoenix +6.5 40.7% 42.9% 52.4% 0.82× 2.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −12.5 37.6% 38.1% 32.1% 1.19× 2.63
Elon Phoenix +5.5 37.2% 38.1% 50.3% 0.76× 2.63
Elon Phoenix +4.5 33.7% 33.3% 47.8% 0.70× 3.01
Elon Phoenix +3.5 30.3% 33.3% 45.8% 0.73× 3.01
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −14.5 30.9% 33.3% 27.9% 1.19× 3.01
Elon Phoenix +2.5 27.1% 28.4% 43.3% 0.66× 3.53
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −16.5 24.8% 23.5% 24.3% 0.97× 4.25
Elon Phoenix +1.5 24.1% 23.5% 41.3% 0.57× 4.25
Elon Phoenix −1.5 18.6% 18.9% 38.8% 0.49× 5.29
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −18.5 19.4% 18.9% 20.7% 0.91× 5.29
Elon Phoenix −2.5 16.3% 18.9% 36.7% 0.52× 5.30
Elon Phoenix −3.5 14.2% 14.1% 34.3% 0.41× 7.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −20.5 14.8% 14.1% 18.0% 0.78× 7.09
Elon Phoenix −4.5 12.3% 14.1% 32.2% 0.44× 7.09
Elon Phoenix −5.5 10.5% 14.1% 29.9% 0.47× 7.09
Elon Phoenix −6.5 9.0% 8.9% 27.7% 0.32× 11.25
Elon Phoenix −7.5 7.6% 8.9% 25.5% 0.35× 11.25
Elon Phoenix −8.5 6.4% 8.9% 23.5% 0.38× 11.25
Elon Phoenix −9.5 5.4% 8.9% 21.3% 0.42× 11.25
Elon Phoenix −10.5 4.4% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.72
Elon Phoenix −12.5 3.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.73
Elon Phoenix −14.5 2.0% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
Elon Phoenix −16.5 1.2% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Elon Phoenix −18.5 0.8% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Elon Phoenix −20.5 0.5% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.2% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.8% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.7% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at HT / Wake Forest Demon Deacons at FT 60.0% 62.3% 48.3% 1.29× 1.61
Elon Phoenix at HT / Wake Forest Demon Deacons at FT 15.8% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Elon Phoenix at HT / Elon Phoenix at FT 13.6% 12.2% 30.1% 0.41× 8.17
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at HT / Elon Phoenix at FT 6.5% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.09
Level at HT / Wake Forest Demon Deacons at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Elon Phoenix at FT 1.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win 78.8% 75.1% 59.9% 1.25× 1.33
Elon Phoenix to win 21.2% 24.9% 40.1% 0.62× 4.02
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.4% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Wake Forest Demon Deacons even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Elon Phoenix even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Wake Forest Demon Deacons odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Elon Phoenix odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.6% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.0% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q1 59.9% 57.3% 54.7% 1.05× 1.75
Elon Phoenix to win Q1 34.3% 30.4% 40.4% 0.75× 3.29
Q1 tied 5.8% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 23.5 88.8% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 39.5 87.5% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 26.5 78.0% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 76.0% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 68.3% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 66.0% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 57.1% 58.6% 51.2% 1.14× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 54.6% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 51.3% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 48.8% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 45.4% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 under 30.5 42.9% 41.4% 48.8% 0.85× 2.42
Q1 over 34.5 34.0% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 31.7% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 24.0% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 26.5 22.0% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 39.5 12.5% 12.6% 12.5% 1.01× 7.95
Q1 under 23.5 11.2% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q2 59.6% 59.4% 52.9% 1.12× 1.68
Elon Phoenix to win Q2 34.7% 31.9% 41.5% 0.77× 3.14
