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Washington State Cougars v Missouri State Lady Bears — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Washington State Cougars win
24.4%
Draw
0.0%
Missouri State Lady Bears win
75.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 61.27–68.90 61-69 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington State Cougars to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Washington State Cougars to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Washington State Cougars to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Washington State Cougars to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Missouri State Lady Bears to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Missouri State Lady Bears to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Missouri State Lady Bears to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Missouri State Lady Bears to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears to win H1 64.1% 62.3% 39.9% 1.56× 1.61
Washington State Cougars to win H1 31.7% 33.1% 56.4% 0.59× 3.02
H1 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 74.5 88.6% 87.7% 87.2% 1.01× 1.14
H1 over 50.5 87.9% 87.7% 84.5% 1.04× 1.14
H1 under 70.5 79.1% 77.4% 78.9% 0.98× 1.29
H1 over 54.5 78.0% 77.4% 74.0% 1.05× 1.29
H1 under 67.5 69.7% 67.4% 70.4% 0.96× 1.48
H1 over 57.5 68.2% 67.4% 64.8% 1.04× 1.48
H1 under 65.5 62.5% 62.7% 63.9% 0.98× 1.59
H1 over 59.5 60.8% 62.7% 57.8% 1.08× 1.59
H1 under 63.5 54.8% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 over 61.5 53.0% 52.6% 50.2% 1.05× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 50.9% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
H1 over 62.5 49.1% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 47.0% 47.4% 49.8% 0.95× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 45.2% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 under 59.5 39.2% 37.3% 42.2% 0.88× 2.68
H1 over 65.5 37.5% 37.3% 36.1% 1.03× 2.68
H1 under 57.5 31.8% 32.6% 35.2% 0.93× 3.07
H1 over 67.5 30.3% 32.6% 29.6% 1.10× 3.07
H1 under 54.5 22.0% 22.6% 26.0% 0.87× 4.43
H1 over 70.5 20.9% 22.6% 21.1% 1.07× 4.43
H1 under 50.5 12.1% 12.3% 15.5% 0.80× 8.14
H1 over 74.5 11.4% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears to win H2 65.1% 62.7% 40.6% 1.55× 1.59
Washington State Cougars to win H2 30.9% 36.3% 56.0% 0.65× 2.76
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 80.5 87.6% 85.2% 84.0% 1.01× 1.17
H2 over 56.5 86.7% 85.2% 84.1% 1.01× 1.17
H2 under 76.5 78.3% 75.8% 75.6% 1.00× 1.32
H2 over 60.5 76.7% 75.8% 74.5% 1.02× 1.32
H2 under 73.5 69.1% 66.4% 67.1% 0.99× 1.51
H2 over 63.5 67.1% 66.4% 65.3% 1.02× 1.51
H2 under 71.5 62.2% 61.6% 61.1% 1.01× 1.62
H2 over 65.5 60.0% 61.6% 58.8% 1.05× 1.62
H2 under 69.5 54.9% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 over 67.5 52.6% 52.4% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 51.2% 52.4% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
H2 over 68.5 48.8% 47.6% 48.7% 0.98× 2.10
H2 under 67.5 47.4% 47.6% 47.9% 1.00× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 45.1% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 under 65.5 40.0% 38.4% 41.2% 0.93× 2.61
H2 over 71.5 37.8% 38.4% 38.9% 0.99× 2.61
H2 under 63.5 32.9% 33.6% 34.7% 0.97× 2.97
H2 over 73.5 30.9% 33.6% 32.9% 1.02× 2.97
H2 under 60.5 23.3% 24.2% 25.5% 0.95× 4.13
H2 over 76.5 21.7% 24.2% 24.4% 0.99× 4.13
H2 under 56.5 13.3% 14.8% 15.9% 0.93× 6.76
H2 over 80.5 12.4% 14.8% 16.0% 0.93× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears leading at half time 64.1% 62.5% 39.9% 1.57× 1.60
Washington State Cougars leading at half time 31.7% 32.7% 56.4% 0.58× 3.06
