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Washington Wizards v Brooklyn Nets — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 12 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Washington Wizards win
52.2%
Draw
0.0%
Brooklyn Nets win
47.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 114.96–114.20 115-114 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards to score 100+ 90.4% 90.3% 89.3% 1.01× 1.11
Brooklyn Nets to score 100+ 89.5% 85.0% 85.9% 0.99× 1.18
Both sides to score 100+ 81.7% 79.2% 77.5% 1.02× 1.26
Washington Wizards to score 110+ 67.8% 63.8% 67.0% 0.95× 1.57
Brooklyn Nets to score 110+ 65.5% 63.8% 60.9% 1.05× 1.57
Washington Wizards to score 120+ 35.1% 35.9% 36.5% 0.98× 2.78
Brooklyn Nets to score 120+ 32.5% 31.4% 29.7% 1.06× 3.19
Washington Wizards to score 130+ 11.0% 13.8% 12.8% 1.08× 7.25
Brooklyn Nets to score 130+ 9.6% 8.8% 10.0% 0.88× 11.34
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards to win H1 49.6% 47.3% 52.8% 0.90× 2.11
Brooklyn Nets to win H1 46.9% 47.3% 44.1% 1.07× 2.11
H1 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.25× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 128.5 83.2% 83.2% 86.7% 0.96× 1.20
H1 over 104.5 80.6% 83.2% 78.3% 1.06× 1.20
H1 over 103.5 82.5% 82.5% 80.7% 1.02× 1.21
H1 under 127.5 81.9% 82.5% 84.8% 0.97× 1.21
H1 under 124.5 74.5% 74.0% 78.4% 0.94× 1.35
H1 over 108.5 71.2% 73.9% 67.7% 1.09× 1.35
H1 over 107.5 73.5% 73.5% 70.4% 1.04× 1.36
H1 under 123.5 72.7% 73.5% 76.0% 0.97× 1.36
H1 under 121.5 66.7% 68.1% 71.2% 0.96× 1.47
H1 over 110.5 65.4% 67.4% 61.9% 1.09× 1.48
H1 over 111.5 62.9% 63.3% 59.0% 1.07× 1.58
H1 under 119.5 61.0% 63.3% 65.9% 0.96× 1.58
H1 under 120.5 64.5% 62.7% 68.4% 0.92× 1.59
H1 over 112.5 59.6% 58.2% 55.8% 1.04× 1.72
H1 under 118.5 58.7% 58.2% 62.9% 0.93× 1.72
H1 over 113.5 57.1% 58.1% 52.4% 1.11× 1.72
H1 under 117.5 55.0% 58.1% 59.6% 0.97× 1.72
H1 under 116.5 52.6% 52.6% 56.6% 0.93× 1.90
H1 over 114.5 53.5% 52.6% 49.6% 1.06× 1.90
H1 over 115.5 50.5% 52.6% 46.4% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 115.5 49.5% 47.4% 53.6% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 116.5 47.4% 47.4% 43.4% 1.09× 2.11
H1 under 114.5 46.5% 47.4% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
H1 over 117.5 45.0% 41.9% 40.4% 1.04× 2.39
H1 under 113.5 42.9% 41.9% 47.6% 0.88× 2.39
H1 over 118.5 41.3% 41.8% 37.1% 1.13× 2.39
H1 under 112.5 40.4% 41.8% 44.2% 0.95× 2.39
H1 over 120.5 35.5% 37.3% 31.6% 1.18× 2.68
H1 over 119.5 39.0% 36.7% 34.1% 1.08× 2.72
H1 under 111.5 37.1% 36.7% 41.0% 0.89× 2.72
H1 under 110.5 34.6% 32.6% 38.1% 0.86× 3.07
H1 over 121.5 33.3% 31.9% 28.8% 1.11× 3.13
H1 over 123.5 27.3% 26.5% 24.0% 1.10× 3.77
H1 under 107.5 26.5% 26.5% 29.6% 0.90× 3.77
H1 under 108.5 28.8% 26.1% 32.3% 0.81× 3.84