Q2 tied 5.7% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 88.5% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 87.9% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 77.5% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 76.5% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 67.8% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 66.5% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 56.6% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 55.2% 58.2% 49.9% 1.17× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 50.7% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 49.3% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 44.8% 41.8% 50.1% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 over 32.5 43.4% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 33.5% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 32.2% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 23.5% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 22.5% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 12.1% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 11.5% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.89
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q3 60.8% 60.8% 53.3% 1.14× 1.64
Elon Phoenix to win Q3 33.6% 33.8% 41.8% 0.81× 2.96
Q3 tied 5.6% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 26.5 87.6% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 42.5 87.4% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 29.5 76.5% 77.3% 71.8% 1.08× 1.29
Q3 under 39.5 76.3% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 31.5 66.8% 67.8% 61.6% 1.10× 1.48
Q3 under 37.5 66.6% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 33.5 55.8% 58.4% 50.9% 1.15× 1.71
Q3 under 35.5 55.6% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 34.5 50.1% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 49.9% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 44.2% 41.6% 49.1% 0.85× 2.40
Q3 over 35.5 44.4% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 33.2% 32.2% 38.4% 0.84× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 33.4% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.10
Q3 over 39.5 23.7% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 29.5 23.5% 22.7% 28.2% 0.81× 4.40
Q3 over 42.5 12.6% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q3 under 26.5 12.4% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q4 60.6% 57.8% 52.8% 1.09× 1.73
Elon Phoenix to win Q4 33.9% 37.4% 41.5% 0.90× 2.67
Q4 tied 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 26.5 86.4% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 42.5 85.9% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 29.5 75.5% 76.9% 70.8% 1.09× 1.30
Q4 under 39.5 74.8% 71.5% 77.0% 0.93× 1.40
Q4 over 31.5 66.2% 67.4% 61.1% 1.10× 1.48
Q4 under 37.5 65.4% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 55.8% 58.4% 50.4% 1.16× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 55.0% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 50.4% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 49.6% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 45.0% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 44.2% 41.6% 49.6% 0.84× 2.40
Q4 over 37.5 34.6% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 33.8% 32.6% 38.9% 0.84× 3.07
Q4 over 39.5 25.2% 28.5% 23.0% 1.24× 3.51
Q4 under 29.5 24.5% 23.1% 29.2% 0.79× 4.33
Q4 over 42.5 14.1% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 under 26.5 13.6% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Elon Phoenix over 51.5 86.6% 83.9% 81.0% 1.04× 1.19
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 80.5 85.2% 83.9% 82.9% 1.01× 1.19
Elon Phoenix under 71.5 85.9% 83.9% 76.1% 1.10× 1.19
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 60.5 85.4% 83.9% 69.5% 1.21× 1.19
Elon Phoenix over 54.5 78.0% 75.1% 73.5% 1.02× 1.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 77.5 76.7% 75.1% 77.4% 0.97× 1.33
Elon Phoenix under 68.5 77.4% 75.1% 68.6% 1.10× 1.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 63.5 77.0% 75.1% 61.5% 1.22× 1.33
Elon Phoenix over 56.5 70.9% 70.7% 68.0% 1.04× 1.41
Elon Phoenix under 66.5 70.4% 70.7% 62.7% 1.13× 1.41
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 65.5 70.2% 70.7% 55.3% 1.28× 1.41
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 75.5 69.8% 66.4% 73.2% 0.91× 1.51
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 67.5 62.6% 61.2% 48.7% 1.26× 1.63
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 73.5 62.1% 61.2% 68.5% 0.89× 1.63
Elon Phoenix over 58.5 63.0% 61.2% 62.1% 0.98× 1.63
Elon Phoenix under 64.5 62.6% 61.2% 56.9% 1.08× 1.63
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 69.5 54.4% 52.3% 42.6% 1.23× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 71.5 53.9% 52.3% 63.0% 0.83× 1.91
Elon Phoenix over 60.5 54.5% 52.3% 55.6% 0.94× 1.91
Elon Phoenix under 62.5 54.1% 52.3% 51.0% 1.03× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 70.5 50.3% 52.3% 39.7% 1.32× 1.91
Elon Phoenix over 61.5 50.2% 52.3% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 70.5 49.7% 47.7% 60.3% 0.79× 2.09
Elon Phoenix under 61.5 49.8% 47.7% 47.9% 1.00× 2.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 69.5 45.6% 47.7% 57.4% 0.83× 2.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 71.5 46.1% 47.7% 37.0% 1.29× 2.09
Elon Phoenix under 60.5 45.5% 47.7% 44.4% 1.08× 2.09
Elon Phoenix over 62.5 45.9% 47.7% 49.0% 0.97× 2.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 67.5 37.4% 38.8% 51.3% 0.76× 2.58
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 73.5 37.9% 38.8% 31.5% 1.23× 2.58
Elon Phoenix under 58.5 37.0% 38.8% 37.9% 1.02× 2.58
Elon Phoenix over 64.5 37.4% 38.8% 43.2% 0.90× 2.58
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 75.5 30.2% 33.6% 26.8% 1.25× 2.98
Elon Phoenix under 56.5 29.1% 29.3% 32.0% 0.92× 3.42
Elon Phoenix over 66.5 29.6% 29.3% 37.3% 0.79× 3.42
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 65.5 29.8% 29.3% 44.7% 0.65× 3.42
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 77.5 23.3% 24.9% 22.6% 1.10× 4.02
Elon Phoenix over 68.5 22.6% 24.9% 31.4% 0.79× 4.02
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 63.5 23.0% 24.9% 38.5% 0.65× 4.02
Elon Phoenix under 54.5 22.0% 24.9% 26.5% 0.94× 4.02
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 80.5 14.8% 16.1% 17.1% 0.94× 6.21
Elon Phoenix over 71.5 14.1% 16.1% 23.9% 0.67× 6.21
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 60.5 14.6% 16.1% 30.5% 0.53× 6.21
Elon Phoenix under 51.5 13.4% 16.1% 19.0% 0.85× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 112.5 points 90.9% 88.8% 83.6% 1.06× 1.13
Under 152.5 points 91.3% 88.8% 88.1% 1.01× 1.13
Under 147.5 points 84.8% 80.6% 82.3% 0.98× 1.24
Over 117.5 points 83.8% 80.6% 75.3% 1.07× 1.24
Under 142.5 points 75.6% 75.6% 75.1% 1.01× 1.32
Over 122.5 points 74.1% 70.8% 65.6% 1.08× 1.41
Under 139.5 points 69.0% 65.9% 69.9% 0.94× 1.52
Over 125.5 points 67.1% 65.9% 59.5% 1.11× 1.52
Under 137.5 points 64.1% 61.5% 66.2% 0.93× 1.63
Over 127.5 points 62.1% 61.5% 55.1% 1.12× 1.63
Under 135.5 points 59.0% 56.5% 62.4% 0.91× 1.77
Over 129.5 points 56.9% 56.5% 50.5% 1.12× 1.77
Under 133.5 points 53.8% 52.3% 58.0% 0.90× 1.91
Over 131.5 points 51.6% 52.3% 46.1% 1.14× 1.91
Under 132.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 56.0% 0.94× 1.91
Over 132.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Under 131.5 points 48.4% 47.7% 53.9% 0.88× 2.10
Over 133.5 points 46.2% 47.7% 42.0% 1.14× 2.10
Under 129.5 points 43.1% 43.5% 49.5% 0.88× 2.30
Over 135.5 points 41.0% 43.5% 37.6% 1.16× 2.30
Under 127.5 points 37.9% 38.5% 44.9% 0.86× 2.60
Over 137.5 points 35.9% 38.5% 33.8% 1.14× 2.60
Under 125.5 points 32.9% 34.1% 40.5% 0.84× 2.93
Over 139.5 points 31.0% 34.1% 30.1% 1.13× 2.93
Under 122.5 points 25.9% 29.2% 34.4% 0.85× 3.43
Over 142.5 points 24.4% 24.4% 24.9% 0.98× 4.10
Under 117.5 points 16.2% 19.4% 24.7% 0.79× 5.15
Over 147.5 points 15.2% 19.4% 17.7% 1.10× 5.15
Under 112.5 points 9.1% 11.2% 16.4% 0.68× 8.96
Over 152.5 points 8.7% 11.2% 11.9% 0.94× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win both halves 42.5% 40.6% 36.0% 1.13× 2.46
Elon Phoenix to win both halves 6.3% 8.8% 20.4% 0.43× 11.33
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 6-10 18.2% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 11-15 16.9% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 1-5 16.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 16-20 13.0% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
Elon Phoenix by 1-5 10.6% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 21-25 8.1% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
Elon Phoenix by 6-10 6.1% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 26+ 6.6% 7.5% 12.6% 0.59× 13.40
Elon Phoenix by 11-15 2.9% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.30
Elon Phoenix by 16-20 1.1% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Elon Phoenix by 21-25 0.4% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Elon Phoenix by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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