Level at half time 4.1% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears +20.5 99.4% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Missouri State Lady Bears +12.5 96.2% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Missouri State Lady Bears +14.5 97.5% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Missouri State Lady Bears +16.5 98.4% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Missouri State Lady Bears +18.5 99.0% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Missouri State Lady Bears +10.5 94.5% 91.1% 63.2% 1.44× 1.10
Missouri State Lady Bears +8.5 92.2% 91.1% 58.0% 1.57× 1.10
Missouri State Lady Bears +9.5 93.4% 91.1% 60.7% 1.50× 1.10
Missouri State Lady Bears +7.5 90.8% 91.1% 55.2% 1.65× 1.10
Missouri State Lady Bears +6.5 89.2% 85.9% 52.4% 1.64× 1.16
Missouri State Lady Bears +5.5 87.4% 85.9% 50.3% 1.71× 1.16
Washington State Cougars +20.5 87.7% 85.9% 92.7% 0.93× 1.16
Missouri State Lady Bears +4.5 85.4% 85.9% 47.8% 1.80× 1.16
Washington State Cougars +18.5 83.5% 81.1% 91.1% 0.89× 1.23
Missouri State Lady Bears +3.5 83.3% 81.1% 45.8% 1.77× 1.23
Missouri State Lady Bears +2.5 80.9% 81.1% 43.3% 1.87× 1.23
Missouri State Lady Bears +1.5 78.4% 76.5% 41.3% 1.85× 1.31
Washington State Cougars +16.5 78.5% 76.5% 89.1% 0.86× 1.31
Missouri State Lady Bears −1.5 72.5% 71.6% 38.8% 1.85× 1.40
Washington State Cougars +14.5 72.8% 71.6% 86.7% 0.83× 1.40
Missouri State Lady Bears −2.5 69.3% 66.7% 36.7% 1.82× 1.50
Washington State Cougars +12.5 66.4% 66.7% 83.8% 0.80× 1.50
Missouri State Lady Bears −3.5 65.9% 66.7% 34.3% 1.95× 1.50
Missouri State Lady Bears −4.5 62.4% 61.9% 32.2% 1.92× 1.62
Washington State Cougars +10.5 59.5% 57.1% 80.4% 0.71× 1.75
Missouri State Lady Bears −5.5 58.8% 57.1% 29.9% 1.91× 1.75
Washington State Cougars +9.5 55.9% 57.1% 78.7% 0.73× 1.75
Missouri State Lady Bears −6.5 55.1% 57.1% 27.7% 2.06× 1.75
Washington State Cougars +8.5 52.2% 52.4% 76.5% 0.69× 1.91
Missouri State Lady Bears −7.5 51.5% 52.4% 25.5% 2.06× 1.91
Washington State Cougars +7.5 48.6% 47.6% 74.5% 0.64× 2.10
Missouri State Lady Bears −8.5 47.8% 47.6% 23.5% 2.02× 2.10
Washington State Cougars +6.5 44.9% 42.9% 72.3% 0.59× 2.33
Missouri State Lady Bears −9.5 44.1% 42.9% 21.3% 2.01× 2.33
Washington State Cougars +5.5 41.2% 42.9% 70.1% 0.61× 2.33
Missouri State Lady Bears −10.5 40.5% 42.9% 19.6% 2.19× 2.33
Washington State Cougars +4.5 37.6% 38.1% 67.8% 0.56× 2.63
Washington State Cougars +3.5 34.1% 33.3% 65.7% 0.51× 3.01
Missouri State Lady Bears −12.5 33.6% 33.3% 16.2% 2.05× 3.01
Washington State Cougars +2.5 30.7% 33.3% 63.3% 0.53× 3.01
Washington State Cougars +1.5 27.5% 28.4% 61.2% 0.46× 3.53
Missouri State Lady Bears −14.5 27.2% 28.4% 13.3% 2.14× 3.53
Washington State Cougars −1.5 21.6% 23.5% 58.7% 0.40× 4.25
Missouri State Lady Bears −16.5 21.5% 23.5% 10.9% 2.16× 4.25
Washington State Cougars −2.5 19.1% 18.9% 56.7% 0.33× 5.29
Washington State Cougars −3.5 16.7% 18.9% 54.2% 0.35× 5.29
Missouri State Lady Bears −18.5 16.5% 18.9% 8.9% 2.12× 5.30
Washington State Cougars −4.5 14.6% 14.1% 52.2% 0.27× 7.09
Washington State Cougars −5.5 12.6% 14.1% 49.7% 0.28× 7.09
Missouri State Lady Bears −20.5 12.3% 14.1% 7.3% 1.94× 7.09
Washington State Cougars −6.5 10.8% 14.1% 47.6% 0.30× 7.09
Washington State Cougars −7.5 9.2% 8.9% 44.8% 0.20× 11.25
Washington State Cougars −8.5 7.8% 8.9% 42.0% 0.21× 11.25
Washington State Cougars −9.5 6.6% 8.9% 39.3% 0.23× 11.25
Washington State Cougars −10.5 5.5% 8.9% 36.8% 0.24× 11.25
Washington State Cougars −12.5 3.8% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.73
Washington State Cougars −14.5 2.5% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.73
Washington State Cougars −16.5 1.6% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Washington State Cougars −18.5 1.0% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Washington State Cougars −20.5 0.6% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.6% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears at HT / Missouri State Lady Bears at FT 56.8% 56.8% 30.1% 1.88× 1.76
Washington State Cougars at HT / Washington State Cougars at FT 15.8% 15.4% 48.3% 0.32× 6.47
