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Winthrop Eagles v Hampton Lady Pirates — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 30 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Winthrop Eagles win
61.1%
Draw
0.0%
Hampton Lady Pirates win
38.9%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 67.05–63.98 67-64 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Winthrop Eagles to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Winthrop Eagles to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Winthrop Eagles to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Hampton Lady Pirates to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Hampton Lady Pirates to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Hampton Lady Pirates to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Hampton Lady Pirates to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles to win H1 54.6% 51.9% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Hampton Lady Pirates to win H1 41.0% 42.7% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 50.5 88.5% 87.7% 84.5% 1.04× 1.14
H1 under 74.5 87.9% 87.7% 87.2% 1.01× 1.14
H1 over 54.5 78.9% 77.4% 74.0% 1.05× 1.29
H1 under 70.5 78.1% 77.4% 78.9% 0.98× 1.29
H1 over 57.5 69.3% 67.4% 64.8% 1.04× 1.48
H1 under 67.5 68.4% 67.4% 70.4% 0.96× 1.48
H1 over 59.5 62.1% 62.7% 57.8% 1.08× 1.59
H1 under 65.5 61.2% 62.7% 63.9% 0.98× 1.59
H1 over 61.5 54.4% 52.6% 50.2% 1.05× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 53.5% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 over 62.5 50.5% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 49.5% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 46.5% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 45.6% 47.4% 49.8% 0.95× 2.11
H1 under 59.5 37.9% 37.3% 42.2% 0.88× 2.68
H1 over 65.5 38.8% 37.3% 36.1% 1.03× 2.68
H1 over 67.5 31.6% 32.6% 29.6% 1.10× 3.07
H1 under 57.5 30.7% 32.6% 35.2% 0.93× 3.07
H1 under 54.5 21.1% 22.6% 26.0% 0.87× 4.43
H1 over 70.5 21.9% 22.6% 21.1% 1.07× 4.43
H1 over 74.5 12.1% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.14
H1 under 50.5 11.5% 12.3% 15.5% 0.80× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles to win H2 55.0% 55.0% 56.0% 0.98× 1.82
Hampton Lady Pirates to win H2 40.7% 43.5% 40.6% 1.07× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 56.5 87.3% 85.2% 84.1% 1.01× 1.17
H2 under 80.5 86.8% 85.2% 84.0% 1.01× 1.17
H2 over 60.5 77.7% 75.8% 74.5% 1.02× 1.32
H2 under 76.5 77.1% 75.8% 75.6% 1.00× 1.32
H2 over 63.5 68.3% 66.4% 65.3% 1.02× 1.51
H2 under 73.5 67.8% 66.4% 67.1% 0.99× 1.51
H2 over 65.5 61.4% 61.6% 58.8% 1.05× 1.62
H2 under 71.5 60.8% 61.6% 61.1% 1.01× 1.62
H2 over 67.5 54.0% 52.4% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 53.5% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 over 68.5 50.3% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 49.7% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 under 67.5 46.0% 47.6% 47.9% 1.00× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 46.5% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 over 71.5 39.2% 38.4% 38.9% 0.99× 2.61
H2 under 65.5 38.6% 38.4% 41.2% 0.93× 2.61
H2 under 63.5 31.7% 33.6% 34.7% 0.97× 2.97
H2 over 73.5 32.2% 33.6% 32.9% 1.02× 2.97
H2 under 60.5 22.3% 24.2% 25.5% 0.95× 4.13
H2 over 76.5 22.9% 24.2% 24.4% 0.99× 4.13
H2 under 56.5 12.7% 14.8% 15.9% 0.93× 6.76
