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Wyoming Cowgirls v Harvard Crimson — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Wyoming Cowgirls win
9.0%
Draw
0.0%
Harvard Crimson win
91.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 48.35–63.99 48-64 0% 60% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wyoming Cowgirls to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Wyoming Cowgirls to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Wyoming Cowgirls to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Wyoming Cowgirls to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Harvard Crimson to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Harvard Crimson to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Harvard Crimson to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Harvard Crimson to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson to win H1 76.2% 79.2% 39.9% 1.98× 1.26
Wyoming Cowgirls to win H1 20.3% 21.4% 56.4% 0.38× 4.68
H1 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 43.5 89.9% 87.7% 95.8% 0.92× 1.14
H1 under 67.5 89.5% 87.7% 70.4% 1.25× 1.14
H1 under 63.5 80.1% 82.5% 57.1% 1.45× 1.21
H1 over 47.5 80.0% 77.4% 90.6% 0.86× 1.29
H1 under 60.5 70.3% 73.5% 46.1% 1.59× 1.36
H1 over 50.5 69.8% 67.4% 84.5% 0.80× 1.48
H1 under 58.5 62.8% 62.7% 38.6% 1.63× 1.59
H1 over 52.5 62.0% 62.7% 79.6% 0.79× 1.59
H1 over 54.5 53.8% 52.6% 74.0% 0.71× 1.90
H1 under 56.5 54.6% 52.6% 31.8% 1.66× 1.90
H1 under 55.5 50.4% 52.6% 29.0% 1.82× 1.90
H1 over 55.5 49.6% 47.4% 71.0% 0.67× 2.11
H1 under 54.5 46.2% 47.4% 26.0% 1.82× 2.11
H1 over 56.5 45.4% 47.4% 68.2% 0.69× 2.11
H1 under 52.5 38.0% 37.3% 20.4% 1.83× 2.68
H1 over 58.5 37.2% 37.3% 61.4% 0.61× 2.68
H1 under 50.5 30.2% 32.6% 15.5% 2.11× 3.07
H1 over 60.5 29.7% 26.5% 53.9% 0.49× 3.77
H1 under 47.5 20.0% 22.6% 9.4% 2.39× 4.43
H1 over 63.5 19.9% 17.5% 42.9% 0.41× 5.72
H1 over 67.5 10.5% 12.3% 29.6% 0.41× 8.14
H1 under 43.5 10.1% 12.3% 4.2% 2.90× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson to win H2 77.7% 73.9% 40.6% 1.82× 1.35
Wyoming Cowgirls to win H2 19.1% 20.4% 56.0% 0.36× 4.89
H2 tied 3.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 73.5 89.9% 85.2% 67.1% 1.27× 1.17
H2 over 49.5 87.4% 85.2% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
H2 under 69.5 81.1% 81.8% 54.8% 1.49× 1.22
H2 over 53.5 76.8% 75.8% 89.7% 0.85× 1.32
H2 under 66.5 72.1% 72.2% 44.6% 1.62× 1.39
H2 over 56.5 66.3% 66.4% 84.1% 0.79× 1.51
H2 under 64.5 65.1% 66.4% 37.9% 1.75× 1.51
H2 over 58.5 58.6% 57.3% 79.6% 0.72× 1.74
H2 under 62.5 57.4% 57.3% 31.7% 1.81× 1.74
H2 under 61.5 53.4% 52.4% 28.7% 1.82× 1.91
H2 over 60.5 50.6% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
H2 under 60.5 49.4% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
H2 over 61.5 46.6% 47.6% 71.3% 0.67× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 42.6% 42.7% 68.3% 0.62× 2.34
H2 under 58.5 41.4% 42.7% 20.4% 2.09× 2.34
