Wichita State Shockers v Missouri State Lady Bears — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 10 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Wichita State Shockers win
20.5%
Draw
0.0%
Missouri State Lady Bears win
79.5%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 57.41–66.60 | 58-67 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wichita State Shockers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| Wichita State Shockers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Wichita State Shockers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Wichita State Shockers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.35 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win H1 | 66.9% | 68.3% | 39.9% | 1.71× | 1.47 |
| Wichita State Shockers to win H1 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 56.4% | 0.47× | 3.77 |
| H1 tied | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 47.5 | 88.9% | 87.7% | 90.6% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 88.2% | 87.7% | 81.4% | 1.08× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 51.5 | 79.2% | 77.4% | 82.0% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 78.6% | 77.4% | 70.4% | 1.10× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 54.5 | 69.4% | 67.4% | 74.0% | 0.91× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 68.9% | 67.4% | 60.7% | 1.11× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 62.0% | 62.7% | 68.2% | 0.92× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 61.6% | 62.7% | 53.7% | 1.17× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 54.2% | 52.6% | 61.4% | 0.86× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 53.8% | 52.6% | 46.1% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 50.2% | 52.6% | 57.8% | 0.91× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 49.8% | 47.4% | 42.2% | 1.12× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 45.8% | 47.4% | 38.6% | 1.23× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 46.2% | 47.4% | 53.9% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 38.0% | 37.3% | 31.8% | 1.17× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 38.4% | 37.3% | 46.3% | 0.80× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 39.3% | 0.83× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 54.5 | 30.6% | 32.6% | 26.0% | 1.25× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 51.5 | 20.8% | 22.6% | 18.0% | 1.25× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 21.4% | 22.6% | 29.6% | 0.76× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 47.5 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 1.30× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 11.8% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 0.66× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win H2 | 68.0% | 62.8% | 40.6% | 1.55× | 1.59 |
| Wichita State Shockers to win H2 | 28.2% | 31.3% | 56.0% | 0.56× | 3.20 |
| H2 tied | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 77.5 | 87.8% | 85.2% | 77.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 53.5 | 87.2% | 85.2% | 89.7% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 78.5% | 75.8% | 67.1% | 1.13× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 57.5 | 77.1% | 75.8% | 82.2% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 57.8% | 1.15× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 67.5% | 66.4% | 74.5% | 0.89× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 62.3% | 61.6% | 51.3% | 1.20× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 60.2% | 61.6% | 68.3% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 54.9% | 52.4% | 44.6% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 62.1% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 51.1% | 52.4% | 41.2% | 1.27× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 48.9% | 47.6% | 58.8% | 0.81× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 37.9% | 1.26× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 45.1% | 47.6% | 55.4% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 39.8% | 38.4% | 31.7% | 1.21× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 37.7% | 38.4% | 48.7% | 0.79× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 25.5% | 1.32× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 42.2% | 0.80× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 57.5 | 22.9% | 24.2% | 17.8% | 1.36× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 21.5% | 24.2% | 32.9% | 0.74× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 53.5 | 12.8% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 1.43× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 12.2% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 0.67× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears leading at half time | 66.9% | 68.4% | 39.9% | 1.71× | 1.46 |
| Wichita State Shockers leading at half time | 29.1% | 26.5% | 56.4% | 0.47× | 3.77 |
| Level at half time | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears +20.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +10.5 | 95.9% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +12.5 | 97.2% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +14.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +16.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +18.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +9.5 | 95.0% | 91.1% | 60.7% | 1.50× | 1.10 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +7.5 | 92.8% | 91.1% | 55.2% | 1.65× | 1.10 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +8.5 | 94.0% | 91.1% | 58.0% | 1.57× | 1.10 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +6.5 | 91.5% | 91.1% | 52.4% | 1.74× | 1.10 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +5.5 | 90.0% | 85.9% | 50.3% | 1.71× | 1.16 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +4.5 | 88.3% | 85.9% | 47.8% | 1.80× | 1.16 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +3.5 | 86.4% | 85.9% | 45.8% | 1.88× | 1.16 |
| Wichita State Shockers +20.5 | 85.5% | 85.9% | 92.7% | 0.93× | 1.16 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +2.5 | 84.3% | 81.1% | 43.3% | 1.87× | 1.23 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +1.5 | 82.0% | 81.1% | 41.3% | 1.96× | 1.23 |
| Wichita State Shockers +18.5 | 80.8% | 81.1% | 91.1% | 0.89× | 1.23 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −1.5 | 76.7% | 76.5% | 38.8% | 1.97× | 1.31 |
| Wichita State Shockers +16.5 | 75.2% | 76.5% | 89.1% | 0.86× | 1.31 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −2.5 | 73.6% | 71.6% | 36.7% | 1.95× | 1.40 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −3.5 | 70.4% | 71.6% | 34.3% | 2.09× | 1.40 |
| Wichita State Shockers +14.5 | 69.0% | 66.7% | 86.7% | 0.77× | 1.50 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −4.5 | 67.0% | 66.7% | 32.2% | 2.07× | 1.50 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −5.5 | 63.5% | 61.9% | 29.9% | 2.07× | 1.62 |
| Wichita State Shockers +12.5 | 62.1% | 61.9% | 83.8% | 0.74× | 1.62 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −6.5 | 59.9% | 57.1% | 27.7% | 2.06× | 1.75 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −7.5 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 25.5% | 2.24× | 1.75 |
| Wichita State Shockers +10.5 | 54.9% | 52.4% | 80.4% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −8.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 23.5% | 2.23× | 1.91 |
| Wichita State Shockers +9.5 | 51.2% | 52.4% | 78.7% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −9.5 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 21.3% | 2.23× | 2.10 |
| Wichita State Shockers +8.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 76.5% | 0.62× | 2.10 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −10.5 | 45.1% | 47.6% | 19.6% | 2.43× | 2.10 |
| Wichita State Shockers +7.5 | 43.7% | 42.9% | 74.5% | 0.58× | 2.33 |
| Wichita State Shockers +6.5 | 40.1% | 42.9% | 72.3% | 0.59× | 2.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −12.5 | 37.9% | 38.1% | 16.2% | 2.34× | 2.63 |
| Wichita State Shockers +5.5 | 36.5% | 38.1% | 70.1% | 0.54× | 2.63 |
| Wichita State Shockers +4.5 | 33.0% | 33.3% | 67.8% | 0.49× | 3.01 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −14.5 | 31.0% | 33.3% | 13.3% | 2.51× | 3.01 |
| Wichita State Shockers +3.5 | 29.6% | 28.4% | 65.7% | 0.43× | 3.53 |
| Wichita State Shockers +2.5 | 26.4% | 28.4% | 63.3% | 0.45× | 3.53 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −16.5 | 24.8% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 2.16× | 4.25 |
| Wichita State Shockers +1.5 | 23.3% | 23.5% | 61.2% | 0.38× | 4.25 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −18.5 | 19.2% | 18.9% | 8.9% | 2.12× | 5.29 |
| Wichita State Shockers −1.5 | 18.0% | 18.9% | 58.7% | 0.32× | 5.29 |
| Wichita State Shockers −2.5 | 15.7% | 18.9% | 56.7% | 0.33× | 5.30 |
| Wichita State Shockers −3.5 | 13.6% | 14.1% | 54.2% | 0.26× | 7.09 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −20.5 | 14.5% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 1.94× | 7.09 |
| Wichita State Shockers −4.5 | 11.7% | 14.1% | 52.2% | 0.27× | 7.09 |
| Wichita State Shockers −5.5 | 10.0% | 14.1% | 49.7% | 0.28× | 7.09 |
| Wichita State Shockers −6.5 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 47.6% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Wichita State Shockers −7.5 | 7.2% | 8.9% | 44.8% | 0.20× | 11.25 |
| Wichita State Shockers −8.5 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 42.0% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Wichita State Shockers −9.5 | 5.0% | 8.9% | 39.3% | 0.23× | 11.25 |
| Wichita State Shockers −10.5 | 4.1% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.72 |
| Wichita State Shockers −12.5 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Wichita State Shockers −14.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Wichita State Shockers −16.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Wichita State Shockers −18.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Wichita State Shockers −20.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 71.1% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.9% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.1% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.3% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.5% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 16.1% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears at HT / Missouri State Lady Bears at FT | 60.5% | 62.3% | 30.1% | 2.07× | 1.61 |
