Winthrop Eagles v James Madison Dukes — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 24 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Winthrop Eagles win
1.2%
Draw
0.0%
James Madison Dukes win
98.8%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 55.07–80.23 | 55-80 0% | 52% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop Eagles to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| Winthrop Eagles to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Winthrop Eagles to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Winthrop Eagles to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| James Madison Dukes to score 100+ | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 282.96 |
| James Madison Dukes to score 110+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.34 |
| James Madison Dukes to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| James Madison Dukes to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes to win H1 | 90.1% | 93.3% | 39.9% | 2.34× | 1.07 |
| Winthrop Eagles to win H1 | 8.0% | 7.2% | 56.4% | 0.13× | 13.97 |
| H1 tied | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.88 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 77.5 | 89.2% | 87.7% | 91.6% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 88.3% | 87.7% | 76.8% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 79.9% | 77.4% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 78.1% | 77.4% | 64.8% | 1.19× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 70.5% | 73.5% | 78.9% | 0.93× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 68.1% | 67.4% | 53.9% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 63.2% | 62.7% | 73.5% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 60.5% | 62.7% | 46.3% | 1.35× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 55.5% | 58.2% | 67.1% | 0.87× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 52.6% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 51.5% | 52.6% | 63.9% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 48.5% | 47.4% | 36.1% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 47.4% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 44.5% | 41.8% | 32.9% | 1.27× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 39.5% | 37.3% | 53.7% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 36.8% | 37.3% | 26.5% | 1.41× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 31.9% | 32.6% | 46.1% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 29.5% | 26.5% | 21.1% | 1.26× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 21.9% | 22.6% | 35.2% | 0.64× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 20.1% | 22.6% | 14.4% | 1.57× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 11.7% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 0.53× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 1.47× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes to win H2 | 91.4% | 89.3% | 40.6% | 2.20× | 1.12 |
| Winthrop Eagles to win H2 | 6.9% | 11.3% | 56.0% | 0.20× | 8.88 |
| H2 tied | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 59.5 | 87.6% | 85.2% | 77.0% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 83.5 | 87.8% | 85.2% | 88.9% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 78.3% | 75.8% | 82.0% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 77.7% | 75.8% | 65.3% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 69.0% | 66.4% | 75.6% | 0.88× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 68.0% | 66.4% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 62.0% | 61.6% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 60.8% | 61.6% | 48.7% | 1.27× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 54.5% | 52.4% | 64.1% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 53.2% | 52.4% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 50.7% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 49.3% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 57.8% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 45.5% | 47.6% | 36.0% | 1.32× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 39.2% | 38.4% | 51.3% | 0.75× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 38.0% | 38.4% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 32.0% | 33.6% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 31.0% | 33.6% | 24.4% | 1.38× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 22.3% | 24.2% | 34.7% | 0.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 21.7% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 1.35× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 0.64× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 12.2% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 1.33× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes leading at half time | 90.1% | 93.8% | 39.9% | 2.35× | 1.07 |
| Winthrop Eagles leading at half time | 8.0% | 6.7% | 56.4% | 0.12× | 14.95 |
| Level at half time | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes +3.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 45.8% | 2.13× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +4.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 47.8% | 2.04× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +5.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 50.3% | 1.94× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +6.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 52.4% | 1.86× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +7.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 55.2% | 1.76× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +8.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 58.0% | 1.68× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +9.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 60.7% | 1.61× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +10.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +12.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +1.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 41.3% | 2.36× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes −1.5 | 98.4% | 97.4% | 38.8% | 2.51× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes +2.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 43.3% | 2.25× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes −2.5 | 98.0% | 97.4% | 36.7% | 2.66× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes −3.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 34.3% | 2.84× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes −4.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 32.2% | 3.02× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes −5.5 | 96.0% | 97.4% | 29.9% | 3.26× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes −6.5 | 95.2% | 97.4% | 27.7% | 3.51× | 1.03 |