H2 over 64.5 34.9% 33.6% 62.1% 0.54× 2.97
H2 under 56.5 33.7% 33.6% 15.9% 2.12× 2.97
H2 over 66.5 27.9% 27.8% 55.4% 0.50× 3.59
H2 under 53.5 23.2% 24.2% 10.3% 2.34× 4.13
H2 over 69.5 18.9% 18.2% 45.2% 0.40× 5.50
H2 under 49.5 12.6% 14.8% 5.0% 2.94× 6.76
H2 over 73.5 10.1% 14.8% 32.9% 0.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson leading at half time 76.2% 79.7% 39.9% 2.00× 1.26
Wyoming Cowgirls leading at half time 20.3% 20.9% 56.4% 0.37× 4.78
Level at half time 3.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson +14.5 99.6% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +16.5 99.8% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +4.5 95.7% 97.4% 47.8% 2.04× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +5.5 96.5% 97.4% 50.3% 1.94× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +6.5 97.2% 97.4% 52.4% 1.86× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +7.5 97.7% 97.4% 55.2% 1.76× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +8.5 98.2% 97.4% 58.0% 1.68× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +9.5 98.6% 97.4% 60.7% 1.61× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +10.5 98.9% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +12.5 99.3% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Harvard Crimson +3.5 94.8% 91.1% 45.8% 1.99× 1.10
Harvard Crimson +1.5 92.4% 91.1% 41.3% 2.21× 1.10
Harvard Crimson +2.5 93.7% 91.1% 43.3% 2.11× 1.10
Harvard Crimson −1.5 89.1% 85.9% 38.8% 2.22× 1.16
Harvard Crimson −2.5 87.0% 85.9% 36.7% 2.34× 1.16
Harvard Crimson −3.5 84.7% 81.1% 34.3% 2.36× 1.23
Harvard Crimson −4.5 82.2% 81.1% 32.2% 2.52× 1.23
Harvard Crimson −5.5 79.5% 76.5% 29.9% 2.56× 1.31
Harvard Crimson −6.5 76.6% 76.5% 27.7% 2.76× 1.31
Wyoming Cowgirls +20.5 74.3% 71.6% 92.7% 0.77× 1.40
Harvard Crimson −7.5 73.4% 71.6% 25.5% 2.81× 1.40
Harvard Crimson −8.5 70.1% 71.6% 23.5% 3.04× 1.40
Wyoming Cowgirls +18.5 67.5% 66.7% 91.1% 0.73× 1.50
Harvard Crimson −9.5 66.6% 66.7% 21.3% 3.13× 1.50
Harvard Crimson −10.5 63.0% 61.9% 19.6% 3.16× 1.62
Wyoming Cowgirls +16.5 60.2% 61.9% 89.1% 0.69× 1.62
Harvard Crimson −12.5 55.4% 57.1% 16.2% 3.51× 1.75
Wyoming Cowgirls +14.5 52.4% 52.4% 86.7% 0.60× 1.91
Harvard Crimson −14.5 47.6% 47.6% 13.3% 3.59× 2.10
Wyoming Cowgirls +12.5 44.6% 42.9% 83.8% 0.51× 2.33
Harvard Crimson −16.5 39.8% 38.1% 10.9% 3.50× 2.63
Wyoming Cowgirls +10.5 37.0% 38.1% 80.4% 0.47× 2.63
Wyoming Cowgirls +9.5 33.4% 33.3% 78.7% 0.42× 3.01
Harvard Crimson −18.5 32.5% 33.3% 8.9% 3.73× 3.01
Wyoming Cowgirls +8.5 29.9% 28.4% 76.5% 0.37× 3.53
Wyoming Cowgirls +7.5 26.6% 28.4% 74.5% 0.38× 3.53
Harvard Crimson −20.5 25.7% 28.4% 7.3% 3.90× 3.53
Wyoming Cowgirls +6.5 23.4% 23.5% 72.3% 0.33× 4.25
Wyoming Cowgirls +5.5 20.5% 23.5% 70.1% 0.34× 4.25
Wyoming Cowgirls +4.5 17.8% 18.9% 67.8% 0.28× 5.29
Wyoming Cowgirls +3.5 15.3% 18.9% 65.7% 0.29× 5.30
Wyoming Cowgirls +2.5 13.0% 14.1% 63.3% 0.22× 7.09
Wyoming Cowgirls +1.5 10.9% 14.1% 61.2% 0.23× 7.09
Wyoming Cowgirls −1.5 7.6% 8.9% 58.7% 0.15× 11.25
Wyoming Cowgirls −2.5 6.3% 8.9% 56.7% 0.16× 11.25
Wyoming Cowgirls −3.5 5.2% 8.9% 54.2% 0.16× 11.25
Wyoming Cowgirls −4.5 4.3% 2.6% 52.2% 0.05× 38.72
Wyoming Cowgirls −5.5 3.5% 2.6% 49.7% 0.05× 38.73
Wyoming Cowgirls −6.5 2.8% 2.6% 47.6% 0.05× 38.73
Wyoming Cowgirls −7.5 2.3% 2.6% 44.8% 0.06× 38.73
Wyoming Cowgirls −8.5 1.8% 2.6% 42.0% 0.06× 38.73
Wyoming Cowgirls −9.5 1.4% 2.6% 39.3% 0.07× 38.73
Wyoming Cowgirls −10.5 1.1% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.74
Wyoming Cowgirls −12.5 0.7% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.74
Wyoming Cowgirls −14.5 0.4% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.74
Wyoming Cowgirls −16.5 0.2% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Wyoming Cowgirls −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Wyoming Cowgirls −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 69.8% 71.6% 66.7% 1.07× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 30.2% 28.4% 33.3% 0.85× 3.52
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.7% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.1% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson at HT / Harvard Crimson at FT 73.2% 73.2% 30.1% 2.43× 1.37
Wyoming Cowgirls at HT / Harvard Crimson at FT 14.8% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Wyoming Cowgirls at HT / Wyoming Cowgirls at FT 5.5% 8.3% 48.3% 0.17× 12.10
Level at HT / Harvard Crimson at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
Harvard Crimson at HT / Wyoming Cowgirls at FT 3.0% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.74
Level at HT / Wyoming Cowgirls at FT 0.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson to win 91.0% 90.6% 40.1% 2.26× 1.10
Wyoming Cowgirls to win 9.0% 9.4% 59.9% 0.16× 10.61
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wyoming Cowgirls even 50.8% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Harvard Crimson even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Wyoming Cowgirls odd 49.2% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Harvard Crimson odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.2% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.8% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.40
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson to win Q1 66.9% 72.2% 40.4% 1.79× 1.38
Wyoming Cowgirls to win Q1 27.6% 22.4% 54.7% 0.41× 4.46
Q1 tied 5.4% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 36.5 90.5% 91.1% 77.4% 1.18× 1.10
Q1 over 20.5 87.2% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 33.5 80.5% 82.8% 64.0% 1.29× 1.21
Q1 over 23.5 74.9% 72.7% 85.4% 0.85× 1.38
Q1 under 31.5 71.0% 72.7% 54.0% 1.35× 1.38
Q1 over 25.5 64.2% 61.7% 77.6% 0.80× 1.62
Q1 under 29.5 59.8% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 under 28.5 53.8% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 over 27.5 52.3% 52.7% 67.7% 0.78× 1.90
Q1 under 27.5 47.7% 47.3% 32.3% 1.47× 2.11
Q1 over 28.5 46.2% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 40.2% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 35.8% 38.3% 22.4% 1.71× 2.61
Q1 over 31.5 29.0% 27.3% 46.0% 0.59× 3.66
Q1 under 23.5 25.1% 27.3% 14.6% 1.87× 3.67
Q1 over 33.5 19.5% 17.2% 36.0% 0.48× 5.83
Q1 under 20.5 12.8% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q1 over 36.5 9.5% 8.9% 22.6% 0.40× 11.20
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson to win Q2 66.4% 68.3% 41.5% 1.65× 1.46
Wyoming Cowgirls to win Q2 28.2% 27.7% 52.9% 0.52× 3.61
Q2 tied 5.4% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 19.5 89.3% 87.3% 94.6% 0.92× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 88.6% 87.3% 74.6% 1.17× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 78.2% 76.8% 87.4% 0.88× 1.30
Q2 under 32.5 77.3% 76.8% 60.8% 1.26× 1.30
Q2 over 24.5 68.2% 67.4% 80.7% 0.83× 1.49
Q2 under 30.5 67.2% 67.4% 50.1% 1.34× 1.49
Q2 over 26.5 56.6% 58.2% 71.6% 0.81× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 55.6% 58.2% 38.8% 1.50× 1.72
Q2 over 27.5 50.5% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 27.5 49.5% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 28.5 44.4% 41.8% 61.2% 0.68× 2.39
Q2 under 26.5 43.4% 41.8% 28.4% 1.47× 2.39
Q2 over 30.5 32.8% 32.6% 49.9% 0.65× 3.06
Q2 under 24.5 31.8% 32.6% 19.3% 1.70× 3.06
Q2 over 32.5 22.7% 23.2% 39.2% 0.59× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 21.8% 23.2% 12.6% 1.84× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 11.4% 12.7% 25.4% 0.50× 7.90
Q2 under 19.5 10.7% 12.7% 5.4% 2.37× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson to win Q3 68.1% 66.7% 41.8% 1.60× 1.50
Wyoming Cowgirls to win Q3 26.7% 28.8% 53.3% 0.54× 3.47
Q3 tied 5.2% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.98
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 38.5 88.8% 87.2% 73.9% 1.18× 1.15
Q3 over 22.5 88.1% 87.2% 94.1% 0.93× 1.15
Q3 under 35.5 77.9% 77.3% 59.7% 1.30× 1.29
Q3 over 25.5 76.6% 77.3% 86.9% 0.89× 1.29
Q3 under 33.5 68.2% 67.8% 49.1% 1.38× 1.48
Q3 over 27.5 66.4% 67.8% 80.0% 0.85× 1.48
Q3 under 31.5 56.9% 58.4% 38.4% 1.52× 1.71
Q3 over 29.5 54.9% 52.3% 71.8% 0.73× 1.91
Q3 under 30.5 51.0% 52.3% 33.2% 1.58× 1.91
Q3 over 30.5 49.0% 47.7% 66.8% 0.71× 2.10
Q3 under 29.5 45.1% 47.7% 28.2% 1.69× 2.10
Q3 over 31.5 43.1% 41.6% 61.6% 0.68× 2.40
Q3 under 27.5 33.6% 32.2% 20.0% 1.61× 3.10
Q3 over 33.5 31.8% 32.2% 50.9% 0.63× 3.11
Q3 under 25.5 23.4% 22.7% 13.1% 1.74× 4.40
Q3 over 35.5 22.1% 22.7% 40.3% 0.56× 4.40
Q3 under 22.5 11.9% 12.8% 5.9% 2.18× 7.83
Q3 over 38.5 11.2% 12.8% 26.1% 0.49× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson to win Q4 67.8% 60.6% 41.5% 1.46× 1.65
Wyoming Cowgirls to win Q4 27.1% 33.3% 52.8% 0.63× 3.00
Q4 tied 5.1% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 38.5 87.2% 85.6% 73.1% 1.17× 1.17