| Wichita State Shockers at HT / Missouri State Lady Bears at FT | 16.0% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 1.89× | 6.47 |
| Wichita State Shockers at HT / Wichita State Shockers at FT | 13.1% | 12.2% | 48.3% | 0.25× | 8.17 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears at HT / Wichita State Shockers at FT | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Missouri State Lady Bears at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Wichita State Shockers at FT | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win | 79.5% | 75.1% | 40.1% | 1.87× | 1.33 |
| Wichita State Shockers to win | 20.5% | 24.9% | 59.9% | 0.42× | 4.02 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.3% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Wichita State Shockers even | 50.2% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Wichita State Shockers odd | 49.8% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.7% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 95.0% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.68× | 33.32 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q1 | 60.1% | 64.8% | 40.4% | 1.61× | 1.54 |
| Wichita State Shockers to win Q1 | 34.1% | 30.4% | 54.7% | 0.56× | 3.29 |
| Q1 tied | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 38.5 | 89.8% | 87.4% | 84.8% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 22.5 | 86.8% | 87.4% | 88.8% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 79.5% | 76.9% | 73.2% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 74.7% | 72.7% | 77.6% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 70.1% | 72.7% | 64.0% | 1.14× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 64.3% | 61.7% | 67.7% | 0.91× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 59.1% | 58.6% | 54.0% | 1.09× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 53.3% | 52.7% | 48.8% | 1.08× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 52.7% | 52.7% | 56.9% | 0.93× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 47.3% | 47.3% | 43.1% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 46.7% | 47.3% | 51.2% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 40.9% | 41.4% | 46.0% | 0.90× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 35.7% | 38.3% | 32.3% | 1.18× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 29.9% | 27.3% | 36.0% | 0.76× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 25.3% | 27.3% | 22.4% | 1.22× | 3.67 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 20.5% | 23.1% | 26.8% | 0.86× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 22.5 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 1.12× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 0.83× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q2 | 59.8% | 59.4% | 41.5% | 1.43× | 1.68 |
| Wichita State Shockers to win Q2 | 34.5% | 31.9% | 52.9% | 0.60× | 3.14 |
| Q2 tied | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 21.5 | 88.9% | 87.3% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 87.9% | 87.3% | 82.3% | 1.06× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 77.9% | 76.8% | 80.7% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 76.5% | 76.8% | 70.1% | 1.10× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 68.0% | 67.4% | 71.6% | 0.94× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 66.5% | 67.4% | 60.8% | 1.11× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 56.7% | 58.2% | 61.2% | 0.95× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 55.1% | 58.2% | 50.1% | 1.16× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 50.8% | 52.7% | 55.8% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 49.2% | 47.3% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 44.9% | 41.8% | 49.9% | 0.84× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 43.3% | 41.8% | 38.8% | 1.08× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 33.5% | 32.6% | 39.2% | 0.83× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 32.0% | 32.6% | 28.4% | 1.15× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 23.5% | 23.2% | 29.9% | 0.78× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 22.1% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 1.20× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 0.72× | 7.89 |
| Q2 under 21.5 | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q3 | 61.0% | 60.8% | 41.8% | 1.46× | 1.64 |
| Wichita State Shockers to win Q3 | 33.4% | 33.8% | 53.3% | 0.63× | 2.96 |