| James Madison Dukes −7.5 | 94.1% | 91.1% | 25.5% | 3.58× | 1.10 |
| James Madison Dukes −8.5 | 93.0% | 91.1% | 23.5% | 3.87× | 1.10 |
| James Madison Dukes −9.5 | 91.6% | 91.1% | 21.3% | 4.27× | 1.10 |
| James Madison Dukes −10.5 | 90.1% | 91.1% | 19.6% | 4.65× | 1.10 |
| James Madison Dukes −12.5 | 86.5% | 85.9% | 16.2% | 5.29× | 1.16 |
| James Madison Dukes −14.5 | 82.2% | 81.1% | 13.3% | 6.12× | 1.23 |
| James Madison Dukes −16.5 | 77.0% | 76.5% | 10.9% | 7.04× | 1.31 |
| James Madison Dukes −18.5 | 71.1% | 71.6% | 8.9% | 8.03× | 1.40 |
| James Madison Dukes −20.5 | 64.5% | 61.9% | 7.3% | 8.51× | 1.62 |
| Winthrop Eagles +20.5 | 35.5% | 38.1% | 92.7% | 0.41× | 2.63 |
| Winthrop Eagles +18.5 | 28.9% | 28.4% | 91.1% | 0.31× | 3.53 |
| Winthrop Eagles +16.5 | 23.0% | 23.5% | 89.1% | 0.26× | 4.25 |
| Winthrop Eagles +14.5 | 17.8% | 18.9% | 86.7% | 0.22× | 5.29 |
| Winthrop Eagles +12.5 | 13.5% | 14.1% | 83.8% | 0.17× | 7.09 |
| Winthrop Eagles +9.5 | 8.4% | 8.9% | 78.7% | 0.11× | 11.25 |
| Winthrop Eagles +10.5 | 9.9% | 8.9% | 80.4% | 0.11× | 11.25 |
| Winthrop Eagles +8.5 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 76.5% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| Winthrop Eagles +7.5 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 74.5% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| Winthrop Eagles +6.5 | 4.8% | 2.6% | 72.3% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| Winthrop Eagles −1.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 58.7% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles +1.5 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 61.2% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Winthrop Eagles −2.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 56.7% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles +2.5 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 63.3% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Winthrop Eagles +3.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 65.7% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Winthrop Eagles +4.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 67.8% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Winthrop Eagles +5.5 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 70.1% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| Winthrop Eagles −3.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 54.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −4.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 52.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −5.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 49.7% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −6.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 47.6% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −7.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 44.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −8.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 42.0% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −9.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 39.3% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −10.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −12.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Winthrop Eagles −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.9% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.1% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.8% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.3% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes at HT / James Madison Dukes at FT | 89.7% | 89.3% | 30.1% | 2.96× | 1.12 |
| Winthrop Eagles at HT / James Madison Dukes at FT | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / James Madison Dukes at FT | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.76 |
| Winthrop Eagles at HT / Winthrop Eagles at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 48.3% | 0.04× | 47.78 |
| Level at HT / Winthrop Eagles at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.79 |
| James Madison Dukes at HT / Winthrop Eagles at FT | 0.4% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes to win | 98.8% | 97.5% | 40.1% | 2.43× | 1.03 |
| Winthrop Eagles to win | 1.2% | 2.5% | 59.9% | 0.04× | 39.64 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop Eagles even | 50.3% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| James Madison Dukes even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.2% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Winthrop Eagles odd | 49.7% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| James Madison Dukes odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.8% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.7% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.57 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes to win Q1 | 79.7% | 80.1% | 40.4% | 1.98× | 1.25 |
| Winthrop Eagles to win Q1 | 16.2% | 15.6% | 54.7% | 0.28× | 6.42 |