Washington State Cougars at HT / Missouri State Lady Bears at FT 15.9% 15.4% 8.2% 1.89× 6.47
Missouri State Lady Bears at HT / Washington State Cougars at FT 7.4% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.09
Level at HT / Missouri State Lady Bears at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
Level at HT / Washington State Cougars at FT 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears to win 75.6% 75.1% 40.1% 1.87× 1.33
Washington State Cougars to win 24.4% 24.9% 59.9% 0.42× 4.01
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.5% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Washington State Cougars even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Missouri State Lady Bears even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Washington State Cougars odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Missouri State Lady Bears odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.5% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.7% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.3% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q1 58.2% 57.3% 40.4% 1.42× 1.75
Washington State Cougars to win Q1 35.9% 38.2% 54.7% 0.70× 2.62
Q1 tied 5.9% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 39.5 88.7% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 23.5 87.7% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 77.9% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 26.5 76.2% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 34.5 68.2% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 28.5 66.1% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 32.5 57.0% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 over 30.5 54.8% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 51.1% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 48.9% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 under 30.5 45.2% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 43.0% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 28.5 33.9% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 34.5 31.8% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 26.5 23.8% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 36.5 22.1% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 23.5 12.3% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q1 over 39.5 11.3% 12.6% 12.5% 1.01× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q2 57.9% 59.4% 41.5% 1.43× 1.68
Washington State Cougars to win Q2 36.3% 35.7% 52.9% 0.68× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.8% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 89.6% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 86.7% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 79.3% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 74.7% 72.0% 71.6% 1.01× 1.39
Q2 under 34.5 69.9% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.48
Q2 over 28.5 64.4% 60.7% 61.2% 0.99× 1.65
Q2 under 32.5 58.9% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 53.0% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 52.9% 52.7% 49.9% 1.06× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 47.1% 47.3% 50.1% 0.94× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 47.0% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 41.1% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 35.6% 39.3% 38.8% 1.01× 2.55
Q2 over 34.5 30.1% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 25.3% 28.0% 28.4% 0.99× 3.57
Q2 over 36.5 20.7% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 13.3% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 10.4% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q3 58.9% 56.8% 41.8% 1.36× 1.76