Q4 over 22.5 86.8% 85.6% 93.3% 0.92× 1.17
Q4 under 35.5 76.3% 76.9% 59.4% 1.29× 1.30
Q4 over 25.5 75.5% 76.9% 86.1% 0.89× 1.30
Q4 under 33.5 66.9% 67.4% 49.6% 1.36× 1.48
Q4 over 27.5 65.8% 67.4% 78.9% 0.85× 1.48
Q4 under 31.5 56.2% 58.4% 38.9% 1.50× 1.71
Q4 over 29.5 55.0% 58.4% 70.8% 0.82× 1.71
Q4 under 30.5 50.6% 52.5% 33.7% 1.56× 1.91
Q4 over 30.5 49.4% 47.5% 66.3% 0.72× 2.11
Q4 under 29.5 45.0% 41.6% 29.2% 1.43× 2.40
Q4 over 31.5 43.8% 41.6% 61.1% 0.68× 2.40
Q4 under 27.5 34.2% 32.6% 21.1% 1.54× 3.07
Q4 over 33.5 33.1% 32.6% 50.4% 0.65× 3.07
Q4 under 25.5 24.5% 23.1% 13.9% 1.66× 4.33
Q4 over 35.5 23.7% 23.1% 40.6% 0.57× 4.33
Q4 under 22.5 13.2% 14.4% 6.7% 2.13× 6.95
Q4 over 38.5 12.8% 14.4% 26.9% 0.53× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wyoming Cowgirls over 41.5 92.7% 86.5% 98.1% 0.88× 1.16
Wyoming Cowgirls under 61.5 90.0% 86.4% 33.1% 2.61× 1.16
Harvard Crimson under 75.5 87.6% 83.9% 84.1% 1.00× 1.19
Harvard Crimson over 55.5 85.4% 83.9% 70.8% 1.19× 1.19
Wyoming Cowgirls under 58.5 82.9% 80.7% 25.3% 3.19× 1.24
Wyoming Cowgirls over 44.5 79.6% 75.1% 96.7% 0.78× 1.33
Harvard Crimson under 72.5 79.6% 75.1% 78.2% 0.96× 1.33
Wyoming Cowgirls under 56.5 76.5% 75.1% 20.5% 3.67× 1.33
Harvard Crimson over 58.5 76.4% 75.1% 62.1% 1.21× 1.33
Harvard Crimson under 70.5 72.8% 70.7% 73.7% 0.96× 1.41
Wyoming Cowgirls over 46.5 69.8% 66.4% 95.2% 0.70× 1.51
Wyoming Cowgirls under 54.5 68.9% 66.4% 16.2% 4.11× 1.51
Harvard Crimson over 60.5 69.0% 66.4% 55.6% 1.19× 1.51
Harvard Crimson under 68.5 65.1% 66.4% 68.6% 0.97× 1.51
Harvard Crimson over 62.5 60.8% 61.2% 49.0% 1.25× 1.63
Wyoming Cowgirls under 52.5 60.2% 61.2% 12.3% 4.96× 1.63
Wyoming Cowgirls over 48.5 59.6% 57.1% 93.3% 0.61× 1.75
Harvard Crimson under 66.5 56.6% 57.1% 62.7% 0.91× 1.75
Wyoming Cowgirls under 51.5 55.4% 57.1% 10.7% 5.31× 1.75
Harvard Crimson over 64.5 52.1% 52.3% 43.2% 1.21× 1.91
Harvard Crimson under 65.5 52.3% 52.3% 59.8% 0.87× 1.91
Wyoming Cowgirls under 50.5 50.5% 52.3% 9.2% 5.69× 1.91
Wyoming Cowgirls over 50.5 49.5% 47.7% 90.8% 0.53× 2.09
Harvard Crimson under 64.5 47.9% 47.7% 56.9% 0.84× 2.09
Harvard Crimson over 65.5 47.7% 47.7% 40.2% 1.19× 2.09
Wyoming Cowgirls over 51.5 44.6% 42.9% 89.3% 0.48× 2.33
Harvard Crimson over 66.5 43.4% 42.9% 37.3% 1.15× 2.33
Wyoming Cowgirls under 48.5 40.4% 42.9% 6.7% 6.44× 2.33
Wyoming Cowgirls over 52.5 39.8% 38.8% 87.7% 0.44× 2.58
Harvard Crimson under 62.5 39.2% 38.8% 51.0% 0.76× 2.58
Harvard Crimson over 68.5 34.9% 33.6% 31.4% 1.07× 2.98
Wyoming Cowgirls over 54.5 31.1% 33.6% 83.8% 0.40× 2.98
Harvard Crimson under 60.5 31.0% 33.6% 44.4% 0.76× 2.98
Wyoming Cowgirls under 46.5 30.2% 33.6% 4.8% 7.02× 2.98
Harvard Crimson over 70.5 27.2% 29.3% 26.3% 1.11× 3.42
Wyoming Cowgirls over 56.5 23.5% 24.9% 79.5% 0.31× 4.02
Harvard Crimson under 58.5 23.6% 24.9% 37.9% 0.66× 4.02
Wyoming Cowgirls under 44.5 20.4% 24.9% 3.3% 7.46× 4.02
Harvard Crimson over 72.5 20.4% 24.9% 21.8% 1.14× 4.02
Wyoming Cowgirls over 58.5 17.1% 19.3% 74.7% 0.26× 5.18
Harvard Crimson under 55.5 14.7% 16.1% 29.2% 0.55× 6.21
Harvard Crimson over 75.5 12.4% 16.1% 15.9% 1.01× 6.21
Wyoming Cowgirls over 61.5 10.0% 13.6% 66.9% 0.20× 7.35
Wyoming Cowgirls under 41.5 7.3% 13.5% 1.9% 7.26× 7.40
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 96.5 points 94.7% 88.8% 97.4% 0.91× 1.13
Under 136.5 points 93.3% 88.8% 64.2% 1.38× 1.13
Over 101.5 points 87.7% 85.0% 94.8% 0.90× 1.18
Under 131.5 points 87.5% 85.0% 53.9% 1.58× 1.18
Under 126.5 points 78.7% 75.6% 42.6% 1.77× 1.32
Over 106.5 points 76.8% 75.6% 91.0% 0.83× 1.32
Under 123.5 points 72.0% 70.8% 36.7% 1.93× 1.41
Over 109.5 points 68.6% 65.9% 87.6% 0.75× 1.52
Under 121.5 points 66.9% 65.9% 32.3% 2.04× 1.52
Over 111.5 points 62.7% 61.5% 85.1% 0.72× 1.63
Under 119.5 points 61.4% 61.5% 28.4% 2.17× 1.63
Over 113.5 points 56.6% 56.5% 81.9% 0.69× 1.77
Under 117.5 points 55.5% 56.5% 24.7% 2.29× 1.77
Under 116.5 points 52.5% 52.3% 22.8% 2.29× 1.91
Over 115.5 points 50.5% 52.3% 78.8% 0.66× 1.91
Under 115.5 points 49.5% 47.7% 21.2% 2.25× 2.10
Over 116.5 points 47.5% 47.7% 77.2% 0.62× 2.10
Over 117.5 points 44.5% 43.5% 75.3% 0.58× 2.30
Under 113.5 points 43.4% 43.5% 18.1% 2.40× 2.30
Over 119.5 points 38.6% 38.5% 71.6% 0.54× 2.60
Under 111.5 points 37.3% 38.5% 14.9% 2.58× 2.60
Over 121.5 points 33.1% 34.1% 67.7% 0.50× 2.93
Under 109.5 points 31.4% 34.1% 12.4% 2.75× 2.93
Over 123.5 points 28.0% 29.2% 63.3% 0.46× 3.43
Under 106.5 points 23.2% 24.4% 9.0% 2.71× 4.10
Over 126.5 points 21.3% 24.4% 57.4% 0.42× 4.10
Over 131.5 points 12.5% 15.0% 46.1% 0.32× 6.69
Under 101.5 points 12.3% 15.0% 5.2% 2.89× 6.69
Over 136.5 points 6.7% 11.2% 35.8% 0.31× 8.97
Under 96.5 points 5.3% 11.2% 2.6% 4.29× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson to win both halves 57.0% 57.8% 20.4% 2.84× 1.73
Wyoming Cowgirls to win both halves 2.1% 3.0% 36.0% 0.08× 33.71
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Harvard Crimson by 11-15 19.3% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Harvard Crimson by 16-20 18.0% 16.8% 4.8% 3.53× 5.97
Harvard Crimson by 6-10 16.5% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Harvard Crimson by 21-25 13.2% 12.3% 2.7% 4.61× 8.11
Harvard Crimson by 26+ 12.5% 12.3% 4.6% 2.68× 8.11
Harvard Crimson by 1-5 11.4% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Wyoming Cowgirls by 1-5 5.5% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Wyoming Cowgirls by 6-10 2.4% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.31
Wyoming Cowgirls by 11-15 0.8% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.32
Wyoming Cowgirls by 16-20 0.2% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.33
Wyoming Cowgirls by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Wyoming Cowgirls by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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