| Q1 tied | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.97 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 41.5 | 90.4% | 91.1% | 91.9% | 0.99× | 1.10 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 86.3% | 87.4% | 77.6% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 80.4% | 82.8% | 84.8% | 0.98× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 73.9% | 72.7% | 62.7% | 1.16× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 71.2% | 72.7% | 77.4% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 63.3% | 61.7% | 51.2% | 1.20× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 60.3% | 61.7% | 68.5% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 54.4% | 52.7% | 64.0% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 51.5% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 48.5% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 45.6% | 47.3% | 36.0% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 39.7% | 38.3% | 31.5% | 1.21× | 2.61 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 36.7% | 38.3% | 48.8% | 0.78× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 28.8% | 27.3% | 22.6% | 1.21× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 26.1% | 27.3% | 37.3% | 0.73× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 19.6% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 1.13× | 5.83 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 13.8% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 0.56× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 41.5 | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 1.11× | 11.20 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes to win Q2 | 79.0% | 80.8% | 41.5% | 1.95× | 1.24 |
| Winthrop Eagles to win Q2 | 16.9% | 14.5% | 52.9% | 0.27× | 6.88 |
| Q2 tied | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.90 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 88.6% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 88.3% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 77.6% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 77.0% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 67.7% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 66.9% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 56.4% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 55.5% | 58.2% | 44.3% | 1.31× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 50.5% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 49.5% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 44.5% | 41.8% | 55.7% | 0.75× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 43.6% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 33.1% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 32.3% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 23.0% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 22.4% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 11.7% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes to win Q3 | 81.3% | 85.5% | 41.8% | 2.05× | 1.17 |
| Winthrop Eagles to win Q3 | 15.0% | 11.6% | 53.3% | 0.22× | 8.61 |
| Q3 tied | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.46 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 27.5 | 88.4% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 43.5 | 87.3% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 77.5% | 77.3% | 66.8% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 76.0% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 67.8% | 67.8% | 56.1% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 66.1% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 56.7% | 58.4% | 45.4% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 64.6% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 40.3% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 59.7% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 35.4% | 1.35× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 43.3% | 41.6% | 54.6% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 33.9% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 32.3% | 32.2% | 43.9% | 0.73× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 24.0% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 22.5% | 22.7% | 33.2% | 0.69× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 11.6% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes to win Q4 | 80.8% | 74.6% | 41.5% | 1.80× | 1.34 |
| Winthrop Eagles to win Q4 | 15.4% | 22.5% | 52.8% | 0.43× | 4.45 |
| Q4 tied | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.31 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 27.5 | 87.2% | 85.6% | 78.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 85.7% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 76.4% | 76.9% | 66.3% | 1.16× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 74.4% | 71.5% | 80.6% | 0.89× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 67.2% | 67.4% | 55.4% | 1.22× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 64.9% | 61.4% | 73.1% | 0.84× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 56.7% | 58.4% | 45.6% | 1.28× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 54.3% | 52.5% | 64.3% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 51.2% | 52.5% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 48.8% | 47.5% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 45.7% | 47.5% | 35.7% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 43.3% | 41.6% | 54.4% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 35.1% | 38.6% | 26.9% | 1.43× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 32.8% | 32.6% | 44.6% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 25.6% | 28.5% | 19.4% | 1.47× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 23.6% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.68× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 12.8% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 0.68× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop Eagles under 66.5 | 88.0% | 83.9% | 48.2% | 1.74× | 1.19 |
| James Madison Dukes over 70.5 | 86.3% | 83.9% | 26.3% | 3.19× | 1.19 |
| James Madison Dukes under 90.5 | 86.0% | 83.9% | 97.8% | 0.86× | 1.19 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 46.5 | 85.9% | 83.9% | 95.2% | 0.88× | 1.19 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 63.5 | 80.3% | 80.7% | 38.5% | 2.09× | 1.24 |
| James Madison Dukes over 73.5 | 77.8% | 75.1% | 19.8% | 3.79× | 1.33 |
| James Madison Dukes under 87.5 | 77.5% | 75.1% | 96.6% | 0.78× | 1.33 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 49.5 | 75.9% | 75.1% | 92.1% | 0.82× | 1.33 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 61.5 | 73.8% | 70.7% | 33.1% | 2.14× | 1.41 |
| James Madison Dukes over 75.5 | 70.9% | 70.7% | 15.9% | 4.45× | 1.41 |
| James Madison Dukes under 85.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 95.5% | 0.74× | 1.41 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 51.5 | 68.0% | 66.4% | 89.3% | 0.74× | 1.51 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 59.5 | 66.3% | 66.4% | 27.8% | 2.38× | 1.51 |