| Q3 tied | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 24.5 | 88.1% | 87.2% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 87.4% | 87.2% | 81.9% | 1.07× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 27.5 | 77.1% | 77.3% | 80.0% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 76.1% | 77.3% | 69.7% | 1.11× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 67.4% | 67.8% | 71.8% | 0.94× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 66.3% | 67.8% | 59.7% | 1.14× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 56.3% | 58.4% | 61.6% | 0.95× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 55.2% | 58.4% | 49.1% | 1.19× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 50.5% | 52.3% | 56.1% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 49.5% | 47.7% | 43.9% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 44.8% | 41.6% | 50.9% | 0.82× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 43.7% | 41.6% | 38.4% | 1.08× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 33.7% | 32.2% | 40.3% | 0.80× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 32.6% | 32.2% | 28.2% | 1.14× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 23.9% | 22.7% | 30.3% | 0.75× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 22.9% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 1.14× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 12.6% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 0.70× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 24.5 | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 1.27× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q4 | 60.8% | 57.8% | 41.5% | 1.39× | 1.73 |
| Wichita State Shockers to win Q4 | 33.7% | 37.4% | 52.8% | 0.71× | 2.67 |
| Q4 tied | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.26 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 24.5 | 86.9% | 85.6% | 89.0% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 85.8% | 85.6% | 80.6% | 1.06× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 27.5 | 76.1% | 76.9% | 78.9% | 0.97× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 74.6% | 71.5% | 68.8% | 1.04× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 70.8% | 0.95× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 65.1% | 67.4% | 59.4% | 1.14× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 56.3% | 58.4% | 61.1% | 0.96× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 54.6% | 52.5% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 50.9% | 52.5% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 49.1% | 47.5% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 45.4% | 47.5% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 43.7% | 41.6% | 38.9% | 1.07× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 34.9% | 32.6% | 40.6% | 0.80× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 29.2% | 1.12× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 25.4% | 28.5% | 31.2% | 0.91× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 23.9% | 23.1% | 21.1% | 1.09× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 14.2% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 0.74× | 6.95 |
| Q4 under 24.5 | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 1.31× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wichita State Shockers under 68.5 | 87.6% | 83.9% | 54.4% | 1.54× | 1.19 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 77.5 | 87.4% | 83.9% | 87.2% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 48.5 | 84.8% | 80.7% | 93.3% | 0.86× | 1.24 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 57.5 | 84.7% | 80.7% | 65.1% | 1.24× | 1.24 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 65.5 | 79.9% | 75.1% | 44.7% | 1.68× | 1.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 74.5 | 79.4% | 75.1% | 82.3% | 0.91× | 1.33 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 51.5 | 75.1% | 75.1% | 89.3% | 0.84× | 1.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 60.5 | 75.7% | 75.1% | 55.6% | 1.35× | 1.33 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 63.5 | 73.4% | 70.7% | 38.5% | 1.83× | 1.41 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 72.5 | 72.7% | 70.7% | 78.2% | 0.90× | 1.41 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 62.5 | 68.5% | 66.4% | 49.0% | 1.35× | 1.51 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 53.5 | 67.5% | 66.4% | 85.8% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 61.5 | 66.0% | 66.4% | 33.1% | 2.01× | 1.51 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 70.5 | 65.0% | 66.4% | 73.7% | 0.90× | 1.51 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 64.5 | 60.4% | 61.2% | 43.2% | 1.42× | 1.63 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 55.5 | 59.2% | 57.1% | 81.6% | 0.70× | 1.75 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 59.5 | 57.9% | 57.1% | 27.8% | 2.05× | 1.75 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 68.5 | 56.7% | 57.1% | 68.6% | 0.83× | 1.75 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 58.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 25.3% | 2.07× | 1.91 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 66.5 | 51.9% | 52.3% | 37.3% | 1.40× | 1.91 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 67.5 | 52.4% | 52.3% | 65.6% | 0.80× | 1.91 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 57.5 | 50.6% | 52.3% | 77.2% | 0.68× | 1.91 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 57.5 | 49.4% | 47.7% | 22.8% | 2.09× | 2.09 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 66.5 | 48.1% | 47.7% | 62.7% | 0.76× | 2.09 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 67.5 | 47.6% | 47.7% | 34.4% | 1.39× | 2.09 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 58.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 74.7% | 0.64× | 2.09 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 68.5 | 43.3% | 42.9% | 31.4% | 1.37× | 2.33 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 59.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 72.2% | 0.59× | 2.33 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 55.5 | 40.8% | 42.9% | 18.5% | 2.32× | 2.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 64.5 | 39.6% | 38.8% | 56.9% | 0.68× | 2.58 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 70.5 | 35.0% | 33.6% | 26.3% | 1.28× | 2.98 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 61.5 | 34.0% | 33.6% | 66.9% | 0.50× | 2.98 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 53.5 | 32.5% | 33.6% | 14.2% | 2.36× | 2.98 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 62.5 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 51.0% | 0.66× | 2.98 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 72.5 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 21.8% | 1.34× | 3.42 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 63.5 | 26.6% | 29.3% | 61.5% | 0.48× | 3.42 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 51.5 | 24.9% | 24.9% | 10.7% | 2.31× | 4.02 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 60.5 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 44.4% | 0.56× | 4.02 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 65.5 | 20.1% | 24.9% | 55.3% | 0.45× | 4.02 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 74.5 | 20.6% | 24.9% | 17.7% | 1.40× | 4.02 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 57.5 | 15.3% | 19.3% | 34.9% | 0.55× | 5.18 |
| Wichita State Shockers under 48.5 | 15.2% | 19.3% | 6.7% | 2.90× | 5.18 |
| Wichita State Shockers over 68.5 | 12.4% | 16.1% | 45.6% | 0.35× | 6.21 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 77.5 | 12.6% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 1.26× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 145.5 points | 92.0% | 88.8% | 79.5% | 1.12× | 1.13 |
| Over 105.5 points | 91.4% | 88.8% | 91.9% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Under 140.5 points | 85.8% | 85.0% | 71.8% | 1.19× | 1.18 |
| Over 110.5 points | 84.0% | 80.6% | 86.4% | 0.93× | 1.24 |
| Under 135.5 points | 77.0% | 75.6% | 62.4% | 1.21× | 1.32 |
| Over 115.5 points | 73.6% | 70.8% | 78.8% | 0.90× | 1.41 |
| Under 132.5 points | 70.3% | 70.8% | 56.0% | 1.27× | 1.41 |
| Over 118.5 points | 66.4% | 65.9% | 73.6% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Under 130.5 points | 65.5% | 65.9% | 51.7% | 1.28× | 1.52 |
| Over 120.5 points | 61.2% | 61.5% | 69.8% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Under 128.5 points | 60.4% | 61.5% | 47.2% | 1.30× | 1.63 |
| Over 122.5 points | 55.8% | 56.5% | 65.6% | 0.86× | 1.77 |
| Under 126.5 points | 55.1% | 56.5% | 42.6% | 1.33× | 1.77 |
| Under 125.5 points | 52.5% | 52.3% | 40.5% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Over 124.5 points | 50.3% | 52.3% | 61.5% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Under 124.5 points | 49.7% | 47.7% | 38.5% | 1.24× | 2.10 |
| Over 125.5 points | 47.5% | 47.7% | 59.5% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Under 122.5 points | 44.2% | 43.5% | 34.4% | 1.26× | 2.30 |
| Over 126.5 points | 44.9% | 43.5% | 57.4% | 0.76× | 2.30 |
| Over 128.5 points | 39.6% | 38.5% | 52.8% | 0.73× | 2.60 |
| Under 120.5 points | 38.8% | 38.5% | 30.2% | 1.28× | 2.60 |
| Under 118.5 points | 33.6% | 34.1% | 26.4% | 1.29× | 2.93 |
| Over 130.5 points | 34.5% | 34.1% | 48.3% | 0.71× | 2.93 |
| Over 132.5 points | 29.7% | 29.2% | 44.0% | 0.66× | 3.43 |
| Under 115.5 points | 26.4% | 29.2% | 21.2% | 1.38× | 3.43 |
| Over 135.5 points | 23.0% | 24.4% | 37.6% | 0.65× | 4.10 |
| Under 110.5 points | 16.0% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 1.43× | 5.15 |
| Over 140.5 points | 14.2% | 15.0% | 28.2% | 0.53× | 6.68 |
| Under 105.5 points | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 1.38× | 8.96 |
| Over 145.5 points | 8.0% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 0.54× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win both halves | 42.9% | 40.6% | 20.4% | 2.00× | 2.46 |
| Wichita State Shockers to win both halves | 6.0% | 8.8% | 36.0% | 0.24× | 11.33 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 6-10 | 18.4% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.63× | 5.97 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 11-15 | 17.3% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 1-5 | 16.0% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 16-20 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 2.60× | 8.11 |
| Wichita State Shockers by 1-5 | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 21-25 | 8.2% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.79× | 13.40 |
| Wichita State Shockers by 6-10 | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 26+ | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.62× | 13.40 |
| Wichita State Shockers by 11-15 | 2.7% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.30 |
| Wichita State Shockers by 16-20 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.32 |
| Wichita State Shockers by 21-25 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| Wichita State Shockers by 26+ | 0.1% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |