Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Washington Wizards

23:00 UTC

Toronto Raptors

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Washington Wizards win

18.2%

Draw

0.0%

Toronto Raptors win

81.8%

18082

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	18082	110.51–123.36	110-123 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors to score 100+	98.0%	94.9%	85.9%	1.11×	1.05
Toronto Raptors to score 110+	88.5%	85.0%	60.9%	1.40×	1.18
Washington Wizards to score 100+	82.2%	79.3%	89.3%	0.89×	1.26
Both sides to score 100+	80.9%	79.2%	77.5%	1.02×	1.26
Toronto Raptors to score 120+	63.4%	61.9%	29.7%	2.09×	1.62
Washington Wizards to score 110+	52.9%	52.4%	67.0%	0.78×	1.91
Toronto Raptors to score 130+	30.3%	31.3%	10.0%	3.14×	3.20
Washington Wizards to score 120+	21.9%	22.0%	36.5%	0.60×	4.55
Washington Wizards to score 130+	5.3%	8.8%	12.8%	0.68×	11.40

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors to win H1	70.6%	72.9%	44.1%	1.65×	1.37
Washington Wizards to win H1	26.4%	26.5%	52.8%	0.50×	3.77
H1 tied	3.0%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.87

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 129.5	82.7%	83.2%	88.1%	0.94×	1.20
H1 over 105.5	81.1%	83.2%	75.8%	1.10×	1.20
H1 under 130.5	83.1%	82.5%	89.6%	0.92×	1.21
H1 over 106.5	81.2%	82.5%	73.3%	1.13×	1.21
H1 under 125.5	73.9%	74.0%	80.7%	0.92×	1.35
H1 over 109.5	71.8%	74.0%	65.0%	1.14×	1.35
H1 under 126.5	74.3%	73.5%	82.8%	0.89×	1.36
H1 over 110.5	71.9%	73.5%	61.9%	1.19×	1.36
H1 under 122.5	66.0%	68.1%	74.0%	0.92×	1.47
H1 under 123.5	66.3%	67.4%	76.0%	0.89×	1.48
H1 over 112.5	63.7%	63.3%	55.8%	1.13×	1.58
H1 under 120.5	60.2%	63.3%	68.4%	0.92×	1.58
H1 over 113.5	63.6%	62.7%	52.4%	1.20×	1.59
H1 under 121.5	60.5%	62.7%	71.2%	0.88×	1.59
H1 over 115.5	57.7%	58.2%	46.4%	1.26×	1.72
H1 over 114.5	57.8%	58.1%	49.6%	1.17×	1.72
H1 under 119.5	54.5%	52.6%	65.9%	0.80×	1.90
H1 over 117.5	51.6%	52.6%	40.4%	1.30×	1.90
H1 under 118.5	51.4%	52.6%	62.9%	0.84×	1.90
H1 over 116.5	51.8%	52.5%	43.4%	1.21×	1.90
H1 under 116.5	48.2%	47.5%	56.6%	0.84×	2.11
H1 under 117.5	48.4%	47.4%	59.6%	0.79×	2.11
H1 over 118.5	48.6%	47.4%	37.1%	1.28×	2.11
H1 over 119.5	45.5%	47.4%	34.1%	1.39×	2.11
H1 under 114.5	42.2%	41.9%	50.4%	0.83×	2.39
H1 under 115.5	42.3%	41.8%	53.6%	0.78×	2.39
H1 over 121.5	39.5%	37.3%	28.8%	1.29×	2.68
H1 under 113.5	36.4%	37.3%	47.6%	0.78×	2.68
H1 over 120.5	39.8%	36.7%	31.6%	1.16×	2.72
H1 under 112.5	36.3%	36.7%	44.2%	0.83×	2.72
H1 over 123.5	33.7%	32.6%	24.0%	1.36×	3.07
H1 over 122.5	34.1%	31.9%	26.0%	1.23×	3.13
H1 under 110.5	28.1%	26.5%	38.1%	0.70×	3.77
H1 over 126.5	25.7%	26.5%	17.2%	1.54×	3.77
H1 under 109.5	28.2%	26.1%	35.0%	0.74×	3.84
H1 over 125.5	26.1%	26.0%	19.3%	1.35×	3.84
H1 under 106.5	18.8%	17.5%	26.7%	0.65×	5.72
H1 over 130.5	16.9%	17.5%	10.4%	1.68×	5.73
H1 under 105.5	18.9%	16.8%	24.2%	0.69×	5.96
H1 over 129.5	17.3%	16.8%	11.9%	1.41×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors to win H2	70.4%	67.6%	44.7%	1.51×	1.48
Washington Wizards to win H2	26.6%	31.3%	51.6%	0.61×	3.20
H2 tied	3.0%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 128.5	83.7%	81.8%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
H2 over 104.5	81.1%	81.8%	73.9%	1.11×	1.22
H2 under 127.5	83.3%	81.5%	84.9%	0.96×	1.23
H2 over 103.5	81.0%	81.5%	76.2%	1.07×	1.23
H2 under 123.5	74.5%	72.5%	76.9%	0.94×	1.38
H2 over 107.5	71.6%	72.5%	66.2%	1.09×	1.38
H2 under 124.5	75.0%	72.2%	79.1%	0.91×	1.39
H2 over 108.5	71.5%	72.2%	63.8%	1.13×	1.39
H2 under 121.5	67.0%	66.4%	72.0%	0.92×	1.51
H2 under 120.5	66.6%	64.4%	69.3%	0.93×	1.55
H2 over 110.5	63.3%	62.6%	58.1%	1.08×	1.60
H2 under 118.5	60.8%	62.6%	63.6%	0.98×	1.60
H2 over 111.5	63.2%	61.6%	55.3%	1.11×	1.62
H2 under 119.5	61.2%	61.6%	66.4%	0.93×	1.62
H2 over 112.5	57.4%	58.0%	52.6%	1.10×	1.72
H2 over 113.5	57.2%	57.3%	49.9%	1.15×	1.74
H2 under 117.5	55.2%	57.3%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
H2 under 116.5	52.1%	52.4%	58.1%	0.90×	1.91
H2 over 115.5	51.0%	52.4%	44.6%	1.17×	1.91
H2 over 114.5	51.3%	52.0%	47.5%	1.10×	1.92
H2 under 114.5	48.7%	48.0%	52.5%	0.91×	2.09
H2 under 115.5	49.0%	47.6%	55.4%	0.86×	2.10
H2 over 116.5	47.9%	47.6%	41.9%	1.14×	2.10
H2 over 117.5	44.8%	42.7%	38.9%	1.10×	2.34
H2 under 113.5	42.8%	42.7%	50.1%	0.85×	2.34
H2 under 112.5	42.6%	42.0%	47.4%	0.89×	2.38
H2 over 119.5	38.8%	38.4%	33.6%	1.14×	2.61
H2 under 111.5	36.8%	38.4%	44.7%	0.86×	2.61
H2 over 118.5	39.2%	37.4%	36.4%	1.03×	2.67
H2 under 110.5	36.7%	37.4%	41.9%	0.89×	2.67
H2 over 120.5	33.4%	35.6%	30.7%	1.16×	2.81
H2 over 121.5	33.0%	33.6%	28.0%	1.20×	2.97
H2 under 108.5	28.5%	27.8%	36.2%	0.77×	3.59
H2 over 124.5	25.1%	27.8%	20.9%	1.33×	3.59
H2 under 107.5	28.4%	27.5%	33.8%	0.82×	3.63
H2 over 123.5	25.5%	27.5%	23.1%	1.19×	3.64
H2 under 103.5	19.0%	18.5%	23.8%	0.78×	5.41
H2 over 127.5	16.7%	18.5%	15.1%	1.22×	5.41
H2 under 104.5	18.9%	18.2%	26.1%	0.70×	5.50
H2 over 128.5	16.3%	18.2%	13.7%	1.32×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors leading at half time	70.6%	73.4%	44.1%	1.66×	1.36
Washington Wizards leading at half time	26.4%	26.5%	52.8%	0.50×	3.78
Level at half time	3.0%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors +12.5	95.9%	97.4%	76.0%	1.28×	1.03
Toronto Raptors +14.5	97.0%	97.4%	80.1%	1.22×	1.03
Toronto Raptors +16.5	97.8%	97.4%	83.5%	1.17×	1.03
Toronto Raptors +18.5	98.4%	97.4%	86.4%	1.13×	1.03
Toronto Raptors +20.5	98.9%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Toronto Raptors +10.5	94.5%	91.1%	71.0%	1.28×	1.10
Toronto Raptors +8.5	92.8%	91.1%	65.9%	1.38×	1.10
Toronto Raptors +9.5	93.7%	91.1%	68.7%	1.33×	1.10
Toronto Raptors +6.5	90.7%	91.1%	60.0%	1.52×	1.10
Toronto Raptors +7.5	91.8%	91.1%	63.0%	1.45×	1.10
Toronto Raptors +5.5	89.5%	85.9%	57.1%	1.50×	1.16
Toronto Raptors +3.5	86.8%	85.9%	51.6%	1.66×	1.16
Toronto Raptors +4.5	88.2%	85.9%	54.1%	1.59×	1.16
Toronto Raptors +2.5	85.2%	85.9%	49.1%	1.75×	1.16
Toronto Raptors +1.5	83.6%	81.1%	46.3%	1.75×	1.23
Toronto Raptors −1.5	79.8%	76.5%	42.1%	1.81×	1.31
Toronto Raptors −2.5	77.7%	76.5%	39.5%	1.93×	1.31
Toronto Raptors −3.5	75.5%	76.5%	36.9%	2.07×	1.31
Toronto Raptors −4.5	73.1%	71.6%	34.3%	2.09×	1.40
Toronto Raptors −5.5	70.7%	71.6%	32.0%	2.24×	1.40
Washington Wizards +20.5	69.5%	66.7%	93.1%	0.72×	1.50
Toronto Raptors −6.5	68.2%	66.7%	29.4%	2.27×	1.50
Toronto Raptors −7.5	65.6%	66.7%	27.0%	2.47×	1.50
Washington Wizards +18.5	64.5%	61.9%	91.5%	0.68×	1.62
Toronto Raptors −8.5	63.0%	61.9%	24.3%	2.55×	1.62
Toronto Raptors −9.5	60.3%	61.9%	21.9%	2.83×	1.62
Washington Wizards +16.5	59.2%	57.1%	89.7%	0.64×	1.75
Toronto Raptors −10.5	57.5%	57.1%	19.7%	2.89×	1.75
Washington Wizards +14.5	53.7%	52.4%	87.0%	0.60×	1.91
Toronto Raptors −12.5	51.9%	52.4%	16.1%	3.25×	1.91
Washington Wizards +12.5	48.1%	47.6%	83.9%	0.57×	2.10
Toronto Raptors −14.5	46.3%	47.6%	13.0%	3.66×	2.10
Washington Wizards +10.5	42.5%	42.9%	80.3%	0.54×	2.33
Toronto Raptors −16.5	40.8%	42.9%	10.3%	4.16×	2.33
Washington Wizards +9.5	39.7%	38.1%	78.1%	0.49×	2.63
Washington Wizards +8.5	37.0%	38.1%	75.7%	0.50×	2.63
Toronto Raptors −18.5	35.5%	38.1%	8.5%	4.47×	2.63
Washington Wizards +7.5	34.4%	33.3%	73.0%	0.46×	3.01
Washington Wizards +6.5	31.8%	33.3%	70.6%	0.47×	3.01
Toronto Raptors −20.5	30.5%	33.3%	6.9%	4.83×	3.01
Washington Wizards +5.5	29.3%	28.4%	68.0%	0.42×	3.53
Washington Wizards +4.5	26.9%	28.4%	65.7%	0.43×	3.53
Washington Wizards +3.5	24.5%	23.5%	63.1%	0.37×	4.25
Washington Wizards +2.5	22.3%	23.5%	60.5%	0.39×	4.25
Washington Wizards +1.5	20.2%	23.5%	57.9%	0.41×	4.25
Washington Wizards −1.5	16.4%	18.9%	53.7%	0.35×	5.30
Washington Wizards −2.5	14.8%	14.1%	50.9%	0.28×	7.09
Washington Wizards −3.5	13.2%	14.1%	48.4%	0.29×	7.09
Washington Wizards −4.5	11.8%	14.1%	46.0%	0.31×	7.09
Washington Wizards −5.5	10.5%	14.1%	42.9%	0.33×	7.09
Washington Wizards −6.5	9.3%	8.9%	40.0%	0.22×	11.25
Washington Wizards −7.5	8.2%	8.9%	37.0%	0.24×	11.25
Washington Wizards −8.5	7.2%	8.9%	34.1%	0.26×	11.25
Washington Wizards −9.5	6.3%	8.9%	31.3%	0.28×	11.25
Washington Wizards −10.5	5.5%	8.9%	29.0%	0.31×	11.25
Washington Wizards −12.5	4.1%	2.6%	24.0%	0.11×	38.72
Washington Wizards −14.5	3.0%	2.6%	19.9%	0.13×	38.73
Washington Wizards −16.5	2.2%	2.6%	16.5%	0.16×	38.73
Washington Wizards −18.5	1.6%	2.6%	13.6%	0.19×	38.73
Washington Wizards −20.5	1.1%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.8%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.2%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.3%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.0%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.1%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT	65.0%	68.2%	30.9%	2.21×	1.47
Washington Wizards at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT	14.5%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.17
Washington Wizards at HT / Washington Wizards at FT	11.9%	12.2%	40.8%	0.30×	8.18
Toronto Raptors at HT / Washington Wizards at FT	5.6%	8.3%	13.3%	0.62×	12.10
Level at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT	2.2%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.75
Level at HT / Washington Wizards at FT	0.7%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors to win	81.8%	80.9%	44.3%	1.83×	1.24
Washington Wizards to win	18.2%	19.1%	55.7%	0.34×	5.23

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Wizards even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Toronto Raptors odd	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Total points odd	50.9%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Washington Wizards odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Toronto Raptors even	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Total points even	49.1%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.4%	97.0%	94.8%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.6%	3.0%	5.2%	0.58×	33.34

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors to win Q1	63.3%	64.9%	44.1%	1.47×	1.54
Washington Wizards to win Q1	32.3%	30.4%	51.3%	0.59×	3.29
Q1 tied	4.4%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.95

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 50.5	83.1%	83.2%	79.4%	1.05×	1.20
Q1 under 66.5	81.9%	83.2%	86.1%	0.97×	1.20
Q1 under 67.5	83.7%	82.8%	88.8%	0.93×	1.21
Q1 over 51.5	81.7%	82.8%	76.0%	1.09×	1.21
Q1 over 53.5	72.8%	73.1%	68.2%	1.07×	1.37
Q1 under 63.5	71.3%	73.1%	76.8%	0.95×	1.37
Q1 under 64.5	73.5%	72.7%	80.1%	0.91×	1.38
Q1 over 54.5	70.9%	72.7%	63.3%	1.15×	1.38
Q1 under 62.5	65.3%	67.6%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Q1 over 55.5	64.6%	62.3%	59.2%	1.05×	1.61
Q1 under 61.5	62.8%	62.3%	68.5%	0.91×	1.61
Q1 over 56.5	62.3%	61.7%	54.6%	1.13×	1.62
Q1 over 57.5	55.6%	59.2%	49.6%	1.19×	1.69
Q1 under 60.5	56.2%	58.6%	64.5%	0.91×	1.71
Q1 over 58.5	53.1%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q1 under 59.5	51.6%	52.7%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
Q1 over 59.5	48.4%	47.3%	40.0%	1.18×	2.11
Q1 under 58.5	46.9%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q1 over 60.5	43.8%	41.4%	35.5%	1.17×	2.42
Q1 under 57.5	44.4%	40.8%	50.4%	0.81×	2.45
Q1 under 56.5	37.7%	38.3%	45.4%	0.84×	2.61
Q1 over 61.5	37.2%	37.7%	31.5%	1.20×	2.65
Q1 under 55.5	35.4%	37.7%	40.8%	0.92×	2.65
Q1 over 62.5	34.7%	32.4%	27.1%	1.20×	3.08
Q1 under 54.5	29.1%	27.3%	36.7%	0.74×	3.66
Q1 over 64.5	26.5%	27.3%	19.9%	1.37×	3.66
Q1 over 63.5	28.7%	26.9%	23.2%	1.16×	3.72
Q1 under 53.5	27.2%	26.9%	31.8%	0.85×	3.72
Q1 under 51.5	18.3%	17.2%	24.0%	0.71×	5.83
Q1 over 67.5	16.3%	17.2%	11.2%	1.53×	5.83
Q1 over 66.5	18.1%	16.8%	13.9%	1.21×	5.95
Q1 under 50.5	16.9%	16.8%	20.6%	0.82×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors to win Q2	63.1%	61.9%	46.2%	1.34×	1.62
Washington Wizards to win Q2	32.5%	31.8%	49.3%	0.65×	3.14
Q2 tied	4.4%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.89

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 66.5	82.7%	83.1%	86.5%	0.96×	1.20
Q2 over 50.5	82.1%	83.1%	78.1%	1.06×	1.20
Q2 under 67.5	84.4%	83.0%	88.7%	0.94×	1.21
Q2 over 51.5	80.6%	83.0%	74.2%	1.12×	1.21
Q2 under 63.5	72.4%	73.0%	77.5%	0.94×	1.37
Q2 over 53.5	71.6%	73.0%	65.8%	1.11×	1.37
Q2 under 64.5	74.5%	72.0%	80.9%	0.89×	1.39
Q2 over 54.5	69.5%	67.4%	61.1%	1.10×	1.48
Q2 under 62.5	66.5%	67.4%	74.4%	0.91×	1.49
Q2 under 61.5	64.1%	62.0%	70.4%	0.88×	1.61
Q2 over 55.5	63.2%	62.0%	56.3%	1.10×	1.61
Q2 over 56.5	60.9%	60.7%	51.7%	1.17×	1.65
Q2 under 60.5	57.6%	58.2%	65.7%	0.88×	1.72
Q2 under 59.5	53.0%	52.7%	61.9%	0.85×	1.90
Q2 over 58.5	51.7%	52.7%	42.7%	1.23×	1.90
Q2 over 57.5	54.2%	52.2%	47.3%	1.10×	1.92
Q2 under 57.5	45.8%	47.8%	52.7%	0.91×	2.09
Q2 under 58.5	48.3%	47.3%	57.3%	0.83×	2.11
Q2 over 59.5	47.0%	47.3%	38.1%	1.24×	2.11
Q2 over 60.5	42.4%	41.8%	34.3%	1.22×	2.39
Q2 under 56.5	39.1%	39.3%	48.3%	0.81×	2.55
Q2 under 55.5	36.8%	38.0%	43.7%	0.87×	2.63
Q2 over 61.5	35.9%	38.0%	29.6%	1.28×	2.63
Q2 over 62.5	33.5%	32.6%	25.6%	1.27×	3.06
Q2 under 54.5	30.5%	32.6%	38.9%	0.84×	3.06
Q2 over 64.5	25.5%	28.0%	19.1%	1.46×	3.57
Q2 under 53.5	28.5%	27.0%	34.2%	0.79×	3.71
Q2 over 63.5	27.6%	27.0%	22.5%	1.20×	3.71
Q2 under 51.5	19.4%	17.0%	25.8%	0.66×	5.88
Q2 over 67.5	15.6%	17.0%	11.3%	1.50×	5.89
Q2 under 50.5	17.9%	16.9%	21.9%	0.77×	5.93
Q2 over 66.5	17.3%	16.9%	13.5%	1.25×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors to win Q3	63.1%	60.9%	44.3%	1.37×	1.64
Washington Wizards to win Q3	32.5%	33.8%	50.9%	0.66×	2.96
Q3 tied	4.4%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.44

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 67.5	83.4%	82.3%	87.0%	0.95×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	82.4%	82.3%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	73.1%	71.8%	79.2%	0.91×	1.39
Q3 over 54.5	71.7%	71.8%	63.9%	1.12×	1.39
Q3 under 62.5	64.7%	62.0%	71.9%	0.86×	1.61
Q3 over 56.5	63.2%	62.0%	55.0%	1.13×	1.61
Q3 under 60.5	55.5%	58.4%	63.5%	0.92×	1.71
Q3 over 58.5	53.9%	52.3%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
Q3 under 59.5	50.8%	52.3%	59.0%	0.89×	1.91
Q3 over 59.5	49.2%	47.7%	41.0%	1.16×	2.10
Q3 under 58.5	46.1%	47.7%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10
Q3 over 60.5	44.5%	41.6%	36.5%	1.14×	2.40
Q3 under 56.5	36.8%	38.1%	45.0%	0.85×	2.63
Q3 over 62.5	35.3%	38.0%	28.1%	1.35×	2.63
Q3 under 54.5	28.3%	28.2%	36.1%	0.78×	3.55
Q3 over 64.5	26.9%	28.2%	20.8%	1.35×	3.55
Q3 under 51.5	17.6%	17.7%	23.9%	0.74×	5.66
Q3 over 67.5	16.6%	17.7%	13.0%	1.36×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors to win Q4	62.8%	57.8%	46.4%	1.25×	1.73
Washington Wizards to win Q4	32.6%	37.4%	48.3%	0.77×	2.68
Q4 tied	4.5%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.29

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 over 48.5	82.2%	82.0%	75.5%	1.09×	1.22
Q4 under 64.5	82.2%	82.0%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
Q4 over 51.5	71.8%	71.5%	64.7%	1.11×	1.40
Q4 under 61.5	71.8%	71.5%	77.5%	0.92×	1.40
Q4 over 53.5	63.5%	61.4%	55.7%	1.10×	1.63
Q4 under 59.5	63.5%	61.4%	70.2%	0.87×	1.63
Q4 over 55.5	54.6%	52.5%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Q4 under 57.5	54.6%	52.5%	61.9%	0.85×	1.91
Q4 over 56.5	50.0%	52.5%	42.8%	1.23×	1.91
Q4 under 56.5	50.0%	47.5%	57.2%	0.83×	2.11
Q4 under 55.5	45.4%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.11
Q4 over 57.5	45.4%	47.5%	38.1%	1.25×	2.11
Q4 under 53.5	36.5%	38.6%	44.3%	0.87×	2.59
Q4 over 59.5	36.5%	38.6%	29.8%	1.30×	2.59
Q4 under 51.5	28.2%	28.5%	35.3%	0.81×	3.51
Q4 over 61.5	28.2%	28.5%	22.5%	1.27×	3.51
Q4 under 48.5	17.8%	18.0%	24.5%	0.73×	5.56
Q4 over 64.5	17.8%	18.0%	13.7%	1.31×	5.56

Team total 62

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Wizards under 120.5	80.5%	80.7%	66.3%	1.22×	1.24
Toronto Raptors over 113.5	80.4%	80.7%	48.0%	1.68×	1.24
Toronto Raptors under 133.5	80.5%	80.7%	94.6%	0.85×	1.24
Toronto Raptors under 129.5	80.2%	80.3%	90.0%	0.89×	1.25
Washington Wizards over 102.5	80.2%	80.3%	84.2%	0.95×	1.25
Toronto Raptors over 109.5	79.1%	78.3%	60.9%	1.28×	1.28
Washington Wizards under 122.5	79.0%	78.3%	71.8%	1.09×	1.28
Washington Wizards over 100.5	79.9%	75.1%	87.7%	0.86×	1.33
Toronto Raptors over 112.5	71.3%	71.8%	51.5%	1.40×	1.39
Washington Wizards under 119.5	71.2%	71.8%	63.5%	1.13×	1.39
Washington Wizards under 117.5	72.8%	70.7%	57.8%	1.22×	1.41
Toronto Raptors over 116.5	72.6%	70.7%	38.5%	1.84×	1.41
Washington Wizards over 103.5	72.0%	70.7%	82.1%	0.86×	1.41
Toronto Raptors under 130.5	72.6%	70.7%	91.5%	0.77×	1.41
Toronto Raptors over 114.5	65.4%	66.6%	44.5%	1.50×	1.50
Washington Wizards under 115.5	66.9%	66.4%	51.6%	1.29×	1.51
Toronto Raptors over 118.5	66.6%	66.4%	32.6%	2.04×	1.51
Toronto Raptors under 128.5	66.6%	66.4%	88.6%	0.75×	1.51
Washington Wizards over 105.5	66.0%	66.4%	77.4%	0.86×	1.51
Washington Wizards under 113.5	60.5%	61.2%	45.7%	1.34×	1.63
Toronto Raptors over 120.5	60.2%	61.2%	27.3%	2.24×	1.63
Toronto Raptors under 126.5	60.2%	61.2%	85.3%	0.72×	1.63
Washington Wizards over 107.5	59.6%	57.1%	72.7%	0.79×	1.75
Washington Wizards under 111.5	53.9%	52.3%	38.9%	1.34×	1.91
Washington Wizards over 109.5	52.9%	52.3%	67.0%	0.78×	1.91
Toronto Raptors over 122.5	53.4%	52.3%	22.6%	2.31×	1.91
Toronto Raptors under 124.5	53.4%	52.3%	81.4%	0.64×	1.91
Washington Wizards under 110.5	50.5%	52.3%	35.9%	1.46×	1.91
Toronto Raptors over 123.5	50.0%	52.3%	20.5%	2.55×	1.91
Washington Wizards over 112.5	50.7%	52.2%	57.7%	0.91×	1.91
Toronto Raptors under 119.5	50.7%	52.2%	70.3%	0.74×	1.91
Washington Wizards under 112.5	49.3%	47.8%	42.3%	1.13×	2.09
Toronto Raptors over 119.5	49.3%	47.8%	29.7%	1.61×	2.09
Washington Wizards over 110.5	49.5%	47.7%	64.1%	0.74×	2.09
Toronto Raptors under 123.5	50.0%	47.7%	79.5%	0.60×	2.09
Washington Wizards under 109.5	47.1%	47.7%	33.0%	1.45×	2.09
Toronto Raptors under 122.5	46.6%	47.7%	77.4%	0.62×	2.09
Toronto Raptors over 124.5	46.6%	47.7%	18.6%	2.57×	2.09
Washington Wizards over 111.5	46.1%	47.7%	61.1%	0.78×	2.09
Washington Wizards under 107.5	40.4%	42.9%	27.3%	1.57×	2.33
Toronto Raptors under 120.5	39.8%	38.8%	72.7%	0.53×	2.58
Toronto Raptors over 126.5	39.8%	38.8%	14.7%	2.64×	2.58
Washington Wizards over 113.5	39.5%	38.8%	54.3%	0.72×	2.58
Washington Wizards over 115.5	33.1%	33.6%	48.4%	0.69×	2.98
Toronto Raptors under 118.5	33.4%	33.6%	67.4%	0.50×	2.98
Toronto Raptors over 128.5	33.4%	33.6%	11.5%	2.94×	2.98
Washington Wizards under 105.5	34.0%	33.6%	22.6%	1.49×	2.98
Toronto Raptors under 114.5	34.6%	33.4%	55.5%	0.60×	2.99
Washington Wizards over 117.5	27.2%	29.3%	42.2%	0.69×	3.42
Toronto Raptors under 116.5	27.4%	29.3%	61.5%	0.48×	3.42
Washington Wizards under 103.5	28.0%	29.3%	17.9%	1.64×	3.42
Toronto Raptors over 130.5	27.4%	29.3%	8.5%	3.45×	3.42
Washington Wizards over 119.5	28.8%	28.2%	36.5%	0.77×	3.55
Toronto Raptors under 112.5	28.7%	28.2%	48.5%	0.58×	3.55
Washington Wizards under 100.5	20.1%	24.9%	12.3%	2.02×	4.02
Washington Wizards over 122.5	21.0%	21.7%	28.2%	0.77×	4.60
Toronto Raptors under 109.5	20.9%	21.7%	39.1%	0.56×	4.60
Toronto Raptors over 129.5	19.8%	19.7%	10.0%	1.98×	5.07
Washington Wizards under 102.5	19.8%	19.7%	15.8%	1.25×	5.07
Washington Wizards over 120.5	19.5%	19.3%	33.7%	0.57×	5.18
Toronto Raptors under 113.5	19.6%	19.3%	52.0%	0.37×	5.18
Toronto Raptors over 133.5	19.5%	19.3%	5.4%	3.57×	5.18

Total points 46

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 252.5 points	86.2%	85.5%	88.1%	0.97×	1.17
Over 212.5 points	85.1%	85.5%	77.8%	1.10×	1.17
Under 254.5 points	86.9%	85.0%	89.9%	0.95×	1.18
Over 214.5 points	85.4%	85.0%	75.1%	1.13×	1.18
Under 249.5 points	80.2%	80.6%	85.3%	0.94×	1.24
Under 247.5 points	79.5%	78.1%	83.3%	0.94×	1.28
Over 217.5 points	78.0%	78.1%	69.6%	1.12×	1.28
Over 219.5 points	78.2%	75.6%	66.1%	1.14×	1.32
Under 242.5 points	71.1%	71.0%	76.8%	0.92×	1.41
Under 244.5 points	71.8%	70.8%	79.5%	0.89×	1.41
Over 222.5 points	69.4%	66.6%	60.4%	1.10×	1.50
Over 224.5 points	69.5%	65.9%	56.5%	1.17×	1.52
Under 241.5 points	66.1%	65.9%	75.5%	0.87×	1.52
Over 225.5 points	63.5%	61.8%	54.7%	1.13×	1.62
Over 227.5 points	63.5%	61.5%	50.6%	1.21×	1.63
Under 239.5 points	62.1%	61.5%	72.5%	0.85×	1.63
Over 229.5 points	59.4%	56.5%	46.7%	1.21×	1.77
Under 237.5 points	57.9%	56.5%	69.3%	0.82×	1.77
Over 231.5 points	55.1%	56.5%	42.6%	1.33×	1.77
Under 235.5 points	53.6%	52.3%	65.3%	0.80×	1.91
Under 234.5 points	51.4%	52.3%	63.3%	0.83×	1.91
Over 233.5 points	50.8%	52.3%	38.6%	1.35×	1.91
Under 232.5 points	51.0%	52.2%	59.4%	0.88×	1.92
Over 232.5 points	49.0%	47.8%	40.6%	1.18×	2.09
Over 234.5 points	48.6%	47.7%	36.7%	1.30×	2.10
Under 233.5 points	49.2%	47.7%	61.4%	0.78×	2.10
Over 235.5 points	46.4%	47.7%	34.7%	1.37×	2.10
Under 231.5 points	44.9%	43.5%	57.4%	0.76×	2.30
Over 237.5 points	42.1%	43.5%	30.7%	1.41×	2.30
Under 229.5 points	40.6%	43.5%	53.3%	0.82×	2.30
Over 239.5 points	37.9%	38.5%	27.5%	1.40×	2.60
Under 227.5 points	36.5%	38.5%	49.4%	0.78×	2.60
Under 225.5 points	36.5%	38.3%	45.3%	0.84×	2.61
Over 241.5 points	33.9%	34.1%	24.5%	1.39×	2.93
Under 224.5 points	30.5%	34.1%	43.5%	0.79×	2.93
Under 222.5 points	30.6%	33.4%	39.6%	0.84×	3.00
Over 244.5 points	28.2%	29.2%	20.5%	1.42×	3.43
Over 242.5 points	28.9%	29.0%	23.2%	1.25×	3.45
Under 219.5 points	21.8%	24.4%	33.9%	0.72×	4.10
Under 217.5 points	22.0%	21.9%	30.4%	0.72×	4.57
Over 247.5 points	20.5%	21.9%	16.7%	1.31×	4.57
Over 249.5 points	19.8%	19.4%	14.7%	1.33×	5.15
Under 214.5 points	14.6%	15.0%	24.9%	0.60×	6.68
Over 254.5 points	13.1%	15.0%	10.1%	1.49×	6.69
Under 212.5 points	14.9%	14.5%	22.2%	0.66×	6.88
Over 252.5 points	13.8%	14.5%	11.9%	1.22×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors to win both halves	48.0%	45.8%	17.8%	2.57×	2.18
Washington Wizards to win both halves	5.5%	8.8%	25.2%	0.35×	11.33

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto Raptors by 26+	19.5%	16.8%	3.9%	4.34×	5.97
Toronto Raptors by 6-10	13.2%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Toronto Raptors by 11-15	13.9%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
Toronto Raptors by 16-20	13.1%	12.3%	4.9%	2.54×	8.11
Toronto Raptors by 1-5	11.1%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Toronto Raptors by 21-25	10.9%	12.3%	3.0%	4.05×	8.11
Washington Wizards by 1-5	7.7%	7.5%	12.8%	0.58×	13.40
Washington Wizards by 6-10	5.0%	7.5%	13.9%	0.53×	13.41
Washington Wizards by 11-15	2.9%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.30
Washington Wizards by 16-20	1.5%	2.0%	7.3%	0.28×	49.31
Washington Wizards by 21-25	0.7%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.32
Washington Wizards by 26+	0.4%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.32

Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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