H1 over 124.5 25.5% 26.0% 21.7% 1.20× 3.84
H1 over 127.5 18.1% 17.5% 15.2% 1.15× 5.73
H1 under 103.5 17.5% 17.5% 19.3% 0.90× 5.73
H1 under 104.5 19.4% 16.8% 21.7% 0.77× 5.96
H1 over 128.5 16.8% 16.8% 13.3% 1.26× 5.96
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards to win H2 49.6% 47.1% 51.6% 0.91× 2.12
Brooklyn Nets to win H2 46.9% 47.1% 44.7% 1.05× 2.12
H2 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.06× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 101.5 82.4% 81.8% 80.3% 1.02× 1.22
H2 under 125.5 82.4% 81.8% 81.3% 1.01× 1.22
H2 over 105.5 73.3% 72.2% 71.3% 1.01× 1.39
H2 under 121.5 73.3% 72.2% 72.0% 1.00× 1.39
H2 over 108.5 65.1% 66.4% 63.8% 1.04× 1.51
H2 under 118.5 65.1% 66.4% 63.6% 1.04× 1.51
H2 over 110.5 59.2% 57.3% 58.1% 0.99× 1.74
H2 under 116.5 59.2% 57.3% 58.1% 0.99× 1.74
H2 over 112.5 53.1% 52.4% 52.6% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 114.5 53.1% 52.4% 52.5% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 113.5 50.0% 52.4% 50.1% 1.05× 1.91
H2 over 113.5 50.0% 47.6% 49.9% 0.95× 2.10
H2 under 112.5 46.9% 47.6% 47.4% 1.00× 2.10
H2 over 114.5 46.9% 47.6% 47.5% 1.00× 2.10
H2 under 110.5 40.8% 42.7% 41.9% 1.02× 2.35
H2 over 116.5 40.8% 42.7% 41.9% 1.02× 2.35
H2 under 108.5 34.9% 33.6% 36.2% 0.93× 2.97
H2 over 118.5 34.9% 33.6% 36.4% 0.92× 2.97
H2 under 105.5 26.7% 27.8% 28.7% 0.97× 3.59
H2 over 121.5 26.7% 27.8% 28.0% 0.99× 3.59
H2 under 101.5 17.6% 18.2% 19.7% 0.92× 5.50
H2 over 125.5 17.6% 18.2% 18.7% 0.97× 5.50
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards leading at half time 49.6% 47.3% 52.8% 0.90× 2.12
Brooklyn Nets leading at half time 46.9% 47.2% 44.1% 1.07× 2.12
Level at half time 3.5% 3.8% 3.1% 1.22× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards +20.5 92.7% 91.1% 93.1% 0.98× 1.10
Washington Wizards +18.5 90.5% 91.1% 91.5% 1.00× 1.10
Brooklyn Nets +20.5 91.1% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Brooklyn Nets +18.5 88.6% 85.9% 86.4% 0.99× 1.16
Washington Wizards +16.5 88.0% 85.9% 89.7% 0.96× 1.16
Brooklyn Nets +16.5 85.7% 85.9% 83.5% 1.03× 1.16
Washington Wizards +14.5 85.0% 81.1% 87.0% 0.93× 1.23
Brooklyn Nets +14.5 82.3% 81.1% 80.1% 1.01× 1.23
Washington Wizards +12.5 81.5% 81.1% 83.9% 0.97× 1.23
Washington Wizards +10.5 77.5% 76.5% 80.3% 0.95× 1.31
Brooklyn Nets +12.5 78.5% 76.5% 76.0% 1.01× 1.31
Washington Wizards +9.5 75.4% 76.5% 78.1% 0.98× 1.31
Brooklyn Nets +10.5 74.2% 71.6% 71.0% 1.01× 1.40
Washington Wizards +8.5 73.1% 71.6% 75.7% 0.95× 1.40
Brooklyn Nets +9.5 71.9% 71.6% 68.7% 1.04× 1.40
Washington Wizards +7.5 70.8% 71.6% 73.0% 0.98× 1.40
Brooklyn Nets +8.5 69.5% 66.7% 65.9% 1.01× 1.50
Washington Wizards +6.5 68.3% 66.7% 70.6% 0.95× 1.50
Brooklyn Nets +7.5 67.0% 66.7% 63.0% 1.06× 1.50