| James Madison Dukes over 77.5 | 63.0% | 61.2% | 12.8% | 4.78× | 1.63 |
| James Madison Dukes under 83.5 | 62.6% | 61.2% | 93.9% | 0.65× | 1.63 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 53.5 | 59.5% | 57.1% | 85.8% | 0.67× | 1.75 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 57.5 | 58.0% | 57.1% | 22.8% | 2.50× | 1.75 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 56.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 20.5% | 2.55× | 1.91 |
| James Madison Dukes over 79.5 | 54.5% | 52.3% | 10.3% | 5.05× | 1.91 |
| James Madison Dukes under 81.5 | 54.1% | 52.3% | 92.0% | 0.57× | 1.91 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 55.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 81.6% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| James Madison Dukes over 80.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 9.0% | 5.80× | 1.91 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 55.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 18.5% | 2.59× | 2.09 |
| James Madison Dukes under 80.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 91.0% | 0.52× | 2.09 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 56.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 79.5% | 0.60× | 2.09 |
| James Madison Dukes under 79.5 | 45.5% | 47.7% | 89.7% | 0.53× | 2.09 |
| James Madison Dukes over 81.5 | 45.9% | 47.7% | 8.0% | 5.95× | 2.09 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 57.5 | 42.0% | 42.9% | 77.2% | 0.56× | 2.33 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 53.5 | 40.5% | 42.9% | 14.2% | 3.02× | 2.33 |
| James Madison Dukes under 77.5 | 37.0% | 38.8% | 87.2% | 0.45× | 2.58 |
| James Madison Dukes over 83.5 | 37.4% | 38.8% | 6.1% | 6.41× | 2.58 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 59.5 | 33.7% | 33.6% | 72.2% | 0.47× | 2.98 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 51.5 | 32.0% | 33.6% | 10.7% | 3.13× | 2.98 |
| James Madison Dukes under 75.5 | 29.1% | 29.3% | 84.1% | 0.35× | 3.42 |
| James Madison Dukes over 85.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 4.5% | 6.48× | 3.42 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 61.5 | 26.2% | 29.3% | 66.9% | 0.44× | 3.42 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 49.5 | 24.1% | 24.9% | 7.9% | 3.15× | 4.02 |
| James Madison Dukes over 87.5 | 22.5% | 24.9% | 3.4% | 7.42× | 4.02 |
| James Madison Dukes under 73.5 | 22.2% | 24.9% | 80.2% | 0.31× | 4.02 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 63.5 | 19.7% | 19.3% | 61.5% | 0.31× | 5.18 |
| Winthrop Eagles under 46.5 | 14.1% | 16.1% | 4.8% | 3.36× | 6.21 |
| James Madison Dukes under 70.5 | 13.7% | 16.1% | 73.7% | 0.22× | 6.21 |
| James Madison Dukes over 90.5 | 14.0% | 16.1% | 2.2% | 7.48× | 6.21 |
| Winthrop Eagles over 66.5 | 12.0% | 16.1% | 51.8% | 0.31× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 116.5 points | 92.7% | 88.8% | 77.2% | 1.15× | 1.13 |
| Under 156.5 points | 91.6% | 88.8% | 91.3% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Over 121.5 points | 85.7% | 85.0% | 67.7% | 1.26× | 1.18 |
| Under 151.5 points | 85.1% | 85.0% | 87.3% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Over 126.5 points | 75.6% | 75.6% | 57.4% | 1.32× | 1.32 |
| Under 146.5 points | 75.9% | 75.6% | 80.9% | 0.93× | 1.32 |
| Under 143.5 points | 69.1% | 65.9% | 76.7% | 0.86× | 1.52 |
| Over 129.5 points | 68.3% | 65.9% | 50.5% | 1.30× | 1.52 |
| Under 141.5 points | 64.1% | 61.5% | 73.4% | 0.84× | 1.63 |
| Over 131.5 points | 63.1% | 61.5% | 46.1% | 1.33× | 1.63 |
| Under 139.5 points | 58.9% | 56.5% | 69.9% | 0.81× | 1.77 |
| Over 133.5 points | 57.6% | 56.5% | 42.0% | 1.35× | 1.77 |
| Under 137.5 points | 53.4% | 52.3% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Over 135.5 points | 52.1% | 52.3% | 37.6% | 1.39× | 1.91 |
| Under 136.5 points | 50.7% | 52.3% | 64.2% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Over 136.5 points | 49.3% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 1.33× | 2.10 |
| Under 135.5 points | 47.9% | 47.7% | 62.4% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| Over 137.5 points | 46.6% | 47.7% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.10 |
| Under 133.5 points | 42.4% | 43.5% | 58.0% | 0.75× | 2.30 |
| Over 139.5 points | 41.1% | 43.5% | 30.1% | 1.44× | 2.30 |
| Under 131.5 points | 36.9% | 38.5% | 53.9% | 0.71× | 2.60 |
| Over 141.5 points | 35.9% | 38.5% | 26.6% | 1.45× | 2.60 |
| Under 129.5 points | 31.7% | 34.1% | 49.5% | 0.69× | 2.93 |
| Over 143.5 points | 30.9% | 34.1% | 23.3% | 1.46× | 2.93 |
| Under 126.5 points | 24.4% | 24.4% | 42.6% | 0.57× | 4.10 |
| Over 146.5 points | 24.1% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 1.28× | 4.10 |
| Over 151.5 points | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 1.17× | 6.68 |
| Under 121.5 points | 14.3% | 15.0% | 32.3% | 0.46× | 6.68 |
| Over 156.5 points | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 1.29× | 8.96 |
| Under 116.5 points | 7.3% | 11.2% | 22.8% | 0.49× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes to win both halves | 81.9% | 82.2% | 20.4% | 4.04× | 1.22 |
| Winthrop Eagles to win both halves | 0.2% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 0.08× | 33.84 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes by 26+ | 46.5% | 47.3% | 4.6% | 10.25× | 2.12 |
| James Madison Dukes by 21-25 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 6.27× | 5.97 |
| James Madison Dukes by 16-20 | 15.2% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 3.53× | 5.97 |
| James Madison Dukes by 11-15 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| James Madison Dukes by 6-10 | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Winthrop Eagles by 1-5 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| James Madison Dukes by 1-5 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.30 |
| Winthrop Eagles by 6-10 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.33 |
| Winthrop Eagles by 11-15 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.33 |
| Winthrop Eagles by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.33 |
| Winthrop Eagles by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| Winthrop Eagles by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |