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Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Quinnipiac Bobcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons win
38.7%
Draw
0.0%
Quinnipiac Bobcats win
61.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 60.31–63.50 60-63 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win H1 54.6% 51.9% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win H1 41.0% 42.7% 56.4% 0.76× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 47.5 88.3% 87.7% 90.6% 0.97× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 88.6% 87.7% 81.4% 1.08× 1.14
H1 over 51.5 78.3% 77.4% 82.0% 0.94× 1.29
H1 under 67.5 79.1% 77.4% 70.4% 1.10× 1.29
H1 under 64.5 69.6% 67.4% 60.7% 1.11× 1.48
H1 over 54.5 68.5% 67.4% 74.0% 0.91× 1.48
H1 under 62.5 62.4% 62.7% 53.7% 1.17× 1.59
H1 over 56.5 61.1% 62.7% 68.2% 0.92× 1.59
H1 under 60.5 54.7% 52.6% 46.1% 1.14× 1.90
H1 over 58.5 53.3% 52.6% 61.4% 0.86× 1.90
H1 under 59.5 50.7% 52.6% 42.2% 1.25× 1.90
H1 over 59.5 49.3% 47.4% 57.8% 0.82× 2.11
H1 under 58.5 46.7% 47.4% 38.6% 1.23× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 45.3% 47.4% 53.9% 0.88× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 38.9% 37.3% 31.8% 1.17× 2.68
H1 over 62.5 37.6% 37.3% 46.3% 0.80× 2.68
H1 under 54.5 31.5% 32.6% 26.0% 1.25× 3.07
H1 over 64.5 30.4% 32.6% 39.3% 0.83× 3.07
H1 under 51.5 21.7% 22.6% 18.0% 1.25× 4.43
H1 over 67.5 20.9% 22.6% 29.6% 0.76× 4.43
H1 under 47.5 11.7% 12.3% 9.4% 1.30× 8.14
H1 over 71.5 11.4% 12.3% 18.6% 0.66× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win H2 55.1% 55.0% 40.6% 1.36× 1.82
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win H2 40.7% 43.5% 56.0% 0.78× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 77.5 88.2% 85.2% 77.9% 1.09× 1.17
H2 over 53.5 86.4% 85.2% 89.7% 0.95× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 79.0% 75.8% 67.1% 1.13× 1.32
H2 over 57.5 76.2% 75.8% 82.2% 0.92× 1.32
H2 under 70.5 70.0% 66.4% 57.8% 1.15× 1.51
H2 over 60.5 66.5% 66.4% 74.5% 0.89× 1.51
H2 under 68.5 63.1% 61.6% 51.3% 1.20× 1.62
H2 over 62.5 59.2% 57.3% 68.3% 0.84× 1.74
H2 under 66.5 55.8% 57.3% 44.6% 1.29× 1.74
H2 under 65.5 52.0% 52.4% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
H2 over 64.5 51.7% 52.4% 62.1% 0.84× 1.91
H2 over 65.5 48.0% 47.6% 58.8% 0.81× 2.10
H2 under 64.5 48.3% 47.6% 37.9% 1.26× 2.10
H2 over 66.5 44.2% 42.7% 55.4% 0.77× 2.34
H2 under 62.5 40.8% 42.7% 31.7% 1.35× 2.35
H2 over 68.5 36.9% 38.4% 48.7% 0.79× 2.61
H2 under 60.5 33.6% 33.6% 25.5% 1.32× 2.97
H2 over 70.5 30.0% 33.6% 42.2% 0.80× 2.97
H2 under 57.5 23.8% 24.2% 17.8% 1.36× 4.13
H2 over 73.5 21.0% 24.2% 32.9% 0.74× 4.13
H2 under 53.5 13.6% 14.8% 10.3% 1.43× 6.76
H2 over 77.5 11.8% 14.8% 22.1% 0.67× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats leading at half time 54.6% 51.9% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
Wake Forest Demon Deacons leading at half time 41.0% 42.8% 56.4% 0.76× 2.34
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats +16.5 96.0% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +18.5 97.4% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +20.5 98.3% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +14.5 94.2% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +20.5 94.2% 91.1% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats +12.5 91.7% 91.1% 67.9% 1.34× 1.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +18.5 91.7% 91.1% 91.1% 1.00× 1.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +16.5 88.5% 85.9% 89.1% 0.96× 1.16
Quinnipiac Bobcats +10.5 88.6% 85.9% 63.2% 1.36× 1.16
Quinnipiac Bobcats +9.5 86.7% 85.9% 60.7% 1.42× 1.16
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +14.5 84.5% 81.1% 86.7% 0.94× 1.23
Quinnipiac Bobcats +8.5 84.6% 81.1% 58.0% 1.40× 1.23
Quinnipiac Bobcats +7.5 82.4% 81.1% 55.2% 1.47× 1.23
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +12.5 79.7% 76.5% 83.8% 0.91× 1.31
Quinnipiac Bobcats +6.5 79.9% 76.5% 52.4% 1.46× 1.31
Quinnipiac Bobcats +5.5 77.2% 76.5% 50.3% 1.52× 1.31
Quinnipiac Bobcats +4.5 74.4% 71.6% 47.8% 1.50× 1.40
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +10.5 74.1% 71.6% 80.4% 0.89× 1.40
Quinnipiac Bobcats +3.5 71.3% 71.6% 45.8% 1.56× 1.40
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +9.5 71.0% 71.6% 78.7% 0.91× 1.40
Quinnipiac Bobcats +2.5 68.1% 66.7% 43.3% 1.54× 1.50
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +8.5 67.8% 66.7% 76.5% 0.87× 1.50
Quinnipiac Bobcats +1.5 64.7% 61.9% 41.3% 1.50× 1.62
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +7.5 64.4% 61.9% 74.5% 0.83× 1.62
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +6.5 60.9% 61.9% 72.3% 0.86× 1.62
Quinnipiac Bobcats −1.5 57.6% 57.1% 38.8% 1.47× 1.75
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +5.5 57.3% 57.1% 70.1% 0.81× 1.75
Quinnipiac Bobcats −2.5 53.9% 52.4% 36.7% 1.43× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +4.5 53.6% 52.4% 67.8% 0.77× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats −3.5 50.1% 52.4% 34.3% 1.53× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +3.5 49.9% 47.6% 65.7% 0.72× 2.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +2.5 46.1% 47.6% 63.3% 0.75× 2.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats −4.5 46.4% 47.6% 32.2% 1.48× 2.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +1.5 42.4% 42.9% 61.2% 0.70× 2.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats −5.5 42.7% 42.9% 29.9% 1.44× 2.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats −6.5 39.1% 38.1% 27.7% 1.37× 2.63
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −1.5 35.3% 38.1% 58.7% 0.65× 2.63
Quinnipiac Bobcats −7.5 35.6% 38.1% 25.5% 1.50× 2.63
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −2.5 31.9% 33.3% 56.7% 0.59× 3.01
Quinnipiac Bobcats −8.5 32.2% 33.3% 23.5% 1.41× 3.01
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −3.5 28.7% 28.4% 54.2% 0.52× 3.53
Quinnipiac Bobcats −9.5 29.0% 28.4% 21.3% 1.33× 3.53
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −4.5 25.6% 28.4% 52.2% 0.54× 3.53
Quinnipiac Bobcats −10.5 25.9% 28.4% 19.6% 1.45× 3.53
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −5.5 22.8% 23.5% 49.7% 0.47× 4.25
Quinnipiac Bobcats −12.5 20.3% 23.5% 16.2% 1.45× 4.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −6.5 20.1% 23.5% 47.6% 0.49× 4.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −7.5 17.6% 18.9% 44.8% 0.42× 5.29
Quinnipiac Bobcats −14.5 15.5% 18.9% 13.3% 1.42× 5.30
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −8.5 15.4% 18.9% 42.0% 0.45× 5.30
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −9.5 13.3% 14.1% 39.3% 0.36× 7.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats −16.5 11.5% 14.1% 10.9% 1.30× 7.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −10.5 11.4% 14.1% 36.8% 0.38× 7.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −12.5 8.3% 8.9% 32.1% 0.28× 11.25
Quinnipiac Bobcats −18.5 8.3% 8.9% 8.9% 1.00× 11.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −14.5 5.8% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
Quinnipiac Bobcats −20.5 5.8% 8.9% 7.3% 1.22× 11.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −16.5 4.0% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.72
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −18.5 2.6% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −20.5 1.7% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.0% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.0% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.0% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.2% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.6% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.1% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT 43.7% 41.0% 30.1% 1.36× 2.44
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at HT / Wake Forest Demon Deacons at FT 26.0% 29.6% 48.3% 0.61× 3.38
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT 15.0% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Quinnipiac Bobcats at HT / Wake Forest Demon Deacons at FT 10.9% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.18