Washington State Cougars to win Q3 35.4% 38.7% 53.3% 0.73× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.7% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 42.5 88.7% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 86.3% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 78.2% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 74.5% 71.8% 71.8% 1.00× 1.39
Q3 under 37.5 68.9% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 64.5% 62.0% 61.6% 1.01× 1.61
Q3 under 35.5 58.1% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 53.3% 52.3% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 52.4% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 47.6% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 46.7% 47.7% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 41.9% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 35.5% 38.0% 38.4% 0.99× 2.63
Q3 over 37.5 31.1% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.11
Q3 under 29.5 25.5% 28.2% 28.2% 1.00× 3.55
Q3 over 39.5 21.8% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 13.7% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q3 over 42.5 11.3% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q4 58.8% 52.1% 41.5% 1.25× 1.92
Washington State Cougars to win Q4 35.6% 42.4% 52.8% 0.80× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 42.5 87.2% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 85.1% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 76.7% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 29.5 73.6% 71.5% 70.8% 1.01× 1.40
Q4 under 37.5 67.6% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 64.0% 61.4% 61.1% 1.01× 1.63
Q4 under 35.5 57.3% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 over 33.5 53.5% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 51.9% 52.5% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 48.1% 47.5% 45.6% 1.04× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 46.5% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 42.7% 41.6% 40.6% 1.02× 2.40
Q4 under 31.5 36.0% 38.6% 38.9% 0.99× 2.59
Q4 over 37.5 32.4% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 26.4% 28.5% 29.2% 0.98× 3.51
Q4 over 39.5 23.3% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 14.9% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Q4 over 42.5 12.8% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears under 79.5 86.9% 83.9% 89.7% 0.94× 1.19
Washington State Cougars over 51.5 85.4% 83.9% 89.3% 0.94× 1.19
Washington State Cougars under 71.5 85.8% 83.9% 63.0% 1.33× 1.19
Missouri State Lady Bears over 59.5 85.0% 80.7% 58.8% 1.37× 1.24
Missouri State Lady Bears under 76.5 78.7% 75.1% 85.8% 0.88× 1.33
Washington State Cougars over 54.5 76.5% 75.1% 83.8% 0.90× 1.33
Washington State Cougars under 68.5 77.6% 75.1% 54.4% 1.38× 1.33
Missouri State Lady Bears over 62.5 76.2% 75.1% 49.0% 1.53× 1.33
Missouri State Lady Bears under 74.5 71.9% 70.7% 82.3% 0.86× 1.41
Washington State Cougars under 66.5 70.9% 70.7% 48.2% 1.47× 1.41
Washington State Cougars over 56.5 69.4% 66.4% 79.5% 0.83× 1.51
Missouri State Lady Bears over 64.5 69.0% 66.4% 43.2% 1.54× 1.51
Missouri State Lady Bears under 72.5 64.2% 61.2% 78.2% 0.78× 1.63
Washington State Cougars under 64.5 63.3% 61.2% 41.6% 1.47× 1.63
Washington State Cougars over 58.5 61.6% 61.2% 74.7% 0.82× 1.63
Missouri State Lady Bears over 66.5 61.1% 61.2% 37.3% 1.64× 1.63
Missouri State Lady Bears under 70.5 55.9% 57.1% 73.7% 0.77× 1.75
Washington State Cougars under 62.5 55.2% 57.1% 35.7% 1.60× 1.75
Washington State Cougars over 60.5 53.3% 52.3% 69.5% 0.75× 1.91
Washington State Cougars under 61.5 51.0% 52.3% 33.1% 1.58× 1.91
Missouri State Lady Bears over 68.5 52.7% 52.3% 31.4% 1.66× 1.91
Missouri State Lady Bears under 69.5 51.6% 52.3% 71.2% 0.73× 1.91
Washington State Cougars under 60.5 46.7% 47.7% 30.5% 1.56× 2.09
Washington State Cougars over 61.5 49.0% 47.7% 66.9% 0.71× 2.09
Missouri State Lady Bears under 68.5 47.3% 47.7% 68.6% 0.70× 2.09
Missouri State Lady Bears over 69.5 48.4% 47.7% 28.8% 1.66× 2.09
Washington State Cougars over 62.5 44.8% 42.9% 64.3% 0.67× 2.33
Missouri State Lady Bears over 70.5 44.1% 42.9% 26.3% 1.63× 2.33
Washington State Cougars under 58.5 38.4% 38.8% 25.3% 1.54× 2.58
Missouri State Lady Bears under 66.5 38.9% 38.8% 62.7% 0.62× 2.58
Washington State Cougars over 64.5 36.7% 38.8% 58.4% 0.66× 2.58
Missouri State Lady Bears over 72.5 35.8% 38.8% 21.8% 1.78× 2.58
Washington State Cougars under 56.5 30.6% 33.6% 20.5% 1.64× 2.98
Missouri State Lady Bears under 64.5 31.0% 33.6% 56.9% 0.59× 2.98
Washington State Cougars over 66.5 29.1% 29.3% 51.8% 0.56× 3.42
Missouri State Lady Bears over 74.5 28.1% 29.3% 17.7% 1.65× 3.42
Washington State Cougars under 54.5 23.5% 24.9% 16.2% 1.54× 4.02
Washington State Cougars over 68.5 22.4% 24.9% 45.6% 0.55× 4.02
Missouri State Lady Bears under 62.5 23.8% 24.9% 51.0% 0.49× 4.02
Missouri State Lady Bears over 76.5 21.3% 24.9% 14.2% 1.75× 4.02
Missouri State Lady Bears under 59.5 15.0% 19.3% 41.2% 0.47× 5.18
Washington State Cougars under 51.5 14.6% 16.1% 10.7% 1.50× 6.21
Washington State Cougars over 71.5 14.2% 16.1% 37.0% 0.44× 6.21
Missouri State Lady Bears over 79.5 13.1% 16.1% 10.3% 1.56× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 110.5 points 91.4% 88.8% 86.4% 1.03× 1.13
Under 150.5 points 91.0% 88.8% 86.1% 1.03× 1.13
Over 115.5 points 84.4% 80.6% 78.8% 1.02× 1.24
Under 145.5 points 84.3% 80.6% 79.5% 1.01× 1.24
Over 120.5 points 74.8% 70.8% 69.8% 1.01× 1.41
Under 140.5 points 75.0% 70.8% 71.8% 0.99× 1.41
Over 123.5 points 67.8% 65.9% 63.3% 1.04× 1.52
Under 137.5 points 68.3% 65.9% 66.2% 1.00× 1.52
Under 135.5 points 63.4% 61.5% 62.4% 0.99× 1.63
Over 125.5 points 62.9% 61.5% 59.5% 1.03× 1.63
Under 133.5 points 58.3% 56.5% 58.0% 0.97× 1.77
Over 127.5 points 57.7% 56.5% 55.1% 1.03× 1.77
Over 129.5 points 52.4% 52.3% 50.5% 1.04× 1.91
Under 131.5 points 53.0% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
Under 130.5 points 50.2% 52.3% 51.7% 1.01× 1.91
Over 130.5 points 49.8% 47.7% 48.3% 0.99× 2.10
Under 129.5 points 47.6% 47.7% 49.5% 0.96× 2.10
Over 131.5 points 47.0% 47.7% 46.1% 1.03× 2.10
Under 127.5 points 42.3% 43.5% 44.9% 0.97× 2.30
Over 133.5 points 41.7% 43.5% 42.0% 1.04× 2.30
Under 125.5 points 37.1% 38.5% 40.5% 0.95× 2.60
Over 135.5 points 36.6% 38.5% 37.6% 1.02× 2.60
Under 123.5 points 32.2% 34.1% 36.7% 0.93× 2.93
Over 137.5 points 31.7% 34.1% 33.8% 1.01× 2.93
Under 120.5 points 25.2% 29.2% 30.2% 0.97× 3.43
Over 140.5 points 25.0% 29.2% 28.2% 1.03× 3.43
Under 115.5 points 15.6% 19.4% 21.2% 0.92× 5.15
Over 145.5 points 15.7% 19.4% 20.5% 0.95× 5.15
Over 150.5 points 9.0% 11.2% 13.9% 0.80× 8.96
Under 110.5 points 8.6% 11.2% 13.6% 0.82× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears to win both halves 39.2% 36.3% 20.4% 1.78× 2.75
Washington State Cougars to win both halves 7.5% 8.8% 36.0% 0.25× 11.32
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Missouri State Lady Bears by 6-10 18.3% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Missouri State Lady Bears by 1-5 16.8% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Missouri State Lady Bears by 11-15 16.3% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Washington State Cougars by 1-5 11.8% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Missouri State Lady Bears by 16-20 11.9% 12.3% 4.8% 2.60× 8.11
Washington State Cougars by 6-10 7.1% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Missouri State Lady Bears by 21-25 7.1% 7.5% 2.7% 2.79× 13.40
Missouri State Lady Bears by 26+ 5.3% 7.5% 4.6% 1.62× 13.40
Washington State Cougars by 11-15 3.5% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.30
Washington State Cougars by 16-20 1.4% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.32
Washington State Cougars by 21-25 0.5% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Washington State Cougars by 26+ 0.2% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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