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Western Illinois Leathernecks v Loyola Chicago Ramblers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Western Illinois Leathernecks win
83.7%
Draw
0.0%
Loyola Chicago Ramblers win
16.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 69.15–58.30 69-58 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.34
Western Illinois Leathernecks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Western Illinois Leathernecks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Western Illinois Leathernecks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks to win H1 70.3% 72.9% 56.4% 1.29× 1.37
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H1 25.9% 26.5% 39.9% 0.66× 3.77
H1 tied 3.8% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 73.5 89.0% 87.7% 85.6% 1.02× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 87.8% 87.7% 86.7% 1.01× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 79.8% 77.4% 76.2% 1.02× 1.29
H1 over 53.5 77.6% 77.4% 76.8% 1.01× 1.29
H1 under 66.5 70.4% 73.5% 67.1% 1.09× 1.36
H1 over 56.5 67.7% 67.4% 68.2% 0.99× 1.48
H1 under 64.5 63.2% 62.7% 60.7% 1.03× 1.59
H1 over 58.5 60.2% 62.7% 61.4% 1.02× 1.59
H1 under 62.5 55.6% 58.2% 53.7% 1.08× 1.72
H1 over 60.5 52.4% 52.6% 53.9% 0.98× 1.90
H1 under 61.5 51.6% 52.6% 49.8% 1.06× 1.90
H1 over 61.5 48.4% 47.4% 50.2% 0.94× 2.11
H1 under 60.5 47.6% 47.4% 46.1% 1.03× 2.11
H1 over 62.5 44.4% 41.8% 46.3% 0.90× 2.39
H1 under 58.5 39.8% 37.3% 38.6% 0.97× 2.68
H1 over 64.5 36.8% 37.3% 39.3% 0.95× 2.68
H1 under 56.5 32.3% 32.6% 31.8% 1.02× 3.07
H1 over 66.5 29.6% 26.5% 32.9% 0.81× 3.77
H1 under 53.5 22.4% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.43
H1 over 69.5 20.2% 22.6% 23.8% 0.95× 4.43
H1 under 49.5 12.2% 12.3% 13.3% 0.93× 8.14
H1 over 73.5 11.0% 12.3% 14.4% 0.85× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks to win H2 71.5% 67.6% 56.0% 1.21× 1.48
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H2 24.8% 26.9% 40.6% 0.66× 3.72
H2 tied 3.6% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 79.5 88.3% 85.2% 82.0% 1.04× 1.17
H2 over 55.5 86.3% 85.2% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
H2 under 75.5 79.2% 75.8% 73.0% 1.04× 1.32
H2 over 59.5 76.0% 75.8% 77.0% 0.98× 1.32
H2 under 72.5 70.2% 72.2% 64.1% 1.13× 1.39
H2 over 62.5 66.3% 66.4% 68.3% 0.97× 1.51
H2 under 70.5 63.4% 61.6% 57.8% 1.07× 1.62
H2 over 64.5 59.0% 57.3% 62.1% 0.92× 1.74
H2 under 68.5 56.0% 57.3% 51.3% 1.12× 1.74
H2 over 66.5 51.5% 52.4% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
H2 under 67.5 52.3% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 under 66.5 48.5% 47.6% 44.6% 1.07× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 47.7% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 over 68.5 44.0% 42.7% 48.7% 0.88× 2.34
H2 under 64.5 41.0% 42.7% 37.9% 1.13× 2.35
H2 over 70.5 36.6% 38.4% 42.2% 0.91× 2.61
H2 under 62.5 33.7% 33.6% 31.7% 1.06× 2.97
H2 over 72.5 29.8% 27.8% 36.0% 0.77× 3.59
H2 under 59.5 24.0% 24.2% 23.0% 1.05× 4.13
H2 over 75.5 20.8% 24.2% 27.0% 0.90× 4.13
H2 under 55.5 13.7% 14.8% 13.9% 1.06× 6.76
H2 over 79.5 11.7% 14.8% 18.0% 0.82× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks leading at half time 70.3% 73.4% 56.4% 1.30× 1.36
Loyola Chicago Ramblers leading at half time 25.9% 26.5% 39.9% 0.66× 3.78
Level at half time 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks +18.5 99.5% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Western Illinois Leathernecks +20.5 99.7% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Western Illinois Leathernecks +8.5 95.6% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Western Illinois Leathernecks +9.5 96.4% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Western Illinois Leathernecks +10.5 97.0% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Western Illinois Leathernecks +12.5 98.1% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Western Illinois Leathernecks +14.5 98.8% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Western Illinois Leathernecks +16.5 99.2% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Western Illinois Leathernecks +7.5 94.7% 91.1% 74.5% 1.22× 1.10
Western Illinois Leathernecks +5.5 92.4% 91.1% 70.1% 1.30× 1.10
Western Illinois Leathernecks +6.5 93.6% 91.1% 72.3% 1.26× 1.10
Western Illinois Leathernecks +4.5 91.1% 91.1% 67.8% 1.34× 1.10
Western Illinois Leathernecks +3.5 89.5% 85.9% 65.7% 1.31× 1.16
Western Illinois Leathernecks +2.5 87.8% 85.9% 63.3% 1.36× 1.16
Western Illinois Leathernecks +1.5 85.8% 85.9% 61.2% 1.40× 1.16
Western Illinois Leathernecks −1.5 81.2% 81.1% 58.7% 1.38× 1.23
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +20.5 81.2% 81.1% 82.0% 0.99× 1.23
Western Illinois Leathernecks −2.5 78.5% 76.5% 56.7% 1.35× 1.31
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +18.5 75.8% 76.5% 79.3% 0.96× 1.31
Western Illinois Leathernecks −3.5 75.5% 76.5% 54.2% 1.41× 1.31
Western Illinois Leathernecks −4.5 72.5% 71.6% 52.2% 1.37× 1.40
Western Illinois Leathernecks −5.5 69.2% 66.7% 49.7% 1.34× 1.50
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +16.5 69.7% 66.7% 75.7% 0.88× 1.50
Western Illinois Leathernecks −6.5 65.9% 66.7% 47.6% 1.40× 1.50
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +14.5 63.0% 61.9% 72.1% 0.86× 1.62
Western Illinois Leathernecks −7.5 62.4% 61.9% 44.8% 1.38× 1.62
Western Illinois Leathernecks −8.5 58.8% 57.1% 42.0% 1.36× 1.75
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +12.5 55.9% 57.1% 67.9% 0.84× 1.75
Western Illinois Leathernecks −9.5 55.2% 57.1% 39.3% 1.45× 1.75
Western Illinois Leathernecks −10.5 51.5% 52.4% 36.8% 1.42× 1.91
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +10.5 48.5% 47.6% 63.2% 0.75× 2.10
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +9.5 44.8% 42.9% 60.7% 0.71× 2.33
Western Illinois Leathernecks −12.5 44.1% 42.9% 32.1% 1.34× 2.33
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +8.5 41.2% 42.9% 58.0% 0.74× 2.33
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +7.5 37.6% 38.1% 55.2% 0.69× 2.63
Western Illinois Leathernecks −14.5 37.0% 38.1% 27.9% 1.37× 2.63
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +6.5 34.1% 33.3% 52.4% 0.63× 3.01
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +5.5 30.8% 33.3% 50.3% 0.66× 3.01
Western Illinois Leathernecks −16.5 30.3% 33.3% 24.3% 1.37× 3.01
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +4.5 27.5% 28.4% 47.8% 0.59× 3.53
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +3.5 24.5% 23.5% 45.8% 0.51× 4.25
Western Illinois Leathernecks −18.5 24.2% 23.5% 20.7% 1.14× 4.25
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +2.5 21.5% 23.5% 43.3% 0.54× 4.25
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +1.5 18.8% 18.9% 41.3% 0.46× 5.29
Western Illinois Leathernecks −20.5 18.8% 18.9% 18.0% 1.05× 5.29
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −1.5 14.2% 14.1% 38.8% 0.36× 7.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −2.5 12.2% 14.1% 36.7% 0.39× 7.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −3.5 10.5% 14.1% 34.3% 0.41× 7.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −4.5 8.9% 8.9% 32.2% 0.28× 11.25
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −5.5 7.6% 8.9% 29.9% 0.30× 11.25
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −6.5 6.4% 8.9% 27.7% 0.32× 11.25
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −7.5 5.3% 8.9% 25.5% 0.35× 11.25
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −8.5 4.4% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.72
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −9.5 3.6% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.73
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −10.5 3.0% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −12.5 1.9% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.73
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −14.5 1.2% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −16.5 0.8% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −18.5 0.5% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −20.5 0.3% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.7% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.3% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.3% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.5% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.3% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.8% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks at HT / Western Illinois Leathernecks at FT 65.1% 68.2% 48.3% 1.41× 1.47
Loyola Chicago Ramblers at HT / Western Illinois Leathernecks at FT 15.6% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Loyola Chicago Ramblers at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT 10.3% 12.2% 30.1% 0.41× 8.18
Western Illinois Leathernecks at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT 5.2% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.10
Level at HT / Western Illinois Leathernecks at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT 0.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks to win 83.7% 80.9% 59.9% 1.35× 1.24
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win 16.3% 19.1% 40.1% 0.48× 5.24
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Loyola Chicago Ramblers even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 51.2% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Western Illinois Leathernecks odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Loyola Chicago Ramblers odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.8% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.4% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.6% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.35
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks to win Q1 62.6% 64.9% 54.7% 1.19× 1.54
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q1 31.7% 30.4% 40.4% 0.75× 3.29
Q1 tied 5.7% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 22.5 89.0% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 87.6% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 25.5 78.2% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 35.5 76.1% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 68.4% 67.6% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q1 under 33.5 66.0% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 57.2% 58.6% 56.9% 1.03× 1.71
Q1 under 31.5 54.6% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 51.3% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 48.7% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 45.4% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 under 29.5 42.8% 41.4% 43.1% 0.96× 2.42
Q1 over 33.5 34.0% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 under 27.5 31.6% 32.4% 32.3% 1.00× 3.08
Q1 over 35.5 23.9% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 25.5 21.8% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 over 38.5 12.4% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q1 under 22.5 11.0% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks to win Q2 62.2% 61.9% 52.9% 1.17× 1.62
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q2 32.2% 31.8% 41.5% 0.77× 3.14
Q2 tied 5.6% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 88.5% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 88.1% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 77.5% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 76.7% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 67.7% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 66.7% 67.4% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 56.5% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 55.3% 58.2% 55.8% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 50.6% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 49.4% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 under 29.5 44.7% 41.8% 44.2% 0.95× 2.39
Q2 over 31.5 43.5% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 33.3% 32.6% 33.3% 0.98× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 32.3% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 23.3% 23.2% 23.8% 0.97× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 22.5% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 11.9% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 11.5% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.89
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks to win Q3 63.6% 60.9% 53.3% 1.14× 1.64
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q3 30.9% 33.7% 41.8% 0.81× 2.96
Q3 tied 5.5% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 25.5 87.5% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 87.8% 87.2% 85.1% 1.02× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 76.8% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 76.3% 77.3% 76.4% 1.01× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 67.1% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 66.5% 67.8% 66.8% 1.01× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 56.1% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 55.4% 58.4% 56.1% 1.04× 1.71
Q3 under 33.5 50.4% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 33.5 49.6% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 44.6% 41.6% 43.9% 0.95× 2.40
Q3 over 34.5 43.9% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 33.5% 32.2% 33.2% 0.97× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 32.9% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.10
Q3 under 28.5 23.7% 22.7% 23.6% 0.96× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 23.2% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 12.5% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 12.2% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks to win Q4 63.4% 57.8% 52.8% 1.10× 1.73
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q4 31.3% 37.4% 41.5% 0.90× 2.68
Q4 tied 5.4% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 25.5 86.4% 85.6% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 under 41.5 86.2% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 28.5 75.3% 76.9% 75.1% 1.02× 1.30
Q4 under 38.5 75.2% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 65.9% 67.4% 66.3% 1.02× 1.48
Q4 under 36.5 65.9% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 55.4% 58.4% 55.4% 1.05× 1.71
Q4 under 34.5 55.4% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 over 33.5 50.0% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 50.0% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 under 32.5 44.6% 41.6% 44.6% 0.93× 2.40
Q4 over 34.5 44.6% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 34.1% 32.6% 33.7% 0.97× 3.07
Q4 over 36.5 34.1% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 24.7% 23.1% 24.9% 0.93× 4.33
Q4 over 38.5 24.8% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 13.6% 14.4% 13.9% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 over 41.5 13.8% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 48.5 87.1% 83.9% 86.7% 0.97× 1.19
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 68.5 86.4% 83.9% 68.6% 1.22× 1.19
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 59.5 85.3% 83.9% 72.2% 1.16× 1.19
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 79.5 85.6% 83.9% 81.3% 1.03× 1.19
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 51.5 78.1% 75.1% 81.0% 0.93× 1.33
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 65.5 78.0% 75.1% 59.8% 1.26× 1.33
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 62.5 76.8% 75.1% 64.3% 1.17× 1.33
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 76.5 77.2% 75.1% 75.4% 1.00× 1.33
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 74.5 70.3% 70.7% 70.7% 1.00× 1.41
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 53.5 70.8% 70.7% 76.3% 0.93× 1.41
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 63.5 71.1% 70.7% 53.9% 1.31× 1.41
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 64.5 69.9% 66.4% 58.4% 1.14× 1.51
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 66.5 62.2% 61.2% 51.8% 1.18× 1.63
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 72.5 62.6% 61.2% 65.7% 0.93× 1.63
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 55.5 62.7% 61.2% 70.8% 0.86× 1.63
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 61.5 63.2% 61.2% 47.9% 1.28× 1.63
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 68.5 54.0% 52.3% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 70.5 54.4% 52.3% 60.3% 0.87× 1.91
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 57.5 54.1% 52.3% 65.1% 0.80× 1.91
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 59.5 54.7% 52.3% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 69.5 50.2% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 58.5 50.3% 52.3% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 69.5 49.8% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 58.5 49.7% 47.7% 62.1% 0.77× 2.09
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 68.5 46.0% 47.7% 54.4% 0.88× 2.09
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 70.5 45.6% 47.7% 39.7% 1.20× 2.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 57.5 45.9% 47.7% 34.9% 1.37× 2.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 59.5 45.3% 47.7% 58.8% 0.81× 2.09
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 66.5 37.8% 38.8% 48.2% 0.81× 2.58
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 72.5 37.4% 38.8% 34.3% 1.13× 2.58
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 55.5 37.3% 38.8% 29.2% 1.33× 2.58
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 61.5 36.8% 38.8% 52.1% 0.74× 2.58
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 64.5 30.1% 33.6% 41.6% 0.81× 2.98
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 74.5 29.7% 29.3% 29.3% 1.00× 3.42
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 53.5 29.2% 29.3% 23.7% 1.23× 3.42
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 63.5 28.9% 29.3% 46.1% 0.64× 3.42
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 62.5 23.2% 24.9% 35.7% 0.70× 4.02
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 76.5 22.8% 24.9% 24.6% 1.01× 4.02
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 51.5 21.9% 24.9% 19.0% 1.31× 4.02
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 65.5 22.0% 24.9% 40.2% 0.62× 4.02
Western Illinois Leathernecks under 59.5 14.7% 16.1% 27.8% 0.58× 6.21
Western Illinois Leathernecks over 79.5 14.4% 16.1% 18.7% 0.86× 6.21
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 48.5 12.9% 16.1% 13.3% 1.21× 6.21
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 68.5 13.6% 16.1% 31.4% 0.51× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 148.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 83.7% 1.06× 1.13
Over 108.5 points 91.3% 88.8% 88.9% 1.00× 1.13
Under 143.5 points 85.3% 85.0% 76.7% 1.11× 1.18
Over 113.5 points 84.0% 80.6% 81.9% 0.98× 1.24
Under 138.5 points 76.2% 75.6% 67.9% 1.11× 1.32
Over 118.5 points 74.0% 70.8% 73.6% 0.96× 1.41
Under 135.5 points 69.6% 65.9% 62.4% 1.06× 1.52
Over 121.5 points 66.8% 65.9% 67.7% 0.97× 1.52
Under 133.5 points 64.8% 61.5% 58.0% 1.06× 1.63
Over 123.5 points 61.7% 61.5% 63.3% 0.97× 1.63
Under 131.5 points 59.7% 56.5% 53.9% 1.05× 1.77
Over 125.5 points 56.4% 56.5% 59.5% 0.95× 1.77
Under 129.5 points 54.4% 52.3% 49.5% 1.06× 1.91
Under 128.5 points 51.6% 52.3% 47.2% 1.11× 1.91
Over 127.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 55.1% 0.95× 1.91
Under 127.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 44.9% 1.06× 2.10
Over 128.5 points 48.4% 47.7% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Over 129.5 points 45.6% 47.7% 50.5% 0.94× 2.10
Under 125.5 points 43.6% 43.5% 40.5% 1.07× 2.30
Over 131.5 points 40.3% 43.5% 46.1% 0.94× 2.30
Under 123.5 points 38.3% 38.5% 36.7% 1.05× 2.60
Over 133.5 points 35.2% 38.5% 42.0% 0.92× 2.60
Under 121.5 points 33.2% 34.1% 32.3% 1.06× 2.93
Over 135.5 points 30.4% 34.1% 37.6% 0.91× 2.93
Under 118.5 points 26.0% 29.2% 26.4% 1.10× 3.43
Over 138.5 points 23.8% 24.4% 32.1% 0.76× 4.10
Under 113.5 points 16.0% 19.4% 18.1% 1.07× 5.15
Over 143.5 points 14.7% 15.0% 23.3% 0.64× 6.68
Under 108.5 points 8.7% 11.2% 11.1% 1.01× 8.96
Over 148.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 16.3% 0.68× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks to win both halves 48.0% 45.8% 36.0% 1.27× 2.18
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win both halves 4.5% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.56
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Western Illinois Leathernecks by 6-10 17.8% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Western Illinois Leathernecks by 11-15 17.9% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Western Illinois Leathernecks by 1-5 14.5% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Western Illinois Leathernecks by 16-20 14.8% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
Western Illinois Leathernecks by 21-25 9.9% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 1-5 8.7% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Western Illinois Leathernecks by 26+ 8.9% 7.5% 12.6% 0.59× 13.40
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 6-10 4.6% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.29
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 11-15 2.0% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.31
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 16-20 0.7% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 21-25 0.2% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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