Level at HT / Wake Forest Demon Deacons at FT 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT 2.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win 61.3% 60.6% 40.1% 1.51× 1.65
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win 38.7% 39.4% 59.9% 0.66× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Wake Forest Demon Deacons even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Quinnipiac Bobcats even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Wake Forest Demon Deacons odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Quinnipiac Bobcats odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.0% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q1 51.6% 52.6% 40.4% 1.30× 1.90
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q1 42.3% 42.9% 54.7% 0.78× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 38.5 90.0% 91.1% 84.8% 1.07× 1.10
Q1 over 22.5 86.3% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 35.5 80.0% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 74.0% 72.7% 77.6% 0.94× 1.38
Q1 under 33.5 70.7% 72.7% 64.0% 1.14× 1.38
Q1 over 27.5 63.6% 61.7% 67.7% 0.91× 1.62
Q1 under 31.5 59.8% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 under 30.5 54.0% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 52.0% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 48.0% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 46.0% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 40.2% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 36.4% 38.3% 32.3% 1.18× 2.61
Q1 over 33.5 29.3% 27.3% 36.0% 0.76× 3.66
Q1 under 25.5 26.0% 27.3% 22.4% 1.22× 3.66
Q1 over 35.5 20.0% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 22.5 13.7% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 10.0% 8.9% 15.2% 0.59× 11.19
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q2 51.5% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q2 42.5% 43.9% 52.9% 0.83× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 21.5 88.4% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 88.1% 87.3% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Q2 over 24.5 77.3% 76.8% 80.7% 0.95× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 77.0% 76.8% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 67.3% 67.4% 71.6% 0.94× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 67.1% 67.4% 60.8% 1.11× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 56.0% 58.2% 61.2% 0.95× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 55.8% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 50.1% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 49.9% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 28.5 44.0% 41.8% 38.8% 1.08× 2.39
Q2 over 30.5 44.2% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 over 32.5 32.9% 32.6% 39.2% 0.83× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 32.7% 32.6% 28.4% 1.15× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 23.0% 23.2% 29.9% 0.78× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 22.7% 23.2% 19.3% 1.21× 4.31
Q2 over 37.5 11.9% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.89
Q2 under 21.5 11.6% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.89
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q3 51.9% 52.7% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q3 42.2% 42.3% 53.3% 0.79× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 24.5 87.6% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 87.7% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 76.4% 77.3% 80.0% 0.97× 1.29
Q3 under 37.5 76.6% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 under 35.5 66.9% 67.8% 59.7% 1.14× 1.48
Q3 over 29.5 66.6% 67.8% 71.8% 0.94× 1.48
Q3 under 33.5 55.9% 58.4% 49.1% 1.19× 1.71
Q3 over 31.5 55.6% 58.4% 61.6% 0.95× 1.71
Q3 under 32.5 50.2% 52.3% 43.9% 1.19× 1.91
Q3 over 32.5 49.8% 47.7% 56.1% 0.85× 2.10
Q3 under 31.5 44.4% 41.6% 38.4% 1.08× 2.40
Q3 over 33.5 44.1% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Q3 under 29.5 33.4% 32.2% 28.2% 1.14× 3.10
Q3 over 35.5 33.1% 32.2% 40.3% 0.80× 3.10
Q3 under 27.5 23.6% 22.7% 20.0% 1.14× 4.40
Q3 over 37.5 23.4% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 24.5 12.4% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q3 over 40.5 12.3% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q4 51.9% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q4 42.3% 43.1% 52.8% 0.82× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 24.5 86.5% 85.6% 89.0% 0.96× 1.17
Q4 under 40.5 86.1% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 75.4% 76.9% 78.9% 0.97× 1.30
Q4 under 37.5 75.1% 76.9% 68.8% 1.12× 1.30
Q4 over 29.5 66.1% 67.4% 70.8% 0.95× 1.48
Q4 under 35.5 65.7% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 55.6% 58.4% 61.1% 0.96× 1.71
Q4 under 33.5 55.3% 58.4% 49.6% 1.18× 1.71
Q4 over 32.5 50.2% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 49.8% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 44.7% 41.6% 50.4% 0.83× 2.40
Q4 under 31.5 44.4% 41.6% 38.9% 1.07× 2.40
Q4 under 29.5 33.9% 32.6% 29.2% 1.12× 3.07
Q4 over 35.5 34.3% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 over 37.5 24.9% 23.1% 31.2% 0.74× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 24.6% 23.1% 21.1% 1.09× 4.33
Q4 over 40.5 13.9% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Q4 under 24.5 13.6% 14.4% 11.0% 1.31× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 74.5 87.7% 83.9% 82.3% 1.02× 1.19
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 50.5 85.9% 83.9% 90.8% 0.92× 1.19
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 70.5 85.4% 83.9% 60.3% 1.39× 1.19
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 54.5 84.1% 80.7% 73.5% 1.10× 1.24
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 71.5 79.9% 75.1% 76.1% 0.99× 1.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 53.5 77.1% 75.1% 85.8% 0.88× 1.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 67.5 77.0% 75.1% 51.3% 1.46× 1.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 57.5 74.9% 70.7% 65.1% 1.09× 1.41
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 69.5 73.3% 70.7% 71.2% 0.99× 1.41
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 55.5 70.1% 70.7% 81.6% 0.87× 1.41
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 65.5 70.2% 70.7% 44.7% 1.58× 1.41
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 59.5 67.5% 66.4% 58.8% 1.13× 1.51
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 67.5 65.8% 66.4% 65.6% 1.01× 1.51
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 57.5 62.3% 61.2% 77.2% 0.79× 1.63
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 63.5 62.6% 61.2% 38.5% 1.59× 1.63
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 61.5 59.4% 57.1% 52.1% 1.10× 1.75
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 65.5 57.6% 57.1% 59.8% 0.96× 1.75
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 59.5 54.0% 52.3% 72.2% 0.72× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 61.5 54.4% 52.3% 33.1% 1.58× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 64.5 53.4% 52.3% 56.9% 0.92× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 60.5 50.2% 52.3% 30.5% 1.71× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 63.5 50.9% 52.3% 46.1% 1.13× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 60.5 49.8% 47.7% 69.5% 0.69× 2.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 63.5 49.1% 47.7% 53.9% 0.89× 2.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 64.5 46.6% 47.7% 43.2% 1.11× 2.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 59.5 46.0% 47.7% 27.8% 1.72× 2.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 61.5 45.6% 47.7% 66.9% 0.71× 2.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 65.5 42.4% 42.9% 40.2% 1.07× 2.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 61.5 40.6% 42.9% 47.9% 0.90× 2.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 57.5 37.7% 38.8% 22.8% 1.70× 2.58
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 63.5 37.4% 38.8% 61.5% 0.63× 2.58
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 67.5 34.2% 33.6% 34.4% 0.98× 2.98
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 59.5 32.5% 33.6% 41.2% 0.82× 2.98
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 55.5 29.9% 29.3% 18.5% 1.59× 3.42
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 65.5 29.8% 29.3% 55.3% 0.53× 3.42
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 69.5 26.7% 29.3% 28.8% 1.02× 3.42
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 57.5 25.1% 29.3% 34.9% 0.84× 3.42
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 53.5 22.9% 24.9% 14.2% 1.75× 4.02
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 67.5 23.0% 24.9% 48.7% 0.51× 4.02
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 71.5 20.1% 24.9% 23.9% 1.04× 4.02
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 54.5 15.9% 19.3% 26.5% 0.73× 5.18
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 50.5 14.1% 16.1% 9.2% 1.75× 6.21
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 70.5 14.6% 16.1% 39.7% 0.41× 6.21
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 74.5 12.3% 16.1% 17.7% 0.91× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 104.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 92.9% 0.96× 1.13
Under 144.5 points 91.3% 88.8% 78.1% 1.14× 1.13
Under 139.5 points 84.8% 80.6% 69.9% 1.15× 1.24
Over 109.5 points 84.4% 80.6% 87.6% 0.92× 1.24
Under 134.5 points 75.5% 75.6% 60.2% 1.26× 1.32
Over 114.5 points 74.6% 70.8% 80.4% 0.88× 1.41
Under 131.5 points 68.9% 65.9% 53.9% 1.22× 1.52
Over 117.5 points 67.5% 65.9% 75.3% 0.88× 1.52
Under 129.5 points 64.0% 61.5% 49.5% 1.24× 1.63
Over 119.5 points 62.4% 61.5% 71.6% 0.86× 1.63
Under 127.5 points 58.9% 56.5% 44.9% 1.26× 1.77
Over 121.5 points 57.1% 56.5% 67.7% 0.83× 1.77
Under 125.5 points 53.6% 52.3% 40.5% 1.29× 1.91
Over 123.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 63.3% 0.83× 1.91
Under 124.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Over 124.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.10
Under 123.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 36.7% 1.30× 2.10
Over 125.5 points 46.4% 47.7% 59.5% 0.80× 2.10
Under 121.5 points 42.9% 43.5% 32.3% 1.35× 2.30
Over 127.5 points 41.1% 43.5% 55.1% 0.79× 2.30
Under 119.5 points 37.6% 38.5% 28.4% 1.36× 2.60
Over 129.5 points 36.0% 38.5% 50.5% 0.76× 2.60
Under 117.5 points 32.5% 34.1% 24.7% 1.38× 2.93
Over 131.5 points 31.1% 34.1% 46.1% 0.74× 2.93
Under 114.5 points 25.4% 29.2% 19.6% 1.49× 3.43
Over 134.5 points 24.5% 24.4% 39.8% 0.61× 4.10
Under 109.5 points 15.6% 19.4% 12.4% 1.57× 5.15
Over 139.5 points 15.2% 19.4% 30.1% 0.65× 5.15
Under 104.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 7.1% 1.56× 8.96
Over 144.5 points 8.7% 11.2% 21.9% 0.51× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win both halves 27.0% 27.2% 20.4% 1.34× 3.68
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win both halves 13.8% 14.1% 36.0% 0.39× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 1-5 18.5% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 6-10 16.8% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 1-5 16.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 11-15 12.5% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 6-10 11.3% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 16-20 7.6% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 11-15 6.6% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 21-25 3.7% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.30
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 16-20 3.1% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.30
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 21-25 1.2% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 26+ 2.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.31
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 26+ 0.5% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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