H2 over 80.5 13.2% 14.8% 16.0% 0.93× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles leading at half time 54.6% 51.9% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Hampton Lady Pirates leading at half time 41.0% 42.8% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles +16.5 95.9% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Winthrop Eagles +18.5 97.2% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Winthrop Eagles +20.5 98.2% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Winthrop Eagles +14.5 94.0% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Hampton Lady Pirates +20.5 93.9% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Winthrop Eagles +12.5 91.5% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Hampton Lady Pirates +18.5 91.4% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Winthrop Eagles +10.5 88.3% 85.9% 80.4% 1.07× 1.16
Hampton Lady Pirates +16.5 88.2% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
Winthrop Eagles +9.5 86.4% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
Winthrop Eagles +8.5 84.4% 81.1% 76.5% 1.06× 1.23
Hampton Lady Pirates +14.5 84.2% 81.1% 72.1% 1.12× 1.23
Winthrop Eagles +7.5 82.1% 81.1% 74.5% 1.09× 1.23
Winthrop Eagles +6.5 79.6% 76.5% 72.3% 1.06× 1.31
Hampton Lady Pirates +12.5 79.4% 76.5% 67.9% 1.13× 1.31
Winthrop Eagles +5.5 76.9% 76.5% 70.1% 1.09× 1.31
Winthrop Eagles +4.5 74.1% 71.6% 67.8% 1.06× 1.40
Hampton Lady Pirates +10.5 73.9% 71.6% 63.2% 1.13× 1.40
Winthrop Eagles +3.5 71.1% 71.6% 65.7% 1.09× 1.40
Hampton Lady Pirates +9.5 70.8% 71.6% 60.7% 1.18× 1.40
Winthrop Eagles +2.5 67.9% 66.7% 63.3% 1.05× 1.50
Hampton Lady Pirates +8.5 67.6% 66.7% 58.0% 1.15× 1.50
Winthrop Eagles +1.5 64.5% 61.9% 61.2% 1.01× 1.62
Hampton Lady Pirates +7.5 64.3% 61.9% 55.2% 1.12× 1.62
Hampton Lady Pirates +6.5 60.8% 61.9% 52.4% 1.18× 1.62
Winthrop Eagles −1.5 57.5% 57.1% 58.7% 0.97× 1.75
Hampton Lady Pirates +5.5 57.2% 57.1% 50.3% 1.13× 1.75
Winthrop Eagles −2.5 53.8% 52.4% 56.7% 0.92× 1.91
Hampton Lady Pirates +4.5 53.6% 52.4% 47.8% 1.10× 1.91
Winthrop Eagles −3.5 50.1% 52.4% 54.2% 0.97× 1.91
Hampton Lady Pirates +3.5 49.9% 47.6% 45.8% 1.04× 2.10
Hampton Lady Pirates +2.5 46.2% 47.6% 43.3% 1.10× 2.10
Winthrop Eagles −4.5 46.4% 47.6% 52.2% 0.91× 2.10
Hampton Lady Pirates +1.5 42.5% 42.9% 41.3% 1.04× 2.33
Winthrop Eagles −5.5 42.8% 42.9% 49.7% 0.86× 2.33
Winthrop Eagles −6.5 39.2% 38.1% 47.6% 0.80× 2.63
Hampton Lady Pirates −1.5 35.5% 38.1% 38.8% 0.98× 2.63
Winthrop Eagles −7.5 35.7% 38.1% 44.8% 0.85× 2.63
Hampton Lady Pirates −2.5 32.1% 33.3% 36.7% 0.91× 3.01
Winthrop Eagles −8.5 32.4% 33.3% 42.0% 0.79× 3.01
Winthrop Eagles −9.5 29.2% 28.4% 39.3% 0.72× 3.53
Hampton Lady Pirates −3.5 28.9% 28.4% 34.3% 0.83× 3.53
Hampton Lady Pirates −4.5 25.9% 28.4% 32.2% 0.88× 3.53
Winthrop Eagles −10.5 26.1% 28.4% 36.8% 0.77× 3.53
Hampton Lady Pirates −5.5 23.1% 23.5% 29.9% 0.79× 4.25
Hampton Lady Pirates −6.5 20.4% 23.5% 27.7% 0.85× 4.25
Winthrop Eagles −12.5 20.6% 23.5% 32.1% 0.73× 4.25
Hampton Lady Pirates −7.5 17.9% 18.9% 25.5% 0.74× 5.29
Hampton Lady Pirates −8.5 15.6% 18.9% 23.5% 0.80× 5.30
Winthrop Eagles −14.5 15.8% 18.9% 27.9% 0.68× 5.30
Hampton Lady Pirates −9.5 13.6% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
Hampton Lady Pirates −10.5 11.7% 14.1% 19.6% 0.72× 7.09
Winthrop Eagles −16.5 11.8% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
Hampton Lady Pirates −12.5 8.5% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
Winthrop Eagles −18.5 8.6% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Hampton Lady Pirates −14.5 6.0% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Winthrop Eagles −20.5 6.1% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Hampton Lady Pirates −16.5 4.1% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.72
Hampton Lady Pirates −18.5 2.8% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Hampton Lady Pirates −20.5 1.8% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.6% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles at HT / Winthrop Eagles at FT 43.6% 41.0% 48.3% 0.85× 2.44
Hampton Lady Pirates at HT / Hampton Lady Pirates at FT 26.2% 29.6% 30.1% 0.98× 3.38
Hampton Lady Pirates at HT / Winthrop Eagles at FT 14.8% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Winthrop Eagles at HT / Hampton Lady Pirates at FT 10.9% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Level at HT / Winthrop Eagles at FT 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Hampton Lady Pirates at FT 1.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles to win 61.1% 60.6% 59.9% 1.01× 1.65
Hampton Lady Pirates to win 38.9% 39.4% 40.1% 0.98× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Winthrop Eagles even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Hampton Lady Pirates even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Winthrop Eagles odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Hampton Lady Pirates odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.0% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles to win Q1 51.6% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Hampton Lady Pirates to win Q1 42.4% 42.9% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 23.5 88.1% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 39.5 88.2% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 26.5 76.9% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 77.1% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 67.0% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 67.2% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 under 32.5 56.0% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 over 30.5 55.8% 58.6% 51.2% 1.14× 1.71
Q1 under 31.5 50.1% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 49.9% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 under 30.5 44.2% 41.4% 48.8% 0.85× 2.42
Q1 over 32.5 44.0% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 28.5 33.0% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 34.5 32.8% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 26.5 23.1% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 36.5 22.9% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 23.5 11.9% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q1 over 39.5 11.8% 12.6% 12.5% 1.01× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles to win Q2 51.5% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Hampton Lady Pirates to win Q2 42.5% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 89.1% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 87.1% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 78.5% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 75.4% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 68.9% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.48
Q2 over 28.5 65.2% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 57.9% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 53.8% 52.7% 49.9% 1.06× 1.90
Q2 under 31.5 52.1% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 47.9% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 46.2% 47.3% 50.1% 0.94× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 42.1% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 34.8% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 31.1% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 24.6% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 21.5% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 12.9% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 10.9% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles to win Q3 51.9% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
Hampton Lady Pirates to win Q3 42.2% 42.3% 41.8% 1.01× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 42.5 88.1% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 86.8% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 77.4% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 75.3% 77.3% 71.8% 1.08× 1.29
Q3 under 37.5 67.9% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 65.4% 67.8% 61.6% 1.10× 1.48
Q3 under 35.5 57.1% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 54.4% 52.3% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 51.4% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 48.6% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 45.7% 47.7% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 42.9% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 34.6% 32.2% 38.4% 0.84× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 32.1% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.10
Q3 under 29.5 24.7% 22.7% 28.2% 0.81× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 22.6% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 13.2% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q3 over 42.5 11.9% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles to win Q4 51.9% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.95
Hampton Lady Pirates to win Q4 42.3% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 42.5 86.6% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 85.6% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 75.9% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 29.5 74.4% 71.5% 70.8% 1.01× 1.40
Q4 under 37.5 66.7% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 65.0% 61.4% 61.1% 1.01× 1.63
Q4 under 35.5 56.3% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 over 33.5 54.5% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 50.9% 52.5% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 49.1% 47.5% 45.6% 1.04× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 45.5% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 43.7% 41.6% 40.6% 1.03× 2.40
Q4 under 31.5 35.1% 38.6% 38.9% 0.99× 2.59
Q4 over 37.5 33.3% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 25.6% 28.5% 29.2% 0.98× 3.51
Q4 over 39.5 24.1% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 14.4% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Q4 over 42.5 13.4% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles under 77.5 86.0% 83.9% 77.4% 1.08× 1.19
Hampton Lady Pirates under 74.5 87.0% 83.9% 82.3% 1.02× 1.19
Hampton Lady Pirates over 54.5 84.8% 80.7% 73.5% 1.10× 1.24
Winthrop Eagles over 57.5 84.4% 80.7% 77.2% 1.05× 1.24
Winthrop Eagles under 74.5 77.8% 75.1% 70.7% 1.06× 1.33
Hampton Lady Pirates under 71.5 79.0% 75.1% 76.1% 0.99× 1.33
Winthrop Eagles over 60.5 75.7% 75.1% 69.5% 1.08× 1.33
Hampton Lady Pirates over 57.5 75.8% 75.1% 65.1% 1.15× 1.33
Hampton Lady Pirates under 69.5 72.3% 70.7% 71.2% 0.99× 1.41
Winthrop Eagles under 72.5 71.1% 70.7% 65.7% 1.08× 1.41
Winthrop Eagles over 62.5 68.7% 66.4% 64.3% 1.03× 1.51
Hampton Lady Pirates over 59.5 68.5% 66.4% 58.8% 1.13× 1.51
Hampton Lady Pirates under 67.5 64.7% 61.2% 65.6% 0.93× 1.63
Winthrop Eagles under 70.5 63.6% 61.2% 60.3% 1.01× 1.63
Winthrop Eagles over 64.5 61.0% 61.2% 58.4% 1.05× 1.63
Hampton Lady Pirates over 61.5 60.5% 61.2% 52.1% 1.17× 1.63
Hampton Lady Pirates under 65.5 56.5% 57.1% 59.8% 0.96× 1.75
Winthrop Eagles under 68.5 55.5% 57.1% 54.4% 1.05× 1.75
Winthrop Eagles over 66.5 52.8% 52.3% 51.8% 1.01× 1.91
Winthrop Eagles under 67.5 51.3% 52.3% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
Hampton Lady Pirates over 63.5 52.1% 52.3% 46.1% 1.13× 1.91
Hampton Lady Pirates under 64.5 52.2% 52.3% 56.9% 0.92× 1.91
Winthrop Eagles under 66.5 47.2% 47.7% 48.2% 0.99× 2.09
Winthrop Eagles over 67.5 48.7% 47.7% 48.7% 0.98× 2.09
Hampton Lady Pirates under 63.5 47.9% 47.7% 53.9% 0.89× 2.09
Hampton Lady Pirates over 64.5 47.8% 47.7% 43.2% 1.11× 2.09
Winthrop Eagles over 68.5 44.5% 42.9% 45.6% 0.94× 2.33
Hampton Lady Pirates over 65.5 43.5% 42.9% 40.2% 1.07× 2.33
Winthrop Eagles under 64.5 39.0% 38.8% 41.6% 0.93× 2.58
Hampton Lady Pirates under 61.5 39.5% 38.8% 47.9% 0.81× 2.58
Winthrop Eagles over 70.5 36.4% 38.8% 39.7% 0.98× 2.58
Hampton Lady Pirates over 67.5 35.3% 38.8% 34.4% 1.13× 2.58
Winthrop Eagles under 62.5 31.3% 33.6% 35.7% 0.94× 2.98
Hampton Lady Pirates under 59.5 31.5% 33.6% 41.2% 0.82× 2.98
Winthrop Eagles over 72.5 28.9% 29.3% 34.3% 0.85× 3.42
Hampton Lady Pirates over 69.5 27.7% 29.3% 28.8% 1.02× 3.42
Winthrop Eagles under 60.5 24.3% 24.9% 30.5% 0.81× 4.02
Hampton Lady Pirates under 57.5 24.2% 24.9% 34.9% 0.71× 4.02
Winthrop Eagles over 74.5 22.2% 24.9% 29.3% 0.85× 4.02
Hampton Lady Pirates over 71.5 21.0% 24.9% 23.9% 1.04× 4.02
Winthrop Eagles under 57.5 15.6% 19.3% 22.8% 0.84× 5.18
Hampton Lady Pirates under 54.5 15.2% 19.3% 26.5% 0.73× 5.18
Winthrop Eagles over 77.5 14.0% 16.1% 22.6% 0.71× 6.21
Hampton Lady Pirates over 74.5 13.0% 16.1% 17.7% 0.91× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 111.5 points 90.7% 88.8% 85.1% 1.04× 1.13
Under 151.5 points 91.2% 88.8% 87.3% 1.02× 1.13
Under 146.5 points 84.6% 80.6% 80.9% 1.00× 1.24
Over 116.5 points 83.8% 80.6% 77.2% 1.04× 1.24
Under 141.5 points 75.5% 75.6% 73.4% 1.03× 1.32
Over 121.5 points 74.0% 70.8% 67.7% 1.05× 1.41
Under 138.5 points 68.7% 65.9% 67.9% 0.97× 1.52
Over 124.5 points 67.2% 65.9% 61.5% 1.07× 1.52
Under 136.5 points 63.9% 61.5% 64.2% 0.96× 1.63
Over 126.5 points 62.2% 61.5% 57.4% 1.07× 1.63
Under 134.5 points 58.8% 56.5% 60.2% 0.94× 1.77
Over 128.5 points 57.1% 56.5% 52.8% 1.07× 1.77
Under 132.5 points 53.5% 52.3% 56.0% 0.94× 1.91
Over 130.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 48.3% 1.08× 1.91
Under 131.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
Over 131.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 46.1% 1.03× 2.10
Under 130.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 51.7% 0.92× 2.10
Over 132.5 points 46.5% 47.7% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Under 128.5 points 42.9% 43.5% 47.2% 0.92× 2.30
Over 134.5 points 41.2% 43.5% 39.8% 1.09× 2.30
Under 126.5 points 37.8% 38.5% 42.6% 0.90× 2.60
Over 136.5 points 36.1% 38.5% 35.8% 1.08× 2.60
Under 124.5 points 32.8% 34.1% 38.5% 0.89× 2.93
Over 138.5 points 31.3% 34.1% 32.1% 1.06× 2.93
Under 121.5 points 26.0% 29.2% 32.3% 0.90× 3.43
Over 141.5 points 24.5% 24.4% 26.6% 0.92× 4.10
Under 116.5 points 16.2% 19.4% 22.8% 0.85× 5.15
Over 146.5 points 15.4% 19.4% 19.1% 1.02× 5.15
Under 111.5 points 9.3% 11.2% 14.9% 0.75× 8.96
Over 151.5 points 8.8% 11.2% 12.8% 0.88× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles to win both halves 27.2% 27.2% 36.0% 0.75× 3.68
Hampton Lady Pirates to win both halves 14.0% 14.1% 20.4% 0.69× 7.11
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winthrop Eagles by 1-5 18.3% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Winthrop Eagles by 6-10 16.6% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Hampton Lady Pirates by 1-5 15.9% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Winthrop Eagles by 11-15 12.4% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Hampton Lady Pirates by 6-10 11.4% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Winthrop Eagles by 16-20 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Hampton Lady Pirates by 11-15 6.7% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Winthrop Eagles by 21-25 3.8% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.29
Hampton Lady Pirates by 16-20 3.2% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.30
Hampton Lady Pirates by 21-25 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Winthrop Eagles by 26+ 2.2% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.31
Hampton Lady Pirates by 26+ 0.5% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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