Washington Wizards +5.5 65.8% 66.7% 68.0% 0.98× 1.50
Brooklyn Nets +6.5 64.4% 61.9% 60.0% 1.03× 1.62
Washington Wizards +4.5 63.2% 61.9% 65.7% 0.94× 1.62
Brooklyn Nets +5.5 61.8% 61.9% 57.1% 1.08× 1.62
Washington Wizards +3.5 60.5% 61.9% 63.1% 0.98× 1.62
Brooklyn Nets +4.5 59.0% 57.1% 54.1% 1.06× 1.75
Washington Wizards +2.5 57.7% 57.1% 60.5% 0.94× 1.75
Brooklyn Nets +3.5 56.3% 57.1% 51.6% 1.11× 1.75
Washington Wizards +1.5 55.0% 52.4% 57.9% 0.91× 1.91
Brooklyn Nets +2.5 53.5% 52.4% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Brooklyn Nets +1.5 50.7% 52.4% 46.3% 1.13× 1.91
Washington Wizards −1.5 49.3% 47.6% 53.7% 0.89× 2.10
Washington Wizards −2.5 46.5% 47.6% 50.9% 0.93× 2.10
Brooklyn Nets −1.5 45.0% 47.6% 42.1% 1.13× 2.10
Washington Wizards −3.5 43.7% 42.9% 48.4% 0.89× 2.33
Brooklyn Nets −2.5 42.3% 42.9% 39.5% 1.09× 2.33
Washington Wizards −4.5 41.0% 42.9% 46.0% 0.93× 2.33
Brooklyn Nets −3.5 39.5% 38.1% 36.9% 1.03× 2.63
Washington Wizards −5.5 38.2% 38.1% 42.9% 0.89× 2.63
Brooklyn Nets −4.5 36.8% 38.1% 34.3% 1.11× 2.63
Washington Wizards −6.5 35.6% 38.1% 40.0% 0.95× 2.63
Brooklyn Nets −5.5 34.2% 33.3% 32.0% 1.04× 3.01
Washington Wizards −7.5 33.0% 33.3% 37.0% 0.90× 3.01
Brooklyn Nets −6.5 31.7% 33.3% 29.4% 1.13× 3.01
Washington Wizards −8.5 30.5% 33.3% 34.1% 0.98× 3.01
Brooklyn Nets −7.5 29.2% 28.4% 27.0% 1.05× 3.53
Washington Wizards −9.5 28.1% 28.4% 31.3% 0.91× 3.53
Brooklyn Nets −8.5 26.9% 28.4% 24.3% 1.17× 3.53
Washington Wizards −10.5 25.8% 28.4% 29.0% 0.98× 3.53
Brooklyn Nets −9.5 24.6% 23.5% 21.9% 1.08× 4.25
Brooklyn Nets −10.5 22.5% 23.5% 19.7% 1.19× 4.25
Washington Wizards −12.5 21.5% 23.5% 24.0% 0.98× 4.25
Brooklyn Nets −12.5 18.5% 18.9% 16.1% 1.17× 5.29
Washington Wizards −14.5 17.7% 18.9% 19.9% 0.95× 5.29
Brooklyn Nets −14.5 15.0% 18.9% 13.0% 1.45× 5.30
Washington Wizards −16.5 14.3% 14.1% 16.5% 0.86× 7.09
Brooklyn Nets −16.5 12.0% 14.1% 10.3% 1.37× 7.09
Washington Wizards −18.5 11.4% 14.1% 13.6% 1.04× 7.09
Brooklyn Nets −18.5 9.5% 8.9% 8.5% 1.04× 11.25
Washington Wizards −20.5 8.9% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
Brooklyn Nets −20.5 7.3% 8.9% 6.9% 1.29× 11.25
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1st half highest scoring 56.7% 52.6% 53.5% 0.98× 1.90
2nd half highest scoring 43.3% 47.4% 46.5% 1.02× 2.11
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 highest scoring 28.3% 27.4% 29.2% 0.94× 3.65
Q3 highest scoring 27.9% 27.4% 27.5% 1.00× 3.65
Q2 highest scoring 26.6% 27.4% 26.3% 1.04× 3.65
Q4 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 17.0% 1.08× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards at HT / Washington Wizards at FT 37.4% 37.7% 40.8% 0.93× 2.65
Brooklyn Nets at HT / Brooklyn Nets at FT 33.9% 33.2% 30.9% 1.08× 3.01
Brooklyn Nets at HT / Washington Wizards at FT 13.0% 12.2% 13.3% 0.92× 8.17
Washington Wizards at HT / Brooklyn Nets at FT 12.3% 12.2% 12.0% 1.02× 8.18
Level at HT / Washington Wizards at FT 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 1.22× 47.76
Level at HT / Brooklyn Nets at FT 1.7% 2.1% 1.4% 1.50× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards to win 52.2% 51.0% 55.7% 0.91× 1.96
Brooklyn Nets to win 47.8% 49.0% 44.3% 1.11× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.4% 50.5% 51.0% 0.99× 1.98
Washington Wizards even 50.0% 50.5% 49.7% 1.02× 1.98
Brooklyn Nets even 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Washington Wizards odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.3% 0.98× 2.02
Brooklyn Nets odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.6% 49.5% 49.0% 1.01× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 92.8% 94.0% 94.8% 0.99× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 7.2% 6.0% 5.2% 1.16× 16.65
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards to win Q1 48.6% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
Brooklyn Nets to win Q1 46.7% 47.6% 44.1% 1.08× 2.10
Q1 tied 4.8% 4.2% 4.6% 0.90× 23.94
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 66.5 84.2% 82.8% 86.1% 0.96× 1.21
Q1 over 50.5 81.1% 82.8% 79.4% 1.04× 1.21
Q1 under 63.5 74.2% 72.7% 76.8% 0.95× 1.38
Q1 over 53.5 70.1% 72.7% 68.2% 1.07× 1.38
Q1 under 61.5 66.1% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 55.5 61.5% 61.7% 59.2% 1.04× 1.62
Q1 under 59.5 57.1% 58.6% 60.0% 0.98× 1.71
Q1 under 58.5 52.5% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q1 over 57.5 52.2% 52.7% 49.6% 1.06× 1.90
Q1 under 57.5 47.8% 47.3% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q1 over 58.5 47.5% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q1 over 59.5 42.9% 41.4% 40.0% 1.03× 2.42
Q1 under 55.5 38.5% 38.3% 40.8% 0.94× 2.61
Q1 over 61.5 33.9% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 53.5 29.9% 27.3% 31.8% 0.86× 3.66
Q1 over 63.5 25.8% 27.3% 23.2% 1.17× 3.66
Q1 under 50.5 18.9% 17.2% 20.6% 0.84× 5.83
Q1 over 66.5 15.8% 17.2% 13.9% 1.23× 5.83
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards to win Q2 48.6% 47.0% 49.3% 0.95× 2.13
Brooklyn Nets to win Q2 46.7% 47.0% 46.2% 1.02× 2.13
Q2 tied 4.7% 4.4% 4.5% 0.98× 22.88
Q2 total 32
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 66.5 84.5% 83.1% 86.5% 0.96× 1.20
Q2 over 50.5 80.1% 83.1% 78.1% 1.06× 1.20
Q2 over 49.5 83.1% 83.0% 81.8% 1.02× 1.21
Q2 under 65.5 82.0% 83.0% 83.6% 0.99× 1.21
Q2 under 63.5 74.7% 73.0% 77.5% 0.94× 1.37
Q2 over 52.5 72.8% 72.0% 70.3% 1.02× 1.39
Q2 under 62.5 71.4% 72.0% 74.4% 0.97× 1.39
Q2 over 53.5 69.0% 67.7% 65.8% 1.03× 1.48
Q2 under 61.5 66.8% 67.7% 70.4% 0.96× 1.48
Q2 over 55.5 60.4% 62.0% 56.3% 1.10× 1.61
Q2 over 54.5 64.5% 60.7% 61.1% 0.99× 1.65
Q2 under 60.5 62.9% 60.7% 65.7% 0.92× 1.65
Q2 over 56.5 55.5% 58.2% 51.7% 1.12× 1.72
Q2 under 59.5 58.0% 57.8% 61.9% 0.93× 1.73
Q2 under 58.5 53.8% 52.7% 57.3% 0.92× 1.90
Q2 over 57.5 50.8% 52.7% 47.3% 1.11× 1.90
Q2 under 57.5 49.2% 47.3% 52.7% 0.90× 2.11
Q2 over 58.5 46.2% 47.3% 42.7% 1.11× 2.11
Q2 over 59.5 42.0% 42.2% 38.1% 1.11× 2.37
Q2 under 56.5 44.5% 41.8% 48.3% 0.87× 2.39
Q2 over 60.5 37.1% 39.3% 34.3% 1.15× 2.55
Q2 under 54.5 35.5% 39.3% 38.9% 1.01× 2.55
Q2 under 55.5 39.6% 38.0% 43.7% 0.87× 2.63
Q2 over 61.5 33.2% 32.3% 29.6% 1.09× 3.09
Q2 under 53.5 31.0% 32.3% 34.2% 0.95× 3.10
Q2 over 62.5 28.6% 28.0% 25.6% 1.09× 3.57
Q2 under 52.5 27.2% 28.0% 29.7% 0.94× 3.57
Q2 over 63.5 25.3% 27.0% 22.5% 1.20× 3.71
Q2 over 65.5 18.0% 17.0% 16.4% 1.04× 5.88
Q2 under 49.5 16.9% 17.0% 18.2% 0.93× 5.88
Q2 under 50.5 19.9% 16.9% 21.9% 0.77× 5.93
Q2 over 66.5 15.5% 16.9% 13.5% 1.25× 5.93
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards to win Q3 48.6% 47.6% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Brooklyn Nets to win Q3 46.7% 47.5% 44.3% 1.07× 2.10
Q3 tied 4.7% 4.3% 4.9% 0.88× 23.43
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 66.5 84.0% 82.3% 84.7% 0.97× 1.22
Q3 over 50.5 81.8% 82.3% 79.7% 1.03× 1.22
Q3 under 63.5 73.8% 71.8% 75.9% 0.95× 1.39
Q3 over 53.5 70.9% 71.8% 68.3% 1.05× 1.39
Q3 under 61.5 65.5% 67.8% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q3 over 55.5 62.3% 61.9% 59.9% 1.03× 1.61
Q3 under 59.5 56.4% 58.4% 59.0% 0.99× 1.71
Q3 over 57.5 53.0% 52.3% 50.2% 1.04× 1.91
Q3 under 58.5 51.7% 52.3% 54.8% 0.95× 1.91
Q3 over 58.5 48.3% 47.7% 45.2% 1.06× 2.10
Q3 under 57.5 47.0% 47.7% 49.8% 0.96× 2.10
Q3 over 59.5 43.6% 41.6% 41.0% 1.02× 2.40
Q3 under 55.5 37.7% 38.1% 40.1% 0.95× 2.63
Q3 over 61.5 34.5% 32.2% 32.3% 1.00× 3.10
Q3 under 53.5 29.1% 28.2% 31.7% 0.89× 3.55
Q3 over 63.5 26.2% 28.2% 24.1% 1.17× 3.55
Q3 under 50.5 18.2% 17.7% 20.3% 0.87× 5.66
Q3 over 66.5 16.0% 17.7% 15.3% 1.16× 5.66
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards to win Q4 48.5% 47.6% 48.3% 0.99× 2.10
Brooklyn Nets to win Q4 46.6% 47.6% 46.4% 1.03× 2.10
Q4 tied 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 0.98× 19.28
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 63.5 82.6% 82.0% 83.7% 0.98× 1.22
Q4 over 47.5 81.8% 82.0% 79.0% 1.04× 1.22
Q4 under 60.5 72.3% 71.5% 74.2% 0.96× 1.40
Q4 over 50.5 71.2% 71.5% 68.5% 1.04× 1.40
Q4 under 58.5 64.1% 61.4% 66.2% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 over 52.5 62.9% 61.4% 60.4% 1.02× 1.63
Q4 under 56.5 55.2% 58.4% 57.2% 1.02× 1.71
Q4 over 54.5 54.0% 52.5% 51.4% 1.02× 1.91
Q4 under 55.5 50.6% 52.5% 52.9% 0.99× 1.91
Q4 over 55.5 49.4% 47.5% 47.1% 1.01× 2.11
Q4 under 54.5 46.0% 47.5% 48.6% 0.98× 2.11
Q4 over 56.5 44.8% 41.6% 42.8% 0.97× 2.40
Q4 under 52.5 37.1% 38.6% 39.6% 0.97× 2.59
Q4 over 58.5 35.9% 38.6% 33.8% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 under 50.5 28.8% 28.5% 31.5% 0.91× 3.51
Q4 over 60.5 27.7% 28.5% 25.8% 1.11× 3.51
Q4 under 47.5 18.2% 18.0% 21.0% 0.86× 5.56
Q4 over 63.5 17.4% 18.0% 16.3% 1.11× 5.56
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards under 125.5 81.3% 80.7% 79.1% 1.02× 1.24
Brooklyn Nets under 124.5 81.0% 80.7% 81.4% 0.99× 1.24
Brooklyn Nets over 104.5 79.5% 75.1% 75.0% 1.00× 1.33
Washington Wizards over 105.5 78.8% 75.1% 77.4% 0.97× 1.33
Washington Wizards under 122.5 73.7% 70.7% 71.8% 0.98× 1.41
Brooklyn Nets under 121.5 73.3% 70.7% 74.7% 0.95× 1.41
Brooklyn Nets over 107.5 71.5% 70.7% 66.6% 1.06× 1.41
Washington Wizards over 108.5 70.7% 70.7% 69.9% 1.01× 1.41
Washington Wizards under 120.5 68.0% 66.4% 66.3% 1.00× 1.51
Brooklyn Nets under 119.5 67.5% 66.4% 70.3% 0.94× 1.51
Brooklyn Nets over 109.5 65.5% 66.4% 60.9% 1.09× 1.51
Washington Wizards over 110.5 64.7% 61.2% 64.1% 0.95× 1.63
Washington Wizards under 118.5 61.7% 61.2% 60.3% 1.02× 1.63
Brooklyn Nets under 117.5 61.1% 61.2% 64.4% 0.95× 1.63
Brooklyn Nets over 111.5 59.0% 57.1% 54.6% 1.05× 1.75
Washington Wizards over 112.5 58.3% 57.1% 57.7% 0.99× 1.75
Washington Wizards under 116.5 55.1% 57.1% 54.7% 1.04× 1.75
Brooklyn Nets under 115.5 54.5% 52.3% 58.6% 0.89× 1.91
Washington Wizards over 114.5 51.6% 52.3% 51.4% 1.02× 1.91
Washington Wizards under 115.5 51.8% 52.3% 51.6% 1.01× 1.91
Brooklyn Nets over 113.5 52.3% 52.3% 48.0% 1.09× 1.91
Brooklyn Nets under 114.5 51.1% 52.3% 55.5% 0.94× 1.91
Washington Wizards under 114.5 48.4% 47.7% 48.6% 0.98× 2.09
Washington Wizards over 115.5 48.2% 47.7% 48.4% 0.99× 2.09
Brooklyn Nets under 113.5 47.7% 47.7% 52.0% 0.92× 2.09
Brooklyn Nets over 114.5 48.9% 47.7% 44.5% 1.07× 2.09
Brooklyn Nets over 115.5 45.5% 47.7% 41.4% 1.15× 2.09
Washington Wizards over 116.5 44.9% 42.9% 45.3% 0.95× 2.33
Washington Wizards under 112.5 41.7% 42.9% 42.3% 1.01× 2.33
Brooklyn Nets under 111.5 41.0% 42.9% 45.4% 0.94× 2.33
Washington Wizards over 118.5 38.3% 38.8% 39.7% 0.98× 2.58
Brooklyn Nets over 117.5 38.9% 38.8% 35.6% 1.09× 2.58
Washington Wizards under 110.5 35.3% 38.8% 35.9% 1.08× 2.58
Brooklyn Nets under 109.5 34.5% 33.6% 39.1% 0.86× 2.98
Washington Wizards over 120.5 32.0% 33.6% 33.7% 1.00× 2.98
Brooklyn Nets over 119.5 32.5% 33.6% 29.7% 1.13× 2.98
Washington Wizards under 108.5 29.3% 29.3% 30.1% 0.97× 3.42
Brooklyn Nets under 107.5 28.5% 29.3% 33.4% 0.88× 3.42
Washington Wizards over 122.5 26.3% 29.3% 28.2% 1.04× 3.42
Brooklyn Nets over 121.5 26.7% 29.3% 25.3% 1.16× 3.42
Washington Wizards under 105.5 21.2% 24.9% 22.6% 1.10× 4.02
Brooklyn Nets under 104.5 20.5% 24.9% 25.0% 1.00× 4.02
Brooklyn Nets over 124.5 19.0% 19.3% 18.6% 1.04× 5.18
Washington Wizards over 125.5 18.7% 19.3% 20.9% 0.92× 5.18
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 249.5 points 86.6% 85.0% 85.3% 1.00× 1.18
Over 209.5 points 85.7% 85.0% 82.9% 1.03× 1.18
Under 244.5 points 79.8% 75.6% 79.5% 0.95× 1.32
Over 214.5 points 78.7% 75.6% 75.1% 1.01× 1.32
Under 239.5 points 71.3% 70.8% 72.5% 0.98× 1.41
Over 219.5 points 70.0% 65.9% 66.1% 1.00× 1.52
Under 236.5 points 65.5% 65.9% 67.3% 0.98× 1.52
Over 222.5 points 64.1% 61.5% 60.4% 1.02× 1.63
Under 234.5 points 61.4% 61.5% 63.3% 0.97× 1.63
Over 224.5 points 60.0% 61.5% 56.5% 1.09× 1.63
Under 232.5 points 57.2% 56.5% 59.4% 0.95× 1.77
Over 226.5 points 55.8% 56.5% 52.7% 1.07× 1.77
Under 230.5 points 52.9% 52.3% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Over 228.5 points 51.4% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
Under 229.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 53.3% 0.98× 1.91
Under 228.5 points 48.6% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
Over 229.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 46.7% 1.02× 2.10
Over 230.5 points 47.1% 47.7% 44.6% 1.07× 2.10
Under 226.5 points 44.2% 43.5% 47.3% 0.92× 2.30
Over 232.5 points 42.8% 43.5% 40.6% 1.07× 2.30
Under 224.5 points 40.0% 38.5% 43.5% 0.89× 2.60
Over 234.5 points 38.6% 38.5% 36.7% 1.05× 2.60
Under 222.5 points 35.9% 38.5% 39.6% 0.97× 2.60
Over 236.5 points 34.5% 34.1% 32.7% 1.04× 2.93
Under 219.5 points 30.0% 34.1% 33.9% 1.01× 2.93
Over 239.5 points 28.7% 29.2% 27.5% 1.06× 3.43
Under 214.5 points 21.3% 24.4% 24.9% 0.98× 4.10
Over 244.5 points 20.2% 24.4% 20.5% 1.19× 4.10
Under 209.5 points 14.3% 15.0% 17.1% 0.87× 6.68
Over 249.5 points 13.4% 15.0% 14.7% 1.02× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards to win both halves 22.5% 23.1% 25.2% 0.92× 4.34
Brooklyn Nets to win both halves 19.8% 18.9% 17.8% 1.06× 5.29
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Washington Wizards by 1-5 13.9% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.11
Brooklyn Nets by 1-5 13.6% 12.3% 12.3% 1.01× 8.11
Washington Wizards by 6-10 12.4% 12.3% 13.9% 0.88× 8.11
Brooklyn Nets by 6-10 11.7% 12.3% 12.3% 1.00× 8.11
Washington Wizards by 11-15 9.9% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Brooklyn Nets by 11-15 9.0% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Washington Wizards by 16-20 7.0% 7.5% 7.3% 1.02× 13.40
Brooklyn Nets by 16-20 6.1% 7.5% 4.9% 1.53× 13.40
Brooklyn Nets by 21-25 3.7% 2.0% 3.0% 0.67× 49.30
Washington Wizards by 26+ 4.5% 2.0% 6.2% 0.33× 49.29
Brooklyn Nets by 26+ 3.6% 2.0% 3.9% 0.53× 49.30
Washington Wizards by 21-25 4.4% 2.0% 4.7% 0.43× 49.29
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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